U.S. Inhaler Play and Strong Earnings Fuel Long-Term UpsideTicker: NSE: CIPLA
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Market Cap: ₹1.26 lakh crore+
Current Price: ₹1,572 (as of July 28, 2025)
Technical Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Strong Buy across platforms)
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🔍 Strong Fundamentals Back the Bullish Momentum
CIPLA has delivered an encouraging performance in Q1 FY26, reinforcing its long-term bullish narrative. The company posted a 10% year-on-year growth in profit after tax (PAT), reaching ₹1,298 crore, while revenues climbed 4% to ₹6,957 crore. These gains were driven largely by robust performance across its domestic Indian market and continued traction in Africa. The earnings beat estimates and demonstrate management's ability to maintain profitability despite sector-wide margin pressures.
Brokerages have taken note. Antique Broking has issued a bullish price target of ₹1,875, citing confidence in CIPLA’s U.S. respiratory pipeline. Meanwhile, Nuvama has pegged a more conservative target of ₹1,651, emphasizing margin resilience. Both reflect a broader positive sentiment from the street, bolstered by the company’s continued strategic execution.
Perhaps most importantly, CIPLA's U.S. growth roadmap is gaining clarity. With a stated goal of achieving $1 billion in U.S. revenue by FY27, the company is betting big on its inhalation portfolio. The upcoming launches of generic Advair and Symbicort are expected to cushion the impact from the anticipated decline in Revlimid revenues. This pipeline visibility is a key factor that differentiates CIPLA from its peers in the pharma space.
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📊 Technical Structure Signals Bullish Breakout
From a technical standpoint, CIPLA has just confirmed a breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, typically viewed as a continuation setup in an uptrend. On July 28th, the stock surged above the key breakout zone of ₹1,575–₹1,580, backed by a substantial increase in volume (3.84M vs 1.68M avg), signaling institutional participation. The daily close at ₹1,572 marks a technical inflection point, with the price now firmly above its 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, indicating strong trend alignment.
The momentum indicators are also supportive, though cautionary. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 71, suggesting overbought conditions, while the MACD has given a fresh bullish crossover. Additionally, the ADX (above 25) confirms trend strength. However, traders should be prepared for short-term volatility or pullbacks, as these indicators often cool off before further upside continues.
Key support levels to watch include ₹1,536, followed by ₹1,500 and ₹1,479.5. On the upside, immediate resistances lie at ₹1,592.5, then ₹1,613 and ₹1,649. A sustained close above ₹1,580–1,592 may unlock the next bullish leg toward ₹1,650+ levels.
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⚠️ Risks Remain – Pricing Pressure and Valuation a Concern
Despite the bullish setup, there are risks that could temper upside momentum. CIPLA’s U.S. Revlimid portfolio is facing pricing pressure, a trend impacting the broader generics market. Any further compression could drag margins in upcoming quarters. Additionally, while the company has posted solid profits, its EBITDA margin has seen a slight dip to 25.6%, suggesting limited operating leverage.
On the valuation front, CIPLA now trades at nearly 27× P/E, pricing in much of the future growth optimism. This elevates the bar for quarterly execution. From a technical lens, the RSI and stochastic indicators remain in overbought territory, raising the possibility of near-term consolidation or minor pullbacks before the next move higher.
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⏳ Tactical & Strategic View – Trade the Momentum, Invest in the Vision
In the short term, momentum traders should monitor how the stock behaves around the ₹1,575–₹1,580 breakout level. If the price sustains above this zone with continued volume, it signals strength and potential for a rapid move toward ₹1,600–₹1,650. However, any retracement to the ₹1,540–₹1,550 support range could present an ideal buying opportunity, especially for swing traders looking for a defined risk-reward setup.
For long-term investors, the bullish thesis rests on execution of the U.S. strategy and maintaining growth in high-margin geographies. With brokerages projecting upside toward ₹1,650–₹1,875, and a strategic focus on inhalation therapies, CIPLA is well-positioned for structural growth. That said, investors must remain patient and allow the multi-year thesis to unfold.
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🧠 Market Sentiment – Cautious Optimism
Overall market sentiment remains decisively positive, supported by strong earnings, a visible product pipeline, and favorable technical alignment. Yet, caution stems from the overbought technicals and valuation concerns. A prudent approach would be to accumulate on dips near ₹1,540–₹1,550, while watching for a decisive breakout and close above ₹1,580 to confirm trend continuation.
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📍 Investment Thesis: Accumulate with Conviction
CIPLA’s combination of strong fundamentals, a defined U.S. strategy, technical momentum, and institutional interest makes it a compelling long-term investment. Traders and investors alike can look to accumulate on dips, while treating a breakout above ₹1,580 as a confirmation trigger for further upside. Execution risk remains, but the broader setup favors a bullish bias heading into the next quarter.
For traders looking to capitalize on Cipla’s potential breakout, two entry strategies stand out. An aggressive entry can be considered in the ₹1,572–₹1,577 range, with a stop loss placed at ₹1,558. This suits momentum traders aiming to ride an early breakout, targeting ₹1,590 as an initial objective and ₹1,610+ for extended gains, offering a risk-reward ratio of 1:1 to 1:2+. Alternatively, a low-cost entry is ideal near ₹1,564 for those seeking a better cushion against volatility, with a tighter stop loss at ₹1,542. This setup also offers attractive upside toward ₹1,580–₹1,605+, maintaining similar or better risk-reward dynamics. In both cases, a decisive breakout above ₹1,580 on strong volume would confirm the bullish structure. Traders are advised to follow strict stop-loss discipline and avoid chasing if the price stretches sharply.
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⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
• I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
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Technical Analysis
Dual Counter-Trend Zone and Market Structure Shift- This chart highlights a dual counter-trend resistance zone formed by two overlapping CT trendlines (marked in the shaded purple region).
🟡 Yellow Cup – Marks the origin base of the structure (assumed starting shift).
🔴 Red Cup – Establishes a Lower Low Base, still within bearish control.
🟢 Green Cup – Forms a Higher Low Base, showing a market structure change supported by a noticeable volume surge.
- The dotted trendline drawn through the zone acts as a hidden resistance confluence
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is non-forecasting in nature. It is not a buy/sell recommendation or financial advice. The chart is shared purely for educational and structural analysis purposes.
EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, signs of a reversal emergeEURUSD is approaching the key resistance zone at 1.1780, a level that has been rejected multiple times in the past. On the H4 chart, the pair remains firmly within a descending channel since early July, with several FVG zones stacked above—indicating growing selling pressure. The recent upside momentum is clearly weakening, raising the risk of a deeper pullback.
Market context:
– The US dollar continues to gain support from strong economic data, while the Eurozone lacks clear signs of recovery.
– Traders are holding their breath ahead of upcoming Eurozone inflation data and the US PCE report—events that could trigger significant moves.
Trade setup: If EURUSD fails to break above 1.1780, a drop toward the 1.1610 support zone becomes increasingly likely.
XAUUSD – final bounce before the drop?Gold is trapped in a sideways box, and the bounce from the $3,330 zone looks like nothing more than a technical reaction – with no strong buying momentum. The dense cluster of FVGs signals that selling pressure hasn’t been fully absorbed yet.
Fresh data from the U.S. strengthens the bearish case: jobless claims have hit a 3-month low, indicating a resilient labor market. This paves the way for the Fed to keep rates steady at 4.25–4.50%. Meanwhile, Trump’s tariff policies are stoking inflation risks.
If gold fails to break above $3,437 in the next few sessions, sellers may step in aggressively. In that case, the next target could be $3,280.
455-Day Counter Trendline | From Breakdown to V-RecoveryThis weekly chart of Jio Fin Services Ltd illustrates a multi-phase price structure over 455 days:
🔹 Initial Rally — Kicks off from a defined accumulation base (grey zone), marking the start of a strong impulse leg.
🔹 Consolidation Phase — Price enters a descending triangle formation just below a historical resistance band.
🔹 Breakdown — Clean breakdown from the triangle pattern sends price sharply downward.
🔹 V-Shaped Recovery — A strong reaction off the original base zone leads to a sharp reversal.
🔹 Back to the 455-Day Counter Trendline — Price now tests the long-standing counter trendline, which has remained intact throughout.
📌 This chart demonstrates how historical price structures—especially well-defined base formations and trendline resistances—continue to act as critical reference points for future price action.
🛠️ No predictions here. Just a structured breakdown of price behavior and major decision zones traders are often drawn to.
GNO/USD Price Action Aligns for Final Wave 5 PushGNO/USD pair is unfolding a clean Elliott Wave impulse pattern on the 4-hour chart. The rally began with Wave (1) reaching 113.50, followed by a corrective Wave (2) that bottomed near 105.28. This set the stage for a powerful Wave (3) that surged to 156.59 , aligning well with Elliott Wave theory where Wave 3 is typically the strongest and steepest leg in the sequence.
Wave (4) is now in progress, taking the form of an A-B-C correction inside a descending channel. Interim support was found at 138.95 during Wave A, and Wave C could extend toward the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 136.79 or the deeper support zone near 129.5. These levels are crucial, as they often mark the end of a corrective phase and the beginning of the next impulse. A confirmed breakout above 147.4 would signal the start of Wave (5) and the return of bullish momentum.
Short-term targets have the potential to reach 135 – 128 , while 125.22 remains the invalidation level for this bullish setup. After the completion of Wave (4), traders can look for long opportunities targeting 147 – 154 – 172 . As long as the structure holds and price respects key supports, the outlook remains favorable for a fresh push higher in Wave (5).
DALBHARAT Retesting Breakout Zone Near 21 EMAThe stock DALBHARAT is currently testing the breakout region between ₹2200–₹2250, which aligns with the 21 EMA — a potential confluence zone.
Traders may observe price action near this level for signs of a bounce. If the retest holds, there could be scope for upward movement toward previous highs.
Note: The risk-reward setup appears favorable based on current chart structure.
Disclaimer
This is a personal technical analysis and not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading in financial markets involves risk.
Rising Wedge Breakdown — 54,252 in Sight?#BankNifty View:
CMP: 56,528
BankNifty has broken down from a Rising Wedge pattern — a bearish signal. After a brief retest of the breakdown level, price has resumed its downward move. Daily close below 56,205 will gather fresh momentum.
🔑 A daily close below 56,205 could trigger fresh downside momentum.
🔻 Support Zones:
• 56,283 – 56,080
• 55,580 – 55,530
• 🔑 Key Supports: 54,470 – 54,375 & 53,600 – 53,580
🔺 Resistance Zone:
• 57,312 – 57,365
🎯 Pattern Target: 54,252
This aligns with the key support zone at 54,470 – 54,375 , strengthening its significance.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction | #RisingWedge | #ChartPatterns
“Still losing? It’s not your system – it’s your state of mind.”Still Losing Money? It's Not Your Strategy – It’s Your Mind That’s Failing You
Let’s be brutally honest.
Have you been repeating the same mistakes over and over… even though you know they’re wrong?
You know you shouldn’t enter trades without confirmation – but you do.
You know your stop-loss should be fixed – yet you keep moving it.
You know your mental state isn’t stable today – but you open the chart anyway and… trade again.
Don’t blame the market.
You’re not losing because it’s “manipulated.”
You’re losing because your emotions are in control – not your logic.
💣 The most dangerous mindset: Knowing it’s wrong… and still doing it
It’s not about lacking knowledge.
It’s not about having a weak strategy.
It’s about being hijacked by your own emotional reactions.
Ask yourself sincerely:
Are you trading to avoid boredom, anxiety, or emotional pain?
Do you open charts just to escape from real-life stress?
Are your trades a form of self-soothing rather than strategic action?
If yes, then it’s no longer about technical skills.
It’s about emotional management – and inner healing.
👹 Three psychological traps that silently ruin your trading every day:
1. FOMO – Fear of Missing Out
You see price running.
You see others winning.
You panic – “I cannot miss this one!”
→ You enter the trade impulsively, not logically.
FOMO means you don’t trust yourself to wait for better chances.
It’s fear-driven, not system-driven.
2. Revenge Trading – You just can’t stand losing
One loss and your ego is bruised.
You want to "get it back" instantly.
So you fight the market like it owes you something.
But the market doesn’t care.
You’re just venting your frustration – and losing even more in the process.
3. Overtrading – You tie your self-worth to every single trade
You feel valuable only when you’re placing trades.
Doing nothing feels like failure.
So you keep clicking – even without a plan.
Overtrading reflects your need to feel in control, even if it costs you your capital.
🔍 Harsh truth: You’re not losing to the market – you’re losing to your expectations
You expect to win fast.
To become rich fast.
To prove something to others – or to yourself.
And when that doesn’t happen, you spiral.
You're not really trading the charts.
You're trading your emotions.
✅ So what’s the solution?
Stop immediately when you feel emotionally unstable – no matter if you're in profit or loss.
Maintain a journal for your thoughts, not just your trades – track what you feel, not just what you did.
Ask yourself honestly:
Am I trading for profit, or to escape something?
Is this setup real, or am I afraid of missing out?
Invest in your inner self: meditation, walks, talking to a coach or mentor, resting properly.
💬 Final message:
Losing is not the problem.
Refusing to confront the real reason behind your losses – that’s the real danger.
You don’t need a new indicator.
You don’t need a magical strategy.
You need one decent system – and a calm, emotionally neutral mind to execute it.
The game is not on the screen.
It’s inside your head.
#TradingPsychologyIndia #MindsetForSuccess #FOMOTrading #RevengeTrading #OvertradingIssues
#ForexIndia #NSETrader #DisciplineInTrading #TradingStruggles #EmotionalAwareness #TradeLikeAPro
#MentalStrengthInMarkets #TradingMindsetMatters #ConsistencyInTrading
BTCUSDT – Ready to Break the Resistance Wall?Bitcoin just made a perfect rebound from the $115,000 support zone and is now gathering momentum toward the $119,097 resistance. While price remains inside the descending channel, price behavior suggests a potential bullish breakout.
Latest news:
Grayscale confirmed an additional $1.2 billion investment into its Bitcoin fund.
The Fed is signaling a possible pause in rate hikes at the upcoming meeting → weakening USD → direct boost for BTC.
Technical outlook:
FVG zones have been filled → selling pressure is fading.
A “bounce – retest – breakout” formation is emerging.
The descending channel is under pressure, and buyers seem to be gaining control.
EURUSD: The Rally Was Just a Trap – Bears Are Ready to Strike!After a strong rebound toward the 1.18400 zone driven by short-term optimism, EURUSD is now facing a potential reversal as price stalls within multiple Fair Value Gap zones. The chart reveals weakening bullish momentum, with lower highs forming inside a key resistance area.
Fresh U.S. data: Jobless claims dropped more than expected, giving the USD a solid boost. Meanwhile, the ECB remains hesitant, showing little conviction as Eurozone inflation cools.
A bearish scenario is unfolding: price forms a flag pattern → breaks the ascending channel → targets 1.17300. A break below this level could send EURUSD toward 1.16500 or even lower.
Bulls, beware! This could be a bull trap — and the bears are gearing up for a counterattack.
SELL setup: Look for bearish reversal signals around 1.18300–1.18400. Stop-loss above the high, first target at 1.17300.
XAUUSD: collapse brewingU.S. data keeps hammering gold: Jobless claims dropped sharply, and manufacturing PMI beat expectations — giving the Fed even more reason to keep rates elevated. This weakens gold’s safe-haven appeal.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is hovering just above weak support with a clear distribution pattern. Price has been repeatedly rejected near the FVG zone at 3,390 and is trading below the previous high. If it breaks down from this confluence zone, strong selling pressure could drive it down to 3,311 — where the major trendline intersects a previous green FVG zone.
Strategy: Look to SELL if price fails at 3,390 and confirms a breakdown. Target a failed retest and a drop toward 3,311.
One sharp drop could trigger a deeper wave — are you ready?
Nifty 50 spot 24837.00 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24837.00 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24450 to 24700 of Nifty Index level
- Updated Rising Price Channel Breakdown weakness continues
- Resistance Zone was earlier Support Zone 24900 to 25100 of Nifty Index Level
- Next Resistance Zone seen at 25250 to 25400 then ATH 26277.35 of Nifty Index level
- Breakdown from the Falling Resistance Channel and Trendline has maintained it's strength
- *Multiple reasons attribute for weakness and breakdown and that is how Markets show their Supremacy*
Gold Tests Key Support – Time to Buy or More Downside Ahead?🌐 Market Overview
Gold remains under pressure following yesterday’s sharp sell-off, driven largely by macro-political tensions and profit-taking at recent highs.
🔻 On July 24th, former President Trump made a surprise visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters — a move interpreted by markets as subtle pressure on the Fed to start cutting rates.
While the Fed hasn’t signaled any immediate easing, short-term bond yields have dipped slightly — reflecting growing rate-cut expectations.
The US Dollar, however, remains firm, showing markets are still hesitant to fully price in a Fed pivot after strong economic data.
📊 Technical Outlook
On the H2 timeframe, gold continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but price action is now hovering near a critical Keylevel at 3338, aligned with a rising trendline and VPOC zone. A breakdown below this level could open the door for deeper liquidity grabs toward 332x and even 329x.
Volatility is high, and price is moving in wide ranges — ideal conditions for short-term scalp setups.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔽 Scalp Buy (Short-Term Bounce Opportunity)
Entry: 3338 – 3336
Stop Loss: 3332
Targets: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380
🟢 Buy Zone (Deeper Pullback, Reversal Potential)
Entry: 3312 – 3310
Stop Loss: 3305
Targets: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔻 Sell Zone (If Price Retests Resistance)
Entry: 3374 – 3376
Stop Loss: 3380
Targets: 3370 – 3366 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 – 3330
🧭 Key Price Levels
Support: 3350 – 3338 – 3325 – 3310 – 3294
Resistance: 3374 – 3390 – 3400 – 3421
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
As we head into the weekend, the market is prone to unexpected liquidity sweeps and sharp reversals.
Only consider short-term BUY positions for today. Avoid holding long-term buys until there's confirmation that the lower liquidity zones have been fully swept.
Strictly follow TP/SL discipline to protect capital — especially in volatile, low-news sessions like this.
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Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead🟡 XAUUSD 24/07 – Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Overview
Gold dropped sharply from the 343x area, exactly as anticipated, after breaking the rising channel on the H1 chart and starting to sweep liquidity zones below.
Key factors influencing price action today:
Global markets are awaiting the final outcome of US-EU-China tariff negotiations.
Focus now shifts to next week’s FOMC meeting, where talks of potential rate cuts are intensifying.
Tonight’s PMI and Jobless Claims from the US could introduce unexpected volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook
While the broader trend remains bullish on D1 and H4 timeframes, the short-term H1 chart shows a clear break in structure. Price is currently exploring key FVG zones and OBS levels below.
If these liquidity zones are fully filled, it could set up a highly attractive long-term BUY opportunity, especially as markets price in future Fed rate cuts.
🎯 Today’s Trading Strategy
📌 Short-Term SELL Opportunity
→ Look for early entries at resistance zones, but only with proper confirmation.
📌 Long-Term BUY Setup
→ Target strong technical confluences at deeper levels. Be patient — focus on clean RR setups, don’t rush into early longs.
🔎 Key Price Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones (Above):
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Support Zones (Below):
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Scenarios
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ News Alert
Stay cautious with tonight’s US PMI and Jobless Claims releases — these could cause sharp spikes.
✔️ Use proper SL/TP
✔️ Avoid emotional trades
✔️ Let structure confirm before entries
📣 From MMF Team – Trade Smarter Together
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👉 Follow the MMF channel right here on TradingView — we deliver real, actionable market strategies, not just generic analysis.
🎯 Updated daily. Straight from the charts. Built for traders.
SW SOLARSW SOLAR gave BO but came down, heavy volume, if sustain this level then it may give a good upside move.
Moving above 20-50ema.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
SKIPPERSKIPPER has been re-testing the recent breakout. It is moving above 50ema. Now the breakout above 500 may give an upside move.
Keep following.
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GRAPHITEGRAPHITE has been facing resistance at this level, now there is probability of an upside move.
Look for the breakout.
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BAJAJ ELECTBAJAJ ELECT is facing resistance and now seems to be ready for the BO.
Breakout from here may give a good upside move.
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KIMSKIMS has been consolidating near resistance from a long time, now makes a Hammer candle above resistance and seems ready.
Keep eyes on this.
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DIXON TECH – Nearing a Big Breakout Zone!Dixon Technologies is getting close to a major trendline resistance that has been holding the stock down since December 2024. But now, the chart is showing strong signs of a possible breakout after a solid uptrend in recent weeks.
* What the chart shows:
Price is moving up strongly and is now near the resistance trendline (~16,700 zone).
Dixon Tech has been rising steadily and is now testing a long-term trendline that has previously acted as a ceiling. If it breaks above this level with good strength, it may open the door to a new rally.
It is trading above the 200-day moving average, showing strength.
The price has moved above the 200-DMA (blue line), which is a key level watched by traders and investors. This shows that the overall trend is positive and that buyers are in control.
MACD indicator is giving a bullish signal – supporting upward momentum.
MACD is showing a bullish crossover, which means momentum is picking up. This adds more confidence that the stock may continue to rise in the near term.
Volume is rising on green candles – this shows strong buying interest.
Higher volume on up days means more traders are participating in the up move. This buying interest is a strong confirmation that the market supports the current uptrend.
* Conclusion:
If Dixon breaks and closes above the trendline with strong volume, we could see a powerful breakout. This chart is worth keeping on your watchlist for a possible trading opportunity.
What’s your view? Will Dixon break out or face resistance again?