Gold at Crucial 325x Support – What's Next for the Yellow Metal?XAUUSD D1 Forecast: Gold at Crucial 325x Support – What's Next for the Yellow Metal?
Namaste, fellow traders!
Today, let's zoom out and look at the bigger picture for Gold (XAUUSD) on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Our analysis indicates that Gold has hit a very strong, hard support level around the 325x region. This is a pivotal point that could dictate Gold's medium to long-term direction!
🌍 Macroeconomic Context: The Forces at Play for Gold
While we've seen some USD weakness due to speculations surrounding the Fed (like the rumors about replacing Powell) and expectations of rate cuts, these factors haven't completely prevented Gold's recent decline on the daily chart. Also, the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven appeal.
However, the current price action at the robust 325x support level is a significant technical signal. The influence of upcoming US macroeconomic data (especially the PCE Index on Friday) and speeches from FOMC members will be crucial in confirming or negating Gold's next moves. If positive news for Gold aligns with this support holding, it could act as a strong catalyst.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (D1): Predicting Gold's Next Move
Based on the fact that Gold has encountered strong support at 325x, we can anticipate the following scenarios:
Bounce from 325x (Potential Upside Phase):
If the 325x area (which reinforces the 3264.400 support from image_e9d325.png) holds firm, we expect a strong reaction and an upward move for Gold.
The initial target for this bounce would be the 332x region, which aligns with resistance levels 3313.737 - 3330.483 from our previous analysis. On a broader timeframe (as shown in image_83845c.png), this corresponds to the resistance zone around 3326.022. This 332x area could represent a continuation pattern, meaning it might be a corrective rise before the resumption of the larger trend.
Resumption of Downtrend (After Reaching 332x):
Once Gold reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing candle, a pin bar, or a clear top formation), we anticipate a resumption of the downward movement.
The next major target for this fall would be the 317x area, which correlates well with the strong support at 3173.052 on the larger timeframe (as depicted in image_83845c.png).
🎯 XAUUSD D1 Trading Plan: Your Long-Term Strategy Ahead!
Considering the current D1 analysis, here's our actionable plan:
1. BUY PHASE (Bounce from Support):
Entry: Observe price reaction in the 325x - 326x zone (especially 3264.400). Only buy if there are clear bullish confirmations (e.g., a confirmed bullish pattern on the daily or 4-hour candle, a strong bounce from the zone with volume).
SL: Just below the 325x support zone (e.g., 3245-3240, depending on confirmation).
TP: 3280 - 3290 - 3300 - 3313.737 - 3326.022 (key 332x zone). This will be our primary target for the bounce.
2. SELL PHASE (Downtrend Resumption):
Entry: After the price reaches the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., strong bearish engulfing, pin bar, or top formation).
SL: Slightly above the 332x zone (e.g., 3335-3340).
TP: 3300 - 3290 - 3280 - 3270 - 3260 - 3250 - 3200 - 3173.052 (final 317x target).
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD – Bull Trap Revealed, Drop Toward 3,304 Incoming?Gold is retesting the descending trendline around 3,366, but rejection signals are starting to emerge. The recent bounce only tapped into a Fair Value Gap – a hidden liquidity zone – and is now losing momentum.
The structure remains bearish with lower highs, and the downtrend channel continues to dominate price action. If 3,366 gets rejected again, a sharp move toward 3,304 could be triggered – or even lower.
Fresh news supports the bearish case:
U.S. jobless claims beat expectations → USD strengthens
Iran–Israel ceasefire → Gold loses safe-haven appeal
ISLAMIC NEW YEAR OR RATHYATRA PICKTechnical View
Stock is clearly formed Cup&Handle pattern. Privious major SR Line break. Pattern made near major SR line. complete reversal formation.
RESPONIND
CMP 219
TARGET 250/275/300+++
BUY ON DIPS NEAR 200-204
SL 190( DAILY CLOSING BASIS)
Fundamental View
ROE and ROE BOTH ARE GOOD. Quaterly and Yearly boh Revenue and PAT are Highest Ever. positive cashflow..
I Am Not SEBI Registered Research Analyst. It Is Giving Only Educational Purpose. Buying in RESPONIND After Discussing With Your Financial Advisor.
Weekly CT & Hiddenline Cracked – Supply/Demand Zones In PlayThis weekly chart shows a well-defined price structure shaped around multi-timeframe supply and demand dynamics:
🟩 Green Zone – Broad demand zone, price has respected this area multiple times recently.
🟥 Red Zone – Long-standing WTF supply zone, tested multiple times in the past.
⚪️ White Solid Line – Active CT (corrective trendline), which has been broken cleanly on this week’s candle. Being a weekly close (Friday), the breakout carries more weight.
⚪️ Dotted White Line – A hidden resistance trendline, possibly acting as a confluence level for prior rejections. That too has been convincingly breached.
📊 Notice the strong volume spike on the breakout – always worth watching in a structure like this.
🔁 No predictions. Not a call. Just chart structure and context.
XAUUSD: Gold's Golden Glow Fades Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Golden Glow Fades Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness!
Let's dive into the fascinating world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing subtle positive movement, primarily influenced by a weaker US Dollar, but a convincing bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive.
🌍 Macroeconomic Snapshot: USD's Woes & Gold's Mild Support
Gold has seen a slight positive bias for the second consecutive day, yet it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading.
USD Under Pressure: Reports indicating that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns regarding the future independence of the US central bank.
Cautious Outlook: This mixed bag of news calls for caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300 (or Tuesday's two-week low). Traders are currently focused on upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members, which could influence XAU/USD ahead of Friday's crucial US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis & Intraday Trading Plan:
Current Trend: Gold has recently experienced a sharp decline and is now in a consolidation phase, trading around the $329X mark. Price is currently below shorter-term moving averages, indicating lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase.
Key Levels Identified:
Strong Support Zones (Potential BUY Areas): Levels around 3294.414, 3276.122, and particularly 3264.400 are crucial demand areas.
Key Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Areas): Levels at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947 are identified as significant supply zones.
🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan (Based on your specified levels):
BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias):
Entry: 3266 - 3264
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320
BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support):
Entry: 3284 - 3282
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330
SELL ZONE (Key Resistance):
Entry: 3331 - 3333
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300
SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315
SL: 3320
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely:
US Macro Data: The upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Friday is critical.
FOMC Member Speeches: Any comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will directly impact USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Stability: Developments regarding the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
Titan | Swing | Breakout Titan has just given a clean trendline breakout followed by a successful retest, which makes this setup quite interesting from a positional swing trade perspective.
✅ Trendline Breakout
• The stock broke a strong descending trendline that had been acting as resistance for several months.
✅ Retest and Bounce
• After the breakout, Titan came back to retest the breakout level near ₹3,380, which held well — a classic bullish sign. This bounce happened around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone — another technical confluence that adds weight to the trade idea.
⸻
📈 Entry, Targets & Stop Loss
• Entry Zone: Around ₹3,665 – ₹3,695
• Stop Loss (SL): Below ₹3,202
Important note: If price breaks below ₹3,500 without RSI crossing 75, it might lead to negative RSI divergence — a warning of weakening momentum. In that case, better to exit to avoid capital getting stuck.
⸻
🎯 Targets Based on Fibonacci Extensions:
• Target 1: ₹4,123
• Target 2: ₹4,324
• Target 3: ₹4,580
These targets are calculated using Fibonacci extension levels, with the final one being the 1.618 golden ratio zone.
⸻
Disclaimer: Do your own analysis before putting money in investment. Idea is for education purpose to share and learn within trading view community. Not a suggestion to put your hard earn money.
OPTIEMUS | Reclaiming Zones, Respecting Trendlines🟩 Price is navigating a critical structure:
White Line = Major CT (Control Trendline) — currently acting as resistance.
White Zone = MTF Supply ➡ Demand Flip Zone — price is holding above it.
Blue Zone = WTF Demand Pocket — also reclaimed recently.
📌 After reclaiming both the blue and white zones, price is now consolidating just under the CT, possibly coiling up.
🧠 Not a prediction. No tips. Just structure-based storytelling.
EURUSD – Short-term pullback before potential recoveryOn June 21, EURUSD edged down 0.12% to close at 1.15222 following mixed PMI data from the Eurozone. The H4 chart shows that price remains within the main ascending channel, forming a lower high around 1.16300 — a signal of a short-term corrective phase.
Currently, EURUSD is consolidating sideways near an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) resistance zone. If price fails to break above this level, a short-term drop toward the ascending channel support at 1.14860 is likely, before a potential rebound toward 1.15860 and possibly 1.16300.
Short-term strategy: Watch price action near the trendline support. If clear bullish rejection appears, this could offer a buying opportunity in line with the broader trend, targeting a recovery to recent highs.
BTCUSDT – Buying Resumes, Bullish Momentum Targets 120,000Bitcoin is flashing strong bullish signals as it continues to hold within a well-defined long-term ascending channel. After a technical bounce from the nearby support zone around 99,614, BTC has regained momentum and is now approaching a key resistance FVG cluster — a potential launchpad for a breakout.
The price structure shows a series of higher lows combined with healthy pullbacks, indicating accumulation and capital rotation back into BTC. A “break–pullback–continuation” pattern is forming, pointing to a likely move toward the psychological resistance level at 120,000 — a target highlighted by many professional traders since the start of the quarter.
Fundamental factors supporting the uptrend:
Large capital inflows are returning to U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, signaling renewed institutional confidence in the bull cycle.
Expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady are weighing on the USD, creating a favorable environment for risk assets like BTC.
Altcoin volatility is fading — often a sign that capital is rotating back into BTC as the market’s leading asset.
Falling Channel Pattern in Indian Overseas Bank📉 IOB (Indian Overseas Bank) - Falling Channel Setup
🔍 Daily Chart Analysis – June 26, 2025
IOB has been trading within a well-defined falling channel since early 2024. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel but hasn’t confirmed a breakout yet.
🔑 Key Observations:
Structure: Clearly respecting the falling channel.
Moving Averages: Price is hovering around short-term EMAs (20 & 50) and below the both EMA, indicating weak momentum.
Volume: No significant volume surge yet to support a breakout.
Confirmation needed: A close above the trendline (~₹39–40) with volume would be an early sign of bullish reversal.
🎯 Watch for:
Breakout above ₹40 with increased volume = potential short-term rally.
Failure to break may result in retesting lower channel support near ₹33–34.
🧠 Adding this to my breakout watchlist. Will reassess if it closes outside the channel.
Gold's Price Action Amidst Fed's Inflationary Warnings XAUUSD: Gold's Price Action Amidst Fed's Inflationary Warnings – Key Levels to Watch!
Hello TradingView Community!
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to be a focal point amidst the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious stance on inflation and interest rates. Recent statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlight concerns that large-scale tariffs could trigger persistent inflation, moving beyond conventional economic models. Despite recent inflation cooling, Powell emphasized the need for more data from June and July before considering any rate cuts, warning of the risk that "price shocks turn into persistent inflation".
This creates a nuanced market sentiment, torn between hopes for rate cuts and the emerging inflation risk from tariffs. In this environment, Gold remains a crucial psychological anchor, especially if the Fed delays its reaction to new inflationary pressures.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart Analysis):
Based on our recent chart analysis (e.g., image_008403.png): Gold is currently in a corrective or consolidating phase after a notable pullback. Price action indicates that key support and resistance levels are being tested.
Resistance Levels (Potential Sell Zones): We see significant resistance around 3352.383 - 3353.860 and higher up at 3371.205, with a major resistance area near the top at 3391.750 - 3395.000.
Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones): Key support is identified around 3317.738 - 3311.214, with a stronger demand zone at 3302.939 - 3302.857. A critical lower support lies at 3286.257.
🎯 XAUUSD Intraday Trading Plan:
Here are the key zones and targets for today, based on current market dynamics:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3316 - 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3336 - 3340
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3304 - 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3330 - 3340 - 3350
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3353 - 3355
SL: 3360
TP: 3350 - 3345 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3390 - 3392
SL: 3396
TP: 3386 - 3382 - 3378 - 3374 - 3370 - 3360
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Fed Speeches: Any further comments from Fed officials on inflation or policy outlook.
US Economic Data: Upcoming inflation (CPI, PCE) and employment reports (NFP) will heavily influence Fed policy expectations.
Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions can always boost Gold's safe-haven appeal.
200 Dema Touched After 1000 Days !! 🔵 Stock: JAI BALAJI (Weekly)
🔥 Support Revisit: Back to the 200 DEMA after 1000 days
A level that once acted as the launchpad.
Current structure shows an active compression trend (CT) right into this long-term dynamic support.
The chart also aligns below a major supply zone / ATH band, keeping the broader context in check.
📉 No prediction. No call. Just structure, levels, and time-tested zones doing the talking.
Bitcoin is Coiling – Ready to Break Out Toward 112K?On the H8 timeframe, BTCUSDT is forming a clear bullish setup. After a strong rebound from the support zone around 104,489 — which aligns with a previous demand area and Fair Value Gap — price has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting the resistance near 107,500. This structure is shaping into a broadening triangle pattern, signaling a potential breakout.
If BTC holds the 105,000–106,000 area during the upcoming pullback, there is a high probability of a bullish breakout toward the 112,000 level — a key previous high.
On the news front, market sentiment is improving as U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs attract fresh inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates steady amid signs of economic slowdown. These factors are providing strong support for BTC’s medium-term bullish outlook.
Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz?XAUUSD: Powell's "Soft Tone" Ignites Gold – Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz?
🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Reacts to Fed's Cues – Easing Rate Pressures?
The gold market (XAUUSD) is witnessing a resurgence of positive momentum, driven by recent "dovish-leaning" signals from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his congressional testimony. Powell's acknowledgment of lower-than-expected inflation from tariffs, coupled with hints of a potential earlier interest rate cut (possibly as early as July), is creating a fresh wave of market anticipation.
While Powell cautiously noted "no need to rush," market participants are interpreting his remarks as an indication that current monetary policy might be "somewhat restrictive." Should inflation continue its sustainable deceleration, the Fed would be poised to ease policy sooner. This directly impacts gold: as rate cut expectations rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold (a non-yielding asset) diminishes, making it significantly more appealing to investors.
🏦 Central Bank Policy: Fed's Evolving Stance & Market Re-calibration
Federal Reserve (Fed): Chair Powell's nuanced message suggests a more adaptable Fed, ready to align its policy with actual inflation data. His emphasis on the Fed's independence from political influence further solidifies confidence in data-driven decisions.
Market Re-calibration: While the broader market still leans towards a September rate cut, the probability of a July cut is subtly increasing, according to the CME FedWatch Tool (with 70.1% anticipating a cut to 4.00 - 4.25% by September). This re-pricing of policy risk is a crucial supportive factor, helping gold maintain stability around the $3,300–$3,320/oz mark, indicating smart money accumulation.
This evolving Fed perspective, even a slight shift, is powerful enough to influence capital flows and investor sentiment globally, setting the stage for significant gold movements.
🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Shifting Safe-Haven Dynamics
Global capital flows are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations and perceived risks. Historically, both gold and the U.S. dollar serve as primary safe havens during periods of uncertainty.
If Powell's "dovish tilt" gains further traction and leads to earlier rate cuts, we could anticipate a notable rotation in capital:
Outflows from USD: Lower U.S. yields would diminish the attractiveness of the USD as a yielding asset.
Inflows into Gold: The reduced opportunity cost of holding gold, combined with its intrinsic store-of-value appeal, could trigger substantial capital flows into the precious metal, especially amidst persistent global geopolitical tensions.
The market's re-evaluation of Fed policy risk is already contributing to gold's resilience, suggesting that strategic positioning for an upside move might be underway.
📊 Technical Structure (H4/M30 Chart Analysis): Gold Breaking Bearish Bias, Targeting Higher Levels
Based on the provided XAUUSD chart (H4/M30 timeframe):
Channel Breakout: Gold has visibly broken out of a prior descending channel, signaling a clear weakening of selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. The price is currently consolidating and appears to be forming a new accumulation pattern or a smaller ascending channel.
Key Price Levels:
Potential Sell Zone (Resistance): Around 3,352.383 - 3,371.205. This zone aligns with significant Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5 and 0.618 from the last major swing down) and represents a strong historical resistance cluster. If the price attempts to breach this zone and fails, selling pressure could emerge.
Higher Resistance: 3,391.750 - 3,395.000. This is a formidable resistance area. A decisive break above this level would confirm a more robust long-term bullish trend.
Current Buy Zone (Support): Around 3,302.939 - 3,311.214. This is a critical demand zone, where strong buying interest is likely to surface, coinciding with recent swing lows.
Next Key Support: 3,286.257. Should the 3,302.939 - 3,311.214 zone be breached, this level would be the next significant support to watch.
Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200):
The price is currently trading above the shorter-term EMAs (13 & 34), indicating positive short-term momentum.
The longer-term EMAs (89 & 200) are likely transitioning from resistance to dynamic support, or showing signs of convergence, suggesting a potential shift in market structure. A 'Golden Cross' formation among these EMAs would be a powerful bullish signal.
Projected Price Action: The chart depicts a scenario where the price might retrace slightly towards the 3,317.738 support or even deeper to 3,302.939 before embarking on a strong upward rally, targeting resistance zones like 3,352.383 and further to 3,371.205.
🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations (Based on Provided Zones):
BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284
SL: 3280
TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320
BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300
SL: 3295
TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330
SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355
SL: 3360
TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320
SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374
SL: 3378
TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350
⚠️ Key Events to Watch:
Further Speeches by Fed Officials: Any new comments on inflation, economic data, or the rate path will heavily influence market dynamics.
Global Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing tensions or new uncertainties can always bolster gold's safe-haven appeal.
XAUUSD – Technical Pullback, Bearish Trend Remains DominantGold posted a mild recovery of around 650 pips on June 25, closing near 3,329.57 USD, marking a short-term rebound after a sharp decline. However, both technical structure and macroeconomic outlook suggest that the bearish trend remains in control.
On the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD has broken below a multi-week ascending channel and is now trading beneath the previous support trendline, which has turned into resistance. The price gap around 3,360–3,376 USD remains partially unfilled, making it a potential magnet for a short-term technical pullback.
The current price structure is forming a “lower high – lower low” pattern, confirming sustained bearish momentum. If price fails to reclaim the FVG zone near 3,376.5 USD, a decline toward the support area at 3,308—and possibly down to 3,270—remains likely. Upcoming U.S. Core PCE and Q1 GDP data will be key in determining gold’s next directional move.
USHA MARTIN – Weekly Structure SnapshotA clean White CT that had acted as a multi-month resistance is now being engaged. Price is attempting to push above it, but the current candle is still developing — small-bodied so far, which is typical during early phases of structural tests on the weekly timeframe (WTF).
🟧 Just above lies a wick-based hindrance — a level that previously reacted with strong rejection. It's also where the current active CT had its last struggle, making it a structurally relevant zone, not something to ignore.
The base that formed in the ₹270–290 region stands out — multiple rejections without deeper breakdowns, a sign of demand stability. Volume expansion this week is notable — especially after 252 days of subdued activity — marking a shift in participation worth observing.
📌 This is not a prediction. Not a forecast. Not a trading call.
Just a structural walkthrough of what price is doing — and where attention has historically been paid.
Let the price write the story — our job is to read structure, not write headlines.
GOLD – ONCE AGAIN AT A CROSSROADSThe gold scenario is becoming clearer: price is holding firmly at the key support zone around 3,300.900 and is gearing up to react to a series of “bombshell” U.S. data releases – including GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE. These two indicators are critical in shaping future Fed policy.
From a technical standpoint, buyers have halted the decline at a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that previously supported a bullish breakout. The recent rebound from this area opens up a potential move towards 3,368.700, where a new FVG exists and coincides with a long-term descending trendline. This is not only a technical target, but also a testing ground to assess whether the market has enough momentum to reverse the broader downtrend.
However, one must also acknowledge the risk: if upcoming U.S. data reinforces the Fed’s hawkish stance, gold is likely to face rejection at the trendline – and could once again slip below the 3,300 zone.
Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate?XAUUSD 24–28 June: Gold Slides to Buy Zone – Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate?
🔍 Macro Outlook – A Volatile Week for Gold Traders
Gold is navigating through a complex macroeconomic landscape this week, with multiple factors weighing in:
✅ Middle East Tensions Resurface
Israel has declared plans to retaliate against Iran following a ceasefire violation, increasing geopolitical risk. This situation historically supports safe-haven demand for gold when it escalates.
✅ US Economic Data May Soften Fed’s Tone
The U.S. economy is showing early signs of cooling:
Housing market data fell short of expectations.
PMI data indicates manufacturing and services are slowing.
If the Core PCE Index (set to release this week) confirms soft inflation, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September may solidify, putting pressure on the USD and boosting gold.
✅ China & India Are Stocking Up on Gold
India’s jewelry and central bank demand is on the rise ahead of budget season. Meanwhile, China continues to increase its gold reserves for the 19th consecutive month, offering underlying support to the price.
📉 Technical Analysis – Is the Correction Bottoming Out?
XAUUSD remains in a downward-sloping channel on the H1/H4 chart, but prices are approaching key support zones with strong historical demand.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 still show downward momentum.
However, RSI divergence is forming on the lower timeframes, signaling potential bullish pressure.
A clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $3367–$3369 zone presents a strong liquidity zone for reversal.
✅ Trading Plan for XAUUSD
🔵 BUY ZONE: $3278 – $3276
Stop Loss: $3270
Take Profits:
TP1: $3282
TP2: $3286
TP3: $3290
TP4: $3294
TP5: $3298
TP6: $3302
TP7: $3305
TP8: $3310
📌 Reason to Buy: Price is approaching the bottom of the descending channel with visible demand zone, enhanced by RSI divergence and macro geopolitical pressure favoring safe-haven flows.
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3367 – $3369
Stop Loss: $3375
Take Profits:
TP1: $3364
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3356
TP4: $3352
TP5: $3348
TP6: $3344
TP7: $3340
TP8: $3330
TP9: $3320
📌 Reason to Sell: This is a key FVG resistance area where sellers have previously stepped in aggressively. If price retests without momentum, it's likely to reject back toward support.
📎 Summary for Indian Traders
This week’s gold strategy is a balance between short-term technical plays and long-term macro shifts. Keep your eyes on PCE data, USD movement, and any flare-up in Middle East tensions. Each of these could serve as catalysts for either a bounce or continuation.
XAUUSD –Bounces from support, watching PMI & Powell for breakoutGold is recovering from the 3,357 zone – the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the H4 chart, with the FVG area around 3,365–3,375 acting as near-term support. The higher-lows structure remains intact, indicating the medium-term uptrend is still in play.
On the news front, the US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline, and Fed Chair Powell is set to testify before Congress. If dovish signals emerge, gold could see a strong push higher.
Strategy: Consider buying around 3,357–3,365 if confirmation appears, targeting 3,443.
Do you think gold has the momentum to break through this resistance zone?
BTCUSDT – Long-term uptrend intact, target 111,666 USDTBitcoin is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the daily chart, having successfully retested the long-term ascending trendline. The support zone around 93,932 USDT — which aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and trendline — continues to act as a key rebound level, as seen in late April.
The current chart suggests a “pullback–breakout–consolidation” pattern, with the potential for a higher low if price revisits the trendline and FVG once more. The base case: price consolidates around the 98k–100k zone before targeting the major resistance at 111,666 USDT.
On the news front, investor sentiment is stabilizing after the Fed signaled rate hold. Additionally, BlackRock’s ETF has seen three consecutive days of net inflows — a strong tailwind for the bulls.
XAUUSD 23/06 – Bears Losing Steam as FVG Zone Returns to PlayXAUUSD – Gold Sets Up for a Strategic Bounce Amid Fed Dovish Shift and Yield Retreat
📊 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHTS – WEEK AHEAD
Gold enters the final week of June with renewed investor focus amid softening Fed rhetoric and weakening US Treasury yields. Here's what Indian traders need to watch:
🔻 Fed Signals & Rate Cut Bets Rising
Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech and comments from FOMC members will shape the tone. Market now prices in a 65% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME FedWatch.
If Powell leans dovish, expect renewed demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Conversely, hawkish surprises may pressure prices downward.
📉 US Dollar and Bond Yields Losing Momentum
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is retreating after peaking, while 10-year yields hover near 4.23% but fail to break higher.
Weakening yields and profit-taking on the dollar strengthen the safe-haven narrative for gold, particularly attractive to Indian investors during times of global volatility.
🌍 Geopolitical Tensions & Capital Flow Rotation
Ongoing concerns in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Indo-Pacific increase gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Institutions have started rotating capital from equities to safe-haven assets. ETF inflows and central bank reserves—particularly from China and India—underline long-term accumulation.
🧠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – STRUCTURE & SENTIMENT
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD remains within a broader descending channel but has printed a potential reversal setup from the BUY ZONE (3327–3325).
The recent drop filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering strong confluence support.
Price action shows early signs of accumulation with bullish divergence on RSI and price holding above the trendline support.
Immediate resistance is seen at 3355–3360, with stronger supply anticipated near the SELL ZONE (3398–3400), aligning with a high-timeframe trendline.
🎯 TRADING PLAN – UPDATED FOR SHORT/MEDIUM TERM
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → ???
This zone aligns with key structural support and the base of FVG. A break above 3360 may trigger acceleration toward 3375–3390.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
Ideal area to fade potential spikes driven by news or sentiment. Look for rejection wicks or RSI divergence before entering.
⚖️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
With central banks tilting toward easing, gold may reclaim dominance as a macro hedge. India’s gold imports are expected to increase if prices consolidate below 3350. Patience and discipline around key zones are critical—let price validate direction.
Weekly CT Breakout + 200EMA Flip | GALAXYSURF Structure📉 Main CT Line (Dotted White)
A well-defined counter-trendline finally gave way after weeks of price compression. The breakout was clean, with a strong bullish candle closing decisively above it.
📊 Volume Confirmation
Breakout candle posted a solid spike in volume — the highest weekly volume in months. 💥
📈 200 EMA Broken (Blue Line)
Price has also cleared the 200-week EMA, a key dynamic resistance, now potentially flipping to support. 📉
🟧 Higher Timeframe Supply (Orange Line) / ⚪ (White Lines)
The breakout candle has also stepped into a tight zone between Weekly + Monthly supply, marked by the orange line.
📌 As always, the chart tells the story. No predictions. No assumptions, just structure.






















