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Technical Analysis

GBPUSDWelcome investors, As we close this weekly trade, our attention is directed towards the GBP/USD currency pair. What is worth noting is the stability, with price fluctuating around the 1.261 unit, accurately reflecting our draw forecast of a sideways trend from today past. During the second half of the week, we found the US Dollar exerting pressure on the GBP/USD pair. Comments from midweek by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated that the Fed has no end in sight to reducing interest rates amid the excess formula. He emphasized that a precise stretch knot may be required to provide the desired 2% stability. In the current situation, the GBP/USD pair maintains its hardware unchanged, continuing to forecast a slight downtrend by correcting downwards towards the 1.267 area. Looking ahead to next week, sellers may look for opportunities to strengthen around 1,251 support.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: Bears continue to dominate the market!Hey there, forex family! Today, EURUSD takes a momentary pause as the global market enters a holiday period. However, looking ahead, the US dollar is strengthening, influenced by hawkish sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve and expectations of higher interest rates. Technical analysis adds to the story, as the price breaks below the 1.0800 support level and trades below both the EMA 34 and 89, currently favoring the sellers. Our preferred move is to target a decline to the 1.0700 level.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY : Continues to move sideways above the high price range !The USDJPY pair continues to trade quietly and seemingly stagnant at record highs, lacking upward momentum. The prevailing trend favors a sideways movement despite signals from the EMA 34 and 89 continuing to support an upward bias. From a technical standpoint, any further price increase may encounter strong resistance and remain limited near the 152.00 level. The mentioned barrier will act as a key pivot point, and if decisively broken, it would be considered a new catalyst for bullish traders. With oscillators on the daily chart holding in positive territory, the USD/JPY pair could extend the well-established uptrend since January 2023 and climb further towards the psychological level of 153.00. On the other hand, the overnight low volatility around the 151.00 level seems to be protecting the immediate downside. Any further decline is likely to attract new buyers and still be limited near the support area of 150.25. Keeping an eye on the psychological level of 150.00, a decisive break below it could potentially accelerate the downward correction process for the USD/JPY pair towards the region of 149.35-149.30 en route to the round number of 149.00.
by RKarina
USDJPY: Price continues to stand still!Today, USDJPY concluded its trading activities around the level of 151.35, with little change due to continued subdued trading throughout the past week. The strength of the US dollar, reinforced by hawkish statements from Fed officials, has not yet provided enough motivation for a significant increase in this currency pair. In the short term, the trend remains uncertain as USDJPY moves steadily within a range. The EMA lines also do not indicate a clear trend direction, so we will wait for a breakout from the current pattern to determine a more strategic and secure entry point!
by RKarina
EURUSD bears attack six-month-old support ahead of Fed inflationEURUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in five weeks, down for the fourth consecutive day, as market players await the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data for February. In doing so, the Euro pair pokes the key support line stretched from early October 2023 while extending its fall from a convergence of the 200-day and the 50-day SMAs. That said, the bearish MACD signals and the pair’s failure to extend the week-start rebound beyond the key SMA joint keep the sellers hopeful. Also adding strength to the downside bias is a looming death-cross on the daily chart, a condition where the 50-SMA crosses the 200-SMA from above. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is sliding towards the oversold territory, which in turn suggests limited downside room for the quote. As a result, an area comprising the 1.0700 round figure and the previous monthly low of near 1.0695 will test the bears. Following that, a downward-slopping support line from December, close to 1.0675 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the buyers. Meanwhile, the 1.0800 round figure guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair ahead of the aforementioned SMA confluence, near 1.0835-40 by the press time. Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 1.0840, the 1.0900 threshold and a three-month-long descending resistance line surrounding 1.0940 will be crucial to watch before welcoming the Euro buyers. In a case where the bulls keep the reins past 1.0940, the monthly high of 1.0981 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet will act as the additional upside filters before giving control to the bulls. Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to witness further downside ahead of the key US data. However, the Good Friday holiday will restrict the market’s reaction to the statistics.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold prices continue to receive support!Idea of gold trading: The price of gold in the world market has increased during this morning's trading session due to the lack of improvement in business environment and consumer confidence in the European economic region in March. Investors have expressed concerns about the global economy facing difficulties, leading them to increase their purchases of gold as a capital reserve and profit-seeking strategy. As a result, the precious metal has reached a level of $2,200 USD at present. Additionally, the price of gold has also benefited from the recent terrorist attack at a concert hall in Crocus, Krasnogorsk, Moscow, which occurred six days ago, as well as a major bridge collapse incident in Baltimore, USA - Francis Scott Key Bridge - affecting water transportation operations at the second-largest port in the United States. Trading plan for March 28th: 👨‍💻 XAUUSD BUY zone 2178 - 2175 🔹SL 2173 🔹TP 2190 - 2200 👨‍💻 XAUUSD SELL zone 2207 - 2209 🔹SL 2212 🔹TP 2200 - 2190 Wishing you all Full TP 💵💵💵
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Gold strategy today: Should I sell or not?Gold prices returned to the red zone below $2,200 in Asian trading on Thursday, following a two-day recovery. However, gold and other precious metals remain constrained and are yet to make a breakthrough. The scarcity of economic data in the US has prompted investors to buy gold on Wednesday, amid increasing speculation about a Fed interest rate cut in June. All attention is focused on the mid-tier data from the United States. The Federal Reserve Governor delivered a hawkish message while speaking about monetary policy at the Economic Club of New York. His comments have spurred a new increase in US Treasury bond yields and contributed to the strengthening of the US Dollar, putting pressure on gold prices that do not yield interest. Establish a SELL for gold around the 2195 - 2220 USD range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Gold price continues to increase (March 28)Hello dear friends, let's explore the price of gold today with RKarina! Currently, gold continues to maintain its strong position on Thursday, with prices showing a significant increase from $2175 at the same time yesterday, and currently hovering around $2190. As a result, the precious metal is on an upward trend as investors await inflation data from the United States. The report on the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for February is expected to provide new clues about the timing of the Federal Reserve's policy shift. The core PCE in the US increased by 0.3% in January. These pieces of information, combined with technical analysis from the charts, seem to indicate a positive outlook for gold. The EMA 34 and 89 still give us positive signals for an upward trend, with expectations of reaching a high of $2222 once again. What are your thoughts on the current trend of gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
What's Next for EURUSD? Deciding to Sell in VisionHello all traders! Today, I want to share my thoughts on the EURUSD currency pair, a hot topic for those who closely follow the forex market. Although EURUSD is still holding above the 1,080 support level, I see that the signal is not very positive for the future of this pair. Looking at the long-term trend, it seems that the pair is on the decline. Additionally, the price is currently trading below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, which further reinforces my bearish view. The US Dollar (USD) is currently experiencing a slight increase, putting pressure on EUR/USD and causing it to decline accordingly. If the market bears can take control and push the price below the current support level, I will without hesitation start selling EURUSD. My target would be the 1,070 level. For those looking for opportunities in the forex market, it may be time to consider a short position in EURUSD, based on current signals and analysis. We need to be ready to act when the market gives us such clear signals.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Continues to weaken!Hey there! Are you wondering whether GBPUSD will rise or fall today? Let's explore and find out together! Yesterday, GBPUSD continued its downward trend, seemingly solidifying its bearish trajectory by breaking below the support level at 1.261. The reversal signal from the 34 EMA line further indicates that the bear camp is currently dominating the market. Moreover, the lackluster recovery of USD has failed to provide the necessary momentum for GBPUSD to make a significant comeback. I am leaning towards a selling trend and predicting that the price may retest the level of 1.251. What about you? Do you share my sentiment?
Short
by RKarina
GBP/USD: New technical and volatility forecastOn Tuesday, GBP/USD recorded a bullish rally, reaching a high of 1.2670. However, this upbeat event did not last, and the pair lost its upward momentum in the second half of the day, when it finally traded below 1.2650 light to Europe Wednesday. Despite signs of technical indicators suggesting an increasingly strong bearish trend, the price currently remains stable, mainly hovering around 1,262. It seems that the sellers are cautious and do not want to connect with the bearish trend depth below 1.2600 without large fundamental changes supporting the move. Meanwhile, the US Dollar was able to gain recovery strength against other majors in the second half of Tuesday, supported by cautious sentiment and strong February Durable Orders data. than expected, the recovery mechanism of this pair is limited. From a technical analysis perspective, the GBP/USD pair continues on a downward trajectory with a small retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. The target has been shortened to 1,252, suggesting the possibility of a bearish trend continuing. Given the current situation, market participants need to take care of a solid base, pay attention to all small variations and be ready for strategic adjustments in accordance with market developments.
by RKarina
GBPUSD sellers need validation from 1.2565 and UK/US GDPGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2630 while paring the first weekly gains in three, so far, as traders await Thursday’s final prints of the UK and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) amid downbeat RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the Cable pair’s sustained trading beneath the convergence of 50-EMA and previous support line stretched from early February, around 1.2680 at the latest, keep the sellers hopeful. That said, the quote needs to provide a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA level of 1.2565 to confirm the further downside. Following that, the yearly low of 1.2518 and December 2023 bottom surrounding 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the bulls. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 1.2680 resistance confluence comprising the 50-EMA and the previous support line could recall the GBPUSD pair buyers. Should the quote remain firmer past 1.2680, the 15-week-old horizontal resistance zone will challenge the bulls around 1.2795-2805. In a case where the Pound Sterling rises beyond 1.2805, the yearly peak of 1.2893 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains bearish ahead of the key UK/US GDP data but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD: How to trade? Buy or sell?Hello traders! Gold continues to tread water, maintaining stability around the $2077 level after touching $2200 yesterday. As the days go by, traders eagerly await the final GDP estimate from the US on Thursday, along with data on jobless claims and weekly personal spending. Additionally, the release of the US PCE Index on Friday could be a significant event risk for the week. From a technical standpoint, gold remains in a sideways trend with slight upward movement in the short and medium term. Gold trading activity is fluctuating within the range of $2150 - $2200. A decisive break above or below either of these levels could signal a stronger move is imminent. Trade wisely and enjoy!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
USDJPY: The direction of movement is difficult to predict!"Hello dear traders! Today, it seems that USDJPY is frozen in time, hovering unchanged as it looks up at the peak around 151.700, a record high it has recently reached. Market pundits are taking a cautious stance towards USD/JPY, predicting that a Fed interest rate cut is not just a possibility but an inevitability; it's a question of 'when' rather than 'if'. Meanwhile, growing consensus suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may soon start adjusting its own interest rates. It's a quiet trading day today as we await new market signals. Stay tuned and trade wisely!" Let me know if this vividly paints the current market landscape for you!
by RKarina
EURUSD: The threat is still there!Hello, dear friends! What do you think about EURUSD today? As predicted, EURUSD has faced difficulties in breaking the resistance level at 1.086 and has started to retreat. The slight increase in the US dollar has led to a defensive risk sentiment, contributing to a mild decline in EUR/USD to the area of 1.0830, amidst increasing caution ahead of the release of US PCE on March 29th. From a technical analysis perspective, the path ahead for this currency pair seems to have multiple obstacles as the downtrend line is still in play. Continued violation below the key support level at 1.080 could potentially cause the exchange rate to slide even further.
Short
by RKarina
Bullish pennant teases Gold buyers despite latest inactionGold price remains lackluster within a three-week-old trading range, struggling to extend the weekly rebound by the press time. However, a gradually firming RSI (14) line joins the bullish MACD signals and a one-week-long bull pennant to keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful. That said, the aforementioned trading range’s top surrounding $2,188 guards the immediate upside of the bullion ahead of the stated pennant’s peak of near $2,195, quickly followed by the $2,200 threshold. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,200, the odds of witnessing a new all-time high, currently around $2,222, can’t be ruled out. In that case, $2,265 could gain the buyer’s attention ahead of the $2,300 round figure. Alternatively, a downside break of $2,165 will defy the bullish pennant chart formation and could quickly fetch the Gold price toward the previously mentioned trading range’s bottom of near $2,146-42. In a case where the XAUUSD drops beneath the $2,142 support, an ascending support line stretched from mid-February, close to the $2,100 psychological magnet at the latest, will be crucial to watch. Should the bullion remain weak past $2,100, the late December 2023 peak surrounding $2,090 will be the last defense of the Gold buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, Gold price remains bullish unless breaking $2,090 support even if the upside room appears limited ahead of the key US data, namely the US GDP and Core PCE Price Index.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
What changes in gold prices?Hello, wonderful companions! Let's delve into the golden hue of yesterday's market session. Gold seemed to pause after reaching $2,200 once again, finding a steady rhythm around $2,178 in the early hours of Wednesday's Asian trading session. Looking at the future prospects of gold, the short-term outlook remains optimistic. Predictions are being built around the potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, boosting the rise in gold as investors eagerly await important inflation data later this week. This data will play a crucial role in determining the timing of these anticipated rate cuts. Expectations are that gold will continue to rise due to the anticipation of interest rate cuts, unless the Fed changes its stance or signals a departure from the expected rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD recovered againHello wonderful people! Let's dive into GBPUSD insights today. In today's North American trading session, the British Pound is making a modest comeback against the US Dollar, thanks to speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in June. At this time, GBP /USD is trading at 1.2657, marking a 0.16% gain on the day. Essentially, GBP/USD is forming a 'bullish harami' pattern, hinting at potential trends ahead. To confirm a trend reversal, it needs to clear the 1.2679 mark, announcing targets at 1.2700, followed by the 1.2803 peak. Conversely, a slide below the 1.2591 support could negate this pattern, potentially extending losses. What are your views on future steps?
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Let's delve into the motivation behind today's gold market! Early on Tuesday, gold slightly surpassed the crucial $2,150 mark due to predictions of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. Comments from Fed officials, indicating a dovish stance, have put pressure on the US Dollar, thus providing significant support for gold priced in USD. Looking at the chart, it is evident that gold has experienced a slight decline after reaching a new high of $2,222, but it continues to maintain a positive trend supported by an upward trendline. The 4-hour chart of XAU/USD demonstrates that the uptrend is prevailing, sustaining gold's momentum with positive signals from the 34 and 89 EMA lines. Gold is expected to extend its upward trajectory if it successfully breaks the resistance level of $2,185, with a strong support level firmly set at $2,150. Wishing you a successful and exciting trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD: continues to recover above 1.0800Hello everyone! EUR/USD has bounced back after two consecutive losing sessions, marking a comeback from recent weeks' lows around the 1.0800 light, countering the US Dollar's bearish bias. Starting the new week on a lighter note, the Greenback's recent rally has weakened, sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling below 104.00, despite US interest rates being higher in many different time periods. Likewise, growing demand for riskier assets has given the Euro wings, marking EUR/USD's notable recovery from recent levels near 1.0800.
Long
by RKarina
Gold and its direction in the future!Hello astute and wealthy traders! Let's delve into today's market dynamics! Gold (XAU/USD) continues to maintain a consolidating sideways trend this Tuesday, staying within the familiar range established over the past three weeks. However, the balance seems to be leaning towards the bullish side as the Federal Reserve prepares for a less restrictive policy stance, promising favorable winds for this precious metal. Speculations are mounting that the Fed will start a rate-cutting cycle in June, coupled with a slight decrease in US Treasury yields, causing the US Dollar (USD) to enter a defensive price increase. Furthermore, political tensions arising from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the uncertain ceasefire in Gaza Strip indicate that the smoothest path for safe-haven gold remains upward.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
EURUSD: Continuous discounts!Hello dear traders! What do you think about EURUSD today? After a strong increase on Wednesday, EUR/USD turned bearish on Thursday, ending the day in the red. The downward trend continued into Friday, with temporary trading fluctuating around the 1.0800 level. The strength of the US dollar has truly reversed the direction of EUR/USD, aligning perfectly with our previous forecasts. Looking ahead: The currency pair is currently moving through a significant support zone as marked on the chart. There is a possibility of a recovery, aiming to retrace to the Fibonacci 0.5 - 0.618 retracement level while testing the 34 and 89 EMA. A successful breach above this level could open up further recovery phases. Conversely, breaking below the current support level would present a golden opportunity for sellers. Let's watch and see what unfolds with this currency pair!
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY- Bears continue to prevail!Hello everyone, it's RKarina here again! Currently, USD/JPY continues to consolidate below the 151.50 level in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Concerns about the Japanese government's potential intervention to strengthen the Yen are dampening the upward momentum, coupled with the overall weakness of the US Dollar, which is limiting the strong upside potential for this currency pair. With this scenario and technical outlook, the bearish camp seems to have the upper hand at this stage. The upward trend has gradually cooled off and shifted into a sideways movement. In the short and medium term, selling remains a preferred strategy, targeting two potential price levels for a decline.
Short
by RKarina