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Technical Analysis

Bitcoin is Coiling – Ready to Break Out Toward 112K?On the H8 timeframe, BTCUSDT is forming a clear bullish setup. After a strong rebound from the support zone around 104,489 — which aligns with a previous demand area and Fair Value Gap — price has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting the resistance near 107,500. This structure is shaping into a broadening triangle pattern, signaling a potential breakout. If BTC holds the 105,000–106,000 area during the upcoming pullback, there is a high probability of a bullish breakout toward the 112,000 level — a key previous high. On the news front, market sentiment is improving as U.S.-based Bitcoin ETFs attract fresh inflows, coupled with growing expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates steady amid signs of economic slowdown. These factors are providing strong support for BTC’s medium-term bullish outlook.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz?XAUUSD: Powell's "Soft Tone" Ignites Gold – Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz? 🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Reacts to Fed's Cues – Easing Rate Pressures? The gold market (XAUUSD) is witnessing a resurgence of positive momentum, driven by recent "dovish-leaning" signals from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his congressional testimony. Powell's acknowledgment of lower-than-expected inflation from tariffs, coupled with hints of a potential earlier interest rate cut (possibly as early as July), is creating a fresh wave of market anticipation. While Powell cautiously noted "no need to rush," market participants are interpreting his remarks as an indication that current monetary policy might be "somewhat restrictive." Should inflation continue its sustainable deceleration, the Fed would be poised to ease policy sooner. This directly impacts gold: as rate cut expectations rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold (a non-yielding asset) diminishes, making it significantly more appealing to investors. 🏦 Central Bank Policy: Fed's Evolving Stance & Market Re-calibration Federal Reserve (Fed): Chair Powell's nuanced message suggests a more adaptable Fed, ready to align its policy with actual inflation data. His emphasis on the Fed's independence from political influence further solidifies confidence in data-driven decisions. Market Re-calibration: While the broader market still leans towards a September rate cut, the probability of a July cut is subtly increasing, according to the CME FedWatch Tool (with 70.1% anticipating a cut to 4.00 - 4.25% by September). This re-pricing of policy risk is a crucial supportive factor, helping gold maintain stability around the $3,300–$3,320/oz mark, indicating smart money accumulation. This evolving Fed perspective, even a slight shift, is powerful enough to influence capital flows and investor sentiment globally, setting the stage for significant gold movements. 🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Shifting Safe-Haven Dynamics Global capital flows are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations and perceived risks. Historically, both gold and the U.S. dollar serve as primary safe havens during periods of uncertainty. If Powell's "dovish tilt" gains further traction and leads to earlier rate cuts, we could anticipate a notable rotation in capital: Outflows from USD: Lower U.S. yields would diminish the attractiveness of the USD as a yielding asset. Inflows into Gold: The reduced opportunity cost of holding gold, combined with its intrinsic store-of-value appeal, could trigger substantial capital flows into the precious metal, especially amidst persistent global geopolitical tensions. The market's re-evaluation of Fed policy risk is already contributing to gold's resilience, suggesting that strategic positioning for an upside move might be underway. 📊 Technical Structure (H4/M30 Chart Analysis): Gold Breaking Bearish Bias, Targeting Higher Levels Based on the provided XAUUSD chart (H4/M30 timeframe): Channel Breakout: Gold has visibly broken out of a prior descending channel, signaling a clear weakening of selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. The price is currently consolidating and appears to be forming a new accumulation pattern or a smaller ascending channel. Key Price Levels: Potential Sell Zone (Resistance): Around 3,352.383 - 3,371.205. This zone aligns with significant Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5 and 0.618 from the last major swing down) and represents a strong historical resistance cluster. If the price attempts to breach this zone and fails, selling pressure could emerge. Higher Resistance: 3,391.750 - 3,395.000. This is a formidable resistance area. A decisive break above this level would confirm a more robust long-term bullish trend. Current Buy Zone (Support): Around 3,302.939 - 3,311.214. This is a critical demand zone, where strong buying interest is likely to surface, coinciding with recent swing lows. Next Key Support: 3,286.257. Should the 3,302.939 - 3,311.214 zone be breached, this level would be the next significant support to watch. Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200): The price is currently trading above the shorter-term EMAs (13 & 34), indicating positive short-term momentum. The longer-term EMAs (89 & 200) are likely transitioning from resistance to dynamic support, or showing signs of convergence, suggesting a potential shift in market structure. A 'Golden Cross' formation among these EMAs would be a powerful bullish signal. Projected Price Action: The chart depicts a scenario where the price might retrace slightly towards the 3,317.738 support or even deeper to 3,302.939 before embarking on a strong upward rally, targeting resistance zones like 3,352.383 and further to 3,371.205. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations (Based on Provided Zones): BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284 SL: 3280 TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320 BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300 SL: 3295 TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330 SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355 SL: 3360 TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320 SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374 SL: 3378 TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350 ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: Further Speeches by Fed Officials: Any new comments on inflation, economic data, or the rate path will heavily influence market dynamics. Global Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing tensions or new uncertainties can always bolster gold's safe-haven appeal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Technical Pullback, Bearish Trend Remains DominantGold posted a mild recovery of around 650 pips on June 25, closing near 3,329.57 USD, marking a short-term rebound after a sharp decline. However, both technical structure and macroeconomic outlook suggest that the bearish trend remains in control. On the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD has broken below a multi-week ascending channel and is now trading beneath the previous support trendline, which has turned into resistance. The price gap around 3,360–3,376 USD remains partially unfilled, making it a potential magnet for a short-term technical pullback. The current price structure is forming a “lower high – lower low” pattern, confirming sustained bearish momentum. If price fails to reclaim the FVG zone near 3,376.5 USD, a decline toward the support area at 3,308—and possibly down to 3,270—remains likely. Upcoming U.S. Core PCE and Q1 GDP data will be key in determining gold’s next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
USHA MARTIN – Weekly Structure SnapshotA clean White CT that had acted as a multi-month resistance is now being engaged. Price is attempting to push above it, but the current candle is still developing — small-bodied so far, which is typical during early phases of structural tests on the weekly timeframe (WTF). 🟧 Just above lies a wick-based hindrance — a level that previously reacted with strong rejection. It's also where the current active CT had its last struggle, making it a structurally relevant zone, not something to ignore. The base that formed in the ₹270–290 region stands out — multiple rejections without deeper breakdowns, a sign of demand stability. Volume expansion this week is notable — especially after 252 days of subdued activity — marking a shift in participation worth observing. 📌 This is not a prediction. Not a forecast. Not a trading call. Just a structural walkthrough of what price is doing — and where attention has historically been paid. Let the price write the story — our job is to read structure, not write headlines.
NSE:USHAMARTLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
GOLD – ONCE AGAIN AT A CROSSROADSThe gold scenario is becoming clearer: price is holding firmly at the key support zone around 3,300.900 and is gearing up to react to a series of “bombshell” U.S. data releases – including GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE. These two indicators are critical in shaping future Fed policy. From a technical standpoint, buyers have halted the decline at a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that previously supported a bullish breakout. The recent rebound from this area opens up a potential move towards 3,368.700, where a new FVG exists and coincides with a long-term descending trendline. This is not only a technical target, but also a testing ground to assess whether the market has enough momentum to reverse the broader downtrend. However, one must also acknowledge the risk: if upcoming U.S. data reinforces the Fed’s hawkish stance, gold is likely to face rejection at the trendline – and could once again slip below the 3,300 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate?XAUUSD 24–28 June: Gold Slides to Buy Zone – Macro Pressure or Opportunity to Accumulate? 🔍 Macro Outlook – A Volatile Week for Gold Traders Gold is navigating through a complex macroeconomic landscape this week, with multiple factors weighing in: ✅ Middle East Tensions Resurface Israel has declared plans to retaliate against Iran following a ceasefire violation, increasing geopolitical risk. This situation historically supports safe-haven demand for gold when it escalates. ✅ US Economic Data May Soften Fed’s Tone The U.S. economy is showing early signs of cooling: Housing market data fell short of expectations. PMI data indicates manufacturing and services are slowing. If the Core PCE Index (set to release this week) confirms soft inflation, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September may solidify, putting pressure on the USD and boosting gold. ✅ China & India Are Stocking Up on Gold India’s jewelry and central bank demand is on the rise ahead of budget season. Meanwhile, China continues to increase its gold reserves for the 19th consecutive month, offering underlying support to the price. 📉 Technical Analysis – Is the Correction Bottoming Out? XAUUSD remains in a downward-sloping channel on the H1/H4 chart, but prices are approaching key support zones with strong historical demand. EMA 34 – 89 – 200 still show downward momentum. However, RSI divergence is forming on the lower timeframes, signaling potential bullish pressure. A clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $3367–$3369 zone presents a strong liquidity zone for reversal. ✅ Trading Plan for XAUUSD 🔵 BUY ZONE: $3278 – $3276 Stop Loss: $3270 Take Profits: TP1: $3282 TP2: $3286 TP3: $3290 TP4: $3294 TP5: $3298 TP6: $3302 TP7: $3305 TP8: $3310 📌 Reason to Buy: Price is approaching the bottom of the descending channel with visible demand zone, enhanced by RSI divergence and macro geopolitical pressure favoring safe-haven flows. 🔴 SELL ZONE: $3367 – $3369 Stop Loss: $3375 Take Profits: TP1: $3364 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3356 TP4: $3352 TP5: $3348 TP6: $3344 TP7: $3340 TP8: $3330 TP9: $3320 📌 Reason to Sell: This is a key FVG resistance area where sellers have previously stepped in aggressively. If price retests without momentum, it's likely to reject back toward support. 📎 Summary for Indian Traders This week’s gold strategy is a balance between short-term technical plays and long-term macro shifts. Keep your eyes on PCE data, USD movement, and any flare-up in Middle East tensions. Each of these could serve as catalysts for either a bounce or continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD –Bounces from support, watching PMI & Powell for breakoutGold is recovering from the 3,357 zone – the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the H4 chart, with the FVG area around 3,365–3,375 acting as near-term support. The higher-lows structure remains intact, indicating the medium-term uptrend is still in play. On the news front, the US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline, and Fed Chair Powell is set to testify before Congress. If dovish signals emerge, gold could see a strong push higher. Strategy: Consider buying around 3,357–3,365 if confirmation appears, targeting 3,443. Do you think gold has the momentum to break through this resistance zone?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
BTCUSDT – Long-term uptrend intact, target 111,666 USDTBitcoin is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the daily chart, having successfully retested the long-term ascending trendline. The support zone around 93,932 USDT — which aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and trendline — continues to act as a key rebound level, as seen in late April. The current chart suggests a “pullback–breakout–consolidation” pattern, with the potential for a higher low if price revisits the trendline and FVG once more. The base case: price consolidates around the 98k–100k zone before targeting the major resistance at 111,666 USDT. On the news front, investor sentiment is stabilizing after the Fed signaled rate hold. Additionally, BlackRock’s ETF has seen three consecutive days of net inflows — a strong tailwind for the bulls.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD 23/06 – Bears Losing Steam as FVG Zone Returns to PlayXAUUSD – Gold Sets Up for a Strategic Bounce Amid Fed Dovish Shift and Yield Retreat 📊 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHTS – WEEK AHEAD Gold enters the final week of June with renewed investor focus amid softening Fed rhetoric and weakening US Treasury yields. Here's what Indian traders need to watch: 🔻 Fed Signals & Rate Cut Bets Rising Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech and comments from FOMC members will shape the tone. Market now prices in a 65% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME FedWatch. If Powell leans dovish, expect renewed demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Conversely, hawkish surprises may pressure prices downward. 📉 US Dollar and Bond Yields Losing Momentum The US Dollar Index (DXY) is retreating after peaking, while 10-year yields hover near 4.23% but fail to break higher. Weakening yields and profit-taking on the dollar strengthen the safe-haven narrative for gold, particularly attractive to Indian investors during times of global volatility. 🌍 Geopolitical Tensions & Capital Flow Rotation Ongoing concerns in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Indo-Pacific increase gold’s appeal as a hedge. Institutions have started rotating capital from equities to safe-haven assets. ETF inflows and central bank reserves—particularly from China and India—underline long-term accumulation. 🧠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – STRUCTURE & SENTIMENT On the H1 chart, XAUUSD remains within a broader descending channel but has printed a potential reversal setup from the BUY ZONE (3327–3325). The recent drop filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering strong confluence support. Price action shows early signs of accumulation with bullish divergence on RSI and price holding above the trendline support. Immediate resistance is seen at 3355–3360, with stronger supply anticipated near the SELL ZONE (3398–3400), aligning with a high-timeframe trendline. 🎯 TRADING PLAN – UPDATED FOR SHORT/MEDIUM TERM 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325 SL: 3320 TP: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → ??? This zone aligns with key structural support and the base of FVG. A break above 3360 may trigger acceleration toward 3375–3390. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3405 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360 Ideal area to fade potential spikes driven by news or sentiment. Look for rejection wicks or RSI divergence before entering. ⚖️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK With central banks tilting toward easing, gold may reclaim dominance as a macro hedge. India’s gold imports are expected to increase if prices consolidate below 3350. Patience and discipline around key zones are critical—let price validate direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Weekly CT Breakout + 200EMA Flip | GALAXYSURF Structure📉 Main CT Line (Dotted White) A well-defined counter-trendline finally gave way after weeks of price compression. The breakout was clean, with a strong bullish candle closing decisively above it. 📊 Volume Confirmation Breakout candle posted a solid spike in volume — the highest weekly volume in months. 💥 📈 200 EMA Broken (Blue Line) Price has also cleared the 200-week EMA, a key dynamic resistance, now potentially flipping to support. 📉 🟧 Higher Timeframe Supply (Orange Line) / ⚪ (White Lines) The breakout candle has also stepped into a tight zone between Weekly + Monthly supply, marked by the orange line. 📌 As always, the chart tells the story. No predictions. No assumptions, just structure.
NSE:GALAXYSURFLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
BIRLACABLE - Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 BIRLA CABLE LTD (BIRLACABLE) – Cup & Handle Breakout with Fibonacci Targets | RSI Overbought | Volume Spike | Daily Chart 📅 Chart Date: June 18, 2025 📈 CMP: ₹208.05 (+14.11%) 📍 Ticker: NSE:BIRLACABLE 🔍 Technical Chart Breakdown ☕ Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout BIRLACABLE has confirmed a Cup & Handle breakout above the neckline at ₹197.88 (also 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level), suggesting bullish continuation after a long consolidation. The breakout is clean with a wide bullish candle. 📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (from swing high ₹315.10 to swing low ₹125.41) 38.2% (Breakout Zone): ₹197.88 ✅ 50.0%: ₹220.26 61.8%: ₹242.64 78.6%: ₹274.50 Target: 100% Fibonacci: ₹315+ 💹 RSI & Momentum RSI at 73.75, entering overbought territory 🔼 Multiple RSI bullish crossovers visible during base formation RSI suggests strong buying momentum, ideal for trend continuation 📉 Trendline Breakout Downtrend resistance (dotted line) broken along with horizontal neckline Aligns with volume-based breakout, confirming strength 🕯️ Volume Confirmation Huge spike in volume (4.44M) on breakout day — highest in months Suggests institutional or smart money activity 📍 Key Price Levels ✅ Breakout Level: ₹197.88 🚀 Fibonacci Targets: ₹220.26 → 50% ₹242.64 → 61.8% ₹274.50 → 78.6% ₹315+ → 100% (Full target) 🛡️ Support Levels: ₹197 (neckline support) ₹170.18 (23.6% Fib) ₹150 (handle base) 💡 Trading Idea Entry: Close above ₹198 or on retest of neckline Stop Loss: Below ₹185 or ₹170 Targets: ₹220 → ₹243 → ₹275 → ₹315 Risk-Reward: Favorable with strong confirmation
NSE:BIRLACABLELong
by PriceAction_Pulse
Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next MoveBTCUSD – Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next Move Bitcoin is trading within a compressed structure after rejecting key resistance and retesting support. While the overall sentiment remains cautious, the technical setup is beginning to show signs of strength — if buyers can reclaim control. 🧭 Macro Check-In: Calm Before the Crypto Storm? No rate cut from the Fed yet, but markets are starting to price in the possibility of a pause in Q3 or Q4. ETF inflows slowing, but institutional positions are not closing — suggesting long-term conviction remains. Political momentum in the US is shifting towards crypto adoption, with Bitcoin emerging as a talking point in election debates. Dollar index (DXY) continues to chop, giving crypto room to breathe if inflation data remains mild. In short: liquidity is building, but the trigger hasn’t fired — yet. 📊 Chart Structure (H1–H4): Levels That Matter BTC is holding just above 103,100, a key level where previous demand stepped in. The mid-range resistance lies at 104,184 — this needs to break for bulls to gain short-term control. Above that, eyes are on 106,047, then 107,586 (top of the descending channel). EMA alignment is still bearish → wait for structure shift, not FOMO. 📌 Trade Map 🔵 Buy Setup Zone: 103,100 – 103,300 Condition: Bullish reaction + rejection wick / engulfing SL: 102,600 TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586 🔴 Sell Setup (Only if trap triggers) Zone: 107,500 – 107,800 Condition: Rejection + volume fade SL: 108,200 TP: 106,000 → 104,500 🧠 Trader Insight “When the chart compresses, smart money positions early.” Bitcoin is not trending — it's accumulating or distributing. Retail is waiting for breakout. Smart traders are preparing for both scenarios. Watch the reaction, not the prediction. Stay objective. Let levels lead the logic.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
BTCUSDT – Holding Support, Bullish Signs EmergingBitcoin remains within a descending channel but continues to defend the strong support area around 101,296 USDT — a level that previously triggered a sharp rebound. On the H4 timeframe, price is consolidating sideways, forming an accumulation range. If this support holds, a bounce toward the 105,356 USDT zone is likely. As of June 19, Binance holds 41% of global BTC trading market share, providing deep liquidity and tight spreads. This market condition favors a potential short-term recovery in BTC. A breakout above the key resistance zone at 105,000–106,000 USDT could open the door for a broader upside continuation.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
EURUSD – Rejected at Lower High, Bearish Bias BuildsEURUSD has printed a clear lower high near the 1.16100 resistance zone, failing to reclaim the previous swing high. Price is now retreating, approaching the dynamic trendline support intersecting with FVG zones around 1.14650. The structure suggests potential for a short-term bounce—but as long as price remains below the 1.15860–1.16100 resistance zone, the broader setup leans bearish. On the macro side, the ECB’s dovish tilt—hinting at rate cuts due to subdued inflation—has weighed heavily on the euro. Meanwhile, the Fed maintains its hawkish stance, reinforcing dollar strength, especially amid renewed geopolitical tensions that are pushing USD further as a safe haven. If the ascending trendline fails to hold, we may see an accelerated decline toward the 1.13800 area. Watch for a failed retest of 1.15860 as confirmation for short entries.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD – Gold Wobbles, Breakdown Risk IntensifiesGold is currently testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel after pulling back from the 3,398 USD resistance zone. The recent breakdown from a triangle pattern signals growing bearish pressure. If the price fails to reclaim the 3,397 USD area, a continued move down toward 3,307 USD becomes likely — a level that coincides with key technical support. The latest FOMC minutes reaffirmed a “hawkish” stance, boosting the USD and adding downside pressure on gold. The bearish outlook will strengthen if gold fails to hold the current support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD – Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?XAUUSD – Goldman Sachs Issues a Storm Warning: Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend? As gold continues to trade in a narrow range for the sixth week, one major catalyst could be on the horizon — Goldman Sachs has issued a bold warning about the US debt crisis. Indian traders, this may be the signal we’ve been waiting for… 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US DEBT SET TO BREAK WWII RECORDS US public debt is approaching historic highs, with interest payments projected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — surpassing even defense and healthcare spending. Goldman warns that if urgent action isn’t taken, the US may face aggressive fiscal tightening, which could shrink GDP without lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio. Root causes: overspending, rising interest rates, and deep political division. 📌 For Indian investors, such instability in the US economy tends to weaken the USD and increase demand for gold, which has always been a trusted asset in Indian households and institutional portfolios alike. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Updated – M30/H1) Gold remains within a strong descending channel, and price action is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation setup. The zone at 3,338.422 is acting as a mid-pivot. A pullback to the upper trendline (around 3,368.048) is expected before the next leg lower. EMA ribbons are stacked downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum. If the bounce toward 3,368 fails to break out, we expect price to revisit the FVG zone near 3,325.783, and possibly extend toward 3,309.256. ✅ TRADING PLAN (Unchanged Zones) 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308 SL: 3303 TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ??? 🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323 SL: 3318 TP: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420 SL: 3424 TP: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380 🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398 SL: 3403 TP: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS As we close the trading week, market liquidity may spike suddenly after Thursday’s US bank holiday. This could trigger a decisive move — either a breakout or a trap. ✅ Stick to your SL/TP, avoid emotional trading, and let the market confirm the direction. Gold remains structurally bearish, but any shift in global sentiment — especially driven by US debt concerns — could flip the script fast. Watch. Plan. Execute. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – Breakout Confirmed, Downtrend Targeting 1.33170GBPUSD continues to display a clear bearish structure on the 4H timeframe after breaking below a key horizontal support and the pink trendline. The pair is now attempting a retest of the resistance zone near 1.34600, which aligns with the previous support-turned-resistance and a nearby supply area. If price gets rejected here with weak bullish momentum, a strong downward continuation is likely, with the next target around 1.33170 – a zone marked by a long-term diagonal support and previous swing lows. On the news front, the British pound is under pressure after the Bank of England (BoE) disappointed markets by holding interest rates steady at 4.25%. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its “hawkish” stance, boosting USD strength and increasing downward pressure on GBPUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Weakening Trend, Risk of Deeper CorrectionThe EURUSD pair is gradually losing its bullish momentum after failing to hold above the 1.1510 level, forming a series of lower highs. The recent decline is dragging the price back toward the long-term ascending trendline. If buyers fail to defend the support area around 1.1380 — a confluence of the trendline and the most recent swing low — the previous uptrend structure could be invalidated. On the news front, the euro is under pressure following cautious remarks from the ECB, while recent PMI and inflation data from the Eurozone suggest slowing economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve in the US maintains a hawkish stance, reinforcing USD strength and applying double pressure on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & FedXAUUSD – GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & Fed 🌐 MACRO VIEW – WHAT'S MOVING GOLD? 🔺 Fed stays on hold, but Powell remains hawkish – His recent speech signals that inflation may persist due to ongoing geopolitical risks and rising commodity costs... 🔥 Middle East tensions could be the game-changer for gold prices: If the US steps in as a mediator to de-escalate tensions between Israel and Iran, gold could see a deeper correction toward the 3,357–3,345 support zone, possibly lower... On the other hand, Trump’s reported alignment with Israel and possible airstrikes on Iran would likely send gold soaring back to 3,417–3,440 levels, acting as a safe haven trigger. 📉 TECHNICAL SETUP (M30) Gold is moving inside a descending channel, compressing within key EMAs (13–34–89–200). A potential inverse head & shoulders pattern is forming at the bottom, signaling possible bullish breakout if confirmed. Support remains firm around 3,345–3,357, while price struggles to break above the upper trendline. ✅ TRADING PLAN 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,345 – 3,357 Entry: Look for bullish rejection and confirmation SL: Below 3,342 TP: 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 → 3,417 → 3,440 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440 Entry: Wait for rejection and bearish confirmation near resistance SL: Above 3,445 TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,373 → 3,357 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS Even though the broader trend remains bullish, gold is not yet ready for a breakout – consolidation continues. Smart traders should stay patient, watch for clean setups, and manage risk well. Keep an eye on political developments, especially involving Iran, Israel, and the US, as they could trigger sharp moves in gold. Trade smart. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading