MACD + RSI Divergence Combo – The Deadly Entry Trick!Hello Traders!
In today’s educational post, we’ll break down one of the most powerful technical setups used by pro traders – the MACD + RSI Divergence Combo . When used together, these indicators don’t just show momentum — they reveal high-probability reversal zones. This setup can help you time perfect entries and avoid false breakouts or breakdowns.
Why Combine MACD and RSI Divergence?
MACD Divergence shows when the price is moving in one direction, but momentum is fading — a clear warning of potential reversal.
RSI Divergence helps confirm overbought/oversold conditions and adds strength to the reversal signal.
Combining Both gives double confirmation, increasing accuracy of entries with minimal lag.
How to Trade This Combo Setup
Step 1: Identify Divergence on MACD
Look for a higher high in price but a lower high on MACD (bearish divergence) or lower low in price with higher low on MACD (bullish divergence).
Step 2: Confirm with RSI Divergence
Now check if RSI also shows a similar divergence pattern. If yes — the setup is strong.
Step 3: Enter with Candle Confirmation
Wait for a strong reversal candle (like engulfing, hammer, or shooting star) before entering the trade.
Step 4: Place Stop-Loss
Place SL below recent swing low (for long) or above swing high (for short).
Step 5: Ride the Move with Trailing Stop
Use support/resistance or moving averages to trail your stop-loss and let profits run.
Rahul’s Tip
One divergence = a warning. Two divergences = a sniper entry!
This combo setup reduces noise and gives you clarity — especially during range-bound markets or weak trends.
Conclusion
The MACD + RSI Divergence Strategy is a reliable tool for spotting trend exhaustion and entering before the crowd. Combine this with proper candle confirmation and risk management, and you’ll have a deadly weapon in your trading toolkit!
Have you tried using this combo before? Drop your experience in the comments and let’s learn together!
If you found this post valuable, don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW!
I regularly share real-world trading setups, actionable strategies, and learning-focused content — all from real trading experience, not theory. Stay connected if you're serious about growing as a trader!
Technical Analysis
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?
Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap?
🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4)
On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area.
🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256
If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate.
If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x.
This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal.
🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers
US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery.
US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions.
With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287
🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143
🎯 Trading Plan
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240
⚠️ Key Notes:
Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts.
Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions.
Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
BTC/USD DAILY PLAN – Will Bitcoin Hit 110K Before Reversing?BTC/USD DAILY PLAN – Will Bitcoin Hit 110K Before Reversing?
After a strong bullish impulse, BTC is now consolidating in a tight range between 103K–106K on the H4 chart. The ascending parallel channel remains intact, but bullish momentum is fading — a sign of potential distribution at the top.
🧠 Macro Context
BTC pumped recently thanks to ETF news and institutional inflows.
However, volume is decreasing, suggesting smart money may be offloading.
DXY and U.S. bond yields are ticking up → this could add pressure on BTC in the short term.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Chart)
BTC remains inside an ascending channel. Key levels to watch:
🔺 Resistance:
106,000 – local range high (H4)
110,576 – extended target if price breaks out
🔻 Support:
101,775 – bottom of current range; a breakdown here confirms weakness
94,473 – strong demand zone + EMA200
84,371 – key structural support zone if deeper correction occurs
⚠️ BTC may fake a rally toward 110K and then reverse sharply if broader macro conditions worsen.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
🔹 SCALP BUY:
Entry: 101,800 – 102,000
Stop-Loss: 100,800
Take-Profits: 103,200 → 104,000 → 105,000 → 106,000
Only enter long if price holds above 101.7K and shows strong rejection candles.
🔸 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 110,000 – 110,500
Stop-Loss: 111,200
Take-Profits: 107,000 → 105,000 → 101,775 → 94,473
Watch for exhaustion or false breakout patterns at this psychological zone.
🟢 LONG-TERM BUY ZONE:
Entry: 94,500 – 94,000
Stop-Loss: 92,500
Take-Profits: 96,000 → 98,000 → 100,000 → 103,000
Ideal for swing entries if BTC retraces into the broader demand zone.
⚠️ Key Notes:
BTC is showing signs of “rise slowly – dump fast” behavior.
Keep close watch on 101,775 – a decisive level for intraday direction.
No Fed rate cuts in sight → big money may still stay cautious.
✅ Conclusion:
Stick to trading range setups: BUY at channel base – SELL at distribution zones
Avoid FOMO and only enter trades after clear price action confirmation.
Risk management is essential during this high-trap environment.
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: Reliance Industries ( NSE:RELIANCE )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1454 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1373 (Daily Closing Basis) (~5.6% Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹1499.70
₹1546.85
₹1595.45
₹1648.50
₹1697.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily & Weekly RSI >60 (Bullish zone)
✅ Golden Crossover - 50 DEMA crossed above 200 DEMA
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 20.18M vs previous day's 5.57M (Nearly 4x surge)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:RELIANCE for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
SPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold LosingSPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold Losing Momentum?
📉 SPDR Gold Trust Overview (Apr 24 – May 14, 2025):
🔻 Continuous Net Selling:
From April 30 to May 14, SPDR saw 10 consecutive sessions of net selling, unloading over 18.5 tons of gold.
📌 Key Selling Days:
May 2: -4.87 tons
May 6: -2.29 tons
May 14: -2.58 tons
👉 SPDR's gold holdings dropped from ~948.56 tons to ~936.51 tons — a decrease of over 12 tons in just 3 weeks, signaling that institutional capital is exiting gold ETFs. This reflects waning confidence in gold’s short-term upside.
🕯️ Technical Breakdown:
Gold's price has broken below the $3200 support zone on the D1 chart, invalidating the bullish defense zone.
The Double Top pattern is now around 80% completed, signaling a possible deeper drop unless a strong recovery occurs.
Momentum remains strongly bearish, making it difficult to time SELL entries unless lower timeframe resistance shows up.
🧭 Macro Pressures:
Optimism around US economic growth and expectations of prolonged high interest rates are weighing on gold.
The PPI report and Fed Chair's speech today could trigger further volatility, especially if the rhetoric remains hawkish.
CPI earlier this week painted a mixed picture, with sticky inflation — which is bearish for gold.
🧠 What Smart Money Is Doing:
Big funds are rotating out of gold and back into risk-on assets like equities and crypto.
This shift is not just a technical correction; it reflects a broader macro-driven sentiment change.
Gold is currently lacking institutional support.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today:
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3186 – 3188
SL: 3192
TP: 3182 → 3178 → 3174 → 3170 → 3166 → 3160 → 3150 → 3140
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Probability Resistance):
Entry: 3226 – 3228
SL: 3232
TP: 3220 → 3216 → 3210 → 3206 → 3200 → 3196 → 3190 → ???
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3154
3174
3188
3206
3226
3254
⚠️ What to Watch Today:
US PPI and Fed speech could trigger extreme volatility in the NY session.
Wait for price to pull back toward resistance before SELLING — don’t chase.
BUY only if a confirmed D1 reversal or high-volume reaction occurs.
🔚 Final Thoughts:
With SPDR aggressively dumping gold and price breaking below critical support, institutional flows are no longer supporting the bull case. As long as price stays under $3200, SELL remains the primary strategy. A break below $3150 opens the path to $3000.
📣 Stay tuned — AD will update real-time strategies as we approach the US session. Follow, trade smart, and always respect your TP/SL. Good luck!
DOUBLE TOP IN PLAY? IS $3000 THE NEXT STOP?DOUBLE TOP IN PLAY? IS $3000 THE NEXT STOP?
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of one of the most bearish patterns on the daily chart – the Double Top formation. After reaching an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase, now hovering dangerously close to the psychological support at $3,200.
🕯️ Technical Breakdown:
A clear Double Top pattern is visible on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks forming near the same resistance level – a classical signal of bullish exhaustion.
If today's daily candle closes below the $3,200 zone, we may see a sharp drop toward the $3,000 level in the short to medium term.
The neckline of this pattern aligns with the critical support at 3196–3200 – a must-watch area for potential breakdown confirmation.
💸 What the Smart Money Is Doing:
Investors are pulling out of Gold and rotating into risk-on assets like equities and crypto, chasing higher yields and growth potential.
This shift suggests more than just technical correction – it may reflect a broader macro sentiment change, especially if the Fed continues to maintain its hawkish tone and delays rate cuts.
📊 Suggested Trade Scenarios:
🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200:
High probability sell setup based on Double Top
Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000
🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces:
Watch for retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals
Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with tight SL below 3190
⚠️ What to Watch This Week:
Key US data including CPI, PPI, and a speech from the Fed Chair are expected — which could cause high volatility.
Market is extremely reactive — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear structure confirmations.
Risk management is key, especially in current uncertain market conditions.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The Double Top on Gold is becoming a strong technical signal for potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door to a deeper correction toward $3,000.
📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical levels, and smart trading setups every session.
Gold Price Faces Heavy Pressure – Key Levels and Strategy GOLD DAILY STRATEGY – 14 MAY 2025
Price fails to hold gains as sellers dominate early Asia – Eyes on 3206 zone!
🔍 Market Sentiment Update:
Gold started the day with a slight uptick, but the rally was quickly rejected, and price fell sharply — a clear signal that buying power remains extremely fragile. This kind of price behavior — slow climbs, rapid falls — is typical of a market losing confidence in its upside momentum.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions have eased and US-China tariff talks have shown signs of progress, further pressuring gold as safe-haven demand weakens. All major macro indicators are now aligning with the bearish narrative.
🟠 Conclusion? Gold is likely to stay within the current descending price channel, and any bullish pullbacks may be limited unless strong demand re-emerges.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Price is trading below key resistance and continues to reject upside attempts. The market is respecting short-term resistance zones and pushing deeper into support. Unless there’s a clear reversal signal, selling on rallies remains the optimal approach.
📌 Key Resistance Zones:
3244
3262
3278
3290
3308
3330
📌 Key Support Zones:
3216
3206
3194
3170
3158
🎯 Trade Setups:
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 → 3250 → 3246 → 3242 → 3238 → 3235 → 3230 → 3220
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3262 → 3258 → 3254 → 3250 → 3240 → 3230
🔵 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220
🔵 BUY ZONE (Long-Term Zone)
Entry: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190
⚠️ Final Notes:
Price action continues to respect the bearish channel.
BUY entries are risky at this point — every bounce is met with resistance.
Watch closely for price behavior near 3222–3206 for possible intraday reactions.
News events remain critical — any update from US-China talks or surprise Fed remarks could change the bias swiftly.
📌 As always — respect your zones. Stay reactive, not predictive. Trade safe, and let the market show its hand.
Big Bank BREAKOUT! Canara Bank Ready📉 Breakdown of the Setup:
✅ WTF CT (White Lines): 3+ confirmed touches → clean descending counter-trendline.
✅ Hidden Resistance (Dotted White Line): Clear breakout above key hidden level. Historic reaction zone.
✅ MTF Resistance (Yellow Line): Long-term resistance just above; nearing test zone (confluence resistance area ahead).
✅ Green Zone (Support/Resistance Flip):
Acted as strong support in 2024.
Fake breakdown trap ✔️
Price back above = bullish bias reinstated.
✅ Volume Surge: 124M+ on breakout candle ➕ major bullish close.
Supply-Demand Flip Play with Volume Spike📈 BHARAT DYNAMICS LTD | Supply-Demand Flip Play with Volume Spike
📅 Date: May 09, 2025
📈 Timeframe: 15-Minute
🔍 Stock: BDL (NSE)
📊 **Price Action Update (Today):**
BDL opened strong at 1455 and rallied till 1595 before slipping down from a previously tested **Supply Zone (1547.40 – 1576.00)** The intraday move witnessed a sharp bullish rally from sub-1,455 levels, only to reverse sharply from the overhead supply. This creates a textbook example of **supply rejection after a demand-driven impulse**. The candle near close reflects a high-wick bearish rejection.
🧠 **Technical Overview:**
Today’s session was a high-volatility play showcasing both demand and supply dynamics. A **Possible Demand Zone (1447.30 – 1460.90)** emerged from a sharp buying reaction, indicating strong institutional interest. The price shot up almost ₹100 points in a short span with surging volumes, testing the overhead **Retested Supply Zone**, which held firm — confirming sellers’ presence. This makes the area between **1547 and 1576** a critical resistance for future rallies. Until broken decisively, traders should remain cautious about fresh longs at higher levels.
🧩 **Chart Pattern Insight:**
BDL’s 15-min chart displays a classic **Demand-to-Supply Flip** — a rally from demand, quick run-up, and sharp rejection at a pre-marked supply. This is often referred to as a “trap move” where late buyers are caught at highs. The clean volume spike at the breakout and immediate rejection within the supply zone is a common pattern seen in smart money distribution phases. Traders can look for potential **shorting setups** if the price re-enters the supply with weak momentum or **buying opportunities near the demand zone**, only with volume confirmation.
🧱 **Support & Resistance Analysis:**
* 🔼 **Resistance (Supply Zone):** 1547.40 – 1576.00
* 🔽 **Support (Demand Zone):** 1447.30 – 1460.90
A breakout above 1576 with strong volume can invalidate the supply zone. Until then, this remains a selling area. On the downside, if the price revisits the demand zone, it may offer a low-risk buying opportunity — but only if it holds with bullish candles and rising volume.
🔍 **Volume Analysis:**
The volume surged dramatically on the rally towards the supply zone, showing panic buying or aggressive short covering. The final rejection candle also saw elevated volume, which adds weight to the **supply zone rejection thesis**. Prior candles had lower volume, indicating absorption near lows and sudden spike into resistance. This is a signature behavior of “liquidity grabs.”
📌 **Educational Insight:**
This chart provides a clean **example of how price reacts to supply and demand zones**, especially intraday. Demand zones are best used for potential long setups only after a bullish confirmation, while supply zones can be used for shorts or to exit longs. These zones act as emotional points — where institutions look to trap retail traders. For intraday traders, this scenario shows why waiting for confirmation is key before entering trades around such zones.
⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice or stock recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any trading decisions. This post complies with SEBI regulations and is intended to promote financial literacy.
GOLD Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?GOLD UPDATE – Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?
📊 Market Analysis:
Yesterday’s sharp decline in gold prices indicates a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict and political issues. It seems that the global environment has become slightly less tense recently, which could be a key factor in the correction we are seeing in gold.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend appears rational, but it is important to note that nothing is set in stone just yet. Further negotiations are expected, and these could lead to significant agreements. After the sharp drop, gold has managed to find some momentum for recovery, filling liquidity gaps and returning to areas of lower liquidity.
🔍 Current Outlook:
At the moment, I’m still expecting a possible rebound in gold, but the best opportunity might be to focus on sell positions for the time being. Yesterday’s plan, although bearish, enabled us to catch key levels for potential buy entries. Today, sell entries might be more favorable than buying.
The price is likely to continue adjusting as we await more macroeconomic news, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve’s actions. We’ve seen the Fed avoid Trump’s pressure, and there is speculation that interest rate cuts might be postponed until later in the year rather than mid-year as previously expected. If this is the case, gold could potentially revisit the $3000/oz mark in the near future.
🔮 Short-Term Strategy:
For now, we will continue trading according to the market’s correction wave. Sell positions might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio in this environment. We may still see some bounces, but they would likely be short-lived unless we see more positive macroeconomic data.
💡 Key Resistance Levels:
3264
3278
3307
3328
💡 Key Support Levels:
3241
3207
3196
3172
3156
🎯 Trade Setup:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 → 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3300 → 3290 → 3280
📅 Key Event: CPI Announcement
Today, we are also expecting the CPI report, a critical piece of data for the month. Be aware that there’s not much to analyze yet regarding this report, but we will update everyone once the data comes out later today.
💼 Risk Management:
Given the volatility we’re seeing, proper risk management is essential. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and avoid unnecessary risks.
📈 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently facing corrections, but with geopolitical tensions easing, it could lead to more stability and potential breakout opportunities. Keep your trades aligned with key levels and macro news. Keep an eye on CPI and adjust accordingly.
💬 Good luck to everyone! Keep your positions safe and be patient for the right opportunities.
TAJGVK – Bullish Reversal in Play | Swing Targets Ahead
Stock: TAJ GVK HOTELS & RESORTS (NSE: TAJGVK)
Date: May 13, 2025
CMP: ₹407.90 (+12.66%)
🔍 Technical Overview
TAJGVK has shown a strong bullish reversal from a major weekly support zone, indicating a potential end to the corrective structure (A)-(B)-(C) and opening room for a strong upside swing.
📊 Key Levels & Structure
🟧 Weekly Support Zone (₹330.60 – ₹340.00)
Major historical demand zone.
Price reversed sharply from this level, confirming bottom (C).
🔴 Stop Loss (₹369 – Daily Close Basis)
Any daily close below ₹369 invalidates the bullish outlook.
Crucial for risk management.
🎯 First Target: ₹500
Previous resistance zone and psychological level.
Likely to see initial profit booking or consolidation here.
🔄 Interim Pullback Zone: ₹460–₹470
Minor retracement zone before continuation toward second target.
Healthy correction expected before breakout.
✅ Second Swing Target: ₹549 – ₹576
Extension level based on Fibonacci projections.
Strong upside potential if ₹500 is breached with volume.
💡 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹385 – ₹395 (on dips)
Stop Loss: ₹369 (daily close basis)
Targets:
📌 Target 1: ₹500
📌 Target 2: ₹549 – ₹576
Risk-Reward: ✔️ Attractive R:R setup with defined structure.
📌 Conclusion
TAJGVK is presenting a well-structured bullish reversal pattern with clear levels and a favorable entry zone. Strong bounce from weekly support suggests bulls are back in control. This setup is ideal for swing traders looking for a high probability move.
💬 Share your thoughts or similar setups you're watching!
👍 Like & Follow for more technical breakdowns and swing trade ideas!
#TAJGVK #SwingTrading #NSE #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendReversal #StocksToWatch
MEDPLUS : ~49% return possible in near to mid termHi Friends,
Its best to select your stocks based on company bussiness (Check Q-o-Q & Y-o-Y sells, profit, debt level, NPA if bank/nbfc).
I believe in buy & hold good stocks (as per above parameters) having favorable technical pattern and sell once target is achieved.
So I keep my stoploss really deep and don`t believe in frequent entry and exit in stocks based on it.
Pattern : VCP & Inverse head and shoulder pattern
Targets & Stop-losses are mentioned on the self explanatory chart .
Duration : 6-8 Months
Please feel free to comment or share your views on my analysis .
Note : I am not SEBI registered advisor . Please consider my analysis for education purpose only .
TATA MOTORS – Textbook CT Breakout on Weekly Chart🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ CT Breakout: Clean break above a long-standing counter-trendline drawn from the November 2024 highs. The breakout is decisive, with the latest weekly candle closing convincingly above the CT.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Weekly volume surged to ~9M, confirming strong participation behind the breakout — a critical condition for higher timeframe setups.
✅ Simple Base at 200 EMA: Price formed a simple base right at the 200-week EMA, absorbing selling pressure and building strength before the breakout. This acts as a reliable launchpad, often seen in high-quality setups.
✅ EMA Recovery: The breakout candle reclaims the 200 EMA, a strong sign of trend reversal and institutional interest.
GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?
Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours.
🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel
Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery.
🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus
Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases:
Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index)
Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index)
Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks
Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably.
📌 Trading Bias
For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3288 – 3308 – 3328
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200
🎯 Trade Setups
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328
SL: 3332
TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308
SL: 3312
TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270
⚠️ Final Thoughts
Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly.
🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions.
🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
DIXON: Trading strategy for nre uptrend.Dixon: The price is projected to test the support range of 14825-14635, and from there price will possibly reverse to reach the upside targets of 17687 and 18357 for the longer term.
If the price before testing the support breaches immediate resistance, the buying entry will be the same level (but the validation of this level is a must), for the given upside targets.
RSI suggest the test of support first as it has breached the 50 mean level.
Big Money is Moving In—This Chart Screams BREAKOUT!A deep technical revisit on PREMEXPLN reveals a textbook example of structure, confluence, and timing:
✅ Previous Cup & Handle Breakout Zone (Yellow)
The stock gave a massive breakout in mid-2023 from a well-formed Cup and Handle base.
This zone, once a strong resistance, now acts as a long-term structural support (highlighted in yellow).
✅ Fibonacci Retracement from ATH to CMP
A Fibonacci retracement from the all-time high of ₹906.4 to current levels shows a 61.8% retracement near ₹399, aligning perfectly with the current bounce zone.
✅ Red-to-Green Flip Zone
The stock previously struggled around ₹420–₹480 (red resistance block), but now this zone is flipping into support with price reclaiming it—textbook polarity flip.
✅ WTF Counter-Trendline Breakout
A clean weekly CT breakout is visible with strong bullish conviction.
The breakout candle engulfs the previous sell-off wick, signaling wick fill + rejection absorption—a bullish candle combination.
The breakout is supported by a noticeable volume spike (7.78M).
BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025
"Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!"
🔍 Market Overview:
Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty.
🧭 Technical Landscape:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
$104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times.
$105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence.
$108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms.
🔻 Support Zones:
$102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest.
$99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG.
$97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone.
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation
If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance:
🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300
🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800
📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback
If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K:
🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000
🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400
⚠️ Key Market Considerations:
🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside.
🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment.
🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs.
📝 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg.
🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred)
🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success
💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?
The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move.
📉 Technical Perspective:
Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal.
🔥 Fundamental Notes:
The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China.
In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3,345
3,364
3,395
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3,280
3,270
3,256
3,244
3,225
📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,280 – 3,278
Stop Loss: 3,274
Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
Stop Loss: 3,370
Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
✅ Final Note:
Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital.
📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise.
Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
Bullish Momentum with EMA200 and Volume Confirmation📈 CRISIL Technical Analysis | Bullish Momentum with EMA200 and Volume Confirmation
📅 Date: May 08, 2025
📈 Timeframe: Daily
🔍 Stock: CRISIL(NSE)
📊 Price Action Update (Today):
CRISIL surged by +6.59%, closing at 5,010.30, after trading in a range between 4,690.20 and 5,050.00. The stock formed a strong bullish candle, resembling a Marubozu, with a close near the day’s high — a clear sign of aggressive buying. This breakout comes after a tight consolidation phase, and is supported by heavy volume, indicating strong participation and conviction in the move.
🧠 Technical Overview:
CRISIL has shown a decisive shift in structure with today’s breakout above its 200-day EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. The stock had been consolidating in a narrow range for several sessions, building energy for a directional move. Today's breakout is validated by a surge in volume (2.5x the 20-day average), along with supportive indicators like RSI crossing 60, Bollinger Band expansion, and the TTM Squeeze turning OFF. These combined signals suggest that the stock is entering a momentum phase, where further upside is likely if follow-through buying continues. Immediate attention should be on price behavior around the next resistance at 5,143.
🧩 Chart Pattern Insight:
The price action on the daily chart reveals a rectangle consolidation breakout. CRISIL had been trading within a well-defined horizontal range, forming a base between 4,600 and 4,800 for several sessions. This pattern represents a period of accumulation. Today’s strong breakout candle marks a range breakout with volume confirmation, turning the previous resistance zone into potential support. The structure resembles a base breakout pattern, often seen before the start of a new uptrend. A sustained move above the breakout zone may lead to a measured move towards the next resistance levels.
🧱 Support & Resistance Analysis:
Post-breakout, CRISIL has established a new support base around 4,784, which was previously a resistance level during consolidation. Below this, the next key supports lie at 4,557 and 4,423, providing a cushion in case of any pullbacks. On the upside, the immediate resistance to watch is 5,143, a level where price previously reacted. If the momentum continues, CRISIL may test 5,276 and 5,503 in the coming sessions. These levels will be crucial in determining whether the breakout evolves into a sustained trend or faces short-term profit booking.
🔍 Volume Analysis:
The recent price movement in CRISIL shows a noticeable increase in volume, with traded volume at 2.5 times the 20-day average, suggesting heightened market activity. The breakout candle, paired with this significant volume, indicates a potential shift in the market trend. Prior to this, volume was relatively lower during the consolidation phase, indicating a period of accumulation or base-building. This typical volume pattern — lower during consolidation and higher during a breakout — strengthens the case for a potential trend change.
The volume profile suggests a shift in market sentiment, with buying interest becoming more prominent in the 4,700–4,800 range. The breakout candle shows a notable volume exceeded 270K, indicating increased buyer participation. Additionally, selling pressure observed in the 4,500–4,700 zone seems to have been absorbed, which may indicate a potential for further price movement.
📌 Educational Insight:
The recent breakout in CRISIL Ltd is a strong example of a trend reversal confirmed by volume, offering valuable insights for those studying price action, trend shifts, and volume dynamics. This setup illustrates how multiple indicators — including trend, volume, and volatility — align to suggest the potential for a trend continuation. Traders often look for such setups to make risk-defined entries during pullbacks. The breakout is characterized by significant volume and a full-bodied green candle on the daily chart, supported by several technical factors, such as volume and delta support, an EMA 200 crossover, and volatility expansion after a squeeze.
The outlook for CRISIL Ltd remains bullish, driven by multiple technical confirmations. However, caution is advised as the price approaches Resistance Levels 1 and 2 (R1–R2), where profit booking may occur. Additionally, if the price falls below 4,783 with volume confirmation, traders should consider reevaluating their positions.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is purely educational and not a buy/sell recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. This content complies with SEBI guidelines and is intended to promote learning and market awareness.
POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?🟡 GOLD 08/05 – POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?
After last night’s FOMC meeting, the outcome came in line with expectations — the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% and maintained a hawkish tone. Powell reinforced that there is no urgency to cut rates and that future policy will depend on incoming economic data.
Despite some dovish hopes from the market, the Fed remained cautious — no pivot, no surprises.
🔥 Geopolitical Tensions:
Meanwhile, geopolitical stress between India and Pakistan is escalating again around the Jammu-Kashmir region. This could continue to act as a bullish driver for gold, especially in Asia where safe-haven demand is more sensitive to border conflicts.
🧠 Market View: BUY Setup Still Dominates
Over the past few sessions, gold has shown strong accumulation followed by solid bullish momentum. As long as candle structure remains healthy, buying dips near 338x–336x remains the preferred strategy.
However, if an unexpected catalyst drives a breakdown below 336x with confirmation from candle close, this could invalidate the short-term bullish bias and open the door for a sell setup, targeting the large liquidity gap between 3354 to 3340.
Until then, trade the range — respect top and bottom of key intraday zones.
📉 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3396
3408
3430
3455
🔻 Support Levels:
3384
3366
3354
3334
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TP: 3426 → 3422 → 3418 → 3414 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Key Event Ahead:
Today’s US session brings the Unemployment Claims report — known to trigger high volatility in precious metals. Stay alert, and always wait for confirmation candles before executing trades near critical zones.
✅ Follow for real-time updates and mid-session trade setups.
💬 Drop your view in the comments below – are we going to break higher or revisit liquidity zones?
Setup – Watch This Triangle Breakout! 🔺 Nifty50 Triangle Breakout – Big Move Loading? 📊
📆 30th April | 15-Minute Chart
Nifty is tightly squeezed inside a symmetrical triangle, and a breakout or breakdown looks imminent!
🔍 Levels to Watch:
📈 Breakout Above: 24,371.60 → Possible Level: 24,395.20+
📉 Breakdown Below: 24,313.55 → Possible Level: 24,290.40-
📊 Volume is compressing – this usually signals a powerful move ahead.
Wait for clear candle confirmation with volume before entering. 🔔
💬 Patience pays. Trade the breakout, not the noise!
Rising Wedge Breakout or Trap?📈 Nifty 50 – Rising Wedge Breakout or Trap? 🔍
🗓️ 2nd May 2025 | 15-Min Chart Analysis
The Nifty 50 has been respecting a rising wedge pattern over the past few sessions. Today, we witnessed a sharp bounce from the lower trendline with a strong bullish candle and volume spike — just enough to test the upper boundary of the wedge!
💡 Key Observations:
Price touched the upper trendline resistance – caution advised 🚨
Volume spike hints at possible breakout attempt or smart money exit
Watch closely: A breakout with volume = bullish continuation 📈
A rejection here = possible reversal 📉
🔔 My Take:
Momentum is strong, but the structure looks fragile. If it breaks out and sustains above the wedge, we could see a 100–150 point move. Else, a reversal towards 24,300 or below is also on the cards. Stay alert.
📊 Always trade with proper risk management.
📌 What’s your view? Breakout or fakeout? Drop your thoughts below!






















