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Technical Analysis

EUR/USD extends decline below 1.0630EUR/USD continues to decline, nearing the 1.0620 level and moving away from the year's low of 1.0600 recorded at the beginning of Wednesday's Asian trading session. However, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials and the flow towards safe-haven assets could strengthen the US dollar and limit any short-term benefits for this currency pair. Nevertheless, attention should still be paid to the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618, as EUR/USD may correct towards this zone after the recent sharp decline and show signs of price consolidation.
Long
by RKarina
Gold prices continue to trade high!Dear investors, We are currently at an important turning point, faced with the choice between reinvesting in gold - an investment that has eternal appeal, or going in another direction, exploring new opportunities. Yesterday, gold experienced strong fluctuations, when the price fell below 2,325 USD/ounce. However, as if it were participating in a detective movie, gold quickly recovered and reached a new high of 2,383 USD/ounce, moving closer to the historical record. Confidence in gold has not diminished, as the need to find a safe haven is increasing due to political instability in the Middle East. Gold's price boom this week was also fueled by the strength of the dollar and US Treasury bond yields, after economic reports showed retail sales in the US in March outperformed expected, raising concerns that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be hesitant to change its monetary policy. The combination of geopolitical uncertainty and the prospect of a more accommodative monetary policy from the Fed in the second half of this year has added to gold's appeal as a safe-haven investment, making it the more attractive in the eyes of financial investors. Let's consider our investment strategy to make the most of current opportunities in this volatile market context.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Gold prices moved in a narrow range on Tuesday, holding steady near a record high. The ongoing crisis in the Middle East continues to influence investor sentiment, increasing interest in the precious metal. Even though the US dollar is strengthening, gold is still showing resilience as US Treasury yields fall from multi-month highs. Reducing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran has also failed to reduce demand for gold, as people predict prices will continue to rise. If this buying trend sustains, immediate resistance could reach $2,400 and potentially retest the all-time high of $2,432. However, if gold fails to sustain above the $2,363 support level, the next support level for the buyers could be at $2,340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Uptrend continues to be threatenedHello everyone! This week, GBP/USD has witnessed a slight recovery, climbing above the 1.2450 level after dropping to its lowest point in November at 1.2426 last week. The technical outlook still signals a downward trend, but easing geopolitical tensions may prolong the currency pair's recovery time. Investors sought safe haven assets last week following reports that Iran may retaliate for what is believed to be an Israeli attack on their consulate in Damascus on April 1st. This has boosted the US dollar as a preferred safe asset, thereby putting pressure on GBP/USD at the end of the US trading session. US stock index futures were last seen rising between 0.4% and 0.6% for the day. If Wall Street's key indices open positively and continue to rise, the US dollar may struggle to maintain its strength, potentially allowing GBP/USD to climb higher.
Short
by RKarina
2
GBPUSD: Upward price momentum has not appeared yet!The GBP/USD pair is seeing a continuation of its strong downtrend, with the lowest since November 17 recorded during Tuesday's Asian session. Currently, GBP/USD is re-approaching the bottom of the monthly descending channel at 1.2440, and a test of this level is underway. Last Friday's low of 1.2430 is also in the market's sights. A clear break through this support could open the door towards 1.2370, and if the decline continues, there is no other obvious support until 1.2220. For the pair to recover, a break above 1.2505 is needed as a first step, where a large uncovered order volume is likely to be the driving factor for a further pullback to come. level 1.2565. These developments will be important in determining the near-term trading strategy for GBP/USD, especially given the current climate in the global foreign exchange market.
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY hovers around multi-year high as bulls run out of steamUSDJPY edges higher past 154.00 while making rounds to the 34-year top marked the previous day, mildly bid within a four-month-old rising trend channel early Tuesday. In doing so, Yen pair buyers take a breather at the multi-year high as the overbought RSI (14) line joins sluggish market conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beyond a 6.5-month-old ascending resistance line, now support around 151.85, keep the bulls in the driver's seat. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s December-March moves and the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), respectively near 153.05 and 152.00, restrict the quote’s immediate downside. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone near 150.90-80 and the aforementioned bullish channel’s support line, close to 149.60 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the pair buyers, a successful break of which could give control to the bears. Meanwhile, the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the multi-month-old rising trend channel’s top line, near 155.20 as we write. It’s worth mentioning that the Yen pair’s sustained run-up beyond 155.20 will need validation from the June 1990 peak of 155.80 to keep the bulls in control. Following that, the pair’s gradual advances toward the 100% FE level of 157.15 can’t be ruled out. That said, the 156.00 and the 157.00 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the rise. Overall, the USDJPY pair buyers appear exhausted, suggesting a pullback in the prices, but the broadly bullish trend is likely to remain intact unless the quote breaks the 149.60 key support.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Bearishness continues to prevail!EUR/USD has been falling for the past six sessions, trading around 1.0600 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The US dollar, supported by rising US Treasury yields, is asserting its strength, putting pressure on the pair. When looking at the current situation, unstable economic factors in the euro area, along with the potential recovery of the US economy, are raising expectations for a strengthening of the dollar in the near future. next. This becomes even clearer when it is predicted that the European Central Bank (ECB) may reduce interest rates before the US Federal Reserve (Fed) takes similar measures. In this context, the forecast shows that EUR/USD will likely continue to decline further in both the short and medium term.
Short
by RKarina
What will the new week's gold price look like?Let's all join in and devise a strategy to earn gold this week! Last Friday, gold experienced a significant decline, plummeting nearly 1000 pips from $2431 to $2333. However, as we begin this week, gold has quickly regained its upward momentum, similar to recent trends. Currently, the price is hovering around $2360, after a 0.64% recovery today, equivalent to approximately $15. Despite the recent market fluctuations, the upward trend of gold remains strong, serving as an excellent hedge against political tensions and financial market instability. The factors that propelled gold to record highs last Friday are still in play. China continues to lead in gold accumulation, marking the 17th consecutive month of increased gold reserves, which further reinforces optimistic sentiment. Let's keep an eye on these driving forces as they unfold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
USDJPY: Continuing to set new records!The USD/JPY has surged to its highest level in decades, reaching 154.00 during European trading on Monday. The Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid uncertainty about future interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, concerns about potential interventions and geopolitical tensions could impact the Yen, a traditional safe haven asset. On the technical chart, the price shows strong upward momentum after a period of consolidation, moving steadily along the EMA 34 and 89 lines. The prospect of further price increases remains a top priority for this currency pair. The recent highs around the 153.25-153.30 area now serve as a strong support level, laying the groundwork for USD/JPY to potentially retest the 154.00 mark and potentially climb even higher.
Long
by RKarina
Gold price today: Recovery after the storm!Last week, the price of gold fluctuated between $2,300 and $2,360 per ounce until Wednesday. By Thursday, amidst escalating tensions in the Middle East, the upward trend became evident as gold reached a new peak above $2,400 per ounce. The momentum continued into Friday, reaching $2,431.59 per ounce before declining to around $2,355 to end the week. The geopolitical risks seem poised to push the price of gold even higher. The outlook for this week is optimistic: a survey on Wall Street showed that 83% of analysts expect the price of gold to increase, with only 17% predicting a decrease. There is no neutrality in these expectations. An online poll conducted by Main Street reflects this sentiment, with 82% of investors predicting an increase or stable trading for gold. Meanwhile, 66% of surveyed retail traders expect gold to rise. Personally, I believe that gold will continue its upward trajectory, although it may experience some short-term price adjustments along the way!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Monthly bullish megaphone keeps Gold buyers hopefulGold price resumes its upward trajectory within a fortnight-old bullish megaphone chart pattern after a volatile day that initially refreshed an all-time high before posting the biggest daily loss in two months. That said, the XAUUSD’s corrective bounce also takes clues from a rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, bullish MACD signals and cautious mood ahead of the US Retail Sales tests the bullion’s recovery moves. It should be noted that 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s February-March moves, near the $2,400 threshold, currently lures the buyers. However, the aforementioned megaphone’s top line, close to $2,441 at the latest, will challenge the precious metal’s upside afterward. Following that, the commodity’s run-up toward the $2,500 round figure can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the Gold price sellers need a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s bottom line, around $2,336 by the press time. Following that, the 61.8% and 50% FE level will entertain the XAUUSD bears around $2,305 and $2,277 respectively. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from February 28, near $2,265, appears a tough nut to crack for the precious metal sellers. In a case where the quote remains weak past $2,265, the odds of witnessing a quick fall toward March’s peaks of around $2,222 and $2,195 appear brighter. Overall, the Gold price lacks upside momentum but the sellers stay off the table beyond $2,265.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold continues to increase in price dramatically!Hi everybody! Gold just experienced a volatile day yesterday, falling sharply to $2,330 before quickly recovering to $2,392, recording a spectacular increase of $62 in a short time. This strong recovery further reinforces the sustainable appeal of gold in the current context. In a situation where inflation in the US is rising, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to delay monetary policy changes has increased the strength of gold. Gold appears to be not only sustainable but also strong, despite uncertainties from US economic data. Despite the US dollar rising against other currencies and US bond yields staying high, gold still shows resilience. I am still very optimistic about gold's prospects, considering it a safe haven, especially in the context of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continuing to heat up.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
6
Gold price is approaching the 2400 USD zoneAs the trading week ended, gold showed no signs of slowing down in its recovery, approaching the key $2,400 mark and posting an impressive daily gain of 1.04%, or 240 pips. Gold continues to benefit from strong market support, especially given the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which show no signs of easing. This confirms gold's status as a safe haven asset. In addition, expectations that major central banks will reduce interest rates later this year also contribute to strengthening the value of this precious metal. From a technical analysis perspective, if gold continues on its current trajectory, the next target according to the Fibonacci index is 2465 USD. In addition, the uptrend is also reinforced by the price movement above both EMA 34 and 89, bringing optimistic signals to investors.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
1
GBPUSD: End of uptrendThe GBP/USD pair continues to face selling pressure around the 1.2540 level, after bouncing back from its lowest point in 2024 at 1.2520. The selling of this major currency pair is driven by a stronger US dollar, which unexpectedly rose after the US Consumer Price Index data for March. A quick look at the chart shows that the upward trend has been decisively broken and the downward momentum is further supported by the intersection of the two EMA trend lines. The market seems to be increasingly favoring sellers as the USD continues on its recovery trajectory.
Short
by RKarina