Get started

Technical Analysis

GOLD - Downward pressure on prices remainsThe price of gold today (20/3) slightly declined compared to the previous session following new economic data from the United States last night. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen in the international payment basket. At the same time, the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) convened its first meeting in March, which will last for two days. The market is on edge regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by this organization. However, last week's inflation figures showed that despite high interest rates, inflation has not decreased as expected. This has led experts and investors to believe that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in this session. Furthermore, the significant increase in the number of new homes started in February is predicted to boost consumer demand for goods. This could contribute to an increase in the consumer price index in the future. With the difficulty for the Fed to cut interest rates, the USD may become even stronger, putting additional pressure on gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Gold grinds within $15 trading range as Fed decision loomsGold price licks its wounds around the mid-$2,100s while portraying a choppy move between the one-week-old descending resistance line and $2,148 support confluence comprising the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the previous yearly high. In doing so, the XAUUSD depicts the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important monetary policy decision from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) while consolidating the previous weekly loss, the first in four. It’s worth noting that the overbought RSI (14) line and an impending bear cross on the MACD favor downside bias for the precious metal. In that case, a daily closing beneath $2,148 becomes necessary for the sellers to retake control. Following that, the late December 2023 peak of around $2,090 will be a quick favorite for the bears before the tops marked during early 2024 around $2,065. It’s worth noting that the $2,100 round figure also acts as a downside filter for the bullion. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the one-week-old descending resistance line surrounding $2,163 could quickly propel the Gold price toward the recent all-time high of near $2,195. Should the quote remain firmer past $2,195, the $2,200 round figure will challenge the XAUUSD bulls. It should be observed that an upward-sloping resistance line from May 2023 also highlights the $2,200 threshold as an important hurdle toward the north. Overall, the Gold price is likely to depict a downside move unless the US Federal Reserve (Fed) disappoints the US Dollar bulls by resisting the hawkish performance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EUR/USD: Stronger discounts continue!Hello dear friends! What do you think about the current trend of EURUSD? Today, EURUSD continues to decline, seemingly trying to gather strength to bounce back as the US dollar strengthens for the third consecutive day. Currently trading near the 1.0849 level, a quick look at the technical analysis chart shows that the downward momentum is still leading. As a result, breaking below the support level of 1.0871 has solidified the case for implementing a selling strategy. I am watching the 1.0800 level as the next stop, especially if the support level of 1.085 continues to crumble. What about you? What is your prediction for this currency pair?
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Starting to correct?Hello dear friends! Today, GBP/USD is gradually decreasing to the level of 1.2800 tons in the first day of the new week. The US Dollar has prevented its losing streak as the market shifts to risk aversion ahead of the highly anticipated US CPI report, which will be released on Tuesday. This has somewhat limited the upward trend for the GBP/USD pair. As a result, the sellers are starting to suppress the price increases in the short to medium term. From the chart, we can see that a peak near 1.290 has formed and the price is starting to correct after a significant increase from the previous week. The technical targets and prospects in this case are highly evaluated at around 1.275, which is approximately the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
Short
by RKarina
Update the latest EURUSD pair!EUR/USD has recovered after two consecutive days of losses, approaching the 1.0930 level in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. However, the pair faced resistance amidst cautious market sentiment ahead of the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Market expectations suggest that the US CPI will increase from the previous month in February, although the annual rate is forecasted to remain unchanged. A strong CPI report could dampen the prospects of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, potentially strengthening the US Dollar (USD) and posing a challenge for the EUR/USD pair.
Short
by RKarina
3
USDJPY jumps 100 pips even as BoJ exits negative-rate policyUSDJPY refreshes a two-week high during a six-day uptrend even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) takes a historical decision to end the Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP), as well as the Yield Curve Control (YCC). It’s worth noting, however, that such a move was widely anticipated and hence, a “sell the fact” reaction appeared on the chart. However, a three-week-old falling resistance line surrounding the 150.00 psychological magnet and the overbought RSI (14) conditions seem to challenge the Yen pair buyers. Even if the quote manages to cross the 150.00 hurdle, a slightly downward-sloping trend line from mid-February, near 150.80 at the latest, quickly followed by the 151.00 round figure, will challenge the bulls afterward. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s pullback appears widely expected and hence the short-term sellers can aim for the 149.20-15 support confluence comprising the 100 and 200 SMAs. However, a one-week-old rising support line surrounding 148.85 could test the Yen pair sellers afterward. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 148.85, the February 07 swing low of around 147.60 and the current monthly bottom of 146.48 will be in the spotlight. Overall, the USDJPY pair’s immediate reaction to the BoJ’s decision appears less logical and is likely to be reversed. However, Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision will be the key in determining the same.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold prices have recovered but are still difficultThe gold price (XAU/USD) saw a modest recovery from its lowest point in over a week at the start of this week, despite remaining in negative territory for the first half of the European trading session. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) continues its struggle to achieve any significant momentum amid ongoing uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy direction. This uncertainty, coupled with a slightly improved risk sentiment and geopolitical concerns, has been a key driver in pushing some towards precious metals as a safe haven. However, the outlook for a rise in gold prices is still constrained by the increasingly common view that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for a longer period to control inflation. This expectation supports the rise in US Treasury yields, potentially diminishing the appeal of gold, an asset that does not yield interest. Ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting decision expected on Wednesday, traders might adopt a cautious stance, limiting their bets on positive developments. The essence of maintaining high interest rates as part of efforts to curb inflation suggests that more time may be needed to manage inflation effectively. This situation, combined with the uncertainty surrounding global economic and geopolitical conditions, creates a complex scenario for gold investors as they weigh the safety of gold against the prospects of limited profitability in a high-interest rate environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
XAUUSD surges to 2200 USD?Welcome to today's strategy analysis, where we revisit and forecast the next moves for XAUUSD, after a day of significant fluctuation. Current Analysis: XAUUSD witnessed a considerable decline yesterday, progressing through a descending triangle pattern and eventually breaking below the $2075 level. Despite this, gold quickly adjusted, forming an ascending triangle pattern and currently trades around $2168. This occurred after surpassing resistance levels at $2179 and $2177, although it ultimately saw a slight decrease of 0.27% for the day. Insights on Price Increase Causes: Scenario 1: The weakening of the US dollar, as the market anticipates the Federal Reserve (FED) might cut interest rates by June 2024 despite rising inflation in the US. This scenario benefits gold prices. Scenario 2: Some analysts predict a spike in gold prices if the FED decides to cut rates. If this does not happen, high inflation fears could push gold prices higher. Scenario 3: Political tensions and military conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine situation, keep the demand for safe-haven assets like gold high. Forecast and Strategy: Looking at the 1-hour chart, we observe an increase in trading volume and price stabilization after a sharp decline, touching the EMA 34.89 line. XAUUSD finds strong support around the $2160 level. If it breaks below this support, we could witness a significant price drop. However, maintaining above this level could lead to price increases. A recovery is anticipated after touching the ascending triangle pattern boundary. An adjustment might occur after breaking the fake level of $2175, and consolidation above this level indicates the market is ready for a recovery. Conclusion: In the current context, closely monitoring market developments and external influencing factors will be key to making wise investment decisions. Keep an eye on announcements from the FED, global political situations, and currency market movements to adjust your strategy accordingly. Scenario 3: Escalating political tensions due to the Russia-Ukraine military conflict are maintaining the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The conditions are favorable for gold to rally. Regarding the new prospects for XAUUSD: According to the 1-hour chart, the volume is increasing, and the price has stopped after a sharp decline, touching the EMA 34,89. XAUUSD is currently receiving strong support around 2160 USD. However, if it breaks below this level, it could lead to a significant price decrease, while maintaining it would result in an increase. It is expected that the price will recover after touching the ascending triangle channel. I anticipate a correction after breaking the false 2175 USD level. Consolidation above this level indicates that the market is ready to rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
2
EURUSD flirts with 1.0880-75 key support as Fed week beginsEURUSD remains pressured around 1.0890 early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in four. In doing so, the Euro pair grinds near the 1.0880-75 support confluence comprising the 100-SMA and a five-week-old rising trend line amid the initial hours of the week comprising the key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. It’s worth noting that an impending bull cross on the MACD and a below 30 level of RSI (14) suggest the pre-FOMC consolidation of the quote. However, the corrective bounce appears elusive unless buyers manage to cross a downward-sloping trend line from the monthly high, close to 1.0945 at the latest. Even so, the monthly top surrounding 1.0980 and the 1.1000 threshold will act as the final defense of the sellers. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 1.0880-75 key support will allow the EURUSD bears to attack the 200-SMA level of 1.0830. Following that, the 1.0790-85 and the 1.0730 levels could test the sellers before directing the prices toward the yearly low marked in February near 1.0695. In a case where the Euro remains bearish past 1.0695, the May 2023 low of 1.0635 and March 2023 bottom surrounding 1.0515 will provide intermediate halts during a likely south-run targeting the previous yearly low of 1.0448. Overall, the EURUSD pair stays on the bear’s radar even if the oscillators suggest consolidation ahead of the key FOMC.
by MTradingGlobal
Momentum Swing Idea| ITC LtdITC Ltd as you all know it stablished in 1910, ITC is the largest cigarette manufacturer and seller in the country. ITC operates in five business segments at present — FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business. Fundamental = strong Market Cap ₹ 5,23,098 Cr. Current Price ₹ 419 Stock P/E 25.6 ROCE 39.0 % ROE 29.1 % Debt to equity 0.00 Promoter holding 0.00 % Quick ratio 1.73 Current ratio 2.73 Piotroski score 6.00 Profit Var 3Yrs 7.41 % Sales growth 3Years 12.8 % Return on assets 23.8 % This is purely technical analysis and perfect 21 day moving average support .Moreover company is in growing and stable phase .keep in radar . monthly RSI above 55 and its seems to be reversal signals . if market in uptrend move than this stock will be in uncharted territory. Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation. If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas. Thanks and comment freely
NSE:ITCLong
by Momentuminvesting5540
SWING IDEA - BIRLA CORPORATIONBirla Corp , a key player in the cement industry, signals a compelling swing buying opportunity driven by strong technical indicators. Reasons are listed below : After multiple tests, a robust breakout above the 1600 zone signifies a significant shift in market sentiment. The breach of a consolidation area spanning over two years indicates a decisive move in the price action. A bullish engulfing candlestick followed by confirmation in the subsequent week signals a reversal to bullish sentiment. Trading above the 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the weekly timeframe indicates a bullish market stance. The pattern of consistent higher highs reflects sustained bullish momentum. Elevated trading volumes validate the strength of the breakout, indicating heightened market participation. Target - 2112 // 2315 Stoploss - weekly close below 1464 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:BIRLACORPNLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
AUDUSD sellers attack 200-SMA to revisit 0.6525 key supportAUDUSD appears well-set for biggest weekly loss in seven while extending the previous week’s U-turn from a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6675-80. The Aussie pair currently pokes the 200-SMA support near 0.6565 amid an impending bear cross on the MACD and a retreat in the RSI (14) line, which in turn suggests slower grind toward the south. Hence, the quote is likely to break the adjacent SMA support of 0.6565 and aim for an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, close to 0.6525 at the latest. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 0.6525, the monthly bottom of 0.6477 and the yearly trough surrounding 0.6442 will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, AUDUSD rebound needs validation from late February swing high of 0.6595, as well as the 0.6600 round figure. Following that, multiple swing highs marked so far during 2024 near 0.6625-30 could test the buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the Aussie pair’s further advances remain elusive unless the quote offer a daily closing beyond the aforementioned multi-month-old horizontal resistance zone near 0.6675-80. Should the bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6680, the 0.6700 and 0.6750 might entertain them before highlighting the late 2023 swing high of 0.6871. Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to decline further and can challenge the key support line as traders await a few more US consumer-centric data ahead of the next week’s FOMC monetary policy meeting.
by MTradingGlobal
Getting Started with Technical AnalysisInvesting in the stock market can be both exciting and overwhelming. There are so many stocks and strategies are there that make it hard to decide where to invest. That’s where technical analysis comes in. It’s the study of market data to find patterns, trends, and potential opportunities. To get started with technical analysis, you need to first understand what exactly technical analysis is. Technical Analysis: Technical analysis may sound complex, but it’s actually quite easy. In simple terms, it’s a method of assessing stock or any tradeable asset by studying statistics based on market activity, like past prices and volume. Technical analysts believe that by analysing charts and other indicators, they can identify and predict market trends for any security. Essentially, they study a stock’s trading history to measure its potential for future price changes. Let’s understand this with an example: Let’s make a comparison to weather forecasting. Can we predict the weather for the future? Yes. Is the weather forecast always 100% accurate? No. Weather forecasts are applicable over a period of time rather than being precise second by second. Similarly, just like meteorologists use past weather data and atmospheric patterns to forecast future weather conditions, technical analysts utilize past price and volume data to predict future stock prices. How You Can Start Technical Analysis of Stocks? To begin with technical analysis, the first step is selecting a security for analysis. This can include stocks, commodities, currency pairs, or any other tradable financial instrument available on an exchange. Once you have decided on the security, the next step involves studying its price and volume data. A widely used tool in technical analysis is the price chart. It provides a visual display of a security’s price changes over time. Price charts come in various types, with the candlestick chart being the most popular and commonly used option. Candlestick charts offer wide information in a single platform. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, like a day or an hour. The body of the candlestick indicates the security’s opening and closing prices within that timeframe, while the wicks or shadows represent the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period. By studying these candlesticks, traders can identify patterns and trends in the price movements of the stock. Along with price charts, traders use various technical indicators to analyse securities. These indicators are mathematical calculations derived from the price and volume data of a security. They give signals that confirm trends, identify potential buy or sell signals , and provide additional information to traders. Some popular and commonly used technical indicators are moving averages , relative strength index (RSI) , and Bollinger Bands , among others. These indicators help traders to judge market conditions, identify potential price reversals or trends, and help to take trading decisions. Dos and Don’ts to follow when starting Technical Analysis: Do’s: A Volume is an important tool for technical analysis. High trading volume suggests a strong trend, while low volume can indicate a lack of buyers and sellers in security. Traders mostly confirm trends and signals by using multiple indicators. With one or more than one indicators, a trader can become more confident in a potential trade. This approach allows for a thorough analysis of different aspects of the market, increasing the chances of making informed trading decisions. One of the most important tips to remember is that while technical analysis can assist in identifying potential trades, practising effective risk management is essential. Risk Management involves implementing stop-loss orders and ensuring that you don’t risk more than a certain percentage of your portfolio on any single trade. With the help of these risk management techniques, you can protect your investments and maintain a disciplined approach to trading. As the price of stocks is changing every time, you need to stay updated with news and investments that can impact your investment. Don’ts: While technical analysis can look complex, it’s important to avoid difficult things. Stick to the fundamental principles and strategies, and you should be on the right track. Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective analysis and decision-making in the stock market. While technical analysis is important, it shouldn’t be the only way to evaluate securities. It’s also important to consider fundamental analysis , which involves looking at a company’s financial statements and economic factors. By using both technical and fundamental analysis, investors can get a better overall understanding of the securities they are analysing. Trading can involve emotional decisions, but it’s important to let no emotions cloud your judgment. Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive trades driven by fear or greed. By maintaining discipline and adhering to your predetermined plan, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions. When you’re taking potential trades, it’s important to think about the risk-reward ratio . This means comparing the potential profit with the potential loss. With a good risk-to-reward ratio, you can make smarter decisions and aim for a good balance between R:R in your trading strategy. Conclusion: Technical analysis is a great tool for traders and aspiring investors in the Indian stock market. It helps identify potential opportunities by analysing price and volume data, allowing traders to recognize patterns and trends. However, it’s important to follow certain guidelines when using this approach. With the help of candlestick patterns , indicators, risk management tools, and fundamental analysis traders can achieve their financial goals.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by khushaljain023
2
USDJPY Strategy: Navigating Economic Data & Market Trends Welcome to our daily strategy session, where we dive into the current dynamics of USDJPY and outline potential moves for today! USDJPY is currently retreating, having found support amid a bullish sentiment around the 146.50-146.30 region. However, the plot thickens. Uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy moves and a renewed appetite for the US dollar are injecting optimism into this currency pair. Yet, an upcoming slew of significant US economic data could introduce unpredictable price volatility. Today, the market anticipates retail sales figures. A positive outcome would underscore strong consumer spending, potentially reinforcing the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain steady interest rates in the first half of the year. This could further bolster the USD against the JPY. Looking at the daily chart, USDJPY appears to be encountering a price reaction around the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. I remain optimistic that USD/JPY will exhibit a similar response, especially as a detailed analysis reveals that the pair is facing resistance from a head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by a declining handle. Therefore, breaking through the psychological support level of 146.00 could pave the way for lower prices. It is anticipated that USDJPY will decline after reaching the 148.69-148.17 range and testing the 34.89 EMA line. Should USDJPY draw strength from this support level, we might witness a bullish rebound. However, price consolidation below this mark would indicate that the market is gearing up for a deeper decline.
Short
by RKarina
XAUUSD Hello dear friends! What are your thoughts on the price of gold? Let's explore and discuss new strategies for gold together with RKarina. Overall, it has been a week of significant price increases for gold. The price has been rapidly developing and consistently creating surprises for traders. This comes after the latest employment report showed an increase in unemployment rates in the US and moderate wage growth, despite the accelerated job growth in February. The underlying factors driving the upward momentum of gold prices are the expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates later this year and the weakening of the US dollar. Gold even touched a formidable level of $2200 USD at one point last night, but quickly pulled back and is currently hovering around $2179 USD. In general, the price of gold is expected to continue its upward trend. However, after the recent strong surge, the precious metal may need some consolidation in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Gold stays range-bound ahead of US Retail Sales Gold fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the weekly low as market players await the US Retail Sales for February. In doing so, the spot Gold price, namely the XAUUSD, seesaws within a $48 trading range comprising an ascending resistance line stretched from May 2023 and the previous yearly top. It’s worth noting that the sluggish oscillators and the pre-data anxiety suggest a continuation of the sideways range. However, the bulls appear to have run out of fuel hence sellers are likely to benefit more on a downside break of $2,148 support. In that case, a quick fall toward the $2,100 round figure will be imminent but a 3.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding $2,090 could challenge the XAUUSD sellers afterward. Alternatively, an upside clearance of the aforementioned multi-month-old rising resistance line, close to $2,186 could recall the Gold buyers. However, the $2,200 threshold and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s October-December 2023 moves, near $2,240, will challenge the XAUUSD’s upside momentum afterward. Following that, the 100% FE level of $2,313 and the $2,500 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, Gold stays within a long-term bullish trend but the short-term view appears to favor a pullback in prices should the scheduled data allow the US Dollar to defend the first weekly gain in four.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL)- Mid & Long Term OpportunityNote: Publishing this 2nd idea on NSE:HAL , in continuation to 1st one (link given below), to provide updated chart and targets. Suggested on: 23-Aug-2023 Rating: Buy (Mid Term as well as Long Term Opportunity) LTP on 23-Aug-2023: Rs. 2,015.55 SL for New Entry: Rs. 2,800 Targets Achieved: (1) Rs. 2400 --> (2) Rs. 2600 --> (3) 2915 Next Targets: (4) Rs. 3,079 --> (5) Rs. 3,239 --> (6) Rs. 3,498 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
NSE:HALLong
by vicky252
2
Gold price today: Needs adjustment!Updated Gold Market Report: During the Asian trading session, gold (XAU/USD) has attracted strong buying interest, partly recovering from the previous sell-off, with the price currently at $2,150. The surge in US Treasury yields, driven by higher-than-expected US consumer inflation in February, has increased the value of the US dollar and put downward pressure on gold prices. The recovery in the US stock market has also led to a shift of funds away from gold, a safe haven asset. Personal perspective: The decline in gold following yesterday's CPI report is a positive development. The price correction not only creates an opportunity to buy at a better price but also enhances liquidity and accumulation prospects for the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Gold price adjusted strongly!Hello dear friends, let's find out about the price of gold today! As predicted since yesterday, gold has experienced strong downward pressure after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States. According to the CPI report, it increased by 3.2% compared to the same period last year in February, slightly higher than the predicted 3.1% by market participants. The core index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.7%, although lower than the 3.9% announced in January. These data have helped the USD recover and suppress the upward momentum of this precious metal. Currently, gold is trading around $2159 and is still undergoing a corrective phase after reaching record highs. In the short and medium term, gold is forming a cup and handle pattern and will soon face downward pressure after aiming for the resistance level of $2165. We can consider selling if gold reaches that level, with a profit target at the support level of $2145 - $2143.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina