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XAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena ImpactXAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena Shock: Gold enters a high-volatility week, trade liquidity zones News that the US Department of Justice has issued a criminal subpoena involving Fed Chair Jerome Powell is an extremely rare type of headline. When the market’s confidence in the Fed and US policy stability gets questioned, gold and silver can surge fast — but the price action often comes with violent two-way swings: a sharp push to grab liquidity, a hard pullback, then the real direction shows. That’s why this week I’m not chasing candles. The best approach is to trade reactions at key liquidity / support-resistance zones and let the market come to your levels. Macro context: why gold is moving differently right now Pressure on the Fed (and its independence) can reprice expectations for rates, which directly hits USD and US yields. If the market starts pricing aggressive cuts, gold tends to stay supported. But if yields whip around, gold can whipsaw too — fast. So instead of predicting the headline outcome, the priority is simple: wait for price to hit clean technical zones. Technical view (H1): uptrend structure holds, but price is trading in “premium” The structure still sits inside an ascending channel. After a strong impulsive leg up, price is consolidating near the top — a common setup before another expansion, but also a zone where liquidity grabs are frequent. Key zones to focus on Sell zone (premium): 4655 – 4660 Buy zone (value): 4413 – 4417 Mid-range resistance (chop zone): around the 45xx area Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1) Primary plan: BUY the pullback into value If price retraces into the major value support: Buy: 4413 – 4417 SL: 4403 TP1: 4500 – 4520 TP2: 4655 – 4660 This is the “clean structure” setup: a reset into value, then continuation with the channel. 2) Short-term scalp: SELL the premium reaction If price pushes into the major supply/liquidity zone: Sell (scalp): 4655 – 4660 (only with clear rejection on H1/M15) SL: 4670 TP: 4580 → 4520 This is a reaction sell — a common “profit-taking” area after headline-driven pumps. 3) Continuation setup: BUY after a confirmed hold above mid resistance If price breaks and holds above the mid resistance (45xx area): Look for a pullback after breakout to buy Targets remain towards 4655–4660, then higher along the channel. Conclusion This is a headline-risk week, so the key is no FOMO and no entries in the middle of the range. The two zones that matter most: Buy value: 4413 – 4417 Sell premium (short-term): 4655 – 4660 Which side are you leaning towards — waiting for the dip into 4415 to buy, or hunting a rejection near 4660 to sell? 👉 If this plan helps, follow LiamTradingFX to get the next XAUUSD updates early.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Unveiling Hidden Symmetrical Triangle and Saving from FakeoutsThis weekly chart post highlights key price action elements in a sideways pattern, focusing on zones, trendlines, and a subtle symmetrical triangle for educational observation. Green demand zones and red supply zones frame the overall range, while the white counter trend line traces internal fluctuations. The dotted red line uncovers a hidden symmetrical triangle, where converging lines often lead to breakout rejections observed as fakeouts Key Chart Features -Demand & Supply Zones: Green areas mark demand support, red zones indicate supply resistance, revealing price reactions within the sideways structure. ​ -Counter Trend Line: White line connects minor highs and lows, illustrating counter-trend swings that define the internal rhythm amid broader consolidation. ​-Hidden Symmetrical Triangle: Dotted red outline exposes the converging pattern, a consolidation coil with balanced higher lows and lower highs, frequently trapping breakout attempts. Disclaimer: Not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is purely educational on price dynamics, supply-demand, trendlines, and hidden patterns—no investment advice or forecasts. Past patterns do not guarantee future results; conduct your own analysis.
NSE:GUJGASLTDLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Chumtrades XAUUSD Any pullback is an opportunity to buy higher.This morning’s move was a corrective sell-off, best understood as profit-taking from BUY-side, not a trend reversal. The overall structure remains within a rising trend channel, with no sign of a structural break → BUY bias stays intact, looking to buy pullbacks in line with the trend. 🟢 Key Support Zones 447x: near-term support (4476 – 4472 – 4470) 4450 – 4455 4430 – 4435 🔴 Key Resistance Zones 4548 – 4550 4560 – 4565 4599 – 4600 (upper resistance) 📌 Additional Note 453x is a mid-zone to watch closely for price reaction. 📊 Intraday Expectation Price is expected to range sideways on the H2 timeframe Range high: 4549 Range low: 4473 → Possible BUY near the lower boundary and SELL near the upper boundary if the range holds. ⚠️ Risk Management No major news at the moment; price is mainly driven by technical flows. Holiday period → thin liquidity, higher risk of stop hunts. Keep stops reasonable and avoid overtrading. Wishing everyone a productive trading day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading Price has broken the channel, but buying momentum is weakening – waiting for a pullback to the trendline for entries Today’s Strategy Summary Gold has broken out of its price channel, but the key point is that buying pressure is fading after the strong acceleration. With the market approaching the holiday period and liquidity thinning, the focus is on trading at the right liquidity zones rather than chasing price or FOMO. Plan: Look for Buy opportunities on pullbacks into the trendline / old channel Look for Sell reactions at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478 1) Key Levels Today (from the chart) ✅ BUY zones (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are clean liquidity areas to wait for price to retrace into – true liquidity-based trading: let price come back to reaction zones, do not chase highs. ✅ SELL zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This is a premium + liquidity area. If price reaches this zone and fails to hold, the probability of profit-taking or a short-term reversal is high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a Pullback to the Channel/Trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often retests the old trendline or channel to confirm genuine buying strength. As buying momentum is weakening, the likelihood of choppy moves and liquidity sweeps is high. Patience is key – wait for 4379–4382, or a deeper pullback into 4361–4358. Expected targets (scalp / short swing): Capture 8–15 USD moves depending on volatility, taking partial profits as price reacts according to plan. 3) Alternative Scenario: Sell Reaction at 4474–4478 If price continues to push higher into the Fibonacci zone, priority is to Sell on reaction rather than chasing Buy entries. Only sell if there are signs of loss of momentum (long wicks, rejection, failure to close strongly above the zone). 4) News & Market Context: Thin Liquidity = Easy Sweeps With the market nearing the holiday period, liquidity is weak, increasing the chances of spikes and stop-hunts. Political and economic developments related to policy and tax matters are influencing corporate positioning, but at this stage, price is more likely to react to short-term capital flows rather than a sustainable trend. Conclusion: Today’s focus is “right zone – strict discipline”, avoiding mid-range entries and emotional trades. 5) Risk Management Risk per trade: maximum 1–2% Avoid trading when spreads widen or candles spike abnormally Which scenario do you lean towards today? A pullback to 4379 / 4361 for Buy, or a push to 4474–4478 for a Sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Quick Summary Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction Status: New ATH has been established Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones Market Outlook Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish. Technical Perspective After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend. Preferred Buy Trading Plan Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone Buy: 4371 – 4374 SL: 4165 This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly. Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone Buy zone: 4342 – 4339 SL: 4330 If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry. Fundamental View Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year. The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by: Expectations of further Fed rate cuts Strong inflows into ETF funds Net buying by central banks Escalating geopolitical tensions The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Ongoing bullish continuation Timeframe: H1 Market context: Thin liquidity ahead of the holiday period; price has not yet broken resistance decisively Strategy: Prioritise BUY setups, waiting for a pullback to the 50% Fibonacci level Market Context Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum and is trading close to the all-time high area around 4350 USD/ounce. Although price has not yet fully broken the upper resistance, the overall bullish structure remains intact. Gold’s upside is supported by weaker US labour data, expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly concerns related to Venezuela ahead of President Trump’s upcoming speech. With liquidity likely to remain thin due to the holiday period, price action may slow down. However, the primary bias still favours the upside. H1 Technical Outlook On the H1 chart, the bullish structure is well preserved. Price is consolidating just below a strong resistance zone, suggesting the market needs more time to absorb selling pressure. The 50% Fibonacci retracement aligns with a support area that showed a strong reaction yesterday, making it a favourable zone to wait for a pullback and continue trading in line with the trend. Intraday Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Trend-following BUY Entry: 4309 – 4312 SL: 4300 TP: 4330 → 4352 → 4390 Lana prefers to wait for a healthy pullback into this zone before entering, rather than chasing price near resistance. Trading Notes Thin liquidity → avoid large position sizes; focus on risk management If price does not pull back into the planned zone, Lana is comfortable staying flat Watch price reaction at resistance before expecting a breakout to new highs Lana’s Note 🌿 Every setup is just one of many possible market scenarios. Lana always defines a clear stop loss and only trades when price reaches the pre-planned zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
3
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to ...XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to “set the direction” | Buy on a break above 4355, Sell if the trendline breaks Strategy Summary (10-second read) Ahead of the US CPI data, gold is likely to stay range-bound and only make a decisive move once there is clear structural confirmation. Price is still holding within an ascending channel, but volume is declining noticeably → priority is confirmed break trades, no FOMO. Buy only if price breaks and holds above the strong resistance at 4355 Short-term Sell if the rising trendline breaks Mid-term Sell if the key low at 4306 is broken Key Levels (Important chart levels) Major resistance: 4355 (the “gateway” for bullish confirmation) Sell scalping zone: 4354–4355 (short-term reaction area) Sell liquidity zone: 4392 (overhead sell-side liquidity) Structural level / key low: 4306 (a break opens mid-term sell potential) FVG / deep liquidity draw: 4248 (target if strong distribution occurs) Scenario 1: Bullish Move (Activated only if 4355 is broken) Confirmation: Price breaks and holds above 4355 (preferably with a clear H1 candle close). Buy entry: 4348 SL: 4340 TP1: 4355–4360 TP2: 4392 (sell-side liquidity zone) Logic: With declining volume, fake breakouts are common. Therefore, buys are only valid once price decisively clears the directional resistance at 4355. Scenario 2: Short-term Bearish Move (Preferred if the rising trendline breaks) Confirmation: A clear break of the lower trendline of the ascending channel → sell the breakdown. After the break, prioritise selling on a retest of the trendline / nearby resistance Avoid chasing price at the lows First target typically lies near the below-liquidity area around 4306 Logic: The trendline acts as the “backbone” of the uptrend. Losing it during CPI conditions + weakening volume increases the probability of a fast sell-off to sweep liquidity. Scenario 3: Mid-term Bearish Move (If 4306 is broken) Confirmation: A clear and decisive break below 4306. At that point, mid-term sell positions can be prioritised based on structure Expected targets: Extension towards deeper support zones, with the 4248 FVG being a notable liquidity draw. News Context (Why confirmation matters today) The market is waiting for US CPI, a key inflation release that can shift expectations around the Fed’s rate-cut path. This directly impacts the USD and the next directional move in XAUUSD. ➡️ Today’s focus: wait for range breaks + strict risk control. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% If stopped out: pause and wait for fresh confirmation (no revenge trading) This analysis is shared for perspective and trading planning purposes only
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛 Quick Summary Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely Market Context The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors. From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves. H1 Technical View On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions. With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity Buy: 4302 – 4306 SL: 4298 This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible. Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance Sell: 4351 – 4355 SL: 4360 This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range Lana’s Note 🌿 Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306) Strategy Overview Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline. 1) Technical View Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely. However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move. On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear. 2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL) Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL) ✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL) SL: 4295 Near TP: 4320 – 4330 Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks. Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone ✅ Sell: Around 4370 SL: 4380 TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area) Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup. 3) Trend Confirmation Conditions Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones. If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price. 4) Fundamental Context CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term. Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves. 💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today? Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) Strategy Summary Gold is holding its ground, but the main direction is still unclear because today comes with a series of high-impact news. My approach today is “wait for confirmation before entering”, with two clearly defined scenarios: Bullish confirmation: Break and hold above 4320 Bearish confirmation: Break and hold below 4271 1) Key Price Levels on the Chart 4320: Bullish confirmation level + resistance / upper FVG zone 4370 – 4373: Strong liquidity zone → preferred area to look for SELL reactions 4271: Bearish confirmation level (support break) Lower zone (based on structure / trendline): Deeper support area where price may react and bounce, as marked by the arrow on the chart 2) Today’s Trading Scenarios (Trade the Level Style) Scenario A – Bullish (Only valid if price breaks above 4320) If an H1 candle closes clearly above 4320, gold is likely to move up and test the upper liquidity zone. Preferred approach: wait for a pullback and BUY short-term, following the move (as shown by the arrow). Avoid FOMO buys in the middle of the move. Reasonable target: 4370 – 4373 (Strong Liquidity). Note: The 4370 – 4373 zone is highly likely to see selling pressure, as large liquidity is resting there. Scenario B – Bearish (Confirmed if price breaks below 4271) If price breaks below 4271 and fails on the retest, the bearish scenario becomes dominant (classic sell retest setup). ✅ Sell: 4271 ❌ SL: 4280 🎯 Expectation: Price may extend lower toward deeper structural support zones. 3) Main SELL Setup at the Major Liquidity Zone ✅ Sell Entry: 4370 ❌ SL: 4380 Logic: This is a Strong Liquidity zone where profit-taking and distribution are likely to appear. ➡️ Only SELL on confirmation and reaction — no chasing trades. 4) Today’s News (High Volatility Expected) Today’s US data can cause sharp moves and stop hunts on both sides: Average Hourly Earnings m/m Core Retail Sales m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Retail Sales m/m Unemployment Rate Flash Manufacturing PMI Flash Services PMI My rule: Reduce position size before news. After the news, wait for the market to show direction, then trade around 4320 / 4271. 5) Risk Management Do not enter trades in the middle of a noisy range. Only trade at key levels with confirmation. 💬 Question for everyone: Which scenario are you leaning towards today — break above 4320 or break below 4271?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual Market Context The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales. In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones. Technical Outlook After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move. Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL Sell: 4308 – 4312 SL: 4320 This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue. Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support Buy: 4253 SL: 4240 This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts. Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone Buy: 4213 SL: 4200 This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long. Session Notes Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty. On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
9
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance. Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend. On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for Early Week Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
Seeing vs Believing: Multi-Pattern Structure vs Single-Line BOOn the left, the weekly chart is mapped as a full A+ type setup, where multiple structural elements work together instead of relying on a single, convenient line. -A red counter trendline marks a series of lower-high rejection points, visually defining the “least liquidity” supply line that price has repeatedly respected. -A dotted parallel channel outlines a broader multi-pattern context. -A dashed hidden line adds another layer of structure, hinting at less obvious inflection zones that are not visible at first glance but often align with prior reactions. -Finally, an orange line represents a higher time frame resistance level, bringing in a top-down perspective so that the current weekly price action is seen in relation to a dominant, bigger-picture barrier. On the right, by contrast, the chart is reduced to a single white line drawn in a way that “forces” the candles to appear as if they are breaking out. This is a great example of chart psychology in action: instead of objectively mapping all relevant patterns, many traders draw what they want to see—one clean breakout line—ignoring hidden structures, multi-timeframe confluence, and complex pattern overlap. The intention of this post is purely observational and educational, not forecasting. It aims to show how a professional, multi-pattern approach (CT lines, channels, hidden lines, and higher timeframe levels) can radically change the way a chart is interpreted compared to the simplistic, single-line breakout mindset that dominates retail thinking. Disclaimer: This post is for educational and illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a registered financial professional before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CENTURYPLYLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Trend intact, waiting for pullback to re-buy at the right zones Strategy Summary Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries were already captured, with price advancing around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend. 1) Trading Plan (H1) ✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258 SL: 4250 Meaning: A shallow pullback zone. If price holds the bullish structure and reacts higher here, trend-following buys are preferred. ✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235 SL: 4238 Meaning: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this area and shows strong confirmation, this becomes a higher-quality buy zone. Projected Targets (based on chart): Near resistance: 4285 Extended target: 4304 – 4307 2) Fundamental / News to Watch The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report Q3/2025). Voting FOMC members & Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speak on the 2026 economic outlook. The US threatens expanded seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp spikes. 3) Technical & Behavioural View Market structure remains bullish. After a strong impulse, a pullback is healthy before continuation. Plan remains clear: buy only at predefined zones, no FOMO. If price breaks below zones and closes H1 candles under SL levels, staying flat and waiting for a new structure is preferred.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Outlook: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛 Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1) Gold is revisiting the previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout. Primary Tracking Timeframe Timeframe: H4 Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to BUY at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50. Market Context for the Coming Week US Treasury yields, especially on the long end, remain elevated, increasing short-term volatility in gold. Fed commentary continues to signal a cautious stance, while political uncertainty in the US may make gold flows more unpredictable. As a result, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than trying to predict every short-term swing. H4 Technical View (Medium Term) Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cooling-off” phase to rebalance liquidity. On H4, the two most important zones align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity areas, making them ideal zones to wait for pullbacks before continuing with the trend. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred) Entry: 4216 – 4220 SL: 4210 This is a high-quality Fibonacci discount zone and an area where strong price reactions are likely if larger flows step in to support the trend. 2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy) Entry: 4171 – 4175 SL: 4165 This scenario plays out if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry in terms of location, but it requires patience. Trading Scenarios for the New Week Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades. If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs. Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated If price stays in premium territory with strong volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries. Instead, the focus is on observing price reactions and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Every setup represents a probability, not a certainty. Stop loss is always predefined, and position sizing should be moderate to withstand gold’s wide volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones Yesterday’s strong news release means today the market has no clear direction. In this situation, I don’t try to predict direction — I only focus on two key liquidity zones: Sell timing zone around 4.219 Buy OB zone around 4.197–4.194 The Asian session showed selling pressure, but the larger trend hasn't changed. So the plan is: short-term sells – buy at strong support, not all-in one direction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Timing SELL at 4.219 (for experienced traders only) Sell zone: around 4.219 Important: This is a timing entry, NOT a pending limit order. Allowed deviation: ~2 pips. If ideal timing is 4.219 but you see price already hit 4.221 → skip, don’t chase. TP reference: at least 15 pips, e.g. 4.204–4.203 or lower depending on entry. Idea: 4.219 is an upper liquidity zone where FOMO buy orders tend to cluster. If price sweeps above and weakens, I take a short-term sell following Asian session selling momentum. Targets are intraday only — no long holding. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY at OB 4.197–4.194 Buy zone: 4.197 – 4.194 Setup invalid if: price breaks below 4.191 and holds there TP: At least 15+ pips, e.g. 4.209–4.212 depending on entry. Why this zone? 4.197–4.194 is a clean bullish order block where strong buying previously pushed price up. If price retraces here and shows good reaction (wick rejection, rising buy volume), I treat it as a chance to rebuild long positions with good R:R. 1️⃣ Market fundamentals & sentiment After a strong rally, gold bulls are becoming more cautious. Main reason: uncertainty over the speed of Fed rate cuts next year. Everyone expects cuts — but no one knows how fast, how many, or when exactly. As a result, gold is no longer trending straight upward; it is now trading in a wider, jumpy range around the highs. So instead of trying to catch a long trend today, I focus on liquidity zones and price reactions. 2️⃣ Plan & discipline Do NOT enter trades around 4.20x. Only act at: Timing Sell 4.219 (±2 pips — if missed, skip) Buy OB 4.197–4.194 (invalid below 4.191) Risk per trade: 1–2% max, no holding when invalidated. If price breaks both zones and trends strongly (due to new data), I stay out and wait for clearer structure. 👉 Above 4.219 → only look for SELL timing 👉 Between 4.197–4.194 → look for BUY 👉 Below 4.191 → cancel buy setup and wait
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTIONXAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTION (H1) 1. Fundamental Analysis While Trump is making headlines with his idea of a “Gold Card” worth up to USD 1 million, the bigger story is the continued capital flow into gold as a safe-haven and long-term accumulation asset. Bank of America maintains that gold is still in a long-term uptrend and is “under-owned”, projecting that prices could reach USD 5,000/oz by 2026 if investment demand increases. With this backdrop, Lana keeps the same view: the current H1 corrections are mainly opportunities to find trend-aligned buy entries rather than rushing to sell against the major uptrend. 2. Technical Analysis (H1) On H1, the corrective ABC structure has completed, and price has bounced precisely from the rising trendline — showing buyers still defending the trend. The latest bullish leg is currently retracing to test: Fibonacci 0.382, which aligns with a short-term support zone. Fibonacci 0.236, closer to the main trendline, forming a strong confluence area for buying. While upper resistance remains around previous highs and the major trendline above, Lana is currently focused on waiting for price to retrace into the Fibo–trendline zones before anticipating the next bullish wave. 3. Key Levels to Watch Buy scalping zone (Fibo 0.382 + support): 4205 – 4207 Deeper buy zone (Fibo 0.236 + trendline): 4196 – 4198 Technical SL: Below 4200 for the upper setup Below 4190 for the lower setup 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Buy at Fibo 0.382 + support Buy: 4205 – 4207 SL: 4200 TP: Aim for the nearest highs around 423x–425x, depending on risk appetite. ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy at Fibo 0.236 + trendline Buy: 4196 – 4198 SL: 4190 TP: Similar targets; partial profit-taking is recommended as price approaches upper resistance. Lana will wait for price to retrace into one of these zones before entering, avoiding FOMO entries when candles are moving too aggressively. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates directly on your mobile. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead...✨ XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead of the Fed Meeting From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a “waiting for direction” phase. Price is trapped between the 4,221–4,239 resistance band and the strong 4,166 support area. On the 45-minute timeframe, the structure is forming a sideways top after the recent upward move. With the Fed set to announce its interest rate decision soon, I avoid predicting blindly and prefer to let these key zones guide my trading decisions. 🎯 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance 4,221 – 4,225: Fibo 0.236–0.382 cluster + heavy volume zone 4,239: Extended resistance high — if broken, price may target the 4.25x region Strong Support 4,166: The “Strong Support” zone on the chart, currently defining the bottom of the range Below 4.166, the 4.12x region aligns with the Fibo 1.618 extension — a zone where liquidity could be swept if the market sells off sharply 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Preferred if price holds above 4,200) Conditions: Price stays firmly above 4,200 Clear breakout of 4,221–4,225 A 45m candle closes above this zone If these occur, it signals buyers are regaining control. Suggested approach: Buy on a break & retest of 4,221–4,225 SL: below 4,210 TP: 4,245 → 4,258 → 4,270 As long as gold remains above 4,200, I keep a bullish bias and consider dips into the 4.20x region as opportunities to buy. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-Term Sell From Upper Range Resistance If price fails to break 4,221–4,239 and forms: Wick rejections Small-body candles → I treat this as exhaustion at resistance. Trade idea: Sell: 4,221–4,225 (up to 4,239 if there is a spike) SL: above 4,239 TP: 4,190 → 4,176 → 4,166 If selling pressure is strong: extended target 4,130 This setup is suited for scalping or short swings, and goes against the medium-term bullish bias — so position sizing must be controlled carefully. 1️⃣ Fundamental Context: Everything Depends on the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the market’s wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed decision. Traders don’t want to commit heavily before such major news, so gold tends to move within a range. Once the Fed releases its rate decision and guidance, gold’s volatility can expand dramatically — possibly sweeping both resistance and support. Because of that, I do not recommend placing large-position trades right before the announcement. Instead, focus on observing price reactions at 4,221 and 4,166 to determine whether the next leg will be upward or downward. 2️⃣ My Trading Plan Above 4,221 with stable price action: Prefer buying the breakout, targeting the 4.25x zone. Failure to break 4,221, weak candles: Consider shorting toward 4.19x – 4.166. If price drops directly below 4.166: I stay out temporarily and wait for the market to form a new balanced region before planning the next trade. Risk per trade: 1–2% maximum, no widening stop-loss during high-impact news. If you find this analysis useful, follow the TradingView channel and comment whether you expect a breakout above 4,221 or a reversal from resistance — we’ll update again after the Fed announcement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Holding Breath for FOMC News - Will History Repeat?XAUUSD Trading Idea Today 10/12/25 (FOMC - Big News) Will history repeat: Before the news: Sideway | News release: prioritize SELL Today's range: 417X–423X Expectation: FOMC release leads to selling (Powell is usually hawkish → price drops like in September & October) 1) Intraday Trading (catching the Sideway range) Upper range: 4218–4220 4230–4233 Lower range: 4170–4173 4180–4182 → Morning & afternoon prioritize catching the range – trade within the range for safety before the news. 2) During the news (for those who trade the news) Not suitable for those who are risk-averse, so you can skip if you can't handle it. Limit if you want to learn and profit using a very small account. 1) 4218–4220 (Risk-only) (if it doesn't break all day) • High reaction area • Safe → skip • Risk → Probe sell, small SL 2) 4230–4233 (Main Sell) • Strong resistance within the range 3) 4240–4244–424X (Best Sell) • Liquidity zone • If spike during/before news → High RR sell 3) Target down TP1: 418X TP2: 416X-5x TP3: 409X (main target – swing + FVG + fibo) 4) BUY? Attention area: 4150-52 4128-32 4102-96 5) Note on the news This scenario holds if Powell maintains a hawkish tone. If Powell is more "dovish" → it may go against expectations. Risk-averse traders → do not trade the news. News traders → use a small account to test market reactions. Quick Summary Before the news → Sideway, catch the range 417X–423X News release → prioritize SELL SELL zone: 4218, 4230–4233, 4240–4244 Main target: 409X The price will move with each statement from the Fed Chairman and keep an eye on Trump too. Wishing everyone a victorious day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE..✨ XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE CUT DECISION Fundamental Outlook Over the past year, Silver has surged nearly 82%, while Gold has gained about 58%, showing that capital continues to favour the precious metals sector. The market is currently pricing in ~97% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed tomorrow. This expectation supports gold in the medium term, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. However, before the actual announcement, price usually swings sharply around short-term support and resistance zones. That’s why Lana prefers to trade based on M30 technical levels during this period. Technical Analysis (M30 – Support/Resistance Levels) For gold to drop deeper, the recent low around 4199 must be broken convincingly. At the moment, price is reacting near the 4190 support zone, a critical level. As long as this area holds, gold still has the potential to bounce within the current range. Above price, the next resistance zone is 4235–4238, aligning with previous FVG and supply areas — suitable for a Sell setup if price retraces upward. Below, the 4164–4167 area is the next strong support, also marked by Lana as a Buy scalping zone if the market flushes down rapidly. Summary: As long as support remains intact, Lana continues to favour Buy setups around these zones. Sell scenarios only become valid when price retraces to the higher resistance areas. Key Price Levels to Watch Important Supports: 4199 – 4190 (near-term low & short-term support) 4164 – 4167 (next Buy zone) Resistance / Sell Zone: 4235 – 4238 Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance Sell: 4235 – 4238 SL: 4243 TP: 4222 – 4205 – 4190 ⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy at Support Buy: 4164 – 4167 SL: 4159 TP: 4182 – 4202 – 4225 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback & Buy at Fibo + VAL support Gold is currently moving within a downward structure on the H1 timeframe. The present rise is only a corrective leg inside last week’s bearish trend. The key price area to watch is 4164 – if price cannot break and hold above this level, the H1 downtrend remains intact. Below that, the market appears to be targeting the Fibonacci 50% zone + VAL around 4125–4132, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity sits. 🔻 Scenario 1 – SELL the pullback within the bearish structure Sell: 4208 – 4212 Stop Loss: 4216 Take Profit: 4190 – 4176 – 4150 – 4130 Reasoning: The 4208–4212 zone is a clean pullback-sell region because: It aligns with the nearest H1 resistance. It sits just above the “strong support” that was recently broken and now acts as fresh resistance. If price retraces here, I prefer selling with the H1 downtrend, targeting 4190 → 4176 → deeper targets 4150–4130 near the Fibo base. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the Fibo + VAL Buy Zone (4125–4132) Buy: 4125 – 4132 Stop Loss: below 4132 (depending on risk preference) Take Profit: 4155 – 4190 – 4225 Reasoning: This is a high-confluence buy zone: It matches the Fibonacci 50% retracement of the previous rally. It aligns with the VAL (Value Area Low) where previous heavy volume was traded. If price sweeps this zone during a sell-off and gives a strong bullish reaction, I treat it as a place to accumulate buy positions for the rebound toward 4155–4190 and potentially 4225. 1️⃣ Macro Background – Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Market probabilities for a 25 bps Fed rate cut continue to rise: FedWatch: ~89.4% Polymarket: ~95% This shows the market is heavily pricing in monetary easing — supportive for gold in the medium term. However, short-term retracements may still occur due to profit-taking and position reshuffling. Bottom line: Macro favours gold overall, but H1 is still correcting. Instead of catching falling knives, I prefer selling pullbacks at resistance and buying only at clearly defined Fibo + VAL support. 2️⃣ Action Plan & Risk Management Sell only at: 4208–4212 → SL 4216 → TP 4190 / 4176 / 4150 / 4130 Buy only at: 4125–4132 → SL below 4132 → TP 4155 / 4190 / 4225 Avoid trading inside the middle zone 4160–4190, where price tends to chop during corrective waves. Risk per setup: 1–2% max, and never widen SL, even around Fed news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX