XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading
Price has broken the channel, but buying momentum is weakening – waiting for a pullback to the trendline for entries
Today’s Strategy Summary
Gold has broken out of its price channel, but the key point is that buying pressure is fading after the strong acceleration. With the market approaching the holiday period and liquidity thinning, the focus is on trading at the right liquidity zones rather than chasing price or FOMO.
Plan:
Look for Buy opportunities on pullbacks into the trendline / old channel
Look for Sell reactions at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478
1) Key Levels Today (from the chart)
✅ BUY zones (liquidity pullback)
Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382
SL: 4373
Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358
SL: 4353
These are clean liquidity areas to wait for price to retrace into – true liquidity-based trading: let price come back to reaction zones, do not chase highs.
✅ SELL zone (Fibonacci liquidity)
Sell zone: 4474 – 4478
SL: 4482
This is a premium + liquidity area. If price reaches this zone and fails to hold, the probability of profit-taking or a short-term reversal is high.
2) Main Scenario: Wait for a Pullback to the Channel/Trendline to Buy
After a breakout, the market often retests the old trendline or channel to confirm genuine buying strength.
As buying momentum is weakening, the likelihood of choppy moves and liquidity sweeps is high. Patience is key – wait for 4379–4382, or a deeper pullback into 4361–4358.
Expected targets (scalp / short swing):
Capture 8–15 USD moves depending on volatility, taking partial profits as price reacts according to plan.
3) Alternative Scenario: Sell Reaction at 4474–4478
If price continues to push higher into the Fibonacci zone, priority is to Sell on reaction rather than chasing Buy entries.
Only sell if there are signs of loss of momentum (long wicks, rejection, failure to close strongly above the zone).
4) News & Market Context: Thin Liquidity = Easy Sweeps
With the market nearing the holiday period, liquidity is weak, increasing the chances of spikes and stop-hunts.
Political and economic developments related to policy and tax matters are influencing corporate positioning, but at this stage, price is more likely to react to short-term capital flows rather than a sustainable trend.
Conclusion:
Today’s focus is “right zone – strict discipline”, avoiding mid-range entries and emotional trades.
5) Risk Management
Risk per trade: maximum 1–2%
Avoid trading when spreads widen or candles spike abnormally
Which scenario do you lean towards today?
A pullback to 4379 / 4361 for Buy, or a push to 4474–4478 for a Sell reaction?
Tecnicalanalysis
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛
Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛
Quick Summary
Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction
Status: New ATH has been established
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones
Market Outlook
Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes.
The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish.
Technical Perspective
After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend.
Preferred Buy Trading Plan
Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone
Buy: 4371 – 4374
SL: 4165
This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly.
Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone
Buy zone: 4342 – 4339
SL: 4330
If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry.
Fundamental View
Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year.
The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by:
Expectations of further Fed rate cuts
Strong inflows into ETF funds
Net buying by central banks
Escalating geopolitical tensions
The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO
Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility
If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci 💛
Quick Summary
Short-term trend: Ongoing bullish continuation
Timeframe: H1
Market context: Thin liquidity ahead of the holiday period; price has not yet broken resistance decisively
Strategy: Prioritise BUY setups, waiting for a pullback to the 50% Fibonacci level
Market Context
Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum and is trading close to the all-time high area around 4350 USD/ounce. Although price has not yet fully broken the upper resistance, the overall bullish structure remains intact.
Gold’s upside is supported by weaker US labour data, expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly concerns related to Venezuela ahead of President Trump’s upcoming speech.
With liquidity likely to remain thin due to the holiday period, price action may slow down. However, the primary bias still favours the upside.
H1 Technical Outlook
On the H1 chart, the bullish structure is well preserved. Price is consolidating just below a strong resistance zone, suggesting the market needs more time to absorb selling pressure.
The 50% Fibonacci retracement aligns with a support area that showed a strong reaction yesterday, making it a favourable zone to wait for a pullback and continue trading in line with the trend.
Intraday Trading Scenario
Main Scenario – Trend-following BUY
Entry: 4309 – 4312
SL: 4300
TP: 4330 → 4352 → 4390
Lana prefers to wait for a healthy pullback into this zone before entering, rather than chasing price near resistance.
Trading Notes
Thin liquidity → avoid large position sizes; focus on risk management
If price does not pull back into the planned zone, Lana is comfortable staying flat
Watch price reaction at resistance before expecting a breakout to new highs
Lana’s Note 🌿
Every setup is just one of many possible market scenarios. Lana always defines a clear stop loss and only trades when price reaches the pre-planned zone.
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to ...XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18
Waiting for CPI to “set the direction” | Buy on a break above 4355, Sell if the trendline breaks
Strategy Summary (10-second read)
Ahead of the US CPI data, gold is likely to stay range-bound and only make a decisive move once there is clear structural confirmation. Price is still holding within an ascending channel, but volume is declining noticeably → priority is confirmed break trades, no FOMO.
Buy only if price breaks and holds above the strong resistance at 4355
Short-term Sell if the rising trendline breaks
Mid-term Sell if the key low at 4306 is broken
Key Levels (Important chart levels)
Major resistance: 4355 (the “gateway” for bullish confirmation)
Sell scalping zone: 4354–4355 (short-term reaction area)
Sell liquidity zone: 4392 (overhead sell-side liquidity)
Structural level / key low: 4306 (a break opens mid-term sell potential)
FVG / deep liquidity draw: 4248 (target if strong distribution occurs)
Scenario 1: Bullish Move
(Activated only if 4355 is broken)
Confirmation: Price breaks and holds above 4355 (preferably with a clear H1 candle close).
Buy entry: 4348
SL: 4340
TP1: 4355–4360
TP2: 4392 (sell-side liquidity zone)
Logic:
With declining volume, fake breakouts are common. Therefore, buys are only valid once price decisively clears the directional resistance at 4355.
Scenario 2: Short-term Bearish Move
(Preferred if the rising trendline breaks)
Confirmation: A clear break of the lower trendline of the ascending channel → sell the breakdown.
After the break, prioritise selling on a retest of the trendline / nearby resistance
Avoid chasing price at the lows
First target typically lies near the below-liquidity area around 4306
Logic:
The trendline acts as the “backbone” of the uptrend. Losing it during CPI conditions + weakening volume increases the probability of a fast sell-off to sweep liquidity.
Scenario 3: Mid-term Bearish Move
(If 4306 is broken)
Confirmation: A clear and decisive break below 4306.
At that point, mid-term sell positions can be prioritised based on structure
Expected targets:
Extension towards deeper support zones, with the 4248 FVG being a notable liquidity draw.
News Context (Why confirmation matters today)
The market is waiting for US CPI, a key inflation release that can shift expectations around the Fed’s rate-cut path. This directly impacts the USD and the next directional move in XAUUSD.
➡️ Today’s focus: wait for range breaks + strict risk control.
Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade: 1–2%
If stopped out: pause and wait for fresh confirmation (no revenge trading)
This analysis is shared for perspective and trading planning purposes only
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis
Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛
Quick Summary
Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance
Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely
Market Context
The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors.
From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves.
H1 Technical View
On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions.
With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity
Buy: 4302 – 4306
SL: 4298
This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible.
Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance
Sell: 4351 – 4355
SL: 4360
This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions.
Trading Notes
Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits
Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news
Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range
Lana’s Note 🌿
Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today
Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306)
Strategy Overview
Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline.
1) Technical View
Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely.
However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move.
On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear.
2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL)
Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL)
✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL)
SL: 4295
Near TP: 4320 – 4330
Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully
Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks.
Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone
✅ Sell: Around 4370
SL: 4380
TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area)
Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup.
3) Trend Confirmation Conditions
Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones.
If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price.
4) Fundamental Context
CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term.
Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves.
💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today?
Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16)
Strategy Summary
Gold is holding its ground, but the main direction is still unclear because today comes with a series of high-impact news. My approach today is “wait for confirmation before entering”, with two clearly defined scenarios:
Bullish confirmation: Break and hold above 4320
Bearish confirmation: Break and hold below 4271
1) Key Price Levels on the Chart
4320: Bullish confirmation level + resistance / upper FVG zone
4370 – 4373: Strong liquidity zone → preferred area to look for SELL reactions
4271: Bearish confirmation level (support break)
Lower zone (based on structure / trendline): Deeper support area where price may react and bounce, as marked by the arrow on the chart
2) Today’s Trading Scenarios (Trade the Level Style)
Scenario A – Bullish (Only valid if price breaks above 4320)
If an H1 candle closes clearly above 4320, gold is likely to move up and test the upper liquidity zone.
Preferred approach: wait for a pullback and BUY short-term, following the move (as shown by the arrow).
Avoid FOMO buys in the middle of the move.
Reasonable target: 4370 – 4373 (Strong Liquidity).
Note: The 4370 – 4373 zone is highly likely to see selling pressure, as large liquidity is resting there.
Scenario B – Bearish (Confirmed if price breaks below 4271)
If price breaks below 4271 and fails on the retest, the bearish scenario becomes dominant (classic sell retest setup).
✅ Sell: 4271
❌ SL: 4280
🎯 Expectation: Price may extend lower toward deeper structural support zones.
3) Main SELL Setup at the Major Liquidity Zone
✅ Sell Entry: 4370
❌ SL: 4380
Logic: This is a Strong Liquidity zone where profit-taking and distribution are likely to appear.
➡️ Only SELL on confirmation and reaction — no chasing trades.
4) Today’s News (High Volatility Expected)
Today’s US data can cause sharp moves and stop hunts on both sides:
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Core Retail Sales m/m
Non-Farm Employment Change
Retail Sales m/m
Unemployment Rate
Flash Manufacturing PMI
Flash Services PMI
My rule: Reduce position size before news. After the news, wait for the market to show direction, then trade around 4320 / 4271.
5) Risk Management
Do not enter trades in the middle of a noisy range.
Only trade at key levels with confirmation.
💬 Question for everyone:
Which scenario are you leaning towards today — break above 4320 or break below 4271?
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛
Quick Summary
Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones
Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual
Market Context
The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales.
In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones.
Technical Outlook
After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move.
Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL
Sell: 4308 – 4312
SL: 4320
This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support
Buy: 4253
SL: 4240
This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts.
Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone
Buy: 4213
SL: 4200
This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long.
Session Notes
Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements
US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges
Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty.
On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading
Quick Summary
Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area.
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance.
Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session.
Market Context
The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan.
For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news.
Technical View
After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend.
On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell.
Trading Scenarios for Early Week
Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL)
Buy: 4298 – 4302
SL: 4294
This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend.
Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance
Sell: 4367 – 4370
SL: 4376
This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
Seeing vs Believing: Multi-Pattern Structure vs Single-Line BOOn the left, the weekly chart is mapped as a full A+ type setup, where multiple structural elements work together instead of relying on a single, convenient line.
-A red counter trendline marks a series of lower-high rejection points, visually defining the “least liquidity” supply line that price has repeatedly respected.
-A dotted parallel channel outlines a broader multi-pattern context.
-A dashed hidden line adds another layer of structure, hinting at less obvious inflection zones that are not visible at first glance but often align with prior reactions.
-Finally, an orange line represents a higher time frame resistance level, bringing in a top-down perspective so that the current weekly price action is seen in relation to a dominant, bigger-picture barrier.
On the right, by contrast, the chart is reduced to a single white line drawn in a way that “forces” the candles to appear as if they are breaking out.
This is a great example of chart psychology in action: instead of objectively mapping all relevant patterns, many traders draw what they want to see—one clean breakout line—ignoring hidden structures, multi-timeframe confluence, and complex pattern overlap.
The intention of this post is purely observational and educational, not forecasting.
It aims to show how a professional, multi-pattern approach (CT lines, channels, hidden lines, and higher timeframe levels) can radically change the way a chart is interpreted compared to the simplistic, single-line breakout mindset that dominates retail thinking.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a registered financial professional before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle
Weekly Plan Summary
Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure.
For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215.
1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase
The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal).
Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle.
ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart
A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction).
B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart).
C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction.
2) Key Price Levels
Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance)
Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262
Mid Support: 4238 – 4241
Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster)
Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191
If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed.
3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week
Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg
Sell: 4316 – 4320
SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone)
TP1: 4262
TP2: 4240
TP3: 4215
Logic:
The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range.
Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg
Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction)
SL: 4191
TP1: 4240
TP2: 4262
TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes)
Logic:
4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle.
Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320
If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone.
In this case:
Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions.
Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend.
4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase
Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market.
She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Trend intact, waiting for pullback to re-buy at the right zones
Strategy Summary
Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries were already captured, with price advancing around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend.
1) Trading Plan (H1)
✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258
SL: 4250
Meaning: A shallow pullback zone. If price holds the bullish structure and reacts higher here, trend-following buys are preferred.
✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235
SL: 4238
Meaning: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this area and shows strong confirmation, this becomes a higher-quality buy zone.
Projected Targets (based on chart):
Near resistance: 4285
Extended target: 4304 – 4307
2) Fundamental / News to Watch
The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report Q3/2025).
Voting FOMC members & Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speak on the 2026 economic outlook.
The US threatens expanded seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp spikes.
3) Technical & Behavioural View
Market structure remains bullish. After a strong impulse, a pullback is healthy before continuation.
Plan remains clear: buy only at predefined zones, no FOMO.
If price breaks below zones and closes H1 candles under SL levels, staying flat and waiting for a new structure is preferred.
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Outlook: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛
Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1)
Gold is revisiting the previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout.
Primary Tracking Timeframe
Timeframe: H4
Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance
Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to BUY at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50.
Market Context for the Coming Week
US Treasury yields, especially on the long end, remain elevated, increasing short-term volatility in gold.
Fed commentary continues to signal a cautious stance, while political uncertainty in the US may make gold flows more unpredictable.
As a result, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than trying to predict every short-term swing.
H4 Technical View (Medium Term)
Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cooling-off” phase to rebalance liquidity.
On H4, the two most important zones align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity areas, making them ideal zones to wait for pullbacks before continuing with the trend.
Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching
1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred)
Entry: 4216 – 4220
SL: 4210
This is a high-quality Fibonacci discount zone and an area where strong price reactions are likely if larger flows step in to support the trend.
2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy)
Entry: 4171 – 4175
SL: 4165
This scenario plays out if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry in terms of location, but it requires patience.
Trading Scenarios for the New Week
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks
Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades.
If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs.
Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated
If price stays in premium territory with strong volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries.
Instead, the focus is on observing price reactions and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Every setup represents a probability, not a certainty.
Stop loss is always predefined, and position sizing should be moderate to withstand gold’s wide volatility.
XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones
Yesterday’s strong news release means today the market has no clear direction.
In this situation, I don’t try to predict direction — I only focus on two key liquidity zones:
Sell timing zone around 4.219
Buy OB zone around 4.197–4.194
The Asian session showed selling pressure, but the larger trend hasn't changed.
So the plan is: short-term sells – buy at strong support, not all-in one direction.
🎯 Scenario 1 – Timing SELL at 4.219 (for experienced traders only)
Sell zone: around 4.219
Important: This is a timing entry, NOT a pending limit order.
Allowed deviation: ~2 pips.
If ideal timing is 4.219 but you see price already hit 4.221 → skip, don’t chase.
TP reference: at least 15 pips, e.g. 4.204–4.203 or lower depending on entry.
Idea:
4.219 is an upper liquidity zone where FOMO buy orders tend to cluster.
If price sweeps above and weakens, I take a short-term sell following Asian session selling momentum.
Targets are intraday only — no long holding.
⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY at OB 4.197–4.194
Buy zone: 4.197 – 4.194
Setup invalid if: price breaks below 4.191 and holds there
TP: At least 15+ pips, e.g. 4.209–4.212 depending on entry.
Why this zone?
4.197–4.194 is a clean bullish order block where strong buying previously pushed price up.
If price retraces here and shows good reaction (wick rejection, rising buy volume), I treat it as a chance to rebuild long positions with good R:R.
1️⃣ Market fundamentals & sentiment
After a strong rally, gold bulls are becoming more cautious.
Main reason: uncertainty over the speed of Fed rate cuts next year.
Everyone expects cuts — but no one knows how fast, how many, or when exactly.
As a result, gold is no longer trending straight upward; it is now trading in a wider, jumpy range around the highs.
So instead of trying to catch a long trend today, I focus on liquidity zones and price reactions.
2️⃣ Plan & discipline
Do NOT enter trades around 4.20x.
Only act at:
Timing Sell 4.219 (±2 pips — if missed, skip)
Buy OB 4.197–4.194 (invalid below 4.191)
Risk per trade: 1–2% max, no holding when invalidated.
If price breaks both zones and trends strongly (due to new data), I stay out and wait for clearer structure.
👉 Above 4.219 → only look for SELL timing
👉 Between 4.197–4.194 → look for BUY
👉 Below 4.191 → cancel buy setup and wait
XAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTIONXAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTION (H1)
1. Fundamental Analysis
While Trump is making headlines with his idea of a “Gold Card” worth up to USD 1 million, the bigger story is the continued capital flow into gold as a safe-haven and long-term accumulation asset.
Bank of America maintains that gold is still in a long-term uptrend and is “under-owned”, projecting that prices could reach USD 5,000/oz by 2026 if investment demand increases.
With this backdrop, Lana keeps the same view: the current H1 corrections are mainly opportunities to find trend-aligned buy entries rather than rushing to sell against the major uptrend.
2. Technical Analysis (H1)
On H1, the corrective ABC structure has completed, and price has bounced precisely from the rising trendline — showing buyers still defending the trend.
The latest bullish leg is currently retracing to test:
Fibonacci 0.382, which aligns with a short-term support zone.
Fibonacci 0.236, closer to the main trendline, forming a strong confluence area for buying.
While upper resistance remains around previous highs and the major trendline above, Lana is currently focused on waiting for price to retrace into the Fibo–trendline zones before anticipating the next bullish wave.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Buy scalping zone (Fibo 0.382 + support): 4205 – 4207
Deeper buy zone (Fibo 0.236 + trendline): 4196 – 4198
Technical SL:
Below 4200 for the upper setup
Below 4190 for the lower setup
4. Trade Scenarios
⭐ Scenario 1 – Buy at Fibo 0.382 + support
Buy: 4205 – 4207
SL: 4200
TP: Aim for the nearest highs around 423x–425x, depending on risk appetite.
⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy at Fibo 0.236 + trendline
Buy: 4196 – 4198
SL: 4190
TP: Similar targets; partial profit-taking is recommended as price approaches upper resistance.
Lana will wait for price to retrace into one of these zones before entering, avoiding FOMO entries when candles are moving too aggressively.
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates directly on your mobile. 💛
XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead...✨ XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead of the Fed Meeting
From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a “waiting for direction” phase.
Price is trapped between the 4,221–4,239 resistance band and the strong 4,166 support area.
On the 45-minute timeframe, the structure is forming a sideways top after the recent upward move.
With the Fed set to announce its interest rate decision soon, I avoid predicting blindly and prefer to let these key zones guide my trading decisions.
🎯 Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance
4,221 – 4,225: Fibo 0.236–0.382 cluster + heavy volume zone
4,239: Extended resistance high — if broken, price may target the 4.25x region
Strong Support
4,166: The “Strong Support” zone on the chart, currently defining the bottom of the range
Below 4.166, the 4.12x region aligns with the Fibo 1.618 extension — a zone where liquidity could be swept if the market sells off sharply
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Preferred if price holds above 4,200)
Conditions:
Price stays firmly above 4,200
Clear breakout of 4,221–4,225
A 45m candle closes above this zone
If these occur, it signals buyers are regaining control.
Suggested approach:
Buy on a break & retest of 4,221–4,225
SL: below 4,210
TP: 4,245 → 4,258 → 4,270
As long as gold remains above 4,200, I keep a bullish bias and consider dips into the 4.20x region as opportunities to buy.
📌 Scenario 2 – Short-Term Sell From Upper Range Resistance
If price fails to break 4,221–4,239 and forms:
Wick rejections
Small-body candles
→ I treat this as exhaustion at resistance.
Trade idea:
Sell: 4,221–4,225 (up to 4,239 if there is a spike)
SL: above 4,239
TP: 4,190 → 4,176 → 4,166
If selling pressure is strong: extended target 4,130
This setup is suited for scalping or short swings, and goes against the medium-term bullish bias — so position sizing must be controlled carefully.
1️⃣ Fundamental Context: Everything Depends on the Fed
USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the market’s wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed decision.
Traders don’t want to commit heavily before such major news, so gold tends to move within a range.
Once the Fed releases its rate decision and guidance, gold’s volatility can expand dramatically — possibly sweeping both resistance and support.
Because of that, I do not recommend placing large-position trades right before the announcement.
Instead, focus on observing price reactions at 4,221 and 4,166 to determine whether the next leg will be upward or downward.
2️⃣ My Trading Plan
Above 4,221 with stable price action: Prefer buying the breakout, targeting the 4.25x zone.
Failure to break 4,221, weak candles: Consider shorting toward 4.19x – 4.166.
If price drops directly below 4.166: I stay out temporarily and wait for the market to form a new balanced region before planning the next trade.
Risk per trade: 1–2% maximum, no widening stop-loss during high-impact news.
If you find this analysis useful, follow the TradingView channel and comment whether you expect a breakout above 4,221 or a reversal from resistance — we’ll update again after the Fed announcement.
Holding Breath for FOMC News - Will History Repeat?XAUUSD Trading Idea Today 10/12/25 (FOMC - Big News)
Will history repeat:
Before the news: Sideway | News release: prioritize SELL
Today's range: 417X–423X
Expectation: FOMC release leads to selling (Powell is usually hawkish → price drops like in September & October)
1) Intraday Trading (catching the Sideway range)
Upper range:
4218–4220
4230–4233
Lower range:
4170–4173
4180–4182
→ Morning & afternoon prioritize catching the range – trade within the range for safety before the news.
2) During the news (for those who trade the news)
Not suitable for those who are risk-averse, so you can skip if you can't handle it. Limit if you want to learn and profit using a very small account.
1) 4218–4220 (Risk-only) (if it doesn't break all day)
• High reaction area
• Safe → skip
• Risk → Probe sell, small SL
2) 4230–4233 (Main Sell)
• Strong resistance within the range
3) 4240–4244–424X (Best Sell)
• Liquidity zone
• If spike during/before news → High RR sell
3) Target down
TP1: 418X
TP2: 416X-5x
TP3: 409X (main target – swing + FVG + fibo)
4) BUY?
Attention area:
4150-52
4128-32
4102-96
5) Note on the news
This scenario holds if Powell maintains a hawkish tone.
If Powell is more "dovish" → it may go against expectations.
Risk-averse traders → do not trade the news.
News traders → use a small account to test market reactions.
Quick Summary
Before the news → Sideway, catch the range 417X–423X
News release → prioritize SELL
SELL zone: 4218, 4230–4233, 4240–4244
Main target: 409X
The price will move with each statement from the Fed Chairman and keep an eye on Trump too.
Wishing everyone a victorious day.
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE..✨ XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE CUT DECISION
Fundamental Outlook
Over the past year, Silver has surged nearly 82%, while Gold has gained about 58%, showing that capital continues to favour the precious metals sector.
The market is currently pricing in ~97% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed tomorrow. This expectation supports gold in the medium term, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
However, before the actual announcement, price usually swings sharply around short-term support and resistance zones. That’s why Lana prefers to trade based on M30 technical levels during this period.
Technical Analysis (M30 – Support/Resistance Levels)
For gold to drop deeper, the recent low around 4199 must be broken convincingly.
At the moment, price is reacting near the 4190 support zone, a critical level. As long as this area holds, gold still has the potential to bounce within the current range.
Above price, the next resistance zone is 4235–4238, aligning with previous FVG and supply areas — suitable for a Sell setup if price retraces upward.
Below, the 4164–4167 area is the next strong support, also marked by Lana as a Buy scalping zone if the market flushes down rapidly.
Summary:
As long as support remains intact, Lana continues to favour Buy setups around these zones.
Sell scenarios only become valid when price retraces to the higher resistance areas.
Key Price Levels to Watch
Important Supports:
4199 – 4190 (near-term low & short-term support)
4164 – 4167 (next Buy zone)
Resistance / Sell Zone:
4235 – 4238
Trading Scenarios
⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance
Sell: 4235 – 4238
SL: 4243
TP: 4222 – 4205 – 4190
⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy at Support
Buy: 4164 – 4167
SL: 4159 TP: 4182 – 4202 – 4225
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates.
XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback & Buy at Fibo + VAL support
Gold is currently moving within a downward structure on the H1 timeframe. The present rise is only a corrective leg inside last week’s bearish trend.
The key price area to watch is 4164 – if price cannot break and hold above this level, the H1 downtrend remains intact.
Below that, the market appears to be targeting the Fibonacci 50% zone + VAL around 4125–4132, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity sits.
🔻 Scenario 1 – SELL the pullback within the bearish structure
Sell: 4208 – 4212
Stop Loss: 4216
Take Profit: 4190 – 4176 – 4150 – 4130
Reasoning:
The 4208–4212 zone is a clean pullback-sell region because:
It aligns with the nearest H1 resistance.
It sits just above the “strong support” that was recently broken and now acts as fresh resistance.
If price retraces here, I prefer selling with the H1 downtrend, targeting 4190 → 4176 → deeper targets 4150–4130 near the Fibo base.
⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the Fibo + VAL Buy Zone (4125–4132)
Buy: 4125 – 4132
Stop Loss: below 4132 (depending on risk preference)
Take Profit: 4155 – 4190 – 4225
Reasoning:
This is a high-confluence buy zone:
It matches the Fibonacci 50% retracement of the previous rally.
It aligns with the VAL (Value Area Low) where previous heavy volume was traded.
If price sweeps this zone during a sell-off and gives a strong bullish reaction, I treat it as a place to accumulate buy positions for the rebound toward 4155–4190 and potentially 4225.
1️⃣ Macro Background – Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
Market probabilities for a 25 bps Fed rate cut continue to rise:
FedWatch: ~89.4%
Polymarket: ~95%
This shows the market is heavily pricing in monetary easing — supportive for gold in the medium term.
However, short-term retracements may still occur due to profit-taking and position reshuffling.
Bottom line:
Macro favours gold overall, but H1 is still correcting.
Instead of catching falling knives, I prefer selling pullbacks at resistance and buying only at clearly defined Fibo + VAL support.
2️⃣ Action Plan & Risk Management
Sell only at: 4208–4212 → SL 4216 → TP 4190 / 4176 / 4150 / 4130
Buy only at: 4125–4132 → SL below 4132 → TP 4155 / 4190 / 4225
Avoid trading inside the middle zone 4160–4190, where price tends to chop during corrective waves.
Risk per setup: 1–2% max, and never widen SL, even around Fed news.
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG AT THE START OF THE WEEK
Fundamental Analysis
During periods of Quantitative Easing (QE), the Federal Reserve injects liquidity into the financial system by purchasing bonds. This expands the “liquidity reservoir” and generally supports asset prices, including gold.
Conversely, under Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed gradually reduces its balance sheet, pulling cash out of the system and tightening financial conditions.
Currently, with QT having ended, the Fed is essentially signaling that:
The current liquidity level is the minimum they consider safe.
They want to avoid a repeat of the liquidity shock seen in 2019.
This reduces medium-term tightening pressure on gold. However, in the short term, gold is still undergoing a technical correction, which is why Lana prefers to trade based on Elliott Wave structure rather than reacting to news.
Technical Analysis – Elliott Wave on M30
On the M30 timeframe, gold is in a corrective C wave, which may be the final leg of the current structure.
The prior 5-wave bullish move showed signs of a truncated fifth wave, failing to create a strong new high – an indication that buying momentum has weakened.
Early this week, price swept Buy-side liquidity but could not hold upward momentum, reflecting weak bullish sentiment.
Below current price, the 4128–4135 zone is a key area — both a support region and the potential completion zone of wave C if the decline extends.
With this structure in mind, Lana’s plan for the week is to prioritize Sell setups, following the C-wave, instead of attempting early bottom-picking.
Key Price Zones
Sell-on-pullback zone:
4215 – 4218 (Primary entry zone)
Downside liquidity & target zones:
4192 – 4175 – 4164: Intermediate liquidity points on the way down
4135 – 4130: Expected completion area for wave C (aligning with the 4128–4135 support zone)
Trading Scenarios
⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell following the Elliott Wave C leg
Sell Entry: 4215 – 4218
Maximum SL: 4220
TP: Minimum +20 pips from entry
Extended target: 4135 – 4130 if the market completes the full corrective structure
This week, Lana will not prioritize early Buy entries, and will only consider buying again if price approaches the 4128–4135 zone with clearer reversal signals.
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates on the larger gold wave structure.
/]*/USD – Volume Profile: Selling at VAH, Buying at POC Within..XAUUSD – Volume Profile: Selling at VAH, Buying at POC Within a Wide Range
Gold is currently trading inside a broad H1 range, showing hesitation after last week’s decline. The present movement is essentially a pullback phase within the H1 downtrend, so I prefer to trade based on Volume Profile liquidity zones instead of trying to predict a new trend.
Price is now approaching the VAH (Value Area High), while below we have the POC cluster + ascending channel support — the two key zones guiding today’s trading decisions.
🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at VAH / Supply Zone
Sell: 4.221 – 4.223
SL: 4.228
TP: 4.212 – 4.200 – 4.178 – 4.150
Logic:
The H1 VAH sits around the 4.22x region, aligning with resistance near the upper boundary of the minor ascending channel.
This area previously triggered strong selling pressure, pushing price back inside the value region. If price retests this zone and forms weak candles (long upper wicks, small bodies), I prioritise short-term Sell trades in line with the current corrective swing.
TP levels:
4.212: bottom of the balance zone
4.200: lower boundary of the range
4.178 – 4.150: deeper liquidity lows
Although this setup aligns with the H1 correction, it still counters the larger uptrend, so I keep a moderate position size and a strict SL at 4.228.
⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at POC / Channel Support
Buy: 4.193 – 4.195
SL: 4.187
TP: 4.210 – 4.235 – 4.260
Logic:
The 4.193–4.195 zone is the POC (Point of Control) — the highest-volume area — aligning with the ascending channel support and short-term demand.
If price drops from VAH and reaches the POC while showing clear signs of buying pressure, this becomes my preferred intraday reversal area.
Targets are the mid-channel zone at 4.210, then the previous upper boundary at 4.235–4.260.
This setup leverages the tendency of large players to defend the POC, especially when no major negative news is strong enough to break the structure.
1️⃣ Quick Macro Outlook
Global capital flow is rotating into other risk-on assets such as Chinese equities, benefiting from AI themes, economic recovery expectations, and attractive valuations. MSCI China has outperformed the S&P 500 this year.
In commodities, Goldman Sachs still forecasts NYMEX natural gas at USD 4.50/MMBtu by summer 2026, showing that major investors remain optimistic about the broader commodity group.
In summary, a risk-on environment does not eliminate gold’s role, but it increases volatility as capital rotates — making Volume Profile and liquidity zones even more effective than directional bias.
2️⃣ Technical View & Execution Plan
On H1, price moves inside a mild ascending channel, but the overall structure remains a corrective phase of the prior decline.
VAH 4.22x: Favourable for Sell setups as short-term sellers dominate here.
POC 4.19x + support: Expected buy zone where bulls may defend the channel.
Execution rules:
Only trade at predefined zones — no FOMO in the middle of the range.
Risk per scenario capped at 1–2% of account; SL must not be widened.
Invalidation:
If price breaks above 4.228 → exit Sell idea, wait for new structure.
If price drops below 4.187 → exit Buy idea, avoid catching a falling knife.
If price breaks strongly through both VAH and POC and stabilises outside, I will abandon both setups and update my view accordingly.
If you find this analysis helpful, follow the TradingView account and comment whether you prefer Sell at VAH or Buy at POC today — I always read the feedback before preparing the next post.
Real-Time XAG/USD Chart Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds TowardFOREXCOM:XAGUSD
Real-Time XAG/USD Chart Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds Toward $60
As of December 8, 2025 (Intraday: Early Trading)
Current Price: 58.31 USD (Down ~0.08% from previous close of 58.36; trading range: 57.59–58.74)
Asset: XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar)
Key Context: Silver's consolidating just shy of its all-time high of 59.42 hit earlier this week, with fresh ETF inflows and tightening physical inventories underscoring the uptrend. Amid Fed rate-cut bets and robust industrial demand (solar, AI), the technical setup leans Strong Buy—a pullback could be a gift for longs eyeing new records.
Quick Macro Snapshot
Tailwinds: Weaker USD from softer PCE inflation and labor data, plus record SLV ETF inflows (highest in 10 years). Supply crunch on Shanghai exchanges at multi-year lows, with green tech demand projected to drive deficits. Silver's 2025 YTD gains now at ~83%, outpacing gold's rally.
Headwinds: Overstretched speculative positioning could spark profit-taking; hawkish Fed signals next week might cap upside if yields rebound.
Technical Breakdown
Pulling from daily and 4H charts, the bias is firmly bullish despite minor intraday dips:
Trend & Moving Averages (Strong Buy):
Daily: Price well above rising 200-day EMA (~55.00) and 50-day EMA (~50.00), with all major MAs aligned bullish. 200-hour EMA at 56.30 provides dynamic support.
4H: Golden cross intact on EMAs; buyers defending the ascending channel.
Implication: Uptrend channel from October lows holding; retest of $59+ imminent on volume pickup.
Momentum Indicators (Neutral with Bullish Tilt):
RSI (14): 50.82 (Neutral)—cooled from overbought but no divergence yet, leaving room for extension.
MACD (12,26): Recently slipped negative below zero line (bearish histogram), signaling short-term downside momentum, but line still above signal overall.
Stochastics (9,6): ~65 (Buy territory); not overbought.
CCI (14): Neutral (~0); Williams %R: -45 (Mild buy).
ADX (14): 28 (Moderate trend strength, bullish direction).
Implication: Momentum pausing after the ATH push, but neutral RSI avoids sell signals—watch for bullish crossover.
Volume & Volatility:
ATR (14): ~0.85 (Elevated vs. recent avg., indicating volatility spike post-breakout).
Bull/Bear Power: Bulls dominant (+0.45), with options flow heavy on calls.
Pivot Points & Key Levels (Classic):LevelPriceTypeR359.50ResistanceR259.20ResistanceR159.00ResistancePivot58.15NeutralS157.50SupportS256.50SupportS356.20Support
Support Cluster: 56.20–56.50 (200h EMA + key zone; break below eyes 55.25 weekly support).
Resistance: 59.00–59.35 (recent ATH; clear for $60+ push).
Fibonacci: 61.8% extension from Oct lows targets 60.50.
Weekly Outlook
Broader uptrend: Strong Buy on MAs; Triangle pattern resolving higher, with potential test of 55.25 support before rally to 60.65–68.05. YTD doubling makes $65 realistic if Fed cuts materialize.
Risk: Drop below 56.20 could accelerate to 54–55 (prior resistance-turned-support), but low probability amid deficit forecasts.
Bias: Buy the dip—industrial tailwinds and ETF momentum point to $60 by quarter-end.
Trade Takeaway: Long above 58.15 pivot (stop below 56.50). Target R1 at 59.00 for 1:2 risk/reward. Squad, silver's stealing gold's thunder—$60 next, or Fed-induced pause? What's your play? #XAG #SilverAnalysis #SignalSquad






















