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XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI Hello Traders, Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset. Fundamental Outlook In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September. Technical Perspective Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687. Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out. For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile. Trading Strategies Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers. Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level. Conclusion For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
TVC:XAXLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Bearish Scenario Moving as PlannedBitcoin – Bearish Scenario Moving as Planned Hello traders, BTC is moving exactly in line with the plan, reacting well within the channel and showing a pullback at the retest of the rising trend. Hopefully many of you managed to catch the short signal shared earlier. Following the current momentum, BTC is holding well on the downside. The short position can be maintained in the medium term, with the next long zone expected around 105k. On higher timeframes, BTC still remains in a broader bullish structure, with potential for higher targets from long-term buy zones. However, current market sentiment shows much of the liquidity flowing into gold, so BTC may move more slowly in the short run. This is my next trading outlook for BTC. Take it as reference, stay patient, and manage your trades with discipline. Do share your views in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally?XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally? Hello traders, Gold has now posted six straight daily gains, showing the strong momentum behind this buying wave. This reflects the current sentiment in global markets, where gold continues to be treated as one of the most important safe-haven assets amid ongoing tariff discussions and a flood of news. Part of this move has been driven by speculation around former US President Trump. While the news itself is unclear and not fully verified, it has been enough to influence global financial markets and push gold higher in recent sessions. From a technical perspective, gold has already broken out of its daily trend channel and extended strongly higher. Right now, price is pausing around the Fibonacci 1.618 extension at 3536, which is acting as a dynamic resistance. If a bearish structure forms on the M15 timeframe, a short entry could be activated at this level. Short scenario: Watch 3536 – if bearish confirmation appears on M15, short positions may be considered. Buy scenario: The broader uptrend remains intact. A retest of the previous highs at 3500–3505 could offer a strong long entry for the medium to long term. From a market psychology standpoint, this price area will be closely observed: buyers have already taken profits, while sellers have been partially liquidated. This means lower timeframes will be crucial for spotting clean entries. This is my view on gold for today. Take it as reference, trade with discipline, and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Sell Strategy ActivatedXAUUSD – Sell Strategy Activated Hello traders, Gold has followed the expected scenario, reacting precisely around the 3508–3510 zone. This correction is a good signal to consider a bearish outlook. However, for a clearer confirmation, price needs to close an M15 candle below 3466. If that happens, the previous bullish wave will be considered invalid, giving a stronger probability for the Sell setup. Structurally, gold is still within the main rising channel, which means an early short entry should wait until liquidity from the small FVG zone above is fully taken. Technical indicators are supporting this view: MACD has shown consistent bearish momentum in the last 4 H1 candles. Several indicators are already showing divergence, pointing to weakening bullish strength. Sell zone to watch: around 3488–3491. Setup invalidated if price breaks above the nearest resistance. At this stage, the appetite for new long positions is fading, and buying at these levels carries greater risk. Remember, no trend moves in one direction forever – for price to reach higher targets, secondary corrective moves are necessary. This is my trading scenario for gold in the coming sessions. Take it as reference and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New WeekBitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New Week Hello traders, BTC continues to follow the expected path. On the chart, price has held steady after breaking down from the rising channel, and the medium-term bearish structure on the H4 timeframe remains in play. For the longer term, we would still need to see breaks of major supports on higher timeframes to confirm that deeper downside is possible. But for now, the structure remains unchanged from my previous analysis. Short zone: still valid around 111k Long zone: still valid around 105k As the new week begins, BTC may consolidate further for another 1–2 sessions to build liquidity before showing its next clear move. This is my updated technical view for BTC – take it as reference, and plan your trades with discipline. What’s your outlook for this week? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Where Could the Short-Term Trend Go?Bitcoin – Where Could the Short-Term Trend Go? Hello traders, BTC is currently consolidating strongly around the rising trendline on the D1 timeframe. Price has shown a strong rejection at this level. The overall market structure is still moving in line with the scenario I shared earlier, but I want to update a short-term plan to help optimise trading opportunities. The upward channel remains key. During this sideways phase, BTC has created a small support–resistance zone, which now acts as a key level to determine the short-term trend and guide entries. Resistance at 113.3k: A breakout above this level would confirm a Long signal. Support at 108.8k: A breakdown here would activate a Short signal. If support is broken, the medium-term outlook shifts towards the bearish scenario I mentioned earlier, with potential downside towards the 9x region. This is supported by the larger timeframe structure, which provides enough basis for that expectation. This is my current short-term trading plan for BTC. Use it as reference, and share your perspective in the comments so we can learn together.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by BrianLionCapital
EUR/USD Short Setup: Resistance Rejection at 1.1710Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 15-min Current Price: ~1.1703 Setup Shown: A short trade (sell position) with: Entry: ~1.1709 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1729 Take Profit (TP): 1.1631 Risk/Reward Ratio: About 1:4 (20 pips risk, ~80 pips potential reward) Technical Observations: Recent Trend: Price rallied from ~1.1630 up to ~1.1710. After reaching resistance, it’s stalling around 1.1710. Resistance Zone: Around 1.1710–1.1730, multiple rejections are visible. That makes this area a good short-entry zone. Support Zone: Next strong support lies near 1.1630–1.1640, which is the TP level. If broken, EUR/USD could continue lower. Volume: Volume spikes during the previous drop, showing strong selling interest. Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows are visible before the rally. This move could just be a retracement in a broader downtrend. Trade Idea (from chart): Bias: Bearish Reasoning: Price rejected resistance at 1.1710–1.1730. Risk is small compared to the potential downside (good R:R). Confirmation Needed: Watch for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) at current levels. Check for USD strength in macro data/events. ✅ If confirmed, the short makes sense: Sell near: 1.1709 Stop loss: 1.1729 Take profit: 1.1631
Short
by GOLD_SUPPLIER
CCL PRODUCTS (INDIA) LIMITED EQUITY RESEARCH REPORTRecommendation: BUY Target Price: ₹1,050 (12-month horizon) Stop Loss: ₹850 Rationale CCL Products represents a compelling investment opportunity in India's food processing sector. The company's strong financial performance, market leadership position, and strategic expansion plans provide solid fundamentals for continued growth. Strong Q4 FY25 results with 50.38% PBT growth and 15.02% revenue growth demonstrate operational excellence and market demand strength. Catalyst Timeline Near-term (3-6 months): Q1 FY26 results and capacity utilization updates Medium-term (6-12 months): Specialty coffee segment scaling and Vietnam facility ramp-up Long-term (12-24 months): Achievement of 100,000 MT capacity target Risk-Reward Assessment Upside Potential: 14.1% to target price Risk Level: Moderate to High (commodity exposure) Investment Horizon: Medium to long-term (12-18 months)
NSE:CCLLong
by rmhetre15
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)? The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like: Bullion: Gold, Silver Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities. Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement: 🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions Inflation Recession fears GDP data 🪙 2. Currency Movements Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices. 📉 3. Interest Rates Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa. 💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices. 🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge. 💼 6. Central Bank Policies Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by TechnicalExpress
4
Gold Breaking Down – Rising Channel + Wedge Breakdown Gold Breaking Down – Rising Channel + Wedge Breakdown Description: Gold has broken down from a rising channel on the daily timeframe and a rising wedge on the weekly, signaling a possible intermediate correction. Key Observations: - Momentum divergence on RSI, MACD, EFI - Bearish volume supporting the move - Price now below 20 EMA, approaching 50 EMA - Weekly wedge failure after a secondary test of highs Macro Drivers: - Lower inflation - Stable USD - Dovish Fed stance - Middle East tension cooled - Gold appears overpriced on relative terms Trade Setup: 🔻 Breakdown: ₹97,500 🎯 Targets: ₹92,000 → ₹87,000 🛑 Stoploss: ₹1,00,560 (near ATR and resistance) 🧠 Bearish bias short-term unless macro changes again.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by Punit190
institutional Nifty-50 option tradingInstitutional Nifty-50 option trading refers to the strategic use of Nifty-50 options (CE & PE) by FIIs, DIIs, Hedge Funds, and Banks to hedge, speculate, or manage risk on large capital positions. Unlike retail, their trades are data-driven and volume-heavy. Key Institutional Strategies: Delta-Neutral Strategies – Like Long Straddles or Strangles, where institutions profit from volatility. Covered Call / Protective Puts – To hedge large Nifty portfolios. Bull/Bear Spreads – Deployed when directional conviction is strong but limited in risk appetite. Option Writing – Writing options at OI resistance/support to generate premiums. Calendar Spreads – Leveraging time decay while anticipating movement. 📈 How to Track Institutional Activity: Option Chain Analysis: Spot high OI shifts with unusual volumes. OI + Volume + IV: Use combined data to infer institutional positioning. Change in PCR (Put Call Ratio): Signals sentiment shift at index levels. FII-DII Daily Derivative Data: Published by NSE after market hours. Strike-wise Open Interest Heatmaps: Help identify resistance/support zones built by institutions.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
MASTEK – Daily Timeframe Breakout Idea (Resistance Zone Break)MASTEK has broken above a key resistance zone on the daily timeframe, backed by a strong bullish candle and a significant volume surge. 📌 Breakout Context: The stock consolidated near the ₹2460–2480 zone for several sessions, forming a horizontal resistance zone. On July 4th, the price broke out with strong bullish momentum, closing above the resistance with a wide-range green candle and a volume spike. The breakout candle also closed above both 50- and 100-day Simple Moving Averages, confirming a bullish bias. 💡 Trade Setup: Entry: ₹2550–2570 (near breakout) Stop Loss: Below the breakout zone at ₹2472 Target: ₹2780+ (2.2R setup) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.2 (ideal for swing trades) 🎯 Why This Setup Stands Out: Volume on the breakout day is notably higher than average, confirming institutional interest. Clean horizontal breakout from a multi-week range. SMA structure is bullish, with the price reclaiming key MAs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:MASTEKLong
by ashutoshanand30
PVR INOX – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout | July 2025📊 PVR INOX – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout | July 2025 A potential breakout setup is forming on both the daily and weekly charts in PVR INOX: 🔹 Structure: Symmetrical triangle on both timeframes, showing price contraction near ₹1040 🔹 Momentum: RSI holding above 50, MACD turning positive 🔹 Volume Spike: Breakout supported by increasing volume 🔹 Sector Rotation: Media & Entertainment sector showing improving relative strength 🔹 Macro Narrative: Theme of rising screen expansion + easing inflation supports business growth --- 📌 Strategy Overview: • Entry on breakout above ₹1040 • Target 1: ₹1080 • Target 2: ₹1126 • Stop-loss: ₹955 (below pattern support) Timeframes Aligned: Weekly: Structure intact with price near resistance Daily: Ready for breakout Hourly: Momentum building near apex --- 🧠 Conclusion: A multi-timeframe setup with technical + narrative alignment. Watch for confirmation with strong candle + above-average volume.
NSE:PVRINOXLong
by Punit190
2
Option TradingInvesting Approach by Institutions ✅ Investment Philosophy: Long-term horizon Focus on fundamentals (P/E, ROE, growth) Sector rotation and macro trends ✅ Allocation Strategies: Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA) Smart Beta and Factor Investing Trading Strategies by Institutions 🔹 High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Executes thousands of trades in milliseconds Relies on arbitrage, price inefficiencies 🔹 Statistical Arbitrage Mean-reversion strategies using historical patterns 🔹 Swing & Trend Trading Use technical indicators like MACD, Moving Averages, RSI
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advance Option Trading Why Institutions Prefer Options Leverage – Control large positions with small capital Risk Management – Protect portfolios Cash Flow – Earn premium income Volatility Play – Earn from IV rise/fall Customization – Tailored exposure using exotic options Core Strategies Used by Institutions 1. Protective Puts Buy puts to insure large stock holdings against downside risk. 2. Covered Calls Earn premium income on long-term stock holdings. 3. Calendar Spreads Take advantage of time decay and volatility differences. 4. Straddles & Strangles Bet on volatility movement, not direction. Tools Used by Institutional Option Traders Bloomberg Terminal – Real-time data, pricing models Quantitative Models – Black-Scholes, Binomial Trees Algo Execution – Smart order routing Risk Management Software – VaR, Greeks analysis Option Analytics Platforms – Orats, Trade Alert
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
(XAU/USD) 3H Chart – Bearish Reversal Setup from Resistance Zone1. Entry Point (Sell): Marked at 3,335.03 This is a key resistance level where price is expected to reverse downward. 2. Stop Loss: Placed above at 3,354.88 This acts as a protection level in case the trade goes against the direction. 3. Take Profit Targets (EA Target Points): TP1 (Downside): 3,245.65 TP2 (Upside - if Stop Loss is hit): 3,455.76 (in case of reversal or long position) 4. Price Action Observation: Price is currently around 3,320.56, climbing back toward the entry zone. The red 50-period moving average (EMA) and blue 200-period MA show convergence, often preceding volatility. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Setup) Sell Bias is expected from the 3,335 region. If price respects the resistance zone and breaks down again, the target is 3,245.65, yielding approximately 90-point move. This is a risk-reward favorable setup, with: Risk: ~20 points Reward: ~90 points RRR ≈ 1:4.5 --- ⚠️ Bullish Invalidity (Stop Loss Hit) If the price breaks and closes above 3,354.88, it invalidates the bearish setup. Then, the market may shift towards targeting 3,455.76 — about 100 points to the upside. --- 🔧 Technical Factors Supporting the Setup Supply zone marked by the purple box around the entry. Trend previously bearish — recent upward move may just be a retracement. Confluence with MAs: Price is testing MAs — rejection here would add bearish confirmation. --- ✅ Summary of Trade Setup Element Value Entry 3,335.03 Stop Loss 3,354.88 Take Profit 3,245.65 Alt Target 3,455.76 (if SL hit) Risk-Reward ~1:4.5 Bias Bearish (Sell Setup)
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Institutional Master classOption Trading Basics Call vs Put Options Detailed In-the-Money (ITM), At-the-Money (ATM), Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Options Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, Rho – controlling price sensitivity. Understanding Option Premium Breakup Option Strategies Single-Leg Strategies: Buying Calls, Buying Puts Multi-Leg Strategies: Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Iron Condor Straddle and Strangle Hedging Techniques: How institutions and traders use options to hedge positions. Option Chain Analysis Reading Option Chain Data Open Interest (OI) & Change in OI IV (Implied Volatility) Impact PCR (Put-Call Ratio) Analysis for Market Sentiment
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
10
Option Trading ClassThe Institutional Trading Process is highly strategic and complex, combining deep research, advanced technology, and strict compliance. Institutions leverage their size and tools to execute efficiently without heavily impacting the market. Introduction to Option Trading What are Options? Options are contracts giving the right, but not the obligation, to buy (Call) or sell (Put) an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific time. Types of Options: Call Option: Right to buy Put Option: Right to sell Key Terms: Strike Price, Premium, Expiry Date, Lot Size, Intrinsic Value, Time Value
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2