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XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior. EURONEXT:AXFZ2025 EURONEXT:FMXX2025 EURONEXT:QL6X2025 EURONEXT:RH6X2025 EURONEXT:VV8Z2025 EURONEXT:2FTX2025
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
1
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below. 1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂 Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure). Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave." 2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐 To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones: Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone. Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave. 3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯 Once we have a buying position, where will our target be? Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits. Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves. Summary & Advice Main trend: UP. Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones. Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG). Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target). Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN? Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities! 👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900 Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive point in the market. Trend & Trendline On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. The price continuously bounces off the lower trendline and expands its range towards the upper boundary. The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as a dynamic support. If the price breaks below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered. The upper trendline is currently “pressing” the price right at the 3897–3900 area, confluencing with the 2.618 Fibonacci. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback. Volume Profile & Liquidity The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating significant capital is positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when the price corrects. The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if a strong breakdown occurs from the current trendline. Reference Trading Scenarios Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833 Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890 Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850 Conclusion The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If the price is rejected here, we might witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risks carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATHXAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATH, target 3840 Hello Trader, Right at the start of the week, gold has set a new ATH, affirming the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. In the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait to buy at key support zones, with a target towards 3840. Basic Context This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a US Government shutdown might delay this crucial report. The US fiscal year runs from 1/10 to 30/9. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without funding will have to cease operations. In the absence of important economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty. Technical View The price has broken out and created an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 zone currently being strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology). The 3770 – 3773 zone is near support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying. MACD on H1 shows buying momentum is maintained, but a correction is needed for price balance before breaking higher. Trading Strategy Short-term Sell (at resistance): Entry: 3837 – 3840 SL: 3844 TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770 Note: This is only a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly. Preferred Buy (trend-following): Entry: 3770 – 3773 SL: 3766 TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838 Conclusion This week, gold still prioritises the Buy strategy at support zones. The main target is towards 3840, an important resistance zone and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario remains waiting for a correction to buy up. Follow me for short-term scenario updates during the week, especially as news and US fiscal policy changes can significantly impact gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Will Gold Continue to Print New ATH ?XAUUSD – Will Gold Continue to Print New ATHs? Hello Traders, The Asian session today shows that buying interest in gold remains strong. A confirmed break above 3658 would mark a key resistance level and signal that gold could extend its bullish trend further. Technical Outlook The Fibonacci 2.618 extension has already produced a reaction, but in my view, liquidity in that area has not been fully absorbed. This leaves room for one more push to complete that liquidity sweep before a corrective move. As today is Friday, there is also the possibility of a pullback to balance order flow and for the market to close the weekly candle at a lower level. On the downside, a clear break below 3613 support would confirm a stronger bearish outlook for today’s session. Trading Strategy Sell Zone: Around 3688 (Fibonacci 2.618), with a suggested stop-loss of about 6 dollars. Buy Zone: Around 3558, with a suggested stop-loss of about 8 dollars. This zone could offer potential for a deeper upside move. Alternative Scenario: If price breaks and closes below 3613, immediate short positions can be considered as bearish momentum takes control. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital Market Shift 1. Introduction The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has recently undertaken a significant step—fast-tracking Initial Public Offering (IPO) approvals. Traditionally, IPO approval in India has been a lengthy process, often stretching to six months. But SEBI’s new measures aim to cut this time nearly in half, potentially bringing it down to three months or less. This shift comes at a time when India’s equity markets are booming, with record levels of fundraising expected in 2025. After raising around $20.5 billion through IPOs in 2024, analysts predict that 2025 could surpass this figure. According to reports, $8.2 billion has already been raised so far in 2025, with an additional $13 billion in IPOs already approved and nearly ₹18.7 billion pending approval. 2. Why SEBI is Expediting IPO Approvals Several factors are driving SEBI to accelerate the IPO pipeline: Surging Investor Appetite Indian retail participation in stock markets has seen an explosion in recent years. Over 11 crore Demat accounts are active as of 2025, compared to just 3.6 crore in 2019. More retail investors mean more demand for IPOs, making faster approvals essential. Global Capital Flows India is seen as one of the fastest-growing large economies. With global investors diversifying away from China, India is attracting billions in Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs). A streamlined IPO process will help India capture this liquidity flow before it moves elsewhere. Boosting Startup Ecosystem Unicorns like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, and WeWork India are preparing for listings. Startups require quicker capital-raising routes to compete globally. Regulatory Efficiency and AI Adoption SEBI is now deploying AI-powered document screening tools to check IPO filings. This reduces human delays and allows faster compliance checks. Collaboration with merchant bankers and exchanges has also been strengthened. Record Fundraising Target SEBI expects India to break the $20B mark again in 2025, possibly setting an all-time record. Expedited approvals are central to making this happen. 3. How the New Approval System Works Traditionally, IPO approvals involved multiple manual steps: Filing of Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP). SEBI reviews disclosures, company financials, risk factors, and governance. Queries are raised with the company, leading to back-and-forth communication. Final approval takes 4–6 months. Now under the fast-track mechanism: AI Pre-Screening: Automated checks scan filings for missing data, compliance issues, and inconsistencies. Concurrent Review: Instead of sequential reviews, SEBI, merchant bankers, and exchanges review documents simultaneously. Time-Bound Queries: Companies are given strict deadlines to respond to SEBI’s queries. Standardization: Risk disclosure formats and governance checks are now standardized across sectors. This is expected to cut approval timelines by 40–50%. 4. IPO Pipeline for 2025 Some big-ticket IPOs in the pipeline include: PhysicsWallah (₹3,820 crore) – Edtech unicorn expanding into AI-driven education. Urban Company – Already raised ₹854 crore from anchor investors; IPO opening soon. LG Electronics India – Large consumer electronics brand targeting India’s growing tech-savvy population. WeWork India – Despite global challenges, the Indian arm remains profitable and expansion-focused. Credila Financial Services – Education loan subsidiary of HDFC, a high-demand financial segment. The SME IPO market is equally hot with listings like Goel Construction debuting at a 15% premium and Prozeal Green Energy getting SEBI approval. 5. Benefits of Faster IPO Approvals For Companies Quicker access to capital for expansion. Ability to capitalize on favorable market sentiment without delays. Reduced costs of prolonged regulatory processes. For Investors More frequent and diverse IPO opportunities. Increased transparency due to standardized disclosures. Higher liquidity as more firms enter the public market. For Indian Markets Strengthened image of India as an investment hub. Alignment with global best practices (US SEC and Hong Kong’s IPO process are faster). Improved global competitiveness for Indian startups. 6. Risks and Challenges Speed vs. Quality Faster approvals must not compromise on due diligence. Weak companies slipping through could hurt investor trust. Market Saturation Too many IPOs in a short span could lead to oversupply, reducing listing gains. Retail Investor Overexposure Retail investors may flock to IPOs without understanding fundamentals, increasing risk of losses. Global Volatility Geopolitical tensions, US interest rate decisions, or oil price shocks can derail IPO plans. 7. Global Context Globally, IPO markets have been mixed: US Markets: Tech IPOs are recovering but still face valuation pressure. China: Tighter regulations have slowed down IPO fundraising. Middle East: Saudi Arabia and UAE continue to see large IPOs in energy and infrastructure. In this scenario, India is positioning itself as a global IPO leader, especially in the tech and services sector. 8. Investor Strategy for 2025 IPOs For investors, the IPO rush creates both opportunities and challenges. Some strategies include: Focus on Fundamentals Look for companies with strong financials, governance, and growth potential. Avoid IPOs driven purely by hype. Anchor Investor Signals Strong anchor participation (like Urban Company’s ₹854 Cr funding) signals institutional confidence. Sector Plays Edtech, Renewable Energy, Fintech, and Consumer Services are hot sectors. Traditional sectors like construction and manufacturing are also showing resilience. Listing Gains vs. Long-Term Holding Some IPOs (like Goel Construction SME) deliver quick listing pops. Larger IPOs (like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company) may be better for long-term growth. 9. Case Study: Urban Company IPO Urban Company is a prime example of SEBI’s faster approval ecosystem. Filed DRHP earlier in 2025. Received SEBI approval within 12 weeks. Raised ₹854 crore from anchors before IPO launch. Price band set at the higher end, reflecting strong demand. Market analysts project strong long-term growth given India’s rising demand for home services. This showcases how SEBI’s new process benefits both issuers and investors. 10. Conclusion SEBI’s decision to expedite IPO approvals is a game-changer for India’s financial markets. By cutting approval times, using AI-driven compliance, and standardizing processes, SEBI is creating a faster, more transparent, and investor-friendly IPO environment. With major companies like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, Neilsoft, and Prozeal entering the market, and regulatory support from SEBI, 2025 is poised to be a record-breaking year for IPO fundraising in India. However, investors must balance enthusiasm with caution—choosing fundamentally strong IPOs, monitoring global market conditions, and avoiding blind bets driven by hype. In essence, SEBI’s move reflects India’s ambition to emerge as a global capital-raising hub, connecting domestic growth stories with global capital at unprecedented speed and scale.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by MarketPulsePros
2
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI Hello Traders, Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset. Fundamental Outlook In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September. Technical Perspective Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687. Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out. For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile. Trading Strategies Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers. Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level. Conclusion For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
TVC:XAXLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Bearish Scenario Moving as PlannedBitcoin – Bearish Scenario Moving as Planned Hello traders, BTC is moving exactly in line with the plan, reacting well within the channel and showing a pullback at the retest of the rising trend. Hopefully many of you managed to catch the short signal shared earlier. Following the current momentum, BTC is holding well on the downside. The short position can be maintained in the medium term, with the next long zone expected around 105k. On higher timeframes, BTC still remains in a broader bullish structure, with potential for higher targets from long-term buy zones. However, current market sentiment shows much of the liquidity flowing into gold, so BTC may move more slowly in the short run. This is my next trading outlook for BTC. Take it as reference, stay patient, and manage your trades with discipline. Do share your views in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally?XAUUSD – Is Fibo 1.618 Strong Enough to End the Rally? Hello traders, Gold has now posted six straight daily gains, showing the strong momentum behind this buying wave. This reflects the current sentiment in global markets, where gold continues to be treated as one of the most important safe-haven assets amid ongoing tariff discussions and a flood of news. Part of this move has been driven by speculation around former US President Trump. While the news itself is unclear and not fully verified, it has been enough to influence global financial markets and push gold higher in recent sessions. From a technical perspective, gold has already broken out of its daily trend channel and extended strongly higher. Right now, price is pausing around the Fibonacci 1.618 extension at 3536, which is acting as a dynamic resistance. If a bearish structure forms on the M15 timeframe, a short entry could be activated at this level. Short scenario: Watch 3536 – if bearish confirmation appears on M15, short positions may be considered. Buy scenario: The broader uptrend remains intact. A retest of the previous highs at 3500–3505 could offer a strong long entry for the medium to long term. From a market psychology standpoint, this price area will be closely observed: buyers have already taken profits, while sellers have been partially liquidated. This means lower timeframes will be crucial for spotting clean entries. This is my view on gold for today. Take it as reference, trade with discipline, and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Sell Strategy ActivatedXAUUSD – Sell Strategy Activated Hello traders, Gold has followed the expected scenario, reacting precisely around the 3508–3510 zone. This correction is a good signal to consider a bearish outlook. However, for a clearer confirmation, price needs to close an M15 candle below 3466. If that happens, the previous bullish wave will be considered invalid, giving a stronger probability for the Sell setup. Structurally, gold is still within the main rising channel, which means an early short entry should wait until liquidity from the small FVG zone above is fully taken. Technical indicators are supporting this view: MACD has shown consistent bearish momentum in the last 4 H1 candles. Several indicators are already showing divergence, pointing to weakening bullish strength. Sell zone to watch: around 3488–3491. Setup invalidated if price breaks above the nearest resistance. At this stage, the appetite for new long positions is fading, and buying at these levels carries greater risk. Remember, no trend moves in one direction forever – for price to reach higher targets, secondary corrective moves are necessary. This is my trading scenario for gold in the coming sessions. Take it as reference and share your thoughts in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New WeekBitcoin – Technical Outlook for the New Week Hello traders, BTC continues to follow the expected path. On the chart, price has held steady after breaking down from the rising channel, and the medium-term bearish structure on the H4 timeframe remains in play. For the longer term, we would still need to see breaks of major supports on higher timeframes to confirm that deeper downside is possible. But for now, the structure remains unchanged from my previous analysis. Short zone: still valid around 111k Long zone: still valid around 105k As the new week begins, BTC may consolidate further for another 1–2 sessions to build liquidity before showing its next clear move. This is my updated technical view for BTC – take it as reference, and plan your trades with discipline. What’s your outlook for this week? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Bitcoin – Where Could the Short-Term Trend Go?Bitcoin – Where Could the Short-Term Trend Go? Hello traders, BTC is currently consolidating strongly around the rising trendline on the D1 timeframe. Price has shown a strong rejection at this level. The overall market structure is still moving in line with the scenario I shared earlier, but I want to update a short-term plan to help optimise trading opportunities. The upward channel remains key. During this sideways phase, BTC has created a small support–resistance zone, which now acts as a key level to determine the short-term trend and guide entries. Resistance at 113.3k: A breakout above this level would confirm a Long signal. Support at 108.8k: A breakdown here would activate a Short signal. If support is broken, the medium-term outlook shifts towards the bearish scenario I mentioned earlier, with potential downside towards the 9x region. This is supported by the larger timeframe structure, which provides enough basis for that expectation. This is my current short-term trading plan for BTC. Use it as reference, and share your perspective in the comments so we can learn together.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by BrianLionCapital
EUR/USD Short Setup: Resistance Rejection at 1.1710Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 15-min Current Price: ~1.1703 Setup Shown: A short trade (sell position) with: Entry: ~1.1709 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1729 Take Profit (TP): 1.1631 Risk/Reward Ratio: About 1:4 (20 pips risk, ~80 pips potential reward) Technical Observations: Recent Trend: Price rallied from ~1.1630 up to ~1.1710. After reaching resistance, it’s stalling around 1.1710. Resistance Zone: Around 1.1710–1.1730, multiple rejections are visible. That makes this area a good short-entry zone. Support Zone: Next strong support lies near 1.1630–1.1640, which is the TP level. If broken, EUR/USD could continue lower. Volume: Volume spikes during the previous drop, showing strong selling interest. Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows are visible before the rally. This move could just be a retracement in a broader downtrend. Trade Idea (from chart): Bias: Bearish Reasoning: Price rejected resistance at 1.1710–1.1730. Risk is small compared to the potential downside (good R:R). Confirmation Needed: Watch for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) at current levels. Check for USD strength in macro data/events. ✅ If confirmed, the short makes sense: Sell near: 1.1709 Stop loss: 1.1729 Take profit: 1.1631
Short
by GOLD_SUPPLIER
CCL PRODUCTS (INDIA) LIMITED EQUITY RESEARCH REPORTRecommendation: BUY Target Price: ₹1,050 (12-month horizon) Stop Loss: ₹850 Rationale CCL Products represents a compelling investment opportunity in India's food processing sector. The company's strong financial performance, market leadership position, and strategic expansion plans provide solid fundamentals for continued growth. Strong Q4 FY25 results with 50.38% PBT growth and 15.02% revenue growth demonstrate operational excellence and market demand strength. Catalyst Timeline Near-term (3-6 months): Q1 FY26 results and capacity utilization updates Medium-term (6-12 months): Specialty coffee segment scaling and Vietnam facility ramp-up Long-term (12-24 months): Achievement of 100,000 MT capacity target Risk-Reward Assessment Upside Potential: 14.1% to target price Risk Level: Moderate to High (commodity exposure) Investment Horizon: Medium to long-term (12-18 months)
NSE:CCLLong
by rmhetre15
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)? The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like: Bullion: Gold, Silver Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities. Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement: 🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions Inflation Recession fears GDP data 🪙 2. Currency Movements Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices. 📉 3. Interest Rates Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa. 💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices. 🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge. 💼 6. Central Bank Policies Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by TechnicalExpress
4
Gold Breaking Down – Rising Channel + Wedge Breakdown Gold Breaking Down – Rising Channel + Wedge Breakdown Description: Gold has broken down from a rising channel on the daily timeframe and a rising wedge on the weekly, signaling a possible intermediate correction. Key Observations: - Momentum divergence on RSI, MACD, EFI - Bearish volume supporting the move - Price now below 20 EMA, approaching 50 EMA - Weekly wedge failure after a secondary test of highs Macro Drivers: - Lower inflation - Stable USD - Dovish Fed stance - Middle East tension cooled - Gold appears overpriced on relative terms Trade Setup: 🔻 Breakdown: ₹97,500 🎯 Targets: ₹92,000 → ₹87,000 🛑 Stoploss: ₹1,00,560 (near ATR and resistance) 🧠 Bearish bias short-term unless macro changes again.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by Punit190
institutional Nifty-50 option tradingInstitutional Nifty-50 option trading refers to the strategic use of Nifty-50 options (CE & PE) by FIIs, DIIs, Hedge Funds, and Banks to hedge, speculate, or manage risk on large capital positions. Unlike retail, their trades are data-driven and volume-heavy. Key Institutional Strategies: Delta-Neutral Strategies – Like Long Straddles or Strangles, where institutions profit from volatility. Covered Call / Protective Puts – To hedge large Nifty portfolios. Bull/Bear Spreads – Deployed when directional conviction is strong but limited in risk appetite. Option Writing – Writing options at OI resistance/support to generate premiums. Calendar Spreads – Leveraging time decay while anticipating movement. 📈 How to Track Institutional Activity: Option Chain Analysis: Spot high OI shifts with unusual volumes. OI + Volume + IV: Use combined data to infer institutional positioning. Change in PCR (Put Call Ratio): Signals sentiment shift at index levels. FII-DII Daily Derivative Data: Published by NSE after market hours. Strike-wise Open Interest Heatmaps: Help identify resistance/support zones built by institutions.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
MASTEK – Daily Timeframe Breakout Idea (Resistance Zone Break)MASTEK has broken above a key resistance zone on the daily timeframe, backed by a strong bullish candle and a significant volume surge. 📌 Breakout Context: The stock consolidated near the ₹2460–2480 zone for several sessions, forming a horizontal resistance zone. On July 4th, the price broke out with strong bullish momentum, closing above the resistance with a wide-range green candle and a volume spike. The breakout candle also closed above both 50- and 100-day Simple Moving Averages, confirming a bullish bias. 💡 Trade Setup: Entry: ₹2550–2570 (near breakout) Stop Loss: Below the breakout zone at ₹2472 Target: ₹2780+ (2.2R setup) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.2 (ideal for swing trades) 🎯 Why This Setup Stands Out: Volume on the breakout day is notably higher than average, confirming institutional interest. Clean horizontal breakout from a multi-week range. SMA structure is bullish, with the price reclaiming key MAs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:MASTEKLong
by ashutoshanand30