Put Call Ratio (PCR) Explained in Simple TermsWhat is PCR?
The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular market sentiment indicator used in option trading. It helps traders understand whether more people are buying put options (bearish bets) or call options (bullish bets) at a given time.
Put Options: Contracts betting the price will go down.
Call Options: Contracts betting the price will go up.
How to Read PCR?
PCR < 1: More call options → Bullish sentiment.
PCR > 1: More put options → Bearish sentiment.
PCR = 1: Neutral sentiment.
But extreme values often suggest the opposite:
Very High PCR: Possible market reversal upwards (too many bearish bets).
Very Low PCR: Possible market reversal downwards (too many bullish bets).
Example:
Put OI: 5,00,000 contracts
Call OI: 10,00,000 contracts
PCR = 5,00,000 / 10,00,000 = 0.5 → This indicates bullish sentiment.
Why PCR Matters?
Helps identify market mood (bullish or bearish).
Gives contrarian signals (overcrowded trades can reverse).
Used in option trading strategies for timing entry and exit.
Tecnicalanalysis
Learn Institutional Trading Pros and Cons
Pros: Early signals, useful for reversals.
Cons: Requires confirmation, may produce false signals.
Technical Trading
What is Technical Trading?
Technical trading focuses on using historical price data, volume, and technical indicators to predict future price movements. Traders use charts and patterns instead of company fundamentals.
Key Tools in Technical Trading
Price Charts: Candlestick, line, bar charts.
Indicators: Moving averages, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands.
Chart Patterns: Head and Shoulders, Triangles, Double Tops, Flags.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key price points where stocks reverse.
Why People Trade OptionsKey Components of Options
Strike Price: The pre-agreed price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: The price you pay to buy the option contract.
Expiration Date: The date until which the option is valid.
Why People Trade Options
Leverage: Small investment, potential for large returns.
Hedging: Protects portfolio from losses.
Speculation: Betting on price movements.
Example
If a stock is currently priced at ₹500, you can buy a call option with a strike price of ₹550, expiring in one month, by paying a premium of ₹5. If the stock price rises to ₹600, you can buy at ₹550 and immediately sell at ₹600, making a profit.
Learn Institutional Trading Part-2What is Investing?
Investing involves committing your money to various assets like stocks, mutual funds, gold, real estate, or bonds to grow your wealth over time. Investing is generally a long-term strategy, focusing on the gradual accumulation of wealth.
Key Types of Investments
Stock Market Investments: Buying shares of companies.
Mutual Funds: Pooling money with other investors.
Bonds: Lending money to companies or governments for interest.
Gold & Real Estate: Physical assets that typically grow over time.
Investment Strategies
Value Investing: Buying undervalued stocks.
Growth Investing: Investing in companies with high growth potential.
Dividend Investing: Investing in companies that pay regular dividends.
Benefits of Investing
Builds wealth over time.
Helps fight inflation.
Provides financial security.
Learn Institutional Trading Part-4Technical Trading
Technical trading uses charts, patterns, and indicators to make decisions.
Traders study past price movements, volume, and signals to predict future trends instead of focusing on company financials.
Stock Market
The stock market is a place where shares of companies are bought and sold.
It’s like a big online shopping mall for stocks (e.g., NSE, BSE, NYSE). Prices go up and down based on demand, news, earnings, and investor emotions.
Learn Institutional TradingInvesting
Investing means putting your money into assets (like stocks, real estate, gold, or mutual funds) to grow your wealth over time.
It’s usually long-term, focused on building value and achieving goals like retirement or buying a house.
Divergence Trading
Divergence trading is when you compare the price of a stock with an indicator (like RSI or MACD).
If the stock is going up, but the indicator is going down (or vice versa), it shows divergence—a possible signal that the price might reverse soon.
Learn Option TradingOption trading is buying and selling contracts that give you the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a stock at a specific price before a certain date.
There are two types:
Call Option: You expect the stock price to go up.
Put Option: You expect the stock price to go down.
It’s like booking a movie ticket in advance—you can go if you want, but you don’t have to.
Learn Institutional Option Trading Part-5Stock Market Investing:
Stock investing involves buying shares of publicly traded companies listed on NSE or BSE.
Why Indians Invest in Stocks:
Potential for higher returns.
Dividend income.
Portfolio diversification.
Approaches to Investing:
Fundamental Analysis: Based on financial health, growth potential, and management quality.
Technical Analysis: Based on price patterns, volumes, and charts.
Long-Term Investing: Holding stocks for years to build wealth.
Short-Term Trading: Buying and selling stocks within days or weeks.
Learn Advanced Institutional TradingOption trading is a part of the derivatives market where investors buy and sell contracts known as options. These contracts derive their value from an underlying asset, which can be a stock, index, commodity, or currency.
In India, the most commonly traded options are based on Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and stocks like Reliance, TCS, Infosys, etc.
Options give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) before or on the expiry date.
Types of Options:
Call Option: Gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset.
Put Option: Gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset.
Option TradingIndia’s financial markets are rapidly evolving, and the participation of retail investors, institutions, and foreign players has significantly increased over the past two decades. Among various investment avenues, option trading, equity investing, and gold trading have become the most prominent ways of wealth creation and hedging against risks. Each of these segments has its unique importance, strategies, and regulatory frameworks in India.
This guide will help you understand the core concepts, market structure, strategies, and risks associated with Indian Option Trading, Equity Investing, and Gold Trading in a simple and practical manner.
Bitcoin Price Analysis 21-22 June 2025COINBASE:BTCUSD is in downtrend.
STRATEGY:
1. If the price breaks above the upper level, consider a long position. This is supported by the higher lows formation in a smaller timeframe, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend.
2. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower level, consider a short position, targeting potential stop-loss orders or liquidity pools created during the higher lows formation.
AREA TO AVOID
Area between the upper and lower levels due to price consolidation.
Institutions Option Database Trading Part-5 Risk Management in Option Trading
Even with data, risk control is key:
Max 2% capital risk per trade.
Hedge with opposite option.
Avoid low liquidity options.
Always track IV, PCR, OI live.
Building a Custom Option Scanner
With databases and logic, you can create a personal scanner for:
High IV options
OI breakout zones
PCR + Max Pain alert
Theta-rich expiry trades
Institutions Option Database Trading Part-4Advanced traders use machine learning to forecast:
Option price movement
Volatility changes
IV spikes before events
Popular Models:
Random Forest → Trend direction.
LSTM (Deep Learning) → Predict future IV.
Logistic Regression → Probability of ITM expiry.
These are trained on millions of past trades using structured databases.
Institutions Option Database TradingDatabase Option Trading is a powerful blend of market logic and data science. With structured data, intelligent scanning, and strategic execution, traders gain a massive edge over emotional/manual decisions. This approach is ideal for traders aiming for consistent performance, lower drawdowns, and systematic growth. The more you code, automate, and analyze—the better you trade.
Sample Strategy - PCR + OI Spike
Strategy Logic:
If PCR > 1.3 and Call OI Spike at ATM > 15%, initiate a Put Sell.
Exit when PCR drops below 1.1 or OI unwinds.
Backtest Results (NIFTY Options):
Win Rate: 72%
Avg Profit per Trade: ₹4800
Max Drawdown: ₹9800
Long Term Database TradingHow Institutions Use Option Databases
🔍 Institutional Insights:
Banks & HFTs (High-Frequency Traders) run option strategies over petabytes of data.
Real-time arbitrage opportunities are found using option databases.
They model Vega, Theta & IV impact per stock and expiry.
Example Institutional Workflow:
Pull 10 years of NIFTY options.
Train ML model to predict next-day IV.
Execute based on high-probability straddles/strangles.
Exit before expiry using trailing delta hedge.
Gold Futures is forming a rising wedge with weakening momentum.
Gold is currently testing a rising trendline on the daily/weekly chart.
A trendline breakdown could signal a shift from bullish to corrective phase.
If the trendline breaks, the structure suggests:
Stop-loss: ₹101,000
Target 1: ₹90,000
Target 2: ₹86,000
This aligns with a potential retracement before the next macro wave (e.g., Fed rate cut cycle or global risk-off).
Option Trading How Institutions Operate:
Use Option Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega) for precise positioning
Follow OI (Open Interest) data for liquidity zones
Monitor FIIs/DII data from NSE reports
Combine options with futures arbitrage or cash segment hedging
🔹 Tools Used by Institutions:
Bloomberg Terminal
Custom-built Quant Models
NSE Option Chain + IV Analysis
Algo-driven trading based on volatility signals
Learn Institution Trading What is Institutional Option Trading?
It refers to large-scale option strategies used by hedge funds, banks, and FIIs to manage risk, hedge portfolios, or create directional bets with high precision.
🔹 Key Institutional Strategies:
Buy-Write (Covered Call):
Holding stocks and selling calls to earn premium.
Protective Put:
Buying puts as insurance to hedge stock positions.
Multi-leg Spreads (Iron Condor, Butterfly):
Neutral strategies to profit from range-bound markets.
Put-Call Ratio Analysis (PCR):
Gauging market sentiment from institutional flow.
Advanced Divergence Trading What is Divergence?
Divergence happens when the price moves in the opposite direction of an indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Momentum). It signals a possible trend reversal or trend weakening.
🔹 Types of Divergence:
Regular Divergence (Trend Reversal):
Bullish: Price makes lower lows, but indicator makes higher lows → Reversal up
Bearish: Price makes higher highs, but indicator makes lower highs → Reversal down
Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation):
Bullish: Price makes higher lows, indicator makes lower lows → Trend continuation up
Bearish: Price makes lower highs, indicator makes higher highs → Trend continuation down
🔹 Advanced Tips:
Use on higher timeframes for accuracy
Confirm with volume, trendlines, or price action
Combine with support/resistance or Fibonacci zones
🔹 Pro Tools to Use:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
Stochastic Oscillator
OBV (On Balance Volume)
Support and Resistance ExplainedWhat is Support?
Support is a price level where a stock tends to stop falling due to increased buying interest. Traders view it as a demand zone where bulls often enter the market.
Example: If Reliance repeatedly bounces from ₹2,700, that level is acting as support.
🔹 What is Resistance?
Resistance is a level where a stock tends to stop rising due to selling pressure. It's a supply zone where bears usually take control.
Example: If Nifty keeps failing to cross 23,500, it's a resistance level.
🔹 Why They Matter:
Help in identifying entry and exit points
Show where trend reversals may occur
Aid in setting stop-loss and targets
🔹 How to Spot Them:
Look for price bounces or rejections
Use tools: horizontal lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements
Confirm with volume spikes
🔹 Key Strategy:
Buy near support (low risk)
Sell near resistance (high probability)
Trade breakouts or reversals with confirmation
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 8Institutional Option Trading Strategies
Let’s dive deeper into how big players operate:
🔶 Volatility Arbitrage:
Take advantage of IV mispricing across strikes/months.
Long low IV, short high IV – Net neutral delta.
🔶 Dispersion Trading:
Buy individual stock options, short index options.
Profit from correlation divergence.
🔶 Box Spread (Synthetic Arbitrage):
Arbitrage between synthetic long/short positions.
Very low risk, used by HFT desks.
Institutions use algorithms to run thousands of such strategies in real time.
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 6 Volatility Tools in Options
Understanding volatility is central to success in option trading:
🌀 Types of Volatility:
Historical Volatility (HV): Based on past prices
Implied Volatility (IV): Market’s expectation of future movement
📊 Volatility-Based Strategies:
High IV: Sell premium – strategies like Iron Condor, Credit Spreads
Low IV: Buy premium – strategies like Long Straddle, Long Call/Put
Tools like IV Rank and IV Percentile help traders choose the right strategy based on volatility regime.
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis in Option Trading
Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate company value, earnings, sector performance
Technical Analysis: Price action, patterns, indicators like RSI, MACD
IV & HV Tools: Helps in choosing optimal strike prices based on volatility
Understanding market structure is essential for timing entries/exits in options.
Advanced Institutional Options Trading
Institutions like hedge funds, banks, and proprietary desks use options for complex strategies:
Delta Hedging: Maintain a neutral position
Portfolio Insurance: Using puts during economic downturns
Volatility Arbitrage: Capitalizing on volatility mispricing
Structured Products: Combine options with bonds or equities for customized payoff
These strategies require deep understanding of volatility surfaces, risk models, and massive capital.