XAUUSD Short Term IdeaShort Position with SL and 3 TPs.
All ideas are my own analysis. For educational Purpose only. Any Loss on taking this trade is not my responsibility. Taking position off my idea is own responsibility, Users are responsible for their our actions. Tip: Always trade with Risk Management
TERM
RBA Chart Analysis After a 1 year long trendline breakout at 103, now consolidating between 105 - 120. You can accumulate in this range. 130 is the strong resistance, after breaking this, the targets are mentioned and can be achieved in a year if company's financials were strong. Double bottom and a strong support at 85.
KENNAMETAL INDIA - 26% RETURNSBUY - KENNAMETAL INDIA LTD
CMP - Rs. 2126
Target - 1: Rs. 2431
Target - 2: Rs. 2676
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Technicals - 1) Harmonic Patterns
2) Targets set using Fibonacci Retracement and Gann Angles
3) EMA Convergence
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Comment: Estimated time for returns is 6-9 months.
CARE Ratings - Play the possible breakout -CARE Ratings Ltd - Oligopoly sector- Recent buy back at 515 - Dividend Yield - High OPM - Low BV vs peers -
Breakout level and expected levels are given - Practice Stop Loss Discipline - Capital Preservation First
Re-visit after a few years this one has legs.
- Not Advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities -
NARAYANA HRUDAYALA - FOR SWING NARAYANA HRUDAYALA Looking good for swing.
Insights:-
Good quality company basis long term financial performance.
Size- Ranks 3rd out of 32 companies in Healthcare Services sector
Valuation price very attractive.
ADX in strong trend.
Supertrend also bullish
Above VWAP and 20 EMA.
Financial Trend:-
Pbdit (Q)
Highest at Rs 275.75 cr.
Net Sales (Q)
Highest at Rs 1,221.59 cr
Operating Profit To Net Sales (Q)
Highest at 22.57%
Pbt Less Oi (Q)
Highest at Rs 198.85 cr.
Pat (Q)
Highest at Rs 173.14 cr.
Eps (Q)
Highest at Rs 8.47
MUTHOOTFIN - Long Entry for 6-8 MonthsMUTHOOTFIN Looking good for long entry on Daily Time Frame.
*Close to 52 Week High
*ADX 43.64 Strong Trend
*MACD 34.83 Neutral
*RSI 75.27 Neutral
*SuperTrend 1140.22 Bullish
*ATR 26.18 Low Volatility
*VWAP 1255.66 Below Vwap
*20 EMA 1157.42 Above 20ema
About Company:-
Muthoot Finance Limited operates as a gold financing company in India. The company offers personal and business loans secured by gold jewelry, or gold loans primarily to individuals and micro finance. It also provides housing finance, gold coins, money transfer, and foreign exchange services; mutual funds and non-convertible debentures; health, home, vehicle, life, and travel insurance products; and vehicle, corporate, and SME loans. In addition, the company generates electric power through windmills in Tamilnadu. As of March 31, 2022, it operated through approximately 4,617 branches in 23 states and 6 Union Territories. The company was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Kochi, India.
SUNTV - Long Entry for Short to Medium TermSuntv -Long Entry for short to medium term.
Upper Targets are marked on chart and SL on Closing Basis.
Good Risk Reward
20 EMA Breakout
Good Fundamentals
About Company :-
Sun TV Network Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in producing and broadcasting satellite television and radio software programming in the regional languages of South India. The company's flagship channel includes Sun TV. It also operates various other satellite channels, such as Surya TV, Gemini TV, Udaya TV, SUN Bangla, and Sun Marathi; 24 frequency modulation radio stations; SunRisers Hyderabad, an Indian Premier League franchise; and SUNNXT, an OTT platform, as well as produces movies. The company provides entertainment in various genres of general entertainment, movies, music, news, kids, action, and life. It operates television channels in Tamil, Telugu, Kannada, Malayalam, Marathi, and Bangla languages for viewers in India, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Malaysia, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle East, the United States, Australia, South Africa, and Canada. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Chennai, India...
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returns, indiamartMIDcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
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. more than that "INDIAMART "is fundamentally good
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.refer our old idea attached below
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returnsfood sector is always good for down trend global markets
smallcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
.
.
.
. more than that " megastar food "is fundamentally good
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.
.refer our old idea attached below
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returs
add this to your watchlist and wait.
midcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
entry-358
target-568
POSITONAL BUY CALL FOR INDIAMART can add indiamart at current rates and can avg upto 4400
stop loss -4000 (positional)
short term traders stop loss - 4300
1st target - 5265 (short term can exit here with 10% return)
2nd target - 6910
3rd target- 9740
its a positonal call can take of time period of 9-12months
indiamart as given a breakout in a falling wedge pattern with a retest for a good entry
note: this is only for educational purpose pls do your own research before investing . at your own risk
JK TYRE --Bullish --Long Term JK TYRE --Weekly chart -- Bullish Technical indicators '
1. Weekly chart find lower channel breakout after correction 140 sub level , Stock seen upmove towards 200 + level an corrected again around 140 level where find retest breakout support, recently .
2. stock at cmp 164 level trading at upper channel at higher high an higher low chart pattern .
3. Weekly RSI seen enter at bullish zone above center line .
4. CCI , EMA crossover seen at center line move above center line will extreme bullish .
5. Stock above 24,35 HMA near Crossover at trendline support, and trading near 200 HMA line .
6.All this indicators look bullish turnaround in price , mid to long term Period entry at cmp 162-164 level for mid term ( 6 month) target 175-200-220 and long term ( 1 year ) target 250-300 . stop loss bellow strong support line 135 at daily candle closing bellow level .
** THIS IDEA IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE . ** Trade at own risk .!
HAPPY TRADING .!!
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc.
In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again:
P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings
Now let's add some refinements to the formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*)
(*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months.
Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company:
- Current capitalization is in $;
- Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year.
As a result, we can write the following formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*)
(*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years.
It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years!
Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change .
Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates.
It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization.
If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment.
Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment.
You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought.
Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen?
Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car.
It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ?
Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age.
The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment.
So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter.
Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm.
First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023).
As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil.
To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy:
Life Expectancy - Your Current Age
I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life.
Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be:
74,50 - 25 = 49,50
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50.
For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be:
87,74 - 60 = 27,74
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30.
For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be:
66,49 - 70 = -3,51
In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used.
It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you.
So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings).
Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock ? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!