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GOLD STORY #2: Things to watch out for when Gold corrects In the past 24 hours, the price of gold (XAU/USD) has dropped to $2,657/ounce, let's review the trading plan 🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis 🔴 Global economy and market sentiment: • Rising DXY Index: The DXY Index, which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of major currencies, crossed the 110.00 mark for the first time since November 2023. A rising USD usually puts downward pressure on gold prices, as USD-denominated gold becomes more expensive for investors holding other currencies. • Positive US economic data: The latest jobs report showed positive Non-Farm Payrolls figures, reducing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates, thereby supporting the USD and putting pressure on gold prices. 📊 2/ Technical Analysis 🔵 Looking at the H4 chart, you can see that the price is at the important support zone of 266x 🔵 The price structure of H4 and H1 has changed when Keylever 2664 has been broken 🔵 Looking at the H1 price channel, you can see that the price line shows that the sellers are still strong, the price trend is likely to find the support zone below at 265x 📈 3/ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY: We have to wait for a clearer price structure at the current support zone. Do not rush to place orders when yesterday's selling momentum has not been fully absorbed. Our buy plan will be based on the price structure I drew on the chart plan. 🔴 SELL • If you currently have a good position at the resistance zone above, we can consider taking some profits and waiting for a better profit at the next support zone 261x~263x. Or: wait for price reaction at the current support zone to establish a position 🐂 Which side are you on – BULL or BEAR? 🐻 💬 Leave a comment and discuss with the community!
FX:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
**Scenario for BTC**1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 Nonfarm data last weekend was good for the USD and impacted the interest rate cut policy. It is likely that we will have to wait until June for the next interest rate cut. 📉 Current market sentiment is affected by this information, plus the recent sharp increase in BTC price has made many people doubt the momentum to continue to increase to a higher price range. Therefore, the increase has temporarily slowed down. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Week frame:** Last week closed not very optimistically when the price reacted badly at the resistance zone of 101k~104k. 🔹 **Frame D:** The price structure is also not good when there are 2 peaks with the latter peak lower than the previous peak. The price is approaching the support zone but there is no clear reaction, it is likely to adjust to a lower support zone. 🔹 **H4 frame:** Based on the Zigzag line, we can see the classic head-and-shoulders pattern. At this time, we should not catch the bottom when the price has created a lower peak, showing that the market sentiment is no longer interested in the possibility of BTC's price increase. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ✅ If you have a **SELL** order in a good position, congratulations! 🎉 You can absolutely wait for a better profit when BTC is likely to break the current support zone to reach the next support zone of 85~86xxx. ⛔ **Absolutely do not BUY** at the present time, when the price structure shows a short-term downtrend. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TonyL0ng
SP500#1: HOW DOES NONFARM AFFECT SP500?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis 🟥 Political tensions: • The US increases pressure on Russia through energy sanctions. This could lead to trade retaliation, negatively affecting the economy. 🟥 Interest rate policy: • Interest rates are likely to remain unchanged until June, limiting the amount of money injected into the market – causing concern. 🟥 CPI data next week: • Inflation is the biggest determinant of interest rate policy. Forecasts show that inflation is likely to increase again, continuing to put pressure on the market. 💡 Basic conclusion: The market faces a less optimistic sentiment due to increasing economic and political risks. 📊 2/ Technical Analysis 🔵 W (Weekly) Frame: • This week closed with a long-tailed, long-bodied candle – a strong bearish sign. 🔵 D (Daily) Frame: • The bearish structure was confirmed after Friday's trading session. 🔵 H1 (Hourly) Frame: • The bearish price structure is clear: consecutive lower highs, the support trendline is broken. 💡 Summary: All three timeframes are supporting the downtrend. 📈 3/ Trading Plan 🟢 Correction strategy: • Support zone: 5676~5750. 👉 Wait for price reaction at this zone to find an opportunity to enter the order. ⚠️ Note: The weekly candle closes badly, profit expectations should not be too high. Do not rush to catch the bottom! 🔴 Trade in the direction of the trend: Resistance zone: 5890~5915. 👉 Plan: Wait for the price to react at the resistance zone to enter a sell order in the direction of the trend. 🎯 Profit target: 5680 - strong support zone. ❓ Which side are you on - BULL or BEAR? 💬 Leave a comment to discuss and exchange!
FX:SPX500
by TonyL0ng
GOLD STORY #1: XAUUSD SIDEWAY – SHOULD I BUY OR SELL NOW?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis 🔴 Global economy and market sentiment: • Non-farm payrolls (NFP) data: Positive results, showing that the US economy is growing steadily. • Inflation – the deciding factor: The Fed is still waiting for CPI data next week, which will be the most important factor for interest rate policy. • Uncertainty from Russia-US tensions: Trade and political sanctions continue to increase, creating greater risks for the global market. 💡 Summary: Although the USD received support signals from NFP, gold prices still maintained their upward momentum due to risk-off sentiment. 📊 2/ Technical Analysis 🔵 W (Weekly) Frame: • After 5 weeks of sideways, gold price bounced back strongly, continuing the main trend. • The weekly candle closed with a strong body, showing that the bulls are in control. 🔵 D (Daily) Frame: • The key level 2600 has been broken, but the resistance zone 2725~2750 has not given a positive signal. • The price touches the resistance but continuously creates higher lows – the market is still leaning towards the bulls. 🔵 H1 Frame: • The uptrend is clear, but the price is near the resistance zone. • The Risk-Reward (R:R) ratio is no longer attractive to trade in the uptrend. 📈 3/ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY – Follow the trend: • If you have a buy order at a low price, congratulations! 🎉 👉 You can: • Hold the order: If you expect the price to continue to break the resistance. • Close a part: When the price touches the resistance zone of 2725~2750 to preserve profits. • Note: If you do not have a position, you should not FOMO into this price zone because the R:R ratio is no longer ideal. 🔴 SELL – Counter-trend: • Although the uptrend does not support selling, you can consider: • Wait for the price reaction at the resistance zone of 2725~2750. OANDA:XAUUSD • Expected profit should be low because this is a counter-trend trade. 🐂 Which side are you on – BULL or BEAR? 🐻 💬 Leave a comment and discuss with the community! OANDA:XAUUSD
FX:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
“Strong momentum, potential upside in Wipro”After a long period, we have observed a significant breakout in this stock, showing strong potential for a successful trade. The trading volume has also seen a substantial increase, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is above the 60 level, indicating solid momentum. Given these factors, this stock has a high probability of becoming a momentum play. Our initial target price is ₹620, with a secondary target at ₹730. The Indian market recently faced a downturn due to the U.S. elections. However, under these conditions, the IT sector has maintained positive momentum, suggesting it may continue to perform well.
NSE:WIPROLong
by Started_profitable
Silver DivergenceDivergence and Gold/Silver Ratio Gold and silver are thought to move together, and often they do. There are periods where the Gold Trust (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) move in opposite directions and periods where one metal outperforms the other. Gold is currently outperforming silver. Such discrepancies occur and are monitored by the gold/silver ratio. The gold/silver ratio shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy an ounce of gold. Since 1975, the average is near 60; right now it stands near 80 ($1,187 divided by $14.99). While gold outperformance, or silver's underperformance relative to gold, was very noticeable in early 2016, this has actually been going on for a long time. The outperformance has become even more pronounced since 2016. To start 2016, gold traded at $1,069 and silver at $13.80 -- the gold/silver ratio of 77.5. As of Oct. 2018, it's at 80. Gold prices have risen relative to silver prices quite steadily for years. This is mainly due to silver price weakness since peaking near $50 in 2011 (when silver outperformed gold).
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Beginner to Advanced Trading Every successful investor has one thing in common, they read as many investment books as they can. Trading in the share market requires a basic knowledge of all the aspects that can influence the prices of shares, and it can be gathered by reading books regularly. Skills #1 and #2 – Research and Analysis. ... Skill #3 – Adapting Your Market Analysis to Changing Market Conditions. ... Skill #4 – Staying in the Game. ... Skills #5 and #6 – Discipline and Patience. ... Bonus Skill #7 – Record Keeping. ... In the End.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
NIFTY... 26000 TARGET IN 2024!Guys... I am sharing my analysis of Nifty over a longer time frame. The Elliot waves are marked on the chart. Nifty is currently in the wave 3 of the primary cycle. This primary cycle runs in smaller intermediate waves. Wave 1 started on April 2023; Wave 3 from November 2023; Expecting wave 4 to end by April 2024, and we can expect wave 5 to begin from May 2024. So, as per this analysis, we can see a red candle in April month - the wave 4 correction, which is likely to end around 21400 - 21500 levels. Wave 5, which is likely to begin in May, is likely to last till December 2024, taking nifty to 26000 levels (approximately 26400). In this, wave 3 is 1.23 times wave 1, and wave 5 is 1.618 times wave 1. Hopefully we get to witness a 20 - 25% rally in Nifty this year :) This is only my analysis & remember the market is always RIGHT!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Stock-Holmes
28 Mar ’24 — Nifty up 5415pts 32% this FY Investors beat tradersNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “We are still hanging on to the inverse head and shoulders pattern and strongly hope we should have some movement to the 22295 levels by tomorrow.” 4mts chart Unbelievable intraday price action by Nifty50 today. A rise of 369 points ~ 1.67% and then a sharp fall of 250 points ~ 1.11%. This highly volatile price movement is largely attributed to the year-end rebalancing by the mutual funds both DIIs and FIIs. What a fantastic financial year it has been for the investors. Nifty is up 32% ie 5415 points in the current financial year. If you look back and assess objectively, it is way above the average returns made by intraday traders. I can vouch for that as my personal returns are not more than 14 to 16% in this period. Just imagine that, a normal investor who either did the SIP or lumpsum beat an active intraday trader. The former would have gone for a regular job or business and got an additional income whereas the latter would have spent every day (blood, sweat, and tears) in front of the trading terminal and end up underperforming. These numbers are more than enough to drive away the traders - why take the pain if investing is giving above-average returns? One thing is 100% sure, things will not remain like this forever. Benchmarks cannot give 30%+ returns every year if you are counting on that - it is a recipe for disaster. Nifty almost took out the All-time highs today and ended up falling 10pts short. The inverse head and shoulders pattern played out and gave good results. My personal trades today were a total disaster. I was short 22400 CE, rolled up to 22450 CE, and then rolled over to the next weekly as the market was aggressively moving against me. Had to book back-to-back losses. After exiting the 22400 CE by stop loss, it went up another 2244% - totally crazy. And just check what happened in the last 45 minutes - we gave away 250 points. Meanwhile, I decided not to run the Algo’s today and stick with manual trades. If I had gone with the Algos, my entire March month earnings would have been washed out. In the end, made peace with whatever happened during the day. When we start trading on 1st April, we will start with a bullish stance. 1D chart
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
12 Jan ’24 — BankNifty goes neutral, Euphoria missing unlike ITBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNify opens above the resistance area of 47539 and then briefly falls below that till 09.59. When the entire IT sector was screaming GREEN, Banks were keeping lull. BN had its proper resistance break at 10.07. From there it made 2-legged rise to 47873 before giving away 270pts between 14.39 to 15.07. 4mts chart link We are impressed by BankNifty’s bull attack today that allowed the stance to change from bearish to neutral. But we still do not think it is a bullish case per se. A rising tide does lift all the boats. NiftyIT opened the floodgates of gains today and there would have been some spillover effects on other sectors. We will wait for the euphoria to cool off on Monday and re-evaluate the stance. 63mts chart link BankNifty is still neutral, the breakthrough of resistance has given a positive sentiment to it today - but it did not have the kind of momentum to go up. Take a look at FinNifty - it was flatter than BankNifty today. For Monday, the first thing BankNifty has to do is defend the support of 47539. The bulls will eventually drive it up if they get the confidence that the support is intact.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
What you need to become a successful trader?here we have discussed what are the important things that you will need to become a successful trader. 1. Techinical Analysis Skill: Understanding the chart behaviour; Price Volume Support and resistance Trendlines 2. Risk Capability How much money you can afford to lose on a single order, and on a single day. 3. Peace of Mind Are you having a thought that might disturb your trade making decision. You must have a calm and peaceful mind for being a successful trader. 4. Trade Managment Trade management is the skill that gives you the power to make intelligent decisions based on the analysis of which point is the best point to enter and exit from the trade.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by finnova_
2