XAU#8+ : Multi-frame analysis GOLD: Price traps soon💎 💎 💎 Plan #7 first helps you make a profit. Please like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan 💎 💎 💎
🔥 Yesterday was the last day of the new year in my country, so I was quite busy and could not update trading plan #8. Today, let's check the trend of GOLD🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The US dollar index DXY has increased by nearly 30 points in the short term, non-US currencies have decreased. This is partly the cause of the recent correction wave. However, the financial market's concern about a "mild recession" from Trump's policies is still present. This led to a recovery shortly afterwards
🔴Fed expects to keep interest rates steady, taking time to assess the impact of Trump's policy. 97.3% probability that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged this week
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame:** Yesterday marked a recovery after the previous adjustment day
🔹 **H4 frame:** Structurally,
🔹 **H1 frame:** The price structure changed from bullish to bearish. The price has returned to test the resistance area. The price reaction in this area will determine the direction of gold.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ The current price is in an important resistance area that is not suitable for entering orders. The best buying zone is the area where the price structure appears at 2745 as you can see. Remember that the main trend is still up, but the structural breakdown in the H4 frame is showing us a forecast for a short correction. The current price zone will be the confirmation zone for this forecast
✅According to personal experience, I will wait for an entry when the price returns to an important support or resistance zone. Entering an order in this area is no longer good for the R:R ratio and the failure rate is also high. Looking at the price structure, to be able to break this resistance zone, we will need a correction to gain momentum. Otherwise, there is a high possibility that we will witness a false breakout of this area to attract FOMO gamblers. Be patient and wait for the opportunity.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
Traders
XAU#5: Next trading plan for XAU
💎 💎 💎 Plan#4 OANDA:XAUUSD above helps you make a profit. Please leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
In the previous post. I noted to everyone that the price is in the support area and we can look for opportunities to establish a position. Currently, the price is running according to plan. I have summarized the things to pay attention to in the article below:
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The US dollar continues to fall after Trump's inauguration speech. A series of executive orders were signed. Highlights: Trump threatens to impose 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, gold rises near two-month high
🔴 Limited expectations: Some officials have emphasized that any tariffs will be implemented "in a controlled manner," but Trump's new statement has increased uncertainty.
📌 The market is in a state of fear due to Trump's decisions, which has been the main driver of gold's increase in recent times.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D:** The uptrend continues to be promoted. Yesterday ended with a pinbar, so today's price push is also suitable from a technical perspective. The price approached the resistance zone but the reaction was weak. Therefore, the possibility of prices continuing to increase in the near future is high
🔹 **Frame H4:** The key zone has been broken in the H4 frame. The price continuously tested support to break higher, showing stability in market sentiment. There are no signs of a trend reversal yet.
🔹 **H1 frame:** The price structure is very clear. Although it is in the trendline area, the reaction is insignificant. The strong increase in the Asian session brings many possibilities of a sudden change in the US session and expanding the price channel.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Absolutely do not block SELL in this area. Going against the trend when the news and the price line are supporting each other can lead to large losses and make trading psychology unstable
🚀If you already have a BUY position in the support area I marked yesterday, we can completely expect a higher profit. If you do not have one, you can refer to the yellow arrow plan.
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
BTC#4: Things to watch out for when BITCOIN breaks the top💎 💎 💎 Plan BTC3# helps you make a profit. Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Trump plans to make cryptocurrency a "policy priority" and consider suspending related lawsuits and establishing a national reserve fund.
🚀 The Fed's dovish stance combined with Trump's pro-crypto stance creates the foundation for the market to grow.
📌 Liquidation of positions has exceeded $90 million, most of which are sell orders. This also contributes to pushing BTC prices higher.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: As you can see, after scanning the 89xxx~90xxx area and closing with a pinbar, the price line has been increasing continuously until now.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The resistance zone of 102xxx has been broken and acted as support to push the price above the old peak. The price structure has been confirmed in the H4 frame that the old peak has been broken by a candle closing through the 106k~108k area
🔹 **H1 frame**: You can see the price line testing the trend line and increasing according to the textbook theory. You can see that I drew the support zone in #3 just now. Currently, the price has broken through the old trendline, but the price is still reacting at the old peak area.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ As I have provided you, the number of liquidated sell orders is very large. So we should not go against the trend to catch falling knives at this time.
✅ Currently, in my personal opinion. Market information is very excited with TRUMP's moves in the past time. This will attract many new investors and push BTC prices to continue to increase in the near future. However, today I will not give a trading plan because we do not know how high BTC prices can increase. Establishing a position at resistance brings high risks because R:R is no longer reasonable. 🚀 Give yourself a period of time to observe the price line and listen to information to make long-term decisions.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
**XAU#4: Gold begins to correct. Summary of possible scenarios!!💎 💎 💎 Plan ahead to help you make a profit. Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
🔥In the previous analysis, we planned for a downward correction. Currently, OANDA:XAUUSD the price is at the 269x support area. I will continue to plan the transaction for you:🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Donald Trump was sworn in as President of the United States today. Financial markets face risks from trade policy and geopolitics: Although tariffs have not been imposed immediately, analysts warn that the risk of trade wars and increased geopolitical tensions under Trump will be a major disadvantage for the market.
🔴 Everyone is cautiously waiting for specific executive orders from Trump to assess the impact on the global economy and financial markets.
📌 Gold SPDR ETF is still buying.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D:** The uptrend has not been broken. The price reacted to the resistance area, but you can see that the selling force this time is completely different from the previous 2 times.
🔹 **Frame H4:** The bullish price structure remains intact. What needs to be noted here is that KEYLEVER has not been broken.
🔹 **Frame H1:** The correction confirmation has been clearly indicated in the knowledge article. That is the reward for those who are willing to improve their trading knowledge. Currently, the price has found the support area and reacted. We will look for opportunities together. However, please note that the price structure is still increasing.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
Surely everyone's common question is whether to buy or sell. My point of view is to trade in line with the main trend, so I will give you a perspective for your reference
⛔ If you do not have a good position. We should not SELL in this area. The main trend and price structure are still supporting BUY. If you have made a profit in the recent correction, you should not be greedy when taking risks in this area. The main trend can return at any time
✅🚀 Waiting for an uptrend structure to find a position in line with the main trend is a wise choice at this time. I have marked the plan in the H1 frame so that you can better understand the idea.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
XAU#3: Gold Rises and Trading Plan💎 💎 💎 Plan ahead to help you make a profit. Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on XAU and the next trading plan.
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 🔴 US inflation accelerated in December and the Fed is facing a new challenge. This increases risk sentiment for the market.
▫️ In addition, some analysts are pointing out that Trump's job cut plan could push the unemployment rate up. The US economy faces more risks, causing money to flow into secured assets such as: Gold, BTC ....
2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame:** Yesterday's closing showed a strong increase in gold after the announcement of the inflation index. The price will continue to find the resistance area above.
🔹 **H4 Frame:** The bullish price structure remains intact.
🔹 **H1 Frame:** The price has completely broken through the resistance area of 269x. The next target will be the area of 2725~2752
3️⃣ **Trading Plan:**
Thanks to the previous plan, we have made a small profit. You can see that planning in advance gives us an overview and shapes our trading psychology
⛔ **Absolutely do not SELL** at the present time, when the price structure shows an upward trend in both the short and long term
✅** If you want to BUY in the right direction to make a profit**, we can completely wait until the price returns to the support zone below as I have drawn on the chart. Or if you cannot be patient, remember that you should trade with a small volume and accept that you will lose that amount of money
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free
💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
BTC#2 : Summary of things to watch out for in the current uptren🔥 The previous plan helped you make a profit. Leave a comment and share the joy. 🔥
Today I will continue to bring everyone a perspective on BTC and the next trading plan.
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 🔴US CPI rose slightly more than expected in December as energy costs rose, suggesting inflation is still rising
▫️ In addition, a recovery in Bitcoin was supported by the release of December PPI on Tuesday, which showed weaker-than-expected inflation data.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle close shows strong market confidence in BTC rising. However, the price has reacted when touching the trendline. This is the area we need to pay attention to
🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure was broken when the price crossed 968xx and went straight to the trendline, which caused the bullish momentum to slow down somewhat. It is likely that we will need a slight correction to gain momentum to break the resistance area above
🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at the price structure, you can see more clearly. The bullish wave has not shown any signs of ending, but the important resistance area requires us to be more patient if we want to find profits.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
✅ If you want to have a BUY position at the moment, my advice is that we can patiently wait for the price to test the support area of 958xx as I marked on the chart. Don't be hasty, when the R:R ratio of the important resistance area is always low. The bullish price structure also needs confirmation by a higher bottom than the previous bottom. FOMO at this time is not a wise choice
⛔ The resistance zone will always make you want to stop the ship. However, wait for the bearish price structure in the small time frame M5. M15 to make sure your judgment is correct. If you have a good position, you should not expect high profits when the bearish price structure is temporarily broken, closing part of the profit when the price touches support and leaving SL positive will be a wise choice.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
GOLD STORY #2: Things to watch out for when Gold corrects In the past 24 hours, the price of gold (XAU/USD) has dropped to $2,657/ounce, let's review the trading plan
🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis
🔴 Global economy and market sentiment:
• Rising DXY Index: The DXY Index, which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of major currencies, crossed the 110.00 mark for the first time since November 2023. A rising USD usually puts downward pressure on gold prices, as USD-denominated gold becomes more expensive for investors holding other currencies.
• Positive US economic data: The latest jobs report showed positive Non-Farm Payrolls figures, reducing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates, thereby supporting the USD and putting pressure on gold prices.
📊 2/ Technical Analysis
🔵 Looking at the H4 chart, you can see that the price is at the important support zone of 266x
🔵 The price structure of H4 and H1 has changed when Keylever 2664 has been broken
🔵 Looking at the H1 price channel, you can see that the price line shows that the sellers are still strong, the price trend is likely to find the support zone below at 265x
📈 3/ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY: We have to wait for a clearer price structure at the current support zone. Do not rush to place orders when yesterday's selling momentum has not been fully absorbed. Our buy plan will be based on the price structure I drew on the chart plan.
🔴 SELL
• If you currently have a good position at the resistance zone above, we can consider taking some profits and waiting for a better profit at the next support zone 261x~263x. Or:
wait for price reaction at the current support zone to establish a position
🐂 Which side are you on – BULL or BEAR? 🐻
💬 Leave a comment and discuss with the community!
**Scenario for BTC**1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Nonfarm data last weekend was good for the USD and impacted the interest rate cut policy. It is likely that we will have to wait until June for the next interest rate cut.
📉 Current market sentiment is affected by this information, plus the recent sharp increase in BTC price has made many people doubt the momentum to continue to increase to a higher price range. Therefore, the increase has temporarily slowed down.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Week frame:** Last week closed not very optimistically when the price reacted badly at the resistance zone of 101k~104k.
🔹 **Frame D:** The price structure is also not good when there are 2 peaks with the latter peak lower than the previous peak. The price is approaching the support zone but there is no clear reaction, it is likely to adjust to a lower support zone.
🔹 **H4 frame:** Based on the Zigzag line, we can see the classic head-and-shoulders pattern. At this time, we should not catch the bottom when the price has created a lower peak, showing that the market sentiment is no longer interested in the possibility of BTC's price increase.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
✅ If you have a **SELL** order in a good position, congratulations! 🎉 You can absolutely wait for a better profit when BTC is likely to break the current support zone to reach the next support zone of 85~86xxx.
⛔ **Absolutely do not BUY** at the present time, when the price structure shows a short-term downtrend.
💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 🚀
SP500#1: HOW DOES NONFARM AFFECT SP500?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis
🟥 Political tensions:
• The US increases pressure on Russia through energy sanctions. This could lead to trade retaliation, negatively affecting the economy.
🟥 Interest rate policy:
• Interest rates are likely to remain unchanged until June, limiting the amount of money injected into the market – causing concern.
🟥 CPI data next week:
• Inflation is the biggest determinant of interest rate policy. Forecasts show that inflation is likely to increase again, continuing to put pressure on the market.
💡 Basic conclusion:
The market faces a less optimistic sentiment due to increasing economic and political risks.
📊 2/ Technical Analysis
🔵 W (Weekly) Frame:
• This week closed with a long-tailed, long-bodied candle – a strong bearish sign.
🔵 D (Daily) Frame:
• The bearish structure was confirmed after Friday's trading session.
🔵 H1 (Hourly) Frame:
• The bearish price structure is clear: consecutive lower highs, the support trendline is broken.
💡 Summary:
All three timeframes are supporting the downtrend.
📈 3/ Trading Plan
🟢 Correction strategy:
• Support zone: 5676~5750.
👉 Wait for price reaction at this zone to find an opportunity to enter the order.
⚠️ Note: The weekly candle closes badly, profit expectations should not be too high. Do not rush to catch the bottom!
🔴 Trade in the direction of the trend:
Resistance zone: 5890~5915.
👉 Plan: Wait for the price to react at the resistance zone to enter a sell order in the direction of the trend.
🎯 Profit target: 5680 - strong support zone.
❓ Which side are you on - BULL or BEAR?
💬 Leave a comment to discuss and exchange!
GOLD STORY #1: XAUUSD SIDEWAY – SHOULD I BUY OR SELL NOW?🔎 1/ Fundamental Analysis
🔴 Global economy and market sentiment:
• Non-farm payrolls (NFP) data: Positive results, showing that the US economy is growing steadily.
• Inflation – the deciding factor: The Fed is still waiting for CPI data next week, which will be the most important factor for interest rate policy.
• Uncertainty from Russia-US tensions: Trade and political sanctions continue to increase, creating greater risks for the global market.
💡 Summary:
Although the USD received support signals from NFP, gold prices still maintained their upward momentum due to risk-off sentiment.
📊 2/ Technical Analysis
🔵 W (Weekly) Frame:
• After 5 weeks of sideways, gold price bounced back strongly, continuing the main trend.
• The weekly candle closed with a strong body, showing that the bulls are in control.
🔵 D (Daily) Frame:
• The key level 2600 has been broken, but the resistance zone 2725~2750 has not given a positive signal.
• The price touches the resistance but continuously creates higher lows – the market is still leaning towards the bulls.
🔵 H1 Frame:
• The uptrend is clear, but the price is near the resistance zone.
• The Risk-Reward (R:R) ratio is no longer attractive to trade in the uptrend.
📈 3/ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY – Follow the trend:
• If you have a buy order at a low price, congratulations! 🎉
👉 You can:
• Hold the order: If you expect the price to continue to break the resistance.
• Close a part: When the price touches the resistance zone of 2725~2750 to preserve profits.
• Note: If you do not have a position, you should not FOMO into this price zone because the R:R ratio is no longer ideal.
🔴 SELL – Counter-trend:
• Although the uptrend does not support selling, you can consider:
• Wait for the price reaction at the resistance zone of 2725~2750. OANDA:XAUUSD
• Expected profit should be low because this is a counter-trend trade.
🐂 Which side are you on – BULL or BEAR? 🐻
💬 Leave a comment and discuss with the community! OANDA:XAUUSD
TRENTTrent given head and shoulder breakdown and target has been completed @ bottom trendline
recently it create butterfly harmonic pattern @ trendline
rsi divergence @ completion of butterfly harmonic pattern
Buy TRENT above 1223 add more 1182 closing sl below 1131
Target=1300=1362.55-1496.8-1569.55
(Revised stoploss @1183 crossing above 1248)
“Strong momentum, potential upside in Wipro”After a long period, we have observed a significant breakout in this stock, showing strong potential for a successful trade. The trading volume has also seen a substantial increase, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is above the 60 level, indicating solid momentum. Given these factors, this stock has a high probability of becoming a momentum play.
Our initial target price is ₹620, with a secondary target at ₹730.
The Indian market recently faced a downturn due to the U.S. elections. However, under these conditions, the IT sector has maintained positive momentum, suggesting it may continue to perform well.
Silver DivergenceDivergence and Gold/Silver Ratio
Gold and silver are thought to move together, and often they do. There are periods where the Gold Trust (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) move in opposite directions and periods where one metal outperforms the other.
Gold is currently outperforming silver. Such discrepancies occur and are monitored by the gold/silver ratio. The gold/silver ratio shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy an ounce of gold. Since 1975, the average is near 60; right now it stands near 80 ($1,187 divided by $14.99).
While gold outperformance, or silver's underperformance relative to gold, was very noticeable in early 2016, this has actually been going on for a long time. The outperformance has become even more pronounced since 2016. To start 2016, gold traded at $1,069 and silver at $13.80 -- the gold/silver ratio of 77.5. As of Oct. 2018, it's at 80. Gold prices have risen relative to silver prices quite steadily for years. This is mainly due to silver price weakness since peaking near $50 in 2011 (when silver outperformed gold).
Beginner to Advanced Trading
Every successful investor has one thing in common, they read as many investment books as they can. Trading in the share market requires a basic knowledge of all the aspects that can influence the prices of shares, and it can be gathered by reading books regularly.
Skills #1 and #2 – Research and Analysis. ...
Skill #3 – Adapting Your Market Analysis to Changing Market Conditions. ...
Skill #4 – Staying in the Game. ...
Skills #5 and #6 – Discipline and Patience. ...
Bonus Skill #7 – Record Keeping. ...
In the End.
NIFTY... 26000 TARGET IN 2024!Guys... I am sharing my analysis of Nifty over a longer time frame.
The Elliot waves are marked on the chart. Nifty is currently in the wave 3 of the primary cycle.
This primary cycle runs in smaller intermediate waves.
Wave 1 started on April 2023;
Wave 3 from November 2023;
Expecting wave 4 to end by April 2024, and we can expect wave 5 to begin from May 2024.
So, as per this analysis, we can see a red candle in April month - the wave 4 correction, which is likely to end around 21400 - 21500 levels.
Wave 5, which is likely to begin in May, is likely to last till December 2024, taking nifty to 26000 levels (approximately 26400).
In this, wave 3 is 1.23 times wave 1, and wave 5 is 1.618 times wave 1.
Hopefully we get to witness a 20 - 25% rally in Nifty this year :)
This is only my analysis & remember the market is always RIGHT!
Reliance Update : entryAs the price not come to our buy limit ,we are not entered in the trade ...
But now the price is at coreect support level of trend line ,we can enter at this level and expect good risk to reward ratio....
Follow for more ...
DISCLAIMER: WE DON'T SUGGEST TO BUY OR SELL ,DO TRADE ON YOUR OWN RISK...
28 Mar ’24 — Nifty up 5415pts 32% this FY Investors beat tradersNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “We are still hanging on to the inverse head and shoulders pattern and strongly hope we should have some movement to the 22295 levels by tomorrow.”
4mts chart
Unbelievable intraday price action by Nifty50 today. A rise of 369 points ~ 1.67% and then a sharp fall of 250 points ~ 1.11%. This highly volatile price movement is largely attributed to the year-end rebalancing by the mutual funds both DIIs and FIIs.
What a fantastic financial year it has been for the investors. Nifty is up 32% ie 5415 points in the current financial year. If you look back and assess objectively, it is way above the average returns made by intraday traders. I can vouch for that as my personal returns are not more than 14 to 16% in this period.
Just imagine that, a normal investor who either did the SIP or lumpsum beat an active intraday trader. The former would have gone for a regular job or business and got an additional income whereas the latter would have spent every day (blood, sweat, and tears) in front of the trading terminal and end up underperforming.
These numbers are more than enough to drive away the traders - why take the pain if investing is giving above-average returns?
One thing is 100% sure, things will not remain like this forever. Benchmarks cannot give 30%+ returns every year if you are counting on that - it is a recipe for disaster.
Nifty almost took out the All-time highs today and ended up falling 10pts short. The inverse head and shoulders pattern played out and gave good results. My personal trades today were a total disaster. I was short 22400 CE, rolled up to 22450 CE, and then rolled over to the next weekly as the market was aggressively moving against me. Had to book back-to-back losses. After exiting the 22400 CE by stop loss, it went up another 2244% - totally crazy. And just check what happened in the last 45 minutes - we gave away 250 points. Meanwhile, I decided not to run the Algo’s today and stick with manual trades. If I had gone with the Algos, my entire March month earnings would have been washed out. In the end, made peace with whatever happened during the day. When we start trading on 1st April, we will start with a bullish stance.
1D chart






















