Option Chain AnalysisChapter 1: Basics Refresher
1.1 What is an Option Chain?
An option chain (or option matrix) is a tabular display of all option contracts for a particular stock or index. It is split into two halves:
Left side → Call Options (CE)
Right side → Put Options (PE)
Middle → Strike Prices
For each strike, the chain shows data such as Open Interest (OI), Volume, Last Traded Price (LTP), Bid/Ask, Change in OI, and Implied Volatility (IV).
1.2 Why Do We Analyze It?
Option chain analysis provides traders with:
Market sentiment (bullish, bearish, or neutral).
Probable support and resistance levels.
Identification of fresh positions vs unwinding.
Volatility expectations.
Clues for strategy selection (directional or non-directional).
Chapter 2: Core Components in Option Chain Analysis
2.1 Open Interest (OI)
Represents outstanding contracts not yet squared off.
High OI at a strike → strong trader interest.
Change in OI indicates new positions or unwinding.
👉 Key use in analysis:
Highest Put OI → Likely support.
Highest Call OI → Likely resistance.
2.2 Volume
Shows contracts traded during the current session.
High Volume + Rising OI → New positions building up.
High Volume + Falling OI → Unwinding/covering.
2.3 Implied Volatility (IV)
Reflects expected volatility of the underlying.
High IV → Options expensive; suitable for option writing.
Low IV → Options cheaper; suitable for buying strategies.
2.4 Price (Premium) Movement
If premiums rise with OI → trend continuation.
If premiums fall with OI → trend weakening.
2.5 Put Call Ratio (PCR)
Formula: Total Put OI ÷ Total Call OI.
PCR > 1 → More puts → bullish bias.
PCR < 1 → More calls → bearish bias.
Chapter 3: Interpreting Option Chain Data
3.1 Support & Resistance Identification
Support: Strikes with highest Put OI (buyers willing to defend).
Resistance: Strikes with highest Call OI (sellers capping upside).
Example:
If NIFTY is at 20,000:
19,800 Put has highest OI → Support.
20,200 Call has highest OI → Resistance.
3.2 OI and Price Analysis
Price ↑ + OI ↑ → Long Build-up.
Price ↓ + OI ↑ → Short Build-up.
Price ↑ + OI ↓ → Short Covering.
Price ↓ + OI ↓ → Long Unwinding.
This is one of the most powerful interpretations for intraday and positional trading.
3.3 IV Analysis
Rising IV + Rising Premiums → Traders expect big moves.
Falling IV + Rising Premiums → Unusual demand-driven move.
Chapter 4: Techniques of Option Chain Analysis
4.1 Strike-Wise Analysis
Look at individual strikes for OI and volume changes.
Identify where traders are adding fresh bets.
4.2 ATM (At-the-Money) Analysis
ATM strikes reflect the most balanced and sensitive positions.
Changes in ATM OI provide clear sentiment direction.
4.3 OTM (Out-of-the-Money) Analysis
Helps identify speculation and event-based positioning.
Example: Traders buying far OTM Calls before results → Bullish bets.
4.4 PCR Interpretation
Overall PCR for market view.
Strike-wise PCR for specific zones.
Chapter 5: Option Chain Analysis for Strategies
5.1 Directional Strategies
Bullish sentiment → Buy Calls, Sell Puts, Bull Call Spread.
Bearish sentiment → Buy Puts, Sell Calls, Bear Put Spread.
5.2 Neutral / Range-Bound Strategies
If highest Put OI and Call OI are close → sideways view.
Strategies: Iron Condor, Short Straddle, Short Strangle.
5.3 Volatility-Based Strategies
High IV → Option writing (Iron Fly, Short Straddle).
Low IV → Option buying (Long Straddle, Long Strangle).
Chapter 6: Practical Example (NSE NIFTY)
Imagine NIFTY trading at 20,000.
Highest Put OI at 19,800 → Support.
Highest Call OI at 20,200 → Resistance.
PCR = 1.3 → Slightly bullish.
Interpretation:
NIFTY likely to trade between 19,800–20,200 for now.
Strategy: Iron Condor within the range.
Chapter 7: Institutional vs Retail Approach
Retail traders: Focus on LTP, volume, ATM strikes.
Institutions: Focus on OI buildup, hedging positions, volatility skew.
Market makers: Use Greeks + IV to balance exposures.
Chapter 8: Advanced Insights
8.1 Option Chain + Technical Analysis
Combining chart support/resistance with OI data makes levels stronger.
8.2 Option Chain Before Events
Earnings, Fed meetings, budget → OI shifts + IV spikes.
Typically, IV crashes after event (“IV crush”).
8.3 Skew Analysis
Sometimes far OTM puts have higher IV than calls → sign of bearish protection demand.
Chapter 9: Mistakes Traders Make
Blindly following “highest OI” without context.
Ignoring IV while analyzing premiums.
Trading illiquid strikes (low OI/volume).
Misinterpreting PCR extremes (can signal contrarian trades).
Over-relying on option chain without considering news/technical charts.
Chapter 10: Step-by-Step Guide for Beginners
Open NSE Option Chain for the underlying.
Note the spot price.
Identify ATM strike.
Look at highest Put OI (support).
Look at highest Call OI (resistance).
Check PCR for sentiment.
Track OI + Price changes intraday for direction.
Select a strategy (buy/sell options, spreads, or non-directional).
Chapter 11: Benefits of Option Chain Analysis
Provides real-time market sentiment.
Identifies key support/resistance zones.
Helps in strategy selection.
Useful for hedging positions.
Assists in intraday, swing, and positional trading.
Chapter 12: Limitations
Works best in liquid instruments (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY).
Can give false signals during low volume sessions.
Sudden news/events can override OI patterns.
Requires constant monitoring (dynamic data).
Conclusion
Option Chain Analysis is a trader’s X-ray machine—it reveals what the surface charts don’t show. By analyzing open interest, volume, IV, and PCR, traders can spot where the market is placing its bets. This helps identify support/resistance levels, predict short-term trends, and craft strategies suited for directional, range-bound, or volatile markets.
For beginners, the option chain may initially look complex. But with practice, patterns emerge, and it becomes one of the most reliable tools for decision-making. For professionals, it’s an indispensable part of daily trading.
In the end, option chain analysis is not just about numbers—it’s about reading the collective psychology of market participants and positioning oneself accordingly.
Tradershedge
Bullish USDJPY (Long Position)Time Frame: 1-Hour
Trade Direction: Bullish
Entry Price: 148.629
Target Price: 149.262
Stop Loss: 148.108
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.3:1
1. Chart Analysis:
The price action has been respecting a strong ascending trendline (blue line) indicating a consistent upward momentum over the past several hours.
Price has recently bounced off the trendline and is approaching a resistance zone near 148.6, showing potential for a continuation upward towards 149.262.
Support Level: The price has previously found support at the 148.1 level, confirming a solid demand zone in the market.
2. Indicator Support:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): The price is currently trading above both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, which is a bullish sign indicating upward momentum. The EMAs are also in alignment, further supporting the bullish case.
Volume Trend: There is an increase in volume accompanying the recent bullish price action, confirming strong buying interest and supporting the idea of a potential breakout towards the target.
3. Risk Management:
The stop loss is placed just below the recent low at 148.108 to provide a reasonable buffer against any price retracement, keeping the trade within an acceptable risk range.
The target is set at 149.262, just below the key resistance level, ensuring that we capture the full potential of the current trend while minimizing the risk.
4. Trade Setup Logic:
This setup is based on the continuation of the uptrend, with strong support from both the price action and indicators. The price action has successfully bounced from the trendline, confirming a potential continuation move towards higher prices.
The target lies near a resistance zone, making it a logical point for potential profit-taking.
5. Conclusion:
The overall market structure and indicators are aligned in favor of a bullish position, providing a high-probability setup. With a clear risk-reward ratio, this trade offers a favorable risk profile and a solid chance for profit.
INFY Bullish Setup** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Ticker: INFY
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Trade Type: Bullish
Entry Point: 1486.20
Target Price (TP): 1589.15
Stop Loss (SL): 1417.45
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:1.5
Trade Setup and Rationale:
Market Context:
INFY has been showing signs of recovery, breaking out of a corrective phase. The price is currently positioned for a potential uptrend, supported by a significant bullish pattern forming on the chart.
Entry Point (1486.20):
The price has recently tested a support zone and is now showing signs of a strong reversal. The entry point is set just above this level, ensuring a confirmation of the bullish trend before committing to the trade.
Target Price (1589.15):
The target is set at a key resistance level where price is expected to face potential selling pressure. This level aligns with previous highs and is a reasonable place to lock in profits while riding the trend.
Stop Loss (1417.45):
The stop loss is placed just below the recent swing low, ensuring that the trade has a controlled risk. This placement minimizes the risk of getting stopped out in case of minor fluctuations while keeping the risk-to-reward ratio favorable.
Trade Logic:
The trade is supported by a bullish breakout pattern with increasing volume. After a period of consolidation, price action is showing signs of upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade setup.
The risk-to-reward ratio of 1:1.5 offers a balanced risk for the potential reward, providing a good trading opportunity with a well-placed stop loss.
Volume Confirmation:
Volume is showing a steady increase as the price starts moving upward, indicating that market participants are supporting the bullish move.
Trend Confirmation:
The trend is confirmed by the price breaking above previous resistance, and the bullish setup aligns with the market structure.
Swing trade for AartiIND to take long entrySwing trade ideas for Aartiind . On the hourly chart, W pattern is forming on the chart. A very high probability that the stock will BO the pattern. For your education refer below points:
1) W pattern on chart. RSI above 60 & level of 40 support on a daily and weekly.
2) Accumulation near the resistance level.
3) Stock-taking support at an area of 445-450. check past data too.
This is for swing short-term trade ideas for your educational purpose only.
Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 27 JULY 2022Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 27 JULY 2022
Bank Nifty is bearishly aligned for the day. Bank Nifty is expected to open flat to small gap down opening.
In case if Bank Nifty opens flat to small gap down, any resistance from PDL & CPR we can possibly short the market and sit for targets of S1 as our first target.
In case of S1/Brearish Break out taken out we can expect next target to be Virgin CPR zone which also coincides with our Target 1.
Would prefer to go long only above CPR & at lower targets of Target 1/2.
Nifty Trade Plan for 27 JULY 2022Nifty Trade Plan for 27 JULY 2022
Nifty is bearishly aligned for the day. Nifty is expected to open flat to small gap down opening.
In case if Nifty opens flat to small gap down, any resistance from PDL & CPR we can possibly short the market and sit for targets of S1 as our first target.
In case of S1 / Bearish Break out taken out we can expect Target 2.
Any support at PDL, we can possibly go for a quick scalp for long for a target of CPR. We can shorts getting covered around Target1/2 that where we can again expect some long opportunities today.
Nifty Trade Setup for 26 JULY 2022Nifty Trade Setup for 26 JULY 2022
Nifty looks to be bearishly aligned for the day & can expect some good volatility today.
Nifty is expected to open within yesterday range and will be looking for any sell opportunity if any triggers gets confirmed at the sell Zones.
In case if S1 support holds good & any buy triggers is confirmed we can possibly go long and expected Nifty to again be in a range and can test upper targets as marked.
In case of S1 break out we can expect lower Buy zones to be tested out.
Bank Trade Setup for 26 JULY 2022Bank Trade Setup for 26 JULY 2022
Bank Nifty looks to be bearishly aligned for the day & can expect some good volatility today.
Bank Nifty is expected to open within yesterday range and will be looking for any sell opportunity if any triggers gets confirmed at the CPR or Bearish Reversal.
In case if Bullish Reversal or S1 support holds good with any buy triggers getting confirmed we can possibly go long and expected Bank Nifty to again be in a range and can test upper targets as marked.
In case of S1/ Bearish break out we can expect lower Buy zones to be tested out.
Bank Nifty Trade Setup for 25 JULY 2022Bank Nifty Trade Setup for 25 JULY 2022
Bank Nifty Expected to open with in previous session range with a gap down around CPR.
Expected Bank nifty to trade in a range today. In case of CPR getting compromised we can expect BN to test out S1 Support & if S1 Compromised can anticipate PDL & T2 Targets today.
Any Support confirmed at S1 we can expect BN to again test out CPR.
Nifty Trade Setup for 25 JULY 2022Nifty Trade Setup for 25 JULY 2022
Nifty Expected to open with in previous session range with a gap down around Bearish Break out Zone/S1.
If S1 is compromised we can anticipate Nifty to Test out T1/ T2 levels.
Any support at S1 we can anticipate Nifty to trade in a range and might test the CPR.
Any reversal from CPR we can anticipate Nifty to test the S1 & may be even lower levels.
If CPR is taken on upside we can anticipate PDH.
Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 22 AUG 2022Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 22 AUG 2022
Bank Nifty is bullishly biased for the day with a solid bullish closing and managed to close above key resistance level of 36200.
Expecting a gap up opening in Bank Nifty around R1 resistance levels.
If R1/Bullish Break Out is taken on opening 15-30 min we can possibly expect T1/T2 Targets today.
In case if R1/Bullish Breakout is not taken out on opening then we can possibly expect Bank Nifty to be retest CPR and then bounce back on upside.
Any compromised of CPR we can possibly expect Bullish Reversal and then S1/Bearish Breakout as possible lower targets.
Nifty Trade Plan for 22 AUG 2022Nifty Trade Plan for 22 AUG 2022
Nifty is bullishly biased for the day with a solid bullish closing and managed to close above key resistance level of 16600.
Expecting a gap up opening in Nifty around R1 resistance levels.
If R1/Bullish Break Out is taken on opening 15-30 min we can possibly expect T1/T2 Targets today.
In case if R1/Bullish Breakout is not taken out on opening then we can possibly expect Nifty to be retest Bullish Reversal Zone and then bounce back on upside.
Any compromised of CPR we can possibly expect S1 and then PDL.
Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry dayBank Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day
After a gap up opening in Bank Nifty found some selling pressure at the close.
Key support level to watch out is 36000 level for next trading session.
Even though the CPR is bullishly aligned for the next trading session the closing sentiment is weak.
Tomorrow if Bank Nifty opens flat to small gap down, then CPR & Bearish reversal should act as a strong resistance, In case if PDL & S1 is getting compromised we can expect the Previous day gap to be filled.
In case if Bank Nifty opens with in yesterday range & sustains above CPR then we can expect Bank Nifty to again test out PDH & be in a range bound.
Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day
After a gap up opening in Nifty found some selling pressure at the close.
Key support level to watch out is 16500 level for next trading session.
Even though the CPR is bullishly aligned for the next trading session the closing sentiment is weak.
Tomorrow if Nifty opens flat to small gap down, then CPR & Bearish reversal should act as a strong resistance, In case if PDL & S1 is getting compromised we can expect the Previous day gap to be filled.
In case if Nifty opens with in yesterday range & sustains above CPR then we can expect Nifty to again test out PDH & be in a range bound.
Nifty & Bank Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day
After a gap up opening in Nifty found some selling pressure at the close.
Key support level to watch out is 16500 level for next trading session.
Even though the CPR is bullishly aligned for the next trading session the closing sentiment is weak.
Tomorrow if Nifty opens flat to small gap down, then CPR & Bearish reversal should act as a strong resistance, In case if PDL & S1 is getting compromised we can expect the Previous day gap to be filled.
In case if Nifty opens with in yesterday range & sustains above CPR then we can expect Nifty to again test out PDH & be in a range bound.
Bank Nifty Trade Plan for 21 JULY 2022 - Expiry day
After a gap up opening in Bank Nifty found some selling pressure at the close.
Key support level to watch out is 36000 level for next trading session.
Even though the CPR is bullishly aligned for the next trading session the closing sentiment is weak.
Tomorrow if Bank Nifty opens flat to small gap down, then CPR & Bearish reversal should act as a strong resistance, In case if PDL & S1 is getting compromised we can expect the Previous day gap to be filled.
In case if Bank Nifty opens with in yesterday range & sustains above CPR then we can expect Bank Nifty to again test out PDH & be in a range bound.
Bank Nifty Trade Setup for 19 JULY 2022Bank Nifty Trade Setup for 19 JULY 2022
Bank Nifty expected to have a gap down opening around Bearish Break out zone & S1 Support levels.
Any rejection from S1 support levels or Bearish BO we can anticipate Bank Nifty to test out PDL & then may be Virgin CPR levels of yesterday.
In case if S1 support holds good then we can anticipate Nifty to be in a range and might test again Bullish Reversal Zone & that taken out then PDH.
Check out the linked video for detailed analysis.
Nifty Trade Setup for 19 JULY 2022Nifty Trade Setup for 19 JULY 2022
Nifty expected to have a gap down opening around S1 Support levels.
Any rejection from S1 support levels we can anticipate Nifty to test out PDL & then may be Virgin CPR levels of yesterday.
In case if S1 support holds good then we can anticipate Nifty to be in a range and might test again PDH.
Also do watch out the linked video.
Bank Nifty Trade setup for 15 JUL 2022Bank Nifty Trade setup for 15 JUL 2022
Bank Nifty expected to open flat to small gap down.
Immediate resistance for Bank Nifty is the CPR, in case any support at CPR we can possibly expect Bank Nifty to test out R1.
There is a quite a resistance for Bank Nifty around R1 & Bullish Break out Zones, any rejection triggers from these zones is a selling opportunity for the lower targets as marked on the charts.
In case of S1 getting compromised today we can see more selling pressure and the previous gap will be filled out or else it would be trading in yesterday's price range.
Nifty Trade setup for 15 JUL 2022Nifty Trade setup for 15 JUL 2022
Nifty expected to open flat to small gap down.
Immediate resistance for Nifty is the CPR, in case any support at CPR we can possibly expect Nifty to teste out Bearish Reversal & R1.
There is a quite a resistance for Nifty around R1 & Bearish Reversal Zones, any rejection triggers from these zones is a selling opportunity for the lower targets as marked on the charts.
In case4 of S1 getting compromised we can see more selling pressure or else it would be trading in yesterday's price range.