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AUDUSD rebound remains elusive below 0.6500AUDUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the lowest level in a month, snapping a three-day downtrend, amid mixed data/events from Australia. Also allowing the Aussie pair to consolidate recent losses is the market’s reaction to the upbeat data from China, Australia’s biggest customer, as well as the below 50 levels of the RSI line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 0.6500 support confluence, comprising an ascending trend line from early November and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s late 2023 moves, challenge the bullish bias. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6500 support-turned-resistance, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA near 0.6545-50 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Following that, the 0.6600 threshold and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since January, near 0.6635-40, will be the last defenses of the pair sellers before giving control to the bulls. On the contrary, a two-month-old horizontal support around 0.6475 restricts the immediate downside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the yearly low marked in February around 0.6445. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6445, the early November swing lows surrounding 0.6340 and 0.6320 could test the sellers before directing them to the previous yearly low of 0.6270. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 0.6270 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the year 2022 bottom around 0.6170. Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to remain bearish and the latest recovery appears less convincing.
by MTradingGlobal
April 2, 2024 trading strategyThe record rise in gold prices is a sign that investors are worried that the Fed will not be able to control inflation when it starts cutting interest rates. Investors should wait for a pullback before buying. Gold may return to the price of 2,150 USD and will attract a number of new investors. The upward trend of world gold prices continues as the market is witnessing that central banks of countries are selling off the USD. to buy gold. If the US job market is stronger than expected, combined with "persistent" inflation, it may force the Fed to delay the start of the monetary policy loosening cycle. This will negatively impact precious metals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrategySherpa
XAU price today April 1, 2024 reached a historic peakCME's FedWatch probability indicator shows that there is a 62% chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in June. Lower interest rates often weaken the USD, making gold more attractive for investors holding other currencies. Another important factor contributing to the rise in gold prices is the continued purchase of physical gold by central banks around the world. Increased demand will directly impact prices, pushing gold prices to record highs. ECB policy planning member Francois Villeroy said that achieving the ECB's 2% inflation target is feasible. At the same time, he also warned about potential risks if the ECB does not cut interest rates. ECB executive board member Fabio Panetta hinted on Thursday that "the conditions for launching an easy monetary policy are gradually emerging." According to experts, central banks' gold purchases, impending interest rate cuts and concerns about inflation are the driving forces for gold prices to continue to increase in the short term. Bob Haberkorn, an expert at RJO Futures, said that closer to June, the market will see gold prices rise higher due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrategySherpa
FDC | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS Sector: Pharmaceuticals & Drugs Mkt Cap: 6,919 cr FDC (Fairdeal Corporation) Ltd Limited (found in 1936) is among India’s leading fully integrated pharmaceutical companies. The Company is a pioneer in the manufacture of specialized formulations, and among the world’s foremost manufacturers and marketers of Oral Rehydration Salts (ORS). Some of FDC’s leading brands in India include Zifi, Electral, Enerzal, Vitcofol, Pyrimon, Zocon, Zathrin, Zipod, Cotaryl and Mycoderm in the domestic and international markets. TTM PE : 27.54 (Average PE) Sector PE : 51.37 Beta : 0.31 📚 INSIGHTS Strong Performer Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation 2.10% away from 52 week high Outperformer - FDC up by 5.42% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 4.71% in last 1 month 📈 FINANCIALS Piotroski Score of 6/9 indicates Average Financials Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst. If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
NSE:FDCLong
by Munish_Jain
USDJPY grinds within immediate range amid holiday-shortened weekUSDJPY registered the first weekly loss in three amid mixed concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) next move, especially when the policymakers hesitated to stick to the hawkish plan after the first rate hike in 17 years. However, the broad US Dollar strength and an upbeat performance of the yields put a floor under the prices. Apart from the mixed fundamentals, the Yen pair’s inability to break the seven-week-old horizontal support zone surrounding 150.75-90, as well as cross an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from March 20, close to the 152.00 threshold, restrict short-term moves of the pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100 and 200 SMA join steady oscillators to keep the buyers hopeful. That said, an upside clearance of the 152.00 immediate resistance could quickly propel the prices toward a three-week-old support-turned-resistance, around 152.90. Following that, the June 1990 high of 155.80 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, a downside break of the seven-week-old horizontal support of 150.75-90 will direct the USDJPY sellers toward the 200 and 100 SMA levels, respectively near 150.00 and 149.75 at the latest. In a case where the Yen pair sellers keep the reins past 149.75, the March 18 swing high of 149.30 and the 149.00 round figure will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the sellers toward the previous monthly high of near 146.50. Overall, the mixed catalysts join the Easter Monday holiday in major markets and a light calendar to restrict the USDJPY pair’s moves. However, the quote remains on the bull’s radar.
by MTradingGlobal
Sensex Monthly expire AnalysisFor the Sensex monthly expiry on 28th March 2024, I anticipate a bullish trend driven by positive economic indicators and corporate earnings. Continued government stimulus measures and favorable global market conditions are likely to support investor sentiment. Key sectors such as technology, healthcare, and renewable energy could outperform, while stable inflation and interest rates may further bolster market confidence. However, cautiousness regarding geopolitical tensions and potential regulatory changes remains prudent. Overall, I expect the Sensex to exhibit resilience and potentially reach new highs during this expiry period, reflecting the underlying strength of the Indian economy.
BSE:SENSEX
by Anmolking
AUDJPY: Ending Diagonal Pattern; A Reversal on the Horizon.The advance from Mar 24, 2023 low of 86.06 subdivides into five waves. Notice that this price action contains overlapping waves that contract and form a wedge shape. That is the emblem of an ending diagonal which cues a swift and dramatic reversal on the horizon. According to Elliott Wave guideline, the expected reversal is projected to reach at least the point where the diagonal initiation occurred, and potentially extend beyond. In this instance, the relevant level is identified by the conclusion of wave ((b)) at 86.06. A salient attribute of ending diagonal is that all initial subwaves form either a single or multiple zigzag patterns. Waves (i), (iii), (iv) and (v) appear to be single zigzags, while wave (ii) is a double zigzag. Wave (v) often makes a throw-over (a brief break beyond the trendline connecting waves (i) and (iii) ). A throw-over suggests a diagonal has finished. Once price action pushes below the trendline connecting waves (ii) and (iv), we would have compelling proof that the diagonal has ended. The next event should be a swift move to at least 86.06 and probably beyond. The wave count is not the sole basis for considering a short position. Beyond what is illustrated, there has been a divergence in prices and MACD since June 16, 2023, suggesting a diminishing upward momentum and indicating a weakening uptrend. Despite new highs in prices on November 16, 2023 and February 21, 2024, MACD did not follow suit. This bearish divergence frequently foreshadows a potential downturn in prices. (Insert MACD on your chart and draw a trendline connecting the highs) Trading Plan Entry: Sell above wave (iii) high. Protective Stop: 100.95; the price level at which wave (v) would be longer than wave (iii), which would render our diagonal scenario invalid. As a rule, within a contracting ending diagonal, wave three is always shorter than wave one, and wave five is always shorter than wave three. Target: 86.06 and below Risk-Reward: 1:5
Short
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast