Ingersoll Rand: When the Bullish Wedge Fails (Bearish Breakdown)The Setup Traders often look at Falling Wedges and blindly assume a bullish reversal is coming. Ingersoll Rand (NSE: INGERRAND) has just provided a textbook example of why "Assumption" is dangerous in trading.
Instead of breaking out to the upside, the price has sliced through the Lower Support Trendline on the Daily timeframe.
Technical Breakdown (The "Trap"):
Pattern Failure: The stock was forming a Falling Wedge (usually bullish). The market expected a bounce from the lower support.
The Invalidating Move: The recent heavy-volume candle breaking below the wedge support changes the structure entirely.
Psychology of the Short: Bulls who accumulated at the support line are now trapped. As their Stop Losses get hit, it creates a cascade of selling pressure (Long Liquidation).
Trade Management (Bearish):
Signal: The daily close below the wedge support (Current levels: ~3,438).
Conservative Entry: Wait for a "Retest" of the broken trendline from below (proving old support has become new resistance).
Trend Invalidation: A daily close back inside the wedge (above ~3,550). If it re-enters, the breakdown was a "Bear Trap."
Potential Target: Since this is a continuation of the downtrend, we look at the next major structural support zones (Psychological levels like 3,200 or 3,000).
Risological Note: We trade what we see, not what the textbook says should happen. A failed bullish pattern is often a stronger bearish signal than a standard downtrend.
Tradingindicator
Gain 10% in IOC after this video - MULTI TIME FRAME analysisWhat I see in IOC Would love to share my views with you all :
_ I see that the price was getting rejected from the same trendline on weekly basis for quite a while now
and recently broken with 4 bullish green candles on W charts
_ I see that the zone of 102 to 106 is a strong supply-demand conversion zone, which means it can sometimes work as
demand and sometimes supply zones
_ For now it has broken that supply zone and gone up by 17%, now it is retracing its move, for that we have fibo
tool to understand where it is in terms of retracement
_ I see that the price resides on 0.3 fib retracements and also on supply-demand conversion zone of 105 levels
which will act as demand/support for the price
_ I also see that in 1hr time frame it is making a good trendline which needs a breakout
_ A breakout as depicted in the video if given then it might boom for 113 levels and 117 levels
Trade levels :
Breakout of small trendline needed above the 107 marks ( on 1hr TF )
SL should be self kept as its a self-owned thing ( I might keep it below the swing )
Targets should be set at least larger than the SL and logical too ( 113 is good resistance and 117 is near term high )
___ Have a nice trading-day :) ___
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The private sector lender last month reported a standalone net loss of Rs 1,387.78 crore for Q4FY20 as provisioning for bad loans and contingencies soared.
Axis Bank had reported a net profit of Rs 1,505.06 crore in the same quarter of the previous financial year.
Income during the latest quarter stood at Rs 20,219.57 crore. It was Rs 18,324.31 crore in the year-ago period, Axis Bank said in a regulatory filing.
Provisions for bad loans and contingencies in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal were at Rs 7,730.02 crore. In the year-ago quarter, provisions stood at Rs 2,711.43 crore.
EUR/USD: Euro - Dollar RateThe outlook for EUR/USD has improved after a more upbeat week for the currency that pointed to further modest near-term gains. Shortly after some desperately poor GDP data for the first quarter of this year due to the coronavirus pandemic, and the likelihood that the second quarter will be even worse, the European Central Bank again indicated that it is prepared to do almost anything to ameliorate the economic impact of Covid-19.
That should help offset continued bickering and a notable lack of action by Eurozone governments. The Eurogroup of national finance ministers holds yet another video conference this week, and was urged once more by the ECB to help out, but seems unlikely to do so. Still, expectations are so low that another failure to agree is unlikely to send the Euro lower after its advance this past week.



