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XAUUSD (D1) – Elliott ABC pattern activeLana sells the pullback, waits to buy at major liquidity 💛 Quick summary Timeframe: Daily (D1) Elliott view: Price is likely developing an ABC corrective structure after a strong rally Strategy: Sell the B-wave pullback into supply, buy only when price returns to strong liquidity Context: Precious metals started 2026 strong, but short-term volatility and re-accumulation swings are still expected Fundamental backdrop (supports the bigger trend) Gold and silver opened 2026 with strong momentum, extending the best run since the late 1970s. Goldman Sachs remains bullish on precious metals and continues to highlight an aggressive long-term target (around $4,900 for gold). Lana’s key point: the long-term bull cycle can remain intact, but the market still needs healthy corrections to reset liquidity and build new structure. Technical view (D1) – Elliott ABC structure On the Daily chart, after the powerful top, gold dropped sharply, forming a clean Wave A. The current structure suggests: Wave B: a corrective rebound into resistance/supply Wave C: a potential move back down into liquidity zones before the next major direction is confirmed This ABC lens helps avoid getting trapped when the news looks bullish, but price is still in a corrective phase. Key levels from the chart 1) Sell zone (B-wave supply) Sell: 4435 – 4440 This zone aligns with marked resistance and a Fibonacci pullback cluster (0.236 / 0.382). If price retraces here and shows rejection, it’s a strong area to look for B-wave selling pressure. 2) Buy zone (major liquidity – potential C-wave completion) Buy Liquidity: 4196 – 4200 This is the strongest liquidity area on the chart. If Wave C plays out, Lana will look for buying opportunities here with clearer risk control. 3) Deeper accumulation liquidity Accumulate liquidity: the lower accumulation area highlighted on the chart If the market sweeps deeper than expected, this is the region where longer-term buyers may step in. Trading plan (Lana’s approach) Primary idea: Sell rallies into 4435–4440 if price shows weakness (B-wave rejection). Primary buy plan: Wait for price to revisit 4196–4200 and confirm support (liquidity absorption). If price breaks and holds above the sell zone, Lana stops selling and waits for a new structure to form. Note on early-year behavior The first weeks of the year often bring “messy” moves as liquidity returns and positioning resets. Lana will only trade at planned zones and avoid entries in the middle of the range. This is Lana’s personal market view and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly Outlook (Dec 22–26)Buy the dip inside the channel, watch for a short-term correction after Wave 5 Strategy summary for next week On the H4 chart, gold is still trading inside a mid-term rising channel. However, the wave structure suggests Wave 5 is likely finished, so next week I’m focusing on two main ideas: Mid-term BUY bias, but only if price pulls back to a better liquidity area. Short-term SELL correction, triggered only with confirmation (break below 4309) on the lower timeframe. 1) Technical view: Uptrend channel holds, but a correction is likely Price is currently in the upper half of the channel → not an ideal spot to chase buys. The chart highlights two key liquidity areas: Liquidity Sell Zone near 4433 (upside target, only valid if price builds a clean path higher). Strong Liquidity around 4254 (the area where I want to reload mid-term buys). Meaning: The channel is still the main framework, but if Wave 5 has finished, a pullback/correction is normal before the next directional leg. 2) Mid-term plan (priority): BUY at channel liquidity ✅ Buy zone: 4250 – 4255 SL: 4240 Expectation: A rebound back toward the channel’s midline, and if momentum returns, continuation toward 4433. Logic: This is the “better price” area aligned with the channel structure + key liquidity. Risk-reward is far cleaner than buying at the highs. 3) Short-term plan: SELL the correction only after confirmation Because Wave 5 looks completed, a corrective sell is valid — but I only want to sell after the market confirms on the lower timeframe: ✅ Bearish confirmation: break below 4309 After the break, prefer a sell on retest (no chasing). A realistic correction target is a move back toward the 425x liquidity zone. Note: This is a short-term correction trade and doesn’t conflict with the mid-term buy bias. 4) Fundamentals next week: Holiday liquidity = more sweeps Dec 22–26 includes multiple European holidays, which often means thin liquidity: price may not trend hard, but it can still wick and sweep stops. Geopolitical risk remains elevated: Israeli officials plan to brief Trump on potential new strikes on Iran — this can trigger sudden safe-haven flows into gold. Action: Trade smaller, trade cleaner, and avoid getting trapped in abnormal volatility. 5) Execution checklist Mid-term BUY: wait for 4250–4255, SL 4240. Short-term SELL: only activate if 4309 breaks, then sell the retest on lower TF. No FOMO in a low-volume holiday week. Which scenario are you leaning into next week: buying 425x, or waiting for a 4309 breakdown to sell the correction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX