XAUUSD – Brian | H3 Technical AnalysisGold has officially broken above the 5,000 level for the first time, confirming a major structural shift on higher timeframes. The breakout reinforces the broader bullish narrative, with price now trading firmly in expansion mode rather than consolidation.
The move above 5,000 reflects sustained safe-haven demand amid elevated global uncertainty. While short-term volatility remains possible, the broader environment continues to favour gold as a defensive asset, supporting upside continuation scenarios.
Market Structure & Trend Context (H3)
On the H3 timeframe, XAUUSD remains well-contained within a rising price channel, with structure defined by higher highs and higher lows. The recent impulsive leg confirms continuation within the dominant trend rather than a terminal move.
Key structural observations from the chart:
Price is holding above the ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the advance.
A clean impulsive push above 5,000 followed by shallow pullbacks suggests strong buyer acceptance at higher prices.
The broader Elliott structure remains constructive, with price progressing through higher-wave extensions rather than showing signs of distribution.
Key Technical Zones to Monitor
Several important technical areas stand out:
5,000 – trendline retest zone: A potential area for price to stabilise if a technical pullback develops.
Strong liquidity zone around 4,787: A deeper support area where buy-side liquidity is concentrated, aligned with prior structure.
FVG zone below current price: Represents unfinished business in case volatility increases.
Upper resistance / extension zone near 5,315 (Fibonacci 1.618): A key upside reaction area where price may pause or consolidate before further expansion.
As long as price remains above the trendline and key liquidity supports, the bullish structure remains intact.
Liquidity & Forward Outlook
The breakout above 5,000 opens a new liquidity regime. With limited historical resistance overhead, price is now driven more by liquidity expansion and momentum than by traditional supply zones.
Short-term pullbacks should be viewed in the context of trend continuation rather than reversal, unless there is a clear breakdown in structure. Acceptance above 5,000 would further strengthen the case for continued upside toward higher Fibonacci extensions.
Trading Bias
Primary bias: Bullish continuation while structure holds
Key areas of interest:
Trendline / 5,000 retest zone
4,787 liquidity support
5,315 extension resistance
Preferred timeframe for confirmation: H1–H4
Strong trends rarely move in a straight line. Patience and alignment with structure remain critical in this phase of the market.
Refer to the accompanying chart for a detailed view of trend structure, liquidity zones, and Fibonacci extensions.
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