XAUUSD July 22, 2024 Is the decline over?
The information that President Biden withdrew from running due to his health further confirmed Trump's high chance of winning the election. This information immediately caused XAU to gap up on Monday morning
Looking at H1 we see a sharp sharp decline, this is the ongoing wave 3.
- At the price range of 2394, we have a strong rebound. From this rebound we expect that wave 3 has ended and this rebound is wave 4.
- The target of wave 4 I measured at the price range 2420 or price range 2428
- After completing wave 4, the price continues to decrease to complete the 5-wave pattern
- With the current price data, I can temporarily measure the expected target of wave 5, the last down wave of this downtrend, at the price range of 2382 or the price range of 2366.
- After the end of this price reduction, we expect a strong recovery and I will update the specifics of this recovery after the price completes this 5-wave decline.
- Our trading strategy is to observe price reactions at support and resistance zones to enter orders
Trendanalyisis
JUSTDIAL [for swing]JUSTDIAL This stock Multi-year breakout with high volume spike today getting last movement upper circuit so .. buyer are very aggressive looking .
Price Pattern:
There is a cup and handle pattern forming, with the cup's bottom forming around the 2022-2023 period and the handle forming recently.
The breakout from the handle is a positive sign and could lead to a strong upward move if it holds above the resistance.
Trend Channel:
The descending channel (handle part of the cup and handle) is shown, and the recent breakout from this channel is a bullish signal.
Targets (TRG):
The chart shows two target levels: the first target (1st TRG) around 1400 and the second target (2st TRG) around 1800. These levels can be considered as potential profit-taking points.
Volume Spike:
The green arrow indicating a volume spike suggests increased buying interest. This can be a sign of accumulation, which is bullish.
Swing Trading Points
Entry Point:
A good entry point would be on a pullback to the breakout level, around 1200-1250, which is now a support zone.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support zone, around 1150-1180, to limit potential losses if the breakout fails.
First Target (1st TRG):
Aim for the first target around 1400, as indicated on the chart. This level is likely to encounter some resistance.
Second Target (2st TRG):
If the price momentum continues, the second target around 1800 can be considered for additional profits.
Volume Confirmation:
Keep an eye on the volume. A continued increase in volume on upward moves will confirm the strength of the trend.
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XAUUSD on July 18, 2024 continues to wait for the target zone?
Continue with the previous day's plan
- Looking at H1, we have black wave 5 which is an expanding wave.
- In the black wave 5, there is a yellow 5-wave structure and now we have a yellow 4 wave that may have completed.
- From the measured targets for the end of wave 5 of the plans in recent days, we will have the first target at the round number area of 2500
- Currently we wait for the price to reach the target area of 2500 to find conditions to SELL
XAUUSD July 17, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?XAUUSD July 17, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?
The information we received is that Mr. Trump's brother is officially named as the Republican candidate. The fact that Mr. Trump is a bright candidate for the United States is creating conditions for XAU to increase in price because of its policies. In the past, he advocated for reducing interest rates to focus on economic growth.
The information released from the Fed in recent days shows dovishness with announcements that curbing inflation is very effective as well as statements from Fed Chairman Powell also making dovish comments. . This also makes the expectation that interest rate cuts will happen sooner.
Looking at H1, we see that yesterday there was a strong increase, which shows that we are having wave 5 extension.
We are measuring wave 5 and currently have two important target price areas to observe: the 2481.6 area and the 2500 round resistance area.
- At this time we should limit buying because the price is at the peak of the price force. Looking at the RSI, we see that the price momentum is weakening, while the price is still increasing, this signals that the current uptrend has ended. weakening force increased insignificantly
- We have target price zones to find selling points at 2481.6 and 2500.
- We expect the price to have a slight correction and then create a new peak near the 2500 area and the RSI peak will then diverge, which will be a nice sell trade setup. We continue to observe the price in this area to find a Sell down point.
- In the immediate future, we have a target area for the downward correction wave at the price range of 2438.6. When there is more data about the dark price, this target area will be updated
Retailers Exit, Big Money Enters: Time for a Bullish SurgeThe chart is looking bullish for several reasons. Firstly, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is rising quickly, indicating increasing momentum. Secondly, there's a noticeable uptick in volume, which supports the price movement.
The main reason for my bullish outlook is a simple price action pattern I've observed repeatedly. When the price hits a support level 3-4 times, it often indicates a very strong support. Retail investors typically place their stop-loss orders just below this support line. This pattern is evident in this crypto as well, as marked by the green circle on the chart. The price recently dipped below the support but is now rebounding, which is a bullish signal.
With retail investors shaken out of their positions, they are likely to re-enter once the price moves above the previous support level. Initially, the price may rise slowly towards the support zone, but once it breaks above, significant buying pressure is expected. The large investors who entered at lower prices will drive the price up to the support level, then take profits as retail buying pushes the price higher.
XAUUSD trading plan for week 1, July 2024
Looking at D1, we see that the adjustment process has reached the end of the period
- Unlike impulse waves, corrective waves take a long time and often have complex patterns that are difficult to predict.
- Looking at the current model, I am leaning towards the complex triangle correction model with ABCDE structure in Elliot
- The beauty of Elliot is that there are price levels that confirm whether we are moving in the right direction.
- We have 2 prices that confirm our wave counting
+ If the price level 2284.37 is broken below then our current assumption is no longer correct then our previous assumption that the ABC correction model I mentioned last week will apply
+ If the price level of 2365.7 is broken, the triangle correction model we are predicting will be confirmed.
- So our plan is to wait for the price to break out of the 2365.7 price range and test again to enter a Buy order.
- If the Breakout price drops below 2284.37, then we wait to test again and enter a Sell order. If that happens, I will update.
How will XAUUSD fluctuate after Trump's case?
The failed assassination of presidential candidate Trump increasingly increased his odds of winning the election as well as helping the Republican party hold a large number of seats in the parliament. If the Republican Party prevails in the election, This will promote a reduction in USD interest rates. This is also the reason why XAU has increased in recent days.
Looking at H1:
- The purple 5-wave structure has been completed. This could be the wave 1 structure in a larger wave. and so next will be the corrective wave structure
- Like I said before, corrective waves often take a long time and move complicatedly, we need a lot of follow-up data to shape the corrective structure.
- But for simplicity we can expect a simple ABC structure to observe
- Then we temporarily have the target area for corrective wave C at 2 price areas: 2367.7 and 2349.3.
- The current plan is that we can sell at the price range of 2429 to the price range of 2440 and set the SL at the top of 2440.
XAUUSD July 9, 2024 potential buying point?
Looking at h1 yesterday, we continued to successfully predict the direction of price movement
- Currently, the price is approaching the target area of wave C. As I said yesterday, we need data from waves A and B to be completed to determine the target of wave C.
- Currently, I measure the target of wave C located at 2 price areas 2355 and 2346 price areas. These 2 price items form a narrow area where we can enter a Buy order at this price area.
- If the price breaks through 2339, our current wave counting process is no longer correct, then I will update you again.
Rising Wedge Pattern breakdown in HDFCAMCHDFC ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 2 Hour Time Frame Stock Showing Breakdown of Rising Wedge Pattern .
✅Strong bearish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakdown target of 3654-.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 4317+.
XAUUSD July 8, 2024 Will the rising wave continue?
Nonfarm news last weekend with lower employment data than the previous period caused gold to have a strong increase in price to 2392.2, this price increase may need to continue a correction of wave 4 before completing wave 5. final increase.
Looking at H1 we see
Black wave 5 has exceeded our measured target and approached the 2392 area.
- So the next 5 waves are a correction. The corrective wave is a complex wave that is difficult to specifically identify, but we still take the ABC corrective wave as the standard for price observation.
The specific target of this corrective wave needs to be observed at least as waves A and B complete to be accurate, but from the current data I measure the target of the corrective wave ending at the price range 2363 or 2355.
These are the two price zones I expect to continue buying. We will continue to observe price behavior during the correction wave to more accurately determine the target price zones of the correction wave.
XAUUSD July 5, 2024 waiting for a reasonable buy pointYesterday was Bank Holiday, so low market liquidity led to gold prices sideways in a narrow fluctuation range.
The price targets have not changed from the previous plan, the only difference is that the price has touched the demand zone that we have identified and turned up. This suggests that wave 4 may have completed and The price will continue to increase, completing wave 5
- Today there is news about Nonfarm, if the price continues to compress within this narrow range, then after the news it is possible that the price will complete the wave 5 target and then enter a correction. If the price reaches the target of wave 5 before the news is released, then after the news is released, the price will have a downward correction.
- The target price range that I want to buy is the price range 2339 to 2342. This is the expected price adjustment range after wave 5 completes.
THE RAMCO CEMENTS - SEIZING THE LONG SWING OPPORTUNITYSymbol - RAMCOCEM
Ramco Cements is currently trading at 772
730 - 770 is a good support area for The Ramco Cements.
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying Ramco Cement Futures at CMP 772
I will be adding more if 745 comes & hold with SL of 730
Targets I'm expecting are 812 - 845 - 930 & beyond.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Head & Shoulder pattern breakout in PARKHOTELPARK HOTELS LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Head & Shoulder Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 240+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 179-.
Downtrend wedge pattern breakout in RPTECHRASHI PERIPHERALS LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Downtrend Wedge Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 472+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 327-.
XAUUSD July 4, 2024 will the price still decrease?
We expected a shakeout to enter the line but the price did not create this spring and completed the Flat correction pattern with wave c equal to wave a. Then the price increased sharply to the 2365 area
- The completion of wave c means that wave 2 has also completed. Now the price enters wave 3
- The target of wave 3 is at least fibo 1.618% of purple wave 1, so we have the minimum expectation at the price range of 2395
- Looking at the smaller black trend, the price has gone through 4 waves 1234 and we wait for wave 5 to complete and then the price will have a correction before continuing to increase.
- My suggested buying zone is the price range 2342 - 2340, which is the expected target of the completed major correction.
XAUUSD July 2, 2024 will the price continue to increase?Looking at H1, we see that the price is having a recovery to the 2334 area. Looking at the recovery candles, we see that these are short-bodied candles, which proves that the price momentum is weak and will not make the price go far. Okay
- Looking at the overall price correction, the price is in a Flat correction model. With this model, we continue to expect the price to complete wave C before continuing.
We continue to wait for the price to touch the target of wave C at the price range 2311 to 2304 to enter a Buy order.
XAUUSD July 1, 2024 Has the uptrend begun?Last week we saw that from H1, the price completed a 5-wave pattern. According to the Elliot principle, this could be wave A or impulse wave 1
- Whether it is a wave A pattern or a complete wave 1 pattern, the 5-wave pattern is always followed by a correction wave
- We expect the abc corrective wave pattern to find a trading setup when wave c completes
- As shown on h1, we see that the correction pattern is in wave b phase and after wave b completes, we will determine the target of wave c to decide to enter the order.
- Looking at h1, we see that the demand zone created by the bottom of wave 4 has been approached many times so this zone has been weakened and there is a high possibility of being breached, this reinforces for us that the bearish wave C will form.
From the current data, we can temporarily measure the target of wave C at two price zones: 2311 and 2304.
From the target area of wave C we can find buy orders
- In case the price breaks through the 2294 zone, our wave counting process is no longer correct, then I will update the new wave counting settings.
- Area 2294 is also a good Stoploss area for our buy order
XAUUSD June 28, 2024 Where will the price increase go?Yesterday we had a price increase in the 2295 area.
As I said, if in this zone the price increases beyond 2316.8, we have to count the waves again
- We are still in a downtrend and this increase is just a recovery
- The new wave counting process is denoted as on the graph. The price decline ended at 2295, wave 5 has completed and next we have the ABC correction process.
- Wave A is a 5-wave pattern and currently we see the price is in the wave 4 target area.
- Next we have the price will continue to complete wave 5 to complete wave A
- So with the Buy settings we can set the appropriate TP, you can gradually increase the SL to avoid losing profits.
- We have 2 price zones to complete the wave A target: 2332.9 and 2341.4, these are two potential price zones for the current price increase.
XAUUSD on June 27, 2024, the final decline?
The price has approached the 2295 zone and is currently recovering very weakly in this zone.
- There is a high possibility that the price will continue to break this zone and drop to the 2287 zone.
+ At area 2287, if the price breaks out below this area, the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at price area 2256 or 2210.
+ If the price continues to rebound and surpass the 2315 price range, then we can say that the correction has not ended and the current price is still in a complex correction, then we have to count the waves again ( I will update if this situation happens)
- At this price range, we should only observe or play Scalping because we have two price resistance zones that are quite close to each other, the 2295 zone and the 2287 zone.
XAUUSD June 26, 2024 important price zones?
Yesterday's price broke the 2334 zone, confirming the abc wave correction process, which also means that wave 1 and orange wave 2 have completed.
After that, the price continues to decrease to continue completing wave 3. We have the characteristics of wave 3 as moving quickly and sharply,
- So we wait for the candle to close below 2316.8 to confirm the correction to complete.
- The second important price zone to confirm that we are in wave 3 is the price zone 2309 that needs to be broken down and the sufficient condition is that the price breaks below 2287.
- After the price has broken below the 2287 area, the target price area we have measured will be considered the 2256 price area and then the 2210 price area.
- I have listed important price zones so you can have the best trading management plan.
- Trading plan with sold transactions from the 2334 - 2337 range, you can watch these price zones to lock in partial profits or you can DCA when the price breaks out through these price zones.
- When the price breaks out through these price zones, you can find an entry point for a Sell order
XAUUSD June 25, 2024 Is the rally over?Yesterday the price touched the wave 4 target zone that we predict is the 2329 zone.
- Currently, the price is reacting at the 2334 area. Looking at the current H1 candlestick model, we see withdrawal candles appearing in this area, proving that there is very strong selling force blocking the price increase in this area.
- The ending target of this correction is around the 2334 zone. It is important that we wait for a reversal confirmation signal in this zone to be able to set up a Sell trade.
- Note that currently on the H1 frame, I am seeing a momentum signal entering the oversold area. This indicates a high possibility that a small price increase will occur. This is a very good opportunity to confirm a reversal. We need to pay attention. close
+ If this increase does not break through 2334.2, then we will have a reversal signal at the 2334.2 price range. So the entry point is when the price breaks to the previous bottom.
+ If the price breaks through 2334.2, then we will continue to observe that the price may approach the 2340 to 2342 range. Then we wait for a reversal confirmation to find a point to enter a sell order.
The market is always fluctuating and nothing is certain, so Deekop wants his analysis to help you strengthen your trading strategy. I will update more when there are fluctuations in the market. Thank you everyone for following
XAUUSD June 24, 2024 Will the downward wave continue?
Prices are recovering after a sharp drop on Friday.
- According to the Elliot wave principle, a sharp wave moving quickly is wave 3 in a series of 5 waves.
- So it is possible that the current increase is a correction in wave 4, so we will continue to have wave 5 continuing to decrease after wave 4 correction is completed.
- The nearest resistance zone is the 2330 zone. We will monitor this zone and it may be the target of wave 4.
- The target zone for wave 5 from the current forecasts is estimated at 2309. After reaching this zone, we will have the completion of the orange wave 1 in the larger wave.
- Then the price recovered to complete the 2 orange correction wave. We predict wave 2 target at 2343.59
Trading plan
- The main trend is downtrend, so for long-term transactions we prioritize sell orders. The best price zone to enter an order is the price zone that completes the orange wave 2, which is the 2343.59 zone. When the price reaches this zone, look for a confirmation reversal signal to enter the order.
- With SCalping trades, we wait for the price to react at the support and resistance zones to enter orders. Note that Scalping trading is a short wave trade, so the TP is usually from 30 pips to 100 pips, so you should focus on managing the trade. Translation to limit risks
XAUUSD trading plan for the week of June 4, 2024
So after Friday's sharp drop, we had a profit of 500 pips. This decrease also confirmed the completion of orange wave C in the ABC correction.
After the ABC correction is completed, we bet that the previous downtrend wave will continue.
- With Friday's decline, we see that the momentum has entered the oversold zone, showing that sellers are showing signs of exhaustion. So in the immediate future there will need to be a short-term correction for sellers to regain their strength.
- We measure that this decrease is likely to end at 2 price zones: 2309 or 2395.
- With the assumption that the price range ends at 2309, we measure the target of this temporary upward adjustment ending at 2340.
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete the big wave 5 at the target price areas that we measured before, which are 2256 and 2210.
- When does our wave counting process fail? That's when this rally price broke through the 2374 area, then confirmed that we have to do the wave count again, then I will update later if it happens.
- On the H4 chart, I have drawn important resistance and support zones, which we can rely on to plan Scalping when the price approaches these zones.
- I will update specific price developments every day.