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XAUUSD 21 juin 2024 La vague montante est-elle terminée ?Notre objectif de vague C a été atteint, au vu du prix que nous observons - Hier, après l'annonce de la nouvelle des allocations de chômage, le prix a fortement augmenté jusqu'à notre zone cible de 2364 et est actuellement en train de se corriger. Le prix a donc augmenté fortement et rapidement, ce qui est la caractéristique de la vague 3, puis le prix a diminué et s'est ajusté jusqu'à présent, il est donc probable que le prix soit dans la vague 4. - Nous pourrions donc avoir la vague 5 pour mettre fin à cette vague C et à partir des données de prix actuelles, nous pouvons mesurer la zone cible de cette vague C de 2364 à 2374. Nous considérerons la fourchette de prix de 2364 à 2374, c'est une très bonne fourchette de prix à vendre. Une fois que le prix a atteint l'objectif de la vague C comme ci-dessus, si le prix franchit la zone 2387,5, alors notre plan de trading doit changer. En cas de baisse des prix, nous avons pour objectif de compléter la grande vague 5 comme indiqué sur le graphique dans les zones 2256 et 2210.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on June 20, 2024 after bank holiday Today will be announced the number of applications for unemployment benefits. This index will tell us how the current economic situation is affected by the Fed's policy on interest rates. If these indexes decrease, it will tell us that the Fed's recent policies have not had a large impact on the economic situation, which will create conditions for the Fed to maintain its hawkish policy and then the USD will increase. and XAU will decrease If this policy increases compared to the previous period, this signals that the Fed's policies are negatively impacting the economy, affecting all classes of people, creating pressure for the Fed to relax interest rates in the future. in the near future and this will cause the USD to decrease and XAU to increase. Price broke out of the triangle wedge this morning with a strong candle. So we are leaning towards the ABC correction model - So the price target of wave C as last time we measured at 2 price zones 2350 and 2365 price zone. - After the price reaches this target, the price will continue to trend down to complete the large wave C in the D1 time frame. - Our current trading plan is to wait until the wave C target at 2350 or 2364 to find a selling point or we can go to smaller time frames for scalping trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD Trading strategy for complex corrections Look at H1 - We see that currently the price is tending to form a triangle correction pattern. - As I said before, the price is currently in a complicated adjustment process, we can only wait for the model to complete to determine the next trend. - And I am also predicting an ABC correction model with the target wave C on the chart with 2 price ranges 2350 and 2365. However, currently we see that the price is in a position where it can form a triangle correction model and ABC correction pattern may continue. So at the present time we wait at the price of 2341.8 to confirm any model. - If the price breaks 2341.8, the targets of wave C continue to be completed. Then we wait for the target levels of wave C, i.e. area 2350 or area 2365, to sell down. - If the price cannot break the 2341.8 area, the price may form a triangle correction pattern abcde. Then we wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to sell to the target area of ​​wave 5. In general, in a complex adjustment process, it is not feasible to conduct many transactions in this area, so we should patiently wait for the target areas. In this process we will prioritize Scalping
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound. Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process. - Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete - During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames. - When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order. Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356. - The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order. - In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD After a week of volatile news from the Fed Last week we observed that US inflation indicators showed signs of cooling down. - Wednesday's CPI dropped from 3.45 to 3.3% - PPI index decreased -0.2% Inflation indicators decreased while economic indicators were negative - As the unemployment rate and unemployment benefit application rate increase This shows that the Fed's monetary policy is effectively reducing inflation, specifically consumer price CPI and production costs, while also reflecting the negative economic impact of the policy. this book. This requires that the Fed may begin to loosen monetary policy in the near future Look at D1 - We see that the correction has completed wave B and is continuing wave C of wave 4. - We can measure the target of wave C at 2 price zones 2256 and 2210 price zones. - We have a price zone confirming the final wave 4 which is the 2150 price zone. If the price breaks through this zone, our ABC wave counting process is no longer correct, then we have to re-plan a new plan based on new data. Look at H1 - The price has broken out through the 2323 zone and is testing this zone again. Looking at the reversing momentum in the oversold area, it is likely that the price has successfully tested and continues to rise to the target areas of wave C above. - Yesterday we measured the target wave C which is 2 areas 2354 and 2360 - The target area of ​​wave C is a very good area for us to look for Sell down orders - Combined with chart D1, we will have the price range where this decrease will end at 2256 or 2210. - We also have a zone that denies this wave counting process when the price surpasses the 2388 zone, then the price has entered an uptrend and we are forced to change our trading strategy at that time (I will update later if that happens).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
2
Xauusd after a series of important news from the Fed Yesterday's news announced to us First, the ppi decrease combined with the unemployment benefits application index increased. Combined with a decrease in CPI, this is beneficial for Gold to increase because the economic situation seems to be weakening, putting pressure on the Fed to reduce interest rates. However, Nonfarm data, specifically the employment index, has increased sharply in the recent period, which is the motivation for the Fed to keep the current interest rate at 5.9%. This is the reason why PPI news, although beneficial for Gold, cannot last long. Look at H1 - We are having the idea of ​​an abc correction model. In which we expect wave c to complete - In front of us we have 2 important price zones: 2307 and 2287, these are 2 price zones that help us determine the direction of the price. - If the price breaks out at 2307, this is a necessary condition for the orange wave c to complete. Then we have 2 target price zones of wave c: 2350.4 and 2364.6. These are 2 areas where we can look for Sell orders - If the price breaks out below 2287, this is a necessary condition for the price to fall to the target zone of wave 5, which is 2264. This is the area where we look for a Buy order.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 13, 2024 After news of CPI and Fed interest ratesYesterday we had the Fed's announcement about the CPI index, we saw that this index was 0.3 to 0.4 lower than the previous period. This is the result when the Fed implemented tightening monetary policy in the past. After that, the FOMC meeting announced that interest rates would continue to remain at 5.5%. - This made gold yesterday, after the announcement of CPI increased to 2340, then the news that interest rates remained high at 5.5% continued to push gold prices down. Look at the H1 chart - Yesterday's pullback to the 2340 price range reached the 50% Fibo level, which is a level that has surpassed the usual 38% level of wave 4. This suggests to us a more complex wave model - For now, at this position, we observe the price zones to confirm the formation model, which are the price zone 2307 and the price zone 2287. - If the price holds above the 2307 area, then we will have wave 5 formed at the 2287 area, meaning wave C during the ABC correction looks like D1 has completed. Then we have wave C higher than bottom B. Looking at D1, we see that a new complex correction model can form (I will update later). - If the price breaks through the 2287 area, we have wave 5 targets as on the chart we mentioned before.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 12, 2024 everyone waiting for the CPI roundLast week we had strong market fluctuations - Looking from the US economic perspective, we see that with the economic indicators announced last week, we see a number of important issues. - ISM PMI index, which is an index measuring the development of the industry, is lower than 50 standard units of this index, signaling that the industry is slowing down. - The unemployment rate and the number of applications for unemployment benefits increased, showing that the economic situation is slowing down With bad economic signals, the main reason is due to high interest rates, which reduces the cash flow in the US economy, causing a lack of capital for economic development. However, on Friday when the Nonfarm index was released, we saw a sharp increase in the job change rate, which could be the medicine to help the Fed maintain high interest rates for a while longer. Curbing inflation to 2% will come at the cost of economic stagnation, so today's CPI will help us have a clearer view of the decision to cut interest rates in the near future. . From an analytical perspective according to Elliot - After forming the abc wave structure (black), the price does not decrease according to the previous trend but forms a structure running in a triangle wedge. This brings us to a complex adjustment model abcde - Looking at the complex correction model, it is difficult to specifically identify each wave. We can only recognize when the model is complete - This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the lower boundary of the triangle. We will wait for this Breakout to enter a sell order. - In case the price breaks out to the upper edge, this correction model is no longer correct when measuring, we must confirm the price model at that time. After wave 4 completes, the price continues to follow the previous downtrend to complete wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets at 2 price zones 2264 and 2229. - We can find buy points in these areas. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 11, 2024 waiting for an opportunity to buy up?This week we have important news: CPI news. Last week's Nofarm newsletter provided indicators that allow the Fed to continue maintaining monetary policy as rising employment data gives the Fed confidence that people can still withstand tightening monetary policy. But with other recent data, the US economy is clearly being adversely affected by the Fed's monetary policy. On Wednesday, CPI news will be released and will clearly show us the Fed's trend in the near future. When the forecasted indicators are very positive for the Fed's work to control inflation. If the news is announced as expected, it could be a signal for the Fed to loosen its monetary policy. Looking at H4, we see the recovery after the sharp decline last week, signaling that wave 4 is forming. - Looking at the corrective wave structure, we see that there have been 3 corrective waves a b c and the current position of wave c has also reached the target area that we predicted the day before. - It is possible that wave C in the corrective structure or wave 4 as shown on the chart has now formed and we expect wave 5 to continue the downtrend. - Looking at the momentum of the H4 frame, we see that the H4 momentum has reversed to decrease in the overbought area, this reinforces the upcoming decline. - We measure the end target of wave 5 ending at 2 price target areas: area 2264 and area 2229. In the immediate future, we can look for sell down orders When the price continues to target wave 5, which is 2264 or 2229, we look for buy orders. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD week 2 June 2024 where will the decline come?Last week, China announced that it would stop buying Gold in May, making investors worried, leading to a sharp drop last Friday. In addition, the published Nonfarm news also showed that the change in US employment rate increased sharply from 165k to 275k. These are the things that caused Gold to have a sharp decline on Friday Looking at D1, we see that the sharp drop in price on Friday completely negated the increase last week. - This also confirms that wave 5 has not yet started when the price breaks below the 2318 zone - So the wave 4 correction model now becomes a Flat model with the top of wave b equal to the bottom of wave a. - From the measurement, we can measure the target of wave c in wave abc or wave 4, there will be 2 targets: area 2260 and area 2205. - This correction process, the abc process in wave 4, is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through 2452 - This correction is negated (i.e. our current wave counting model is no longer valid) when the price breaks below 2145. - Looking at the current momentum indicator, it is preparing to reverse and decrease so in the short term, the price will continue to decline, so we should limit bottom fishing at the current price range. Our trading plan is to observe two target zones, the 2260 zone and the 2205 zone, to find a buy signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 7, 2024 before important Non Farm news Today we will have information about the Non Farm index published. From Non Farm ADP data US ADP employment rose 152,000 in May, less than the gain in April. It was below market expectations and hit a three-month low. Additionally, April data has been revised downward. Employment in the goods-producing sector increased by just 3,000, down significantly from 47,000 the previous month. The services sector increased by 149,000 jobs, of which 55,000 came from trade, logistics and utilities, but the number of jobs in the information industry continued to decrease by 7,000. We realize that the US labor market is weakening, because ADP is the index used to predict official Nonfarm, so today's index will be very important for the upcoming gold trend. Many indicators published during this time signaled that the US economy was weakening due to the impact of the FED's tightening monetary policy to reduce inflation. This will be one of the important conditions for the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the coming time. Looking at H1 we see that a small wave 1 2 3 4 5 is about to complete. Wave 3 target has been completed and currently the price is completing waves 4 and 5. - We measure the target of wave 5 at the price range of 2390 and 2413 - After the price completes wave 5, the next wave will be the abc correction - We will monitor Take Profit with purchased transactions at the price range we have previously given such as area 2317 and area 2354. - Short-term sell orders can be initiated at this target price range of 2390 or 2413. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on June 6, 2024, the uptrend officially begins? Yesterday Israel attacked Hamas, causing gold prices to increase sharply last night despite the ISM PMI index being greater than 50. Looking at H1, the news of Israel attacking Hamas has caused the price of Gold to rise through tradingrank for more than a week now. - Price surpasses 2464 and confirms wave 5 has ended at our target area of ​​2317. - From the chart we see that wave 5 is an Ending Diagonal Triangle (ED) wave. This wave usually appears at the end of the trend. When this wave ends, a new trend will open - So we hope the next price target is 2397 - Looking at the H4 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is in the overbought zone and is about to reverse. Looking at the H1 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is entering the overbought zone. So in the immediate future, we expect a correction to confirm wave 1 and wave 2. - We have 2 temporary target areas measured on the H1 chart measured from existing data. We continue to observe to wait for this confirmation adjustment to complete. In our plan, we pay attention to the 2397 zone. If the price reaches this zone, there may be a big correction that we can take advantage of to sell down. Adjustment areas 2464 and 2354 may be the price will retest these areas and we can proceed to buy up. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 5, 2024 Yesterday's decline has endedWith the PMI being lower than expected at only 48.7 compared to 49.2 in the previous period, if this index is lower than 50, it signals that the expansion of industrial production scale is shrinking. With this index being lower than 50 for two consecutive periods, especially this period being lower than the previous period, it is a sign that the US economy is showing signs of stagnation. The main impact is that interest rates remain high for a long time, making it difficult for people and businesses to access capital. This continues to be a sign for the Fed to decide to cut interest rates in the near future. Looking at H1 we see - After the increase on the 3rd, the price touched the target of wave 5, we expected that wave 5 would have ended and the price would begin to continue a new uptrend. At that time, we also said that to confirm that wave 5 has ended, the minimum condition is that the price must break the 2464 zone. - As of yesterday, the price had dropped back to the target wave 5 area that we measured before. This signals that wave 5 could be a diagonal triangle pattern according to the Elliot principle. - So from H1 in the diagonal triangle model, the price has now reached the end of wave 5 in this diagonal triangle. - We focus on the wave 5 target areas at 2317 and 2311 to buy. - Or safer, we wait for the price to break the upper level of the diagonal triangle and wait for confirmation to proceed with buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 4, 2024 has the uptrend begun? Yesterday after the PMI news was announced, we witnessed a price increase to the 2354 area. - The PMI index is used to measure the degree of expansion of industries. We see that this index is lower than the previous period, which continues to support the fact that the US economy currently continues to show signs of decline. - In recent weeks, economic indicators have signaled that the US economy is showing signs of decline, combined with inflation cooling down, this is a signal for the FED to cut interest rates in the near future. . Looking at H1 last night's increase continues to confirm for us that the wave 5 target has been achieved at the price range of 2317. - So now we may have a new trend forming. We have the 2464 price range used to confirm this trend when the price surpasses this price range. - Currently, we expect a correction to consolidate this newly formed trend when the price does not surpass the 2315 price range. That is, we measure the target of this correction at the 2335 and 2330 zones. Planning to buy more when the price reaches these areas, we wait for a reaction to find a reversal signal to execute the buy order Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down?1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see. - Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2% - Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K - Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1% US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal. - If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal. - After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311. - In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP