Trendlineanalysis
High-Probability Scalping Techniques🔍 What Is Scalping?
Scalping is a fast-paced intraday trading style where traders aim to take multiple small profits throughout the trading day. Instead of holding trades for hours or days, scalpers may be in and out of trades within minutes or even seconds.
Scalping is all about:
Quick entries and exits
High accuracy
Controlled risk
Small but frequent gains
The core idea? “Many small wins add up to a big win.”
Scalping works best in liquid markets, like Nifty, Bank Nifty, large-cap stocks, or high-volume futures and options.
💡 Why Do Traders Choose Scalping?
Scalping is perfect for traders who:
Have limited capital but want to grow it steadily
Prefer not to hold positions overnight (no gap-up/gap-down risk)
Love short-term action and decision-making
Want to trade professionally in 1-2 hours daily
Also, scalping can reduce your exposure to market news, global events, or overnight uncertainty.
But remember: scalping isn’t easy. It’s a skill. You need discipline, speed, and a proven strategy.
🎯 Key Characteristics of High-Probability Scalping
To make scalping successful, your strategy must include:
Factor Requirement
Speed Fast entries and exits with minimal slippage
Liquidity Trade only stocks/indexes with high volume
Precision Narrow stop losses, clear targets
Discipline No emotions, stick to plan
Risk Management Small risk per trade, compounding over time
🧠 Scalper's Mindset: Think Like a Sniper, Not a Machine Gunner
You’re not shooting randomly. You’re waiting patiently for high-probability opportunities where the odds are clearly in your favor.
Scalping is not about trading more—it’s about trading better.
🔧 Tools Every Scalper Needs
Before we dive into strategies, here’s what you must have in place:
Fast internet connection
Live market depth / Level 2 data
5-min, 1-min, and tick charts
Hotkeys for fast order placement
Broker with low brokerage per trade
Scalping involves dozens of trades per session, so costs matter!
🛠️ High-Probability Scalping Techniques (Explained in Human Language)
Let’s now explore some proven techniques that many experienced scalpers use.
🔹 1. VWAP Bounce Strategy
VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price. It tells you the average price where most volume happened during the day.
📌 Concept:
In a trending market, price often bounces off VWAP before continuing the trend.
You trade that bounce.
✅ Rules:
Identify trend (price above VWAP = uptrend, below = downtrend)
Wait for a pullback to VWAP
Look for confirmation (like a bullish candle in uptrend)
Enter trade with tight SL below VWAP
Target = 0.5% to 1% move
🔍 Chart Timeframe:
1-minute or 5-minute candles
Ideal for: Nifty/Bank Nifty, Reliance, HDFC, SBIN, INFY
🔹 2. Opening Range Breakout (ORB)
This is a classic scalping setup used in the first 15–30 minutes of market open.
📌 Concept:
First 15-min range defines the initial battle between buyers/sellers.
Breakout from this range = strong momentum.
✅ Rules:
Mark high and low of 15-min candle from 9:15 to 9:30
Buy when price breaks above the high + volume rises
Sell when price breaks below the low + volume rises
SL = below/above opposite side of the range
Target = 1:1 or trail profit
💡 Tip:
Works best on trending news days or earnings release days.
🔹 3. Scalping Breakouts with Volume Confirmation
A breakout is only real if volume supports it. Otherwise, it’s a trap.
✅ Rules:
Use 5-minute chart
Identify consolidation (flat price action with narrow range)
Watch for breakout with spike in volume
Enter with SL just outside the range
Exit with a 1:1 or 1.5:1 risk-reward
🎯 Indicators:
Bollinger Bands tightening
Volume histogram
Price breaking upper/lower band
🔹 4. RSI Divergence Scalping
You can scalp reversal points using RSI divergence.
✅ Rules:
Use 5-min or 3-min chart
RSI near 70 or 30 signals overbought or oversold
If price makes higher high but RSI makes lower high → Bearish divergence
If price makes lower low but RSI makes higher low → Bullish divergence
Enter for quick reversal scalp
SL = recent swing high/low
Target = VWAP or recent pivot
🔹 5. News-Based Scalping
Scalping on earnings releases, news events, or market-moving headlines can be profitable—but risky.
✅ Approach:
Stick to high-volume large-cap stocks
Avoid holding more than a few minutes
Use Level 2 order book to watch supply/demand shifts
Trade the initial burst, exit quickly
📈 Ideal Indicators for Scalping
VWAP
RSI (5 or 14-period)
Bollinger Bands
EMA crossover (e.g., 8 EMA vs 21 EMA)
MACD (fast settings for short-term signals)
But remember: indicators are tools, not guarantees. Always combine them with price action and volume.
📉 Risk Management: The Scalper’s Shield
This part matters even more than the strategy itself.
Rule Explanation
Risk only 0.5% to 1% of capital per trade Protects you from wipeout on a bad day
Always have a stop-loss No SL = no survival
Don’t average losing trades You’re scalping, not investing
Exit on SL or target—no emotion Don’t hope, don’t pray
Track your win-rate Aim for 60%+ with 1:1 risk-reward
🧮 Sample Scalping Day Plan
Time Action
9:15–9:30 AM Watch first 15-min candle for ORB
9:30–11:00 AM Take 2-3 high-quality trades (VWAP bounce, RSI scalp)
11:00–2:00 PM Avoid choppy markets or only scalp consolidations
2:00–3:00 PM Look for afternoon breakouts
3:00–3:20 PM Avoid taking fresh trades, exit open ones
🔁 Scalping Checklist
Before you place any trade, ask yourself:
✅ Is the setup clear and backed by volume?
✅ Am I trading with the trend or against it?
✅ Is my SL defined and within risk limit?
✅ Am I emotionally calm and focused?
✅ Is this a high-probability or random trade?
📊 Example of a High-Probability Scalping Trade
Stock: Reliance
Chart: 1-min
Setup: VWAP bounce + bullish engulfing candle
Entry: ₹2,950
Stop-Loss: ₹2,944
Target: ₹2,958
Result: Profit of ₹8 per share in 3 minutes
This may look small—but scalpers do 5–10 such trades a day, scaling with quantity.
🚨 Common Mistakes to Avoid
❌ Overtrading (more is not better)
❌ No plan or random entries
❌ Chasing trades late
❌ Holding scalps like swing trades
❌ Trading during news without preparation
❌ Ignoring transaction costs
🧾 Final Words: Is Scalping Right for You?
Scalping is not for everyone. It requires:
High focus and speed
Strong discipline
Quick decision-making
Excellent risk control
But if you develop the skill, it can provide:
Daily consistency
Limited overnight risk
Quick compounding
Full control over trades
✅ Start small.
✅ Practice on paper or low quantity.
✅ Use one strategy, track results, then scale up.
BSE - Support Break with Bullish Recovery SetupSymbol: BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange)
Timeframe: Daily
Key Levels:
✅ Breakdown: 2500 (closed below) → Next support: 2300 → 2000 (major).
✅ Bullish Anchor: Price > 200 MA + ascending trendline (Jan 20, 2025 breakout now support).
📊 Technical Structure
Critical Support Break:
-Daily close below 2500 (confirmed breakdown of key support).
-Next supports: 2300 (immediate) → 2000 (major swing low).
Bullish Anchors:
-Price above 200-day MA (long-term uptrend intact).
Ascending Trendline Support:
-Originating from Jan 20, 2025 (resistance until May 13 breakout).
-Now acting as dynamic support (resistance-turned-support).
Key Reversal Signal: Watch for reclaim of 2500
-Requires strong bullish candle + above-average volume.
-Confirms failed breakdown and resumption of uptrend.
🎯 Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Buy Dips (Conservative)
Entry Zone:
-Layer 1: 2300 (trendline + horizontal support confluence).
-Layer 2: 2000 (swing low + 200 MA reinforcement).
-Stop Loss: 1950 (below 2000 structure).
-Targets: 2500 → 2700 → 2900.
Scenario 2: Breakout Re-entry (Aggressive)
Trigger: Daily close above 2500 with: Bullish candle (preferably >1.5% gain).
-Volume ≥ 20% above 10-day average.
-Stop Loss: 2450 (below breakout level).
-Targets: 2700 → 2900 (measured move).
⚠️ Risk Management
Position Size: ≤3% capital per trade.
Invalidation Conditions:
-Close below 2000 (invalidates bullish thesis).
-Failed 2500 reclaim (weak volume/rejection candle).
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence. Past performance ≠ future results. Risk capital only.
🔥 Boost if this analysis helps your strategy!
💡 Comment below any stocks you want me to analyse next!
OFSS Price ActionOracle Financial Services Software Ltd (OFSS) is currently trading around ₹9,030, reflecting a volatile but active price environment. Over the past week, the stock declined by nearly 3%, but it has gained over 6% in the last month and more than 15% in the past three months. Despite this recent recovery, OFSS remains down about 29% over six months and approximately 13% over the past year.
Technically, the stock has faced strong resistance in the ₹9,060–₹9,288 range, with immediate supports at ₹8,837, ₹8,731, and ₹8,611. A close above ₹9,195 could trigger fresh buying momentum, while a sustained move below support levels may signal further downside. Options data indicates heightened volatility, with active trading in both calls and puts near the ₹8,000–₹9,500 strikes.
Fundamentally, OFSS reported a 7.4% year-on-year revenue increase in FY2025, with net income up 7.2% and a robust profit margin of 35%. The company’s earnings per share beat analyst expectations, though revenue was slightly below estimates. The dividend yield stands at a healthy 2.96%, and the company maintains a strong market capitalization above ₹77,000 crore.
Overall, OFSS is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp correction, with short-term price action suggesting a cautious but potentially positive outlook if key resistance levels are breached.
MOTILALOFS Price actionMotilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOTILALOFS) has experienced **strong price momentum over the past year, rising more than 50%**. The stock recently traded between ₹854 and ₹929, with its all-time high of ₹1,064 reached in October 2024 and a 52-week low near ₹488.
**Short-term action:**
In the last week, the stock moved up by about 0.4%, and in the past month, it gained nearly 7%. Over three months, the gain was especially notable at nearly 40%. However, the stock is highly volatile—about 3.8 times as volatile as the Nifty index—and has a high beta of 1.79, indicating large price swings.
**Recent trend:**
After peaking above ₹1,000 in late 2024, MOTILALOFS saw a correction, dropping to the ₹700-800 range by mid-2025. Since then, it has rebounded, climbing back above ₹850. The last few sessions show a mix of minor gains and losses, reflecting ongoing volatility and active trading interest.
**Volume and liquidity:**
Trading volumes have been robust, with some sessions seeing over a million shares traded, especially during sharp moves. This indicates strong liquidity and sustained investor interest.
**Valuation and fundamentals:**
The stock is considered overvalued relative to market averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio above 20 and a price-to-book ratio above 4. Its dividend yield is modest at 0.58%. Despite high volatility, the company has delivered solid profitability and efficiency metrics, with return on equity above 25%.
**Outlook:**
Analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting potential upside toward ₹1,150, though downside risk remains to ₹763. The company’s business is diversified across broking, asset management, investment banking, and housing finance, and recent results show strong revenue growth, especially in wealth management and housing finance. However, there have been short-term challenges, such as a decline in cash market share and weaker performance in private wealth management.
**Summary:**
MOTILALOFS is in a recovery phase after a sharp correction, showing renewed upward momentum but with high volatility. The outlook is positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sector growth, but investors should remain cautious due to the stock’s elevated valuation and price swings.
Supply Flips, Trendline Squeezes & Volume Talks – Clean MTFA📌 Charting Breakdown
This post dives into a clean Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTFA) for QUICKHEAL using structural logic — with Weekly Time Frame (WTF) on the left and Monthly Time Frame (MTF) on the right.
🔍 Left Side – Weekly Time Frame (WTF)
-The Active CT (Counter-Trend) is marked via the dominant trendline resistance, which price is actively engaging.
-We observe a strong Volume Cluster forming near the base of the reclaimed demand zone — often a sign of accumulation or significant interest.
🧠 Right Side – Monthly Time Frame (MTF)
-Here, a textbook Supply & Demand Conversion is visualized.
-Initially, price reacted to a clear Supply Zone, creating the resistance base.
-Once that zone was broken with strength and sustained above it, the previous supply area transformed into Demand, validating the impulse move.
-Price then returned to test this now-converted zone — an SR flip seen through the lens of supply-demand logic, not just support/resistance lines.
🧾 Disclaimer:
This post is not a forecast, tip, or financial advice. It is purely an educational breakdown of price structure and market behavior based on my personal charting style. Feel free to ask your doubts or thoughts in the comments — let’s build clarity, not predictions.
End of correction in Hinduja Global SolutionsElliott wave analysis:-
A long bear trend has been almost over and we may expect a slight fall from here or the Candle may rise to stars from here. if you wish to be cautious then wait for a pullback for almost 65% to 78%. keep the previous low as your stop loss go for a long ride.
i am not a SEBI registered advisor. Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor. I share chart for education purpose only. I share my trade setup.
BANK NIFTYHello & welcome to this analysis
The index is completing its pullback forming a falling trendline.
It has good support between 54500-54000 while the trendline breakout would happen above 55500.
The upside potential for this expected breakout is 57500-58000
One could either wait for the trend line breakout or buy this last leg of dip.
Whenever Bank Nifty rallies it accelerates the Nifty trend also along with other sectors. Rarely does the index move in isolation.
All the best
KOTAKBANK Long Idea.....KOTAKBANK chart shows its near support zone. need to see what price does near supoort.
Will enter on confirmation of Breaking weekly resistance.
Fundamentals:
Pro's: SALES & PAT growth CAGR is positive these 3 years where price is in zone. Not an Overvalued stock.
Con's: PE derating might have happened due to drop in sales growth. this may continue till its growth kicks in coming quarters.
SANDUMA-Positional Long trade-Swing tradeStock has rejected trendline multiple times. In next 1-2 session if it holds above 450 and breakout the trendline with bullish candle. Good opportunity to go long.
If it falls below 450, avoid.
Please don't forget click on follow button so you won't miss any upcoming ideas.
Any confusion, feel free to drop msg. Happy to help :)
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.
(XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart –Bullish Setup with RBR Zone& Breakout T🔷 Chart Structure
* 📊 Ascending Channel
↗️ Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel
• Higher Highs
• Higher Lows
* 🔍 Short-Term Trend: Bullish momentum is intact
🟦 Key Zones
* 🟦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
📌 Support area where buyers stepped in
🔄 Price bounced from this zone
* 🟥 Resistance Zone
🚫 Around 3,250 – sellers previously active here
👀 Watch for breakout confirmation
✅ Trade Setup
* 🎯 Entry Point: 3,226.38
* ⛔ Stop Loss: 3,216.30
* 🥅 Target: 3,267.00
* 💰 Potential Gain: 38.67 points (1.20%)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 — very favorable!
📍 Indicators
* 📉 EMA (7) — acts as short-term support
🟡 Price is consolidating near EMA — possible setup for next move.
📌 Outlook
* 🟢 Bullish Bias – As long as price stays above RBR zone
* 🔔 Breakout Alert – A break above resistance may lead to sharp upside move toward the target.
Gold view on 02 april (entry model explain in description)Hello
It's a jayesh balar.
in this entry model requirement in uptrend 2 lover high and down trend 2 highr low
in uptrend when market create 2 lover high then mark this two low and and find this gap range and then copy this range apd past 2nd low when market comes down next time touch this range high point and show some rejection you can enter and range low point is your SL same as a down trend.
(This model interesting point is this give unlimited time entry this model only failed when market try to shifting trend)
And my English was so bad so i know this description is not that much good so if you doubt anything you can comment your questions
If you have a any "Questions"
Ask me in comment
My gold target is 3177/3183 because(read description)Hello
It's a jayesh balar.
(this was not only i tell you after this happen i tell you this 3 4 days ago and gave a trade and all trade hit target)
my gold next target is 3177/3183 because if you see gold chart in 1day time frame in this bullish trend gold 25 to 28 feb trying to go down but its not happen and then you see next move 3 to 5 march move and consider as a swing and put fib and see market got rejection on 0.5/0.618 level and gave 177 point up move.
so as of you all know "MARKET ALLWAYS REPEAT HISTORY"
in this up trend next 14 to 19 march consider as a swing and put fib you see market still got rejection on 0.5/0.618 level so in this time our next target same as previous trade total move.
i am just trying to tell anyone say anything don't believe market is still bullish and continue his up trend so go with flow and grab this opportunities.
If you have a any "Questions"
Ask me in comment
If my analysis is helpful,
press booster bottom.
gold view 29 marchHello Traders!
In times of fear, inflation, or recession — one asset often shines brighter than the rest: Gold.
Whether it’s due to geopolitical tensions, banking crises, or inflation spikes, gold has historically acted as a safe haven that protects capital when the broader markets get shaky.
If you look at the long-term chart of gold, you’ll notice a pattern — whenever the world panics, gold rallies hard. Let’s read the chart along with the logic
Silver Price Alert: Is XAG/USD Headed for $34.108? Learn Why!"Join us for an educational session on XAG/USD as we analyze key market trends and technical signals pointing to a potential drop toward $34.108. Understand the factors driving gold prices and gain insights to improve your trading strategy!
#chartanalysis
#xagusd
#trendanalysis
Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025
Current Price: ₹1,619.50
Timeframe: Monthly Chart (1M)
Technical Analysis & Forecast
1. Trendline Support: The stock is currently testing a key trendline support on the monthly chart.
2. Breakdown Possibility: If INFY closes below this trendline, it may head towards the ₹1,400 level, aligning with the S2 support zone.
3. Resistance Levels: The recent rejection from ₹1,850-1,900 suggests strong selling pressure at those levels.
4. Market Structure:
Lower highs (LH) formation indicates a possible bearish continuation.
Change of character (ChoCH) signals uncertainty in trend direction.
5. Indicators:
Moving Averages: INFY is testing its long-term moving averages. A break below these could accelerate the downside.
Volume & Momentum: Selling pressure has increased, and bulls need to reclaim key resistance levels for a recovery.
My View
INFY is taking trendline support this month. If this support is broken, we can expect ₹1,400 as the next downside target. However, if buyers defend this level, a rebound towards ₹1,750 is possible.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
L&T Finance Weekly Breakout Setup 🔹 Green Line – The weekly support held strong, giving a perfect WTF (Where's The Floor) bounce.
🔹 Supply Zone (Blue Box) – This crucial resistance has now been broken out convincingly.
🔹 Red Line – A CT (Counter-Trendline) breakout with solid volume confirmation.
🔹 Bright Blue Line (MTF Resistance @ 185.82) – The toughest resistance, but it's far from the breakout zone, making this a high-RR trade idea.
🔥 Unique setup with multiple confluences! Volume spike adds conviction. Can bulls sustain the momentum? 🤔
📈 What’s your take on this breakout? Comment below! 👇
Nifty at a 1000-Day Trendline Support - Finally we are here !!Nifty is currently testing a confluence of two long-term trendlines – one from the monthly timeframe (blue line) and another from the weekly timeframe (yellow line). This 1000-day trendline cluster is a major reactive support zone, making this a make-or-break level for the index.
🔍 Key Observations:
✔️ The blue trendline represents a long-term uptrend, making it a crucial level for institutional traders.
✔️ The yellow trendline, which has also acted as a dynamic support, adds strength to this zone.
✔️ A breakdown below this cluster could open doors for further downside
✔️ However, if Nifty holds this level, a strong rebound can be expected, potentially continuing its long-term bullish structure.
🚀 What’s Next?
A weekly close below this zone could accelerate selling pressure.
If buying emerges, this could be a great risk-reward trade for swing and positional traders.
Price action confirmation is key before making any major trading decisions!
🔥 Will this historical support hold, or is a deeper correction coming? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart Analysis1. The chart shows an uptrend with a clearly drawn trendline acting as dynamic support.
2. Price has consistently bounced from this trendline, confirming its reliability.
3. Recently, price has **broken below the trendline**, indicating a potential trend reversal or correction.
4. A retest of the trendline as resistance is observed, which is crucial for confirming a further downtrend.
5. There is a spike in volume during the breakdown, which suggests strong selling pressure.
6. The failure to reclaim the trendline indicates possible continuation of the bearish move.
Conclusion
Trendline breakdown suggests a bearish bias.
Look for short opportunities unless price reclaims the trendline.
Use stop-loss management to protect against false breakouts.
Monitor volume and price action near key levels ($2,910, $2,930, and $2,880)