SHARDACROP: Strong Q3, Descending Trainlge BO, Chart of the WeekFrom Descending Triangle Breakout to Q3FY26 Glory: Why Sharda Cropchem's Could Be Your Next Big Move Lets Understand in "Chart of the Week"
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analysis:
Long-Term Trend Overview:
- The stock has demonstrated a multi-year uptrend from 2021 levels around 300-350 to current levels near 1,035
- A significant rally occurred from mid-2021 to early 2025, where the stock surged from approximately 350 to an all-time high of 1,181
- Post the January 2025 peak, the stock has entered a consolidation phase with a descending triangle pattern formation
- Current price of 1,035.85 (as of January 31, 2026) represents a 28.46% gain, showing strong momentum recovery
Recent Price Action Characteristics:
- The stock made an all-time high of 1,181 in early January 2025
- Following the peak, a corrective phase ensued with the formation of lower highs
- A clear descending trendline can be observed connecting the highs from January 2025 peak through subsequent rallies
- The stock found support multiple times around the 750-800 zone, establishing this as a critical demand area
- On January 31, 2026, the stock broke above the descending trendline with a strong bullish candle supported by robust volumes (11.25M shares traded)
Key Technical Patterns:
- Descending Triangle Pattern: The chart clearly shows a descending triangle structure with lower highs and a flat support base around 750-800
- Trendline Break: The recent price action has broken through the descending resistance trendline, which is a classic bullish reversal signal
- The breakout was accompanied by good volumes of 2.03M (shown in green), indicating strong buying interest
- The price action suggests a potential trend reversal from the consolidation phase to a new uptrend
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Trends and Characteristics:
- The volume chart shows sporadic high-volume days during the entire period
- The recent breakout candle is accompanied by elevated volumes of 11.25M shares
- Volume of 11M is above average, confirming the validity of the breakout
- Historical volume spikes are observed during significant price movements, both up and down
Volume-Price Correlation:
- During the 2021-2022 rally, several high-volume green bars supported the upward price movement
- The consolidation phase from January 2025 to January 2026 saw relatively lower volumes, typical of a basing pattern
- The recent breakout is validated by the volume surge, a positive technical sign
- Absence of high red volume (selling pressure) during the breakout indicates limited supply
Volume Implications:
- The volume profile suggests strong institutional participation during key price movements
- The current breakout with good volume indicates conviction among buyers
- Sustained volumes above the 2-3M range would confirm continued buying interest
- Any pullback on lower volumes would be healthier and offer better entry opportunities
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Major Support Levels:
- Primary Support Zone: 750-800 (tested multiple times during the consolidation phase, proving to be a strong demand zone)
- Secondary Support: 700 (psychological level and previous consolidation area)
- Critical Support: 600-650 (major swing low from mid-2024, breaking this would invalidate the bullish structure)
- Long-term Support: 500 (aligns with historical resistance turned support from early 2024)
Major Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: 1,100 (previous consolidation high and psychological barrier)
- All-Time High Resistance: 1,181 (needs to be reclaimed for continuation of uptrend)
- Potential Resistance: 1,200-1,250 (psychological round numbers)
- The broken descending trendline around 900-950 zone may now act as support on any pullbacks
Base Formation Analysis:
- The stock has formed a strong multi-week base between 750 and 800
- This base structure resembles a consolidation platform after a strong uptrend
- The base formation duration provides strong foundation for the next leg up
- The base is indicating accumulation rather than distribution
Technical Pattern Analysis:
Descending Triangle Breakdown and Resolution:
- Pattern Formation: The descending triangle started forming from the January 2025 high at 1,181
- Pattern Characteristics: Lower highs (descending resistance) meeting horizontal support at 750-800
- Pattern Resolution: The recent upward breakout from the descending trendline on January 31, 2026
- Breakout Confirmation: Strong bullish candle with +28.46% gain and volume of 11.25M shares
Short-Term Trend Assessment:
- The recent breakout candle establishes a strong bullish bias in the short term
- The stock has moved from a downtrend (within the triangle) to potentially starting a new uptrend
- Higher high formation above 1,035 would confirm the trend reversal
- The immediate trend is bullish with the breakout above both the trendline and the 900-950 resistance cluster
Medium-Term Outlook:
- The stock needs to sustain above 950-1,000 levels to confirm medium-term bullish structure
- A move above the previous high of 1,181 would resume the primary uptrend
Long-Term Perspective:
- The overall structure from 2021 remains bullish with higher lows and higher highs
- The current consolidation is a healthy correction within a larger uptrend
- Long-term investors can view the 750-800 zone as a strong accumulation area
- The secular trend in the agrochemical sector supports the long-term bullish thesis
Fundamental and Business Overview:
Company Profile and Business Model:
- Sharda Cropchem Ltd is engaged in the marketing and distribution of agrochemicals globally
- The company operates an asset-light business model, focusing on identifying generic molecules, preparing dossiers, seeking registrations, and marketing through distributors
- Core product portfolio includes formulations and generic active ingredients across fungicide, herbicide, and insecticide segments
- The company also operates a non-agrochemicals business including conveyor belts, V-belts, dyes, and industrial chemicals
Geographic Revenue Distribution:
- Europe: Contributes approximately 53% of agrochemical revenue, making it the largest market
- NAFTA (North America): Accounts for around 34% of agrochemical business
- Latin America (LatAm): Represents about 9-10% with high growth potential
- Rest of World: Includes India and other emerging markets
- The company has a presence across 80+ countries with over 150 distributors in India alone
Registration Portfolio and Competitive Moat:
- The company has 2,821 active product registrations globally as of March 2023
- Strong pipeline of 1,143 registrations under process, mainly in EU, US, and LatAm
- The registration process serves as a significant entry barrier due to high costs, complexity, and time requirements
- The company invests approximately 350-400 crores per annum toward new product registrations
- Registrations in highly regulated markets (EU, US) provide sustainable competitive advantages
Recent Financial Performance:
Q3 FY26 Results Highlights (Quarter Ended December 2025)
- Net Sales: Rs 1,288.76 crores, representing 38.7% YoY growth
- Net Profit: Rs 145.12 crores, a stellar 365.87% YoY surge from Rs 31.15 crores in Q3 FY25
- PAT Margin: Expanded dramatically to 11.26% from 3.35% in Q3 FY25, a gain of 791 basis points
- Gross Profit Margin: Stood at 20.32%, significantly improved from 12.36% in Q3 FY25
- The margin expansion reflects improved product mix, better pricing realization, and effective cost management
Nine-Month FY26 Performance (April-December 2025):
- Consolidated Net Sales: Rs 3,202.68 crores, up 27.57% YoY
- Net Profit: Rs 362.21 crores, representing 257.33% YoY growth
- ROCE: Impressive 20.85% for the nine-month period, the highest recorded in recent periods
- The company declared an interim dividend of Rs 6 per share
- Strong cash generation and zero-debt balance sheet underscore financial strength
Financial Trend and Quality Metrics:
- Five-year Sales CAGR: 17.65%, demonstrating consistent top-line growth
- Five-year EBIT CAGR: 21.17%, showing strong operational leverage
- Debt Status: Company is almost debt-free, providing financial flexibility
- EBIT to Interest Coverage: Average of 100 times, indicating negligible debt burden
- Return on Equity: Currently at 9.89% over last 3 years (considered low, but improving)
Sectoral and Industry Backdrop:
Indian Agrochemical Market Overview
- Market Size: The Indian agrochemical market is valued at approximately USD 8-9 billion in 2025
- Growth Trajectory: Expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.5-7.5% during 2026-2032 period
- Market Drivers: Rising population, increasing food demand, agricultural intensification, and government support
- India is ranked as one of the top 10 consumers and producers of agrochemicals globally
Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers:
- Food Security Imperative: India's population projected to reach 1.5 billion by 2030, necessitating enhanced agricultural productivity
- Crop Loss Prevention: Annual crop losses due to pests, weeds, and diseases estimated at 15-25%, valued at USD 10-15 billion
- Land Constraints: Declining arable land per capita due to urbanization drives need for yield optimization
- Technology Adoption: Increasing adoption of precision farming, drone spraying, and fertigation systems
- Export Opportunity: India's status as a net exporter strengthened by global demand for generic agrochemicals
Government Initiatives and Policy Support
- Make in India: Government recognizes agrochemical industry as one of top 12 industries for global leadership
- Subsidy Programs: Continued support through fertilizer subsidies (INR 3.68 lakh crore committed till March 2025)
- PM-PRANAM Scheme: Launched in 2023 to incentivize balanced fertilizer use and alternative technologies
- Drone Subsidies: Up to 40% subsidy on drone purchases for precision spraying
- Digital Infrastructure: Integration of land records, soil health cards, and farmer databases to facilitate input access
Segment-wise Market Trends
- Fertilizers: Hold 55% market share, driven by high applicability across all cropping systems
- Pesticides: Growing at faster CAGR of 10.52% through 2030, with focus on herbicides and fungicides
- Insecticides: Dominate with 72.5% of pesticide market due to tropical climate and pest pressure
- Biopesticides: Emerging segment accounting for 15% of market, driven by sustainability focus
- Regional Dynamics: South India projected to show highest growth due to horticulture and high-value crop expansion
Industry Challenges and Headwinds:
- Chinese Dependence: High reliance on Chinese suppliers for raw materials and active ingredients
- Import Dependency: Trade deficit of around USD 31 billion in chemicals sector due to infrastructure bottlenecks
- Pricing Pressure: Competition from low-priced Chinese products putting pressure on realizations
- Regulatory Complexity: Increasing cost of registrations and re-registrations in developed markets
- Working Capital Intensity: Large inventory and receivables requirements due to wide product portfolio and geography
Competitive Positioning and Business Strengths:
Sharda's Competitive Advantages:
- Asset-Light Model: Focus on registration, marketing, and distribution rather than manufacturing
- Registration Moat: 2,821 active registrations create significant barriers to entry
- Global Footprint: Presence in 80+ countries with diversified revenue streams
- Developed Market Focus: 83-85% revenue from Europe and NAFTA, which are high-value, stable markets
- Debt-Free Balance Sheet: Provides financial flexibility for growth investments
Business Model Strengths:
- Third-Party Manufacturing: Partnerships with manufacturers allow capital-efficient scaling
- Diversified Portfolio: Over 200 products across multiple crop protection categories
- Strong Pipeline: 1,143 registrations in process ensure future revenue visibility
- Direct Sales Force: Building own sales teams in key markets (Europe, US, Canada, Mexico) in addition to distributors
- Non-Agro Diversification: 17% revenue from non-agrochemical business reduces concentration risk
Strategic Positioning in Generic Agrochemicals:
- Generic Focus: Targets off-patent molecules where 75% market share is still held by innovators
- Value Proposition: Offers cost-competitive alternatives to multinational brands
- Regulatory Expertise: Proven capability in navigating complex registration processes in developed markets
- Customer Relationships: Supplies to MNCs as well as end customers, providing multiple revenue channels
- Quality Compliance: Meets stringent regulatory standards of EU and US markets
Valuation Metrics:
- P/E Ratio: Trading at 20x trailing earnings, below industry average of 29x
- EV/EBITDA: 10.61x appears reasonable given the 365.87% profit growth trajectory
- PEG Ratio: 0.18 suggests the stock is significantly undervalued relative to its growth
- Dividend Yield: 0.91% with conservative payout ratio of 84.89% for FY25
Key Strengths:
- Strong quarterly momentum with 365.87% YoY profit growth in Q3 FY26
- Expanding margins (PAT margin up 791 bps YoY) indicating operational improvement
- Record ROCE of 20.85% demonstrating efficient capital deployment
- Zero-debt balance sheet providing safety and growth flexibility
- Technical breakout from year-long consolidation backed by strong volumes
Risk Factors and Concerns:
- Dependence on Chinese Suppliers: Raw material sourcing concentrated in China exposes to currency and policy risks
- Competitive Pricing: Generic nature of business faces pricing pressure from both innovators and other generic players
- Working Capital Intensity: High debtors of 165 days and large inventory requirements
- Regulatory Risks: Stroke of pen risk where simplified registration processes could erode competitive moat
- MNC Competition: Large multinationals with better brand equity and distributor relationships
- Seasonality: 35-40% revenue and 50-55% profit concentrated in certain quarters
Management Guidance and Outlook:
- FY26 Guidance: Company targets 15%+ topline growth with EBITDA margins in 15-18% range
- Capex Plans: Rs 400-450 crore planned investment in registrations for FY26
- Registration Pipeline: Focus on strengthening portfolio across Europe, NAFTA, and LatAm
- Margin Trajectory: Gross margins expected to stabilize around 30-35% range with input cost normalization
- Geographic Expansion: Continued strengthening of sales force in key markets
Sectoral Tailwinds Supporting Growth:
- Indian agrochemical market growing at 5.5-7.5% CAGR through 2032
- Global demand for generic agrochemicals increasing as patents expire
- Government support through Make in India and agricultural modernization programs
- Increasing adoption of precision farming and technology-driven agriculture
- Export opportunities expanding as India becomes a preferred sourcing destination
Monitoring Parameters:
- Volume Consistency: Weekly volumes should sustain above 1.5-2M for continued momentum
- Support Holding: 750-800 zone must hold on any pullbacks
- Quarterly Results: Track margin trends and volume growth in subsequent quarters
- Sectoral Trends: Monitor agrochemical industry news, Chinese raw material prices, and global demand
- Competitive Action: Watch for pricing pressures or market share changes
My 2 Cents:
- Sharda Cropchem has broken out of a descending triangle pattern with strong volumes
- The 750-800 support zone has proven to be a robust demand area tested multiple times
- Volume-backed breakout on January 31, 2026 (+28.46%) confirms buying conviction
- The stock is transitioning from consolidation to a potential new uptrend
- The stock presents a compelling combination of technical breakout and fundamental improvement
- Strong quarterly numbers have acted as a catalyst for the technical pattern resolution
- Valuation at 20x P/E with PEG of 0.18 suggests room for re-rating
- The 750-800 base provides a strong foundation for the next leg of upward movement
Full Coverage on my Mid-Week Newsletter coming Wednesday.
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Triangle
Energy Exhausted: Indian Energy Exchange Nears BreakdownGreetings Fellow Traders, Sharing a critical technical update on Indian Energy Exchange (IEX). The chart is flashing early warning signs of a potential breakdown. Key zones and price action indicate growing bearish momentum stay alert and trade with caution!
Indian Energy Exchange – Bearish Outlook Strengthens.
Indian Energy Exchange is showing clear signs of weakness as it continues to respect a long standing downtrend resistance line. The recent price action saw a sharp rejection near the 156 resistance, reinforcing bearish control.
Currently, the stock is testing a crucial Monthly Demand Zone (135–120) a level that has historically offered strong support. However, the structure now suggests increasing vulnerability.
Bearish Signals-:
Price consistently forming lower highs beneath the descending trendline.
Rising volume on red candles signals strengthening selling pressure.
Price nearing the lower boundary of demand, risking a breakdown.
Key Levels to Watch:
Breakdown below 120-: A close below this level, especially with volume confirmation, could trigger a deeper correction toward 70 or lower.
Rejection from 156 zone-: Any bounce back to this level may offer fresh shorting opportunities, unless a trend reversal is confirmed.
A decisive move below 120 would mark the beginning of a markdown phase, validating the broader bearish reversal pattern in play.
This publication I am sharing for learning purpose like price action, Support and resistance and trends ETC.
Regards- Amit
IFCI: ₹60 Breakout Can Trigger ₹80 → ₹100 → ₹120 RallyIFCI has spent a prolonged period in a Neo Wave Double Three (A–B–C) combination, indicating time-based correction and accumulation, not trend breakdown. Price action has remained overlapping with contracting volatility, confirming a corrective structure.
Currently, price is compressing inside a triangle, signaling energy build-up. A decisive breakout above ₹60 will confirm trend continuation.
Trade Plan (Strict):
Entry: Only after a sustained breakout above ₹60
Targets:
🎯 ₹80
🎯 ₹100
🎯 ₹120 (longer term)
View:
Double Three combinations followed by triangle breakouts often resolve with sharp and directional rallies. Patience is key — no breakout, no trade.
CCL Products cmp 970.50 by Daily Chart viewCCL Products cmp 970.50 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 890 to 930 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 970 to 1015 Price Band
- Volumes in close sync with avg traded qty
- Rising Price Channel seem been well sustained
- Descending Triangle pattern breakout anticipated
- Technical Indicator trending positively thru Jan 2026
BEL: A TEXTBOOK SYMMETRIC TRIANGLE BREAK OUT• BEL is on uptrend and forming higher high pattern in weekly basis.
• It made a strong parallel channel break out on 2024-May to 2024-Jun.
• Stock was consolidating from 2024-Jul.
• It forms a symmetric triangle and consolidated for last 7 month (211 days!)
• Today (28-01-2026) it gives a strong break out.
• Significate volume surge could be observed.
• An entry could be made near 440-450 zone with a SL below the trendline near 419.
• Consolidation range is 436-360=75 points. Hence Target 1 = 450+75=525 and Target 2 =450+75*2=600.
• Watch out psychological resistance at 500!! Trail and enjoy the bull ride.
• Educational purpose only. Happy learning.
Triangle Contraction Symphony: Hidden Supports, Inverted H&SWitness the mesmerizing dance of price action in this chart masterpiece. A pristine triangle contraction pattern emerges, bounded by a supportive yellow trendline below and a red counter-trendline above, perfectly channeling price within tightening bounds.
Layered hidden dotted support/resistance lines add depth, illustrating how price meticulously respects each level—time and again.
Culminating in a textbook inverted head and shoulders formation, this setup showcases contraction elegance at its finest.
Purely educational: Reliving how these levels held in the past. No directional bias here—just the raw beauty of price action precision.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only, demonstrating historical price action behavior and level interactions. No directional bias or trading recommendations are implied. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade at your own risk.
Sensex - Weekly Review Jan 26 to Jan 30.The price opened with a gap up on Friday, but it was unable to sustain and fall down. Now it has formed a descending triangle pattern. Sustaining the current levels and breaking the trend line can make the price bullish.
Buy above 81640 with the stop loss of 81500 for the targets 81760, 81900, 82040, 82200, 82380, 82600, 82780, 82940 and 83120.
Sell below 81400 with the stop loss of 81560 for the targets 81280, 81140, 81000, 80880, 80700, 80540, 80380, 80200 and 80060.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BEL in a Contracting Triangle — Wave 5 Loading?From the ₹240.25 low , Bharat Electronics Limited delivered a powerful upside rally , completing a higher-degree Wave 3 near ₹436 . The advance was strong, extended, and impulsive , clearly establishing the larger bullish trend.
Post the Wave 3 peak, price did not reverse impulsively . Instead, it shifted into sideways consolidation , suggesting a time-wise correction rather than price-wise damage . This behavior fits well with a Wave 4 contracting triangle , a common pause before the final leg of an impulse.
Structurally, the consolidation aligns with an A–B–C–D–E triangle , with price now appearing to be in the final leg — Wave (E) . This leg is expected to unfold as a 3-wave corrective decline (A–B–C) , terminating near the rising A–C–E trendline . A brief throw-under below this trendline remains structurally acceptable and should not be mistaken for a breakdown.
Trade Structure (Execution Focus)
The preferred entry lies near the A–C–E trendline , only if price prints a bullish candlestick pattern , indicating completion of Wave (E).
Invalidation is clearly defined below the low of Wave (C) .
If the triangle resolves as expected, a breakout would signal the start of a higher-degree Wave 5 , with upside potential beyond the Wave 3 high near ₹436 .
Fundamentally, recent order inflows support the broader bullish context , but this remains a structure-led setup , where price confirmation matters more than headlines .
In summary , Wave 3 is complete , Wave 4 is maturing , and Wave (E) completion is the final checkpoint before the next directional move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
CAMS - Descending triangle + Head and Shoulders PatternA clear Head and Shoulders structure has formed over the recent months. The price has just breached the neckline support (horizontal dotted teal line) around the ₹720–₹730 zone.
The recent price action shows a breakdown below the neckline with a red candle, suggesting that the bearish momentum is gaining traction.
Also stock is trading below 200 EMA, which is a strong downward movement signal.
Traders should watch for a potential "retest" of the neckline before the continuation of the downward move.
Target: 630/-
NH - STWP Equity Snapshot________________________________________
📊 STWP Equity Snapshot – NH
(Educational | Chart-Based Interpretation)
________________________________________
📌 Intraday Reference Levels (Structure-based)
Reference Price Zone: 1950
Risk Reference (If price weakens): 1829
Observed Upside Zones: 2095 → 2192
These zones highlight where intraday price reaction, pause, or expansion may occur based on recent structure.
________________________________________
📌 Swing Reference Levels
(Hybrid Model | 2–5 days | Observational)
Reference Price Zone: 1950
Risk Reference (If structure breaks): 1779
Higher Range Zones (If strength sustains): 2292 → 2549
Swing levels reflect broader price acceptance and risk boundaries rather than short-term noise.
________________________________________
🔑 Key Levels – Daily Timeframe
Support Areas: 1896 | 1846 | 1819
Resistance Areas: 1973 | 2000 | 2050
These levels explain where price has historically reacted and where it may slow down, reject, or accelerate further.
________________________________________
🔺 STWP Chart Pattern Analysis
Stock: NH
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Stage: Late formation (Mature)
________________________________________
⏱ Structure Timing Insight
Duration: Around 51 days
Maturity: Overextended
The longer a pattern compresses, the more cautious one needs to be about false breakouts.
________________________________________
📌 Why price is behaving this way
Price has been compressing between lower highs and higher lows
Buyers and sellers are both active, but neither side has clear control
Prolonged compression often reflects indecision rather than fresh accumulation
This explains the repeated pullbacks and recoveries near the same zones.
________________________________________
📐 Projection Logic (Educational)
Upside projection is calculated using the full height of the triangle
Downside projection remains equally valid due to neutral structure
Mature patterns tend to produce whipsaws before clean resolution
Patience becomes more important than prediction in such structures.
________________________________________
🎯 Pattern Targets & Invalidation
Upside Projection: 2103
Downside Projection: 1653
Pattern Validity Conditions:
Structure remains constructive only if price holds above 1959
Breakdown risk increases below 1797
________________________________________
🔍 STWP Market Read
NH has shown strong recovery momentum, supported by healthy indicators and active participation.
However, due to the late-stage triangle, strength must be confirmed through acceptance, not just temporary spikes.
This is a structure where discipline matters more than aggression.
________________________________________
📊 Chart Structure & Indicator Summary
Structure: Mature symmetrical triangle
Trend: Up
Momentum: Strong but stabilising
RSI: ~57 – healthy, not overextended
Volume: High – active participation
________________________________________
📈 Final Outlook (Condition-Based)
Momentum: Strong
Trend: Up
Risk: High (due to mature compression)
Volume: High
________________________________________
💡 STWP Learning Note
Strong charts do not always mean immediate opportunity.
Markets reward those who wait for clarity and manage risk, not those who chase excitement.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is shared only for educational and informational purposes.
It is not investment advice or a recommendation.
Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decision.
________________________________________
📘 STWP Approach
Observe price. Respect risk.
Let structure guide decisions — not emotions.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
________________________________________
💬 Did this snapshot help you read the chart better?
🔼 Boost to support structured learning
✍️ Share your views in comments
🔁 Forward to someone learning price action
👉 Follow for clean, beginner-friendly STWP insights
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
Samvardhana Motherson price DivergenceEasily achieved first target of 118.9 following which RSI formed lower high whereas Price formed higher high making typical Divergence.
Even MACD started forming lower highs confirming the change in trend
Any high could have been used as exit from the stock in short term
Can still hold the trade partially till it breaks the support of 112 which is triangle high
BSE - STWP Equity Snapshot________________________________________
STWP Equity Snapshot – BSE Ltd
(Educational | Chart-Based Interpretation)
📌 Intraday Reference Levels (Structure-based)
Reference Price Zone: 2,800
Risk Reference (If price weakens): 2,609
Observed Upside Zones: 3,028 → 3,181
________________________________________
📌 Swing Reference Levels (Hybrid Model | 2–5 days | Observational)
Reference Price Zone: 2,800
Risk Reference (If support breaks): 2,514
Higher Range Zones (If strength continues): 3,372 → 3,801
________________________________________
🔑 Key Levels – Daily Timeframe
Support Areas: 2,717 | 2,643 | 2,602
Resistance Areas: 2,832 | 2,873 | 2,947
These levels explain where price has previously reacted and where it may pause, reverse, or accelerate again.
________________________________________
🔺 STWP Chart Pattern Analysis
Stock: BSE Ltd
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Stage: Late formation (Mature)
⏱ Structure Timing Insight
Duration: Around 203 days
Maturity: Overextended
The pattern has taken a long time to form, which lowers the quality of a quick breakout.
________________________________________
📌 Why price is behaving this way
Price has been moving between lower highs and higher lows
Buyers and sellers are both active, but neither side is in control
Long compression usually shows confusion, not strong fresh buying
This explains why price moves up, pauses, and then reacts again.
________________________________________
📐 Projection Logic (Educational)
Upside projection is based on the full height of the triangle
Downside projection is equally possible due to neutral structure
Mature patterns often give false moves, so patience is important
________________________________________
🎯 Pattern Targets & Invalidation
Upside Projection: 3,349
Downside Projection: 2,180
Pattern Invalidation: Clear move beyond the opposite boundary
________________________________________
🔍 STWP Market Read
BSE Ltd has shown strong upward movement after a long period of sideways action.
However, because the pattern is old and stretched, price must hold above support zones to keep strength intact.
Strength is visible — but confirmation matters more than excitement here.
________________________________________
📊 Chart Structure & Indicator Summary
Structure: Mature triangle, partial resolution
Trend: Up
Momentum: Strong but controlled
RSI: Around 58 – healthy
Volume: High – active participation
________________________________________
📈 Final Outlook (Condition-Based)
Momentum: Strong
Trend: Up
Risk: High (due to mature structure)
Volume: High
________________________________________
💡 STWP Learning Note
Not every strong move needs chasing.
The market rewards those who wait for clarity and manage risk, not those who rush.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is shared only for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice or a recommendation. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decision.
________________________________________
📘 STWP Approach
Observe price. Respect risk.
Let structure guide decisions — not emotions.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
💬 Did this snapshot help you read the chart better?
🔼 Boost to support structured learning
✍️ Share your views in comments
🔁 Forward to someone learning price action
👉 Follow for clean, beginner-friendly STWP insights
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
________________________________________
ASIAN PAINTS: Likely Reversal and Tri angle break outASIAN PAINTS: Trading above all its Daily Moving averages. After a marginal dip at 10-20 DEMA reversed its trend by trading from its 10 Day EMA.Also formed Triangle pattern
Increase in volume ,trading above all its Moving averages and likely Triangle pattern indicates a move towards 2900-2950 Levels(For educational purpose only)
Tube Investments of India Ltd — Wave X Triangle in PlayAfter the sharp decline from ₹4,810, the recent advance initially looked like a potential leading diagonal of a new impulse. However, the internal overlaps and choppy rhythm point instead to a Wave X triangle, likely part of a larger corrective sequence (W–X–Y).
As long as price holds below ₹3,419.90, the bearish outlook remains intact, with the next leg — Wave Y — possibly aiming toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (₹2,511–₹1,968). That region, close to the golden ratio, may act as a potential termination zone for the entire correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Kalyan Jewellers – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (1-Day)Kalyan Jewellers is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart, indicating a period of consolidation as buyers and sellers balance out. A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline could signal the start of a new upward move, while a break below support may lead to further weakness.
At the current market price (CMP) around ₹500,
The key levels to watch are:
• Support: ₹446, ₹393
• Resistance: ₹530, ₹575
Company Overview
Kalyan Jewellers is one of India’s leading organized jewelry retailers, known for its extensive network of showrooms across the country and strong brand presence. The company operates in the high-growth consumer discretionary segment, benefiting from rising income levels, wedding demand, and festive purchases. Its fundamentals are supported by a diversified geographic footprint, consistent same-store sales growth, and a focus on customer trust and quality assurance.
A sustained breakout with higher-than-average volume could confirm trend direction and attract further buying interest.
For analysis of any stock, feel free to comment the stock name below.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market investments are subject to risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses or gains arising from the use of this information.






















