Nifty - Expiry day analysis Feb 20Price was moving in a range for the past few days and in that process has created a channel pattern. Also I can see a triangle inside the channel.
Buy above 22920 with the stop loss of 22880 for the targets 22960, 23000, 23040, 23100 and 23160.
Sell below 22840 with the stop loss of 22880 for the targets 22800, 22760, 22700 and 22660.
As per daily chart price is at support.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Triangle
Finance Sector Leader on Breakout with Huge Volume--What’s Next?Hey Traders!
Hope you're all doing great! There’s an exciting trading idea setting up with Bajaj Finance , and I couldn’t wait to share it with you. The stock is forming a classic Ascending Triangle Pattern , and based on this setup, we're expecting a nice breakout soon. Let’s break it down.
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Pattern
The Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that indicates strong buyer interest and a potential breakout. Bajaj Finance has formed a clear ascending triangle , with a horizontal resistance at the top and an upward-sloping support line at the bottom. The price has been making higher lows, showing that buyers are gradually gaining strength, while sellers are being squeezed at the resistance level.
Bajaj Finance continues to be one of India’s leading financial services companies , delivering consistent growth in revenue and profitability. Here's a quick look at the key financials from the December 2024 , September 2024 , and December 2023 quarters:
Sales :
Dec 2024 : ₹18,035 crore ( YoY Growth: 27% )
Sep 2024 : ₹17,091 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹14,164 crore
EBIDT :
Dec 2024 : ₹12,344 crore ( YoY Growth: 24% )
Sep 2024 : ₹11,753 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹9,934 crore
Net Profit :
Dec 2024 : ₹4,308 crore ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹4,014 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹3,639 crore
Earnings Per Share (EPS) :
Dec 2024 : ₹68.60 ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹64.62
Dec 2023 : ₹58.88
These solid figures show Bajaj Finance’s strength and its growth trajectory across key financial metrics.
I feel that fundamentally , Bajaj Finance is strong with 27% YoY sales growth and 17% YoY net profit growth , and technically , the Ascending Triangle Pattern on the chart shows a potential breakout, indicating the stock is ready for a big move in the coming months.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Unlocking Breakouts with the Symmetrical Triangle PatternUnderstanding the Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern
Hello Traders!
Today, we’ll discuss one of the most powerful chart patterns used to predict breakout opportunities — the Symmetrical Triangle . This pattern is a sign of market consolidation, where price is moving within a narrowing range, and a breakout is expected once the price escapes from this converging trend.
The Symmetrical Triangle consists of two trendlines:
Ascending Trendline : Connecting the rising lows.
Descending Trendline : Connecting the falling highs.
Key Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
Consolidation Period : The price moves between the two trendlines, showing decreasing volatility.
Breakout : Once the price breaks above the upper trendline (ascending trendline) or below the lower trendline (descending trendline), it signals a strong trend continuation or reversal.
Volume Analysis : Volume usually decreases during the consolidation phase, followed by a surge in volume during the breakout, confirming the direction.
How to Trade the Symmetrical Triangle?
Entry Point : After the breakout occurs (above the ascending trendline or below the descending trendline), enter the trade in the direction of the breakout.
Stop Loss : Place a stop loss just below the breakout level to protect your position from false breakouts.
Target : The target can be estimated by measuring the height of the triangle from the base and projecting that distance from the breakout point.
Example of Symmetrical Triangle in Action
In the Godfrey Phillips India chart , we can see a Symmetrical Triangle forming between 2021 and 2023. The price broke out of the pattern in late 2022, giving traders a strong upward momentum. Based on the measured move, the target was met after a clear breakout above the ascending trendline , which resulted in a price rise of 42.37%.
Conclusion
The Symmetrical Triangle is a reliable continuation pattern that provides great trading opportunities. Make sure to watch for volume confirmation during the breakout, and always use a stop loss to protect yourself from unexpected reversals.
Happy Trading! 🚀📈
MANAPPURAM FINANCE LTD - APPROACHING RESISTANCE AREASymbol - MANAPPURAM
Manappuram Finance Ltd. has been experiencing a recovery from lower levels in recent weeks. The stock has bounced back from support zones and is now testing key resistance areas. However, it faces considerable challenges at higher levels, showing signs of consolidation as it approaches its resistance zones.
The overall trend appears to be in recovery, following a significant dip. However, the stock is facing resistance at higher levels, indicating a potential pause or consolidation before any significant movement.
Short-term trend looks slightly bearish, as the stock has encountered selling pressure at resistance levels and is currently consolidating. Long-term trend remains positive, driven by the company’s strong fundamentals in the gold loan market.
The stock is currently trading within an ascending triangle pattern and is consolidating near key resistance levels. My personal bias is towards the downside, and we could potentially see a sell-off from the resistance zone towards the triangle support trendline, with the possibility of a move below it.
The trade strategy could involve looking for short opportunities near the resistance zone, especially if the stock fails to break out and begins to reverse. However, if the stock manages to break above the resistance trendline of the ascending triangle, the bias would shift to the upside.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout in Bajaj FinanceThe chart of **Bajaj Finance Ltd. (NSE: BAJFINANCE)** on the **weekly timeframe** shows a **recent breakout from an ascending triangle pattern**.
### **Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout:**
1. **Structure of the Pattern:**
- The **horizontal resistance** zone (highlighted in blue) was previously tested multiple times, around **7,768 - 8,000**.
- The **ascending trendline** (in purple) has consistently provided higher lows, forming the base of the triangle.
- The price was **squeezing between the resistance and the ascending trendline**, creating buying pressure.
2. **Breakout Confirmation:**
- The price has successfully broken above the resistance **with strong bullish momentum**.
- A significant **green breakout candle** suggests strong buying interest.
- The breakout occurred after multiple rejections at resistance, indicating **accumulation before the breakout**.
3. **Retest Possibility:**
- Price may pull back toward the **7,768 - 8,000 zone** to **retest the breakout level as new support** before continuing its upward move.
- A successful retest would confirm the breakout and strengthen bullish confidence.
4. **Target Projection:**
- The **height of the ascending triangle** (from the base near 6,400 to the resistance around 8,000) is approximately **1,600 points**.
- Applying this range to the breakout point suggests a potential **target of around 9,600 - 9,800**.
### **Conclusion:**
- The **ascending triangle breakout** is a strong bullish signal.
- The price may **retest the breakout zone before continuing higher**.
- **Long-term trend remains bullish**, supported by the trendline and momentum.
ONDOUSDT - TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT - BULLISH OUTLOOKSymbol - ONDOUSDT
ONDOUSDT continues to demonstrate an upward trend, with periodic cyclical counter-trend corrections. The chart is currently indicating a potential conclusion of the correction phase, suggesting a readiness for further upward movement. A significant consolidation pattern has developed within the context of the prevailing uptrend. In this regard, the price is attempting to break above the consolidation resistance (triangle) and surpass the next key resistance level at 1.538. This level is of particular importance. Should the bulls successfully maintain support above 1.538, ONDO may experience a recovery towards the 1.7–1.9–2.15 range in the short to medium term.
Support levels: 1.538, 1.44
Resistance levels: 1.7344, 1.90
A minor pullback to support, followed by a false breakdown, remains a possibility. However, sustained price consolidation above this level would confirm readiness for upward movement. Entry, SL & Target levels are indicated on the chart.
Ascending Triangle Pattern in BAJAJ FINANCEChart Analysis & Trade Setup
Stock: Bajaj Finance Ltd (NSE)
Timeframe: 1W (Weekly Chart)
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zone (Orange Region):
The price has faced multiple rejections in this zone historically.
The stock has now broken above this resistance, signaling a potential breakout.
Support Levels:
Purple Trendline: Long-term ascending trendline acting as dynamic support.
Blue Zones: These levels indicate past significant buying areas.
Breakout Confirmation:
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around ₹7,899 - ₹8,000, post-breakout confirmation.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at ₹7,600 (below breakout zone).
Target: ₹10,000 (based on breakout projection and past price action).
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio:
Target Gain: ₹2,000 (from ₹8,000 to ₹10,000)
Risk (SL): ₹400 (from ₹8,000 to ₹7,600)
RR Ratio: 5:1 (Favorable trade setup)
Expected Price Movement:
The price is expected to retest the breakout zone around ₹8,000 before moving higher.
If the retest holds, the stock may rally toward ₹9,200 - ₹10,000.
Paytm - CMP 950 - Monthly - Symmetrical Expanding TrianglePaytm has created Symmetrical Expanding Triangle in Monthly time frame
RSI going up continuously, still not in overbought zone
MACD is looking good
Price is above 20 Months EMA
volume is good for past 4-5 months
Crossed 930 resistance with good volume
DII has increased holding in June and Sep 2024, FII has decreased holdings
Target 1 : 1160++
Target 2 : 1350 , This could be next Resistance
if price sustain at 1350 and give breakout from triangle with good volume then Target 3 could be ATH - 1955++
KAYA LTD - Symmetrical Triangle - MonthlyKAYA LTD formed Symmetrical Triangle pattern on Monthly chart.
Formed symmetrical triangle and given breakout with very huge volume and retest done .
RSI is looking good and taking support
ROCE going minus every year since last 5-7 years :(
poor sales growth since last 5 years :(
FII's and DII's has increased their holding little bit since last 2 quarter.
What will happen next quarter ? will it go sideways or downtrend will start ?
Resistance1 : 505-511
Resistance 2 : 590-600
No Entry, No Targets until positive results or news coming :)
Piramal Enterprises Limited (PEL) !! Ready to ride trend ?? A symmetrical chart pattern on PEL ??
From a broader perspective, the stock has been consolidating at these levels, considering the overall market structure and bearish sentiment in the Indian market and quarterly results show a decline in PEL profits.
Moreover, it raises the question—how many of you have opted for loans from PEL? "KON hain ye log, Kaha se atte hain!!" Compared to other loan providers, PEL doesn’t seem to stand out as a major player in the personal loan space or offer particularly attractive deals to customers.
Technical Analysis:
PEL is forming a symmetrical chart pattern. An early entry could be considered around the ₹900 level.
Stop Loss: 950 Rs
Target : Open/Mentioned on Chart
Strategy: One can take 900 PE FEB month Expiry or Short the Future.
Let me know what you think about this analysis.
Happy Trading!
Nifty Breakdown: A Retest of 21,300-21,000 on the Cards?Nifty has decisively broken out of a Falling Wedge + Descending Triangle, confirming a Lower High-Lower Low (LH-LL) pattern. If this bearish momentum sustains, we could see the following levels:
Immediate downside toward 22,500
In the worst-case scenario, a retest of 21,300-21,000—the lows last seen during the election volatility of June 2024.
🚩 What’s Adding Pressure?
1️⃣ Midcap, Smallcap, and Microcap indices have also broken down from their bases, intensifying the bearish sentiment.
2️⃣ Uncertainty over Union Budget 2025: Will it contain market-friendly announcements or trigger further panic?
3️⃣ Trump’s global policies & their potential impact on India.
4️⃣ SEBI’s regulations, which could also weigh on market sentiment.
📉 What’s the Key Risk?
If the budget disappoints and external policies remain unfavourable, retailers may panic sell, potentially driving Nifty toward these crucial levels.
💡 Trading Tip:
Preserve capital during such volatile phases. As Paul Tudor Jones said, "Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have."
💭 What’s Your View?
Will Nifty reverse from 22,500 post-budget?
Or are we looking at a deeper correction toward 21,300-21,000?
📈 Let’s discuss below!
Wipro Looking for SupportHello friends good evening, I have prepared a chart for one of my trades in Wipro which I am sharing with you all. So as we can see the Wipro ADR ( American Depository Receipt) listed in the American market is trading down by 4 to 5 percent. In such a situation we can expect that we may see a similar decline in the price of Wipro shares tomorrow or in the coming session. Therefore I have marked a demand zone on its weekly chart and hope that the price will get a bounce from this demand zone, which will be helpful for us to trade on the long side.
Different traders follow different setups and indicators to understand support bounce, I would like to understand it only through price action on smaller time frames and will update accordingly.
I hope you liked the idea if yes then please like and share it, thank you all.
Best Regards- Amit.
DLFPrice is at triple bottom support, which is a bullish pattern. At the same time it is consolidating in the formation of descending triangle which is a bearish pattern.
So how to trade? Let us decode it.
Buy above 738 with the stop loss of 731 for the targets 746, 752, 760 and 768.
Sell below 724 with the stop loss of 731 for the targets 718, 712, 704 and 696.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty weekly review - Jan 20 to Jan 24Movement was bit choppy last weak and price tested the patience of option buyers. Still 23400 zone acts as an important zone to decide the direction.
Buy above 23220 with the stop loss of 23180 for the targets 23260, 23320, 23380, 23420 and 22460.
Sell below 23140 with the stop loss of 23180 for the targets 23100, 23060, 23010, 22960 and 22900.
As per the daily chart, price is still testing the support zone. Once the test is over, we can expect good move.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.