$TRUMP MEMECOIN: -98% DRAWDOWN ANALYSIS$TRUMP MEMECOIN: -98% DRAWDOWN ANALYSIS
TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN:
▶️ ATH Distribution: $70 (Exit signal executed)
▶️v Current Price Action: 98% retracement from peak
▶️ Market Structure: Parabolic blow-off → capitulation phase complete
▶️ Performance validates early exit thesis.
CURRENT MARKET STRUCTURE:
▶️ Bias: Bearish continuation
▶️ Key Resistance: $8.00 (structural pivot)
▶️ Invalidation Level: Sustained break above $8 with volume
▶️ Breakout scenario → $50 measured move target
▶️ Probability: Low (requires liquidity catalyst)
SPECULATIVE OPPORTUNITY (HIGH RISK):
▶️ Asset Class: Extreme volatility / lottery ticket
▶️ Entry Thesis: 92% discount from ATH = asymmetric R/R
▶️ Position Allocation: 1-2% max portfolio weight
▶️ Time Horizon: 12-24 month hold
▶️ Stop Loss: Total loss acceptable
▶️ This is binary outcome speculation, not investing.
INSTITUTIONAL PERSPECTIVE:
▶️ Celebrity token = coordinated distribution to retail
▶️ Tokenomics favor insiders
▶️ Liquidity profile indicates exit event completed
▶️ Capital preservation >> speculative moonshots
Risk Disclosure: Speculative asset. Trade accordingly.
⚠️ NOTE: Never invest hard-earned money in celebrity/influencer tokens. These are engineered liquidity extraction schemes, not legitimate projects.
Capital preservation > moonshot gambling.
NFa & DYOR
Short
