XAU/USD - Gold about to give 20 dollars move?Key Observations:
1. Trendline Breakout:
- The price has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
2. Demand Zone:
- A strong supply/resistance zone is evident around $2,639–$2,644, which has acted as a base for the breakout.
3. Bullish Trade Setup:
- A long position can be taken, if the price breaks out of resistance zone and retests, targeting the following levels:
- Target 1: $2,649.53
- Target 2: $2,657.36
- Target 3: $2,664.13
- Target 4: $2,668.70
- Stop-Loss: Below $2,639.65.
4. Alternate Bearish Scenario:
- If the price re-enters below the demand zone and fails to sustain the breakout, bearish momentum could push the price toward lower levels near $2,627.50.
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Trading Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation:
- If the price holds above $2,646, there is a strong likelihood of testing higher resistance levels up to **$2,668.70**.
2. Bearish Rejection:
- A move below $2,636.5 could invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating a potential retest of lower supports.
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Always use proper risk management when executing trades.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Uncertainty
Silver’s breaking out of a multi-year consolidation?Silver’s breaking out of a multi-year consolidation? Sure, the charts are giving you that breakout signal—a classic rounding bottom pattern. It’s a textbook setup. But I’m telling you right now, don’t get pulled into the hype.
Silver isn’t your safe haven; that’s Gold’s job. When the world’s a mess, people don’t run to Silver. They run to Gold. Silver thrives when the global economy is expanding, when there’s industrial demand driving it. But let me remind you where we are: recession fears, global instability, geopolitical tensions. None of that screams “strong economy” to me.
You’re not betting on Silver breaking out of a chart pattern—you’re betting on a world that’s heading into turbulence. And the world today isn’t sending the message that industrial demand for Silver is going to boom anytime soon. So, unless you think we’re suddenly going to shake off all this uncertainty, you’re just gambling on hope.
Right now? The market doesn’t justify Silver. Gold is your shield when the storm hits. Silver? Not so much.