USDJPY refreshes 24-year high but bulls have a bumpy road aheadUSDJPY begins the week on a positive note by rising for six consecutive days to refresh the multi-year high. The yen pair, however, has limited upside room before hitting the key hurdles. The nearness to resistance joins almost oversold RSI to also challenge the buyers. That said, the upper line of the three-week-old bullish channel, near 137.35, appears the immediate hurdle to probing the upside moves. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 6-23 moves, near 137.50, could also restrict the quote’s advances. At last, the September 1998 top around 138.30 could act as the last defense for the pair sellers before recalling the 140.00 threshold back to the chart.
Meanwhile, the early July swing high near 136.35 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 135.50 might challenge the short-term sellers. In a case where the USDJPY prices drop below 135.50, the support line of the stated channel, close to 135.10, will be crucial to watch as a clear downside break of the same could direct the quote to direct bears towards the late June swing low near 134.25. It’s worth noting that a successful break of 134.25 won’t hesitate to recall the mid-June bottom surrounding 131.50.
Overall, USDJPY bulls have a bumpy road ahead and hence a pullback can’t be ruled out.
USDJPY
USDJPY: A DIAGONALTheory:
DIAGONAL:
Diagonal are the motive waves like an impulse wave, but diagonals are different from impulse wave in that they do follow the first two Sutras (rules of impulse wave) for wave analysis, but it does not follow the third one i.e. Wave 4 should not intervene the territory of the wave 1. In a diagonal wave 4 always enters into the price territory of the wave 1.
Properties Of Diagonals:
Diagonals can be contracting or expanding type being expanding diagonal a rare one.
In contracting type, wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, wave 5 is shorter than wave 3, and wave 4 is shorter than wave 2.
In expanding type, wave 3 is longer than wave 1, wave 5 is longer than wave 3, and wave 4 is longer than wave 2.
Types Of Diagonals:
LEADING DIAGONAL
ENDING DIAGONAL
LEADING DIAGONAL: In a leading diagonal , waves 1,3, and 5 are all impulsive in nature or all in corrective form of zigzags. Wave 2 and wave 4 are always present in a zigzag form. A leading diagonal suggests the starting of a new wave & that is why it can develop wave 1 of a impulse wave and a first wave of a zigzag pattern.
ENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal , a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
SELL USDJPYsell usdjpy as 135.50 proves to be strong Resistance
if it does break 135.50 then USDJPY can make lows near 130.0
also shown in chart it has broken the channel and may breakout from this rising wedge downside
Even from its high 135.50 to 133.50 , if you draw fibonacci you can see SELLING pressure right from 61.8 level ( 134.79 )
USDJPY is ready to refresh multi-year highUSDJPY sustains upside break of a weekly resistance line, now support around 134.85, as bulls brace for the fresh multi-year high, currently around 136.70. In doing so, the yen pair could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 24 to June 16 moves, near 137.20. However, a convergence of the 78.6% FE and the upper line of the monthly bullish channel, near 138.80 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 138.80, the odds of witnessing the 140.00 threshold on the chart can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may retest the resistance-turned-support near 134.90, a break of which could direct USDJPY prices towards the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to 133.90. Should the pair drop below 133.90, the sellers could target the 133.00 round figure before challenging the broad support zone around 131.30-40 comprising 200-SMA and multiple levels marked since late April. It’s worth noting that the bear’s dominance past 131.30 won’t hesitate to conquer the 130.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness further upside and can renew the multi-year top marked during the last week. However, RSI conditions could join the 138.80 key hurdle to challenge the advances.
USDJPY Trading Plan - 27/Jun/2022Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USDJPY to go DOWN after finishing correction.
Look for your SELL setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
USDJPY has limited downside room, BOJ, Fed’s Powell in focusA clear downside break of the fortnight-old support line, favored USDJPY bears in the last few days. However, a convergence of the 100-EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May 24 to June 14 upside, around 132.00, seemed to have triggered the latest rebound. Also acting as short-term key support is a horizontal area comprising tops marked during late April and early May, surrounding 131.25-35. As the RSI (14) bounces off oversold territory, the aforementioned supports could form the pair’s bottom as traders await Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy meeting results and a speech from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Should the quote drop below 131.25, the 61.8% Fibo. level near 129.80 might return to the charts.
Meanwhile, a confluence of the 50-EMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, close to 133.40, guards the immediate upside. Following that, the support-turned-resistance from early June and the latest peak could challenge the USDJPY buyers around 135.60. If at all the quote rises past 135.60, the late 1998swing highs near 137.30 and 138.30 could probe the bulls before directing them to the 140.00 psychological magnet.
On the fundamental side, the BOJ isn’t expected to announce any major changes to its monetary policies, which in turn makes the event less important than Powell’s speech. Though, the current environment of central banks providing hawkish surprises might push the traditional dove, which in turn can entertain USDJPY traders.
USDJPY SHORT GREAT OPPORTUNITYHello Traders,
Once again we are here to give a idea about USDJPY technical analysis.
Some important things to note for the USDJPY.
1) BOJ is dovis about its ultra loose monetary policy to achieve pre COVID inflation target which leads USDJPY price skyrocket from 116 to 135.
2) Today at 23:30 IST FED is going to declare it's interest rate policy which is Hawkis view prev: 1% forecast: .50% which leads aggressive movment in USDJPY.
3) Later that BOJ will also declare it's interest rate policy which is same as before that is no change in that.
So overall USDJPY is still in bullish trend. But from the technical analysis oversold RSI of Weekly, monthly and daily shows sign that rally in USDJPY is overextended.
From my technical analysis prospect in weekly graph price is making higher high while RSI forming lower higher-highs which form a negative divergence.
Sell USDJPY@ 135-136.500
TARGET 1=> 134.500
2=> 134
3=> 133.800
4=> 133.200
5=> 132.300
SL ==> 137.000
Do your own research before taking trade this idea is only for education purpose. Happy trading to all 🤠.
USDJPY: Bullish TriangleUsually this wave structure forms in an impulsive sequence as wave 4 . It consists of 5 sub waves as wave-a , wave-b , wave-c, wave-d and a final setback wave-e . Each of these waves consists of three wave internal structure. Each of the waves should not break their extreme points. The final confirmation to enter the position comes when the price gets close above the level of wave-d. The minimum target of the pattern is just a poke above the level of wave-b and just above the level of wave-3 of the impulsive count. There is also a guideline to predict the target of this pattern which is known as triangular thrust. The triangular thrust is the measurement of the distance from the level of wave-a to the level of wave-b . This measured length should be kept at the point of completion of wave-e (conservative approach) or to the breakout level of wave-d to get the target of this pattern (aggressive approach)
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EUR/USD the EUR/USD can see a rally for some time
REASONS
1. we are at a very crucial weekly support.
2. we made a double bottom on such crucial support.
3. on 1h time frame we broke a trend that had been tested quite a few times.
4. the dollar index is at its all-time high and made a double top.
so, as the USD depreciates we will see a rally in EUR/USD.
NOTE: IF THE US STOCKMARKET CLOSES IN GREEN OR MAKE SIGNS OF RECOVERY WE MIGHT SEE A HUGE RALLY IN THIS FOREX SO KEEP A TRACK OF US MARKET AS WELL
USDJPY activates awaited fall, 127.00 appears nearby supportUSDJPY remains pressured around a two-week low, despite the latest rebound from 127.50, after the yen pair slipped beneath an upward sloping support line from March-end. The south-run recently broke 100-SMA and is well on the way to the 127.00-126.90 zone comprising 200-SMA and multiple levels marked in a month. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 126.90 may wait for the RSI to turn normal, currently oversold, if not then the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of late March to early May run-up, near 125.00 should return to the charts.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 129.40 level comprising the 100-SMA and April 20 swing high. Following that, the previous support line and the monthly peak, respectively around 130.50 and 131.35, could lure USDJPY bulls. In a case where the yen pair successfully rises past 131.35, buyers are entitled to challenge the year 2002 high surrounding 135.20.
Overall, USDJPY bulls have been tired of late and the latest breakdown triggers the required bearish signal.