USDJPY
USDJPY is all set for 125.00 revisitBe it a clear bounce off the 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of an upswing from mid-March or sustained trading beyond the one-week-old rising trend line, not to forget the 50-SMA, USDJPY has it all to revisit the multi-year top poked during late March. That being said, the 124.00 threshold may offer an intermediate halt during the run-up targeting the recent top surrounding 125.10. In a case where the bulls gain acceptance beyond 125.10, 61.8% Fibonacci expansion of the pair’s moves from March 15 to 31, around 125.90, quickly followed by the 126.00 round figure will be in focus.
Meanwhile, the 50-SMA level of 122.25 and a seven-day-old rising trend line, around 121.70, act as immediate supports to watch during the quote’s pullback. Following that, the 61.8% Fibo. level of 120.50 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 120.35 will challenge the USDJPY bears. Should the quote drops below 120.35, the 120.00 psychological magnet will be the last defense for bulls, a break of which will enable sellers to retake control.
#USDJPY Inverted Head and Shoulder formationAs seen in monthly chart of USDJPY, inverted head and shoulder is formed. Breakout above 127.50/128 with volumes will make it run to multi decade highs.
Likely scenario: With current global inflation, BOJ is forced to abandon its yield curve control strategy, that brings the yen devaluation option to the forefront.
God bless us all!!!
USDJPY renews five-year high, 118.70 challenges further upsideUSDJPY cheers the greenback’s robust strength ahead of the Fed’s widely anticipated rate-hike to refresh five-year high. In doing so, the yen pair defied an upward sloping trend channel from late November, backed by the bullish MACD signals. However, overbought RSI and double tops around 118.65 could challenge the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair rallies past 118.70, the 120.00 psychological magnet will offer an intermediate halt on the way to the early January 2016 peak surrounding 121.70.
Meanwhile, a pullback is more likely and could lure risk-taking sellers if the quote offers a daily closing below 117.70. Following that, the highs marked in January and February of 2022, near 116.35, will be on the bear’s radar. Though, the 100-DMA and an ascending trend line from late 2021, respectively around 114.60 and 114.35, will act as the last defenses for the pair buyers, a break of which will give controls to the sellers.
Overall, USDJPY may witness a pullback but bulls can keep the reins until the quote drops below 114.35.
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in USDJPYTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (115.25).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. USDJPY is in a downtrend, and the continuation of the downtrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 35.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 114.77
TP2= @ 114.47
TP3= @ 114.14
TP4= @ 113.79
TP5= @ 113.46
SL: Break Above R2
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USDJPY is ready to refresh five-year highA clear upside break of 20-DMA enables USDJPY bulls to challenge the two-month-old horizontal resistance area, surrounding 115.50-60. Following that, the monthly peak, also the highest levels since January 2017, near 116.35, will be in focus. Although RSI conditions may provide headwinds to the yen pair around the multi-day top, any further advances will not hesitate to challenge the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of October 2021 to January 2022 moves, near 116.90. Should USDJPY prices remain sturdy past 116.90, the 117.00 threshold will act as a validation point for the further rally targeting the year 2017 high of 118.60.
On the contrary, the 20-DMA level near 114.80 will test pullback moves of the USDJPY pair ahead of directing the quote to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September 2021 to January 2022 upside, close to 113.50. It’s worth noting, however, that the stated risk barometer pair will have a tough time declining past 113.50 as the 100-DMA and 50% Fibo, around 113.40 and 112.70, will act as strong supports. In a case where the quote drops past 112.70, the bullish trend is likely to witness a major blow with the initial slump to the September high of 112.00.
Fundamentally, USDJPY is all set to renew recent tops as the US dollar cheers the Fed’s hawkish halt.