USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN – SAFE HAVEN YEN STRENGTHENS AS GLOBAL MARKETS REACT
After the latest U.S. tariff announcement, global financial markets went into risk-off mode, with U.S. Treasury yields dropping sharply. As investor fear rises, money quickly rotates into safe-haven assets — and the Japanese Yen is taking the spotlight.
🔻 USD/JPY just hit its lowest level in over 3 weeks, reflecting both global sentiment shifts and domestic tailwinds for the Yen.
🔍 What's Fueling Yen Strength?
Risk-off sentiment:
Global equities declined after the U.S. tariff update. Investors are fleeing risky assets, favoring traditional safe havens like the Yen.
Yield dynamics:
U.S. bond yields fell, dragging the dollar down.
If the Fed begins cutting rates to counteract trade impacts, it would further narrow the U.S.–Japan yield gap, supporting JPY.
BoJ policy outlook turning hawkish:
With inflation on the rise, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue rate hikes, reinforcing the Yen’s appeal.
Japan’s political stance:
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced intentions to revisit tariff policy negotiations with the U.S., potentially shaping Japan’s economic roadmap and investor confidence.
📈 Market Outlook:
If trade tensions persist and the Fed moves toward rate cuts, we could see further downside on USD/JPY, with JPY demand accelerating in both fundamental and technical terms.
This setup offers key opportunities for traders watching:
Safe-haven flow dynamics
Central bank divergence (Fed vs BoJ)
Potential macro breakout zones on JPY crosses
💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY heading into the next Fed and BoJ meetings?
Drop a comment and let’s discuss the bias!
✍️ Follow @MoneyMarketFlow for daily macro + technical insights across majors and metals.
USDJPY
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal: Order Block & EMA 200 TargetSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. The key insights from this analysis are:
1. Order Block & Potential Reversal
The price has dropped significantly and reached a highlighted order block zone (a key demand area).
A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, indicating a possible bullish reversal.
2. Expected Bullish Movement
The price is expected to bounce from the order block, creating a bullish structure.
The projected move suggests a retracement toward a resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone & EMA 200
The target zone is around 148.946 - 149.178, aligning with the 200 EMA, a significant resistance level.
4. RSI Indicator
The RSI is currently low (~38.93), indicating potential for a reversal as the market may be oversold.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a bullish retracement after the recent drop, targeting the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. However, confirmation is needed (e.g., bullish price action, volume increase) before taking a trade. Keep an eye on fundamental news that may impact USD/JPY volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY- ATTEMPTING TREND REVERSALSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 148.87
The USDJPY is currently in a corrective phase, retesting the previously breached downtrend boundary. The market is attempting to break this trend amidst a broader correction of the US dollar.
The dollar is facing significant challenges due to various economic and geopolitical factors in the United States, coupled with persistently high inflation. In light of these conditions, the US dollar Index may continue to experience a deeper correction, as expectations for interest rate cuts could be extended, potentially exerting further pressure on the markets.
Earlier, the currency pair attempted to overcome the resistance of the downtrend and succeeded, yet this move alone is insufficient to confirm a trend reversal; additional confirmation is required.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls manage to maintain support above the 148.92 - 149.5 range, there is a promising opportunity for a potential trend reversal. A move towards the 150.16 resistance level, followed by a breakout and sustained price action above this level, would serve as confirmation of the trend shift.
USDJPYA textbook setup. As you can see price came int the 4H Demand zone. It made push down and 15min trading range. Now waiting for the high of that range to be taken out and price to sustain above for a while and then return back and continue higher.
If you look on 5min, price already provided intraday setup to the left but to get odds into my favour I waut for 15min BOS. Lets wait and see what happens. If not you know, when price does not break the high it will break the low.
Blessings, T
USD/JPY Bullish Outlook – Targeting Key Resistance at 150.155USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Bullish Outlook Toward Resistance
Chart Insights:
The price is currently in a recovery phase after a significant drop.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone has been identified, suggesting a potential pullback before further movement.
The target point aligns with the resistance level around 150.155, which acts as a key supply zone.
Potential Scenario:
Price may retrace into the FVG zone around 148.704 – 148.956.
A bullish rebound from this level could drive price toward the resistance at 150.155.
If price reaches the resistance level, further rejection or continuation will depend on market conditions.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 148.167 – 148.315
FVG Area: 148.704 – 148.956
Resistance Zone: 150.007 – 150.155 (Target area)
Conclusion:
The current structure suggests a bullish bias if price respects the FVG zone for a push higher. However, a break below the FVG could signal further downside movement
USD/JPY Breakout Trade Setup – Bullish Potential Ahead!📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair has been in a downtrend 📉 since early February, following the descending trendline.
Now, price is breaking out above the trendline 📈, indicating a potential reversal or bullish move.
📊 Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Around 149.731 (current price)
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 150.170 (First resistance)
🎯 TP2: 151.028 (Stronger resistance)
🚀 Final Target: 152.309 - 152.319 (Main bullish goal)
🔹 Stop Loss: 148.567 - 148.549 (Below recent support) ❌
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Good reward-to-risk setup since stop-loss is tight, but the upside potential is higher.
USD/JPY Breakout Trade Setup – Bullish Potential Ahead!📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair has been in a downtrend 📉 since early February, following the descending trendline.
Now, price is breaking out above the trendline 📈, indicating a potential reversal or bullish move.
📊 Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Around 149.731 (current price)
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 150.170 (First resistance)
🎯 TP2: 151.028 (Stronger resistance)
🚀 Final Target: 152.309 - 152.319 (Main bullish goal)
🔹 Stop Loss: 148.567 - 148.549 (Below recent support) ❌
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Good reward-to-risk setup since stop-loss is tight, but the upside potential is higher.
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
USDJPY - POTENTIAL REVERSAL FROM KEY SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 147.82
Following a significant decline in USDJPY, The price is approaching a strong support zone which is held since July 2024. The fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from Trump's tariffs & US economic factors. Given the recent price action near support zone 148.00 - 147.00, there is a possibility that the pair could rebound from this level. The market’s current hesitation near this support zone suggests that the bulls may be preparing to defend this area.
The aggressive sell-off in US dollar, while exerting downward pressure, is also at oversold levels & creating a scenario where a potential reversal could take place, supported by the decline of Japanese Yen. Should the price manage to hold above the 147.20 support, it could signal the reversal.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing global and local forex trends, the preference is to take a long position.
Resistance levels: 148.85, 150.00
Support levels: 147.25, 146.90
At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach to 150.00 & 152.15 levels.
Looking for sellside in USDJPY...Hello traders!
Yen gave the draw targets as I had previously outlined on X and TradingView & now we're looking for sellside.
As long as price is held below the daily ifvg, I'm bearish.
Already executed a scalp today on the 15 seconds chart in alignment with the said draw.
Not financial advice.
GLGT.
USDJPY - A REBOUND FOLLOWING DOLLAR STRENGTHSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 150.25
USDJPY pair is experiencing an upward movement in line with the performance of the US dollar. A temporary reversal is currently unfolding, driven by domestic political and economic factors in the United States.
The price is consolidating in the range of 149.40 - 148.60 after a significant decline. This long-term consolidation is creating a reversal pattern, further supported by the reversal and strengthening of the US dollar. Consequently, the Japanese yen is losing ground.
Key resistance is located at 150.30, should the bulls manage to maintain support above this level, there is potential for further price appreciation toward trend resistance in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 150.30, 150.95
Support levels: 149.40, 149.15
At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach 152.30
USDJPY - RETEST OF RESISTANCE BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - USDJPY
The USD/JPY pair has disrupted the previous bullish market structure, with the U.S. dollar currently in a correction phase, which positively impacts the market. The pair is approaching a retest of the trendline that was recently broken, following a strong impulse move.
On Thursday, the Japanese yen reached a 10-week high, causing the USDJPY pair to decline to 149.50 This move is attributed to increased demand for safe-haven assets amidst escalating trade tensions, driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies. Additionally, the yen has gained further strength, bolstered by market expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, making the currency more attractive to investors.
At present, attention is focused on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance zone at 150.95, as well as the previously broken upward support level.
Key Support Levels: 149.50, 148.64
Key Resistance Levels: 150.95, 151.40
It is likely that the price will first test the previously broken support zone, now acting as resistance between 150.95 and 151.40, before any potential decline. A false breakout of these critical Fibonacci zones could lead to further downward movement in the pair.
USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:9 RISK REWARD USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:9 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
USDJPY running for buystops... Hello traders!
One of the models I use got triggered on the 1h timeframe once the breaker failed. Expected draw and everything else mentioned on the chart pretty clearly.
I expect the market to reach the buystops resting at 150.739 , and expect the market to tap into the daily ifvg and the daily sibi .
For the daily -ifvg to act as proper inversion, I don't expect teh market to trade above the CE of the gap and hence the expected target of 150.810 .
Not financial advice.
GLGT.
USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
USDJPY - TRADING AT SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY
USDJPY has encountered support and appears to have staged a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the prevailing local trend. At present, the dollar is strengthening, which could present an opportunity for the currency pair to appreciate. The price is consolidating in a strong support zone, and the fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from U.S. economic factors. Meanwhile, the prospect of interest rate hikes in Japan has largely been disregarded, with market participants focusing more on economic data from the West.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing upward global and local trends, the preference is to take a long position. Should the currency pair manage to secure a close above the 151.90 - 151.95 range, we can anticipate further upward movement towards the target levels shown on the chart in both the short and medium terms.
Resistance levels: 151.95, 153.70, 154.00
Support levels: 151.00, 149.52
However, if the dollar continues its correction and the bulls fail to maintain the false support breakdown, a price return to 150.95 could trigger a support break, leading to a potential decline towards 148.60
USDJPY TRADE IDEA we can look for bearish move if price rejectedUSDJPY TRADE IDEA we can look for bearish move if price rejected from resistance level
This week trend is bearish in daily timeframe but there is a problem before taking a trade i look for a daily candlestick in red or bearish engulfing
USD/JPY Market Update: Support Holds and Resistance Levels AheadUSD/JPY has held firm at the support level and is now returning to a buy zone. Currently, the market is at 156.500, with the next resistance level set at 159.000.
I’ve explained the market clearly in my chart analysis for easier understanding.
If anyone has questions, feel free to ask in the comments or send me a message in my inbox.
Thank you for your support—like, comment, and follow for more updates!
USDJPY - RETEST OF SUPPORT BREAKDOWN. SELLING AHEAD?Symbol - USDJPY
USDJPY is unable to maintain its uptrend for the time being. Speculation about potential actions from the Bank of Japan is expected to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen. The 158.45 level represents a significant resistance formed by bears, who are still exerting pressure on the market. This week, we anticipate active measures from the Bank of Japan, particularly an interest rate hike. While such actions are relatively rare, they could provide strong support for the currency pair. If Japan proceeds with this move, the pair may continue its correction from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci levels. In this case, key targets could include the zones at 153.25 and 152
Resistance levels: 156.55, 157.22
Support level: 155
A price drop below 155 could trigger aggressive selling. The rate decision in Japan is set for Friday, and until then, the price may remain in a consolidation phase.
USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD USDJPYSHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
USD/JPY Rebounds as JPY Weakens Amid Market OptimismThe Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened after reaching a one-month high against the US Dollar and remained steady during the first European trading session on Tuesday. A general positive sentiment in the stock markets turned out to be the main factor weakening the safe-haven JPY. This, along with a modest recovery of the US Dollar (USD) from its two-week lows, helped the USD/JPY pair rise back above the 155.00 level.
However, any significant depreciation of JPY seems to be limited due to growing bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates later this week. Furthermore, comments from US President Donald Trump on tariffs have sparked concerns about a trade war, along with declining US Treasury yields, which may help limit the losses for JPY. Traders may also choose to wait for the important two-day BoJ meeting starting on Thursday.
JPY eased slightly ahead of Trump's inaugurationThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fluctuated between small losses and slight gains against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair trying to stabilize around the 156.15-156.20 range during the early European trading session on Monday. Core machinery orders in Japan increased for the second consecutive month, signaling further recovery in capital spending. This, along with bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates later this week, provided a modest boost for the JPY.
Additionally, a fresh round of US dollar (USD) selling contributed to the day’s decline in USD/JPY. However, a generally positive risk tone and the uncertainty surrounding the trade policy of incoming US President Donald Trump limited any significant upward movement for the safe-haven JPY. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated BoJ two-day policy meeting starting on Thursday.
From a technical perspective, Friday’s recovery from the support level marked by the lower boundary of the long-standing uptrend channel is slowing down near the 156.55-156.60 region. This area now serves as the immediate resistance, and a new short-sell position could allow the USD/JPY pair to reclaim the round number of 157.00.
USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations:
1. Trendline Break:
- A potential break below the upward trendline indicates bearish momentum.
2. Supply Zone:
- The price is trading within a highlighted supply zone.
3. Short Trade Setup:
- A short position will be active after breakdown, with the following targets and stop-loss:
- Stop-Loss: Above 157.440
- Target 1: 156.76
- Target 2: 156.493
- Target 3: 156.100
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Trading Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation:
- If the price sustains below 157.030, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate toward 156.100.
2. Invalidation of Bearish Setup:
- A move above 157.6 would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
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Trading Plan:
- Entry (Sell): Below 157.030, targeting 156.810, 156.500, and 156.090.
- **Stop-Loss**: Above **157.436**.
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This trade setup is in line with bearish market structure, but closely monitor price action around support levels and trailing stop-loss adjustments as the trade progresses.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.