USDJPY – Rebounding from Support after Positive PMI DataIn the latest session, USDJPY is gradually regaining its upward momentum after the US released a better-than-expected manufacturing PMI. The data suggests that the US industrial sector remains strong, reducing pressure on the Fed to ease policy. As a result, the US dollar benefited, lifting USDJPY off its recent technical bottom.
On the H4 chart, the pair is trading within a sideways range between 142.200 and 144.800. Each time it approaches the 142.200 level, buying pressure returns, forming a solid support zone. Although EMA 34 and EMA 89 are slightly sloping downward, the signals are not strong enough to break the current accumulation structure.
Expected scenario: if the price continues to hold above the 142.200 support zone and forms a solid accumulation pattern, USDJPY is likely to bounce toward the 144.800 area – which may act as the next short-term resistance. On the contrary, if the support breaks, the structure could shift into a more bearish outlook.
USDJPY
KEY SUPPORT IN FOCUS - CAN USDJPY HOLD THE LINE?Symbol - USDJPY
USDJPY is approaching a critical support level amid a prevailing local downtrend. Downward pressure on the US dollar continues to intensify, reinforcing the bearish momentum in the pair.
The US dollar index has begun to decline, which is mirrored in the weakening of USDJPY. Selling pressure is gaining momentum, and a local downtrend is clearly forming. The pair is currently testing key support at 144.82. A confirmed break below this level would likely pave the way toward lower support zones at 143.44 and 142.35, Sustained price action below 144.82 may act as a trigger for an extended sell-off.
Key Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07
Key Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35
Both global and local trends remain bearish. The ongoing decline in the dollar may serve as an additional resistance factor, contributing to further downward momentum. A break and consolidation below the 144.82 support level would likely confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
USD/JPY Bullish Setup – Demand Zone Buy Opportunity Toward 151.5🔍 Chart Overview (4H Timeframe):
Currency Pair: USD/JPY
Trend: 📈 Uptrend
EMA 70: 🔴 (144.776) – Price is trading above it = Bullish Bias
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🟦 Demand Zone
📌 Zone: 144.804 – 146.324
💡 What it means: Strong buying interest expected here
🟢 Support line + EMA = Confluence zone!
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✅ Entry Point:
📍 Between: 146.324 – 146.423
🎯 Best area for long (buy) position
📊 Wait for a pullback to this area before entering
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❌ Stop Loss:
📉 Below demand zone
🔻 Range: 144.705 – 144.776
🛡️ Helps protect against unexpected drop
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🎯 Target Point:
📈 151.500
🟩 Big reward area
🔥 Previous resistance zone = Ideal profit-taking point
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🧭 Summary:
✅ Entry: 146.324
❌ Stop: 144.776
🎯 Target: 151.500
Risk-to-Reward: Excellent!
USD/JPY4H Analysis:Demand Zone ReTest Before Bullish Continuatio1. Trend Channel
🔼 Uptrend: The pair is moving inside an ascending channel.
▪️ Support: Lower boundary of the channel.
▪️ Resistance: Upper boundary of the channel.
2. Recent Price Action
🔴 Pullback: After reaching the top at 146.199, price is retracing.
📉 Price is now heading toward the Demand Zone.
3. Demand Zone
🟦 Demand Zone (142.405 – 143.180):
This zone could act as a strong support
Buyers might step in here
Watch for bullish patterns or rejections around this area
4. EMA 70
📏 EMA 70 (143.568) is slightly below current price (143.949) — this may offer temporary support/resistance.
5. Target
🎯 Target Point: 146.194
If price bounces from demand zone, this is the next bullish target.
Possible Scenario
1. 🔽 Price dips into the Demand Zone
2. 🟢 Bullish bounce → Confirm with candlestick signals
3. 🚀 Upside move targeting 146.194
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical Analysis USD/JPY suggests a bullish outlook based on the following key technical components:
1. Buying Zone: The chart identifies a green rectangular area labeled "BUYING ZONE" just above the 200 EMA (blue line at 144.079). This implies that price retracement into this zone could be an opportunity to go long (buy).
2. Support & Resistance:
Support Level: Clearly marked around 143.00, showing a previous demand area.
Resistance Level: Around the 145.800–146.000 region, price previously rejected here.
3. Bullish Pattern: The curved arrow suggests the formation of a bullish continuation pattern (possibly a cup & handle or flag), with the expectation of a breakout toward the upside.
4. Target Point: The target is projected at 148.153, implying a potential move of approximately 291.7 pips from the buying zone—suggesting a favorable risk-reward ratio.
5. RSI Indicator: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently around 55, not in the overbought zone, indicating more room for upside movement.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary of Idea:
Strategy: Buy near 145.00–145.20 (Buying Zone).
Stop Loss: Just below the 200 EMA or the lower bound of the green zone.
Take Profit: Near the 148.153 target.
Confirmation: Wait for bullish confirmation/candlestick reversal in the buying zone.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) bearish Technical AnalysisHELLO 👋 Dear friend USD JPY Traders
Technical Analysis represents a bearish analysis setup on the USD/JPY 1-hour timeframe, with the following key elements:
1. Ascending Channel: Price was previously moving inside an ascending channel, indicating bullish momentum.
2. CHoCH (Change of Character): A break below the channel support and structure level, marked as a change in market direction (from bullish to bearish).
3. Support Level: The price is currently testing a support zone around 142.400. The annotation suggests, "IF BREAK OUT", meaning a break below this support could trigger further downside.
4. Bearish Target: If support breaks, the projection is for the price to drop to the 139.872 zone, marked as "POINT".
5. EMA Bearish Crossover: The 50 EMA (red) has crossed below the 200 EMA (blue), adding confluence to the bearish bias.
Idea Summary:
Short Bias: Upon confirmation of the support level break (below 142.400).
Target: Around 139.872.
Confirmation: Look for bearish price action or retest/rejection from the support-turned-resistance area.
USD/JPY) Bullish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and the idea behind the analysis:
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1. Ascending Channel Formation
The price is trading within an ascending channel, suggesting a controlled uptrend.
Higher highs and higher lows confirm the trend structure.
2. Key Support and Fair Value Gap (FVG)
There’s a well-identified support level where price has bounced before (highlighted in yellow).
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone is marked slightly above the support level, which could act as a short-term demand area.
Price is currently pulling back into this zone, potentially setting up a buying opportunity.
3. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (~143.78) is acting as dynamic support just below the current price.
If price drops further, this level may offer strong technical support.
4. RSI Momentum
RSI is above 50 (currently 56.37), supporting the bullish trend and showing room for continued upside.
5. Target Point
The chart anticipates a bounce off the support/FVG zone and a rally toward the upper boundary of the channel, targeting 147.153.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a bullish continuation setup within an uptrend channel. The analyst expects a potential long entry around the FVG/support zone, with a target at the channel top (147.15). Confluence from the EMA 200, RSI, and previous structure supports this bullish bias.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY Bearish Breakdown: Trendline Breach and Retest TargetingChart Breakdown:
1. Rising Channel
⬆️ Uptrend inside a channel marked by a support line
Price moved up steadily within the boundaries
Support line = channel bottom (🔵 Blue line)
2. Trendline Breakout
⚠️ Bearish breakout occurred when price broke below the support
This is a sell signal as it invalidates the upward trend.
3. Retest Zone (Resistance)
After the breakout, price came back to test the previous support — now resistance
🔄 Retest happened inside the blue box zone
This zone is crucial — if price fails here, it confirms resistance.
4. EMA 70 (Exponential Moving Average)
🔴 Red curve = EMA 70, currently above price
This suggests downward momentum is building.
5. Target Point
🎯 Target = 139.869
Based on projected move from the breakout
🔽 Bearish target shown by vertical arrow.
Summary :
Trendline break: ✂️⬇️
Retest at resistance: 🔄❌
EMA direction: 🔴↘️
Final target: 🎯139.869
Current mood: 🐻 Bearish Bias
"USD/JPY Supply Zone Short Setup | High R:R Trade Plan (1H Chart📉 Short (Sell) Setup
🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
Marked in the blue box
⚠️ Price may reverse here
Sellers dominated this area before.
🔄 Expected behavior:
Price goes up to the zone and then drops
➡️🔼🔽
🔹 Entry Point: 142.841
✍️ Enter a sell trade here
Right in the supply zone.
🔴 Stop Loss: 143.371
⛔ Placed above the supply zone
To avoid stop hunts.
🟣 Target Point: 140.000
🎯 Take profit here
Strong support level
Good place to close the trade.
⚖️ Risk to Reward Ratio
❗ Risk: ~53 pips
✅ Reward: ~284 pips
⭐ R:R = 1:5.4 – Excellent setup!
📈 EMA (7)
Current price is below the EMA
Confirms bearish bias
🧭 Used as a trend guide.
Summary
🚨 Plan:
Wait for price to enter the supply zone
Enter a sell at 142.841
SL at 143.371 ⬆️
TP at 140.000 ⬇️
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Indicators Used:
EMA (30-period) – Red line
EMA (200-period) – Blue line
Chart Features:
Downward channel (declining trendline)
Identified entry point, stop loss, and target
Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple
🟢 Trade Idea Summary:
🔹Entry Point: 143.126
🔹Stop Loss: 142.702
🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249
🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis:
✅ Bullish Breakout Signal
Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure.
The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move.
📈 Moving Average Analysis
EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum.
EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case.
🔁 Support and Resistance
Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone).
Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250.
🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion:
Go Long at or near 143.126
Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702
Target 148.249 for profit
Reasoning:
This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds.
⚠️ Watch For:
Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level
Increased buying volume to confirm breakout
Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
USD/JPY Bearish Trade Setup – SBR + DBD Zone Rejection📉 Trend Analysis:
🔴 Downtrend confirmed by lower highs and lower lows.
📉 Descending trendline indicates continuous bearish pressure.
🔹 Key Levels & Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone (SBR + DBD) – 144.123 📍 (Sell Entry Point)
🟠 Stop Loss – 145.209 🚫 (Above resistance to avoid fake breakouts)
🟢 Target Point – 139.694 🎯 (Strong support area)
🏹 Expected Price Action:
🔸 Scenario:
🔺 Price moves up toward the resistance zone (🔵 SBR + DBD Zone)
🔻 Bears take control (Rejection expected)
⚡ Drop towards target at 139.694
📊 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry – Wait for rejection at 144.123 (🔵)
✅ Stop Loss – Keep at 145.209 (🛑🔺)
✅ Take Profit – Aim for 139.694 (✅🎯)
💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Good (More reward than risk)
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart is an analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a possible bullish scenario. Here’s a breakdown of the idea:
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Key Points of the Analysis:
1. Support Level & Change of Character (ChoCH):
Price found strong support around 144.556.
A ChoCH (Change of Character) is noted, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend.
2. Bullish Reversal Setup:
The price is forming higher lows, suggesting the start of a "New Up Trend".
There's a clear zig-zag bullish projection, suggesting potential long opportunities.
3. Target Zones:
The first target point is in the range of 149.692 – 150.493.
This area is also marked with a resistance zone, making it a logical TP (Take Profit) level.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
The risk is around -3.75% (-564.8 pips), and the reward is around +3.94% (+569.2 pips), suggesting a 1:1.05 R/R ratio.
5. RSI Indicator (Below):
RSI is showing a bullish divergence (price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows).
This divergence supports the idea of a possible bullish reversal.
6. 200 EMA:
The 200 EMA is at 148.767, acting as a dynamic resistance. Price may react around that level before hitting the final target zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This analysis suggests a potential long trade setup on USD/JPY based on:
A support zone,
Bullish RSI divergence,
Market structure shift (ChoCH),
And projected movement toward 149.692–150.493.
Idea: Buy near the support zone (~144.556) and target the resistance zone (~150.493) while managing risk carefully.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart is for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish trade setup. Let’s break down the idea
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Key Observations:
1. Current Price:
USD/JPY is trading around 146.281.
2. Overall Bias:
Bullish setup expecting a bounce from demand into a higher target zone.
3. EMA 200:
Price is currently below the 200 EMA (147.942), which usually suggests a bearish trend — but this setup is aiming for a short-term bullish retracement.
4. Demand Zone (Buy Area):
Marked in yellow between 145.822 and slightly above.
Labeled as "FVG orders" (Fair Value Gap), suggesting institutional interest or imbalance fill.
5. Trendline Support:
The price is approaching a rising trendline, adding confluence for a potential bounce.
6. Expected Move:
Price is expected to bounce from the demand zone, form a higher low, and then move up toward the target zone at 148.221.
Two upside targets are drawn:
First Move: ~1.12% (30.6 pips)
Full Target: ~1.76% (256.1 pips)
Mr SMC Trading point
7. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 37.66, nearing oversold territory, supporting a bullish reversal idea.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around 145.822 (fair value gap & trendline support)
Target Zone: 148.221
Stop Loss: Likely just below the demand zone or trendline
Confluence Factors:
Trendline support
RSI nearing oversold
Fair value gap zone
EMA 200 overhead (target acts as resistance)
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Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow
USD/JPY 4H Chart Analysis:Trend Break & Support-Based Long Setup1. Previous Uptrend Channel
📈
Price moved in a rising channel
Lower trendline acted as support ✅
Then came the trend line break ⚠️ — signal of trend reversal
2. Major Drop
🔻💥
After breaking support, the price fell sharply
Strong bearish momentum took over
Sellers dominated the market
3. Support Zone Identified
🟦 Support Box (146.110 - 145.156)
Buyers stepped in at this level
Possible bounce or consolidation
Price currently at 147.014 — just above support
4. Trade Setup Idea
🛒 Buy Opportunity (if price holds support)
📌 Entry Zone: Around 146.110
🎯 Target: 150.260
🛑 Stop Loss: 145.156
📊 Risk:Reward = ~1:2 — solid R:R setup!
5. Indicators & Confirmations
🟠 DEMA (9): Sitting at 146.110 — aligns with support!
✅ Extra confluence for the bounce!
Summary
If price holds above support:
Buyers might push toward 150.260
If it breaks below 145.156:
Sellers may regain control
USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN – SAFE HAVEN YEN STRENGTHENS AS GLOBAL MARKETS REACT
After the latest U.S. tariff announcement, global financial markets went into risk-off mode, with U.S. Treasury yields dropping sharply. As investor fear rises, money quickly rotates into safe-haven assets — and the Japanese Yen is taking the spotlight.
🔻 USD/JPY just hit its lowest level in over 3 weeks, reflecting both global sentiment shifts and domestic tailwinds for the Yen.
🔍 What's Fueling Yen Strength?
Risk-off sentiment:
Global equities declined after the U.S. tariff update. Investors are fleeing risky assets, favoring traditional safe havens like the Yen.
Yield dynamics:
U.S. bond yields fell, dragging the dollar down.
If the Fed begins cutting rates to counteract trade impacts, it would further narrow the U.S.–Japan yield gap, supporting JPY.
BoJ policy outlook turning hawkish:
With inflation on the rise, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue rate hikes, reinforcing the Yen’s appeal.
Japan’s political stance:
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced intentions to revisit tariff policy negotiations with the U.S., potentially shaping Japan’s economic roadmap and investor confidence.
📈 Market Outlook:
If trade tensions persist and the Fed moves toward rate cuts, we could see further downside on USD/JPY, with JPY demand accelerating in both fundamental and technical terms.
This setup offers key opportunities for traders watching:
Safe-haven flow dynamics
Central bank divergence (Fed vs BoJ)
Potential macro breakout zones on JPY crosses
💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY heading into the next Fed and BoJ meetings?
Drop a comment and let’s discuss the bias!
✍️ Follow @MoneyMarketFlow for daily macro + technical insights across majors and metals.
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal: Order Block & EMA 200 TargetSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. The key insights from this analysis are:
1. Order Block & Potential Reversal
The price has dropped significantly and reached a highlighted order block zone (a key demand area).
A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, indicating a possible bullish reversal.
2. Expected Bullish Movement
The price is expected to bounce from the order block, creating a bullish structure.
The projected move suggests a retracement toward a resistance zone, which aligns with previous price action.
Mr SMC Trading point
3. Target Zone & EMA 200
The target zone is around 148.946 - 149.178, aligning with the 200 EMA, a significant resistance level.
4. RSI Indicator
The RSI is currently low (~38.93), indicating potential for a reversal as the market may be oversold.
Conclusion
The chart suggests a bullish retracement after the recent drop, targeting the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. However, confirmation is needed (e.g., bullish price action, volume increase) before taking a trade. Keep an eye on fundamental news that may impact USD/JPY volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USDJPY- ATTEMPTING TREND REVERSALSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 148.87
The USDJPY is currently in a corrective phase, retesting the previously breached downtrend boundary. The market is attempting to break this trend amidst a broader correction of the US dollar.
The dollar is facing significant challenges due to various economic and geopolitical factors in the United States, coupled with persistently high inflation. In light of these conditions, the US dollar Index may continue to experience a deeper correction, as expectations for interest rate cuts could be extended, potentially exerting further pressure on the markets.
Earlier, the currency pair attempted to overcome the resistance of the downtrend and succeeded, yet this move alone is insufficient to confirm a trend reversal; additional confirmation is required.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls manage to maintain support above the 148.92 - 149.5 range, there is a promising opportunity for a potential trend reversal. A move towards the 150.16 resistance level, followed by a breakout and sustained price action above this level, would serve as confirmation of the trend shift.
USDJPYA textbook setup. As you can see price came int the 4H Demand zone. It made push down and 15min trading range. Now waiting for the high of that range to be taken out and price to sustain above for a while and then return back and continue higher.
If you look on 5min, price already provided intraday setup to the left but to get odds into my favour I waut for 15min BOS. Lets wait and see what happens. If not you know, when price does not break the high it will break the low.
Blessings, T
USD/JPY Bullish Outlook – Targeting Key Resistance at 150.155USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Bullish Outlook Toward Resistance
Chart Insights:
The price is currently in a recovery phase after a significant drop.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone has been identified, suggesting a potential pullback before further movement.
The target point aligns with the resistance level around 150.155, which acts as a key supply zone.
Potential Scenario:
Price may retrace into the FVG zone around 148.704 – 148.956.
A bullish rebound from this level could drive price toward the resistance at 150.155.
If price reaches the resistance level, further rejection or continuation will depend on market conditions.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 148.167 – 148.315
FVG Area: 148.704 – 148.956
Resistance Zone: 150.007 – 150.155 (Target area)
Conclusion:
The current structure suggests a bullish bias if price respects the FVG zone for a push higher. However, a break below the FVG could signal further downside movement
USD/JPY Breakout Trade Setup – Bullish Potential Ahead!📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair has been in a downtrend 📉 since early February, following the descending trendline.
Now, price is breaking out above the trendline 📈, indicating a potential reversal or bullish move.
📊 Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Around 149.731 (current price)
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 150.170 (First resistance)
🎯 TP2: 151.028 (Stronger resistance)
🚀 Final Target: 152.309 - 152.319 (Main bullish goal)
🔹 Stop Loss: 148.567 - 148.549 (Below recent support) ❌
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Good reward-to-risk setup since stop-loss is tight, but the upside potential is higher.
USD/JPY Breakout Trade Setup – Bullish Potential Ahead!📉 Trend Analysis:
The pair has been in a downtrend 📉 since early February, following the descending trendline.
Now, price is breaking out above the trendline 📈, indicating a potential reversal or bullish move.
📊 Trade Setup:
🔹 Entry: Around 149.731 (current price)
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 150.170 (First resistance)
🎯 TP2: 151.028 (Stronger resistance)
🚀 Final Target: 152.309 - 152.319 (Main bullish goal)
🔹 Stop Loss: 148.567 - 148.549 (Below recent support) ❌
⚖ Risk-Reward Ratio:
✅ Good reward-to-risk setup since stop-loss is tight, but the upside potential is higher.
USDJPY EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Resistance Level: The price is testing a key resistance zone around 150.026, where selling pressure could emerge.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently above both the 30 EMA (149.639, red) and 200 EMA (149.339, blue), indicating an overall bullish trend.
Projected Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance zone could lead to a pullback towards the 149.117 support level, aligning with the potential short-term bearish scenario.
If price fails to break above the resistance and starts forming lower highs, a move towards the target point at 149.117 could unfold.
USDJPY - POTENTIAL REVERSAL FROM KEY SUPPORT LEVELSSymbol - USDJPY
CMP - 147.82
Following a significant decline in USDJPY, The price is approaching a strong support zone which is held since July 2024. The fundamental environment has been volatile recently, with a predominant influence from Trump's tariffs & US economic factors. Given the recent price action near support zone 148.00 - 147.00, there is a possibility that the pair could rebound from this level. The market’s current hesitation near this support zone suggests that the bulls may be preparing to defend this area.
The aggressive sell-off in US dollar, while exerting downward pressure, is also at oversold levels & creating a scenario where a potential reversal could take place, supported by the decline of Japanese Yen. Should the price manage to hold above the 147.20 support, it could signal the reversal.
From a technical perspective, there are two potential triggers on the chart: one signaling a buy and the other signaling a sell. However, given the prevailing global and local forex trends, the preference is to take a long position.
Resistance levels: 148.85, 150.00
Support levels: 147.25, 146.90
At present, the market is in a downtrend, with potential for a counter-trend correction. The direction of the price will depend on the US dollar's performance and upcoming economic news. If the outcome is favorable, the price could potentially reach to 150.00 & 152.15 levels.






















