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USDJPY

USDJPY - RETEST OF SUPPORT BREAKDOWN. SELLING AHEAD?Symbol - USDJPY USDJPY is unable to maintain its uptrend for the time being. Speculation about potential actions from the Bank of Japan is expected to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen. The 158.45 level represents a significant resistance formed by bears, who are still exerting pressure on the market. This week, we anticipate active measures from the Bank of Japan, particularly an interest rate hike. While such actions are relatively rare, they could provide strong support for the currency pair. If Japan proceeds with this move, the pair may continue its correction from the 0.5 - 0.7 Fibonacci levels. In this case, key targets could include the zones at 153.25 and 152 Resistance levels: 156.55, 157.22 Support level: 155 A price drop below 155 could trigger aggressive selling. The rate decision in Japan is set for Friday, and until then, the price may remain in a consolidation phase.
Short
by akshit_official
USDJPY SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD USDJPYSHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:5 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
Long
by tradergyan01
USD/JPY Rebounds as JPY Weakens Amid Market OptimismThe Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened after reaching a one-month high against the US Dollar and remained steady during the first European trading session on Tuesday. A general positive sentiment in the stock markets turned out to be the main factor weakening the safe-haven JPY. This, along with a modest recovery of the US Dollar (USD) from its two-week lows, helped the USD/JPY pair rise back above the 155.00 level. However, any significant depreciation of JPY seems to be limited due to growing bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates later this week. Furthermore, comments from US President Donald Trump on tariffs have sparked concerns about a trade war, along with declining US Treasury yields, which may help limit the losses for JPY. Traders may also choose to wait for the important two-day BoJ meeting starting on Thursday.
TFEX:USDJPY1!
by Brigi_ta
JPY eased slightly ahead of Trump's inaugurationThe Japanese Yen (JPY) fluctuated between small losses and slight gains against the US dollar, with the USD/JPY pair trying to stabilize around the 156.15-156.20 range during the early European trading session on Monday. Core machinery orders in Japan increased for the second consecutive month, signaling further recovery in capital spending. This, along with bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates later this week, provided a modest boost for the JPY. Additionally, a fresh round of US dollar (USD) selling contributed to the day’s decline in USD/JPY. However, a generally positive risk tone and the uncertainty surrounding the trade policy of incoming US President Donald Trump limited any significant upward movement for the safe-haven JPY. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated BoJ two-day policy meeting starting on Thursday. From a technical perspective, Friday’s recovery from the support level marked by the lower boundary of the long-standing uptrend channel is slowing down near the 156.55-156.60 region. This area now serves as the immediate resistance, and a new short-sell position could allow the USD/JPY pair to reclaim the round number of 157.00.
TFEX:USDJPY1!
by Brigi_ta
USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations: 1. Trendline Break: - A potential break below the upward trendline indicates bearish momentum. 2. Supply Zone: - The price is trading within a highlighted supply zone. 3. Short Trade Setup: - A short position will be active after breakdown, with the following targets and stop-loss: - Stop-Loss: Above 157.440 - Target 1: 156.76 - Target 2: 156.493 - Target 3: 156.100 --- Trading Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation: - If the price sustains below 157.030, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate toward 156.100. 2. Invalidation of Bearish Setup: - A move above 157.6 would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a potential bullish reversal. --- Trading Plan: - Entry (Sell): Below 157.030, targeting 156.810, 156.500, and 156.090. - **Stop-Loss**: Above **157.436**. --- This trade setup is in line with bearish market structure, but closely monitor price action around support levels and trailing stop-loss adjustments as the trade progresses. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
Short
by PhD_Swingtrader
USDJPY: Approaching Key Support at 150.000USDJPY is trading around 150.038, testing the critical support level at 150.000 after a sharp decline. The EMA 34 (152.215) and EMA 89 (150.899) act as strong resistance, limiting recovery momentum. If this support level is breached, the price may continue to drop toward the 148.000 zone, a significant previous low. Conversely, if the 150.000 level holds and the pair breaks above the EMA 34, USDJPY could target the 152.000 resistance level. News of the ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced safe-haven demand, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen, while the US Dollar remains strong due to high US Treasury yields. Traders should closely monitor these levels to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Long
by Vanna-Cris
Selling Pressure at Resistance, Downtrend Forecasting AheadThe 4-hour chart of USD/JPY shows a clear bearish pattern after the price failed to break above a key resistance level around 152.000. The slight bounce we saw recently may have been a weak attempt to retest this level, but with the lack of strong buying momentum, the price seems to be preparing for a deeper decline. The rebound and reaction at this resistance area is typical of a distribution market, where previous buyers may be looking to cut their losses, and new sellers are entering the market. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that the downtrend may continue. I appreciate the retest of the resistance level and see this as an opportunity to consider short positions. If the price breaks below the current support around 150,280, this could initiate a new bearish phase, towards the next support level around 149,000.
by Maria_aaa
USDJPY Awaits a Breakout at 155.878 USDJPY is currently trading in a short-term uptrend but is being held back by a descending trendline and the resistance level at 155.878. After bouncing from the strong support at 153.350, the price is now fluctuating around EMA 34 (154.850) and EMA 89 (153.995), reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Rising U.S. bond yields and the Bank of Japan's dovish policies continue to support the USD, while the Japanese Yen remains under pressure. The RSI at a neutral level of 51.52 indicates unclear market momentum. If the price breaks above 155.878, the uptrend could strengthen with a target near 157.000. Traders should closely monitor key levels to make informed decisions.
Long
by Vanna-Cris
USDJPY: Uptrend Faces Challenges at 156.65 ResistanceUSDJPY is currently trading at 155.68, reflecting a significant upward momentum in recent sessions. After successfully testing the strong support area at 153.40—a confluence of the 89 EMA and an ascending trendline—the pair surged sharply toward the key resistance zone at 156.65. However, the 156.65 – 157.00 zone is considered a "pressure area," with the potential to trigger a short-term correction. If the price fails to break above this resistance, USDJPY could pull back to test support at 154.70 or even deeper at 153.40. On the news front, the USD remains strong, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its accommodative policy. Investors should pay close attention to key U.S. economic data, such as PMI figures and speeches from Fed officials this week, as these factors will strongly influence USDJPY's price action. Strategy: Monitor price reactions at the 156.65 resistance zone. A breakout could target 157.50, while rejection at this level increases the likelihood of a pullback toward support levels.
by Vanna-Cris
1
USD/JPY Slight Correction After UptrendUSD/JPY is trending around 155, after a slight decline from the peak near 155.5. On the H4 chart, the price is testing the EMA 34, while the EMA 89 provides strong support at 154.0. The nearest resistance is at 155.5, if broken, the price may continue to increase to the 156 area. On the contrary, if strong selling pressure causes the price to break the EMA 34, the target will be the 154.0 - 153.8 area. Personal opinion: Currently, USD/JPY is in a state of hesitation, due to the lack of new momentum in the market. I expect the price to accumulate around this area before a clear breakout. Traders should monitor US economic data or any developments in bond yields to determine the next trend.
by Maria_aaa
USDJPY: Near Resistance 156.70, Consolidation Awaits DirectionUSDJPY is currently trading around 154.62, approaching the key resistance level of 156.70 after recovering from strong support at 152.24. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are near the current price, acting as dynamic resistance and hindering further upward momentum. The RSI indicator is hovering at a neutral level of 48, indicating a consolidating market with no clear trend. If the price fails to break through the resistance at 156.70, it is likely to pull back to the support levels at 153.70 or even 152.24. The primary driver of USDJPY's trend is the strengthening USD, supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, along with easing signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, any significant economic data from the US, particularly inflation figures or statements from the Fed, could strongly influence price action this week.
Short
by Vanna-Cris
Trend continuation or correction?Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are sloping up, creating a strong uptrend support structure. This is a positive signal for buyers. The price is consolidating around the 154.50 - 155.00 area, close to the psychological resistance. The recent upward momentum is still maintained, but there are signs of slowing down. USD/JPY is still receiving support from US bond yields, as the 10-year yield remains high. This increases the strength of the USD. However, profit-taking pressure may occur if USD/JPY fails to break above the current resistance zone. Personal opinion: If the price breaks above 155.00, USD/JPY may extend its upward momentum, heading towards 156.00. However, if strong selling pressure appears, the price may adjust to the support zone of 154.00 - 153.50 before deciding on the trend.
by Maria_aaa
Bullish momentum stalls amid resistanceUSD/JPY is currently trading around 154.57 after a strong rally. It seems that the bulls have run into pressure at the 155.00 resistance zone, while technical and market sentiment factors are also influencing the next direction of the pair. Technical analysis: Nearest resistance: 155.00 - a strong psychological resistance zone where the price is struggling to overcome. Nearest support: 154.00 - a key support level, if broken, the price could fall further to 153.00. EMA 34 and EMA 89: The price is trading around EMA 34 (short-term support), but is still above EMA 89, suggesting that the medium-term uptrend is still in place. Price pattern: There are signs of a pause, with the possibility of forming a "Pullback" pattern or a slight reversal before continuing the main trend. Personal opinion: I see the market facing a dilemma between buying and selling forces. The recent increase in USD is supported by high US bond yields and positive market sentiment. However, if it fails to break above the 155.00 zone, USD/JPY may correct slightly before looking for new momentum to continue rising. Trading strategy: Buy: When the price breaks above 155.00, the next target is 156.00. Sell: When the price falls below 154.00, the next support target is 153.00.
by Maria_aaa
USDJPY Strengthens: Support at 154.43 & Target 157.80 USDJPY continues its strong uptrend, currently trading around 154.649 within an ascending price channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines lie below the current price, acting as dynamic support to sustain the bullish momentum. The key support level at 154.43 will be crucial if a pullback occurs. If the price holds above this level, USDJPY is likely to continue rising toward the next resistance at 157.80. However, a break below 154.43 could increase bearish pressure. The USD's strength is supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the BoJ's loose monetary policy weakens the JPY. Investors should closely monitor U.S. economic data this week to assess USDJPY's next move.
by Vanna-Cris
Next Target Fibonacci ExtensionLooking at the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, I see that the uptrend remains quite strong, with the price trading above both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, suggesting that the bullish momentum continues to hold. Based on the Fibonacci extension analysis, I am particularly interested in the 1.618 level around 157.00, which could be the next key resistance. I expect a short-term correction before continuing the uptrend towards this target. If the price falls towards the 0.618 Fibonacci support near 154.00, this would be an ideal opportunity to look for a long entry. Conversely, if the price breaks above 157.00, the uptrend could be further reinforced, while if the momentum weakens, the price could trade sideways around the EMAs.
by Maria_aaa
USD/JPY Faces Resistance, Upcoming Trend May Correct DownLooking at the USD/JPY chart, I notice that the pair is currently approaching a strong resistance zone near 154.0. The price has reached this zone and is showing signs of turning around, which could signal a weakening of the current bullish momentum. Furthermore, both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA are below the price, indicating that the uptrend is still in place, but it seems to be starting to weaken as it meets resistance. Given the current situation, I am looking at a short-term downside correction in USD/JPY. If the pair fails to break above the resistance at 154.0 and continues to be under selling pressure, we could see the price fall to the support zone around 153.0 or lower. This is the area that I will be looking at for buying opportunities if the price shows signs of recovery.
by Maria_aaa
USD/JPY Double Top Pattern PredictionFrom my observation on the USD/JPY chart, there are signs that the pair may be forming a double top pattern. The current key top is around 156.0 – this is a strong resistance level that the price has reached twice without being able to break out. This is a warning sign for a possible reversal, especially when buying pressure starts to wane. With the double top pattern, if the price drops and breaks through the support area near 152.0, I think there is a high chance that the pattern will be confirmed. In this scenario, the downtrend could continue, and the price could head towards the lower support area around 151.0. That would be a point where I would consider entering a short position if the downtrend is confirmed.
by Maria_aaa
USDJPY fades month-old bullish trend on BoJ’s cautious pauseUSDJPY snapped a three-day winning streak even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) held benchmark interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, after its two-day monetary policy meeting early Thursday. In doing so, the Yen pair also challenged a five-week-old bullish trend channel. Bulls lack acceptance but bears have a bumpy road ahead… Apart from the BoJ’s hawkish halt, sluggish MACD and RSI conditions, along with the USDJPY pair’s inability to cross a month-old rising resistance line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-September downside, suggest a weakening of bullish bias. A slew of key supports, however, might challenge the sellers before taking control. Key technical levels to watch The aforementioned upward-sloping trend channel’s bottom line, close to 152.80, gains the immediate attention of the sellers ahead of the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 152.20 at the latest. Following that, the USDJPY sellers can aim for the 150.00 threshold and the 200-EMA support of 149.00. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 149.00, the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio and September’s peak, respectively near 148.10 and 147.20, will act as the final defense of the buyers. On the contrary, USDJPY needs a clear upside break of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 153.45, also known as the golden ratio, to convince buyers. Even so, a month-long ascending trend line and a horizontal hurdle established since mid-July, close to 154.80 and 155.30-40, will challenge the Yen pair’s further advances. If the prices remain firmer past 155.40, the odds of witnessing a rally toward the aforementioned bullish channel’s top line surrounding 157.70 can’t be ruled out. Focus on US data As the BoJ’s cautious stance weighs on USDJPY buyers, traders will watch upcoming US inflation and employment data for further direction.
by MTradingGlobal