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USDJPY

USDJPY stays pressured toward 141.00 on last trading day of 2023USDJPY fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off a five-month low amid sluggish markets on the final trading day of 2023. In doing so, the Yen pair extends the mid-week pullback from 200-SMA even as the oversold RSI (14) and the sluggish MACD signals challenge bears. Also putting a floor under the risk-barometer pair is a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-November upside, as well as May’s peak, surrounding 140.80. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading below 140.80 makes it vulnerable to drop toward a broad horizontal support zone comprising levels marked since early March, between 137.90-70. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce could aim for the 200-SMA level of 143.00 whereas a seven-week-old descending trend line, close to 143.40 at the latest, will test the USDJPY buyers afterwards. Should the Yen pair manage to defend the recovery moves past 143.40, June’s peak of around 145.10 will be on the bull’s radar. Following that, a gradual run-up toward 148.00 and the 150.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair appears bearish even if a corrective bounce appears imminent.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls prod 200-EMA resistance after BoJ status quoUSDJPY prints a three-day uptrend while extending the previous week’s recovery from the lowest level since late July after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) defends the current monetary policy. In doing so, the Japanese central bank rules out concerns surrounding its gradual exit from the ultra-easy monetary policy amid a recent increase in inflation. With this, the Yen pair pokes the 200-EMA hurdle, extending recovery from a five-month-old horizontal support. The rebound also justifies the RSI (14) line’s U-turn from the oversold territory, which in turn suggests the quote’s further run-up beyond the key EMA surrounding 143.80. However, the bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-November, close to 145.30 by the press time, will challenge further advances. In a case where the buyers keep reins past 145.30, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the monthly high near 148.35 and then toward the 150.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, growing chatters about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cuts in early 2024 could join the downbeat yields to weigh on the USDJPY pair, which in turn highlights the aforementioned horizontal support region of around 141.50-142.00. Should the Yen pair sellers manage to break the 141.50 support, it can quickly drop to the 140.00 psychological magnet before highlighting July’s low of 137.23 as the key support. Following that, the pair’s bearish trajectory towards the yearly bottom of 127.20 appears a favorite for the bears. Overall, USDJPY regains upside momentum but the room towards the north appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
200-SMA prods USDJPY’s bounce off 4.5-month lowUSDJPY prints mild gains around 142.00 to snap a three-day losing streak at the lowest level since late July. In doing so, the Yen pair portrays a corrective bounce amid oversold RSI (14) conditions. However, the bearish MACD signals and the 200-SMA hurdle, at 142.50 by the press time, challenge the quote’s recovery. Even if the pair manages to cross the 142.50 hurdle, a 5.5-month-long horizontal resistance line and a falling trend line from mid-November will test the buyers around 144.00 and 145.85 in that order. It’s worth noting that the previous support line stretched from March 24, surrounding 147.60, acts as the final defense of the Yen pair sellers. Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-November upside, near 140.85, acts as an immediate downside support for the USDJPY pair. Following that, the 140.00 round figure will precede the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of around 138.20 to prod the Yen pair sellers. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 138.20, July’s bottom of 137.23 appears the final battleground for the bulls before surrendering their weapons to the sellers. Overall, the USDJPY pair is likely to remain bearish even if the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY sellers attack 147.00 to justify corrective pullbackUSDJPY struggles to defend the three-week losing streak as the bottom line of a bullish trend channel, stretched from late March, joins the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to restrict the quote’s immediate downside near the 147.00 threshold. Even if the quote breaks the 147.00 support, a convergence of the five-month-old previous resistance and the 200-day EMA, around 143.80 by the press time, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. Following that, the Yen pair’s fall toward the August monthly low near 141.50 and then to the 140.00 round figure, can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, the receding bearish power of the MACD and the nearly oversold RSI (14) line join the 147.00 support to challenge the USDJPY bears. That said, the pair’s recovery, however, needs validation from the 50-EMA level of around 148.60. Should the quote manage to remain firmer, the 150.00 psychological magnet will precede the previous monthly high of 151.90 to act as the final test for the pair buyers. It’s worth noting that the Yen pair’s successful trading above 151.90 enables the bulls to aim for the top-line of the previously-stated channel’s top line, surrounding 154.00. Overall, the USDJPY pair portrays bearish consolidation and may witness a bounce in prices unless the quote stays beyond the 147.00 key support.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY extends pullback from 50-SMA despite firmer yieldsAfter multiple failures to cross the 50-SMA hurdle the last week, USDJPY sellers attack the 149.00 round figure amid a sluggish start to the key week comprising US GDP and Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, not to forget Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. The pullback move also justifies the bearish MACD signals amid an absence of the oversold RSI (14). With this, the Yen pair is likely to revisit the monthly low of 147.15, marked the last Monday. However, the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from late March, respectively near 146.80 and 146.30, could challenge the risk-barometer pair sellers afterward. In a case where the quote breaks the 146.30 level on a daily closing basis, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the five-month-old resistance-turned-support of around mid-143.00s. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 50-SMA hurdle of 149.65 becomes necessary for the USDJPY buyers to retake control. Even so, the 150.00 psychological magnet will play its role in testing the upside momentum. Following that, the monthly horizontal resistance surrounding 151.80 and an upward-sloping resistance line from late June, close to 153.00 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the bears. Overall, the USDJPY is likely to remain weak but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY drops to three-week low on breaking 150.00 key supportUSDJPY prints a three-day losing streak as it slides to the lowest level in three weeks amid early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the previous day’s downside break of the 150.00 support confluence comprising the 200-SMA and a 2.5-month-old bullish channel’s lower line. Adding strength to the downside bias are bearish MACD signals. However, the oversold RSI (14) line appears to challenge the south-run of late. With this, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of September-November upside, near 148.20 and 147.30 respectively, act as strong challenges for the sellers. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to plunge towards the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of 145.90 and then to September’s low of 144.43. On the flip side, the USDJPY pair’s recovery needs validation from the 150.00 support-turned-resistance confluence. In a case where the Yen buyers manage to keep the reins past 150.00, the last swing high surrounding 151.45 and the monthly peak of 151.90, as well as the previous yearly top of near 151.95, will test the bulls before allowing them to prod the 152.00 psychological magnet. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful trading above 152.00 will enable it to challenge the June 1990 top surrounding 155.80. To sum up, USDJPY is likely to witness further downside but the fall appears slow beyond 147.30.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls eye another battle with 4.5-month-old resistanceUSDJPY rises for the sixth consecutive day while poking the yearly high marked in October, mildly bid near 151.70 during early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies an upbeat RSI (14) line while signaling the fourth attack to cross an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from June 30, around 152.50 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the previous yearly peak of near 152.00 guards the quote’s immediate upside. That said, the pair’s successful trading beyond 152.50 enables buyers to aim for the June 1990 high of 155.80. Meanwhile, the 150.00 round figure and the 50-day SMA surrounding 149.20 restrict the USDJPY pair’s short-term downside. Following that, the 100-day SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late March, respectively near 146.20 and 145.30, will act as the final defense of the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the bears dominate past 145.30, June’s high of near 145.00 can test the downside moves targeting May’s high near 141.00 and then toward the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains in the bullish trend but the upside room appears limited as the multi-month-old rising trend line joins nearly overbought RSI conditions to suggest one more retreat of the buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY continues to increase pricesHello everyone! Our trading today is still a hot topic of discussion as the sellers and buyers are still locked in a tug-of-war around the 150.00 level. However, it seems that the buyers have a slight advantage, even though the trading volume is expected to decrease today due to the closure of exchanges and banks in Japan for Cultural Day. The round support level at 150.000 is expected to be tested once again. The current resistance level is acting as a barrier for USDJPY at 150.500. Breaking through this resistance level could bring USDJPY back to its previous high at 151.700, with strong support at the two previous levels of 150.000 and 150.500.
Long
by Samson-FX
USDJPY increased sharply with the daily expansion trendToday, the USD/JPY pair is attracting a lot of buying activity on the first day of the new week and seems to have halted its retreat from the 150.75-150.80 level, the highest since October 2022 touched last week. However, Samson still maintains faith in the price and this currency pair is currently trading around the 149.70-149.75 area. It has gained less than 0.10% for the day as traders weigh up a crucial central bank meeting before placing bets on a new direction. So, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce its decision on Tuesday amid increasing speculation about the possibility of changing the yield curve control (YCC) policy. However, this poses a challenge for the bank to escape negative interest rates. This marks a clear divergence from other major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, and the risk appetite sentiment has made the Japanese Yen (JPY) a safe haven and a key factor driving favorable winds for the USD/JPY pair.
Long
by Samson-FX
USDJPY challenges rising wedge on BoJ status quoUSDJPY bounces off 200-SMA while testing the previous day’s rising wedge confirmation as Yen traders respond to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) inaction. With this, the risk-barometer pair not only challenges the bearish chart pattern but also teases the buyers, especially amid the looming bull cross on the MACD and a quick rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays beneath the aforementioned rising wedge’s upper line, close to the 151.00 round figure. Following that, the previous yearly top of near 152.00 may prod the buyers targeting the mid-1990 peak surrounding 155.80. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s fresh selling needs validation from the 200-SMA support, currently around 149.00. Even so, the monthly low close to 147.30 could challenge the Yen pair bears before directing them to September’s bottom of around 144.45. In a case where the sellers keep the reins past 144.45, the 140.00 round figure will be in the spotlight. Overall, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish bias keeps USDJPY buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside break of 151.00 and downbeat comments from BoJ Governor Ueda will help the bulls to keep control.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY encountered challenges for the continued trendDear readers, USDJPY is maintaining a strong upward trend above the 150.00 level, but it is currently trading relatively calmly as it fails to surpass the resistance level at 150.49. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 150.20. In my opinion, it would be wise to retest the previous breakout zone around 150.05 or look for support levels lower around 149.80. The bullish trend will continue to prevail as long as it remains well established above 149.80. What are your thoughts on this?
Long
by Samson-FX
1
UJ tests support againDear friends, As predicted by Samson, the upward momentum is still being strengthened and is currently trading at a high level of 150.39 today. USD/JPY is preparing for a decisive breakthrough above the psychological resistance level of 150.00. This asset seems strong as the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to rise following S&P Global's report of increased business activity in October. Samson emphasizes that UJ is expected to continue rising, but it is necessary to reassess the support level of 140.82, which coincides with the previous uptrend channel, in order to officially establish the continuation of the upward trend. Along with the stability on the weekly timeframe, Samson is optimistic about breaking out of the high level of 151.81.
Long
by Samson-FX
USD/JPY Side Way then increaseThe USD/JPY has temporarily halted its two-day upward trend, possibly due to optimistic economic data from China. The spot price traded lower, near 149.80 during the European session on Wednesday. However, the USD/JPY is benefiting from positive retail sales figures from the United States, supported by higher interest rates from the US Treasury. Market observers may be eager to understand the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, especially after the dovish remarks from officials. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin believes that the current policy has limitations, reflecting uncertainty about the upcoming FOMC meeting in November. In terms of technical analysis, the USD/JPY may experience short-term sideways movement in the near future before forming a flag pattern and breaking out of that range. My target expectation is at 151.10.
by Samson-FX