USDJPY
USDJPY extends pullback from 50-SMA despite firmer yieldsAfter multiple failures to cross the 50-SMA hurdle the last week, USDJPY sellers attack the 149.00 round figure amid a sluggish start to the key week comprising US GDP and Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, not to forget Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. The pullback move also justifies the bearish MACD signals amid an absence of the oversold RSI (14). With this, the Yen pair is likely to revisit the monthly low of 147.15, marked the last Monday. However, the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping support line from late March, respectively near 146.80 and 146.30, could challenge the risk-barometer pair sellers afterward. In a case where the quote breaks the 146.30 level on a daily closing basis, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the five-month-old resistance-turned-support of around mid-143.00s.
On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 50-SMA hurdle of 149.65 becomes necessary for the USDJPY buyers to retake control. Even so, the 150.00 psychological magnet will play its role in testing the upside momentum. Following that, the monthly horizontal resistance surrounding 151.80 and an upward-sloping resistance line from late June, close to 153.00 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the bears.
Overall, the USDJPY is likely to remain weak but the downside room appears limited.
USDJPY is being threatened below the low levelGreetings!
It appears that the upward movement of USDJPY came to a halt at 149.15. The currency pair failed to reach the anticipated level of 150.00 as a downtrend formed, and currently, it is being traded at 148.88.
Samson suggests that there is a possibility of revisiting the significant level of 147.80. Additionally, Samson still holds a positive outlook on the target price of 150.00.
What are your thoughts on the current market situation?
USDJPY drops to three-week low on breaking 150.00 key supportUSDJPY prints a three-day losing streak as it slides to the lowest level in three weeks amid early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the previous day’s downside break of the 150.00 support confluence comprising the 200-SMA and a 2.5-month-old bullish channel’s lower line. Adding strength to the downside bias are bearish MACD signals. However, the oversold RSI (14) line appears to challenge the south-run of late. With this, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of September-November upside, near 148.20 and 147.30 respectively, act as strong challenges for the sellers. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to plunge towards the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of 145.90 and then to September’s low of 144.43.
On the flip side, the USDJPY pair’s recovery needs validation from the 150.00 support-turned-resistance confluence. In a case where the Yen buyers manage to keep the reins past 150.00, the last swing high surrounding 151.45 and the monthly peak of 151.90, as well as the previous yearly top of near 151.95, will test the bulls before allowing them to prod the 152.00 psychological magnet. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful trading above 152.00 will enable it to challenge the June 1990 top surrounding 155.80.
To sum up, USDJPY is likely to witness further downside but the fall appears slow beyond 147.30.
USDJPY bulls eye another battle with 4.5-month-old resistanceUSDJPY rises for the sixth consecutive day while poking the yearly high marked in October, mildly bid near 151.70 during early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies an upbeat RSI (14) line while signaling the fourth attack to cross an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from June 30, around 152.50 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the previous yearly peak of near 152.00 guards the quote’s immediate upside. That said, the pair’s successful trading beyond 152.50 enables buyers to aim for the June 1990 high of 155.80.
Meanwhile, the 150.00 round figure and the 50-day SMA surrounding 149.20 restrict the USDJPY pair’s short-term downside. Following that, the 100-day SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late March, respectively near 146.20 and 145.30, will act as the final defense of the Yen pair buyers. In a case where the bears dominate past 145.30, June’s high of near 145.00 can test the downside moves targeting May’s high near 141.00 and then toward the 140.00 psychological magnet.
Overall, the USDJPY pair remains in the bullish trend but the upside room appears limited as the multi-month-old rising trend line joins nearly overbought RSI conditions to suggest one more retreat of the buyers.
USD-JPY Trade Setupprice is at resistance zone of 151.144 and 151.380
after the recent break of structure there is open order block to restest
also there will be small liquid or inducement zone that need to be triggered
for next upside
150.432 and 150.246 is the buying area
with stop loss of 150 rd figure
and target of 151.500
with risk to reward 1:3
condition to avoid if price reach 151.500 first before coming towards our buying zone then the trade we be cancelled
USDJPY continues to increase pricesHello everyone!
Our trading today is still a hot topic of discussion as the sellers and buyers are still locked in a tug-of-war around the 150.00 level.
However, it seems that the buyers have a slight advantage, even though the trading volume is expected to decrease today due to the closure of exchanges and banks in Japan for Cultural Day. The round support level at 150.000 is expected to be tested once again.
The current resistance level is acting as a barrier for USDJPY at 150.500. Breaking through this resistance level could bring USDJPY back to its previous high at 151.700, with strong support at the two previous levels of 150.000 and 150.500.
USDJPY increased sharply with the daily expansion trendToday, the USD/JPY pair is attracting a lot of buying activity on the first day of the new week and seems to have halted its retreat from the 150.75-150.80 level, the highest since October 2022 touched last week. However, Samson still maintains faith in the price and this currency pair is currently trading around the 149.70-149.75 area. It has gained less than 0.10% for the day as traders weigh up a crucial central bank meeting before placing bets on a new direction.
So, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to announce its decision on Tuesday amid increasing speculation about the possibility of changing the yield curve control (YCC) policy. However, this poses a challenge for the bank to escape negative interest rates. This marks a clear divergence from other major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, and the risk appetite sentiment has made the Japanese Yen (JPY) a safe haven and a key factor driving favorable winds for the USD/JPY pair.
USDJPY challenges rising wedge on BoJ status quoUSDJPY bounces off 200-SMA while testing the previous day’s rising wedge confirmation as Yen traders respond to the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) inaction. With this, the risk-barometer pair not only challenges the bearish chart pattern but also teases the buyers, especially amid the looming bull cross on the MACD and a quick rebound in the RSI (14) line. However, the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays beneath the aforementioned rising wedge’s upper line, close to the 151.00 round figure. Following that, the previous yearly top of near 152.00 may prod the buyers targeting the mid-1990 peak surrounding 155.80.
On the contrary, the USDJPY pair’s fresh selling needs validation from the 200-SMA support, currently around 149.00. Even so, the monthly low close to 147.30 could challenge the Yen pair bears before directing them to September’s bottom of around 144.45. In a case where the sellers keep the reins past 144.45, the 140.00 round figure will be in the spotlight.
Overall, the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish bias keeps USDJPY buyers hopeful. However, a clear upside break of 151.00 and downbeat comments from BoJ Governor Ueda will help the bulls to keep control.
USDJPY encountered challenges for the continued trendDear readers, USDJPY is maintaining a strong upward trend above the 150.00 level, but it is currently trading relatively calmly as it fails to surpass the resistance level at 150.49.
At the time of writing, the price is trading at 150.20. In my opinion, it would be wise to retest the previous breakout zone around 150.05 or look for support levels lower around 149.80. The bullish trend will continue to prevail as long as it remains well established above 149.80. What are your thoughts on this?
UJ tests support againDear friends, As predicted by Samson, the upward momentum is still being strengthened and is currently trading at a high level of 150.39 today.
USD/JPY is preparing for a decisive breakthrough above the psychological resistance level of 150.00. This asset seems strong as the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to rise following S&P Global's report of increased business activity in October.
Samson emphasizes that UJ is expected to continue rising, but it is necessary to reassess the support level of 140.82, which coincides with the previous uptrend channel, in order to officially establish the continuation of the upward trend. Along with the stability on the weekly timeframe, Samson is optimistic about breaking out of the high level of 151.81.
USD/JPY Side Way then increaseThe USD/JPY has temporarily halted its two-day upward trend, possibly due to optimistic economic data from China. The spot price traded lower, near 149.80 during the European session on Wednesday. However, the USD/JPY is benefiting from positive retail sales figures from the United States, supported by higher interest rates from the US Treasury.
Market observers may be eager to understand the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, especially after the dovish remarks from officials. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin believes that the current policy has limitations, reflecting uncertainty about the upcoming FOMC meeting in November.
In terms of technical analysis, the USD/JPY may experience short-term sideways movement in the near future before forming a flag pattern and breaking out of that range. My target expectation is at 151.10.
USDJPY decreased, waiting for new data from Japanese CPIHello dear traders!
Currently, the USD/JPY pair has touched a level near 148.80 but quickly recovered to a wider trading range around 149.50 as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to announce inflation forecasts for fiscal years 2023 and 2024 earlier than anticipated.
Forecast:
The hope for intervention from the Japanese government in the FX market is diminishing. The Japanese government is concerned about continuing to sell off the Japanese Yen and believes that these unstable actions are the cause of this.
Meanwhile, the S&P500 futures contract has seen a significant decline in European trading session, reflecting a risk-accepting sentiment in the market due to deepening tensions in the Middle East. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped from the 106.50 level as policymakers at the Federal Reserve support keeping interest rates unchanged in November. Therefore, this is a negative factor affecting the USD/JPY pair.
USD/JPY increasing traction above 149.60Currently, the USD/JPY pair is holding steady at 149.60 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The demand for the US Dollar (USD) and the recovery of US Treasury bond yields have provided some support for this currency pair. Investors are awaiting the US Retail Sales data on Tuesday for fresh impetus. The monthly figures are expected to increase by 0.3% in September.
Looking ahead, market participants will keep an eye on US Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and the Fed's speaker on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Japan's trade data will be released, followed by the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Friday. These figures may provide clear direction for the USD/JPY pair.
USDJPY continues to turn up the price?Hello dear traders!
Last week, USDJPY broke out of its upward trend and started moving sideways. It is currently trading at 149.51. However, there are still no signs of USDJPY reversing its direction. This is evident as the currency pair is in an upward trend and is gradually approaching a strong resistance level at 150.000.
It is expected to retest the support level before the potential for further price appreciation. There is a significant breakout potential if UJ surpasses this resistance level.
Dow formed on 1D chart, USDJPY continued?Currently, USDJPY is gradually approaching the 150.00 level after receiving strong support from the 137.30 support level. USD/JPY aims to regain its three-day winning streak, trading around 149.80 in today's trading session. This pair has gained price support due to a series of optimistic economic data from the United States (US).
Looking at the technical picture, on the H4 time frame, USDJPY has formed a DOW pattern, and surpassing the 150.00 level will continue to drive upward momentum for USDJPY.
USD/JPY fluctuated nearly 149.00 before the US CPI indexCurrently, USD/JPY has ended its two-day uptrend and is trading lower around the 149.00 level in the Asian trading session on Thursday. The USD/JPY exchange rate is facing challenges due to the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) ending its interest rate hike cycle.
Accordingly, the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) will abandon the idea of raising interest rates. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supports a cautious approach to interest rate developments, stating that tightening financial markets "will be helpful to us." Fed Governor Michelle Bowman leans towards another interest rate hike due to persistent inflation above the Fed's 2% target.
Technically, this currency pair is consolidating after breaking out of the uptrend channel at 149.01. However, in the long term, a slight downward correction is expected before reaching the 150.14 level. Surpassing this increase will help propel this currency pair to a new figure at 150.50.
USDJPY checks the level of trend support?The USDJPY is currently undergoing a correction in relation to the support level in the context of the corrective movement of the DXY (Dollar Index). Logically, in an uptrend, the support level would push the price higher, but what could happen?
On the daily timeframe, the DXY is forming a correction towards a significant support level, which could lead to a price increase. As a result, the USDJPY will begin to form an increased resistance level. Currently, the fundamental situation is quite complex, with the firm stance of the Fed and the USD being influenced by other leverage factors. Therefore, we will start with technical analysis.
The currency pair is heading towards a support level in an uptrend. Accumulation near this area can cause confusion and increase the chances of breaking through the next support level. A sell signal (a counter-trend strategy) would be a consolidation below the upward trend support line after a breakout. And a buy signal (a trend-following strategy) would be a false break of the support line.