NIFTY : 50 D EMA Breach – A Key Level to Track📊 NIFTY – Technical View
• Nifty has closed below the 50-Day EMA, signalling short-term trend weakness.
• The previous 50 D EMA breach occurred around 25th September 2025.
• Notably, during that phase, the critical swing low formed just before the EMA breach was respected, acting as a strong base for the subsequent rally.
• A similar structure is visible now — the recent critical low before the current 50 D EMA breach becomes a key level to track.
• Price rejection near the upper channel / ATH zone highlights distribution at higher levels.
• As long as Nifty trades below the 50 D EMA, rallies are likely to face selling pressure.
I currently hold a position in NIFTYBEES. If the market fails to recover from current levels, there is a high probability that the stop-loss on this position may get triggered. I will continue to manage the trade strictly based on price action and risk parameters.
🧠 Market Character: Transitioning from buy-the-dip to selective, risk-managed trades.
⚠️ Focus: Protect capital, track the marked critical low, and stay reactive.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Vcppattern
NIFTYBEES : Position to systematically de-risk BPCL tradeToday’s sharp correction in BPCL and the broader Oil & Gas space reflects a classic “geopolitical discount.” With the U.S. threatening a steep 500% tariff, uncertainty around OMC earnings has surged, triggering risk-off positioning across the sector.
In response, I’m de-risking the portfolio by initiating an allocation into Nifty BeES. The Nifty 50 is currently consolidating around its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, a zone that historically acts as a strong demand area. The probability of price finding support at these levels and staging a rebound remains high.
While BPCL faces near-term headwinds from potential inventory losses and pressure from discounted Russian crude dynamics, the Nifty 50 is structurally supported by its Banking and IT heavyweights, which continue to benefit from improving earnings visibility and relative global stability.
This trade is therefore not a directional bet alone, but a strategic hedge—aimed at balancing portfolio risk, reducing volatility, and maintaining market participation amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
CSBBANK : Momentum Breakout with Sector StrengthThis trade is a classic momentum breakout setup. The price had been consolidating in a range since August 2025 and has now broken out with strong volume, indicating fresh participation. The broader finance and banking sector is also showing strength, which adds further confluence to the trade. Additionally, recent sales and EPS growth have been encouraging, supporting the bullish bias from a fundamentals perspective.
The only concern is that the price is currently extended from the 20 and 50 EMA, and there wasn’t a very clear basing structure before the breakout. However, considering the overall momentum and sectoral support, this can be managed by allowing some breathing room and using a slightly wider stop loss.
Based on this setup, the trade has been initiated with a defined risk of 1%.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
Sai Life Sciences cmp 921.70 by the Daily Chart view since listeSai Life Sciences cmp 921.70 by the Daily Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 865 to 895 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 923 to ATH 943 Price Band
- Volumes are regularly spiking well above the average traded quantity
- Darvas Bos Setup seems like repeated basis the current technical chart setup
- Rising Price Channels are in good sync to each other at ending and fresh new start
- Considerate Bullish Rounding Bottoms and/or Rising VCP pattern, as one may interpret
- Darvas Box Setup : Stock trending within 845 to ATH 943 price band since ATH on 25-Aug-2025
Graphite India : VCP pattern ! Money may Double in 1.5 YearsHi Friends,
Graphite India looks promising now after ~08 years of time & price wise correction period. I am anticipating the stock to start its upward journey.
Chart Pattern : VCP
Targets, Stoploss & Entry price is mentioned in the chart .
Please feel free to share your views regarding this chart & analysis .
Note : I am not a SEBI registered advisor . Please consider my analysis only for Education purpose .
APLAPOLLO : VCP Breakout with Fundamental ConfirmationInitiated a long position in APLAPOLLO following a high-conviction breakout from a multi-month Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP). Although the price is currently extended from the 20- and 50-day EMAs, the structural strength of the breakout suggests the beginning of a fresh leg in the uptrend.
From a fundamentals perspective, the company continues to deliver strong and consistent sales and EPS growth, reinforcing its positioning as a proxy for India’s infrastructure-led growth cycle.
To manage the risk associated with being extended from the moving averages, I’ve opted for a wider stop-loss, allowing room for short-term volatility or a potential retest of the breakout zone. This approach gives the trade sufficient breathing space while the moving averages gradually catch up to price.
From a broader market standpoint, the recent ~10% correction in ITC following the government’s cigarette tax announcement has created temporary index-level pressure on the Nifty 50. However, this has triggered a clear sectoral rotation rather than broad-based weakness. Capital is rotating out of regulatory-impacted FMCG names and into high-growth industrial leaders like APL Apollo.
Given its insulation from regulatory shocks and its direct linkage to domestic capex growth, APL Apollo is exhibiting strong relative strength even as the broader market remains range-bound.
Initiated the position with 1% risk.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
BPCL : Trading the Confluence of Price Action & Macro TailwindsThe stock has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few weeks and has recently started forming a solid base. While the breakout volume isn’t a classic “God-candle,” price action continues to hold firmly above key moving averages, which is a constructive sign. That said, the price is somewhat extended from the EMAs, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion move. Hence, the stop loss needs to be placed wider rather than just below the basing structure.
The conviction behind this trade comes largely from the current Goldilocks macro environment we’re witnessing in early 2026. With global crude prices remaining comfortably low, BPCL is benefiting from strong marketing margins across petrol and diesel, supporting near-term earnings visibility.
On the fundamental side, a major catalyst is the Government’s LPG compensation package. BPCL is expected to receive a significant share of the ₹30,000 crore payout allocated to OMCs, which materially improves cash flows in H2 FY26. This inflow also acts as a strong deleveraging trigger, further strengthening an already improving balance sheet that has seen a steady decline in debt-equity levels over recent quarters.
So took this position with 1% risk on the net capital.
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If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
#AUTOBEES - VCP BO in DTFScript: AUTOBEES
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BO in DTF
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 RS Line making 52WH
📈 Sector is strong
If you have any doubts about the setup, drop a comment and I’ll reply.
✅Boost and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
⚠️Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
#CRAFTSMAN - VCP BO in DTFScript: CRAFTSMAN
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BO in DTF
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 RS Line making 52WH
✅Boost and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
✅ If you have any doubts about the setup, drop a comment and I’ll reply.
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
⚠️Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
#WELINV - VCP BO in DTFScript: WELINV
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BO in DTF
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 RS Line making 52WH
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Boost and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Recurring VCP Structures: Multi-Phase Consolidation & Expansion1 . This chart distinctly showcases a series of visually captivating Volatility Contraction Patterns (VCPs) across multiple phases, elegantly demarcated by yellow trendlines that map out both historical and present consolidation zones. Each contraction zone is marked by repeated, precise touches on trend boundaries, reflecting steady accumulation followed by eruptive volatility and sharp price expansions—almost like a pattern “echo” cycling through the chart.
2 . The highlighted VCP structures reveal not just one, but several contraction-and-expansion cycles, creating an intricate tapestry of market behaviour. Note how each phase includes a concentrated period of sideways price movement, where activity compresses before unleashing swift, directional breakouts. The interplay of these phases turns the chart into a textbook reference for sequential VCP observation, with periods of quiet consolidation—almost like calm before a storm—setting the stage for pronounced volatility bursts.
3 . Recent activity amplifies this effect: vivid volatility swings transition rapidly into tight consolidation, echoing earlier pattern cycles and further emphasizing the recurring structural nature. These technical formations, combined with strong boundary touches and clear momentum surges, make the chart an excellent study in pattern recognition, volatility monitoring, and visual market structure analysis—all shared purely for observational insight, with no predictions or directional bias.
Inox Wind cmp 154.08 by Daily Chart viewInox Wind cmp 154.08 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 136 to 146 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 165 to 176 Price Band
- Volumes in good sync with avg traded quantity
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems sustained
- VCP pattern seems in making process by technical chart setup
UJJIVANSFB - VCP Breakout in DTF Script: UJJIVANSFB
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP Breakout in DTF
📈 Short consolidation below Resistance
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout.
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 Can go for a swing trade
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Data Patterns cmp 2825 by Daily Chart viewData Patterns cmp 2825 by Daily Chart view
* Support Zone 2585 to 2685 Price Band
* Resistance Zone 2935 to 3065 Price Band
* Stock has made a near tight and contracting VCP pattern
* Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout in the making process
* Darvas Box pattern with price trending between 2375 to 2935
* Bullish Rounding Bottom formed by the Resistance Zone neckline
* Volumes spiking intermittently by good numbers over past few weeks
KEI Industries cmp 4420.60 by Daily Chart viewKEI Industries cmp 4420.60 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone4040 to 4240 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 4515 to 4715 Price Band
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems sustained
- Support Zone under test retest phase over the past few days
- Price seen is traversing inside Rising Parallel Parallel Price Channel
- Volumes are seen to be in close sync with the average traded quantity
- Multiple Bullish Patterns formed of Rounding Bottom, Head & Shoulder and a tight VCP too
#CARRARO - Large Base BreakOut Script: CARRARO
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 Large Base BreakOut
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 514 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 507
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 24%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 12%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 50% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
#RBLBANK - VCP BreakOut in Daily Time FrameScript: RBLBANK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 Large Base BreakOut – Zoom Out
📈 Private Bank Sector showing strength
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 288 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 286.90
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 12%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 6%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Bad, Position size 25% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
#SHYAMMETL - 2nd BreakOut in DTFScript: SHYAMMETL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in DTF which Failed
📈 2nd BreakOut in DTF after a short consolidation below Resistance
📈 Volume spike seen during Breakout.
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 Can go for a swing trade
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
KIMS : Devloping VCP pattern structure#KIMS #vcppattern #vcpbreakout #swingtrading #momentumtrading
KIMS : Swing Trade / Short term
>> Trending Stock
>> VCP pattern developing
>> Volumes Picking up
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
Potential Mega Breakout from Multi-Month ConsolidationTimeframe: Daily Chart | Analysis Type: Pure Price Action
🎯 Idea Summary
BLUESTAR is showcasing a textbook-perfect technical setup! A multi-month Descending Trendline resistance is converging with a bullish series of Higher Lows, forming a tight Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP). The stock is now squeezing at the apex, suggesting a powerful explosive move is on the horizon. A confirmed breakout could signal the start of a major bullish wave!
📊 Technical Rationale (Pure Price Action)
⚡ Major Descending Trendline (Resistance):
This key trendline originates from the swing high on 6th January 2025 📅.
It has been tested and respected as strong resistance on 25th March, 4th September, and 22nd September 2025. Each touch confirms the selling pressure. A breakout signifies a major trend reversal.
💪 Bullish Higher Lows & VCP (Strength):
Since 2nd June 2025, the stock has crafted a beautiful series of Higher Lows (HL) ↗️.
This shows buyers are aggressively defending higher levels, building a solid base for the next leg up. The contraction in price swings forms a Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP), indicating energy compression before a big expansion.
🧨 The Convergence (The Trigger):
Price is now knocking at the trendline resistance again. The coiling action is ultra-tight, suggesting a high-potential breakout is imminent!
⚖️ Trade Strategy
✅ Trigger for Entry: A BUY is triggered ONLY on a strong daily candle CLOSE ABOVE the descending trendline.
🔍 Confirmation Criteria (CRITICAL):
1) Volume: The breakout must be on VERY HIGH volume 📈. This is non-negotiable to confirm real buying interest and avoid fakeouts.
2) Candle Strength: The perfect signal is a thick, green Marubozu candle 🟢 (strong buying from open to close).
🛡️ Stop Loss (SL):
Aggressive: Low of the breakout candle.
Positional/Conservative: 1869 (The anchor of the HL structure).
🎯 Price Targets:
Target 1: 2258
Target 2: 2405
📌 Management: After T1, trail your stop loss to lock in profits on the way to T2.
⚠️ Key Considerations
⏳ Patience is a Virtue: Wait for the daily candle to CLOSE above the trendline. No premature entries!
🚫 False Breakout Risk: A weak close or low volume is a red flag. Stick to the rules.
✨ Pure Price Action: No lagging indicators. Just clean supply/demand analysis.
Disclaimer: This is an educational idea and not financial advice. Trading carries risk. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
✨ Let me know if you spot the setup! Good luck and trade safe! ✨
#AJMERA - VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame Script: AJMERA
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 MACD Crossover
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 1055 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1052
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 15%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 7.50%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 50% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
LAURUSLABS : Breakout Stock#LAURUSLABS #vcppattern #vcpbreakout #breakoutstock #trendingstock
LAURUSLABS : Swing Trade / Short Term
>> Rally - Base - now ready for RAlly
>> Base = Beautiful Vcp pattern
>> VCP pattern Breakout with Volumes
>> Trending stock in Momentum
>> Good Strength & Volumes
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
QPOWER : Breakout Stock#QPOWER #vcppattern #breakoutstock #momentumtrade #trendingstock #swingtrade
QPOWER : Momentum Pick
>> VCP Pattern
>> Breakout & Retest done
>> Trending stock
>> Good strength & Volumes building up
>> Good Upside potential
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.






















