Volatility
LTTS LONG - VCP with a very strong breakoutL&T Technology Services has been making a Volatility Contraction Pattern over the last 15 odd months. The base is ripe and has broken out strongly with a huge volume candle, and a gap up. The price is sustaining above the breakout level and the set up is a highly favourable one, with regards to VaR. Long LTTS over the medium term for targets of previous highs, which coincide with the first base size.
SBI : VCP Breakout - Positional (1-3 months minimum)#SBI : VCP Breakout
Positional Call (1-3 months minimum)
>> Entry at cmp or at retracement till safe entry levelz
>> Good Volume Buildup
>> Good strength in Stock
>> Swing Traders can book profits at 5-10% or keep trailing
Trgts : It will test the Previous Swing highs
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Positional tradegood accumulation, VCP pattern
u/d ratio more than 3
sellers exhausting.
accumulation going on around 50ema
21ema going towards 50 ema with changing angle
sl is less than 8 percent, which is reasonable for positional type trade.
one big volume bar might reveal accumulation.
buy if stays above 1900.
What are Bollinger Bands and How to Use themBollinger Bands are a widely used technical analysis tool traders rely on to gauge market volatility and identify potential entry and exit points. Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, they provide a simple yet effective method to analyze price trends and determine potential movements.
In this post, we'll cover the fundamental concepts of Bollinger Bands, including how they work and how you can use them to your advantage . This post will also lay the groundwork for future posts about more advanced topics on Bollinger Bands.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
What are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are composed of three lines that are plotted on a price chart. The first line is a simple moving average (also known as the basis line), and the other two lines are standard deviation lines, one located above the SMA and the other below it.
When plotted, the SMA appears at the centre of the chart, flanked by the upper and lower bands. The width of the bands is determined by market volatility; the bands will expand as volatility increases and contract as volatility decreases
Components of Bollinger Bands
Basis line: The basis line is the middle line in the Bollinger Bands and represents the simple moving average (SMA) of the closing prices of an asset over a defined period.
Upper Band: The upper band is calculated by adding a specified number of standard deviations to the SMA. Typically, traders use two standard deviations from the SMA, making it the most common setting used. However, these settings are not universal and vary as per the trading style.
Lower Band: The lower band is calculated by subtracting the same number of standard deviations from the SMA. This results in a channel of three lines, with the upper and lower bands fluctuating around the SMA, reflecting volatility.
Usage:
👉 Overbought and Oversold Conditions
Bollinger Bands can help in the identification of overbought and oversold conditions. Generally, when the price of an asset touches or exceeds the upper band, it may suggest that the asset is overbought, and a pullback or reversal could be on the horizon.
In contrast, when the price touches or falls below the lower band, it may indicate that the asset is oversold and could be due for a bounce or reversal.
However, it's worth noting that in strong trends, the price may remain at the upper or lower band for an extended period. This occurrence is not a signal for a pullback or reversal, and traders should consider other factors to confirm the actual trend.
Exhibit: Strong Uptrend
Exhibit: Strong Downtrend
👉 Volatility Indicator
Bollinger Bands serve as a measure of volatility. As the bands widen, it indicates that the volatility is increasing, which means that price swings are likely to be more significant. Conversely, when the bands become narrower, it suggests that the volatility is decreasing, which could result in smaller price fluctuations.
👉 Bollinger Band Squeeze
A squeeze occurs when the bands contract and move closer together, indicating decreased market volatility. This phenomenon is often a precursor to a significant price movement or breakout, as periods of low volatility often precede periods of high volatility in the market.
👉 Trend Confirmation
Bollinger Bands can also be used to confirm the direction of a trend. During an uptrend, prices often stay within the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, while in a downtrend, prices tend to remain in the lower half of the bands.
In addition, when prices repeatedly bounce off the basis line or keep getting rejected from it, it could indicate the continuation of a trend.
Exhibit: Trend continuation in a Bullish trend
Exhibit: Trend continuation in a Bearish trend
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful.
As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use.
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NSE ESCORTS - could break below 1900 and all the way to 1700* Momentum to the downside with alll the loving average on top of each other
* Momentum is trending lower with a squeeze taking it below 1900 very likely
* IV is quite low (25%) for this stock and hence the put sellers could panic is the stock goes below 1900 selling aggresively
* Stop at 2050 and a target of 1800 (if and when 1900 is cleared)
Trend analysis of Nifty March futures.Nifty futures trading is a popular form of investing in the Indian stock market. Nifty futures allow traders to buy or sell the Nifty index at a future date at a predetermined price. The Nifty index represents the performance of the top 50 companies listed on the National Stock Exchange of India.
In recent times, the trend of the NSE:NIFTY1! has been bearish, which means that the overall sentiment of the market is negative. This could be due to various factors, such as economic slowdown, political instability, or global events. As a trader, it is important to understand the trend of the market and take positions accordingly.
For traders who are looking to short the Nifty future, the stop loss should be placed at the 17292.3 level. This means that if the price of the Nifty future reaches this level, the trader should exit their short positions to limit their losses.
On the other hand, if the Nifty future holds above the 17299.80 level, long positions can be initiated with a stop loss at 17299.80. This means that if the price falls below this level, the trader should exit their long positions to limit their losses.
It is important to note that stop-loss levels should be determined based on the individual trader's risk appetite and trading strategy. Traders should also closely monitor the market and adjust their stop loss levels as necessary.
In conclusion, the current trend of the Nifty future is bearish, and traders who are looking to short the market should place their stop loss at 17292.3. Long positions can be initiated only if the Nifty future holds above the 17299.80 level, with a stop loss at the same level. Trading in Nifty futures requires careful analysis and risk management, and traders should always keep their trading strategy in mind while making decisions.