Indus Towers: Channel Breakout Meets Wave TheoryA simple but powerful concept from classical technical analysis — the channel breakout target — plays out beautifully here.
This idea, also discussed by Dr. Sudhir Dixit in his book on breakout signals, gives traders a disciplined way to estimate post-breakout targets.
After a steady five-wave advance from ₹312.55 to ₹369.55, Indus Towers entered a clean descending channel , forming the corrective Wave 2.
The breakout that followed came with a strong volume surge , confirming a clear shift in trend direction.
Concept Recap
In a channel breakout, the target can be derived by measuring the height of the channel (distance between support and resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
That gives the 1:1 projection , while stronger rallies often stretch toward 2:1 or 3:1 multiples of that range.
Wave Perspective
Elliott Wave traders can interpret this breakout as the early phase of Wave 3 , which typically extends 1.0 to 1.618× Wave 1 .
In this case, the 1.0× projection aligns near ₹395, while higher targets in the ₹412–₹430 zone fit naturally within Wave 3–5 progression.
Key Chart Highlights
Descending channel breakout — trend shift confirmed
Volume surge validates breakout strength
Wave 3 minimum extension ≈ ₹395
Stop-loss below ₹359 keeps the structure intact
Takeaway:
Even without labeling waves, the logic of a channel breakout offers a structured, rule-based method for identifying profit zones.
Combine it with wave theory, and you transform a simple pattern into a roadmap for impulsive rallies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Volume
NALCO (W) - Strongly Bullish - Fundamentally-Driven BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, shattering a 2-year consolidation ceiling. This move is supported by a "trifecta" of bullish factors: a technical breakout to new ATHs, rising volume, and stellar quarterly earnings.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is fueled by strong business performance, which gives the technical move high conviction:
- Stellar Earnings: The company recently reported a ~35% surge in Net Profit (YoY) for Q2 FY26, driven by higher aluminum prices and operational efficiency.
- Dividend Yield: The announcement of a ₹4/share interim dividend has attracted yield-seeking investors.
- Expansion: A massive ₹30,000 Crore investment plan for smelter expansion and lithium acquisition is driving long-term re-rating.
📈 2. The Long-Term Structure
> The "Box" Breakout:
- Range: Between ₹137 (Support) and ₹263 (Resistance) .
- Consolidation: The stock spent 4 weeks coiling just below ₹263. This "buildup" right under resistance is a classic bullish sign—it shows buyers were absorbing all supply before the breakout.
> The Breakout: This week’s 5.07% surge with 54.78 Million volume is the "Ignition." By closing at a new ATH, the stock has entered "price discovery" mode.
⚠️ 3. Technical Correction: The "Double Top" Myth
- Current Status: Since the stock has broken and closed above the previous high (₹263), the Double Top pattern is invalidated (or "busted"). A busted bearish pattern is actually a powerful bullish signal, as it forces short-sellers to cover their positions, adding fuel to the rally.
📊 4. Technical Indicators
- EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes confirms the trend is synchronized.
- RSI: Rising across all timeframes. Importantly, in a strong uptrend, an RSI above 60 is a sign of strength, not necessarily "overbought."
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now in Blue Sky territory.
> 🐂 Bullish Case (Continuation):
- Trigger: Sustained trading above ₹263 .
- Target: ₹330 . This aligns with the technical extension of the consolidation range height added to the breakout point.
> 🛡️ Support (The Re-test):
- Immediate Support: ₹263. The previous "ceiling" is now the "floor." Any pullback to ₹263-265 is a high-probability buying opportunity.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹240 would imply the breakout was a "fakeout" (Bull Trap) and invalidate the thesis.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Setup . The "Double Top" fear is gone; the resistance is broken. Backed by record profits and heavy volume, the path of least resistance is toward ₹330 . Watch for the stock to hold the ₹263 level on any dips.
Adaptive anchored volume profile🔎 Overview
AAVP (Adaptive Anchored Volume Profile) is a market-structure visualization tool that highlights where the highest trading activity has occurred over a selected range. It dynamically maps the Value Area, showing where price is being accepted and where rejection is taking place.
This tool helps traders understand:
• Where the market considers “fair value”
• Where price is being accepted
• Where rejection and imbalance begin
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📊 Key Levels
• POC (Point of Control)
The price level where the maximum volume is traded.
This acts as the market’s fair value zone and a strong magnet for price.
• VAH (Value Area High)
The upper boundary of the high-volume zone.
Above VAH = market showing acceptance at higher prices.
• VAL (Value Area Low)
The lower boundary of the high-volume zone.
Below VAL = market showing acceptance at lower prices.
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🧭 How to Read Market Behavior Using AAVP
Price above VAH → Strength and higher price acceptance
Price below VAL → Weakness and lower price acceptance
Price between VAH–VAL → Balanced market / equilibrium
Rejection from VAH or VAL → Possible rotation back toward POC
Return inside Value Area after breakout → Failed auction signal
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📊 Chart Explanation
• The left side histogram represents the Anchored Volume Profile , showing where the highest participation has occurred.
• The thickest horizontal bar marks the POC (Point of Control), where the market found maximum acceptance.
• The upper boundary of the volume cluster is VAH, acting as a potential resistance and strength confirmation zone.
• The lower boundary of the volume cluster is VAL, acting as a potential support and weakness confirmation zone.
• When price trades above VAH, it indicates acceptance at higher prices.
• When price trades below VAL, it indicates acceptance at lower prices.
• When price rotates between VAH and VAL, the market is in balance and consolidation mode.
• Sharp rejection from VAH or VAL often leads to price rotating back toward the POC.
• If price breaks outside VAH/VAL but quickly returns inside the Value Area, it signals a Failed Auction Setup
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📌 Why AAVP Matters
Reveals real participation zones instead of just price levels
Helps filter fake breakouts using volume acceptance
Improves precision for intraday and swing context
Enhances confidence near support, resistance, and equilibrium
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📝 Summary
AAVP provides a clear visual map of where the market is trading most efficiently.
POC defines fair value, while VAH and VAL define acceptance boundaries.
Price behavior around these zones reveals whether the market is in balance, expansion, or rejection.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Coforge (D): Strongly Bullish, Triple Top BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a major breakout from a 6-month consolidation structure. By closing above the triple-test resistance zone, the "bearish" triple top pattern has been invalidated and converted into a bullish breakout .
📈 1. The Long-Term Structure (The Reversal)
> The Cycle:
- Peak: ATH of ~2,005 in Dec 2024.
- Correction: A downward spiral until April 2025 .
- Turnaround: Since April, the stock has shifted structure to Higher Lows , indicating buyers are stepping in aggressively on dips.
> The "Lid" (Resistance Zone): The 1,951 – 1,959 zone acted as a stiff resistance, rejecting the price three times (ATH, July 2025, and recently). This made it a "Triple Top" barrier.
💥2. The Breakout (Today's Action)
> Pattern Shift: Today, the stock finally **closed above** this resistance zone (1,951–1,959).
- Technical Significance: A close above a Triple Top resistance negates the bearish reversal and triggers a powerful continuation breakout .
> Volume Confirmation: The surge of 2.81% was backed by 3.12 Million in volume. This expansion (after a period of decreasing volume) confirms that "smart money" pushed the price through the wall.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
> RSI: Rising in Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes.
- Caution: Watch for Bearish Divergence (Price making a higher high while RSI makes a lower high) as the stock approaches its ATH.
> EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across all timeframes confirms the trend is synchronized to the upside.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
With the "lid" at 1,960 removed, the path is open to retest the highs.
> 🐂 Bullish Targets:
- Target 1: 2,005 (The ATH). This is the immediate magnet.
- Target 2: Blue Sky . A sustained close above 2,005 puts the stock in price discovery mode.
> 🛡️ Support & Re-test:
- The "Safe" Entry: Waiting for a re-test of the 1,951–1,959 level is the prudent strategy. If the stock pulls back and bounces from here, it confirms the breakout.
- Stop Loss: If the stock falls back below 1,920 , it would signal a "fakeout" and likely trap the new buyers.
Conclusion
The breakout is valid. The "Triple Top" is no longer a threat; it is now a launchpad. Watch for the stock to hold above 1,951 to confirm the move toward 2,005 .
EURUSD – Retesting Demand Zone for Potential Upside ReversalPrice has tapped into a well-defined HTF demand zone after a controlled selloff. The latest wick into the zone suggests absorption and potential willingness to push higher.
If the zone continues to hold, I’m expecting bullish orderflow to kick in, leading to a structure shift and an upward continuation toward the next liquidity pool.
Bullish Path:
• Sweep into HTF demand
• Hold above the blue line (micro support)
• Shift in structure
• Continuation toward upside inefficiencies
⚠️ ENTRY CONDITION (IMPORTANT):
I will take the trade only if the LTF replicates the same structure and confirmations I’m anticipating on the HTF. No LTF alignment = No trade.
The idea remains valid as long as price respects the demand zone and doesn’t close decisively below it.
Motherson (W): Strongly Bullish, Post-Bonus Breakout(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, emerging from a 7-month consolidation phase. This move is supported by a "Higher Low" structure, rising volume, and recent analyst optimism.
📈 1. The Structural Context (The Turnaround)
- The Adjustment (Context): It is important to note that the price levels (ATH ~₹144) reflect the 1:2 Bonus Issue that occurred in July 2025. The stock is now recovering from the post-bonus correction.
- The Cycle:
- Peak: ATH of ₹144.66 in Sep 2024.
- Correction: A downtrend lasted until April 2025 , finding a base.
- Reversal: Since April, the stock has shifted character, forming a clear series of Higher Lows , indicating steady accumulation.
💥2. The Breakout (This Week's Action)
- The "Lid" (Resistance Zone): The ₹113 – ₹116 zone has acted as a stiff resistance since Nov 2024. Breaking this level is significant.
- The Surge: This week, the stock decisively broke and closed above this zone with a 5.93% surge .
- Volume Confirmation: The move was backed by massive volume of 151.49 Million . Volume has been "drying up" since the ATH, so this sudden volume expansion is a classic "Ignition" signal.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
Indicator analysis shows a synchronized bullish trend:
- EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO (Price Crossover) state across Monthly and Weekly timeframes, confirming the trend is up.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on both timeframes, showing momentum is building.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The breakout opens the door for a rally toward the previous highs.
- 🐂 Bullish Targets:
- Target 1: ₹132 . This is the immediate technical extension.
- Target 2: ₹145+ . If momentum sustains, a retest of the All-Time High is the structural goal. (Note: Some street estimates are as high as ₹162 ).
- 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Re-test Zone: The ₹113 – ₹116 zone has now flipped to support. A pullback to this level would be a healthy entry opportunity.
- Stop Loss: If the breakout fails (fakeout), the stock may slide to the ₹102 support zone.
Conclusion
This is a high-quality setup. The combination of Higher Lows , a Volume Breakout , and the Bonus Adjustment digestion makes this a strong candidate for a move to ₹132 . Watch for a sustained hold above ₹116 .
Jamna Auto - Strongly Bullish - Expansion-Driven Breakout(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock has confirmed a decisive breakout from a multi-year resistance zone. This move is supported by a significant capacity expansion announcement, rising volume, and a bullish structural shift.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is driven by a clear growth narrative that is attracting institutional interest:
- ₹132 Cr Expansion Plan: The company recently announced a major investment to set up new manufacturing facilities. This signals management's confidence in future demand.
- Steady Earnings: Q2 FY26 results showed stable profitability (Net Profit ~₹40 Cr) and declared an interim dividend, providing a fundamental floor to the price.
- Impact: This news has acted as the trigger for the stock to finally clear the 112-114 hurdle.
📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The Breakout)
- The "Lid" (112-114 Zone): This is the critical polarity zone. It has acted as both support and resistance since Nov 2021 . Breaking a level with 4 years of history is a significant technical event.
- The Breakout: This week’s surge of 8.53% with 17.84 Million in volume is a high-conviction move. The decisive close above ₹114 confirms that the "supply" at this level has finally been absorbed.
- Volume Profile: The "rising volume" in recent weeks confirms that smart money is accumulating shares in anticipation of the expansion benefits.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
Indicator analysis shows a synchronized bullish trend:
- EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO state across Monthly and Weekly timeframes, confirming that the trend is aligning upwards.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising without being extremely overbought, leaving room for further upside momentum.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
With the "lid" removed, the stock is primed for a recovery rally.
- 🐂 Bullish Targets:
- Target 1: ₹132 . This is the first logical resistance.
- Target 2: ₹149 (The ATH). A retest of the all-time high is the ultimate objective of this breakout structure.
- 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Re-test Zone: The ₹112 – ₹114 zone has now flipped to support. A pullback to this level would be a healthy re-test.
- Stop Loss: If the momentum fails, the stock must not close below ₹104 . Losing this level would invalidate the breakout and trap the new buyers.
Conclusion
This is a high-quality setup. The combination of a multi-year resistance breakout and a tangible expansion plan makes this a strong candidate for a move toward ₹132 . Watch for stability above ₹114 .
FLUENCE ENERGYFLUENCE ENERGY MADE DOUBLE BOTTOM with DIVERGENCE in monthly chart and also in process of forming CUP & HANDLE FORMATION, and it is at resistence level at $24, if it breaksout resistance at $24 we can expect to reach $30 & $44.
Chart analysis done on best of my knowledge, it may reach or may not reach targets :-)
SMS Pharma (D): Strongly Bullish - News-Driven BreakoutThe stock has confirmed a major structural reversal, breaking out of a 6-month consolidation pattern. This move is powered by a significant regulatory approval (USFDA) and strong earnings, validating the high volume.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The massive surge and volume are not random. They are a direct reaction to two major positive developments:
- USFDA Approval: The company's partner, VKT Pharma, received USFDA approval for reformulated Ranitidine tablets (an antacid). This marks a re-entry into the US market after years, opening a significant revenue stream.
- Strong Earnings: The company recently reported a 79% YoY jump in Net Profit for Q2 FY26.
- Impact: This fundamental "double engine" provides the conviction that the breakout is genuine and not a "trap."
📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The Reversal)
- The Correction: After the Sep 2024 ATH (~₹398) , the stock corrected ~55% to bottom out in March 2025 .
- The Turnaround: Since March, the stock has shifted structure, forming Higher Lows , indicating that buyers are stepping in aggressively on dips.
- The "Dual" Resistance:
1. Angular Resistance: From the Sep 2024 ATH.
2. Horizontal Resistance: The ₹314–₹317 zone (active since Nov 2024).
💥 3. The Breakout & Re-test (Current Action)
- The Breakout (Yesterday): The stock surged 17.82% with massive volume ( 11.76 Million ), decisively closing above both resistance lines. This high-volume close confirms the "Lid" is off.
- The Re-test (Today): The stock pulled back to the ₹314–₹317 zone today. The volume during this pullback was lower than the breakout volume.
- Bullish Signal: A low-volume pullback to a high-volume breakout level is a textbook "healthy re-test." It suggests profit-taking, not a trend reversal.
📊 4. Technical Indicators
- RSI Cooling: The Daily RSI has fallen with today's re-test. This is actually positive—it prevents the stock from becoming "overheated" too quickly, allowing it to gather strength for the next leg up.
- EMAs: The PCO state across all timeframes confirms that the trend is aligned in favor of the bulls.
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The "healthy re-test" sets the stage for continuation.
- 🐂 Bullish Target: ₹360 . If the stock holds the re-test level, a move to ₹360 (and potentially the ATH of ₹398) is the path of least resistance.
- 🛡️ Support (The Stop Loss): Support level at ₹290–₹292 is the critical "safety net." If the stock falls back below the breakout zone (₹314), it must hold ₹290 to keep the bullish structure alive.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A setup . Technical breakout, a healthy re-test, and a powerful fundamental catalyst. As long as ₹314 holds as support, the bias is strongly upward.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd – Weekly Chart AnalysisPricePrice has been moving inside a rising wedge structure, forming higher highs & higher lows over the past several months. Recently, the stock attempted a breakout above the wedge resistance but is now trading near the upper trendline, showing signs of pullback or retest behavior.
Volume has remained moderate, suggesting the market is waiting for a clear direction.
Now price action is at a decision zone — either a successful retest could resume bullish momentum, or failure may lead to profit-booking and a slide toward lower support trendlines.
This zone becomes crucial for directional clarity.
Ujjivan SFB (D): Strongly Bullish, Testing 5-Year ResistanceThe stock is staging a powerful recovery from its 2025 lows. It is currently challenging a critical "confluence resistance" zone (₹54-₹56) that dates back to Feb 2020. A breakout here would trigger a major structural shift.
📈 1. The Long-Term Context (The "U-Shape" Recovery)
- The Fall: After hitting its All-Time High (ATH) of ₹63 in Dec 2023, the stock entered a steep 15-month correction, losing ~51% of its value by early 2025.
- The Recovery: Since March 2025, the stock has been in a steady uptrend, effectively creating a large "Rounding Bottom" or "Cup" structure.
- The "Lid" (Feb 2020 Resistance): The ₹54 – ₹56 zone is not just a random level; it aligns with the major structural resistance from February 2020 (pre-COVID highs). Breaking this would mean clearing a 5-year hurdle.
🚀 2. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The recent bullishness is supported by improving fundamentals, which validates the technical breakout:
- Record Disbursements: In the recent Q2 results, the bank reported its highest-ever quarterly disbursements , signaling strong business growth.
- Asset Quality: Stable asset quality is attracting institutional interest, as seen in the volume spike.
💥 3. Today's Price Action (Nov 26, 2025)
- The Surge: The stock surged +3.84% , closing near the day's high.
- Volume Expansion: The move was backed by massive volume of 30.09 Million shares.
- Volume Trend: This spike comes after a period of declining volume , which is a classic "volatility contraction" setup. The sudden expansion today confirms fresh buyer participation.
📊 4. Technical Indicators
- EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO (Price Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, confirming aligned bullish momentum.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising across all three timeframes, showing that momentum is accelerating into the breakout.
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is currently inside the breakout zone.
- 🐂 Bullish Case (Breakout):
- Trigger: A decisive weekly close above ₹56 .
- Target: The primary target is a retest of the ATH at ₹63 . Beyond that, the stock enters "blue sky" price discovery.
- 🐻 Bearish Case (Rejection):
- Trigger: If the 5-year resistance (₹56) proves too strong and sellers step in.
- Support: The stock would likely fall back to the ₹53 level (immediate support) or the 20-day EMA to gather more strength.
Conclusion
The setup is highly potent because it combines a technical recovery with a 5-year structural breakout attempt. Watch for a sustained close above ₹56 to confirm the run to ₹63 .
Nykaa (D): Strongly Bullish, Earnings-Driven BreakoutThe stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, reclaiming levels not seen in years. This move is supported by a powerful combination of rising volume , bullish indicators , and a stellar Q2 earnings report .
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical breakout is being driven by the company's strong Q2 FY26 Earnings (announced recently):
- Net Profit: Surged over 243% YoY , signaling a massive turnaround in profitability.
- Revenue: Grew ~25% YoY , confirming sustained demand.
- Market Reaction: This fundamental strength is attracting institutional capital, evidenced by the rising volume.
📈 2. The Long-Term Structure (The Breakout)
- The "Lid" (May 2022 Resistance): The ₹260–₹270 zone was a major breakdown level back in May 2022. Reclaiming this zone after 3.5 years changes the long-term trend from bearish/neutral to bullish.
- The Consolidation Base: The "sideways trend since Oct 2025" was effectively a base-building phase where the stock absorbed supply before this leg up.
- Successful Re-tests: The fact that the stock has "re-tested" this breakout level multiple times and held above it confirms that the previous resistance has now flipped to support .
💥 3. Today's Price Action (Confirmation)
- Volume Surge: Today's volume of 14.57 Million is significant. It confirms that the breakout is supported by real buying pressure, not just retail speculation.
- Price Stability: The stock surging ~1% while holding above the resistance-turned-support area indicates that buyers are comfortable accumulating at these higher prices.
📊 4. Technical Indicators
- EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO (Price Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, showing synchronized bullish momentum.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising across all timeframes , confirming that momentum is expanding.
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Targets
With the multi-year resistance broken, the stock has room to run.
- 🐂 Bullish Target: ₹315 . This is a logical structural target, aligning with the major swing highs from early 2022.
- 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net): Support at ₹254 is the critical "line in the sand." As long as the stock stays above the ₹260–₹254 zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
Conclusion
The setup is high-quality, a technical breakout supported by a fundamental turnaround . The consolidation above the breakout zone is healthy, and the path of least resistance is now towards ₹315 .
Gujarat Pipavav Port - Heading towards All Time HighGujarat Pipavav Port is heading towards all time high i.e. ~100% return on account of following:
1. Quarter on Quarter best results are coming and last Q showed best returns
2. On charts, it is moving in a parallel channel and making High Highs and Lower Lows that too on weekly time frame.
3. Even only weekly time frame, it has consolidated and now ready to move.
4. Please see 2 green marks, which shows start of HH pattern after touching the lower parallel channel.
Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price!!
Cheers!!
M&M Fin (W): Bullish, Breakout with Short-Term Rejection(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock has confirmed a major multi-year breakout, moving into "Blue Sky" territory. However, the daily price action suggests a temporary pullback (re-test) is imminent before the uptrend resumes.
📈 1. The Breakout Structure (The "Big Picture")
- The Setup: The stock has been trapped in a consolidation phase since its July 2023 peak. The ₹330–₹335 zone acted as a rigid "ceiling" for over two years.
- The Breakout: The week of Nov 17 was decisive. The stock surged 10.98% , closing above this multi-year resistance for the first time.
- Volume: The move was backed by 29.74 Million in volume —a significant expansion compared to the "dry" consolidation phase, confirming institutional participation.
🕯️ 2. The "Shooting Star" Warning (Daily Chart)
- The Pattern: The last daily candle (Friday) formed a Shooting Star . It opened high, rallied to a new peak (~₹354), but faced heavy selling pressure to close near the lows (~₹342).
- Implication: This "long upper wick" shows that sellers are aggressively defending the ₹350+ level. It strongly suggests that the breakout is "tired" and a re-test of the breakout zone is likely next week.
🚀 3. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
This technical move is supported by strong fundamentals, which adds confidence to the long-term bullish view:
- Earnings: The breakout is a delayed reaction to strong Q2 FY26 results, where Net Profit surged ~54% YoY and asset quality improved.
- Outlook: This fundamental strength suggests that any dip (re-test) will likely be bought by smart money.
📊 4. Indicators & Trend
- RSI & EMAs: RSI is rising (bullish momentum) and EMAs are in PCO state (trend alignment) across Monthly and Weekly charts. This confirms the primary trend is UP.
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The "Shooting Star" dictates the immediate game plan: Wait for the Re-test.
🐂 The Bullish Case (Buy the Dip)
- The Strategy: Watch for the stock to pull back to the ₹333 – ₹335 zone (the resistance-turned-support).
- Confirmation: If the price stabilizes or forms a bullish candle (like a Hammer) at this level, it is a high-probability entry.
- Target 1: ₹417
- Target 2: ₹475
🐻 The Failure Case (Fakeout)
- Trigger: If the selling pressure from the Shooting Star intensifies and the stock closes back below ₹333.
- Consequence: This would confirm a "fakeout" (bull trap), and the stock could slide back toward the consolidation midpoint around ₹300.
Conclusion
The breakout is genuine, but the Shooting Star signals a short-term pause. The ideal approach is to wait for the re-test at ₹335 to confirm that the "ceiling" has truly become a "floor."
Tata Consumer (W): Bullish, Consolidation Breakout(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock is emerging from a 9-month sideways consolidation phase. While it has cleared the immediate resistance, the major test lies at the All-Time High (ATH) zone. The formation of bullish reversal candles on the weekly chart suggests buyers are regaining control.
📈 1. Trend & Structure (The "Box" Breakout)
- The Context: Since hitting its peak in Mar 2024, the stock has been trapped in a sideways "box" range.
- The Breakout: This week, the stock managed to close above the immediate horizontal resistance (approx. ₹1,170 - ₹1,180 ).
- Clarification on Resistance: It is important to note that while this is a breakout of the consolidation range, the major All-Time High resistance (around ₹1,240 - ₹1,253) is still just overhead. This is the final hurdle before "blue sky" territory.
🕯️ 2. Candlestick Analysis (The Bullish Signal)
- Hammer Candles: The last two weekly candles resemble Hammer formations (long lower wicks with small bodies).
- Interpretation: This indicates that every time sellers pushed the price down (towards ₹1,130-₹1,140), aggressive buying emerged to push it back up. This "rejection of lower prices" is a classic sign that the bottom is in.
📊 3. Indicators & Volume
- Volume Profile: Volume "dried up" significantly during the correction, and we are now seeing a gradual expansion in volume on up-weeks, indicating institutional accumulation.
- EMAs: The short-term EMAs are realigning into a bullish PCO (Price Crossover) state, confirming the trend shift.
- RSI: The RSI is rising from the mid-zone (above 50), showing that momentum is building without being overbought yet.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Targets
- 🐂 Target 1: ₹1,355 (Achievable once ₹1,253 is cleared).
- 🐂 Target 2: ₹1,570 (Long-term extension).
- 🛑 Support (The Safety Net): If the breakout fails, the stock will likely retest the demand zone at ₹1,040.7
Key Watchout
Watch the price action near ₹1,250. A high-volume close above this level is the "final confirmation" needed to activate the targets of ₹1,355+. Until then, it is a "buy on dips" setup.
Premier Polyfilm Ltd – Inverted Hammer Reversal at Key SupportStrong Bullish Candle After Multi-Month Downtrend
Premier Polyfilm has printed a bullish Inverted Hammer at a major support zone after a prolonged decline — a classic early reversal signal on the weekly timeframe. The stock has been falling consistently for months, and this week’s sharp +12% bounce shows strong buying interest returning near the demand zone of ₹34–₹36.
Price is now closing above the minor resistance zone (₹40–₹43). If sustained, the stock may attempt a short-term trend reversal.
RSI also shows a bullish uptick from oversold territory, supporting the possibility of a relief rally.
🎯 Key Technical Levels
CMP: ₹43.00 (+12.33%)
Immediate Resistance: ₹49–₹52
Major Resistance Zone: ₹73–₹80
Support Zone: ₹34–₹36
Major Support: ₹30
Swing SL: Close below ₹35 (weekly basis)
📈 Technical View
A clean Inverted Hammer candle formed exactly at support → early reversal signal.
RSI bouncing sharply from oversold (14–20 range).
Price reclaiming the small demand zone around ₹40–₹43.
Trend is still down, but first signs of exhaustion are visible.
Sustaining above ₹43 could lead to a move toward the 20-week EMA and the ₹49–₹52 area.
🧠 View
Premier Polyfilm has shown its first strong bullish candle after several months of selling pressure. The combination of Inverted Hammer + support + RSI reversal makes this an early-stage reversal watch. A weekly close above ₹43 strengthens the case for upside toward ₹49–₹52, and potentially ₹70+ on a medium-term basis.
Leela Palaces Hotels & Resorts Ltd – Inverted Head & ShouldersLeela Palaces has formed a clean Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the 75-minute timeframe, signalling a potential trend reversal after weeks of sideways movement.
Price has now broken above the neckline zone (~₹443–₹445) with a strong bullish candle, supported by improving volume — indicating buyers stepping back in.
A sustained move above the neckline could push the stock toward the measured target near ₹473–₹475, which aligns with previous swing supply.
🎯 Key Levels
CMP: ₹445.60 (+1.76%)
Neckline Zone: ₹443 – ₹445
Pattern Target: ₹472 – ₹475
Support Zone: ₹430 – ₹433
Stop-Loss: Below ₹430 (75-min close basis)
📈 Technical View
Clear Inverted H&S structure with shoulders at ₹428 & ₹435, and head at ~₹420.
EMA alignment turning positive (bullish slope developing).
Breakout candle above neckline confirms strength.
Volume improving during the breakout → added confirmation.
Immediate resistance now becomes support; a retest of ₹443–₹445 may offer opportunities.
🧠 View
Leela Palaces is breaking out of a well-formed Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern. If the price holds above the neckline, the stock may move towards the ₹473–₹475 zone. Watch for retest entries and volume continuation.
DOMS Industries Ltd – Range Breakout Attempt After Earnings.DOMS Industries continues to trade inside a well-defined range structure, with price repeatedly rejecting the ₹2,630–₹2,660 resistance zone. The recent strong bullish candle toward the upper boundary, combined with improving sentiment after earnings, signals a potential breakout attempt.
A clear gap zone retest around ₹2,520–₹2,550 provided a solid base. Support at ₹2,450 has held cleanly multiple times, validating the lower boundary of the range.
With volume slowly recovering from its multi-week decline and price pressing into resistance again, DOMS is approaching a decisive move.
🎯 Key Technical Levels
CMP: ₹2,621.70 (+4.49%)
Resistance Zone: ₹2,630 – ₹2,660 (Range high)
Gap Support: ₹2,520 – ₹2,550
Major Support: ₹2,450
Breakout Levels to Watch: Close above ₹2,660 with strong volume
📈 Technical View
Price is respecting a horizontal range for several weeks.
Repeated rejections highlighted by circles show strong supply near ₹2,650.
Gap zone acted as demand, helping price bounce back toward resistance.
Volume trend has been falling, suggesting participation has been subdued — a pickup in volume during any breakout would be critical.
Structure stays bullish above ₹2,520; bearish only if price closes below ₹2,450.
📊 Latest Earnings Snapshot
DOMS continues to deliver strong quarterly performance, supporting the technical setup:
Q2 FY26 (Sep 2025):
Net Profit: ~₹55.8 Cr
YoY Profit Growth: ~16%
Q1 FY26:
Revenue: ₹508.7 Cr (↑ ~26% YoY)
PAT: ~₹59.1 Cr (↑ ~8.8% YoY)
Consistent earnings growth strengthens the medium-term outlook and boosts confidence in a potential range breakout.
🧠 View
DOMS is back at its major resistance zone after a clean bounce from the gap support. A strong-volume breakout above ₹2,660 can trigger a momentum extension toward fresh highs, while ₹2,520 and ₹2,450 remain key demand zones to watch.
UPL (W): Strongly Bullish, Fundamentally-Driven BreakoutBased on Weekly Timeframe, Logarithmic Scale
This is a high-conviction breakout. The stock has decisively broken a 4.5-year angular resistance, driven by a blockbuster quarterly earnings report that confirmed a strong business turnaround. The alignment of high-timeframe indicators suggests a new long-term uptrend is beginning.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical breakout is not random. It is a direct response to strong Q2 2026 earnings :
- Strong Profitability: The company reported a 40% year-over-year growth in EBITDA and a net profit of ₹553 crore , a massive turnaround from the net loss reported in the same quarter last year.
- Upgraded Guidance: Management upgraded its full-year EBITDA growth guidance, signaling confidence in the business.
- Market Reaction: This news provided the "fuel" for the market to absorb supply and break the multi-year resistance.
📈 2. The Long-Term Setup (The "Big Picture")
- The 2021 Peak: After its ATH in June 2021 , the stock was capped by a long-term angular resistance trendline .
- The 2024 Bottom: The stock was in a corrective downtrend, which found its ultimate bottom in March 2024 .
- The Reversal: Since that low, the stock has been in a steady reversal, forming a bullish structure of Higher Lows .
- The "Lid": This recovery was repeatedly halted by the 4.5-year angular resistance, which it failed to break on previous attempts.
📊 3. The Decisive Breakout (The Past Two Weeks)
- Week of Nov 03: The stock broke out and closed above the angular resistance for the first time.
- Week of Nov 10: The stock confirmed the breakout with a gap-up open and a further 1.42% gain.
- Volume: The volume during the March 2024 uptrend was low (a "wall of worry"), but the breakout and confirmation weeks saw above-average volume ( 12.29 Million last week), confirming institutional interest.
🎯 4. Confluence of Indicators
Indicator analysis confirms the new long-term trend. This "trifecta" of bullishness on high timeframes is very powerful:
- EMAs: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages are in a "PCO" (Price Crossover) state on both the Monthly and Weekly charts.
- RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising on both the Monthly and Weekly charts.
🧠 5. Short-Term Caution & Future Scenarios
- The "Inverted Hammer": The last daily candle of the week was an "inverted hammer." This is a sign of short-term indecision and profit-taking . It signals that while the breakout is valid, it's meeting immediate supply, and a healthy pullback or "re-test" is highly possible.
- Conclusion: The trend is now bullish, but the entry point is key.
🐂 The Bullish Case (Continuation)
- Trigger: The bullish momentum continues, absorbing the short-term profit-taking.
- Target: The next logical price target is ₹830 .
🐻 The Pullback Case (Healthy Re-test)
- Trigger: If the "inverted hammer" plays out and momentum is lost in the short term .
- Support: The price would likely fall to re-test the angular resistance-turned-support at ₹730 . A "bounce" off this level would be a classic, healthy confirmation of the breakout.
Thyrocare-A beautiful breakout is done!Thyrocare has given a good closing today above its previous ATH.
Stock has formed a beautiful rounding bottom pattern. Volumes buildup before breakout is decent as well.
Previously, i had covered Policybazar & Zomato with such patterns and they have given amazing returns.
Keep this stock in watchlist. This can give similar move as well.
Entering at ATH levels is tricky but these stocks come with excellent reward opportunity.
I am NISM certified RA and not SEBI registered.
This is not a recommendation but is shared for you to learn.






















