Bitcoin’s Next Move? I’m Watching These Key Zones 📍 4H,15mTimeframe – BTC
🎯 Market Cycles:
HWC (High timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
MWC (Mid timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
LWC (Low timeframe cycle): Ranging 🔁 (price is moving sideways, not trending)
🟢 Since both HWC and MWC are bullish, our focus is on looking for long positions only (buying to profit from price increases).
📌 My strategy is breakout-based, meaning I wait for price to break key support or resistance levels to enter a trade.
❗ As long as HWC and MWC are in the same direction, I avoid trading against them — so no shorts for me in this phase.
But... 👀
Right now, price is testing an area where we’ve seen pullbacks and heavy sell-offs in the past. So, if someone wants to take a very low-risk short, it's possible — but expect a high chance of getting stopped out 🚨
🧠 If you take the short, make sure to secure profits quickly 💰 because the price might bounce fast.
📈 For Long:
Wait for a clean breakout above 94452 – that’s your long entry ✅
📉 For Short:
Watch how price reacts to the trendline in the 15-minute timeframe.
If the reaction is weak, that’s your chance to play the breakout.
Around 91950, if price reacts strongly, it’s a great level to take profit ✂️
💬 If you want me to analyze a coin, drop it in the comments!
⚠️ Without risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb.
— PXA 📊
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction #MarketCycle #LongSetup #ShortSetup #SupportResistance
#Trendline #CryptoTrader #4HChart #TradingView #PXA
Volume
BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE – April 21, 2025🔴 BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE – April 21, 2025
💰The D1 chart of
BTC
is currently showing a pretty solid buying signal. From the 78k support zone, we can see that buyers have stepped in. Although the price has broken the downtrend line and there are positive signals from the MACD, I have the following observations that you should pay close attention to before making any trading strategy decisions during this period:
1. The trendline breakout signal doesn’t necessarily indicate that the market is entering an uptrend. It could simply mean that the downtrend has temporarily ended.
2. There is a divergence signal on the MACD; however, I don’t place much weight on this, because the two lines are wrapped tightly around each other. From my experience, this signal shows more of a “PROBING” move rather than strong buyer commitment.
3. I also checked the momentum indicator, and it doesn’t show any clear bullish signals yet. This phase still doesn’t give a high-confidence indication that the market is about to reverse.
Based on these three reasons, I have two potential views for this phase:
✔️View 1: The ideal scenario is that
BTC
continues to rise toward the nearest liquidity peak (around 93k), but it would still need to pull back afterward to retest the support zone—it’s unlikely to just skyrocket without correction.
✔️View 2:
BTC
reverses at this point and forms a consolidation zone within the gray box, with price fluctuating in an 8k–10k range for the next 3 to 6 months, before making a decisive move in Q4/2025.
Personally, I lean more toward **View 2**! Because the market still lacks a clear bullish signal at this stage.
What do you think about these two scenarios? Drop a comment and let’s discuss!
Nifty 50 Index Analysis & Trade Setup (April 1, 2025)1. Current Market Overview
Last Close: 23,495.15
Day’s Range: 23,450.20 (Low) – 23,545.30 (High)
Change: -48.50 (-0.21%) – Minor bearish close
Key Observations:
The index faced resistance near 23,545 and closed slightly lower.
The 15-minute chart shows consolidation between 23,450–23,545.
The 1-hour chart suggests a broader range between 23,200–23,800.
2. Technical Analysis Breakdown
a) Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 23,450 (Day’s Low)
Strong Support: 23,200–23,400 (Previous swing low & psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 23,545–23,600 (Day’s High & round number)
Strong Resistance: 23,800 (Key swing high)
b) Price Action & Trend
Bearish Bias: The index closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.
Neutral Zone: If 23,450–23,545 holds, expect sideways movement.
Breakout Scenario:
Bullish Break: Above 23,600, target 23,800.
Bearish Break: Below 23,450, target 23,200–23,300.
c) Volume & Momentum
The decline was not extreme, suggesting cautious selling rather than panic.
A retest of 23,500–23,600 could confirm direction.
3. Trade Strategy (Intraday/Swing)
A) Short Trade (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 23,500–23,550 (Retest of resistance)
Stop Loss: 23,600 (Above day’s high)
Target 1: 23,400 (Minor support)
Target 2: 23,200–23,300 (Strong support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2 (Favorable)
B) Long Trade (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Zone: 23,450–23,400 (Support bounce)
Stop Loss: 23,350 (Below swing low)
Target 1: 23,600 (Resistance)
Target 2: 23,800 (Major resistance)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3 (High reward if breakout occurs)
4. Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
Bearish until 23,600 breaks – The close below 23,500 suggests weakness.
Watch 23,450 closely – A breakdown could accelerate selling.
Bullish only above 23,600 – Confirmation needed for upside momentum.
Ideal Strategy: Wait for a clear break (either side) before committing.
Final Note: If the market opens near 23,500, watch for rejection (short) or bounce (long). Adjust stops based on volatility.
Death Crossover Strategy Explained with 50-EMA & 200-EMA line.Hello Traders! In today's post, we’ll explore the Death Crossover Strategy , a highly effective technique used by traders to identify potential trend reversals. This strategy involves the 50-EMA (Exponential Moving Average) crossing below the 200-EMA , which is considered a bearish signal.
In this chart of IndusInd Bank Ltd., we can clearly see the Death Crossover in action. The 50-EMA (green line) has crossed below the 200-EMA (red line), signaling a potential downtrend.
Key Insights:
Death Crossover : Occurs when the short-term moving average ( 50-EMA ) crosses below the long-term moving average ( 200-EMA ), suggesting the beginning of a downtrend.
Volume Confirmation : A sudden increase in volume after the crossover confirms the strength of the signal. In this case, the volume spike at the crossover indicates a strong bearish momentum.
Target Areas : After a Death Crossover , look for potential support levels to target as the price moves lower. In the chart, we can see how the price retraced and then continued its downward journey.
Price Action Post-Crossover:
In this example, the stock dropped by approximately -38.12% after the Death Crossover , highlighting how powerful this signal can be in catching major trend reversals.
Risk Management :
Stop Loss : To protect your capital, always use a stop-loss order just above the 50-EMA (green line) when entering a short trade after the crossover.
Position Sizing : Keep your position sizes small in trending markets to manage risk and ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Note: We have used this chart just for teaching the strategy and its potential impact.
This is a great strategy to catch long-term downtrends, but as always, remember to use it alongside other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to increase your chances of success.
Happy Trading!
MAX HEALTHCARE - Bearish after breaking down from Double Top
DOUBLE TOP PATTERN -
market has broken down from perfect double top pattern indicating potential downward fall for the stock
VOLUME SURGE -
market has shown sudden volume surge recently indicating downward fall is coupled with strong volume
NEARING 100D SMA -
market is hovering above 100D sma. In past, it had touched the 100D sma whenever it has come close to it indicating market may soon fall to touch this moving average
TARGET -
price may fall till the target of 1008
SBICARD: Monthly Pennant Breakout - How High Can It Fly?NSE:SBICARD
The stock has given a pennant pattern breakout on monthly chart with good volume along with second month on consecutive buying
This month's closing would be interesting to watch as it'd confirm the follow on move
916.95 / 946 / 1149 will act as strong resistance levels especially 1149 which is around it's ATH level a monthly close above it will fuel the further rally.
Since it's ATH in September 2021 stock has been in a downtrend but seems like things are about to change for good
SBI Cards & Payment Services is India's second-largest credit card issuer and a subsidiary of SBI.
Market Position :
SBI Cards is a leader in the credit card industry, holding an 18.5% market share in card-in-force and a 15.7% share in spending. You'll find them actively expanding into Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities to tap into new markets. Plus, partnerships with brands like Apple and Singapore Airlines help them attract premium customers.
Recent Financials (Q3 FY25):
Revenue: ₹4,767 crore (up 1% YoY).
Net Profit: ₹383 crore (down 30% YoY).
Net Interest Income (NII): ₹3,790 crore (down 3.5% YoY).
Asset Quality: Gross NPA at 3.24%, Net NPA at 1.18%.
9-Month Performance (9MFY25):
Revenue: ₹14,300 crore (up ~2% YoY).
Net Profit: ₹1,200 crore (down ~25% YoY).
Where is SBI Cards Headed?
Management is optimistic, projecting annual revenue growth of 10%-15% over the next two years. The plan involves:
Tapping into smaller cities to bring in new customers.
Boosting the digital experience for seamless customer interactions.
Launching exciting co-branded cards aimed at high-value users.
And don't forget, potential RBI rate cuts in FY26 could lower borrowing costs and boost the bottom line.
Senores Pharma: Cup & Handle - Ready for Some Action?NSE:SENORES
Senores Pharma is forming a potential cup and handle on the daily timeframe. A breakout attempt on Feb 6, 2025, failed to sustain above ₹607.35 as selling pressure came in second half.
Now, the cup and handle pattern is progressing, making next week crucial. A close above ₹607.35 is the key level to watch for confirmation.
Volumes are rising, with today's volume (Feb 21, 2025) nearly 5x yesterday's. The stock's resilience despite market pressure indicates strength.
Cup and Handle pattern usually don't disappoint so would be interesting to watch.
Senores Pharmaceuticals is a research-driven company focused on developing specialty pharmaceutical products for regulated markets. The company has shown impressive financial performance:
Recent Financials (Q3 FY25):
Net Sales: ₹106.4 crore (up 35% YoY from ₹78.7 crore in Q3 FY24)
QoQ Performance: Increased from ₹104.4 crore in Q2 FY25 (up 1.92%)
EBITDA: ₹29.1 crore (up 92% YoY)
PAT: ₹17.2 crore (up 142% YoY from ₹7.1 crore in Q3 FY24)
9MFY25 Performance:
Total Revenue: ₹288.1 crore (up 157% YoY from ₹112.1 crore in 9MFY24)
PAT: ₹40.7 crore (up 162% YoY)
Market Position : The stock has outperformed its sector and the broader Sensex, achieving consecutive gains over the past month and trading above multiple moving averages.
Future Projections : Management anticipates a top-line growth of 50%-60% for FY26, with plans to launch five new products in the current quarter.
Strategic Focus : Continued investment in R&D and infrastructure development is expected to enhance manufacturing capabilities and expand product offerings.
CreditAcess Grameen Standing near a crucial trendline support!Chart of Creditaccess is quite interesting.
Stock has a trendline support from which it has bounced multiple times in past.
Recently, stock has tried to bounce with very very very heavy volumes indicating big money getting exchange.
Given the history of the stock, we should at least expect 100% upside from this level. But it ccan also be a trap and stock can breakdown from here.
A safer level to watch is would be a weekly closing above 1110.
Support is 800 WCB for stock.
On upside, stock can go to 1480, 1710, 2000++
Very very risky. It can be a bottom fishing or a trap.
Idea shared for educational purposes only. We all should just watch what will happen from here and learn from it.