The Japanese Yen Weakens Below 153.00 Against the USDHere’s a hot update on the USD/JPY pair from Alisa, everyone! The situation is getting intense.
The Japanese Yen is facing increasing complexity as it encounters multiple opposing pressures. With the DPP leader’s opposition to rate hikes, optimistic market sentiment, strong USD buying pressure, and concerns over potential intervention by the Japanese government, a chaotic picture is emerging for the USD/JPY pair. Investors are cautiously awaiting the Bank of Japan’s decision and upcoming U.S. economic data to make their next move.
The USD/JPY pair is trading around 153.26, indicating strong short-term fluctuations. The 1-hour technical chart signals a downward trend, with support at 152.831 and resistance at 153.278 being key focus points. Although the pair attempted to break through the resistance level, selling pressure quickly pushed the price back down. Without any new supportive factors, it’s likely that the pair may break through the support level, opening the door for a deeper decline.
Will the USD/JPY continue to drop, or are we in for a surprising rebound? What do you all think?
Waveanalyis
Economic Recession Weighs on EUR/USDHello everyone, Alisa is back! Today, let’s analyze the EUR/USD currency pair.
EUR/USD has fallen below 1.0800 due to concerns over an economic recession in the Eurozone and the ECB's continued rate cuts. Inflation decreasing faster than expected has driven these decisions, reducing the Euro’s appeal.
On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is showing a clear downtrend. The 1.080 resistance level has become a significant barrier, repeatedly pushing the price back. Even with recovery attempts, the pair is quickly pulled down by the previous support level, which has now turned into a new resistance.
Investors should exercise caution with the EUR/USD pair during this period. The ECB's rate cuts and the gloomy economic outlook for the Eurozone may trigger unexpected volatility in the market.
Low risk buying in RELIANCEA low-risk high probability buying setup is forming in RELIANCE.
Price is taking support at the cluster of 38.2% retracement, 100% extension of Flat correction, and trendline in red.
If the price enters and sustains in the blue channel, showing bullish pressure, it will provide a good buying opportunity with a stop loss below the recent low.
Bank Nifty Reversal Trade-Setup with Great RRBank Nifty is trading at big demand zone and and we see significant potential for an upside move for several reasons:
Reasons for Going Long in Bank Nifty:
1. Ichimoku Daily Cloud Bottom
2. Ichimoku Weekly KS Support
3. Bullish MACD Divergence on the 1-hour time frame
4. Completing Triple Correction—WXYXZ (considering a truncated scenario; otherwise, BN might aim for the 127% and 161.8% levels mentioned in the earlier post)
CMP: 49,718
Expected Targets: 51,300, 51,700
Stop Loss: 49,590
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fin Nifty is Bearish - Can hit 22680 in coming days! 1:3.5 RRWhy Short Fin Nifty:
Current Market Price: 23879
Fin Nifty has completed its 1-2-3-4-5 subwaves and rejected the 261.8% level (24,027) yesterday. Risky players can short at current price but it has strong support at 23,750.
Once this level breaks, the price structure will change, giving us double confirmation as Ichimoku will break both the TS and KS by that time. So this entry will be safer but SL will be little big.
Stop Loss: 24,056
T arget: 22,680
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.5
Note: We always prefer futures or option selling with an edge to avoid overnight risks.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fin Nifty Budget Day Expiry - Wave Counting Fin Nifty spent the last few days moving sideways after a significant fall from 161.8% (24,000). The corrective wave has completed waves A and B, and today, the price almost touched 61.8% (minimum C wave Fibonacci level). However, the C wave often extends further in a flat correction, making it highly likely to hit 100% or more.
Resistance Levels: 23,719, 23,815, 24,000
Support Levels: 23,433, 23,183, 23,005, 22,777
Fin Nifty might reach these mentioned support zones if it continues to trade below 23,719.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Short Trade with small SLWhy Shorting Bank Nifty?
Initially we expected Bank Nifty to touch 53500 but wave 5th failed by 150 points. High made 53357.
Bank Nifty is entered downtrend by breaking IChimoku TS KS in 1hour and price action levels.
CMP: 52641
Entry: 52600
Stop Loss: 52985
Target: 51675
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Globus Spirits Wave Counting and Next Targets 1700 and 2350!Here is why we are super bullish on Globus Spirits:
1. This stock has corrected deeply from the top (61.8% Fib).
2. Falling wedge pattern (proper buying angle).
3. Hidden bullish divergence.
4. Wave analysis: The stock has completed Waves A and B, and is now ready for Wave C.
5. Ichimoku turning positive.
We see great risk-to-reward in this stock. It has the potential to hit our targets and could rally even further.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bull Run Over? Will Nifty Return to 19K? | Nifty50 Wave AnalysisWave has already shared the Nifty wave counting (2020-24) earlier. Please refer to the following links:
Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis 2020-24 With Subordinates Counting
Strong Wave 5th is Happening: Nifty Wave Analysis in DTF
The big wave 5th of the impulse, which started from the 2020 COVID bottom, has hit 261.8%, and we have to go for a degree correction.
Three possibilities:
1. Rally Continues : Wave 5th can go in extension further if Nifty can sustain weekly candles above 24,127. It can hit 26,000, but the possibilities are very low due to many factors like divergences, Ichimoku gaps, Yearly CPR etc.
2. Time-wise Correction: Nifty can stay in a big range (4,000-5,000 points) for one or two years.
Who can benefit from this? Option sellers, for sure.
3. Price-wise Correction: Nifty can see a sharp fall to the demand zones we mentioned.
Who can benefit from this? Option buyers, directional options and future sellers.
Note: Edge is compulsory for any trades to avoid unexpected events since it's going to be a positional trade.
Entry Points:
Current Market Price is 24,302, and a 1-hour candle close below 24,170 is our short entry.
Stop Loss:
The safest SL is 24,610, but if this SL is too big for swing/intraday traders, they can keep the stop loss above 24,450.
Targets:
We have mentioned three demand zones in the chart based on Fibonacci retracement:
First Demand Zone: 22,000-22,500
Second Demand Zone: 20,030-20,960
Third Demand Zone: 18,000-18,500
A Breakout in HDFC can take Bank Nifty to one more High? July 243rd July, 2024: Bank Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis
The impulse that started on June 4th after the election day crash is still ongoing and progressing through waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.
Bank Nifty has completed waves 1, 2, and 3, and currently, we are in wave 4 (at present, we're not considering further extension scenarios of wave 3).
HDFC Bank & Bank Nifty:
HDFC Bank has a 28.38% weightage in the Bank Nifty index, and currently, HDFC is standing at a multi-year breakout level.
We shared the HDFC Bank analysis a few weeks ago; please check the link below.
Buy Entry Points:
Wait for a good dip near the 51600-51800 range and check if the price forms a W pattern and gives a breakout above the TS, KS & Cloud in Ichimoku.
Exit Points:
We have to wait for the wave 4 low point to determine the wave 5 target. We will update the status here.
Stop Loss:
100-150 points below the wave 4 low point. We will update once we get confirmation.
The risk-to-reward ratio will be great because wave 5 is expected to cross 53K.
Note: This trade is not active yet. Confirmation is always good for entry and exit.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
A Breakout in HDFC can take Bank Nifty to one more High? July 243rd July, 2024: Bank Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis
The impulse that started on June 4th after the election day crash is still ongoing and progressing through waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.
Bank Nifty has completed waves 1, 2, and 3, and currently, we are in wave 4 (at present, we're not considering further extension scenarios of wave 3).
HDFC Bank & Bank Nifty:
HDFC Bank has a 28.38% weightage in the Bank Nifty index, and currently, HDFC is standing at a multi-year breakout level.
We shared the HDFC Bank analysis a few weeks ago; please check the link below.
[ Link to HDFC Bank Analysis ]
Buy Entry Points:
Wait for a good dip near the 51600-51800 range and check if the price forms a W pattern and gives a breakout above the TS, KS & Cloud in Ichimoku.
Exit Points:
We have to wait for the wave 4 low point to determine the wave 5 target. We will update the status here and in our Telegram group: t.me
Stop Loss:
100-150 points below the wave 4 low point. We will update once we get confirmation.
The risk-to-reward ratio will be great because wave 5 is expected to cross 53K.
Note: This trade is not active yet. Confirmation is always good for entry and exit.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Trade Setup - Small SLBased on Ichimoku, demand-supply zone and Wave Analysis, We see good shorting opportunity in Bank nifty.
Entry: 52559
Stop Loss: 52917
Targets:51,918, 51575 and 51030
CE sell with Ce edge is best option.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
1:5 RR Trade: Sell Nifty below 23877 with SL 24120, Tgt 22670Based on Wave Analysis and the Ichimoku 1-Hour Time Frame, we have a good short opportunity with a very small stop loss.
Time: 12:52 PM, June 27th, 2024
Current Market Price: 24,024
Why Short Entry at 23,877?
Wave Analysis: Nifty has completed waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Wave 5 hit 127% today at 23,899 and touched the 24,000 psychological mark. We will have the first sign of confirmation if Nifty drops below 23,898 and sustains this level for 1 hour. It has to go for a correction. We will be wrong if Nifty crosses our stop loss after the entry is triggered.
Trendline Breakout: When Nifty breaks 23,877, we will have a trendline breakout, which will be our second confirmation for short positions.
Selling call options or selling Nifty futures with a monthly OTM CE hedge is a good option.
We will keep updating more in the update section.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Intraday Trade Setup - Nifty Wave Analysis: Today's ExpiryNifty Analysis (15-Minute TF): June Monthly Expiry - 27-06-2024
Nifty is in the final leg of Wave 5. The third wave of Wave 5 was completed yesterday, and we are likely to see the 4th and 5th waves today.
Nifty might take the morning session for Wave 4 and the second half for Wave 5.
We have mentioned entry and exit points in the chart; please refer to it.
Buy Entry: 23,740-23,770
Average Place: 23,700-23,720
Stop Loss: 23,680 (very small stop loss)
Options Strategy:
Option Selling:
1. Strangle and straddle will work in the morning session.
2. Go for directional PE selling near our buy zone and sell more lots near the average place with the stop loss mentioned above.
Options Buying: We don't recommend option buying. However, if you try option buying, take the next week's expiry near our buy zone and keep a strict stop loss at 23,680.
Futures Buying: We can consider buying Nifty July Future with next week PE hedge too.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
CholaFin Wave Analysis - Wave 3 is Running! Use Ichimoku to RideCHOLAMANDALAM (CholaFin) Chart Analysis
As per Elliott Wave analysis, CholaFin is still bullish. The price reversed after a strong bullish divergence in the MACD and has completed the subwaves of Wave 2 of Wave 3. Currently, it is moving up in Wave 3 of Wave 3.
Use Ichimoku for entry & exits (Daily time frame):
Entry Point: Look for a good dip to enter and avg(for long-term) when the price is near the Ichimoku Cloud's support. Enter when the Price breaks TS/KS with momentum candle.
Exit Point: Consider exiting the position when the price starts to show weakness near TS and KS in daily chart. Another exit signal could be when the candle close below the cloud.
By using the Ichimoku indicator in conjunction with Elliott Wave analysis, you can identify more precise entry and exit points to maximize your trading strategy.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
Bank Nifty Weekly Wave Analysis & Positional Trade SetupReason for shorting:
As per Elliott Wave theory, Bank Nifty has completed the 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 moves, and wave 5 went up in a contracting triangle ED (Ending Diagonal).
It has completed a degree, and now we are expecting a correction. Based on Fibonacci retracement levels, our minimum targets are 0.618 and 0.786.
Time Frame: Weekly
Stop Loss: Above ATH (51130)
Targets: Mentioned in the chart
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Accelya Solutions for 60% gainAccelya is a software solutions provider to global airline and travel industry, the sector that is booming more than ever. The stock looks good to attain a mid term target of 2750, also the 1.618 Fibonacci level, visible on the chart. In addition, a cup and handle (C&H) is under formation since Feb 2017 which has a target of 3000+. In any case, a 60% jump is attainable in the next 6 months to a year i.e a minimum of 5% a month.
Remember, the easier it seems, the more it tests your personal traits. This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own due diligence.
Anticipating Tesla to reach 320 within Wave V.Anticipating Tesla to reach 320 within Wave V.
In Elliott Wave Theory, the concept of "Wave V" represents the final major move in a five-wave sequence. It is usually the wave that follows after Wave IV, and it often leads to the end of a significant trend. In the case of Tesla stock (TSLA), anticipate it to reach 320 within Wave V.
BankNifty-The Magical Playground of WaveTalks: 109 SessionHey little explorers! Gather around because it's time to continue our fun adventure story with WaveTalks. You remember our big playground where numbers play like kids, right? Let's see what exciting things are happening there now!
Chapter 1: The Big Bounce
Do you remember the magical bounce we saw on July 30th? The numbers played on the swings, going up and down. They climbed so high, almost reaching the sky, but then they swooshed down really fast, just like going down a giant slide! - bounce of 200 points & reaching the 1st target at 45790’s - actual high was 45782 - Wow!!! - What a fall, Resistance of 109 session moving average. Later Fall of 2000+ points close to our target of 43345 - Actual low was approx 43600
Chapter 2: Trampoline Fun
In August, our numbers found a magical trampoline where they bounced happily, going "boing, boing, boing" between two special numbers: 43940 and 44000. It was so much fun watching them bounce up and down! ( Taking support of 109 session moving average - What A mysterious X-wave bounce for 500+ points)
Chapter 3: X-Wave's Secret
As we moved to the end of August, we met a friendly wave called X-Wave. It whispered a secret to us: "If the numbers stay above a special spot, they can jump up even higher!" And guess what? On the first day of September, the numbers did just that, they jumped up like they were on a bouncy castle, making everyone cheer with joy! ( finally bouncing above 43900-44000- same old zone support of mysterious X-wave & 500+ points bounce repeated again)
Chapter 4: The Magic of 109 session Moving Average
Now, here's where the magic happens, friends! There's a magical number - 109. It's like a magic wand that helps us understand where the numbers might go next. Right now, the numbers are playing in a special area between 44300 and 44450, and guess what, it's been 109 session, since they started playing here! ( could act as support zone once again like how it provided support to Mysterious X-wave )
Intraday Moves
If they continue to play nicely in this area, they might climb up a tall ladder to a new fun spot at 44650. And if they are really happy there, they might even climb a little higher to 44750, where they can see the whole playground from above!
What Happens Next?
Well, little adventurers, now we wait and watch. If the numbers play happily at 44750, they might go even higher, just like flying with balloons. But remember, sometimes they might also come down to try a new slide or swing. That's the fun part, we never really know, but we can always guess and have fun watching them play.
Best Wishes from WaveTalks
So, are you riding these waves with us? At WaveTalks, we say, "Can you hear it?"
Disclaimer:
Trading in Financial markets is risky, and one could lose part or all of their invested capital. Always trade based on the advice of your financial consultant.
Elliott Wave Analysis of Tesla Bullish Perspective with CautionsHello Friends
Here we had shared study of Elliott wave analysis for Tesla A bullish perspective with cautions,
In the world of Elliott Wave theory, let's take a closer look at Tesla's chart. Here's what we found.
On an intermediate degree, we've witnessed the completion of two waves, elegantly labeled as "Wave (1)" and "Wave (2)." Currently, the spotlight is on "Wave (3)," which tends to bring about significant market changes.
Within Wave (3), we've ventured a step further by identifying "minor wave 1" of Wave (3). This delves into even greater detail, allowing us to see the inner workings of market dynamics.
Zooming in even closer, we've navigated the world of "minute" degrees within "minor wave 1." This revealing sub-waves (i), (ii), (iii), and (iv), setting the stage for what's next - the anticipated "sub-wave (v).
But that's not all. A promising development has occurred. Tesla has broken above the 0-B resistance trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum and strengthening the case for a bullish scenario.
In summary, the Elliott Wave analysis suggests a bullish outlook for Tesla, with the breakout above the 0-B resistance trendline serving as a confirmation. Long positions are an option, with target levels set at 400 and 500, and potentially more. However, caution is warranted, with an invalidation level set at 101.81. If Tesla's price were to drop below this level, it could indicate a different scenario - a potential double correction as double (a)-(b)-(c) which we can label as "W-X-Y" within "Wave (2).
As always, no analysis is infallible, and surprises can still occur in the market. Risk management remains crucial. We'll eagerly await your further instructions to continue exploring Tesla's potential.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Thanks
RK💕
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Expected Trend CyclesHello Everyone
This is our long term view chart and this is our view.
Notes
# Expect price to move up in upcoming week (1or 2) in form of wave (5) { our medium term cycle}
# After that you will see a correction in form of wave ((4)) {our long term cycle}
# Expect price to move up in form of wave(5)
Note- This is our general view , activation level will be given when the pattern completed because littile bit of forecast changes as price progress.