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Wave Analysis

Tube Investments of India Ltd — Wave X Triangle in PlayAfter the sharp decline from ₹4,810, the recent advance initially looked like a potential leading diagonal of a new impulse. However, the internal overlaps and choppy rhythm point instead to a Wave X triangle, likely part of a larger corrective sequence (W–X–Y). As long as price holds below ₹3,419.90, the bearish outlook remains intact, with the next leg — Wave Y — possibly aiming toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (₹2,511–₹1,968). That region, close to the golden ratio, may act as a potential termination zone for the entire correction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TIINDIAShort
by WaveXplorer
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 9, 2025 1. Momentum Daily (D1) – Daily momentum has already turned bearish – I expect the downside move to continue for the next few days until D1 momentum reaches the oversold zone – This suggests that medium-term corrective pressure is still dominant H4 – H4 momentum is preparing to turn bearish – We need to wait for H4 candle close confirmation – Once confirmed, price is likely to experience at least a few bearish H4 candles H1 – H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone – In the short term, a technical rebound on H1 is likely – This rebound will be critical for identifying a potential sell opportunity 2. Elliott Wave Structure Daily Wave Structure (D1) – With Daily momentum turning bearish, I expect price to continue developing the purple wave Y – Based on last week’s analysis (which will be updated again this week), Weekly momentum still needs around two more weekly candles to reach the oversold zone – This implies that wave Y may evolve as a time-consuming corrective structure, such as: – A 5-wave structure – A zigzag – Or a triangle – These scenarios align with the principle of alternation, where corrective structures tend to become more complex over time – Therefore, we continue to let momentum and wave structure confirm each other (This is a key difference in my Elliott Wave approach: I do not rely solely on wave patterns, but always integrate momentum — an approach I learned from Robert C. Minor.) H4 Wave Structure – H4 momentum is now turning bearish, as mentioned in yesterday’s plan – The recent H4 momentum rally failed to break above 4500, which supports the view that wave 2 or wave B has already formed – As H4 momentum moves toward the oversold zone: – Price needs to break below 4402 to confirm the bearish trend H1 Wave Structure – On H1, a blue 1-2-3-4-5 structure has been tentatively assigned – Price is currently developing blue wave 2 Invalidation scenarios – If price reaches 4500: – The current H1 wave count will be invalidated – In this case, red wave C may continue toward 4521 – If price reaches 4550: – The entire red ABC structure will be invalidated – A full wave recount will be required 3. Outlook & Trading Bias – With: – Daily momentum already bearish – H4 momentum turning bearish → I remain bearish on the development of wave Y – The current H1 rebound is therefore crucial – The ideal scenario: – Price rallies below 4500 – H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone and turns down from there → This would provide a high-probability sell setup 4. Trading Plan (Unchanged) – Sell Zone: 4481 – 4484 – Stop Loss: 4502 – TP1: 4440 – TP2: 4376 – TP3: 4348
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 09-Jan-2026 (Timeframe: 15-min | Gap criteria considered: 100+ points) 🔑 Key Levels from Chart Major Upside Resistance: 26,115 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,032 No-Trade / Supply Zone: 25,839 – 25,932 Opening Support / Pivot: 25,839 Last Intraday Support: 25,741 Lower Support Extension: 25,587 🧠 Market context: NIFTY is in a short-term corrective structure after a strong sell-off. Price is consolidating inside a well-defined no-trade zone, indicating balance before the next directional move. 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 25,932, it signals short-covering but into a supply zone. 🎓 Educational Insight Gap-ups after a decline often face selling pressure near VWAP/supply zones. Sustainable upside requires acceptance above resistance, not just an opening spike. Plan of Action Avoid chasing longs in first 15 minutes ⏳ Sustain above 26,032 → upside toward 26,115 Rejection near 26,032 → pullback to 25,932 – 25,839 Fresh longs only on retest + higher low formation Options idea: Bull Call Spread (ATM buy + OTM sell) 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING If NIFTY opens inside 25,839 – 25,932, expect range-bound & whipsaw action. 🎓 Educational Insight Flat opens within supply-demand overlap zones usually lead to false breakouts. Direction emerges only after range expansion with volume. Plan of Action Above 25,932 with hold → move toward 26,032 Failure above 25,932 → sideways to negative bias Break below 25,839 → weakness toward 25,741 Avoid trades in mid-range 🚫 Options idea: Iron Fly / Hedged Short Strangle if volatility drops 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 25,839, bears remain in control. 🎓 Educational Insight Gap-downs into prior supports can trigger panic selling, but sharp bounces are also common. Always wait for price confirmation. Plan of Action First demand zone: 25,741 Strong rejection from 25,741 → intraday bounce possible Break & sustain below 25,741 → slide toward 25,587 Avoid fresh shorts exactly at support Options idea: Bear Put Spread or Put Debit Spread 🛡️ Risk Management Tips (Options Trading) Risk only 1–2% capital per trade 💰 Prefer spreads over naked buying in volatile zones Book partial profits near resistance/support No averaging against trend 🚫 Stop trading after 2 consecutive losses 🧠 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 26,032: Short-term bullish toward 26,115 25,839 – 25,932: No-Trade / Chop Zone Below 25,839: Weakness toward 25,741 → 25,587 Focus on price acceptance, not prediction 🎯 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is strictly for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk—please consult a certified financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by LiveTradingBox
BTCUSDT – Elliott Wave Completion → Short Sell SetupPrice action on BTCUSDT appears to be completing a 5-wave Elliott impulse structure inside a rising wedge / channel. Waves (1)–(5) are clearly respected, with Wave (5) now testing a major trendline resistance zone around 91,800–92,000. Momentum indicators are showing loss of strength near the top, suggesting Wave (5) exhaustion. As per Elliott Wave theory, after a completed 5-wave move, a corrective ABC structure is expected. Trade Idea: Bias: Short / Sell Sell Zone: 92000 – 92,200 Invalidation (SL): Above 92,600 (Wave 5 extension failure) Targets: TP1: 90,000 TP2: 88,700 TP3: 87,400 (major demand & channel support) A breakdown from the upper trendline should accelerate downside pressure toward the lower channel support, aligning with a larger corrective move.
Short
by Dinesh_Kryptonian
1
BEL – Setting Up for a 5% Move-Swing TradeBEL – Setting Up for a 5% Upside Move 🚀 BEL has taken strong support near ₹385–388 and is now reclaiming key moving averages with improving momentum. With the upcoming Union Budget expected to favor Defence spending, sentiment & flows remain supportive. 📌 Trade View CMP: ~₹400 Targets: ₹420 (near-term), ₹431 (extendable) Support: ₹388 Stoploss: ₹382 (strict) 💡 Why? Strong bounce from key demand zone Reclaiming trend levels + improving structure Budget tailwinds + Defence sector strength Trend intact. Dips buying. Ride the move! 🐊🔥
NSE:BELLong
by DrPrashantVerma
1
Nifty Analysis for Jan 09, 2026Wrap up:- As updated earlier, wave 1 was completed at 26057 but wave 2 counts have now been changed due to a sudden fall and is expected to be completed at 25858 if nifty breaks and sustains above 25971. Thereafter, nifty will head towards wave 3. What I’m Watching for Jan 09, 2026 🔍 Buy Nifty above @25971 sl 25858 (15 min. candle closing basis) for a target of 26447-26630. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice. "Don't predict the market. Decode them."
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ChartMasteryHQ
JUNIPER HOTELS Ltd LongThe Elliott Wave Theory's description of the structure and pattern of price movements in financial markets is known as the Elliott Wave Structure. The Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has completed corrected waves 1,2,3,4 and 5, which are shown as red numbers on the daily chart. Bullish divergence with RSI and Awesome Oscillator indicators in daily timeframe; The price is making a lower low and the RSI and Awesome Oscillator indicators are making a higher high which indicates a possible reversal of trend. Wave A appears to be underway at this time in red colour. It is anticipated that wave (A) will have about five subdivisions shown in black circle colour. Wave i and ii in black circle colour of wave (A) is completed and wave iii in black circle colour will unfold. Wave levels shown on chart. Level of Invalidation The Wave 5 has been identified as the invalidation level at 220.80. If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems. I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests. Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses. Regards Dr Vineet
NSE:JUNIPERLong
by drvineet
AUDUSD Buy Setup | Discount Zone Reaction + Trendline BreakBias: Bullish Timeframe: 15M Pair: AUDUSD Market Structure & Context AUDUSD has completed a corrective move within a descending channel after a strong impulsive rally. Price has now reached a higher-timeframe discount zone, aligning with a rising trendline support, where we see clear signs of seller exhaustion. Downside liquidity has been swept below recent equal lows, followed by strong bullish displacement, indicating potential smart money re-entry from discount. Technical Confluence Price reacting from HTF discount zone Liquidity sweep below equal lows Descending channel break attempt Bullish structure shift on lower timeframe Mean reversion setup targeting equilibrium & premium Trade Plan Entry: Buy on confirmation above 0.66936 Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline at 0.66728 Targets: TP1: 0.6725 (Equilibrium) TP2: 0.6742 (Mid supply) TP3: 0.6765 (Premium zone / HTF resistance) Risk–Reward Approx 1:3.5 – 1:5 RR Invalidation Strong close below 0.66728 invalidates bullish bias Notes Patience is key. Best entries occur after structure confirmation, not blind buying. This setup favors New York session expansion if DXY weakens.
Long
by IITian_Wizard
Nifty Sideways Uptrend 1 HR Timeframe Nifty is currently in a sideways-to-uptrend structure on the 1-hour timeframe. Price is hovering near an important zone which can act as either a breakout or a reversal point. The next upside and downside levels are clearly marked on the chart for reference. A sustained move above resistance can open further upside, while rejection from this zone may lead to a pullback toward support. Watch price action closely around these levels for confirmation before taking trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by Madhumitha_Prabhu
1
Part 12 Trading Master Class Key Terminologies in Option Trading 1. Strike Price The price at which the buyer can exercise the option. 2. Premium The cost paid by the option buyer to the seller for the contract. 3. Expiry The date when the option contract expires (weekly/monthly). 4. In-the-Money (ITM) When the option has intrinsic value. CE is ITM if underlying > strike. PE is ITM if underlying < strike. 5. Out-of-the-Money (OTM) When the option has no intrinsic value. CE is OTM if underlying < strike. PE is OTM if underlying > strike. 6. Lot Size Options trade in fixed quantities called lots (e.g., NIFTY lot size = 50).
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
UNIONBANK 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Current Price Snapshot UNION Bank of India (NSE: UNIONBANK) is trading around ₹162–₹165+ in the market currently. 📈 Weekly Time‑Frame Levels (Pivot / Support / Resistance) 📌 These weekly pivots & S/R levels are based on established pivot calculations for weekly charts: 🔹 Pivot & Resistance Levels Weekly Pivot (Central reference): ~₹153.97 Weekly Resistance 1 (R1): ~₹159.83 Weekly Resistance 2 (R2): ~₹162.95 Weekly Resistance 3 (R3): ~₹168.81 🔻 Weekly Support Levels Weekly Support 1 (S1): ~₹150.85 Weekly Support 2 (S2): ~₹144.99 Weekly Support 3 (S3): ~₹141.87 📌 Interpretation (Weekly Chart Bias) 🔹 Bullish Signposts ✔ Price above weekly pivot ~₹153.97 = positive short‑term bias. ✔ Immediate upside zone between ₹159.8–₹163 — break above this can extend to ₹168+. 🔻 Bearish / Correction Signals ✖ Loss of weekly pivot ~₹153.97 with close below can turn momentum negative. ✖ Deeper support cluster near ₹145–₹142 — watch these zones for possible bounce points. 📌 Summary Weekly Levels (Quick Reference) Level Type Price (Approx) R3 (Weekly) ₹168.8 R2 (Weekly) ₹162.9 R1 (Weekly) ₹159.8 Pivot (Weekly) ₹153.9 S1 (Weekly) ₹150.8 S2 (Weekly) ₹144.9 S3 (Weekly) ₹141.8 (All levels approximate — based on recent pivot calculations and current market data.)
NSE:UNIONBANKLong
by Knowledgehub
Part 11 Trading Master ClassWhat Are Options? Options are financial contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset such as: A stock (e.g., Reliance) An index (e.g., NIFTY 50) A commodity (e.g., Gold) A currency pair Options are called derivatives because their price derives from the underlying market. There are two types of options: 1. Call Option (CE) A Call Option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at a fixed price (strike price) before expiry. Buyers expect price to rise. Sellers (writers) expect price to stay below strike. 2. Put Option (PE) A Put Option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at a strike price before expiry. Buyers expect price to fall. Sellers expect price to stay above strike.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Nifty 50 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Live Current Level (Intraday) 📊 Nifty 50 ~ 26,030 – 26,040 and trading lower amid selling pressure this session. 📊 Daily Price Action • Today’s intraday range: ~26,025 (low) to ~26,133 (high). • Recent session momentum continues weak with external macro pressure (tariff worries & outflows). Reuters 🔍 1-Day Technical Levels (Daily Chart) These levels are widely used by traders for support / resistance / pivots on the daily timeframe: 📈 Resistance (Upside) 1. ~26,240 – 26,300: near-term supply zone & intraday resistance. 2. ~26,350: strong resistance above psychological 26,300 level. 📉 Support (Downside) 1. ~26,050 – 26,100: first line of defense (20-period SMA/DEMA support zone). 2. ~25,800 – 25,900: secondary support — holding here avoids deeper breakdown. 📊 Pivot Levels (Indicative) (Classic daily pivot calculations from technical feeds) • Daily Pivot Point: ~26,132 – Pivot acts as intraday reference. • R1: ~26,195–26,200 • R2: ~26,250–26,300 • S1: ~26,076–26,080 • S2: ~26,012–25,950 (These pivot points are from live technical data.) 📈 Summary — What This Means Today ✅ Bullish above: 26,300–26,350 breakout confirms short-term buying. ⚠️ Neutral/Range: 26,050–26,300 — likely sideways action. ❌ Bearish below: 26,050 — risk of extending weakness toward 25,900/25,800.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Knowledgehub
How Smart Money Dominates Financial Markets Institutional Trading Strategies: Institutional trading strategies refer to the methods and frameworks used by large financial entities such as banks, hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, and proprietary trading firms. These institutions control massive capital, sophisticated technology, and deep market access, allowing them to influence price movements and market structure itself. Unlike retail traders, institutional participants focus on scalability, risk-adjusted returns, liquidity management, and long-term consistency rather than short-term excitement. Understanding institutional trading strategies provides valuable insight into how markets truly operate and why prices move the way they do. At the core of institutional trading is capital preservation and steady growth. Institutions are not trying to double money overnight; instead, they aim to generate predictable returns while minimizing volatility and drawdowns. Every strategy is built around strict risk controls, diversification, and disciplined execution. This mindset alone separates institutional traders from most retail participants. Market Structure and Order Flow Focus One of the most critical aspects of institutional trading is the understanding of market structure. Institutions study how price moves between areas of liquidity, such as previous highs, lows, support, resistance, and high-volume zones. Since large orders cannot be executed instantly without affecting price, institutions break trades into smaller chunks and execute them strategically around liquidity pools. Order flow analysis plays a major role here. Institutions track where buy and sell orders are accumulating and position themselves accordingly. Instead of chasing price, they wait for liquidity to come to them. This is why markets often move sharply after consolidations—liquidity is collected before the real move begins. Accumulation and Distribution Strategies Institutions operate through accumulation and distribution phases. During accumulation, large players quietly build positions at favorable prices without alerting the market. This often appears as sideways price action with low volatility. Retail traders frequently lose patience during these phases, unaware that institutions are preparing for a significant move. Once accumulation is complete, institutions push the price higher (or lower in bearish scenarios) to distribute their positions. Distribution typically happens during high volatility, news events, or strong trending moves, where retail participation increases. By the time retail traders enter aggressively, institutions are often reducing or exiting positions. Trend-Following and Position Trading Many institutions rely heavily on trend-following strategies, especially in equities, commodities, and currencies. These strategies are based on the idea that strong trends tend to persist due to macroeconomic forces, capital flows, and investor behavior. Institutions enter trends early using technical and fundamental confirmations and hold positions for weeks, months, or even years. Position trading allows institutions to avoid noise and short-term fluctuations. They use tools like moving averages, market structure breaks, macroeconomic data, and sector rotation analysis to stay aligned with dominant trends. Risk is managed through portfolio diversification rather than tight stop-losses alone. Mean Reversion and Statistical Arbitrage Another powerful institutional approach is mean reversion, which assumes that prices tend to revert to their historical averages over time. Institutions identify overbought or oversold conditions using statistical models, volatility measures, and historical price behavior. These strategies are often automated and executed across hundreds or thousands of instruments simultaneously. Statistical arbitrage takes this concept further by exploiting pricing inefficiencies between correlated assets. For example, if two historically correlated stocks diverge abnormally, institutions may short the overperformer and buy the underperformer, expecting convergence. These strategies rely heavily on data, probability, and mathematical precision rather than market prediction. High-Frequency and Algorithmic Trading Large institutions deploy algorithmic trading systems to execute trades efficiently and minimize market impact. Algorithms determine optimal entry points, execution speed, order size, and timing. High-frequency trading (HFT) firms operate on extremely short timeframes, profiting from tiny price discrepancies repeated thousands of times per day. While retail traders cannot compete directly in this space, understanding algorithmic behavior helps explain sudden price spikes, liquidity gaps, and rapid reversals. These movements are often liquidity-driven rather than sentiment-driven. Risk Management as the Foundation Risk management is the backbone of all institutional trading strategies. Institutions define risk before entering any trade. Position sizing is calculated based on portfolio exposure, volatility, and correlation with other holdings. Losses are accepted as part of the business, but they are controlled and planned. Institutions rarely risk more than a small percentage of their capital on a single idea. Hedging is also widely used, employing derivatives such as options and futures to protect portfolios against adverse movements. This disciplined approach ensures survival during unfavorable market conditions. Fundamental and Macro-Based Strategies Many institutional traders integrate fundamental analysis into their decision-making. This includes studying interest rates, inflation, central bank policies, earnings reports, geopolitical developments, and economic cycles. Macro-driven strategies aim to capture large, long-term moves driven by shifts in global capital flows. For example, a change in monetary policy can influence currency trends, bond yields, and equity valuations simultaneously. Institutions position themselves across multiple asset classes to benefit from these macroeconomic shifts. Psychology and Patience Institutional traders operate with extreme patience. They wait for ideal conditions, execute with precision, and allow trades to develop naturally. Emotional decision-making is minimized through systems, rules, and team-based oversight. This psychological stability gives institutions a significant edge over emotional retail traders. They also understand that being inactive is a strategic choice. Not trading is often more profitable than forcing trades in uncertain conditions. Lessons Retail Traders Can Learn Retail traders cannot replicate institutional resources, but they can adopt institutional principles. Focusing on market structure, liquidity, risk management, patience, and disciplined execution can dramatically improve trading performance. Avoiding impulsive trades and aligning with higher time-frame trends brings retail behavior closer to professional standards. Conclusion Institutional trading strategies are built on structure, discipline, data, and long-term thinking. Institutions succeed not because they predict markets perfectly, but because they manage risk effectively, understand liquidity dynamics, and operate with patience and precision. By studying how institutional traders think and act, individual traders can gain a deeper understanding of market behavior and significantly improve their own trading approach.
NSE:M&MEducation
by TechnicalExpress