Cyber MondayUp to 80% OFF

Wave Analysis

Noise Less Charting Method Friends I have made an visual representation of where the Nifty would be heading based on the Method i follow as wave theory Interesting to note the price is in the channel or representation of channel fits the price movement Also You can note i have selected 0.50 % Box size in Ranko Bars , which represents the movement in harmonic or linear movements based on fixed price bars Now i have applied wave theory which represents the methods i follow as Analyst Wave 2 Represents sharp correction Wave 4 Represents Complex Running Flat Pattern leaving second leg correction fell short to represent the urgency in the Movement Now I have forecasted it with mathematical calculations which may represents an measured move method to take Profits All this is an education content I hope you understand it and then hit the like button Good luck
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ShreeKrishna_F
5
EICHERMOT 1 Day Time Frame 📋 Key price info Current quote: ~ ₹7,084.50 (as of around midday) Today’s high: ~ ₹7,108.00 Today’s low: ~ ₹6,886.50 52-week high: ~ ₹7,122.50 52-week low: ~ ₹4,646.00 ✅ Bias / scenario (for day-frame) Bullish: If price decisively breaks above ₹7,120 with volume, momentum could carry further. Caution: Because price is near its highs, downside risk exists if it stalls or reverses from this resistance zone. Intra-day trade idea: Watch how it behaves around the support ~₹6,850-₹6,900 — if it holds, you might look for a bounce; if it breaks sharply, risk of deeper pullback.
NSE:EICHERMOTLong
by Knowledgehub
CDSL 1 Day Time Frame Stock Price & Day’s Range The share price is approximately ₹1,625.80 on the NSE. The day’s trading range is roughly ₹1,616 to ₹1,648.80. 52-week range: about ₹1,047.45 (low) to ₹1,989.80 (high). On a 1-day time-frame perspective From an intraday point of view, the range (~₹1,616-1,649) shows the market is consolidating rather than making a sharp breakout or breakdown. Key levels to watch intraday: Support: around the lower end of the day’s range (~₹1,616). Resistance: near the upper end (~₹1,648.80) for now. If price breaks above ₹1,650 convincingly with volume, it might trigger further upside intraday; conversely a break below ~₹1,610 could signal intraday weakness.
NSE:CDSLLong
by Knowledgehub
AXISBANK 1 Week Time Frame 🔍 Key Levels for the Week Based on recent pivot/technical data: Resistance levels: ~ ₹1,276 to ₹1,282 (around daily R1/R2) Higher resistance: ~ ₹1,290-₹1,302 if uplink happens Support levels: ~ ₹1,252-₹1,246 as near-term floor Broader weekly support: ~ ₹1,232-₹1,218 region if deeper pullback ⚠️ Things to keep in mind Current price is near the 52-week high region (~₹1,284) which increases risk of resistance/strain. Short-term signals/pivots are useful but market news, macro banking events, FII/DII flows can quickly shift dynamics. Use stop-losses or risk-controls if trading around these levels given the tight range and possible whipsaw.
NSE:AXISBANKLong
by Knowledgehub
MOTHERSON 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Latest Price & Range Last traded around ₹112.40 (as of 20 Nov 2025) on NSE. Day’s intraday high ~ ₹113.39, intraday low ~ ₹111.78. 52-week range: ~₹71.50 (low) to ~₹116.38 (high). ✅ What to Watch Today If price holds above ~₹112.50 and moves toward ~₹113.50-₹115, bullish bias. If price fails to hold support near ~₹111.50 or drops below ~₹110, risk of pull-back. Volume & broader auto-ancillaries sector trend will matter — weak sector may weigh. Time-frame is short (intraday / daily) so tight stops and quick reactions recommended.
NSE:MOTHERSONLong
by Knowledgehub
New Traders’ Mistakes That They Should Avoid1. Trading Without a Proper Plan One of the biggest and most common mistakes is trading without a plan. Many beginners jump into the market based on tips, social media signals, or impulses. They take trades without having clear entry criteria, stop-loss levels, or profit targets. Trading without a strategy is like driving without direction—you may reach somewhere, but not where you intended. A good trading plan should include: Market selection (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto, etc.) Timeframe you want to trade Entry and exit conditions Risk management rules Position sizing Maximum daily or weekly loss limit A plan provides structure and minimizes emotional decisions. 2. Ignoring Risk Management Risk management is the backbone of successful trading, yet beginners often overlook it. Many new traders risk too much on a single trade or avoid using stop-loss orders because they are “sure” the price will move in their favor. Typical risk-management mistakes include: Risking more than 2% of account capital per trade Not placing a stop-loss Moving the stop-loss further away to avoid exiting Using high leverage without understanding it Effective risk management ensures that a few losing trades don’t destroy your entire account. Professionals understand that preservation of capital is more important than chasing big profits. 3. Overtrading and Revenge Trading New traders often feel pressured to be in the market constantly. Overtrading happens when traders take too many trades, even when there is no clear setup. This usually leads to emotional decisions and unnecessary losses. Another related mistake is revenge trading, where traders try to quickly recover losses by placing impulsive trades. This behavior results in even bigger losses. To avoid this, trade only when your setup appears. Quality beats quantity. 4. Letting Emotions Drive Decisions Trading is a psychological game. Fear, greed, hope, and frustration are powerful emotions that influence new traders. Examples include: Greed leading to holding positions too long Fear preventing you from entering a good setup Hope making you avoid closing a losing trade Frustration causing revenge trades Emotions cloud judgment and break discipline. Successful traders follow logic, not feelings. Practicing discipline and sticking to your plan is key to long-term success. 5. Using Too Much Leverage Leverage amplifies gains—but also losses. New traders are often attracted to high leverage because it allows larger positions with small capital. However, even small market movements can wipe out the account. For example, in forex or futures, 1:50 or 1:100 leverage can be extremely risky if not used properly. To avoid this mistake: Start with low leverage Use proper position sizing Understand margin requirements and liquidation risk Smart traders treat leverage like a sharp tool—useful, but dangerous if mishandled. 6. Not Keeping a Trading Journal Most beginners take trades and move on without analyzing what went right or wrong. Without a trading journal, you cannot identify patterns in your behavior or strategy. A trading journal should record: Date and time of entry Chart screenshot Entry/exit price Stop-loss and target Result of the trade Emotions and reasoning behind the trade This habit helps improve discipline and refine your system. 7. Following Tips, Noise, and Social Media Signals Many new traders rely on tips from friends, influencers, Telegram groups, or YouTube videos. The problem is that most of these sources do not explain the logic behind the trade or the risk involved. Acting on tips without understanding the market leads to blind trading and quick losses. Instead: Learn technical and fundamental analysis Understand the reason behind every trade Follow a tested strategy, not random opinions Smart traders trust data, not noise. 8. Unrealistic Expectations of Fast Wealth The biggest psychological trap for new traders is the belief that trading will make them rich quickly. This mindset pushes traders to take oversized risks, leading to frequent blow-ups. Successful trading requires: Years of learning Discipline and emotional control Proper risk management Realistic expectations Think long-term and focus on consistency rather than big, quick profits. 9. Not Understanding Market Conditions Markets don’t behave the same every day. Sometimes they trend strongly; other times they move sideways or show high volatility. New traders often use the same strategy in all market conditions, leading to losses. Understanding market phases helps you adapt your strategy. For example: Trending markets favor breakout or trend-following strategies Sideways markets favor range trading or mean reversion High volatility requires wider stop-loss and smaller positions Adapting to market conditions drastically improves performance. 10. Lack of Patience Patience is a superpower in trading. New traders often: Enter too early Exit too early Fail to wait for confirmation Want every trade to be profitable instantly Markets reward patience and punish impulsiveness. Waiting for the perfect setup improves win rates and reduces unnecessary losses. 11. Not Practicing on Demo/Backtesting Many beginners jump straight into live trading without testing their strategy. This is like flying a plane without training. Practicing on a demo account helps you understand: Market movements Platform functions Strategy performance Emotional reactions Backtesting on historical data helps validate your strategy’s reliability. 12. Ignoring News and Economic Events Major economic events—like interest rate decisions, CPI data, jobs reports—can cause sharp market movements. Beginners often get trapped when they trade unknowingly during high-impact events. Always check the economic calendar before entering a trade. Conclusion New traders often fail not because markets are impossible, but because they repeat common, avoidable mistakes. Success in trading comes from discipline, risk management, continuous learning, and emotional control. By avoiding the mistakes listed above and building a strong foundation, new traders can gradually develop the skills required to navigate the financial markets confidently.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Premium Chart Patterns Introduction: Chart patterns are visual formations on price charts that help traders understand market behaviour. They show how buyers and sellers are interacting and where the price might move next. These patterns repeat over time, so traders use them to predict breakouts, trend reversals, and continuation of trends. Chart patterns are mainly divided into Reversal Patterns, Continuation Patterns, and Bilateral Patterns. 1. Reversal Chart Patterns Reversal patterns indicate that the current trend is about to change direction. If the market is going up, a reversal pattern may signal a fall. If the market is falling, it may warn of an upcoming rise. 2. Continuation Chart Patterns These patterns show that the ongoing trend will continue after a short pause or consolidation. 3. Bilateral Chart Patterns These patterns indicate a possible breakout in either direction.
NSE:ICICIBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
NVIDIA Turn consolidation phase In Weekly Time frame“Chip maker? More like dip maker today.” #NVIDIA Trend / Momentum The stock is in a consolidation phase and range-bound lately, not in a strong runaway uptrend. However, RSI is around neutral (~52), indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Support & Resistance Levels Support: Key support around $175–$185. Resistance: Key resistance near $208–$220, as per recent weekly analysis marked on the chart. Bullish to neutral overall: Technicals suggest no runaway rally at the moment, but the long-term trend remains constructive. If NVDA breaks above $229 with volume, it could signal a strong bullish leg. On the downside, a weekly close below $175 may put pressure on the stock and trigger further weakness toward Target-1 or consolidation. Disclaimer High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by renderwithme
Nifty Analysis for Nov 20, 2025Wrap-up: As predicted Nifty breaks 26029 after taking support at 25857. What I’m Watching for Nov 20, 2025 🔍 Short nifty only if it breaks 25785 SL above 25896 for a target of 25607-25545 and 25042-25167 (SL on 15 min. candle close). Buy nifty only if takes support at 25896 only intraday with a sl below 25785. Impulsive move is treated as completed once nifty breaks 25785. Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ChartMasteryHQ
4
Titan Chart Explanation as per Elliott Wave.Titan Chart Explanation as per Elliott Wave Your updated chart combines: • Elliott Wave Count (1–5) • A complete ABC correction for Wave 4 • Breakout from a long consolidation • Fibonacci retracement projections • Targets for Wave (5) Below is the breakdown: ________________________________________ 🔵 1. Elliott Wave Structure Wave (1) → Wave (2) • The early impulse and correction are visible on the left side. Wave (3) • A strong rally into mid-2024 (peak marked as (3)). Wave (4) – ABC Completed • Wave a drops sharply. • Wave b retraces upward. • Wave c makes a final low forming Wave (4). • The bottom of Wave (4) lies near ₹2,900–3,000 (0% level shown). This confirms Wave (4) completed. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🔵 2. Price Targets for Wave (5) You have two targets highlighted: 📌 Short-term breakout target-1 • ₹4,165 (11.24%) • Label shows a smaller measured move, possibly from breakout box height. 📌 Major Wave (5) Target-2 • ₹4,689 (24.46%) • Calculated as the height of previous swing projected from breakout. This aligns with Elliott Wave rules where: • Wave 5 often equals Wave 1 OR 0.618 × Wave 1 • It usually surpasses Wave (3)'s high Wave (3) high ≈ ₹4,050 So the ₹4,689 Wave (5) target fits perfectly.
NSE:TITANLong
by tradetechnicalanalyst
NVDA - End of Trend or one more high is due?TF: Daily CMP: 186.52 The EW counts suggests that we are at the end of the trend on this counter. The 4th wave ended at 86.62 on April 2025 and the price moved past 200 since then (3x move in about 7-8 months). To me, looks like the upmove has ended, but no confirmation yet. So long as the price stays above 176, there is always a chance of the final leg extending higher In shorter TF, price is forming bases for Harmonic set ups, which, indicates that the price could head higher. Overall, there is no point in chasing the price at this juncture. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Murthy_Santhosh
Cup and Handle Detected: A Bullish Outlook for XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a very clear Cup and Handle pattern. Price previously dropped toward the 4000 region, rounded out, and then climbed back toward 4080, completing the cup structure. At the moment, the market is making a mild pullback and shaping a tight and well controlled handle. If price can break this resistance with strong momentum, the next target I expect is around 4150. Until a confirmed breakout appears, patience remains essential. No breakout means no trade. This is a classic bullish formation, and market expectations are gradually strengthening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD: Likely continuation following pullbackXAUUSD has surged into a strong uptrend, and I predict that this momentum will continue, with a potential target around 4,150, as shown on my chart. The current price level may be a critical turning point. Here, the price could find support and continue to rise, or if it breaks below, we might see an extension of the downward trend. If I had to choose a direction, I would lean towards more upside, but the final decision should be based on price action to determine the next move. However, if the price breaks decisively below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating that the uptrend could pause or even reverse in the short term. These are just my personal views based on chart analysis, not financial advice. Always verify your setups and manage your risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
1
Bitcoin at Support: Bounce Likely, Trend Still WeakBitcoin has been sliding steadily and has now broken its first major support near 103k. The latest drop completed a clear A-B-C decline, with the final C-wave forming an ending diagonal — a pattern that often signals exhaustion at the end of a move. That’s why the selling pressure slowed as price entered the current demand zone. Oversold Conditions The RSI on the daily chart has dropped into deeply oversold territory. This is typically where Bitcoin produces a reaction bounce. It doesn’t confirm a trend reversal, but it does hint that sellers may pause. What Happens Next A corrective bounce — the X-wave — is the most reasonable expectation. However, X-waves are usually messy and uneven, not clean rallies. The key area to watch is 100k–103k . If Bitcoin cannot reclaim this zone, the larger corrective structure remains in control. Bigger Picture The moving averages support this caution. The 50-day and 200-day MAs are close to forming a death cross, which signals weakening short-term momentum relative to the long-term trend. It doesn’t imply a crash, but it does suggest that any bounce may face resistance. If the X-wave fails below 103k, the next leg — the Y-wave — could drive price toward the larger support region around 72k–75k. In Summary The decline looks structurally complete, ending with an ending diagonal. RSI is deeply oversold -> a corrective bounce is likely. 100k–103k is the make-or-break zone. Failure to reclaim it keeps the W-X-Y correction active. The final support zone sits lower, near 72k–75k. A bounce may come first, but the broader structure still leans bearish unless key resistance levels are regained. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WaveXplorer
3
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 20-Nov-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 20 NOV 2025 (Chart Basis: 15-min | Latest Close: 59,207.95) Key Levels from Chart: 🔶 No Trade Zone: 59,151 – 59,292 🟥 Last Intraday Resistance / Profit Booking Zone: 59,517 – 59,620 🟩 Opening Support: 58,959 🟩 Last Intraday Support: 58,811 🟩 Important Swing Support for Trend Reversal: 58,616 – 58,528 These zones will govern direction and risk for the day. 🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP UP OPENING (200+ points) Expected Opening Range: 59,400 – 59,500 A gap-up opening close to the Profit Booking Zone (59,517 – 59,620) is sensitive and prone to reversals. Here’s the plan: If BankNifty sustains above 59,620 →  🚀 Strong bullish continuation  🎯 Targets → 59,750 → 59,880 → 60,020  (Only valid if breakout candle closes above zone with volume.) If price rejects from 59,517–59,620 →  Possible selling pressure →  📉 Targets → 59,380 → 59,292 Break below 59,292 after a gap-up is a weakness signal →  📉 Short Targets →  59,151 → 58,959 Avoid buying at open — wait for confirmation (retest or structure formation). 📘 Educational Tip: Gap-up directly into resistance is a classic trap area where institutions distribute their positions. Wait for the market to prove strength. 🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Between 59,150 – 59,250) A flat open places price inside the No Trade Zone (59,151 – 59,292). This zone generally creates sideways, confusing price action. Avoid trading inside the No-Trade Zone.  Reason: weak momentum, high noise, easy SL hunts. Bullish Only if price sustains above 59,292 →  🎯 Targets → 59,380 → 59,517 → 59,620 Bearish Only if price sustains below 59,151 →  📉 Targets → 58,959 → 58,811 Best entries occur ONLY after zone break + retest. 📘 Why No-Trade Zone? This zone is a price balancing area. Market enters “indecision mode” — avoid low-quality setups. 🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP DOWN OPENING (200+ points) Expected Opening Range: 58,800 – 58,950 Gap-down brings market closer to multiple strong support zones. If price takes support at 58,959 →  Possible bounce setup →  🎯 Targets →  59,151 → 59,292 If price breaks 58,959 and sustains below it →  Next support = 58,811  Break below 58,811 gives →  📉 Targets →  58,700 → 58,616 If price enters the major support zone (58,616 – 58,528) →  Expect a high-probability reversal setup  (Strong buyers usually defend this region)  If reversal forms →  🎯 Upside Targets →  58,811 → 58,959 → 59,151 If 58,528 breaks →  Market turns weak  📉 Downside Targets →  58,420 → 58,300 📘 Educational Note: Major supports often produce the strongest reversal trades — But only after confirmation such as wicks, higher low, or bullish engulfing. 💼 OPTIONS TRADING RISK MANAGEMENT — MUST FOLLOW 💡 Avoid trading the first 3–5 minutes after open. Use 20–30% SL for option buying. Buy options ONLY near key zones to get better RR. Avoid far OTM options — they decay faster near expiry. Never average a losing position. Book partial profits at +30–40%. If 2 SLs hit → Stop trading for the day. ⚠️ Pro Tip: Trading is not about catching every move — It’s about protecting capital and taking only the “best” setups. 📌 SUMMARY Bullish Above → 59,292 Targets → 59,380 → 59,517 → 59,620 Bearish Below → 59,151 Targets → 58,959 → 58,811 Major Trend Reversal Zone (Strong Demand):** 58,616 – 58,528** Major Supply / Profit Booking Zone:** 59,517 – 59,620** No Trade Zone:** 59,151 – 59,292** 🧾 CONCLUSION The market sits right below a critical supply zone and just above strong supports. Directional clarity will come only after breaking the No Trade Zone. Your best trades come from: ✔️ Breakouts above 59,292 ✔️ Rejections from 59,517–59,620 ✔️ Reversal setups near 58,616–58,528 Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and follow your zones. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
GOLD / XAUUSD - Classic Example of Liquidity GRAB TF: 30 Minutes CMP: 4075 GOLD and Silver seem to have completed the corrective rise and ready to tumble down. In case of GOLD, price got rejected from the 50% fib level of the A leg and now resuming the C leg down. The channel, possible price action etc, all are marked in the chart published herein. In addition, the classic example of Liquidity GRAB concept is explained in the charts below. The alternate case is that, in this 4th wave (larger degree TF), GOLD could be forming a Triangle (3 subwaves within the abcde triangle wave) and then move higher. Either case, price should be testing the recent swing lows soon. It purely depends on how the buyers would react when the price reaches 3900 levels.. My Bias is on the Simple ZIG/ZAG ABC correction to move below 3700 USD Lets review the moves at each of the levels to come. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
TVC:GOLD
by Murthy_Santhosh
1
Gold NY Session Strategy 11/19: Will up to 4162Gold Daily Plan – SMC Outlook (Nov 20) Framework: CHoCH – BOS – FVG – POI – Premium/Discount Model 1. Market Context Gold continues to recover after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is now approaching the Premium zone of the current bullish swing and tapping into H1 supply. The market shows: Buyers still in short-term control Momentum weakening as price reaches resistance A corrective pullback into Discount is likely before any further expansion 2. Structural Overview (SMC Logic) 🔻 Overall Market Structure A key BOS formed around 4090–4100 → confirms short-term bullish structure Follow-up CHoCH signals continuation of the intraday uptrend Price is moving toward the upper FVG + Supply Zone (4160–4162) 🔸 Orderflow Notes Strong reaction at the 4140 area → clear presence of passive Sell Limit absorption Demand POI at 4091–4089 held exceptionally well → main bullish mitigation zone 3. Trading Zones (POI) ✅ BUY Zone (Discount Area) 4091 – 4089 Demand + previous CHoCH + fib 1.272 confluence Ideal low-risk long setup within Discount Suggested SL: 4087 BUY Scenario: Price retraces to POI → shows bullish reaction → long toward Premium. ❗️ SELL Zones (Premium Area) Aggressive Sell Zone: 4143 – 4145 SL: 4147 Optimal Sell Zone: 4160 – 4162 Major supply + imbalance + fib 2.618 extension Highest probability for reversal SL: 4165 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 Primary Scenario (High Probability) Price retraces into 4091–4089 Demand Look for CHoCH/BOS confirmation on lower timeframe Enter BUY → target 4143 → 4160 → Classic SMC model: Buy from Discount → Sell from Premium. 📌 Alternative Scenario If price rallies straight into 4143–4162 without retracement: ONLY enter SELL when a clear bearish CHoCH or strong rejection forms Target: 4100 → 4090 5. Intraday Bias → Bullish in Discount zones – Bearish in Premium zones. Trade based on orderflow → Do not chase price in the middle range. 6. Summary BUY: 4091–4089 (SL 4087) → TP: 4140 – 4160 SELL: • 4143–4145 (SL 4147) • 4160–4162 (SL 4165) Wait for confirmation at each POI; avoid mid-range entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader