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Wave Analysis

GOLD 03/09: TIME TO SELL, WHERE TO BUY TODAY?1. Overall Analysis Elliott Wave: Wave (5) seems to have completed, signalling a possible distribution phase. The market is likely moving into an ABC corrective structure, with Wave A expected to retrace to key Fibonacci levels before a Wave B rebound. Smart Money Concept (SMC): The Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. There’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3,500 level, which price may revisit to fill. The CP Order Buy Zone near 3,485 indicates a strong liquidity area for potential medium- to long-term buying opportunities. 2. SELL Plan SELL Zone: 3,550 – 3,552 Stop Loss (SL): 3,558 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 – short-term target) TP2: 3,517 (Fib 0.382 – first support level) TP3: 3,508 – 3,506 (BUY SCALP/FVG zone) Logic: Price has completed Wave 5, forming a distribution zone. Smart Money may sweep liquidity around 3,550 before pushing the price down to test the FVG levels. 3. BUY SCALP Plan BUY Zone: 3,508 – 3,506 (aligning with the FVG) Stop Loss (SL): 3,499 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 retracement) TP2: 3,540 (previous reaction level) Logic: This zone lines up with an unfilled FVG and the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels of the last leg. If price holds its bullish structure here, Wave B could stage a strong rebound. 4. Medium-Term BUY Zone CP Order Buy Zone: Around 3,485 Logic: This area acts as a major liquidity pool, often targeted by Smart Money. If price breaks below 3,506, this level could be the next key spot for medium-term accumulation, with an eye on a Wave C move back toward 3,550+. 5. Main Scenarios Primary Setup: Look for a SELL entry at 3,550 – 3,552 with SL at 3,558, and scale out profits at support levels. Watch for a BUY SCALP setup in the 3,508 – 3,506 range if bullish confirmation appears. Alternate Setup: If price dips below 3,506 and keeps falling, wait for confirmation at 3,485 to build a medium-term long position. 6. Risk Management Always place tight stop-losses for each setup. For SELL trades: lower your position size during high-impact news events. For BUY SCALP trades: only enter after confirmation signals, such as a pin bar, engulfing candle, or a minor structure break on the M5/M15 charts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
Atul Auto | MTF Fibonacci Confluence structuresWeekly Chart Analysis – Drew a multi-timeframe Fibonacci from the 119.35 low (Mar ’20) to the 844.60 high (Oct ’24) on the Monthly time frame . – Highlighted the 50–61.8% retracement zone (481.95–396.40) as an orange supply/demand area. – Circles mark historical pivots where price reacted as support or resistance within this zone. Key Observations -Price consistently respected the 50–61.8% band during prior rallies and pullbacks. -Recent price action formed a contracting triangle (CT) at the lower edge of the Fibonacci zone. -Volume contraction noted inside the triangle, suggesting supply–demand equilibrium. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should perform your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
NSE:ATULAUTOLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade) Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 Stop Loss: 3,535 Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 Stop Loss: 3,470 Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 Stop Loss: 3,435 Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
ATULAUTO 1 Day ViewIntraday Support & Resistance (1-Day Level) MunafaSutra reports: Short-term Resistance: ₹434.01 and ₹438.97 These levels are cited as valid for intra-day trading scenarios ICICI Direct shows: First Support: ₹422.5 Second Support: ₹418.7 Third Support: ₹413.2 Second Resistance: ₹437.2 Third Resistance: ₹441.0 Summary of intraday levels: Support zone: ~₹422–₹419 Resistance zone: ~₹437–₹441 Current Price Context ICICIdirect shows a day high of ₹499.05 and day low of ₹449.00, with a last traded price around ₹490.20 as of September 4, 2025 Investing.com also confirms this high volatility range: day’s range ~₹454.95 to ₹497.60 This suggests the stock has already experienced a significant intraday rally, trading well above the traditional short-term resistance levels noted by analysts. Technical Ratings (Daily Basis) TradingView categorizes the 1-day timeframe technical summary for Atul Auto as "Neutral" across both Oscillators and Moving Averages Final Thoughts For aggressive traders: A breakout above the ₹495–₹503 zone could spark further upside. For cautious traders: Watch for potential consolidation and hold above ₹475–₹484 as signs of strength. A dip to ₹434–₹444 still maintains bullish structure for now. Stop-loss planning: Consider trailing protection below key support levels, e.g., around the pivot zone (₹475) or lower support (₹434).
NSE:ATULAUTOLong
by TechnicalExpress
10
ULTRACEMCO 1 Hour View1-Hour Intraday Support & Resistance Levels While exact 1-hour pivot levels can vary by provider, here are actionable intraday targets based on recent sources: Munafasutra suggests a lower intraday target near ₹12,772 and an upper target around ₹12,888, with an immediate level at approximately ₹12,739 These are useful for identifying short-term trading bands. Summary: Key Levels to Monitor on 1-Hour Chart Immediate Support: ₹12,772 (Munafasutra) Lower Intraday Band: ₹12,607 – ₹12,670 (classic pivot S2/S1 levels) Pivot Zone: Around ₹12,720 Resistance Range: ₹12,783 – ₹12,896 (classic R1–R3), plus Munafasutra upper target near ₹12,888 How to Use These Levels Use the ₹12,772 level as your lower threshold. A drop below may open up the S2/S1 zone for further downside. Treat ₹12,720 – ₹12,783 as the core pivot/resistance zone; a break above may validate continuation toward the upper range. Watch ₹12,888 – ₹12,896 as a potential upper resistance, where intraday rally may pause or reverse. Final Take For short-term intraday trades, focus on: Watch zones: Support at ₹12,772–₹12,720 and resistance at ₹12,783–₹12,888. Use the pivot range (~₹12,720) as your benchmark for bias—below hints bearish pressure, above signals upside potential. Monitor technical momentum via trading platforms (e.g., RSI, MA crossovers) to confirm directional moves.
NSE:ULTRACEMCOLong
by TechnicalExpress
7
Inflation and Its Impact on Markets1. Understanding Inflation 1.1 Definition Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding the purchasing power of money. If the inflation rate is 6% annually, an item costing ₹100 this year will cost ₹106 the next year, assuming all else remains equal. 1.2 Causes of Inflation Economists generally classify inflation into two broad categories: Demand-Pull Inflation – Occurs when aggregate demand in an economy outpaces aggregate supply. Example: rising consumer spending, government expenditure, or investment that pushes up prices. Cost-Push Inflation – Triggered when production costs rise (e.g., due to higher wages, raw material costs, or supply chain disruptions), and businesses pass these costs onto consumers. Other causes include monetary expansion (too much money chasing too few goods), structural bottlenecks, taxation policies, or geopolitical crises that disrupt supply chains. 1.3 Types of Inflation Creeping Inflation: Mild (1–3% annually), often seen as healthy for growth. Walking Inflation: Moderate (3–10% annually), may start hurting purchasing power. Galloping Inflation: Double-digit inflation, destabilizes economies. Hyperinflation: Prices rise uncontrollably (e.g., Zimbabwe, Venezuela). Stagflation: Inflation combined with stagnation in economic growth and high unemployment (1970s U.S. example). Deflation: Persistent fall in prices, often damaging as it discourages spending and investment. 1.4 Measuring Inflation Common indicators include: Consumer Price Index (CPI): Tracks retail prices of a basket of goods and services. Wholesale Price Index (WPI): Measures price changes at the wholesale level. Producer Price Index (PPI): Monitors prices from the producer’s perspective. GDP Deflator: Broader measure of inflation in an economy. 2. Inflation and Its Impact on Financial Markets Inflation has a multi-dimensional impact on different segments of financial markets. Let’s examine them one by one. 2.1 Impact on Stock Markets Stocks represent ownership in companies, and inflation affects corporate earnings, investor sentiment, and valuation multiples. Corporate Profits: Rising inflation increases costs of raw materials, wages, and borrowing. If companies cannot pass these costs to consumers, their profit margins shrink. Valuation Multiples: Higher inflation leads to higher interest rates (central banks hike rates to control inflation). As rates rise, the present value of future cash flows declines, leading to lower stock valuations (P/E ratios fall). Sectoral Impact: Winners: Commodity producers (oil, metals, agriculture), energy firms, FMCG companies with strong pricing power. Losers: Consumer discretionary, technology, and financials (due to margin pressure and higher cost of capital). Investor Sentiment: Inflation creates uncertainty. Equity markets often turn volatile during inflationary phases as investors reassess growth prospects. Example: In the 1970s U.S., inflation was extremely high due to oil shocks, and stock markets delivered poor real returns. 2.2 Impact on Bond Markets Bonds are highly sensitive to inflation because they provide fixed income. Interest Rates and Yields: When inflation rises, central banks raise policy rates. This pushes bond yields up, causing bond prices to fall. Real Returns: Inflation erodes the real return of fixed-income instruments. For example, if a bond yields 5% but inflation is 7%, the real return is –2%. Inflation-Indexed Bonds: Governments issue instruments like TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) in the U.S. or Inflation-Indexed Bonds in India to protect investors. Conclusion: High inflation is generally negative for bondholders, except for inflation-linked securities. 2.3 Impact on Currency Markets Inflation has direct implications for currency values in the forex market. Currency Depreciation: High inflation erodes purchasing power and often leads to depreciation of a country’s currency. Interest Rate Differential: Central banks raise rates to curb inflation, which can temporarily strengthen a currency due to higher returns on domestic assets. Trade Balance: Inflation makes exports costlier and imports cheaper, widening trade deficits, further pressuring the currency. Example: Turkish lira has depreciated sharply in recent years due to persistently high inflation. 2.4 Impact on Commodity Markets Commodities as Hedge: Commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural goods often perform well during inflationary periods, as they are tangible assets. Input Cost Pressures: Rising commodity prices themselves fuel inflation, creating a feedback loop. Energy Prices: Oil price shocks are among the most common triggers of global inflation. 2.5 Impact on Real Estate Real estate is often seen as a hedge against inflation. Positive Effects: Property values and rental incomes tend to rise with inflation, protecting investors. Negative Effects: High interest rates increase mortgage costs, reducing affordability and slowing demand. Commercial Real Estate: Long-term leases may lag inflation, impacting yields for landlords. 3. Inflation and Central Bank Policies Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve (U.S.), European Central Bank (ECB), and Reserve Bank of India (RBI), play a pivotal role in managing inflation. 3.1 Tools of Monetary Policy Interest Rate Hikes: To cool demand. Open Market Operations: Controlling money supply. Cash Reserve Ratio / Statutory Liquidity Ratio: Used by RBI to regulate liquidity. Forward Guidance: Communicating policy stance to manage expectations. 3.2 Inflation Targeting Many central banks adopt formal inflation targets (e.g., 2% in the U.S. and Eurozone, 4% in India) to maintain price stability. 3.3 Dilemma for Policymakers Too Aggressive Tightening: Risks slowing growth or causing recession. Too Soft: Risks runaway inflation. 4. Historical and Global Case Studies 4.1 The U.S. in the 1970s – Stagflation Oil price shocks triggered high inflation + low growth. Stock markets stagnated, bonds suffered, commodities soared. 4.2 Zimbabwe (2000s) – Hyperinflation Prices doubled every few hours. Currency lost value, people resorted to barter trade. Financial markets collapsed. 4.3 India (2010–2013) – High Inflation Phase CPI and WPI inflation soared due to food and fuel prices. RBI raised rates multiple times, slowing growth. Equity markets remained volatile, bond yields spiked. 4.4 Pandemic & Post-Pandemic (2020–2023) Global supply chain disruptions + fiscal stimulus led to inflation surge. Central banks responded with aggressive rate hikes. Stock markets turned volatile, real estate demand shifted, commodity prices spiked. 5. Inflation and Investor Strategies Investors cannot control inflation, but they can adapt strategies to protect their wealth. 5.1 Hedging Against Inflation Commodities: Gold, silver, oil, agricultural products. Real Assets: Real estate, infrastructure. Equities: Companies with strong pricing power, dividend-paying stocks. Inflation-Protected Bonds: TIPS, index-linked government securities. 5.2 Portfolio Diversification Balancing equities, bonds, commodities, and alternative assets reduces the risk of inflation eroding overall portfolio value. 5.3 Sector Rotation Moving investments into inflation-friendly sectors (energy, utilities, consumer staples) during high inflationary phases. 6. Broader Economic and Social Implications Purchasing Power: Consumers struggle as essential goods (food, fuel) become costlier. Wage-Price Spiral: Workers demand higher wages → businesses increase prices → further inflation. Inequality: Inflation hurts low-income households more, as they spend a larger share of income on essentials. Political Instability: Persistent inflation can lead to social unrest, protests, and government changes. 7. Conclusion Inflation is a double-edged sword. Controlled inflation is a sign of a healthy, growing economy, ensuring that demand is strong and businesses are profitable. But when inflation becomes excessive or unpredictable, it erodes purchasing power, distorts investment decisions, destabilizes financial markets, and undermines trust in economic management. Its impact on markets is wide-ranging: Stocks face pressure due to higher costs and lower valuations. Bonds lose value as yields rise. Currencies depreciate if inflation is uncontrolled. Commodities and real estate often benefit, acting as hedges. For policymakers, investors, and ordinary citizens, understanding inflation is essential. It is not merely an economic indicator but a force that shapes market dynamics, business strategies, and household decisions. In an interconnected global economy, inflation in one part of the world can ripple across continents, influencing global capital flows and market stability.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
7
Risk Smart, Grow Fast in TradingIntroduction Trading has always been seen as a path to quick money, fast success, and even financial freedom. But the truth is that trading is not a get-rich-quick game. For every successful trader who grows fast, there are hundreds who lose money because they ignore the most important foundation of trading: risk management. “Risk Smart, Grow Fast” is not just a catchy phrase. It’s a principle, a mindset, and a strategy. It means that if you manage your risks wisely, protect your capital, and make decisions with discipline, you can grow faster and more sustainably than if you blindly chase high returns. In fact, smart risk management is the engine that powers growth in trading. This essay explores the philosophy, strategies, tools, and psychology behind trading with a “Risk Smart, Grow Fast” approach. Part 1: Why Risk Management Is More Important Than Profit Most new traders focus on one question: “How much can I make?” The right question, however, is: “How much can I lose if I’m wrong?” In trading, risk always comes before reward. Here’s why: Capital Preservation – Without capital, there’s no trading. Losing 50% of your account requires a 100% gain to break even. Protecting your downside ensures you stay in the game. Compounding Effect – Smaller drawdowns allow compounding to work more efficiently. Even modest profits can grow exponentially when losses are controlled. Emotional Stability – Large losses trigger fear, stress, and revenge trading. Smart risk control keeps emotions in check, enabling rational decision-making. Sustainable Growth – Fast growth through reckless risk-taking often ends in collapse. True fast growth comes from controlled risk that compounds over time. Key Idea: You cannot grow fast unless you manage risk smartly. Part 2: What Does “Risk Smart” Really Mean? Being risk smart doesn’t mean avoiding risk altogether. Trading is risk by nature; without risk, there is no reward. Instead, it means taking calculated risks that are aligned with your trading strategy, capital, and goals. Core principles of being Risk Smart: Position Sizing – Risking only a small percentage of your capital on each trade (usually 1–2%). Stop Loss Discipline – Always knowing where you will exit if the trade goes wrong. Diversification – Not putting all capital into one stock, sector, or instrument. Risk/Reward Ratio – Ensuring potential reward is at least 2–3 times the risk. Capital Allocation – Spreading money between short-term trades, long-term investments, and safe reserves. Think of being risk smart like wearing a seatbelt while driving fast. You may enjoy the thrill of speed, but the seatbelt ensures survival if things go wrong. Part 3: The Growth Mindset in Trading While being risk smart focuses on protection, “grow fast” focuses on maximizing opportunities. Growth in trading is not just about profits, but also about knowledge, experience, and adaptability. Components of the Growth Mindset: Learning from Losses – Every loss is tuition. Smart traders don’t fear losses; they analyze them to refine strategies. Adapting to Market Conditions – Markets change; strategies must evolve. What works in a trending market may fail in a choppy one. Scaling Up Gradually – Growing fast doesn’t mean doubling your risk overnight. It means compounding small consistent gains until you can trade larger with confidence. Leveraging Technology – Using charting tools, algo trading, backtesting, and data analytics to grow faster than traditional traders. Mind and Body Discipline – Growth requires sharp focus, emotional control, and physical health. Trading is mental warfare; stamina matters. Part 4: Balancing Risk and Growth The challenge is balancing risk smart and grow fast. Too much focus on risk may lead to over-caution, missing opportunities. Too much focus on growth may cause reckless risk-taking. Here’s how to strike the balance: Risk Small, Scale Big – Start by risking 1–2% per trade. As your capital grows, absolute profits grow faster. Compound Gains – Reinvest profits strategically instead of withdrawing all earnings. Optimize Position Sizing – Adjust size based on volatility, conviction, and account size. Use Asymmetric Setups – Look for trades where upside is significantly greater than downside. Review Weekly, Act Daily – Analyze risk exposure weekly while executing growth trades daily. Part 5: Practical Risk Smart Techniques The 1% Rule – Never risk more than 1% of account value on a single trade. Example: With $10,000 capital, maximum risk per trade = $100. The 2:1 or 3:1 Rule – For every $1 risked, aim to make $2–$3. Stop Loss & Trailing Stops – Set stop losses for protection and use trailing stops to lock profits as the trade moves in your favor. Risk Diversification – Across asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto). Across sectors (IT, pharma, banking). Across time horizons (scalping, swing, long-term). Hedging with Options – Using protective puts or covered calls to cap downside risk. Volatility Awareness – Adjusting position size based on market volatility (e.g., smaller trades during high VIX). Part 6: Strategies to Grow Fast Trend Following – Capturing large moves in trending markets. “The trend is your friend” until it bends. Breakout Trading – Entering when price breaks major support/resistance levels with volume confirmation. Swing Trading – Exploiting short- to medium-term price swings for consistent growth. Position Trading – Holding positions for weeks/months based on macro or sectoral trends. Leverage Smartly – Using moderate leverage to accelerate growth, but only when risk is tightly controlled. Scaling In and Out – Adding to winning trades (pyramiding) and reducing exposure on uncertainty. Part 7: Psychology of Risk Smart Growth Trading success is 20% strategy and 80% psychology. To “risk smart, grow fast,” a trader must master their mind. Discipline Over Impulse – Following the plan, not emotions. Patience to Wait – Avoiding overtrading. Opportunities will always come. Resilience to Losses – Viewing losses as part of the game, not personal failure. Confidence Without Arrogance – Trusting your system but staying humble before markets. Growth Mindset – Believing that skills improve with practice, not fixed by talent. Part 8: Case Studies Case 1: The Reckless Trader Rahul had ₹5 lakhs and doubled it in 3 months by taking huge leveraged bets on penny stocks. But one wrong move wiped out 80% of his capital. His fast growth collapsed because he was not risk smart. Case 2: The Risk Smart Trader Anita had ₹5 lakhs too. She risked only 1% per trade, focused on high R/R setups, and compounded profits. In one year, she grew her account to ₹7.5 lakhs steadily. She didn’t double it overnight, but her growth was sustainable and replicable. Lesson: Fast reckless growth often leads to collapse. Risk smart growth compounds wealth. Part 9: Tools for Risk Smart Growth Trading Journal – Records trades, mistakes, emotions, and improvements. Risk Calculators – To determine position size before placing a trade. Charting Platforms – TradingView, MetaTrader, NinjaTrader. Backtesting Software – To validate strategies before applying real capital. News & Data Feeds – For staying ahead of market-moving events. AI & Algo Tools – Automating discipline and minimizing emotional decisions. Part 10: The Roadmap to “Risk Smart, Grow Fast” Foundation – Learn basics, risk management, and trading psychology. System Development – Build and backtest your own trading strategy. Capital Protection – Apply strict stop losses and position sizing. Small Scale Trading – Start with small capital or paper trading. Gradual Scaling – Increase trade size as consistency improves. Compounding Phase – Reinvest profits to accelerate growth. Mastery & Automation – Use technology and delegation for efficiency. Conclusion “Risk Smart, Grow Fast” is not just a slogan—it’s the essence of long-term trading success. The markets will always remain uncertain, volatile, and risky. But if you respect risk, embrace discipline, and use smart strategies, you can not only survive but thrive. Fast growth in trading doesn’t come from reckless gambling—it comes from the slow magic of compounding, powered by smart risk management. In the end, trading is like sailing. The winds of the market are unpredictable, but if you set your sails wisely, control your risks, and ride the waves with patience, you can reach your destination faster than you ever imagined.
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by TechnicalExpress
7
XAUUSD – Bearish Crab hints at a corrective waveXAUUSD – Bearish Crab hints at a corrective wave Gold is facing pressure as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields move higher, dampening expectations for near-term rate cuts. With safe-haven demand losing momentum, profit-taking has started to surface after the recent sharp rally. On the H4 timeframe, price action has completed a Bearish Crab harmonic pattern right at a critical extension zone, with early reversal signals showing up near 3,550. This increases the likelihood of a corrective phase unfolding in the short term. Price zones in focus: Resistance : 3,540–3,555 First support area : 3,475–3,450 Next support area : 3,350–3,330 Deeper support zone : 3,290–3,270 Momentum now favors the bears in the short term. Any rebounds should be seen as potential entry points for sellers. Do you expect gold to hold at the first support, or extend deeper into the lower zones?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Dorian_Unugureanu
1
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move. 📍 Key Levels • Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595 • Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468 🛠️ Trade Ideas ✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing) • Entry: 3,480 – 3,478 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,473 • TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530 📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend. ✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction) • Entry: 3,501 – 3,503 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,491 • TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550 📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push. ❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play) • Entry: 3,575 – 3,573 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,582 • TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520 📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal. 🔑 SMC Insights • BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance. • Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher. • High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days. • H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely. Wave Structure • D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5. • H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv. • H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further. 📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv: • Zone 1: 3498 • Zone 2: 3469 Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets: • Target 1: 3602 • Target 2: 3667 Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3490 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Sep-2025BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 04-Sep-2025 📌 Key Levels to Watch : Opening Resistance Zone: 54,233 – 54,322 Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 54,574 – 54,678 Major Resistance: 54,957 Opening Support Zone: 53,825 – 53,943 Last Intraday Support: 53,682 These levels will define intraday trend strength and reversals. Let’s analyze scenarios: 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 54,233) If Bank Nifty opens significantly higher above 54,233, it will enter the resistance zone and buyers will aim to test 54,574 – 54,678. 📌 Plan of Action : Sustaining above 54,322 can lead to a quick rally towards 54,574 – 54,678. Booking profits near this zone is advised, as sellers may step in. If momentum extends, the next target will be 54,957, but only if 54,678 breaks with strength. 👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones can often trap late buyers. Always wait for confirmation before entering fresh longs. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 53,900 – 54,100) A flat start near current levels indicates balance. Intraday movement will depend on whether support or resistance breaks first. 📌 Plan of Action : Holding above 53,943 (Opening Support) can push price towards 54,233 – 54,322 (Resistance Zone). A breakout above this zone may open the path to 54,574 – 54,678. If price slips below 53,825, weakness can extend towards 53,682. 👉 Educational Note: Flat openings often provide the cleanest intraday trends once the first 30 minutes establish direction. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 53,825) If Bank Nifty opens weak below 53,825, sellers will take control, with supports coming into play. 📌 Plan of Action : A gap-down below 53,825 increases probability of a slide towards 53,682 (Last Intraday Support). If 53,682 breaks, the downside can intensify with sharp selling. Any bounce from this zone should be treated cautiously unless price regains 53,825 – 53,943. 👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs can trigger panic selling, but experienced traders should watch for reversal patterns near strong supports. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Always place stop losses based on hourly close. Limit risk to 1–2% of trading capital per position. Scale out profits – exit part at first target, hold balance for extended moves. Avoid over-leveraging in weekly expiry days to reduce volatility risk. When uncertainty is high, prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) over naked options. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 54,233 → Upside towards 54,574 – 54,678, extended 54,957 . 🟧 Flat Opening → Range-bound between 53,825 – 54,322; breakout will decide direction . 🔴 Below 53,825 → Weakness towards 53,682 and possibly lower . ⚠️ Key Pivot Zone: 53,825 – 53,943 will act as the critical battleground for bulls and bears. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be treated as financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 04-Sep-2025 📌 Key Levels to Watch : Opening Resistance: 24,778 Last Intraday Resistance: 24,904 Major Resistance: 24,994 Opening Support: 24,640 Last Intraday Support Zone: 24,471 – 24,517 Buyer’s Support: 24,360 These levels will guide intraday trend direction. Let’s break down scenarios. 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,778) If Nifty opens above 24,778, bulls will try to push it higher towards 24,904 (Last Intraday Resistance) and eventually test 24,994 (Major Resistance). 📌 Plan of Action : Sustaining above 24,778 can invite upside momentum. Targets: 24,904 → 24,994. Near 24,904, expect volatility as sellers may book profits. If rejection comes from 24,904, price may fall back towards 24,778. 👉 Educational Note: In strong gap-ups, chasing early moves can be risky. Safer entries often come on retests of support levels. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 24,640 – 24,713) A flat start near the current zone shows balance between buyers and sellers. Price will look for a trigger from support/resistance. 📌 Plan of Action : Holding above 24,640 (Opening Support) will keep momentum positive, opening path to 24,778 → 24,904. If it fails to hold 24,640, expect a drift towards Last Intraday Support 24,471 – 24,517. Avoid trades in the middle zone; clarity comes only when price breaks key levels. 👉 Educational Note: Flat openings usually consolidate in the first 30 minutes; patience helps avoid false breakouts. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 24,640) If Nifty opens weak below 24,640, sellers may dominate the session. 📌 Plan of Action : A gap-down below 24,640 will likely test the 24,471 – 24,517 zone. Breakdown below this zone could extend weakness towards 24,360 (Buyer’s Support). If 24,360 holds, expect a technical bounce; else, further downside may unfold. 👉 Educational Note: In gap-downs, avoid aggressive longs unless there is a strong reversal confirmation. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Always place a stop loss on hourly close basis. Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Use scaling out strategy (book partial profits at first target, ride balance till next). Avoid holding OTM options deep into expiry week to reduce time decay risk. Use option spreads like Bull Call or Bear Put when volatility is high. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 24,778 → Upside towards 24,904 – 24,994 . 🟧 Flat Opening → Watch 24,640 for support, 24,778 for breakout . 🔴 Below 24,640 → Weakness towards 24,471 – 24,517; next support 24,360 . ⚠️ Key Decision Zone: 24,640 (Opening Support) will act as the pivot. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
BTCUSD Harmonic Pattern & Fibonacci AnalysisChart Analysis • The chart uses a harmonic pattern (possibly a Bat or Gartley pattern) marked by the points X, A, B, C, and D, with each leg labeled with its Fibonacci ratio (e.g., AB: 0.638, BC: 1.347, CD targeting 0.886). • A trend channel is highlighted with the annotation “Channelling into Zone,” indicating price action is moving within a defined support and resistance path downwards. • The two major Fibonacci retracement/support levels indicated are: • 0.618 (112,437): This is a classic Fibonacci resistance zone where price may face strong selling pressure if it bounces. • 0.786 (109,196): Another retracement level and a commonly watched zone for harmonic patterns. • 0.886 (107,267): This is the final target for the D point in many harmonic patterns (such as a Bat), where a reversal is often anticipated. • Price is currently at 108,429 USD, trading below both the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, and approaching the 0.886 target, suggesting further downside is possible but a reversal could occur near the D point. • The overall tone is slightly bearish until price reaches the projected D point (near 107,267), where traders might look for potential long setups if a reversal confirmation appears. Key Observations • Bearish channel: The trend is currently down, with price respecting the channel boundaries. • Fibonacci confluence: Critical Fibonacci levels may offer support/resistance and act as potential reversal zones. • Pattern completion: A harmonic pattern projects an oversold zone near the 0.886 ratio, often resulting in a corrective or reversal move. • Watch for reversal confirmation: If price action shows support at or near the 0.886 Fibonacci zone, a bullish reversal is likely according to harmonic trading principles. This analysis assumes familiarity with harmonic patterns, Fibonacci retracement, and candlestick channels as used in technical trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeTravel_Explore
XAUUSD – Breakout Sets the Stage for More UpsideXAUUSD – Breakout Sets the Stage for More Upside On the Daily chart, gold has cleared the horizontal resistance around 3,500 , ending a prolonged consolidation phase and confirming the Ascending Triangle pattern . This signals that buyers remain firmly in control. In the short term, a pullback toward 3,500–3,520 is possible as the market retests the breakout zone. Holding this area would strengthen the case for continuation to the upside. Key levels to watch: Support: 3,500–3,520 Near-term Resistance: 3,575–3,600 Extended Target: 3,700–3,750 if momentum persists Overall, the outlook stays positive, and any dips are likely to be viewed as opportunities to join the prevailing uptrend. Do you think gold will soon make its way toward the 3,700 mark?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Dorian_Unugureanu
1
Bank nifty Wave Analysis Day Chart Bank Nifty is consolidating after forming a motive wave. We should read this consolidation phase as Flat Correction whose internal structure waves is 3-3-5. After this correction we may anticipate minimum x wave or next impulse wave. Thank you Disclaimer I am not SEBI registered financial adviser, it is my personal research and posted for only educational purpose. Before taking any trade or investments please take advice from your financial adviser. MKT Learner
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by meenaanita613
Trading Master Class With ExpertsBeginner-Friendly Option Trading Strategies Let us now study some beginner-friendly option trading strategies in detail. Covered Call Strategy Best for: Investors who already own shares. Market Outlook: Neutral to slightly bullish. How it works: Buy or hold 100 shares of a company. Sell (write) a call option on the same stock. Example: You own Infosys shares bought at ₹1600. You sell a call option at strike ₹1700 for ₹30 premium. Outcomes: If Infosys stays below ₹1700, you keep the ₹30 premium (profit). If Infosys rises above ₹1700, you must sell shares at ₹1700. You still make profit because your cost was ₹1600. Pros: Generates steady income. Low risk. Cons: Your profit is capped if stock rises sharply. Educational takeaway: A covered call is like earning rent on a property you own. Protective Put Strategy Best for: Investors who want insurance for their portfolio. Market Outlook: Bullish, but with fear of downside risk. How it works: Buy shares of a company. Buy a put option for protection. Example: You buy TCS shares at ₹3600. You purchase a put option with strike ₹3500 for ₹50. If TCS falls to ₹3300, your shares lose ₹300. But your put option gains value, limiting your losses. Pros: Acts like insurance. Protects against big losses. Cons: Premium cost reduces net return. Educational takeaway: A protective put is like buying health insurance—you hope not to use it, but it provides safety.
NSE:ICICIBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 2 Support and ResistenceRisk Management in Options for Beginners Options are risky if not handled well. Here’s how beginners can manage risks: Never trade with all capital – Use only 10-20% of portfolio in options. Set stop-loss – Don’t let losses grow. Choose liquid contracts – Always trade in Nifty, Bank Nifty, or large-cap stocks with high liquidity. Understand time decay (Theta) – Options lose value as expiry approaches. Avoid shorting naked options – Unlimited risk for beginners. Common Mistakes Beginners Make Buying out-of-the-money options hoping for jackpot. Ignoring Greeks (Delta, Theta, Vega). Overtrading with small capital. Trading without a strategy. Not exiting on time. Tips for Beginners to Succeed Start with paper trading before real money. Focus on 1-2 simple strategies (covered call, spreads). Learn technical + fundamental analysis. Be disciplined—don’t chase quick money. Track and review trades weekly.
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by SkyTradingZone
PCR Trading Strategies Beginner-Friendly Option Trading Strategies Here are the most important beginner strategies every new trader should know. Covered Call Strategy (Low-Risk Income Strategy) Best for: Beginners who already own stocks. Market Outlook: Neutral to slightly bullish. How it works: You own 100 shares of a stock. You sell a call option on the same stock. Example: You own Infosys shares at ₹1600. You sell a call option with strike price ₹1700 for a premium of ₹30. If Infosys stays below ₹1700, the option expires worthless, and you keep ₹30 per share as profit. If Infosys rises above ₹1700, you sell at ₹1700 (still a profit because you bought at ₹1600). ✅ Pros: Steady income, limited risk. ❌ Cons: Profit capped if stock rallies big. Protective Put (Insurance Strategy) Best for: Investors who fear stock downside. Market Outlook: Bullish but worried about risk. How it works: You own stock. You buy a put option as insurance. Example: You own TCS shares at ₹3600. You buy a put option at strike ₹3500 for ₹50 premium. If TCS falls to ₹3300, your loss on stock is ₹300, but your put option gains value, protecting you. ✅ Pros: Protects against big losses. ❌ Cons: Premium cost reduces profits.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 1 Master Candlestick PatternRisk Management for Beginners Risk management is the most important subject in options education. Even the best strategy fails without discipline. Rules for beginners: Never invest all capital in options (limit to 10–20%). Always use stop-loss orders. Trade in liquid contracts (like Nifty, Bank Nifty, large-cap stocks). Understand Greeks (Delta = direction, Theta = time decay, Vega = volatility). Avoid selling naked options (unlimited risk). Common Mistakes Beginners Make Buying cheap out-of-the-money options – They look attractive but often expire worthless. Ignoring time decay – Options lose value daily. Overtrading – Too many trades cause losses. No exit plan – Holding losing positions too long. Chasing quick profits – Leads to gambling behavior. Educational Tips for Success Start with paper trading to learn without risk. Focus on 1–2 simple strategies first (covered call, spreads). Keep a trading journal to track mistakes. Read about market psychology. Remember: protecting capital is more important than chasing profits.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
NMDC By KRS Charts9th June 2025 / 19:01 Why NMDC? 1. Dow Theory , it turned into Bullish Trend with Higher Highs & Higher lows. 2. Huge Accumulations since many Years and as I said above HHs & HLs.👆 3. In major timeframes stock is above 100EMA which is sign that more upside might possible. 4. Wave counts are picture perfect with more than 0.618 retracement for wave(2) and Reversed to upside from 0.5 Retracement between wave(2) & wave4 bottom points. Targets & SL is mentioned in Chart. NSE:NMDC NSE:CNXMETAL
NSE:NMDCLong
by KRSCharts