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GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook. • Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone. • Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones. Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase. • Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation. • Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,300 – 4,298 • Stop-Loss: 4,310 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,178 (previous BOS zone) → 4,144 (discount retest) → 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket) 📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,144 – 4,142 • Stop-Loss: 4,135 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,185 (minor structure high) → 4,210 (liquidity void fill) → 4,300 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction. • Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area). • Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation. • Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%. Summary Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes. • Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone) • Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone) Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds. 📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147. Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum. • A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones. • A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels. 🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1) • Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070). • Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB. • Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+). • Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab. • Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top. Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes. Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based) 🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138 Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block). Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250 🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252 Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction. Targets: 4180 → 4150 📌 Summary Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum. Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow) 🔍 Current Market Context Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level. Liquidity: The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction. The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level. Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone. 🎯 Proposed Trading Plan The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD). 1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD) This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long). Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124. This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120. This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs. The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone. Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240). 2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP) This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move. Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210. This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212. This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone. Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone). ⚠️ Key Considerations Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying). Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success. Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Part 12 Trading Master Class With ExpertsRisk in Option Trading Although options can be powerful, they carry risks: 1. For Option Buyers Premium can become zero if market doesn’t move as expected. Time decay works against buyers. 2. For Option Sellers Potentially unlimited loss in selling naked calls or puts. Require higher capital and margin. 3. Volatility Risk Sudden drop in volatility can reduce premium even if direction is correct. 4. Liquidity Risk Some strike prices have low liquidity, making entry/exit difficult.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by SkyTradingZone
HDFCLIFE 1 Day Time Frame level Current/Live price: ~ ₹ 774.15 (down ~1.03 %) Today’s high: ~ ₹ 780.30 Today’s low: ~ ₹ 770.10 ⚠️ Important Caveats This is not investment advice. Intraday price action is inherently volatile and can change quickly. I don’t have full access to live tick-by-tick data or order-book depth in this summary. Broader market, sector news, and company-specific announcements could abruptly change the trajectory. For trading, risk management (stop loss, position size) is crucial especially in a large-cap like HDFC Life.
NSE:HDFCLIFELong
by Knowledgehub
Who Controls the Trade Market?1. Governments and National Policies Governments are among the most significant influencers of global trade. They do not directly “control” the entire trade market but shape it through: a. Trade Policies Countries impose: Tariffs Import/export taxes Quotas Subsidies Sanctions These tools can encourage or restrict trade. For example, a country may impose tariffs on imported steel to protect its local steel industry, affecting global steel prices and trade flows. b. Trade Agreements Nations sign bilateral and multilateral agreements such as: WTO Agreements Regional trade blocs (EU, ASEAN, NAFTA/USMCA, MERCOSUR) Free trade agreements (India–UAE CEPA, EU–Japan EPA) Such agreements define tariff structures, market access, rules of origin, and dispute mechanisms. They create predictable trade environments that shape global flows. c. Currency and Monetary Policy Governments influence their currency through central banks, affecting: Export competitiveness Import costs Balance of payments For example, a weaker currency makes a country’s exports cheaper globally, increasing trade activity. 2. Central Banks and Interest Rate Policies Central banks indirectly influence the trade market by controlling: Interest rates Foreign exchange reserves Money supply Inflation These factors alter import/export demand, capital flows, and trade financing costs. The U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of Japan, and People's Bank of China have an outsized influence because their currencies drive global trade settlements. 3. The World Trade Organization (WTO) The WTO does not “control” trade but regulates and oversees the global trading system. It: Sets rules for fair trade Resolves trade disputes Ensures nondiscriminatory trade practices Manages global tariff schedules When trade conflicts arise—such as U.S.–China tariff disputes—WTO rulings influence the direction of global commerce. 4. Global Corporations and Multinational Companies Large corporations have enormous power over global trade because they operate massive supply chains that span continents. This includes: Tech giants like Apple, Samsung, and TSMC Automotive leaders like Toyota, Volkswagen, and Tesla Energy majors like ExxonMobil, Saudi Aramco, BP Retail giants like Amazon, Walmart These companies determine: Where factories are located What resources are needed How goods move across borders Because of their sheer scale, multinational companies influence labor markets, commodity demand, transportation networks, and global logistics. 5. Commodity Exchanges and Financial Markets International exchanges play a key role in price discovery. Examples include: Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) – agriculture, energy, metals London Metal Exchange (LME) – base metals New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) – equities ICE – energy, sugar, cotton These exchanges: Set global benchmark prices Facilitate futures and options trading Provide hedging tools for buyers and sellers Thus, financial traders and institutions heavily influence short-term market movements, especially in oil, gold, crops, and currencies. 6. Banks and Financial Institutions Trade requires financing. Large banks such as: JPMorgan HSBC Citi Deutsche Bank Standard Chartered provide: Letters of credit Trade loans Forex settlement Risk management tools Without these institutions, global trade would slow dramatically, especially for developing economies. 7. Geopolitical Powers and Global Politics Political decisions deeply affect trade. The world’s major power centers—the U.S., China, EU, India, Japan, Russia—shape trade through: Economic alliances Trade warfare (tariffs, sanctions) Military presence near trade routes Resource control Investment in foreign infrastructure Geopolitical tensions such as the Russia–Ukraine war, South China Sea disputes, or Middle Eastern conflicts often disrupt supply chains, shipping lanes, and commodity prices. 8. Cartels and Organized Commodity Groups Some commodities are influenced by producer groups or cartels. The most powerful example is: OPEC The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries coordinates oil production to influence global oil prices. Although they do not fully control the oil market, their decisions strongly impact: Crude supply Energy prices Inflation globally Other organized groups exist in diamonds, copper, and certain agricultural sectors, but none are as influential as OPEC. 9. Supply Chain and Logistics Networks Trade physically moves through: Shipping companies Port authorities Airlines Freight forwarders Rail networks Global shipping giants like Maersk, MSC, and COSCO operate vast fleets and control a significant portion of global container movement. Congestion at a major port can affect trade worldwide. 10. Digital Platforms, E-Commerce, and Technology In the 21st century, platforms such as Alibaba, Amazon, and Shopify influence global trade patterns by enabling cross-border commerce at scale. Additionally, digital tools like: AI forecasting Blockchain-based trade finance Real-time logistics tracking Mobile payments have increased trade efficiency and reduced barriers. 11. Consumers and Market Demand Ultimately, consumer behavior controls the direction of trade. Their preferences shape: What goods are produced Where they are sourced How companies market products For example: Rising demand for electric vehicles increases global trade in lithium, cobalt, and battery components. Demand for fast fashion drives textile imports and exports. Consumers collectively act as a “silent controller” of trade. 12. Conclusion — A System, Not a Single Controller The trade market is not controlled by any one entity. Instead, it operates as a dynamic ecosystem shaped by: Governments Corporations Financial markets Regulators Central banks Geopolitical forces Supply chain networks Consumers
NSE:ICICIBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Indian Derivative Secrets1. The First Secret: India is a Market Dominated by Options, Not Futures One of the biggest secrets that new traders miss is that India’s derivatives segment is overwhelmingly options-driven. More than 95% of the total derivatives turnover comes from options. This creates unique behavior: Market often moves to kill option premiums → popularly called premium eating market. Expiry days show violent moves, as both buyers and sellers fight for option decay or reward. Weekly expiries for Nifty, Bank Nifty, and FinNifty create short-term trend cycles. The real secret: Options sellers (institutions, prop desks) control the market more than options buyers (retail). Because sellers have deep pockets and margin power, they dictate pricing through: Heavy shorting on OTM strikes Creating artificial range-bound movements Sudden IV crushes after major events Pinning the market to certain levels on expiry 2. The Second Secret: Open Interest (OI) is a Map of Smart Money Retail traders look at price; professional traders look at Open Interest. Key principles: 1. Rising OI + Rising Price → Long Build-up Indicates accumulation; institutions betting on upward trend. 2. Falling OI + Rising Price → Short Covering Often triggers sharp intraday rallies. 3. Rising OI + Falling Price → Short Build-up A strong bearish signal. 4. Falling OI + Falling Price → Long Unwinding Leads to slow downward drift. But the deeper secret is this: Option OI is used to trap retail traders. Example: If 20 lakh OI sits at Nifty 22500 CE, it creates a wall of resistance. If suddenly the OI reduces, it means sellers are scared → breakout incoming. If OI spikes massively, sellers are confident → reversal incoming. Professionals track: Change in OI in last 5 minutes OI shifting to higher or lower strikes OI unwinding during big candles These help predict short-term market moves before they show on charts. 3. The Third Secret: India’s Market is Driven by Event Volatility Unlike global markets, Indian derivatives see unique event-driven volatility cycles: 1. RBI Policy Days Bank Nifty’s biggest moves occur here. IV spikes → option prices increase. 2. Budget Day High volatility, large swings, unpredictable behavior. 3. Election Results Massive IV spikes that crush instantly post-event. 4. US Fed Days Indian markets react sharply the next morning. The secret? Option sellers thrive before the event; option buyers thrive after. The trick is to identify IV patterns: Before events → IV increases → selling straddles/strangles becomes risky. After events → IV crashes → buyers lose premium but directional traders profit. 4. The Fourth Secret: FIIs Don’t Control the Market Daily — The Myth Many retail traders assume FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) drive daily trends. This is not true anymore. The secret: Proprietary trading firms (prop desks) influence intraday to medium-term moves more than FIIs. FIIs provide long-term liquidity, but prop firms dominate: Day trading Spread strategies Gamma scalping Weekly expiry management Arbitrage between indices The “intraday direction” is mostly shaped by: Prop firms (Indian) High-frequency trading algorithms (HFT) Market-making firms 5. The Fifth Secret: Option Pain Theory (Max Pain) Actually Works in India “Max Pain” is the level where the maximum number of option buyers lose money. In India’s weekly expiry system, this theory becomes extremely powerful. Institutions try to move the price toward max pain. Example: If Nifty’s max pain is at 22400 And current price is 22580 Expect slow grinding downward movement on expiry. Why? Because sellers want to make maximum profit from premium decay. Max pain is not 100% accurate, but works exceptionally well: In range-bound markets On expiry days When OI build-up is clean 6. The Sixth Secret: Market Makers Control Intraday Volatility A little-known fact: India’s intraday volatility is heavily influenced by market makers who adjust hedges every second. They use: Delta hedging Gamma scalping Vega exposure reduction Arbitrage between futures and options Calendar spreads This creates sudden: Wicks Fake breakouts Violent reversals Stop-loss hunting Retail often blames “operators”, but the real cause is market-making algorithms. 7. The Seventh Secret: Expiry Day Moves Follow a Predictable Pattern Every Thursday (and Tuesday/Friday for other indices), the market behaves differently. 9:15–11:30 AM Range bound → sellers dominate. 11:30–1:30 PM Small directional move, often fake. 1:30–3:00 PM True move begins after OI shift. 3:00–3:20 PM Massive expiry manipulation. Expiry tricks: Add huge OI at far OTM strikes → trap buyers Shift support/resistance rapidly Trigger SLs of retailers who go long or short The secret strategy that institutions use: Selling ATM straddles and hedging using futures or deep OTM options. 8. The Eighth Secret: Price Moves After Retail Stops Getting Trapped Retail trader behavior is extremely predictable: They buy options after big candles They short after breakdowns They panic during retracements They buy tops and sell bottoms Institutions use this to create traps: Bull Trap Breakout → triggers retail longs → market reverses. Bear Trap Breakdown → triggers retail shorts → market reverses. The secret is to analyze: Long/short buildup data OI spikes near key levels Market structure on 5-minute charts 9. The Ninth Secret: Volume Profile + OI = Institutional Footprint The biggest secret weapon in derivatives trading is combining volume with OI. 1. High Volume + High OI → Strong Institutional Position Expect a trend continuation. 2. High Volume + OI Unwinding → Trend Reversal Institutions are exiting. 3. Low Volume + High OI → Trap Zone Retail buyers are trapped; avoid entries. Conclusion Indian derivatives trading is not random — it follows the logic, psychology, and positioning of big players, OI structure, volatility cycles, and institutional strategies. The key secrets revolve around understanding who controls the market, how OI shapes price, how algorithms influence intraday volatility, and how weekly expiries create predictable traps and opportunities. If you master these hidden mechanisms, derivatives trading transforms from gambling into a strategic and probability-driven game.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
4
NIFTY getting rejected from BAT PRZ - To test 25730TF: 15 MInutes Shared Sensex chart earlier today on this formation.. Price is getting rejected from the PRZ of the Harmonic Bat Pattern. We could expect 50% pullback as per the set up, and the 50% retracement is placed at 25730 The PRZ also happens to be 1.618% fib extension from the lows, so, if one wants to consider it as a 3rd wave target.. Ideally, we could expect one more leg up to go past 26K after this correction (in EW terms), assuming, we have completed 3 and 4th in play (to end at 25700-25750 range) Finally, the 25750 zone GAP needs to be filled sooner or later.. which, confluences with the Harmonic/EW targets. lets see how the price unfolds in the coming sessions.. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
NSE:NIFTY
by Murthy_Santhosh
3
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts What Are Options? Options are financial contracts that give a trader the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date (called the expiry). The underlying asset could be a stock, index, commodity, or currency. Because options provide choice (whether to exercise or not), they are called “options.” There are two main types: Call Option – gives you the right to buy at a fixed price. Put Option – gives you the right to sell at a fixed price. In both cases, you pay a premium (price of the option). This is the maximum loss for option buyers.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
BIRLAMONEY – Wave C Rally Loading?🧠 Chart Context & Wave Structure The chart displays a classic Elliott Wave corrective setup after a strong impulsive rally (Wave A). Following the impulsive move, price entered a multi-stage correction, forming a clear (a-b-c) structure within Wave B. Key Observations: 📈 Character Change in Price Action (ChoCH) signaled the initial shift from bearish to bullish structure. Wave A marked a strong impulsive leg confirming bullish sentiment. The ongoing Wave B correction is now nearing completion within the 50%-78% Fibonacci retracement zone of Wave A. The Intermediate correction (ABC) seems to be completing between ₹152 – ₹157, aligning with strong confluence support. 📚 Educational Insights 1️⃣ Character Change in Price Action (ChoCH): Marks the structural shift from lower highs/lows to higher highs/lows — the first clue of trend reversal. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Principle: Most corrective waves retrace 50%–78.6% of the prior impulsive leg. This “Golden Pocket” zone often acts as a high-probability reversal area where smart money accumulates. 3️⃣ Wave Structure Psychology: Wave A: Impulsive rally driven by renewed optimism. Wave B: Corrective pullback – often mistaken as a bearish reversal. Wave C: Next impulsive leg resuming the primary uptrend; often equals or exceeds Wave A in magnitude. 🎯 Price Projection & Prediction Wave B completion zone: ₹152 – ₹157 ✅ Wave C potential target zone: ₹222 – ₹230 🎯 Invalidation / Stop-Loss zone: Below ₹148 (Closing basis) 🚫 If price sustains above ₹157 and breaks ₹171.89, it strengthens the bullish probability for Wave C extension. 💡 Trading Strategy (Educational Purpose Only) 1️⃣ Entry Plan: Watch for bullish reversal patterns (Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, or Double Bottom) near ₹152–₹157. Aggressive Entry: Partial accumulation in this zone. Conservative Entry: Wait for breakout confirmation above ₹165–₹171.89 zone. 2️⃣ Targets: 🎯 Target 1: ₹190 (Intermediate resistance) 🎯 Target 2: ₹222 – ₹230 (Wave C completion zone) 3️⃣ Stop-Loss: Keep Closing basis SL below ₹148, as a break below it invalidates the current corrective completion structure. ⚖️ Risk Management Tips Risk only 1–2% of your total trading capital per trade. Avoid aggressive averaging during corrections. For options traders — enter directional positions only after structure confirmation. Combine structure + volume confirmation for high-probability setups. Remember: Elliott Waves show probability, not certainty. 🧩 Summary & Conclusion Aditya Birla Money appears to be completing its intermediate corrective Wave (ABC) within the ₹152–₹157 zone — a strong support confluence area. If the structure holds, a potential impulsive Wave C rally could unfold toward ₹222–₹230 in the coming weeks. Patience and confirmation will be key before entering this potential move. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BIRLAMONEYLong
by LiveTradingBox
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations. • A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels. • A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250. Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle. • Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep. • Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper. • Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,255 – 4,253 • Stop-Loss: 4,265 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,182 (previous BOS zone) → 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium) → 4,110 (discount reaction zone) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,166 – 4,168 • Stop-Loss: 4,156 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket) → 4,248 (imbalance fill zone) → 4,255 (final liquidity target) 📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades. • Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone. • Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation. • Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup. Summary Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined: • Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area) • Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area) Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key. 📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time Smart Money updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 14-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 14 NOV 2025 (Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart) Chart Summary: Nifty closed near 25,884 , forming a balanced structure after recent upside momentum. The index is currently positioned within the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (25,863 – 25,934) , suggesting indecision as participants await directional clarity. Above this range, key resistance levels lie at 26,007 (Last Intraday Resistance) and 26,200 . On the downside, supports exist near 25,795 (Gap-down Support) and 25,664 (Last Intraday Support) . The index remains in a neutral-to-bullish bias as long as it holds above 25,795 . Sustaining above 25,934 may trigger renewed upward movement toward 26,200. Key Levels to Watch: 🟩 Supports: 25,795 / 25,664 🟥 Resistances: 25,934 / 26,007 / 26,200 ⚖️ Bias Zone: 25,863 – 25,934 (No-Trade Zone – Wait for breakout confirmation) 🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points) If Nifty opens above 26,000 – 26,050 , it will open directly near or above the Last Intraday Resistance (26,007) . Such a gap-up could trigger excitement at the open, but traders must wait for confirmation of strength. If price sustains above 26,007 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles, the next upside targets could be 26,120 – 26,200 . If price fails to sustain above 26,007 and forms rejection wicks, expect a pullback toward 25,934 – 25,884 . Avoid chasing a gap-up immediately — wait for a retest near 26,000 for better entry confirmation. If price reclaims 26,000 after a pullback with rising volume, it could confirm continuation momentum. 💡 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones often create emotional entry traps. Always let the price establish strength through retests and volume confirmation. A breakout sustained by strong candles signals genuine trend continuation, while sharp reversals at resistance suggest false breakouts. 🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 25,860 – 25,900 Zone) A flat opening near the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (25,863 – 25,934) indicates early indecision. Price may spend time consolidating before choosing direction. Avoid entering within this zone in the first 15 minutes — volatility may remain erratic. If Nifty sustains above 25,934 with strong green candles, upside targets open toward 26,007 – 26,200 . If it breaks below 25,863 , weakness may push the index toward 25,795 – 25,664 . Trade breakout confirmation only — fakeouts are common in flat openings. Wait for candle closure and volume support. 🧠 Educational Tip: Flat openings test trader discipline. Most false breakouts occur when traders predict rather than wait. Breakouts that occur after a consolidation period with strong volume tend to have better follow-through. The key is patience and confirmation, not prediction. 🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points) If Nifty opens near 25,770 – 25,800 , it will enter the Opening Support Zone . This area will be critical for bulls to defend. If price forms reversal candles (hammer, bullish engulfing) near 25,795 , expect a rebound toward 25,863 – 25,934 . If the index fails to hold above 25,795 , further weakness could extend toward 25,664 (Last Intraday Support) . Avoid panic shorting after a large gap-down — instead, wait for pullbacks toward 25,860 – 25,880 for better entry risk-reward. Watch for volume behavior — decreasing volume near support often indicates exhaustion, hinting at a short-covering rally. 📘 Educational Insight: Gap-downs attract panic sellers early in the session. Experienced traders wait for signs of stabilization at support levels. Sharp reversals with strong volume often mark the beginning of intraday recoveries. Patience pays more than impulse in such setups. 💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS: Avoid option entries during the first 15–20 minutes — IV (Implied Volatility) spikes inflate premium values, leading to quick time decay afterward. Limit exposure to 1–2% of total capital per trade . Consistency in risk control is key to longevity. Prefer ATM or ITM options for directional plays; avoid deep OTM options unless trading clear breakout momentum. Always use stop-losses — trail them once the position moves 30–40 points in your favor. Book partial profits at strong support/resistance zones to lock in gains. If the day turns choppy or non-trending, step back — capital preservation > forced trading. 📈 SUMMARY: 🟧 Neutral Zone: 25,863 – 25,934 🟥 Resistance Zones: 26,007 / 26,200 🟩 Support Zones: 25,795 / 25,664 ⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 25,934 | Bearish below 25,863 📚 CONCLUSION: Nifty is at a decisive point, trading within a narrow consolidation zone between 25,863 – 25,934 . A breakout above this zone could drive momentum toward 26,200 , while a breakdown below 25,863 could lead to a retest of 25,795 – 25,664 . Patience and observation will be the most valuable tools for traders on 14 Nov. Let price confirm direction with volume support before executing trades. Avoid emotional entries — precision and timing matter more than frequency. 📊 In trading, waiting for confirmation isn’t missing out — it’s aligning with probability and discipline. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis and levels are shared purely for educational and informational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Trading level and plan for 14-Nov-2025📊 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 14 NOV 2025 (Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart) Chart Summary: Bank Nifty closed near 58,387 , showing consolidation after a volatile previous session. The index currently trades close to its Opening Support / Resistance Zone (58,382) , marking a crucial level where directional bias could shift. Immediate resistance lies at 58,544 (Opening Resistance) and 58,629 (Last Intraday Resistance) , while support is seen at 58,223 (Opening Support – Gap Down Case) and 57,982 (Last Intraday Support) . The structure reflects a neutral-to-bullish bias as long as price sustains above 58,223, while a breakdown below this level could invite fresh short-term weakness. Key Zones to Watch: 🟩 Support Levels: 58,223 / 57,982 🟥 Resistance Levels: 58,544 / 58,629 / 58,826 ⚖️ Neutral Zone: 58,382 – 58,544 🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (200+ Points) If Bank Nifty opens around or above 58,600 – 58,650 , it will open directly near the Last Intraday Resistance (58,629) . This gap-up will test whether buyers can sustain higher levels or if early profit-booking sets in. If price sustains above 58,629 with a strong bullish candle (preferably a close above 58,650 on 15-min chart), the next upside target could be 58,826 . However, if price fails to sustain above 58,629 and starts forming rejection candles, a pullback toward 58,544 – 58,382 could unfold. For confirmation-based entries, wait for a successful retest of 58,629 — strong buying momentum with rising volume post-retest indicates a genuine breakout. Avoid aggressive call buying at the open; instead, focus on breakout retest setups to maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio. 💡 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones often create emotional entries for traders fearing “missing out.” Smart traders observe the first 15–30 minutes to confirm whether the breakout is sustained by volume or fading momentum. Strong trend days begin only when resistance flips into support. 🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Around 58,380 – 58,420 Zone) A flat open near the previous close indicates indecision and potential consolidation before the next move. This range could turn into a short-term battleground between buyers and sellers. Avoid trading within 58,382 – 58,420 during the initial phase — this zone represents a neutral area with mixed signals. If price breaks and sustains above 58,544 , upside targets open toward 58,629 – 58,826 . If price breaks below 58,382 , weakness may drag it toward 58,223 , where fresh buyers could emerge. Flat openings provide excellent breakout opportunities — traders should focus on volume confirmation and follow-through price action for directional cues. 🧠 Educational Tip: Flat openings are where discipline matters most. Avoid preemptive trades — instead, “react” once the market picks direction. Waiting for a decisive breakout above resistance or below support allows higher confidence trades with reduced noise. 🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (200+ Points) If Bank Nifty opens around 58,150 – 58,200 , it will directly test the Opening Support Zone (58,223) . This zone is crucial for bulls to defend the ongoing structure. If reversal candles (like hammer or bullish engulfing) form around 58,223 – 58,150 , expect a potential short-covering bounce toward 58,382 – 58,544 . If price fails to hold above 58,150 , further downside toward 57,982 is likely, which acts as the Last Intraday Support . Avoid aggressive shorting immediately after the gap-down — instead, wait for a minor pullback toward 58,250 – 58,300 to enter with defined risk. If volume drops during the decline, it may hint at selling exhaustion, signaling possible intraday reversal setups. 📘 Educational Insight: Gap-downs often attract emotional panic-selling. Experienced traders look for reversal signals near major supports rather than joining the fall. Observe candle formations and volume shifts — they reveal whether institutional players are accumulating or distributing. 💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS: Avoid buying options in the first 15 minutes — IV (Implied Volatility) spikes can cause inflated premiums. Wait for the volatility to stabilize. Limit exposure to 1–2% of trading capital per position. Preserve capital to stay in the game. Prefer ATM or ITM options for better delta control and less theta decay. Avoid far OTM options unless trading confirmed momentum breakouts. Use trailing stop-losses — for example, tighten SL after 40–50 points move in your favor to protect profits. Book partial profits near key zones (support/resistance) and let the rest ride with a trailing SL. Don’t average losing positions — capital protection > emotional recovery. 📈 SUMMARY: 🟧 Neutral Zone: 58,382 – 58,544 🟥 Resistance Zones: 58,629 / 58,826 🟩 Support Zones: 58,223 / 57,982 ⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 58,544 | Weakness below 58,223 📚 CONCLUSION: Bank Nifty’s price action around the 58,382 – 58,544 range will define the day’s tone. A sustained move above 58,544 can open the path toward 58,826 , whereas a break below 58,223 may trigger selling pressure toward 57,982 . Patience and discipline remain your biggest edge. Avoid overtrading in volatile or range-bound setups — let the price confirm before acting. Focus on directional clarity backed by volume strength for high-probability trades. 📊 In trading, precision and patience outperform prediction — always wait for clarity before conviction. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis above is shared purely for educational and informational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 13/11/2025🔸 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe • D1 momentum continues to close inside the overbought zone, signaling weakening buying pressure. • A bearish reversal may occur at any moment. H4 Timeframe • H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to contract → a potential signal that H4 may soon turn downward. H1 Timeframe • H1 momentum is currently oversold, so a short-term bounce is likely to push momentum back toward the overbought area. ________________________________________ 🔸 2. Wave Structure D1 Structure • No significant change compared to yesterday; price is still heading toward the completion zone of wave X. H4 Structure • Price is inside wave X and currently reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of wave W (purple). • This area aligns with both D1 and H4 momentum, creating a strong reversal confluence. • We wait for an H4 bearish close to confirm the potential top of wave X. • Note: The current H4 candle is compressing tightly, so one more upward spike is still possible before reversal. H1 Structure • Within the red 5-wave sequence, a smaller 5-wave black structure is developing. • RSI showed a bearish divergence at the top of wave 3 (black) → early signal of a wave 5 top forming. • Based on wave projections, wave 5 black (which also completes wave 5 red and wave X) may extend into: o 4223 (0.382 Fibo of wave 1–3) o 4248 (0.618 Fibo of wave 1–3) Confluence for wave-top formation: • RSI divergence between wave 3 and wave 5 • H1 momentum rising into overbought then reversing → This supports the expectation of wave X topping around these zones. ________________________________________ 🔸 3. Trading Plan You have three entry options, depending on your trading style: ✅ 1. Sell Limit: 4223 – 4225 • SL: 4233 • TP1: 4181 • TP2: 4145 • TP3: 4046 ✅ 2. Sell Limit: 4248 – 4250 • SL: 4260 • TP1: 4181 • TP2: 4145 • TP3: 4046 ✅ 3. Sell Stop at 4181 • Trigger only when the candle closes below 4181 (wave 4 black low). • This method offers stronger confirmation, since structure breaks down before entry. ________________________________________ 📌 Summary • Wave X is approaching its final target area and multiple signals support a potential top. • H1 may still push higher toward 4223–4248 before reversing. • These two zones are strong sell areas with momentum and divergence confluence. • All three entry methods (limit – limit – breakout) provide strategic options depending on risk preference.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Emerging Symmetry: Spotting Recurrent Patterns on the WtfNoticing an interesting structural similarity on the weekly chart, where a previous impulsive move (highlighted) was followed by a prolonged corrective phase confined within dynamic support and resistance lines. The current price action is developing above a rising support and beneath a descending trendline, reflecting the classic ingredients of compression after expansion seen earlier. This type of setup warrants attention for those studying recurring market behaviours and pattern symmetry. No directional bias—just a pure market structure observation drawn from historical context.
NSE:INFIBEAMLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
GOLD: Big Pullback Loading Before a 4400 Rally?Bias: Bullish – Buy-the-Dip Strategy Approach: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 🌐 Market Context Gold continues to show a strong recovery, maintaining a clear bullish structure across the H1, H4, and Daily timeframes. Institutional order flow remains firmly on the buy-side as: Liquidity on H1/H4 highs is being swept consistently Pullbacks are respecting Demand Order Blocks (OBs) Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish continuation However, the region 4280 – 4330 (FVG + major trap zone) has historically triggered strong distribution – making it a likely area for liquidity hunts and fake breakouts before any corrective move. 🎯 Key Price Levels 🔴 Resistance Zones (Potential Distribution Areas) 4274 – 4295 4330 – 4345 (FVG + Biggest Trap Zone) Expect volatility and sharp reactions here – suitable for partial profit-taking, not for chasing buy entries. 🟢 Support / Buy Zones (Institutional Demand Areas) 1️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Shallow Pullback (High Probability) Entry: 4170 – 4190 (H4 OB + BOS retest) SL: Below 4170 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ➡️ This is today’s primary setup. Requires clear bullish confirmation on entry. 2️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Deep Pullback (High R:R Setup) Entry: 4100 – 4120 (Deep OB + liquidity sweep level) SL: Below 4100 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ➡️ Best scenario if the market retraces deeply — exceptional Risk:Reward. 📉 Why Selling Is Not a Priority Despite resistance overhead, the market remains: Bullish in structure Supported by demand zones Without a confirmed Market Structure Shift (MSS) → Bearish BOS Therefore, selling remains counter-trend and not part of the main trading plan today. 📈 Institutional Technical Outlook (H1/H4) 1. Price approaching 4280 – 4330 trap zone Expect: Liquidity sweeps Wick-driven false breakouts Short-term corrections back into OB before continuing upwards 2. Liquidity Map 4170 liquidity pool below current price → likely target for engineered pullback 4300 – 4350 equal highs → attractive upside draw for smart money 🧠 Professional Trade Plan Summary ✔️ Do not chase breakouts near resistance ✔️ Wait for price to retrace into: 4170 – 4190 4100 – 4120 ✔️ Main targets: TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ✔️ At TP1: Secure 50% Move SL to Break-Even ✔️ Plan invalidation if price closes below 4100 📌 Notes for Large-Capital Traders (UK/EU) Today’s environment is ideal for high-quality, low-frequency entries at institutional demand zones. Avoid buying at highs; patience will deliver the best setups. This plan follows a clean institutional trend-following methodology — suitable for accounts prioritising consistency and low drawdown. 📊 Daily Bias: Strong BUY ⏳ Waiting for pullback towards 4170 – 4190 or 4100 – 4120 🚀 Targeting 4360 – 4400 over the next sessions
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Stock: ADVENZYMESHarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (Dated: 13-11-2025) Stock: ADVENZYMES Current Market Price (CMP): ₹351.50 Action: Buy at current levels. In case of any decline, accumulate additional quantity around lower levels. Recommended Quantity: 142 shares (Approximate investment: ₹50,000) Holding Period: 3 months Resistance Level: ₹407 Target Price: ₹463 Stop Loss: ₹305 Disclaimer: The information shared above is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risks, including the potential loss of your entire capital. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. For more details and regular market updates, visit our YouTube channel: SHARE TRADING GURU
NSE:BSOFTLong
by WAVEFUNDSARUN
Stock: LICHSGFIN (LIC Housing Finance Ltd)HarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (Dated: 13-11-2025) Stock: LICHSGFIN (LIC Housing Finance Ltd) Current Market Price (CMP): ₹568.25 Action: Buy at current levels. In case of any decline, accumulate more around ₹556. Recommended Quantity: 90 shares (Approximate investment: ₹50,000) Holding Period: 3 months Resistance Levels: ₹608 / ₹656 Target Price: ₹695 Stop Loss: ₹545 Disclaimer: The information provided above is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading or investing in financial markets involves substantial risk, including the potential loss of your entire capital. Please conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. For more insights and regular market updates, visit our YouTube channel: 👉 SHARE TRADING GURU
NSE:BSOFT
by WAVEFUNDSARUN