ONGC still pending a down move?According to Elliott Wave analysis, ONGC looks into last phase of its short term down move.
After trending impulse, the stock is into Flat Correction. Wave C of Flat correction should have 5 moves in it. And we can see 4 moves until now. So we can say ONGC is in wave 4 of wave C of Flat correction.
ONGC may go further down a little more to form wave 5 of wave C. This level may come at 61.8% retracement of the previous impulse.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Wave Analysis
Great opportunity to buy Reliance IndustriesHello,
Every time you talk about the companies to invest in the India market, a top company that comes to most people's mind is reliance. I had a close look at reliance and below is my view.
Business Model Overview:
Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL) operates in various sectors, primarily energy, petrochemicals, retail, telecommunications, and digital services. Its diverse revenue streams come from refining and marketing, petrochemicals, exploration and production, retail (through Reliance Retail), and telecom (through Jio). This diversity provides a moat for the company, making it resilient to sector-specific downturns.
Revenue and Financials:
As of 2024, Reliance has performed well, increasing its stock price by over 13% from January to October 2024. The stock reached IRN 3200 in July. Reliance's market cap remains strong at ₹19.82 trillion, and its price trends suggest growth despite short-term corrections as shown below.
Technical Analysis:
On the technical front, Reliance Industries has experienced a sideways corrective phase since reaching its peak in July 2024. After a decline in the recent months, the stock is trading at around ₹2,813, following a slight dip in September.
The stock is currently at the bottom of the correction and therefore at a great point for entries with target at INR 3200.
Opportunities for Reliance
Retail Expansion: Reliance Retail is targeting 20% annual growth, outperforming the market's expected 10% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). This aggressive expansion strategy is set to capitalize on both urban and rural markets, leveraging its extensive infrastructure and growing digital footprint.
Renewable Energy Leadership: Reliance is positioning itself as a leader in green energy by planning to establish 20GW of solar PV capacity by 2026. This includes significant investments in battery production and continued strategic advancements in oil-to-chemical (O2C) and oil and gas (O&G) sectors. The company’s emphasis on sustainability reflects its ambition to dominate the renewable energy market while maintaining profitability in traditional sectors.
Operating Expense Control: There is an expectation that the growth in operating expenses will moderate in FY25, leading to improved margins as expansion efforts stabilize.
Risks to Consider for Reliance
Supply Chain and Costs: Rising freight costs and limited international market presence pose challenges. The company must also navigate the delicate balance between sustainability initiatives and profitability amid increasing global supply overcapacity in various sectors.
Oil and Gas Market Volatility: Reliance faces the risks of tight crude oil supply, which could affect margins in its refining and petrochemical segments. Additionally, regulatory changes impacting fuel and rising competition from Chinese exports and imports under trade agreements could create market pressures, challenging Reliance’s competitiveness in global markets.
Final Recommendation
Given Reliance's diversified business, strong retail growth, and strategic investments in renewable energy, it remains a buy for long-term investors. The stock is trading near its correction lows, presenting a potential buying opportunity at current levels (around ₹2,813). The target price should be set at ₹3,200, with a focus on monitoring key risks like crude oil supply constraints and competition.
Good luck!!
Jubilant Ingrevia for 60%+ gainsDate: 3 Oct’24
Stock: Jublingrea
Timeframe: Daily chart
Jubilant Ingrevia seems to be in Wave III of 3 which is heading towards 1300+ (60%+ from current price of 810) as seen in the chart. Wave III could end around 940 and Wave IV could correct to 750 levels (returns would be even higher if entered at the end of Wave IV of 3). High volume and strong RSI support this stance.
If the industry tailwinds remain, it won’t surprise me if the target is done in a year’s time.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Jubilant Ingrevia 3 ke Wave III mein dikh raha hai jo 1300+ (800 ki vartamaan keemat se 60%+) kee taraf badh raha hai jaisa ki chart mein dikh raha hai. Wave III 940 ke aas-paas samaapt ho sakta hai aur Wave IV 750 ke star tak neeche aa sakta hai (yadi 3 ke Wave IV ke ant mein entry ki jaye to return aur bhee adhik hoga). Adhik volume aur majaboot RSI is trend ka samarthan karate hain.
Yadi sector mein teji kee sthiti banee rahee, to yah koee aascharya kee baat nahin hogee yadi lakshya ek varsh ke bheetar poora ho jae.
Yeh koi invest karne ki hitaayad nahin hai. Kripya apana analysis khud karein.
BANK NIFTY Short term UpdateBank Nifty is looking in a impulsive structure CMP 53000 & holding 52900 it can move towards 55000 so risk reward is good for longs here as can be seen in this chart it has pulled back to reverse parallel channel & its 38.2% retracement of probable wave 3 rise this is very short term trade idea so will follow the tight SL.
BHEL Picture Abhi Baki Hai (The Show is not Over Yet)BHEL has been in impulse wave since 2020 & is completing Wave 3 of lager wave (3) so 1 more wave looks pending a close above 280 would be first sign of correction has ended & the recent low was wave 4 which ended in ABC in a irregular flat or we might make a new low but should end between 234-224 right now shorts are not a good idea in current wave structure.
EW Breakdown of USDCHF: Eyeing a Move Toward 0.8620I have analyzed the wave count by examining a consolidation area with significant trading activity following a sharp decline in USDCHF. Observing the slope of the fall, it appears that this congestion area could represent a correction on the 4-hour timeframe. The wave count indicates that wave B has formed a contracting triangle, with wave (e) of wave B completing at 0.8396 .
We are at wave (C), which has can be move forward after breaching a strong resistance of 0.85154 . The currency may have some pullback for the public participation, but it shouldn't exceed the low of wave B. The setup can be formed after the breakout of wave B, for the distance up to 0.8618.
Fibonacci Calculations are given below:
Wave C = 1.618 of Wave A
Wave C = 0.786 of the previous impulse
Wave C = 1.618 of the previous impulse
Additional information will be provided shortly.
INFOSYS - POSITIONAL TRADE WITH VERY GOOD R:RSymbol - INFY
INFY is currently trading at 1942 & approaching ATH resistance zone.
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting INFY Futures at CMP 1942
I will be adding more position if 1980 comes & will hold with SL 2025
Targets I'm expecting are 1780 - 1700 - 1580
P.S. : INFY is approaching ATH resistance zone after a long time. ATH resistances are usually hard to break in one go. To break this resistance, INFY must spend some time here (2-3 weeks) before breaking out. Only then we will see more price growth towards the upside. As of know, given modestly high valuations of INFY & overall market, The setup looks more towards negative side & It is highly likely that the price will take resistance from here & change its course to south. I've shorted far month futures already.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
#Nifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
Bitcoin good pattern formed 64k possible SL 60800 Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Banknifty support and resistance levels sell on riseDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Nifty support and resistance levels sell rise until 25950 breakDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Natural gas 254, 261 ,269,271 Target until 230 not break buy dipDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Copper if break 867 them 879, 890 next resistance support 844 Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Crude buy on dip buy was active from 5725 Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Silver we are holding buy trade from 91450 , buy dip sl 90300Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
We are holding buy trade on silver from 31.40 SL 30.90 buy dipDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks 30% retracement Which is D points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
SL is (-3%) Which is mentioned in Chart . our SL is just above or below of Recent high or Low .
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 61.8 %)
Target 2- (T2 : 88.6 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 127.2 %)
Target 4- (T4 : 161.8 %)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit