Wave Analysis
BEL 1 Day Time Frame✅ Current Status
Latest price around ₹407 – ₹410 on the NSE/BSE.
Technical indicators (daily time frame) are leaning bearish/weak: e.g., daily moving averages show more “sell” signals than “buy”.
📌 Key Levels to Watch (Daily Chart)
Based on available pivot/level data and recent price action, here are approximate levels:
Support levels:
S1 ~ ₹407–₹408
S2 ~ ₹405–₹406
A deeper support zone if this breaks might be ₹400-₹404.
Resistance levels:
Pivot ~ ₹413-₹414
R2 ~ ₹416-₹417
R3 ~ ₹419-₹420+
🔍 Short-Term Outlook
Because the stock is hovering just above support (~₹407-₹408), holding above this zone is important to maintain near-term structure.
If price breaks below ~₹405, risk of further weakness increases.
On the upside, a successful breakout above ~₹416-₹417 could open space towards ~₹419-₹420.
The current momentum is weak/negative, so any upside will likely need a catalyst (volume, news) to gain strength.
LICHSGFIN 1 Day Time Frame 📍 Key Current Levels
The stock is trading around ₹ 550 (recent quotes ~₹ 548-550) on the NSE.
Pivot & major levels (from one source) on the daily:
Classic pivot: ~₹ 550.32
Support levels: ≈ ₹ 547.39 (S1), ≈ ₹ 542.02 (S2)
Resistance levels: ≈ ₹ 555.69 (R1), ≈ ₹ 558.62 (R2)
Longer-term moving averages: 50-day MA ≈ ₹ 559.47; 200-day MA ≈ ₹ 570.32 — both above current price, indicating downward pressure.
RSI and oscillator reading: RSI around ~41 (neutral/leaning oversold) per one data point.
🔍 Interpretation & What to Watch
With price below major moving averages (50 & 200 day), the bias remains bearish on the daily chart.
The pivot around ₹ 550 is a key level: holding above may help stabilise; falling below could signal more weakness.
Important support to watch: ~₹ 547 and then ~₹ 542. If these break, risk of further downside.
Key resistance: ~₹ 555-558 zone. A break up through that with volume could offer short-term upside.
The RSI being relatively low (though not deeply oversold) suggests potential for a rebound if positive trigger arises, but trend is not yet positive.
Because the broader trend remains negative, any bounce should be treated cautiously unless backed by strong volume and a clear breakout above that resistance zone.
COAI Falling Wedge Setup📌 Pattern Overview
• COAI is forming a Falling Wedge, highlighted clearly by the two downward-sloping converging red trendlines.
• This is a bullish reversal structure, especially when it forms after a prolonged downtrend.
• Price has tapped the wedge support multiple times, showing seller exhaustion and decelerating momentum.
• The latest bounce near the lower boundary suggests early signs of accumulation.
⸻
📉 Key Levels
Support
• $0.3438 — Major swing support + wedge bottom
• $0.5626 — Local support, currently acting as short-term demand
Resistance
• $0.9502 — First key horizontal resistance
• $1.2124 — Major supply zone / previous structural breakdown level
• $2.3780 — Full target if wedge breaks and momentum expands
⸻
📈 Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish but breakout-dependent
• Price is coiling inside a confirmed falling wedge.
• Multiple liquidity sweeps near the lower boundary indicate seller weakening.
• If price breaks above the wedge top, momentum could accelerate sharply due to thin liquidity above.
Breakout Direction
• Upside breakout is statistically more likely with a falling wedge.
• However, a sweep-and-reversal fakeout downside is still possible before final expansion.
⸻
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Trigger:
• 4H candle close above the falling-wedge resistance OR clean break above 0.9502
Targets:
• TP1 → $1.2124
• TP2 → $2.3780 (full wedge breakout expansion zone)
Rationale:
• Break above wedge equals trend reversal confirmation
• Above $1.21, there’s a liquidity vacuum straight to $2.37+
⸻
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Trigger:
• Breakdown below 0.3438 (wedge invalidation)
Targets:
• TP1 → 0.28
• TP2 → 0.20 (liquidity void + psychological)
Rationale:
• Losing the wedge bottom turns structure into continuation downtrend
• Price discovery into lower zones possible after liquidity flush
⸻
⚠️ Final Note
Given current price behavior, volatility will likely spike once COAI chooses a direction.
⸻
Perfect Short & Long Swing Example | ABLBL 1. Short-Term Swing Trade (Short Swing)
✔ Reason:
The stock repeatedly bounces between support and trendline resistance, creating a tight swing range.
Key Points Visible in Chart:
Strong support around ₹122–124
Clear falling trendline around ₹132–135
Price touched bottom → bounced → heading toward trendline
MACD shows early green ticks
RSI recovering from oversold
Short Swing Meaning:
Buy near support
Sell near trendline resistance
Example from Chart:
Entry: ₹124–126
Target: ₹132–135
Profit window: 5–7%, achievable in 3–10 days
This is what you highlighted as “short swing” — quick bounce trade.
2. Long Swing Trade (Bigger Move / Trend Breakout)
✔ Reason:
The stock is inside a large wedge/channel, and the price is at the lower trendline, signalling potential bigger trend reversal.
Key Points:
Long-term trendline pointing upward
Multiple swing lows forming higher bottoms
Potential breakout above the falling blue trendline
If breakout happens → rally toward ₹150–155 becomes likely
Strong bullish structure visible
Long Swing Meaning:
Buy near major trendline support
Hold until it reaches upper trendline
Example from Chart:
Entry: ₹124–128
Target: ₹150–155
Potential gain: 18–22%
Time: 3–8 weeks
This is what you marked as “long swing.”
Note:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
LTIM 1 Day Time Frame 🧮 Key Data Snapshot
Previous close: ~ ₹ 5,922.
Today’s intraday low: ~ ₹ 5,850.
Today’s intraday high: ~ ₹ 5,918.
52-week range: Low ~ ₹ 3,802, High ~ ₹ 6,767.95.
📌 1-Day Technical Levels to Watch
Support levels:
~ ₹ 5,850 — today’s intraday low; if price dips below this it may signal intraday weakness.
~ ₹ 5,760-5,770 — a slightly lower zone (recent intraday “floor” area) that could act as secondary support.
If those break, next meaningful structural support might be closer to ~ ₹ 5,500-5,600 (though further away, so bigger risk).
Resistance levels:
~ ₹ 5,918-5,920 — today’s intraday high; a breakout above this could open upside for the day.
~ ₹ 6,000 — psychological and round number resistance; if momentum pushes, this is the next target.
Above that, near the 52-week high (~₹ 6,767) but that’s more medium-term than for intraday.
🎯 Intraday Trading Scenarios
Bullish intra-day trade: If price holds above ~₹ 5,850 and breaks above ~₹ 5,920 with volume, one could target ~₹ 6,000 or slightly above for the day, with a stop-loss below ~₹ 5,850 (or even ~₹ 5,770 depending on risk tolerance).
Bearish intra-day trade: If price fails to hold ~₹ 5,850, and breaks down with momentum, one could look at a short, targeting ~₹ 5,700 or ~₹ 5,600. Stop-loss would be above ~₹ 5,910 zone.
Range-bound play: If the price continues to oscillate between ~₹ 5,850 and ~₹ 5,920, one might play the range – buy near the lower bound, sell near the upper bound, but keep stops tight.
HINDPETRO - early signs of Trend Termination?TF: Daily
CMP: 458
The impulse from March 2025 and Sep 2025 lows seem to have matured at 495 levels.
We are witnessing signs of impulse price action in the corrective direction, hence, I am considering that the trend has ended at 495.
This view is invalid if the price trades above and beyond 510-520 zone.
I have marked internal counts for easy understanding.
Please be informed that, as per DOW theory, the price is still in uptrend (HH-HL structure is still intact)
In simple price action terms it could be a breakout and retest of a Cup & handle Pattern (For those with bullish bias)
Finally the counts from 2020 also suggests that the 5 waves upmove has ended.
Chart with internal counts from 2020 is copied below
My Take:
Price is still trading above 50 DEMA and most of the indications suggests bullish trend is still intact. But the wave counts suggests otherwise. I would avoid taking aggressive long positions and wait for structural change in the price action (LH-LH formation) for validation
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Fabtech 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Technical Context
Moving averages (20-day, 50-day) are showing price above them, which suggests bullish bias.
Oscillators: RSI ~ 59-60 meaning moderate strength.
A recent source says the daily summary is “Neutral” on investing.com, indicating caution.
1-day pivot levels (classic) from Investing.com:
Pivot ~ ₹ 237.73
Resistance R1 ~ ₹ 240.46, R2 ~ ₹ 244.72, R3 ~ ₹ 247.45
Support S1 ~ ₹ 233.47, S2 ~ ₹ 230.74, S3 ~ ₹ 226.48
📊 Key Levels to Watch Today
Support Zone: ~ ₹ 233-235
If the stock approaches or dips into this area, watch for whether it holds or breaks.
Immediate Pivot / Mid-range: ~ ₹ 237-238
The pivot (~₹237.73) is a critical inflection point. A clear move above might bias upside; a break below may shift focus downward.
Resistance Zone: ~ ₹ 240-245
Upper resistance around ~₹240.46 to ~₹244.72. If momentum picks up and this zone is breached, next upside target ~₹247.45.
Lower Breakdown Level: ~ ₹ 230-227
If support in the ~233-235 zone fails, look toward ~₹230.74 and then ~₹226.48 as next real support.
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
complex correctionsHAL Technical Analysis (CMP: 4444)
Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 1 is an impulse wave, consisting of 5 sub-waves. The correction post-wave 1 is a complex pattern, indicating wave 2 is not yet complete.
Wave 2 Breakdown:
- Wave A: Completed
- Wave B: Likely to complete near 5160 (highs of wave 1)
- Wave C: Expected to follow, breaking below 4160
Strategy:
- Book profits around 5160 (wave B target)
- Wait for wave C completion for a potential buy opportunity
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 25/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone and is showing early signs of reversal. This indicates the current bullish leg is weakening. Today or tomorrow, if a strong bearish D1 candle appears, it will likely confirm the reversal.
H4
H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone, with the lines sticking tightly together — a typical sign that a reversal could happen at any moment. Once we see a bearish H4 candle close, we can consider the current high as a potential top.
H1
H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. This means price may still show one more short-term bullish correction or move sideways before any meaningful decline.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1
Yesterday’s bullish daily candle did not change the D1 wave count. We are still in the Y wave (purple).
However, one critical point needs attention:
• D1 momentum is already overbought.
• When D1 momentum rolls over, what we want to see is:
o Price failing to break the current X-wave high, and
o A strong, sharp decline to complete wave Y.
If price does not decline sharply as expected, the market may shift into a more complex corrective structure — such as a triangle or a larger WXY formation. I will update the count if that scenario develops.
________________________________________
H4
Yesterday’s bullish move broke above the previous wave (2) high. This invalidates the 5-wave scenario and confirms that the structure is instead forming a 3-wave corrective pattern.
With H4 momentum turning down and D1 momentum already overbought, the current price region is highly likely to be the top of wave 2.
________________________________________
H1
A clear 3-wave ABC corrective pattern has completed.
Wave C (blue) now reaches the target area around 4158, making this a very attractive region to look for Sell entries.
However, keep in mind:
• H1 momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward.
• This suggests price may still push slightly higher or move sideways before H1 reaches the overbought zone.
The best Sell timing will be when H1 and H4 momentum align together in overbought zones.
________________________________________
3. Key Liquidity Zones
Two important liquidity areas lie ahead:
• 4143
• 4184
If price holds above 4143, the probability of reaching 4184 increases — especially with H1 momentum turning upward.
Because H1 momentum is about to rise, it is difficult to find a precise Sell entry at 4143–4158–4184 without waiting for a clear price reaction.
The safest approach is to wait for bearish confirmation signals at each zone.
For my personal plan:
• First attempt to catch the top with a small position at 4158.
• Second attempt at 4184 if price extends further.
________________________________________
4. Trade Plan
📌 Sell Zone 1
• 4156 – 4158
• SL: 4168
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
📌 Sell Zone 2
• 4184 – 4185
• SL: 4205
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
Nifty 15 Min chart wave AnalysisNifty 15 min time frame wave analysis
Nifty trade in impulse wave minuette degree (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) completed and wave (v) in progress
we study wave (v)
Wave (v)- internal structure i ii, iii have completed and wave iv in progress it may be ended near 26k here is buy setup generate for minuette degree wave (v) it may be anticipate around 26350 area.
Thanks
MKT learner
Disclaimer
it is educational purpose only .
BTCUSD: Overbought Rally Approaches Strong Support ZoneBINANCE:BTCUSD is nearing a crucial support zone, one where buyers have consistently stepped in before and sparked significant reversals. This price history alone makes this level incredibly important to watch closely. Price is approaching this zone once more, and the current market structure suggests potential for a bullish move if we see signs of rejection, such as a strong bullish engulfing candle, long lower wicks indicating absorption of selling pressure, or an uptick in buying volume.
If this support holds, I anticipate price will push towards the 98,700 area, fitting well with a short-term rebound scenario. However, if price breaks through this support and remains below it, the bullish thesis will be invalidated, opening up the possibility for a deeper pullback.
The best approach here is to wait for confirmation from the chart. Pay attention to how candles close, how volume behaves, and only consider long positions if the market defends this support level clearly. Solid risk management is key: position sizing, stop loss placement, and invalidation levels should always be aligned with the volatility that could arise around such a critical area.
This is just my personal view on the current support and resistance structure, not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade with a well-structured risk management plan. Best of luck out there!
Bank Nifty — Wave 5 Meets 100% Extension ResistanceBank Nifty completed its five-wave rise with Wave 5 ending exactly at the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 , a classic termination level when Wave 3 is extended.
Inside this zone, price printed a Hanging Man followed by a bearish confirmation candle . The confirmation is not strong, but together with the Fibonacci symmetry at the Wave-5 target, it reflects clear exhaustion.
A corrective phase from this region is reasonable.
A strong reclaim above the recent high would invalidate the exhaustion and reopen the upside.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NZDUSD - Mandelbrot Theorem 1:7 RRSome properties of the Mandelbrot set
This section summons some properties of the Mandelbrot set first without proof, then some statements are proved.
Theorem 3 (Symmetry) The Mandelbrot set is symmetric with respect to the real axis. This means, if a complex number $ z$ belongs to the mandelbrot set then this is also true for the conjigate complex number $ \bar z$. (You can see this symmetry in Figure 3)
Theorem 4 (Boundary) The Mandelbrot set is bounded. You can easily proove, thet the set must lie in the interior of the circle $ \vert z \vert = 2$. (Also see Figure 3)
Theorem 5 (Itself-Similarity) The Mandelbrot set is itself similar in a non exact sense.
BTC Wave 4 Bounce Looks Like a Trap! Is it?BTC is still moving inside a clear corrective channel, with the current bounce likely forming wave 4 before one final drop toward the 1.618 extension near 79,650 . The highlighted red zone shows a potential trap area where price may lure traders into thinking a reversal has started. Until BTC breaks above the channel convincingly, the broader structure still favors a wave 5 decline. The wave count from 1–2–3 supports this final leg down before any major recovery.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 21/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is contracting, signaling a potential reversal. If today’s candle confirms this, it will further support the continuation of wave Y.
H4:
H4 momentum has turned downward, so the expectation for today remains bearish movement.
H1:
H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting a small corrective bounce. However, in the current context, price is likely to remain sideways within the 4046 – 4081 range.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1 – Higher timeframe
With D1 momentum preparing to turn down, the continuation of wave Y is reinforced.
But since momentum is near the oversold zone, two potential scenarios may unfold:
1️⃣ Strong decline:
A sharp drop may break 3888, opening the way toward deeper targets such as 3746.
2️⃣ Weak decline – Compression:
Price may continue down but fail to break 3888.
Once momentum turns upward again, a new trend could form.
________________________________________
H4 – Pattern outlook
The H4 structure remains unclear—price may still be in wave (3) or wave (2).
• If it is wave (3), strong bearish candles or a test of 4001 should appear.
• If price keeps moving sideways without breaking 4001 until H4 momentum reaches oversold, the current move is likely wave B of an ABC correction inside wave 2.
Based on the current depth of wave B, wave C is estimated to target 4175.
________________________________________
H1 – Lower timeframe
Wave 2 (green) is taking longer than ideal, but not enough to invalidate the current labeling.
The 4081 resistance is very strong and serves as our sell zone.
Below, the 4020 support is equally important:
• A sharp decline with H1 closing below 4020 may trigger a larger bearish continuation.
• Typically, price reacts with a bounce when it first touches this area.
________________________________________
3. Trade Plan
Sell Zone: 4073 – 4075
SL: 4093
TP1: 4020
TP2: 3958
TP3: 3885
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday zones)
BankNifty closed around 58,731, sitting right inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) where volatility, fake breakouts, and whipsaws are highly likely.
As per the chart structure:
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up case): 59,043
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 59,266
🟥 Major Resistance: 59,607
🟩 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 58,482
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 58,294
🟩 Major Support: 57,647
Below is the complete actionable plan for all opening scenarios 👇
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,950–59,150, it directly tests the Opening Resistance (59,043) and approaches the Last Intraday Resistance (59,266).
If price sustains above 59,266 for 10–20 mins with strong bullish candles →
🎯 Upside targets → 59,350 → 59,470 → 59,607
If price rejects 59,043–59,266, expect a pullback toward:
➡️ 58,900 → 58,838
A bullish retest at 58,838 (top of No-Trade Zone) can give a safe long entry.
Avoid chasing a gap-up candle — gap-ups at resistance zones often trigger early reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-ups near previous-day resistance usually generate liquidity hunts. Wait for structure to form — breakout + retest is far safer than impulse entries.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Near 58,660–58,820)
A flat open places price inside the No-Trade Zone (58,661–58,838) — a region made for fake moves.
If price gives a clean breakout above 58,838, then retests →
Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266
If price breaks 58,661 convincingly →
Bearish targets → 58,482 → 58,294
Best trades will be only outside the No-Trade Zone:
— Buy above 58,838
— Sell below 58,661
Avoid trading inside 58,661–58,838. Momentum is usually weak and full of noise.
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are where patience pays. Let the first 15-min candle define trend bias before committing capital.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (200+ points)
If BankNifty opens around 58,250–58,450, price enters Opening Support (58,482) and may slide towards the Last Intraday Support (58,294).
If 58,482 holds with long wicks + volume →
Reversal targets → 58,661 → 58,838 → 58,950
If price breaks 58,294 decisively →
Next supports → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
A strong bounce at 57,647 is a very high-quality long setup.
Avoid bottom-fishing immediately after gap-down — wait for confirmation candles.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support generate the cleanest reversals — but only after rejection + higher low formation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading the first 5–10 minutes after the open — let volatility settle.
Use ITM or ATM options for directional trades; avoid far OTM traps.
Place SL based on structure, not on rupee value.
Never average a losing position — protect capital first.
When VIX is high → prefer hedged selling strategies (Spreads / Iron Condor).
When VIX is low → momentum buying works better.
Trail profits if market trends strongly — large moves often come on trending days.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Trade levels, not emotions. Your job is to execute with discipline, not predict every tick.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish above → 58,838**
Upside Targets → 58,950 → 59,043 → 59,266 → 59,470 → 59,607
Bearish below → 58,661**
Downside Targets → 58,482 → 58,294 → 58,050 → 57,900 → 57,647
No-Trade Zone:** 58,661–58,838
(wait for breakout + retest)
🧾 CONCLUSION
BankNifty is positioned at a sensitive zone where directional clarity will emerge only after a breakout from the No-Trade Zone.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout & retest above 58,838
✔️ Rejection-based selling below 58,661
✔️ A reversal bounce from 57,647 in case of sharp gap-down
Trade with patience, wait for confirmation, and protect your capital.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult a registered financial advisor before trading or investing.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 25 NOV 2025
(Reference: 15-min structure & intraday reaction zones)
Nifty closed near 25,943, slipping into the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) after a sharp late-day decline. The structure has shifted into a short-term bearish bias, but the first 15–20 minutes of the session will decide whether a reversal or continuation unfolds.
🔑 Key Levels to Track
🟥 Opening Resistance (Gap-up Case): 26,050 – 26,079
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,175
🟥 Major Upside Level: 26,307
🟧 Opening Support: 25,931 – 25,950
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,750 – 25,807
🟩 Major Downside Support: 25,516
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around 26,050+, price immediately enters the Opening Resistance Zone (26,050 – 26,079), a zone known for trapping early buyers.
If price sustains above 26,079 for 15–20 minutes →
📈 Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
If price rejects 26,079, expect pullback toward:
➡️ 26,020 → 25,970 → 25,950
The safest long trade is a retest–reclaim of 26,050 after rejection wicks.
Avoid aggressive buying directly at the open — resistance gaps often fade.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-ups into resistance require confirmation via higher lows. A flat or weak breakout candle usually signals exhaustion, not strength.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Around 25,930–25,960)
A flat open keeps Nifty inside the Opening Support Zone (25,931–25,950) — a decision-making region.
Breakout above 25,970 →
Targets: 26,020 → 26,050 → 26,079
Failure to hold 25,931 →
Decline toward 25,807 → 25,750
Avoid trading inside the 25,930–25,970 region until direction is clear.
Best trades:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 25,970
✔️ Support bounce at 25,807–25,750
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat openings reveal trend direction quickly — wait for the first candle to close before acting.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
A gap-down below 25,880 pushes price rapidly toward the Last Intraday Support Zone (25,750 – 25,807).
If 25,807–25,750 holds with bullish wicks →
📈 Reversal targets: 25,900 → 25,950 → 26,020
If 25,750 breaks →
Next downside targets: 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
A sharp bounce from 25,516 provides a low-risk reversal trade setup.
Avoid picking bottoms blindly — wait for structure (HH/HL) to form.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into strong support often offer the best risk-to-reward if reversal signs appear — but only after confirmation.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS 💡
Avoid trading during first 5–10 minutes after open.
Prefer ATM or ITM options for directional momentum.
Never widen your stop-loss under emotional pressure.
Avoid averaging losers — compound losses destroy accounts.
When VIX is low → option buying works better.
When VIX is high → use spreads or hedged selling.
Book partial profits to secure gains during volatility.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Focus on capital preservation first — opportunities come daily, capital does not.
📌 SUMMARY
🔼 Bullish Above → 26,020 / 26,079
Targets: 26,120 → 26,175 → 26,225 → 26,307
🔽 Bearish Below → 25,931 / 25,807
Targets: 25,750 → 25,640 → 25,580 → 25,516
🚫 No-Trade Zone
25,930 – 25,970 (Flat opening zone — high noise, low clarity)
🧾 CONCLUSION
Nifty is approaching a high-volatility reversal area with both upside and downside swings possible. The reaction to the 25,931 support and 26,050 resistance will decide the trend for the day.
The most reliable trades will come from:
✔️ Breakout–retest above 26,020/26,079
✔️ Reversal confirmation at 25,807–25,750
✔️ Continuation trades after breakdown below 25,750
Patience and discipline are essential — avoid chasing.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Please consult a certified financial advisor before trading or investing.
Part 1 Introduction to Candlestick PatternsThe Greeks: Heart of Option Trading
The Greeks measure how options change with market conditions.
1. Delta
Measures how much the premium moves compared to the underlying.
Call delta = +ve
Put delta = –ve
2. Theta
Measures time decay.
Always negative for buyers
Positive for sellers
3. Vega
Measures sensitivity to volatility.
High volatility = expensive options.
4. Gamma
Shows how Delta changes.
High Gamma = fast premium movement.
Indian Railway Finance Corporation – Complex Correction in PlayDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Technical Picture
Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) stock rallied from the swing low of 65.75 to an all-time high of 229 in a strong impulsive move. Since then, the stock has entered a corrective phase.
The decline from 229 to 108.04 unfolded as a clear three-wave ABC zigzag.
From 108.04 to 148.95, the rise was overlapping and choppy, best counted as an X wave triangle rather than a fresh impulsive sequence.
The fall from 148.95 to 117.33 looks impulsive and is labelled as Wave A of the Y leg.
The ongoing bounce can be labelled as Wave B, with retracement levels around 124–129 acting as possible resistance.
Once Wave B completes, a Wave C decline is expected to finish Wave Y. This Y leg can either:
terminate near 108.04, forming a double bottom structure, or extend toward the 0.786 retracement of the 65.75–229 rally, around 100.70.
Momentum and Indicators
On the D,2D and Weekly charts, RSI is below the 50 mark, showing weak momentum.
Price remains under the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, which are acting as resistances (not plotted here to keep the chart uncluttered).
The invalidation level for this corrective view is 148.95. A break above this level would challenge the corrective structure and point to a new impulsive rally.
Fundamentals
Growth : FY25 sales at Rs 27,152 crore vs Rs 26,645 crore in FY24. Net profit at Rs 6,502 crore vs Rs 6,412 crore. Quarterly profits continue steady.
Cash flows : Operating cash flow improved to Rs 8,229 crore. Net cash flow turned positive at Rs 5,657 crore from negative last year.
Leverage : Debt-to-equity is high at 7.83, with interest coverage at just 1.3x, leaving little buffer.
Returns and margins : Return on equity stands at 12.3%, but margins have narrowed from earlier highs.
Valuation : P/E around 25 and P/B at 3.1 suggest the stock is not cheap given its nature as a financing PSU.
in.tradingview.com
Summary
IRFC appears to be in the final stages of a complex W–X–Y correction. Wave Y is unfolding, and price can either find support near 108.04 to form a double bottom or stretch further toward the 100.70 zone. The 129 area is key resistance for the current B wave bounce, and 148.95 remains the invalidation level.
While the company’s fundamentals are stable with steady sales and profits, the balance sheet remains heavily leveraged, and valuations are not inexpensive. Investors should watch for price action around 108–100 for signs of a structural bottom and confirmation before positioning for the next major trend.






















