Apollo Hospital - Elliot Wave Counts - ShortApollo has been an out-performer in the entire correction phase.
However, just like many other Pharma stocks - which outperformed but are now topping out, Apollo Hospital is also about to complete 5 up in an ED.
Check Divis for reference:
Now, weather this 5 up completes just one more from the March 2025 lows or the entire upmove from May 2022 lows remains to be seen.
In both cases, we should get a decent 8-10% pullback.
Wave Analysis
Buy Apollo Hospitals
Apollo Hospitals completed Wave V of a new impulse on 8 July, precisely at the 78.6% retracement of the entire move from Wave 0 to Wave iii, projected from Wave iv.
Since then, the stock has entered a corrective phase, and the pattern is shaping up as a Flat Correction.
Structure So Far
Wave A of the flat is complete, with sub-waves (B)–(C) finishing near a 1:1 ratio with sub-wave ((0)–(A) / sub-wave ((A)-(B)) as market in the chart. The stock has formed a bullish long-legged doji / hammer pattern.
The next leg, Wave B (a counter-trend move), is now expected. In a regular flat, Wave B may retest the previous swing high. In an expanded flat, it can extend up to 1.38× the length of Wave A.
What to Expect
A possible upmove toward ₹7600, assuming Wave B unfolds as expected. Wave C would follow to complete the flat, but that would be addressed in a future update
Trade Setup
Buy Zone: Around current levels (₹7170)
Target: ₹7600
Stop Loss: ₹7025
BTC Technical Analysis BTC Technical Analysis: Bullish Channel on H4 - Trading Opportunity
Hello everyone, let's take a look at BTC's current movement on the H4 chart. The price is trading within a well-defined bullish channel, showing strong upward momentum. Although there was a brief fake-out below the channel, the price quickly bounced back within two H4 candles, confirming the strength of this trend.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like BTC is completing a corrective ABC wave before a new impulse wave begins. This could be a good setup for a short-term trade.
Potential Trade Setup:
There's an open price gap above the current price, which could act as a resistance zone. This area is a strong candidate for a SHORT entry.
My entry point is set around $121,000.
I'll be looking to take profits below $118,000.
Important points to remember:
The MACD is showing a bearish crossover, which might signal a minor pullback.
While this short opportunity exists, remember that a LONG trade in the direction of the trend generally has a better win rate. Always trade with caution, especially when going against the main trend.
Summary of my plan:
Main Strategy: SHORT at $121,000 to catch the ABC correction.
Risk Management: My target is below $118,000. I'll be using a tight Stop Loss (SL) to manage risk.
August 13, 2025 trading plan prediction for tomorrow24,728 –
Above: 10m closing → Short Cover Zone.
Below: 10m hold PE → Safe Zone for Puts.
24,628 –
Above: 10m hold CE → Entry Level for Calls.
Below: 10m hold PE → Risky Zone for Puts.
24,528 –
Above: Positive trade bias.
Below: Negative trade bias.
24,428 –
Above Opening S1: 10m hold CE → Bullish bias.
Below Opening R1: 10m hold PE → Bearish bias.
24,330 –
Above: 10m hold CE → Buy Level for Calls.
Below: 10m hold PE → Sell Level for Puts.
24,210 –
Above: 10m hold CE → Safe Zone for Calls.
Below: 10m hold → Unwinding Level.
24,173 –
Day UP Fibonacci Support 0.382.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – August 12, 2025Today, I will introduce my short position outlook for Bitcoin on August 12.
There are two grounds for this idea.
First, an arbitrary wave X forms a 0.382 length ratio with another arbitrary wave.
In general, the 5th wave often has a length ratio of 0.382 compared to the 1st wave.
In this case as well, it can be counted in the same way.
Second, as a result of applying the Fibonacci in reverse to the wave that appears to be in a diagonal form,
the point where the ratio of 2 is formed almost exactly matched the recent high of around 112,360.
I often use this kind of “reverse Fibonacci.”
Normally, Fibonacci is drawn with the past point as the first point and the future point as the second point,
but I do the opposite — setting the future point as the first point and the past point as the second point.
In this case, ratios such as 1.618 / 2 / 2.24 / 2.618 / 3 / 3.618 are often used.
It is especially effective for measuring ratios between wave pairs that skip one wave,
such as between wave A and wave C, or between wave 3 and wave 1.
thank you.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Common Mistakes to Avoid
Holding OTM options too close to expiry hoping for a miracle.
Selling naked calls without understanding unlimited risk.
Over-leveraging with too many contracts.
Ignoring commissions and slippage.
Not adjusting positions when market changes.
Practical Tips for Success
Backtest strategies on historical data.
Start with paper trading before using real money.
Track your trades in a journal.
Combine technical analysis with options knowledge.
Trade liquid options with tight bid-ask spreads.
[SeoVereign] RIPPLE BEARISH Outlook – August 10, 2025In this idea, I would like to present a bearish outlook on Ripple.
There are three main reasons on which this perspective is based.
First, an arbitrary wave X forms a 1.272 ratio with another arbitrary wave X.
Second, a 1.414 BUTTERFLY pattern has formed.
Third, if the consistently formed trendline is broken to the downside, I believe the likelihood of Ripple’s decline will increase.
Accordingly, the average take-profit target has been set around 3.145 USDT.
Thank you very much for reading, and as time goes by and the chart becomes clearer, I will continue to update this idea accordingly.
Thank you.
[SeoVereign] SOLANA BULLISH Outlook – August 11, 2025Recently, Solana’s price movement has been showing a very classic Elliott Wave pattern.
Based on this, I would like to present a bearish outlook this time.
The basis for this idea is as follows:
Wave 5 = 50% of the length of Waves 0–3
Wave 5 = equal length to Wave 1 (1:1 ratio)
In addition, the fact that Wave 5 is forming an ending diagonal pattern strongly suggests the possibility of a decline.
Please refer to the chart for more details.
Accordingly, the first target price has been set at 175 USDT.
I plan to continue updating this idea as the movement unfolds.
Thank you.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored.
________________________________________
2. Elliott Wave Structure
• The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed.
• Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because:
o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree.
o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave.
• Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle.
• Wave 4 targets:
1. 3358
2. 3364
• If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance.
• With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323.
________________________________________
3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
• D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5.
• H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342.
o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323.
• Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally.
________________________________________
4. Trading Plan
• If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342.
• Limit Sell Order:
o Entry: 3364 – 3366
o SL: 3374
o TP1: 3342
o TP2: 3333
o TP3: 3323
Part 3 Institutional TradingRisk Management in Options
Even though options can limit loss, traders often misuse them and blow accounts.
Key risk tips:
Never risk more than 2–3% of capital on one trade.
Understand implied volatility — high IV inflates premiums.
Avoid selling naked options without sufficient margin.
Always set stop-loss rules.
Understanding Greeks (The DNA of Options Pricing)
Delta – How much the option price changes per ₹1 move in stock.
Gamma – How fast delta changes.
Theta – Time decay rate.
Vega – Sensitivity to volatility changes.
Rho – Interest rate sensitivity.
Mastering the Greeks means you understand why your option is moving, not just that it’s moving.
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesAdvanced Options Strategies
Butterfly Spread
When to Use: Expect stock to stay near a specific price.
How It Works: Buy 1 ITM option, sell 2 ATM options, buy 1 OTM option.
Risk: Limited.
Reward: Highest if stock ends at middle strike.
Example: Stock ₹100, buy call ₹95, sell 2 calls ₹100, buy call ₹105.
Calendar Spread
When to Use: Expect low short-term volatility but possible long-term move.
How It Works: Sell short-term option, buy long-term option at same strike.
Risk: Limited to net premium.
Reward: Comes from time decay of short option.
Ratio Spread
When to Use: Expect limited move in one direction.
How It Works: Buy 1 option, sell multiple options at different strikes.
Risk: Unlimited on one side if not hedged.
Diagonal Spread
When to Use: Expect gradual move over time.
How It Works: Buy long-term option at one strike, sell short-term option at different strike.
Part4 Institutional TradingWhy Traders Use Options
Options aren’t just for speculation — they have multiple uses:
Speculation – Betting on price moves.
Hedging – Protecting an existing investment from loss.
Income Generation – Selling options for premium income.
Risk Management – Limiting losses through defined-risk trades.
Basic Options Strategies (Beginner Level)
Buying Calls
When to Use: You expect the price to go up.
How It Works: You buy a call option to lock in a lower purchase price.
Risk: Limited to the premium paid.
Reward: Unlimited upside.
Example: Stock at ₹100, buy a call at ₹105 strike for ₹3 premium. If stock rises to ₹120, your profit = ₹12 – ₹3 = ₹9 per share.
Buying Puts
When to Use: You expect the price to go down.
How It Works: You buy a put option to sell at a higher price later.
Risk: Limited to the premium.
Reward: Significant (but capped at the strike price minus premium).
Example: Stock at ₹100, buy a put at ₹95 for ₹2 premium. If stock drops to ₹80, profit = ₹15 – ₹2 = ₹13.
Part6 Institutional TradingIntroduction to Options Trading
Options are like a financial “contract” that gives you rights but not obligations.
When you buy an option, you are buying the right to buy or sell an asset at a specific price before a certain date.
They’re mainly used in stocks, commodities, indexes, and currencies.
Two main types of options:
Call Option – Right to buy an asset at a set price.
Put Option – Right to sell an asset at a set price.
Key terms:
Strike Price – The price at which you can buy/sell the asset.
Expiration Date – The last day you can use the option.
Premium – Price paid to buy the option.
In the Money (ITM) – Option has intrinsic value.
Out of the Money (OTM) – Option has no intrinsic value yet.
At the Money (ATM) – Strike price equals current market price.
Options give traders flexibility, leverage, and hedging power. But with great power comes great “margin calls” if you misuse them.
XAUUSD: BULLISH VIEW - Analysis on 12-Aug-2025 @ 3346.xxLTP: 3346.xx
Supports: 3264/3119
Resistances: 3410/3439/3500
As long as the supports hold, we can see 3500 (ultimate tgt 1)-570-3650 first.
Further targets:
3777 (ultimate tgt 2)-3830-3907
4010
4110-4155-4230
4434-4482-4655 (ultimate tgt 3)
5000+
MEDICAMEQ LONGThe Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has finished waves (i) and (ii), which are shown by blue numbers on the daily chart.
Wave (i), also known as the impulse wave, unfolded into five waves, which are illustrated in red.
Wave (ii), also known as the corrective wave, unfolded in an a-b-c pattern, as indicated in red.
Wave (iii) is unfolding in five waves, as illustrated in the red colour.
wave i and wave ii of wave (iii) are completed, and wave iii will unfold in five waves as shown in the black circle.
wave i and ii (in black circles) of wave iii (in red colour) are completed, and wave iii is about to start.
Price is taking support on the channel after a breakout of the channel.
It's a buying opportunity during a downturn (dip).
The chart shows the wave levels.
Level of Invalidation
The invalidation level of 428 has been identified as the starting point for wave (iii). If the price falls below this level, it means that the projected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it appears.
I'm not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is done solely for academic purposes.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I bear no responsibility for your profits or losses.
Regards,
VJ.
SIGACHI LONGThe Elliott Wave Theory's description of the structure and pattern of price movements in financial markets is known as the Elliott Wave Structure.
The Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has completed waves (i) and (ii) which are shown as black circle numbers on the daily chart. Wave (iii) appears to be underway at this time.
Wave (iii) in black circle, also known as the impulse wave, unfolding into five waves, which are illustrated in blue colour.
Wave (i) in blue colour is finished.
wave (ii) i.e. corrective wave is about to finish. It is retraced about 0.707 of wave i of blue colour.
Buy on dip.
wave (iii) in blue colour will start after the completion of wave (ii).
Wave levels are depicted on the chart.
Level of Invalidation
The invalidation level of 34 has been identified as the start point of wave (i). If the price falls below this level, it means that the projected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it appears.
I'm not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is done solely for academic purposes.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I bear no responsibility for your profits or losses.
Regards,
Dr Vineet
ICT Trading Setup: Swiggy Breaks Structure for Next Bullish MoveBased on the ICT trading method, the Swiggy chart is currently showing a Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) structure. The first two counter-trend moves retraced 50% from the previous swing high to the recent swing low, providing excellent opportunities for optimal trend entries.
At present, the price is at 403, which marks a Break of Structure (BOS) on the chart, with a primary target of 427. If the rally continues, the trend could extend toward 460 as per projections. The stop-loss is set at 379 (recent low + buffer).
In the ICT method, the target is typically set at the previous swing high, as reflected in this chart. This strategy focuses on entering trades at the end of a counter-trend, offering low-risk entries with favorable risk-reward ratios.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Technical Analysis Concepts1. Introduction to Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis (TA) is the study of market price action—primarily through charts—to forecast future price movements.
It’s built on the idea that “Price discounts everything”, meaning that all known information—economic data, company performance, market sentiment—is already reflected in the price.
In simpler words:
If you want to know what’s happening in a market, don’t just listen to the news—look at the chart.
Key Principles of Technical Analysis
There are three main pillars:
Price Discounts Everything
Every fundamental factor—earnings, interest rates, political events—is already reflected in price.
Traders believe price moves because of demand and supply changes that show up on charts before news does.
Price Moves in Trends
Markets rarely move in random zig-zags—they tend to trend:
Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows
Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
Sideways: No clear direction
History Tends to Repeat Itself
Human psychology—fear, greed, hope—hasn’t changed over centuries. Chart patterns that worked 50 years ago often still work today.
2. Types of Technical Analysis
Broadly, TA can be split into:
A. Chart Analysis (Price Action)
Patterns, trendlines, support, resistance
Focuses purely on price movements
B. Indicator-Based Analysis
Uses mathematical formulas applied to price/volume
Examples: RSI, MACD, Moving Averages
C. Volume Analysis
Studies how much activity supports a price move
Strong moves with high volume = higher reliability
D. Market Structure Analysis
Understanding swing highs/lows, liquidity zones, and institutional footprints
3. Charts and Timeframes
Technical analysis starts with a chart. There are different chart types:
Line Chart – Simplest, connects closing prices. Good for a big-picture view.
Bar Chart – Shows open, high, low, close (OHLC).
Candlestick Chart – The most popular, visually intuitive for traders.
Timeframes
Choosing the right timeframe depends on your trading style:
Scalpers: 1-min to 5-min charts
Intraday Traders: 5-min to 15-min
Swing Traders: 1-hour to daily
Position Traders/Investors: Weekly to monthly
Rule of thumb:
Higher timeframes = stronger signals, but slower trades.
Lower timeframes = faster signals, but more noise.
4. Trends and Trendlines
A trend is simply the market’s general direction.
Types of Trends
Uptrend → Higher highs, higher lows
Downtrend → Lower highs, lower lows
Sideways (Range-bound) → Price moves within a horizontal band
Trendlines
A trendline is drawn by connecting at least two significant highs or lows.
In an uptrend: Connect swing lows
In a downtrend: Connect swing highs
They act as dynamic support or resistance.
5. Support and Resistance
Support: A price level where buying pressure is strong enough to halt a downtrend.
Resistance: A price level where selling pressure stops an uptrend.
How They Work
Support → Demand > Supply → Price bounces
Resistance → Supply > Demand → Price drops
Pro Tip: Once broken, support often becomes resistance and vice versa—this is called role reversal.
6. Chart Patterns
Chart patterns are visual formations on a chart that indicate potential market moves.
A. Continuation Patterns (Trend likely to continue)
Flags – Short pauses after sharp moves
Pennants – Small symmetrical triangles
Rectangles – Price consolidates between parallel support/resistance
B. Reversal Patterns (Trend likely to change)
Head and Shoulders – Signals a bearish reversal
Double Top/Bottom – Two failed attempts to break a high/low
Triple Top/Bottom – Similar to double but with three attempts
C. Bilateral Patterns (Either direction possible)
Triangles – Symmetrical, ascending, descending
7. Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick patterns are short-term signals of buying or selling pressure.
Bullish Patterns
Hammer – Long lower shadow, small body
Bullish Engulfing – Large bullish candle covers previous bearish candle
Morning Star – Three-candle reversal pattern
Bearish Patterns
Shooting Star – Long upper shadow
Bearish Engulfing – Large bearish candle covers prior bullish candle
Evening Star – Three-candle bearish reversal
8. Technical Indicators
Indicators help confirm price action or generate signals.
A. Trend Indicators
Moving Averages (SMA, EMA)
MACD – Measures momentum and trend changes
Parabolic SAR – Trailing stop tool
B. Momentum Indicators
RSI – Overbought (>70) / Oversold (<30) conditions
Stochastic Oscillator – Compares closing price to price range
CCI – Commodity Channel Index for momentum shifts
C. Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands – Show price deviation from average
ATR (Average True Range) – Measures volatility strength
D. Volume Indicators
OBV (On-Balance Volume) – Volume flow analysis
VWAP – Volume-weighted average price, used by institutions
9. Volume Profile and Market Structure
Volume Profile shows how much trading occurred at each price level, not just over time.
It highlights:
High Volume Nodes (HVN) → Strong price acceptance
Low Volume Nodes (LVN) → Price rejection zones
Market Structure is about identifying:
Higher highs / higher lows (uptrend)
Lower highs / lower lows (downtrend)
Liquidity pools (where stops are likely)
10. Dow Theory
Dow Theory is the grandfather of trend analysis.
Its principles:
Market discounts everything.
Market has three trends: Primary, secondary, minor.
Trends have three phases: Accumulation, public participation, distribution.
A trend is valid until a clear reversal occurs.
Conclusion
Technical analysis is not about predicting the future with 100% accuracy—it’s about improving probabilities.
A good TA trader:
Understands trends and patterns
Combines multiple tools for confirmation
Manages risk and keeps emotions in check
Remember:
TA gives you the edge, risk management keeps you in the game.