BEML Harmonic Setup: Breakout Above Resistance & Fib Projection BEML has triggered a strong breakout above a key resistance trendline, supported by a recent pocket pivot. The chart highlights an advanced harmonic pattern with clear A-B-C-D structure, aligning with Fibonacci projection levels at 5,250 and 5,566. Watch for sustained momentum above moving averages and monitor price action near the 1.141 and 1.272 fib extensions for further target validation. The confluence of technical signals suggests strong upside potential if levels hold, with recent volume and pivot activity adding conviction to the move.
Wave Analysis
Part 9 Trading Master ClassHow Options Work in Practice
Option buyers have limited risk (premium paid) but unlimited profit potential (in calls if stock rises, in puts if stock falls).
Option sellers have limited profit (premium received) but potentially unlimited risk.
This asymmetric payoff structure creates a market where traders, hedgers, and institutions interact.
Key Concepts
Intrinsic Value: Real profit if exercised immediately.
Time Value: Premium paid for potential future movement.
In-the-Money (ITM): Option already profitable if exercised.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Option has no intrinsic value, only time value.
At-the-Money (ATM): Strike = current market price.
Why Traders Use Options
Hedging – Protect portfolio against price swings.
Speculation – Bet on future price movements with smaller capital.
Income Generation – Sell options and earn premiums.
Arbitrage – Exploit mispricing between spot and derivatives.
Options Pricing Models
Two main models:
Black-Scholes Model: Uses volatility, strike, expiry, and interest rates to price options.
Binomial Model: Breaks time into steps, considering probability of price moves.
Factors affecting option prices:
Spot price of underlying
Strike price
Time to expiry
Volatility
Interest rates
Dividends
Part 8 Trading Master ClassIntroduction to Options
Financial markets provide several instruments to trade and invest. Among equities, futures, commodities, and currencies, options trading has gained significant popularity worldwide, including India. Options are not just speculative tools; they are also powerful instruments for hedging, income generation, and risk management.
An option is essentially a derivative contract—its value is derived from an underlying asset like a stock, index, commodity, or currency. Unlike direct stock ownership, an option gives the buyer rights but not obligations. This unique feature makes them versatile but also complex for beginners.
To truly master options, one must understand not only the basic definitions but also pricing, market psychology, and strategies.
Basic Terminology
Before diving deeper, let’s go through the essential terms:
Option Contract: Agreement between buyer and seller based on an underlying asset.
Underlying Asset: Stock, index, commodity, or currency.
Strike Price: Pre-decided price at which the option can be exercised.
Expiry Date: The last date on which the option can be exercised.
Premium: Price paid by the buyer to acquire the option.
Lot Size: Minimum quantity for which an option can be traded.
European vs. American Options: European can be exercised only on expiry; American anytime before expiry.
Call & Put Options Explained
At the heart of option trading are two instruments: Calls and Puts.
Call Option: Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy the asset at the strike price.
Buyers expect prices to rise.
Sellers (writers) expect prices to stay flat or fall.
Put Option: Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to sell the asset at the strike price.
Buyers expect prices to fall.
Sellers expect prices to stay flat or rise.
📌 Example:
If Reliance stock trades at ₹2500:
A ₹2600 call may cost ₹50 premium. If the stock rises to ₹2700, profit = (2700-2600-50) = ₹50 per share.
A ₹2400 put may cost ₹40. If stock falls to ₹2200, profit = (2400-2200-40) = ₹160 per share.
SENSEX 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading near ₹81,905
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
~ ₹82,150 – ₹82,400 (immediate resistance)
~ ₹82,800 – ₹83,000 (higher resistance above)
Support Zones:
~ ₹81,600 – ₹81,500 (first support)
~ ₹81,200 – ₹81,300 (secondary support)
~ ₹80,800 – ₹80,900 (deeper support if selling continues)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above ₹81,600 and breaking ₹82,150+ may fuel an up-move toward ₹82,800+.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹81,300 may invite weakness toward ₹80,900 or lower.
Neutral / Range: Likely to consolidate between ₹81,500 – ₹82,400 until a decisive move.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Introduction to Options
Financial markets provide several instruments to trade and invest. Among equities, futures, commodities, and currencies, options trading has gained significant popularity worldwide, including India. Options are not just speculative tools; they are also powerful instruments for hedging, income generation, and risk management.
An option is essentially a derivative contract—its value is derived from an underlying asset like a stock, index, commodity, or currency. Unlike direct stock ownership, an option gives the buyer rights but not obligations. This unique feature makes them versatile but also complex for beginners.
To truly master options, one must understand not only the basic definitions but also pricing, market psychology, and strategies.
Basic Terminology
Before diving deeper, let’s go through the essential terms:
Option Contract: Agreement between buyer and seller based on an underlying asset.
Underlying Asset: Stock, index, commodity, or currency.
Strike Price: Pre-decided price at which the option can be exercised.
Expiry Date: The last date on which the option can be exercised.
Premium: Price paid by the buyer to acquire the option.
Lot Size: Minimum quantity for which an option can be traded.
European vs. American Options: European can be exercised only on expiry; American anytime before expiry.
How Options Work in Practice
Option buyers have limited risk (premium paid) but unlimited profit potential (in calls if stock rises, in puts if stock falls).
Option sellers have limited profit (premium received) but potentially unlimited risk.
This asymmetric payoff structure creates a market where traders, hedgers, and institutions interact.
Nifty long term Elliot waves..Updating long term wave counts. Corrective wave (iv) is still going on. however 22800 level seems to be showing good buying interest.
Further impulse wave is (v) which may start in mid March. Upcoming waves marked are only for reference purpose. Levels have to be calculated based on completion of (iv)
ASIANPAINT 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹2,546 – ₹2,560
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹2,559 – ₹2,560 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹2,580 – ₹2,600 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹2,540 – ₹2,545 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹2,520 – ₹2,530 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹2,500 – ₹2,510 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If Asian Paints holds above ₹2,545, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹2,560 can open the way toward ₹2,580+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹2,520, risk increases toward ₹2,500 – ₹2,510.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹2,545 – ₹2,560, Asian Paints may consolidate before a directional move.
HINDUNILVR 1D Time frame:
🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹2,578.90 - ₹2,582.00
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹2,634.90 – ₹2,636.40 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹2,650.00 – ₹2,660.00 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹2,569.00 – ₹2,570.00 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹2,550.00 – ₹2,560.00 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹2,520.00 – ₹2,530.00 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If HINDUNILVR holds above ₹2,570.00, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹2,636.40 can open the way toward ₹2,650.00+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹2,520.00, risk increases toward ₹2,510.00 – ₹2,530.00.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹2,570.00 – ₹2,636.40, the stock may consolidate before a directional move.
RELIANCE 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹1,393 - ₹1,395
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
~ ₹1,400 – ₹1,431 (immediate resistance band)
~ ₹1,440 – ₹1,460 (higher resistance if momentum continues)
Support Zones:
~ ₹1,380 – ₹1,370 (short-term support)
~ ₹1,360 (important support below)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Holding above ₹1,400 and breaking past ₹1,431 can open the path toward ₹1,440–₹1,460.
Bearish Scenario: A fall below ₹1,370–₹1,360 increases risk of deeper decline.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹1,360–₹1,431, Reliance may move sideways until a clear breakout happens.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Understanding Options
An option is a financial contract that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specified price, called the strike price, before or on a specific date known as the expiry date. Options are derivatives, meaning their value is derived from an underlying asset like stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies.
Types of Options
Call Option
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Buyers expect the price to rise.
Example: If Infosys stock trades at ₹1500 and a trader buys a call with a strike price of ₹1550 for ₹30, they can purchase the stock at ₹1550, even if it rises to ₹1600.
Put Option
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Buyers expect the price to fall.
Example: If Infosys stock trades at ₹1500 and a trader buys a put with a strike price of ₹1450 for ₹25, they can sell the stock at ₹1450, even if it drops to ₹1400.
Option Pricing and Factors Affecting Value
Option pricing is influenced by several variables, known as the Option Greeks:
Delta (Δ): Measures how much the option price moves with a ₹1 change in the underlying asset.
Call options have positive delta; put options have negative delta.
Gamma (Γ): Measures how delta changes as the underlying asset moves.
Theta (Θ): Represents time decay – the rate at which an option loses value as expiry approaches.
Vega (V): Sensitivity to volatility in the underlying asset. High volatility increases option premiums.
Rho (ρ): Sensitivity to interest rate changes.
Other factors include:
Underlying asset price
Strike price relative to market price
Time to expiry
Market volatility
Understanding these factors is crucial for effective trading and risk management.
TVSMOTOR 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹3,490 – ₹3,526
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹3,550 – ₹3,556 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹3,600 (psychological resistance)
₹3,650 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹3,510 – ₹3,520 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹3,480 – ₹3,490 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹3,400 – ₹3,450 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If TVS Motor holds above ₹3,520, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹3,556 can open the way toward ₹3,600+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹3,480, risk increases toward ₹3,400 – ₹3,450.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹3,520 – ₹3,556, TVS Motor may consolidate before a directional move.
TATACONSUM 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹1,101.30
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹1,110 – ₹1,115 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹1,120 (psychological resistance)
₹1,130 – ₹1,140 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹1,095 – ₹1,100 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹1,085 – ₹1,090 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹1,070 – ₹1,080 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If Tata Consumer holds above ₹1,100, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹1,115 can open the way toward ₹1,120+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹1,085, risk increases toward ₹1,070 – ₹1,080.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹1,100 – ₹1,115, Tata Consumer may consolidate before a directional move.
SAIL 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹132.28
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹133.00 – ₹134.00 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹135.00 – ₹136.00 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹131.50 – ₹132.00 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹130.00 – ₹130.50 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹128.00 – ₹129.00 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If SAIL holds above ₹132.00, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹134.00 can open the way toward ₹135.00+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹130.00, risk increases toward ₹128.00 – ₹129.00.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹132.00 – ₹134.00, SAIL may consolidate before a directional move.
HCLTECH 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹1,465.80 - ₹1,467.80
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹1,472 – ₹1,475 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹1,485 – ₹1,490 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹1,460 – ₹1,463 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹1,450 – ₹1,453 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹1,440 – ₹1,445 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If HCL Technologies holds above ₹1,463, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹1,475 can open the way toward ₹1,485+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹1,440, risk increases toward ₹1,430 – ₹1,445.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹1,463 – ₹1,475, HCL Technologies may consolidate before a directional move.
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesBasic Option Strategies
For Beginners
Long Call – Buy call, profit if price rises.
Long Put – Buy put, profit if price falls.
Covered Call – Own stock and sell call, earn premium.
Protective Put – Own stock and buy put to protect against downside.
Intermediate Strategies
Straddle – Buy call + put at same strike, profit from volatility.
Strangle – Buy OTM call + put, cheaper than straddle.
Bull Call Spread – Buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call.
Bear Put Spread – Buy higher strike put, sell lower strike put.
Advanced Strategies
Iron Condor, Butterfly Spread, Calendar Spread – mainly for experienced traders looking for defined risk/reward.
Advantages of Option Trading
Leverage: Small investment controls large position.
Hedging: Protect stock portfolios.
Flexibility: Profit in rising, falling, or sideways markets.
Limited Loss: Buyers lose only the premium paid.
Risks in Option Trading
Premium Loss: 100% loss if option expires worthless.
Time Decay: OTM options lose value fast near expiry.
Complexity: Advanced strategies require precise planning.
Unlimited Risk: Selling naked calls can be disastrous.
Antony WasteDate 12.09.2025
Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd
Timeframe : Day Chart
About
(1) Engaged in the business of mechanical power sweeping of roads, collection and transportation of waste.
(2) The company operates one of the largest single-location waste processing plants in Asia
(3) The company entered the Waste-to-Energy (WTE) sector featuring a power generation capacity of 14 MW
Revenue Mix
(1) MSW C&T: 62%
(2) MSW Processing: 23%
(3) Contracts & Others: 15%
MSW : Municipal Solid Waste
Operational Metrics
(1) Waste Managed (MMT): 2.37
(2) Refuse Derived Fuel Sold (Tonnes): 64,500
(3) Compost Sold (Tonnes): 10,000
Vehicles Fleet
(1) Company has 2,295 vehicles
(2) 1,436 Small Tippers
(3) 446 Compactors
(4) 100 Big Tippers
(5) 93 EVs
Its key equipment vendors include Bucher, Hyvam, Caterpillar, etc.
Debt
(1) The total debt has increased from Rs. 200 Cr in FY20 to Rs. 429 Cr in Q2 FY5
(2) While the cost of borrowings decreased from 12.4% to 9.6%
Focus
(1) Aims for a 25% CAGR in revenue growth over the next 3–5 years
(2) Sustaining EBITDA margins at 23–24%
Regards,
Ankur
Trading Errors That Separate Winners from Losers1. Lack of a Trading Plan
One of the most glaring differences between winning and losing traders is the presence—or absence—of a clear trading plan.
Winners: Enter the market with a plan that covers entry criteria, exit points, risk tolerance, and position sizing. They know exactly why they are entering a trade and under what conditions they will exit, win or lose.
Losers: Trade impulsively, often chasing tips, reacting to news, or “winging it” based on emotions. Without predefined rules, they rely on hope and gut feelings, which are inconsistent and unreliable.
Think of it like driving without a destination or map—you may move, but you’re likely to get lost. Trading without a plan is essentially gambling.
2. Ignoring Risk Management
Risk management is often called the “holy grail” of trading. It is not glamorous, but it determines survival.
Winners: Risk only a small portion of their capital on each trade (often 1–2%). They use stop-loss orders, hedge positions, and understand the risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. They think in probabilities and know that protecting capital is more important than chasing quick gains.
Losers: Risk far too much on a single trade, sometimes even their entire account. They move stop-loss levels farther to avoid taking a small loss, only to suffer a devastating one later. A few bad trades can wipe out months or years of effort.
A classic rule says: “Take care of the downside, and the upside will take care of itself.” Winners live by this; losers ignore it.
3. Overtrading
Overtrading is one of the most common traps for beginners.
Winners: Understand that patience pays. They wait for high-probability setups, sometimes taking just a handful of trades in a week or month. They trade less, but smarter.
Losers: Feel the need to be in the market constantly. They confuse activity with productivity, opening positions based on boredom, fear of missing out (FOMO), or the illusion that “more trades = more profit.”
Overtrading not only increases transaction costs but also magnifies exposure to emotional mistakes.
4. Emotional Decision-Making
Markets are emotional arenas, and controlling psychology is as important as technical skill.
Winners: Maintain discipline and detach emotionally from trades. They accept losses as part of the business and move on without revenge-trading.
Losers: Allow fear, greed, hope, or frustration to dictate their moves. A small loss triggers panic. A big win creates overconfidence, leading to reckless bets. They chase losses, double down, or refuse to cut losers, turning manageable mistakes into disasters.
The famous trader Paul Tudor Jones once said: “Losers average losers.” This reflects the emotional trap of holding on to bad trades instead of accepting defeat.
5. Lack of Education and Preparation
Trading looks deceptively simple. Charts, news, and platforms are accessible to anyone. But without a strong foundation, losses are inevitable.
Winners: Invest time in education, study market structure, read books, analyze charts, and even backtest strategies. They treat trading as a profession, not a hobby.
Losers: Jump into markets unprepared, lured by promises of quick riches. They copy strategies without understanding them, rely on social media tips, or trade based on rumors.
In any competitive field—sports, medicine, law—training is essential. Trading is no different. Lack of preparation ensures failure.
6. Failure to Adapt
Markets are dynamic. What works today may not work tomorrow.
Winners: Adapt strategies to evolving conditions. If volatility rises, they adjust position sizing. If market structure changes, they reevaluate systems. They are flexible, constantly learning and evolving.
Losers: Stick rigidly to outdated methods or strategies, even when evidence shows they no longer work. They resist change, hoping markets will return to conditions where their strategy worked.
Adaptability is survival. Dinosaurs didn’t adapt and went extinct. Traders who fail to adapt face the same fate.
7. Neglecting the Importance of Psychology
Many traders focus only on technical indicators or news but ignore the psychology of trading.
Winners: Develop strong mental frameworks—discipline, patience, resilience. They understand cognitive biases like loss aversion, confirmation bias, and recency bias, and work to minimize their impact.
Losers: Are controlled by psychological traps. They believe they’re always right, seek only confirming evidence, and fear taking losses. This mindset sabotages even good strategies.
Trading is 80% psychology and 20% technique. Those who underestimate this imbalance often lose.
8. Unrealistic Expectations
Another error that separates losers from winners is expectation management.
Winners: Aim for consistent returns, not overnight riches. They understand compounding and set achievable goals. For them, trading is a marathon, not a sprint.
Losers: Expect to double their money every week, quit jobs overnight, or become millionaires in months. Such expectations lead to overleveraging, impulsive trades, and eventual ruin.
The harsh truth: trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme. Those who see it that way rarely last.
9. Ignoring Journal Keeping and Review
One of the simplest but most powerful tools in trading is a trading journal.
Winners: Keep detailed records of trades, including entry/exit, reasoning, emotions, and outcomes. They review mistakes, identify patterns, and refine strategies.
Losers: Don’t track trades. They forget mistakes, repeat them, and fail to see patterns of error.
Reviewing a journal is like a coach analyzing a game replay—it highlights strengths and weaknesses that cannot be seen in the heat of the moment.
10. Misuse of Leverage
Leverage magnifies both gains and losses.
Winners: Use leverage cautiously, only when setups are highly favorable. They ensure their accounts can handle drawdowns without panic.
Losers: Abuse leverage, turning small moves against them into catastrophic losses. They view leverage as a shortcut to quick profits, forgetting it’s a double-edged sword.
Many traders don’t fail because they are wrong, but because they are overleveraged when wrong.
11. Blindly Following Others
In today’s world, tips, social media, and chat groups flood traders with “advice.”
Winners: May listen to others but always do their own research before acting. They know that ultimately, their money is their responsibility.
Losers: Follow every tip or influencer without analysis. They jump on hype-driven moves, often buying at tops and selling at bottoms.
The herd mentality is strong in markets, but as Warren Buffett says: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
12. Lack of Patience and Discipline
Trading rewards patience and punishes impatience.
Winners: Can wait days or weeks for a setup that matches their rules. They avoid shortcuts and stick to discipline.
Losers: Want instant results. They break rules, enter trades prematurely, and exit too early out of fear.
Impatience turns strategy into chaos. Discipline turns chaos into consistency.
Conclusion: Turning Errors into Edges
The line between winning and losing traders isn’t about intelligence, luck, or even access to capital. It’s about behavior, discipline, and error management. Winners aren’t error-free—they simply make fewer critical mistakes and learn from every one. Losers repeat the same destructive errors until their capital or confidence runs out.
To move from losing to winning:
Create and follow a trading plan.
Prioritize risk management over profit.
Develop patience, discipline, and emotional control.
Treat trading as a profession—study, practice, and adapt.
Journal and review trades consistently.
The markets will always test you. But by avoiding these errors, you’ll stand among the minority who consistently extract profits rather than donate them.
SBIN 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹823.65 - ₹825.00
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹824 – ₹826 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹830 (psychological resistance)
₹840 – ₹850 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹820 – ₹822 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹810 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹800 – ₹805 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If SBIN holds above ₹822, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹826 can open the way toward ₹830+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹810, risk increases toward ₹800 – ₹805.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹822 – ₹826, SBIN may consolidate before a directional move.
BANKNIFTY 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current level: around 54,680 - 54,690
Today’s range: approx. 54,580 – 54,850
🔑 Key Daily Levels
Resistance Zones
54,960 (near-term resistance)
55,172 (major resistance; breakout above this could extend rally)
55,000 (psychological resistance)
Support Zones
54,462 (immediate support)
54,400 – 54,500 (important support band)
54,107 (deeper support if selling pressure continues)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Case: If Bank Nifty sustains above 54,960 – 55,172, it can move higher towards 55,300 – 55,500.
Bearish Case: If it breaks below 54,400, the index may slip toward 54,100 or even lower.
Neutral / Range: Between 54,400 – 54,960, sideways movement is likely until a breakout occurs.
HDFCBANK 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹964.55 - ₹967.80
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹970 – ₹975 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹980 (psychological resistance)
₹1,000 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹960 – ₹965 (immediate support)
₹950 (stronger support if price dips further)
₹940 – ₹945 (deeper support zone)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If HDFCBANK holds above ₹965, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹975 can open the way toward ₹980+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹950, risk increases toward ₹940 – ₹945.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹965 – ₹975, HDFCBANK may consolidate before a directional move.
XAUUSD – Will Gold Continue to Print New ATH ?XAUUSD – Will Gold Continue to Print New ATHs?
Hello Traders,
The Asian session today shows that buying interest in gold remains strong. A confirmed break above 3658 would mark a key resistance level and signal that gold could extend its bullish trend further.
Technical Outlook
The Fibonacci 2.618 extension has already produced a reaction, but in my view, liquidity in that area has not been fully absorbed. This leaves room for one more push to complete that liquidity sweep before a corrective move.
As today is Friday, there is also the possibility of a pullback to balance order flow and for the market to close the weekly candle at a lower level.
On the downside, a clear break below 3613 support would confirm a stronger bearish outlook for today’s session.
Trading Strategy
Sell Zone: Around 3688 (Fibonacci 2.618), with a suggested stop-loss of about 6 dollars.
Buy Zone: Around 3558, with a suggested stop-loss of about 8 dollars. This zone could offer potential for a deeper upside move.
Alternative Scenario: If price breaks and closes below 3613, immediate short positions can be considered as bearish momentum takes control.
This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025
1. Momentum
• D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move.
• H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely.
2. Wave Structure
• D1:
The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion.
• H4:
Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv.
• H1:
Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv.
o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657.
o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern.
o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now.
3. Trading Plan
• Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v.
• Buy Zone 1:
o Entry: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP: 3669
• Buy Zone 2:
o Entry: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP: 3597
All negative news brushed aside is positiveITC Technical Analysis (CMP: 415)
Key Observations:
- Small corrections indicate strength, suggesting the uptrend remains intact.
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- Fibonacci Analysis: The stock's reversal before the first support at 375 demonstrates buying interest and strength.
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- RSI Analysis: The oscillator's decline to support levels, while the stock's price correction is minimal, indicates underlying strength.
- Moving Averages: The convergence of MAs suggests the stock is poised for a directional move.
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- Trendline Analysis: A weekly close above the trendline would confirm the bullish outlook.
Conclusion: With all oscillators at support levels, it's likely that the correction is nearing its end, setting the stage for a potential upside move.