Get started

Wave Analysis

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD December 18, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis Daily (D1) Daily momentum is showing early signs of a bearish reversal. However, confirmation is still required by waiting for today’s D1 candle close. If the reversal is confirmed, this would suggest that Wave X is topping, and price is likely to move lower following D1 momentum to complete Wave Y. H4 H4 momentum is currently declining. In the near term, this suggests: - A corrective decline on H4, or - Sideway consolidation until H4 momentum reverses back to the upside H1 H1 momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal, indicating: - A potential short-term upward move, or - Continued sideways movement within a tightening range 2. Elliott Wave Structure Daily (D1) The D1 wave structure remains largely unchanged from the previous plan. However, with D1 momentum weakening and starting to reverse, the probability of a Wave X top forming within today or the next few sessions is increasing. H4 On H4, price may still be developing Wave 5 (blue) of Wave C (red) within the larger Wave X structure. Given that the D1 structure resembles a Flat pattern, a move toward or equal to Wave 3 high near 4396 remains a realistic scenario. H1 Within Wave 5 (blue), we can observe an internal 5-wave structure (red). At this stage, price may be forming: - Wave 4 (red), or - Wave 5 (red), depending on upcoming price behavior Current advances are: - Overlapping - Lacking clear impulsive strength When combined with declining H4 momentum, this leads to two primary scenarios. 3. Main Scenarios 🔹 Scenario 1: Wave 4 Triangle Price remains in Wave 4, developing a triangle structure. In this case: - Wave d is likely complete - Price is currently forming Wave e 📌 The expected termination zone for Wave e: - Aligns with a bullish reversal in H4 momentum - Converges with the lower boundary of the triangle From Volume Profile analysis: - Price is currently trading around the POC (Point of Control), which also aligns with the Wave 3 top - Below, the 4301 zone represents a key liquidity boundary → this is the primary expectation for Wave e completion - Further below, 4271 marks a strong High–Low volume boundary ⚠️ A daily close below 4271 would significantly increase the probability of a deeper bearish scenario. 🔹 Scenario 2: Wave 5 (Red) – Ending Triangle Another high-probability scenario is that price is currently within Wave 5 (red). This Wave 5 may be forming an Ending Triangle with an internal 5-wave black structure. Key characteristics: - Gradually rising price - Strong overlap - Weakening momentum In this scenario: - Price should remain supported above the current POC - A final push higher toward 4365 is expected - Completion of Wave 5 would likely be followed by a sharp and steep bearish move, which is typical after an ending triangle 📌 This scenario requires additional price confirmation, and updates will be provided as structure becomes clearer. 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4302 – 4300 Stop Loss: 4290 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 4332 TP2: 4365 TP3: 4393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
LIC of India – Double CorrectionDear Trader, It appears that LIC of India is currently undergoing a double correction pattern. From 9 July 2025 (₹977) to 29 August 2025 (₹850), the price declined in a clear three-wave structure, which we can mark as Wave W. Following this, from 29 August 2025 to 7 November 2025, the stock rebounded to ₹932, retracing approximately 61.8% of the prior decline. This retracement is typical behavior for a Wave X. Since then, the price has resumed its downward trajectory. Based on Elliott Wave analysis, the ongoing move is likely forming Wave Y, with potential downside targets at: - ₹835 - ₹816 - ₹808 These levels represent probable completion zones for Wave Y within the corrective structure. Conclusion: Traders should monitor price action closely as LIC approaches these support levels, which may provide opportunities for reversal or continuation depending on broader market conditions.
NSE:LICILong
by ronilshah
Shiba inu prediction today As of **December 18, 2025**, **Shiba Inu (SHIB)** trades at approximately **$0.0000075–$0.0000078 USD**, reflecting a **downward trend** with a roughly **4–5% decline** over the past 24 hours and broader weekly losses around **7–9%**. ### Current Market Status - Live prices from major trackers (e.g., CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, and recent updates) hover around **$0.0000075–$0.0000078**, with a market cap near **$4.4 billion**. - Trading volume remains active but in a bearish broader crypto market context, with sentiment indicators showing **extreme fear**. ### Short-Term Prediction for Today Analysts and technical indicators suggest **continued downward pressure or sideways consolidation** in the very short term (today/intraday). - Many forecasts point to potential further dips before any rebound, with resistance levels around **$0.000008** and support near **$0.000007**. - Short-term models (e.g., from CoinCodex and others) predict minor declines or flat movement today, potentially testing lower supports if broader market weakness persists. - No major catalysts (like significant burns or announcements) appear imminent based on recent news, though whale movements (e.g., large transfers to exchanges) could add selling pressure. ### Key Influences - **Bearish factors** — Declining trends in moving averages and low burn rates recently. - **Potential upside** — Ecosystem developments like Shibarium milestones or accumulation signals could spark a bounce, but nothing definitive for today. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile and influenced by overall market conditions (e.g., Bitcoin's performance). This is not financial advice—always DYOR and consider the risks. For real-time updates, check platforms like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. 🐕
by rfxsignals
BANK NIFTY Bounces Strongly – Trend Continuation LikelyBank Nifty is firmly trading inside a rising channel on the daily timeframe, maintaining a clear higher high–higher low structure. After a strong rally, the index is now consolidating near the upper half of the channel, which is a healthy sign in an ongoing uptrend. The recent sideways movement is happening above a well-defined horizontal support, indicating that sellers are unable to push prices lower. This kind of consolidation after an upmove generally reflects time correction, not price correction, which keeps the bullish structure intact. As long as Bank Nifty holds above this support base, the probability favours a fresh upside expansion towards the upper channel resistance. The projection marked on the chart aligns with the broader trend strength and momentum structure. RSI is placed around the 50–55 zone, showing that momentum has cooled off without turning weak. This reset in RSI often provides fuel for the next trending leg rather than signaling a reversal. Overall, Bank Nifty remains structurally strong, and this phase looks more like accumulation before continuation. A sustained move above the recent consolidation range can trigger the next impulsive rally, while only a breakdown below support would change the short-term outlook.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by Marketik
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan 18-Dec-2025📘 SENSEX Trading Plan for 18-Dec-2025 (Timeframe reference: 15-min | Gap criteria: 300+ points) Key Levels to Track (from chart): Opening Resistance: 84,745 Last Intraday Resistance: 84,949 Upper Supply / Extended Target: 85,133 Opening Support: 84,399 Last Intraday Support: 84,003 Lower Support (Extreme): 83,832 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (300+ Points) If SENSEX opens well above 84,745, price directly enters the resistance/supply region. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Large gap-ups usually indicate strong overnight sentiment, but they also invite profit booking near resistance. Institutions often test whether new buyers are willing to defend higher prices. Hence, a break–retest–continue structure is healthier than chasing the opening candle. Plan of Action: If price sustains above 84,745 for 10–15 minutes, wait for a pullback before considering longs. First upside hurdle is 84,949; watch price behaviour and volume here. Acceptance above 84,949 opens the path toward 85,133 (extended supply zone). Strong rejection or exhaustion near 85,133 can lead to a pullback toward 84,949 → 84,745. Option buyers should prefer ATM/ITM Calls only after confirmation; avoid chasing spikes at resistance. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING A flat open near 84,550–84,650 keeps SENSEX inside a balance area between support and resistance. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat openings indicate indecision. Direction emerges only after one side shows commitment. The first 30 minutes define intraday structure; trading before that often leads to whipsaws. Plan of Action: Sustaining above 84,745 turns sentiment positive, targeting 84,949. Failure to cross 84,745 keeps price range-bound with a downside risk toward 84,399. Breakdown below 84,399 shifts control to sellers, opening the move toward 84,003. Bullish reversal patterns near 84,399 can offer low-risk bounce trades toward 84,745. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (300+ Points) If SENSEX opens below 84,399, early sentiment turns cautious. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Large gap-downs are often emotion-driven. Smart money waits for price reaction at strong demand zones instead of selling into panic. Many intraday reversals begin from such zones after sellers exhaust. Plan of Action: First demand area to watch is 84,003; look for rejection candles or bullish divergence. A bounce from 84,003 can retrace toward 84,399. Sustained breakdown below 84,003 exposes 83,832, the extreme support. Any pullback toward 84,399 after a breakdown becomes a selling-on-rise opportunity. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🛡️ Avoid trading in the first 5–10 minutes during 300+ point gap days. Never buy options at resistance or sell at support—wait for confirmation. Use time-based stop loss (15–20 minutes) if premium doesn’t move as expected. Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade; position sizing matters more than accuracy. Prefer ATM options or spreads during high IV to reduce decay risk. Book partial profits near key resistance/support zones. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 84,745: Bulls remain active; targets 84,949 → 85,133. Between 84,399–84,745: Market stays balanced; patience is key. Below 84,399: Sellers gain control unless strong demand appears at 84,003. Focus on structure, confirmation, and disciplined risk management, not prediction. The best trades come from waiting for price to reach predefined levels. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any market positions.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Dec-2025📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 18-Dec-2025 (Timeframe reference: 15-min | Gap criteria: 100+ points) Key Levels to Track (from chart): Opening Resistance: 25,876 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,969 – 25,994 Higher Supply Zone: 26,080 – 26,140 Opening Support: 25,748 – 25,768 Last Intraday Support (Buyer’s Zone): 25,594 – 25,647 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 25,876, price directly enters the short-term resistance structure. 🎓 Educational Explanation: A gap-up above resistance indicates overnight bullish sentiment, but such openings often attract profit booking by early buyers. Markets usually attempt to retest breakout zones before deciding continuation or reversal. Chasing price without confirmation increases risk. Plan of Action: If price sustains above 25,876 for 10–15 minutes, look for pullback-based long entries. Upside targets remain 25,969–25,994, where supply is expected. Strong breakout and acceptance above 25,994 can open the path toward 26,080–26,140. Rejection or exhaustion candle near 25,994 may trigger a pullback toward 25,876. Option buyers should prefer ATM/ITM calls only after retest confirmation, not at the opening spike. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING A flat open near 25,800–25,830 keeps NIFTY inside a balance zone. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat opens are decision-making zones. Direction emerges only after buyers or sellers show commitment. The first 30 minutes form the intraday structure, and trading without confirmation leads to whipsaws. Plan of Action: Sustaining above 25,876 turns sentiment bullish, targeting 25,969–25,994. Failure to cross 25,876 keeps price range-bound and vulnerable to pullbacks. Breakdown below 25,768 shifts control to sellers, opening downside toward 25,647–25,594. Bullish reversal patterns near 25,748–25,768 can offer low-risk long setups. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 25,748, market sentiment turns cautious. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-downs are often emotion-driven. Initial selling pressure may look strong, but strong demand zones attract positional buyers. Smart traders wait for price behaviour at support instead of selling into panic. Plan of Action: First reaction zone: 25,594 – 25,647 (Buyer’s must-try zone). Look for strong rejection candles or bullish divergence for bounce trades. If price sustains below 25,594, weakness may extend further—avoid aggressive longs. Any pullback toward 25,748–25,768 after breakdown becomes a selling-on-rise opportunity. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🛡️ Avoid trading in the first 5–10 minutes during gap openings. Do not buy options at resistance or sell at support—wait for confirmation. Use time-based stop loss (15–20 minutes) if premium doesn’t move. Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Prefer spreads or ATM options during high IV sessions. Protect profits aggressively near resistance zones. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 25,876: Bulls stay active, targets 25,994 and above. Between 25,768–25,876: Market remains indecisive—patience required. Below 25,748: Sellers gain control unless strong demand emerges at 25,594. Focus on structure, confirmation, and disciplined risk, not prediction. Best trades come from waiting, not reacting emotionally. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Mahindra & Mahindra: Correction Phase Initiated from ATHFrom the recent all-time high near ₹3,795 , price action on the 4H timeframe shows a clear loss of impulsive structure. The initial decline from ATH is best interpreted as a leading diagonal , a common pattern that often kick-starts a broader corrective phase . The diagonal unfolded Wave (1) with overlapping internal waves, confirming the corrective nature rather than trend continuation. Currently, price appears to be attempting a Wave (2) retracement . Typical recovery zones lie between the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement (₹3,686–₹3,712) . As long as price remains below this band, the broader bias stays bearish , with scope for a stronger Wave (3) decline to follow. Invalidation This bearish count is invalidated above the ATH (₹3,795) . A move beyond this level would negate the diagonal structure and require a fresh bullish reassessment. Summary ATH rejection confirmed Leading diagonal suggests corrective transition Wave (2) retracement in progress Below ATH -> downside risk remains active Disclaimer Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:M&MShort
by WaveXplorer
Hero MotoCorp: Post-Wave 3 Reset UnderwayFrom the 2020 low near 1,475, Hero MotoCorp on the weekly timeframe has been unfolding a higher-degree impulsive structure . The advance into the all-time high at 6,388.50 appears to have completed Wave 3 , with the internal structure cleanly subdividing into five waves (i)–(v) . Wave (v) terminated near the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave (i) measured from Wave (iv) , a typical exhaustion zone for a third wave of higher degree. With the five-wave rally from 2,146.85 to the ATH now complete , the market has entered a corrective phase interpreted as Major Wave 4 . Fibonacci retracement projections place the likely correction zone between: 0.5 retracement at 4,267 and 0.618 retracement at 3,767 . Importantly, these levels remain well above the Major Wave 1 high at 3,629.05 , keeping the broader impulsive structure intact. Volume profile analysis adds further confluence. When drawn from the rally between 3,344 and the ATH , the Point of Control aligns closely with the 50% retracement , reinforcing this region as a high-probability Wave 4 development zone. In summary, Hero MotoCorp appears to have topped out for the near term . While a brief extension of Wave (v) cannot be ruled out, the weekly RSI was already in the overbought zone at the ATH . Any marginal new high would likely be accompanied by a bearish RSI divergence , strengthening the case for a corrective move into the projected Fibonacci zones before the final advance in Major Wave 5 . Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOShort
by WaveXplorer
Bitcoin's Path to $1 million by October 2029Look at the beauty of mathematics and how Bitcoin follows a structured price escalation cycle after cycle. RED: The average time span between every market top is 1,444 days. GREEN: The average time span between every market bottom is 1,433 days. BLUE: The average time span between cycle top to cycle bottom is 390 days. PURPLE: The average time span between cycle bottom to cycle top is 1,059 days. According to these calculations, the next market bottom is expected in October 2026, and subsequently, Bitcoin may reach a $1 million price by October 2029.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by xumit
BTCUSD: Holding Wave X or Slipping Lower?24 Nov 2025 27 Nov 2025 1 Dec 2025 17 Dec 2025 Bitcoin is still trading inside a falling channel, and the overall structure remains corrective. The recent bounce from lower levels lacks momentum and is overlapping, which signals consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Price continues to respect channel resistance, keeping the broader bias weak. Wave X is acting as an important support zone around 83,822 , and as long as price holds above this level, further consolidation remains possible. This area is currently absorbing selling pressure and preventing immediate continuation to the downside. However, a decisive breakdown below Wave X would signal that the correction is not complete. In that scenario, downside momentum is likely to expand, opening the path toward the 79,650 - 75,655 zone. Stay Tuned @Money_Dictators RD :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
2
Ather Energy- Neo Wave ForecastAther has completed its impulse wave and presently in its corrective pattern. once the corrective pattern is over which appears to be wave 2, wave 3 should start which perhaps will be a extended impulse wave giving maximum run up. wave 1 has taken 95 days to complete. 5th wave of 1st wave eneded on a truncated note (Truncation) which implies that the correction will be a longer one. Wave 1 took about 95 days, as per Neo wave rules, wave 2 correction should be equal to or more than 95 days. As of today about 50 days are up & the time rule says wave 2 should take a minimum of 45 days more. RS today is 93 which is very strong, Will closely track this script. Let's see what happens.
NSE:ATHERENERGLong
by anirudhmisra5
NVIDIA: Double Bottom Flat at Support — Bounce Setup in PlayNVIDIA is currently testing a well-defined support zone near the prior lows, where price action is starting to compress rather than accelerate lower. The structure forming at this level resembles a double-bottom flat , suggesting that selling pressure is gradually losing momentum. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the ongoing decline fits well as the final leg of a corrective phase. As long as this support zone holds, the odds favor the development of a Wave C move higher , which would mark a relief rally within the broader structure. The repeated defense of this level strengthens the case for a near-term bounce rather than an immediate breakdown. That said, this is a decision zone . A clean hold keeps the upside scenario alive, while a decisive break below support would invalidate the flat structure and open the door for deeper downside. Until then, patience is key — let price confirm before committing. Key Level to Watch: ~170 Above it: bounce potential Below it: structure fails Disclaimer: Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by WaveXplorer
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 17/12/2025 1. Momentum D1 (Daily) After the D1 candle closed, the daily momentum is currently compressed. This condition does not invalidate the ongoing bullish move, but it also does not confirm a reversal yet. We still need to wait for a clear momentum confirmation on D1. H4 H4 momentum is also compressing and showing early signs of a potential reversal. At this stage, there is no confirmed bearish H4 candle, so the correct approach is to remain patient and observe. H1 H1 momentum is weakening, suggesting that a short-term pullback or sideways movement may be developing on the H1 timeframe. 2. Elliott Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure The D1 wave count remains largely unchanged. With daily momentum still compressed, it is possible that price may produce one to two more bullish D1 candles. The upside target near 4396 is still valid to complete wave X. H4 Wave Structure Although H4 momentum has reached the overbought zone, price failed to break the previous high at 4354. This is an early warning signal that bullish momentum is weakening. While the signal is not yet strong enough to confirm a reversal, it supports the potential development of a bearish wave Y, as discussed in previous plans. H1 Wave Structure The failure of price to break the H4 high while momentum reached overbought creates two main scenarios on H1: Scenario 1 – Corrective triangle (abcde – blue): + Price may be in the final phase of a triangle correction. + If price drops below the lower boundary to complete wave e, the expected termination zone is around 4284. +Currently, price is still trading above the POC (green area), so it is possible that wave e has already completed. + In that case, a break above the b–d trendline would confirm a breakout entry. Scenario 2 – Impulsive 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 – black): +Price is currently forming wave 2 (black). +The projected target for wave 2 is also near 4284. 👉 Key Confluence Zone: Both scenarios converge around 4284, making this area a high-probability Buy zone. ⚠️ Risk Note: If price closes below 4274, we must be prepared for a deeper downside scenario, and the current Buy plan should be reconsidered. 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4285 – 4283 Stop Loss: 4273 Take Profit 1: 4329 Take Profit 2: 4353 Take Profit 3: 4365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Wave 4 Trap Complete as Bitcoin Prepares for Final Flush6 Days Ago 3 Days Ago 1 December 2025 : BTC moved into the expected corrective zone last week but stayed inside the falling channel, showing that wave 4 was only a temporary bounce. Buyers failed to break any key resistance, and momentum kept fading. This kept the broader outlook bearish and hinted that wave 5 was still pending. BTC has now broken below the short-term rising structure, confirming that wave 4 topped out near the 0.786 retracement. The rejection from that zone triggered a clean shift back into the main downtrend, with price sliding toward the key 86,280 support. As long as BTC holds below the upper channel boundary, the market remains positioned for further downside, with the 1.618 extension around 79,650 emerging as the next probable target for wave 5 completion. Note: The rejection from the 0.786–resistance zone shows buyers failed to take control. Wave B at 86,280 is the immediate pivot level; staying below it keeps downside pressure intact. The next major target for wave 5 sits near the 1.618 extension around 79,650. Stay Tuned :) @Money_Dictators
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
ETHUSD Bull Trap? - Final Breakdown Setup Is Almost Locked InETH is still stuck inside a clear falling channel, and the entire pattern is behaving like a corrective downtrend. The recent bounce from 2620 looks sharp, but it’s still just a counter-trend move. Nothing here screams trend reversal yet. Wave 3 ending at 2620 , and now the price is rising for a Wave 4 retracement. Wave 4 usually moves back toward the mid-channel and tests previous breakdown zones. The red box around 3200–3300 is the key trap zone. This is where sellers can return because Wave 4 must not enter Wave 1 territory, which sits higher. As long as ETH stays under that invalidation level, the bearish structure remains fully intact. The move looks like a classic (a)-(b)-(c) correction inside Wave 4. Once this corrective bounce completes, the chart suggests ETH will resume the downward path. The channel alignment and wave symmetry both support a final Wave 5 drop. If the bearish count plays out, ETH could slide toward 2400 – 2300 in Wave 5 before a major bottom forms. That’s the zone where sellers exhaust and buyers take control again. Until ETH breaks the invalidation level with strength, downside remains the more probable outcome. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Money_Dictators
ETHUSD: Reversal or Another Bull Trap?Look at this: ETH played the trap perfectly. After pushing into the 3200–3400 resistance zone, price failed to sustain above it and rolled over, confirming that the move was distribution, not strength. Sellers stepped in exactly where a Wave 4 rally should fail. The rejection was followed by a clean breakdown of the parallel rising channel, which shifts the short-term bias back in favor of the bears. That channel was the last structure holding the corrective bounce together. Once it broke, the bullish case weakened sharply. This drop reinforces the view that the move up from 2620 was only a Wave 4 correction, not the start of a new trend. With Wave 4 likely complete, ETH appears to be transitioning into Wave 5 of the broader corrective decline. As long as price remains below the broken channel and prior resistance, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. The structure opens the door for a retest of 2620 , with a deeper extension toward 2465 if selling pressure accelerates. Until ETH reclaims the channel with strength and acceptance, this remains a sell-the-bounce environment. The warning came at the trap zone, and the market is now following through. Stay Tuned! Money Dictators, R.D :)
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Money_Dictators
TVS Electronics: Falling Wedge Breakout (Volume Confirm Pending)The Technical Setup TVS Electronics (NSE: TVSELECT) has been in a corrective structure for months, forming a classic Falling Wedge Pattern. This pattern typically signals that selling pressure is exhausting. Current Observations: Structural Break: The price has successfully closed above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge (~500 levels). Momentum Divergence: While the price has broken out, the volume is currently below the 30-day average. The Missing Link: For a high-probability reversal, we typically look for a "Volume Expansion" to prove institutional interest. The current move is price-led, not participation-led. Key Levels to Watch: Invalidation Zone: If the price slips back inside the wedge (below ~480), the breakout may be a "False Move." Confirmation Zone: A strong daily close above the recent swing high (~525) with rising volume would validate the reversal. Technical Resistance: Structurally, the previous supply zones exist near 630 and 670. Risological View: This is a "Watchlist Candidate." The structure is perfect, but the fuel (Volume) is missing. We are waiting for the "Smart Money" footprint before considering the trend changed.
NSE:TVSELECTLong
by Risological_Algo
Ingersoll Rand: When the Bullish Wedge Fails (Bearish Breakdown)The Setup Traders often look at Falling Wedges and blindly assume a bullish reversal is coming. Ingersoll Rand (NSE: INGERRAND) has just provided a textbook example of why "Assumption" is dangerous in trading. Instead of breaking out to the upside, the price has sliced through the Lower Support Trendline on the Daily timeframe. Technical Breakdown (The "Trap"): Pattern Failure: The stock was forming a Falling Wedge (usually bullish). The market expected a bounce from the lower support. The Invalidating Move: The recent heavy-volume candle breaking below the wedge support changes the structure entirely. Psychology of the Short: Bulls who accumulated at the support line are now trapped. As their Stop Losses get hit, it creates a cascade of selling pressure (Long Liquidation). Trade Management (Bearish): Signal: The daily close below the wedge support (Current levels: ~3,438). Conservative Entry: Wait for a "Retest" of the broken trendline from below (proving old support has become new resistance). Trend Invalidation: A daily close back inside the wedge (above ~3,550). If it re-enters, the breakdown was a "Bear Trap." Potential Target: Since this is a continuation of the downtrend, we look at the next major structural support zones (Psychological levels like 3,200 or 3,000). Risological Note: We trade what we see, not what the textbook says should happen. A failed bullish pattern is often a stronger bearish signal than a standard downtrend.
NSE:INGERRANDShort
by Risological_Algo
NIFTYBANK 4H: Dual Regression Structure Explains Failed DownsideNIFTYBANK on the 4-hour timeframe is trading within a well-defined ascending regression channel , reflecting a controlled higher-timeframe uptrend. Price action over recent sessions has transitioned into a secondary, narrower regression structure near the upper region of the primary channel, indicating consolidation rather than trend reversal. The presence of two overlapping regression trends suggests volatility compression and balance between buyers and sellers. Importantly, price continues to respect the median and lower boundaries of the broader regression, keeping the higher-timeframe structure intact. Despite multiple attempts, downside expansion has failed to develop . Pullbacks remain corrective and overlapping, with no impulsive bearish continuation. This behavior signals absorption of supply and a lack of aggressive distribution at current levels. Why the Downside Rally Failed • Price continues to respect the median and lower bounds of the higher-timeframe regression channel • No impulsive bearish structure has formed on the 4H timeframe • Pullbacks remain overlapping and corrective rather than trend-expanding • Momentum indicators remain supportive, not divergent This behavior indicates absorption of supply , not aggressive selling pressure. Key Insight (Trader’s View) From the current structure: • BankNifty is not an optimal long-buy candidate at this stage • Volatility compression favors options premium selling strategies • Relative strength rotation suggests NIFTY offers a better directional opportunity Hence, in this environment, strategy selection matters more than direction . Options Strategy View (BankNifty) Given the range-bound behavior inside the regression structure: • Short Straddle / Short Volatility setups are favored • Expectation remains that price stays contained without meaningful expansion This may appear counter-intuitive, but current structure supports non-directional premium decay . Directional Trade (Relative Strength – NIFTY) While BankNifty consolidates, NIFTY presents a comparatively cleaner structure. Trade Plan (NIFTY): • Entry: 59,050 • Stop-loss: 58,800 • Target: 59,550 This setup aligns with relative strength divergence between the indices. Invalidation • A strong 4H close outside the primary regression channel • Or an impulsive breakdown with volume expansion Until then, the consolidation bias remains valid . Risk Note This idea is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only . It does not constitute financial advice. Options strategies involve risk, including the potential for unlimited losses. Please manage position sizing and risk according to your own framework. Timeframe NIFTYBANK – <=4 Hour
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by Shreyash_Shah
Part 8 Trading Master Class Option Pricing and the Role of Greeks Option prices are influenced by multiple factors, not just price direction. These influences are measured by Option Greeks: Delta – Measures how much the option price changes for a 1-point move in the underlying Gamma – Measures the rate of change of delta Theta – Measures time decay; options lose value as expiry approaches Vega – Measures sensitivity to changes in volatility Rho – Measures impact of interest rate changes Understanding Greeks helps traders manage risk, select strategies, and anticipate how options behave under different market conditions.
NSE:SBINEducation
by SkyTradingZone