ADANIENT - One more Leg down is due?
TF: 75 Minutes
CMP: 2400
The counts are from the recent swings 2681 to 2165
Observation: It is a 5 wave decline and the 3rd wave has ended at 2165..
The price is now following a corrective rise.
The corrective rise can take any form.. Here, I have marked 2 possibilities.
ABC or triangle (abcde)
If this is an ABC correction, then, we have completed A and B, the Final C is play targeting 2490 (100% fib extension (AB=BC). Since the price is also staying above the midpoint of the channel, I am inclined towards this view as my primary count.
If this is a triangle, then, we are looking at sideways consolidation again ranging between 2300 to 2400 to complete the set up
Since I am expecting a final leg down for the 5th, I am not participating in this current corrective rise..
Will wait for clear direction/swing points first.
In the volume Profile chart
We are trading inside the heave volume zone of last week and the week of 18th Aug. The important zones are marked for easy inference. For now, strong base is at 2270-2300
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Wave Analysis
Power Grid Corporation: Fibonacci Support Meets Trendline HurdleAfter months of consolidation, Power Grid Corp. finds itself at a decisive juncture. The stock has completed an expanded flat (3-3-5) correction from the highs of ₹362.50, ending at ₹247.30. From there, price staged a clear 5-wave impulse up to ₹322.00 — marked here as Wave 1/A .
The subsequent decline has been corrective in nature, unfolding as a W-X-Y double zigzag that retraced precisely to the 0.618 Fibonacci level at ₹272.25 , with RSI oversold at the same point. This makes a strong case for Wave 2/B being in place .
Currently, price is consolidating just below a long-standing trendline resistance . The technical map is straightforward:
Bullish Case
A convincing breakout above the trendline would confirm that Wave 2/B has ended at ₹272.25.
That would open the door for a powerful Wave 3/C advance , with momentum likely to accelerate beyond ₹301.35 and eventually challenge the prior high of ₹322.00.
Risk to the View
Until the breakout is confirmed, risks remain. Failure to clear resistance keeps the door open for further choppiness, and only a decisive drop below ₹272.25 would suggest a deeper retest toward ₹247.30.
In short: Power Grid is compressing between Fibonacci support and trendline resistance. A breakout here could ignite the next major trending move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Tata Communications: Eyeing a Breakout Beyond 1818After completing a higher-degree Wave 2/B correction that ended with an ending diagonal near 1520, Tata Communications has turned up sharply. Price is now trading above the 200-day SMA (1638) and is heading into a critical resistance cluster.
The structure from 1291 to 1818 earlier unfolded as a Leading Diagonal (Wave 1/A), followed by a complex decline into Wave 2/B. The present advance is unfolding with a 1–2, 1–2 setup, typical of a powerful 3rd wave, but it could equally be counted as a Wave C of an A–B–C correction.
Key Technicals:
RSI is rising with room to stretch into the 70+ zone — confirmation of Wave 3 strength if it sustains.
SMA200 has been reclaimed, tilting momentum in favor of bulls.
Invalidation sits at 1624 — below this, the bullish setup fails.
Target : In either case, the rally should extend above Wave 1/A peak at 1818.70.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Titan - Potential up movement in future swingsHi everyone
Welcome to intelligent investor, we provide market insights by synchronising and combining all the price action waves from different time frames and gives you single trend.
Keynotes
## Titan is at good retracement levels.
## Trade with risk management that is 1 percent rule, not even 2 percent
because with neowave or wave counts you gets plenty of swings to add more that is after confirmation of price action.
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If you see different keyword in charts, here is the meaning and an explaining video will be made in some time how to read and trade with these waves charts. Still if you have any query , you can leave a comment, i will be happy to answer your query.
Keyword Mean-
S- Short Term Trend
M- Medium Term Trend
L- Long Term Trend
1,2,3,4,5 are wave bullish or bearish wave count
C- mean consolidation or correction
X- Like a joint in a trend or consolidation.
Its time to buy this dark horseAu Small Finance Bank Technical Analysis (CMP: 711)
Elliott Wave Analysis: The box confirms the completion of wave 1. The subsequent zig-zag correction appears to be nearing its end at the midpoint.
Fibonacci Support: The stock's halt at the Fibonacci confluence zone at 680 further confirms the support. One should keep stops below the confluence zones mentioned, according to the risk profile.
Conclusion: A weekly close above 621 will confirm the reversal, setting the stage for a potential stellar 3rd wave move, given the prolonged consolidation.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 17-Sep-2025
📌 Nifty is currently hovering near its immediate resistance zone after a strong upward move. Tomorrow’s opening will be critical in deciding whether the index continues its bullish momentum or faces resistance-led profit booking. Gap openings of 100+ points will set the initial tone.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 25,354) 🚀
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (25,354–25,400), the bullish tone will be reinforced.
Sustained trading above 25,400 can push the index towards the higher resistance target at 25,687.
Traders can look for long opportunities on dips, keeping a stop loss below 25,247 (Opening Support/Resistance).
Avoid chasing the very first green candle; let the market stabilize in the first 15–30 minutes before entering.
📌 Educational Note: A gap-up above resistance often triggers continuation buying. However, false breakouts are common – confirm with hourly close above 25,400 for strong conviction.
2. Flat Opening (Near 25,247–25,254 Zone) ⚖️
A flat open around the support/resistance zone signals indecision and could create a range-bound start.
Inside this zone (25,247–25,254), avoid aggressive trades; this is a "wait and watch" area.
If Nifty sustains above 25,354, initiate longs towards 25,400 → 25,687.
If it breaks below 25,173, bearish momentum may emerge, targeting 25,091.
Maintain tight stop losses around the opposite side of the breakout to reduce risk.
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings test patience. The best strategy is to let the market pick a direction instead of predicting one.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 25,150) 🔻
A gap-down below the Opening Support (25,173) may trigger profit booking or fresh selling pressure.
If the index opens below 25,150 and sustains, expect further downside towards 25,091 (Last Intraday Support).
Breakdown of 25,091 can extend the fall, leading to stronger bearish sentiment.
Any pullback towards 25,173 should be carefully monitored; rejection here may provide another shorting opportunity.
Stop loss for shorts should be placed just above 25,254 on an hourly closing basis.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs can trap emotional sellers. Always wait for stability before committing to shorts.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options over OTM to reduce time decay risk.
Do not over-leverage; use only a fixed % of your capital in one trade.
Always trade with a stop loss, especially in weekly options where premiums erode quickly.
Consider spreads (Call/Put spreads) to manage risk in volatile sessions.
Book partial profits when targets are near, instead of holding entire position.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Above 25,354 → Bullish continuation towards 25,400–25,687.
Flat near 25,247–25,254 → Wait for breakout; direction will decide trade.
Below 25,150 → Bearish momentum towards 25,091, with risk of further fall.
📌 Key Point: Tomorrow’s opening is crucial. Avoid trades inside consolidation zones and focus on clean breakouts for better risk-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking trading decisions.
Part 8 Trading master ClassWhy Trade Options?
Options are popular because of their flexibility. They can serve multiple purposes:
Hedging (Insurance)
Just like insurance, options protect against downside risk.
Example: Buying a put option to protect your stock holdings.
Speculation (Profit from Price Movements)
Traders use options to bet on direction, volatility, or even stability of prices.
Income Generation
Selling covered calls or cash-secured puts generates steady premium income.
Leverage
Options allow large exposure with smaller capital compared to stocks.
How Options Work: Pricing
Option pricing is complex, but two main values exist:
Intrinsic Value → Difference between stock price and strike (if favorable).
Time Value → Extra value based on time left till expiry and expected volatility.
Example:
Stock = ₹1,000
Call strike = ₹950, Premium = ₹70
Intrinsic = ₹1,000 – ₹950 = ₹50
Time Value = ₹20
Options Market Structure
The options market involves:
Buyers of Options – Limited risk (premium), unlimited potential reward.
Sellers (Writers) of Options – Limited reward (premium), potentially high risk.
Exchanges (like NSE in India, CBOE in US) – Standardized contracts.
Clearing Corporations – Ensure smooth settlement, reduce counterparty risk.
Part 6 Institutional TradingStrategies in Option Trading
Basic Strategies
Buying Calls: Profiting from price increases.
Buying Puts: Profiting from price decreases.
Covered Calls and Protective Puts
Covered Call: Holding a stock and selling a call to earn premium.
Protective Put: Buying a put to hedge potential losses in a stock position.
Spreads
Bull Call Spread: Buy a call at a lower strike, sell at a higher strike.
Bear Put Spread: Buy a put at a higher strike, sell at a lower strike.
Calendar Spreads: Different expiration dates for long and short options.
Advanced Strategies
Straddles: Buying a call and put at the same strike, betting on volatility.
Strangles: Buying out-of-the-money calls and puts.
Iron Condors & Butterflies: Limited-risk strategies combining multiple options for steady income.
Real-World Examples
Apple Stock Call: Investor buys 100 Apple call options at ₹150. Stock rises to ₹180; profit realized by exercising or selling the call.
Hedging a Portfolio: Investor holds ₹10 lakh in shares, buys put options to limit losses during market decline.
Income Generation: Investor sells covered calls on a stock they own to earn premium income.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Types of Options
Call Options
A call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price before or on the expiration date. Investors buy calls when they anticipate the price of the underlying asset will rise.
Example: You buy a call option for a stock at ₹100 strike price. If the stock price rises to ₹120, you can exercise your option, buy the stock at ₹100, and make a profit.
Put Options
A put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Investors buy puts when they expect the price of the asset to fall.
Example: You buy a put option for a stock at ₹100. If the stock falls to ₹80, you can sell it at ₹100, making a profit.
Option Pricing: How Options Are Valued
The price of an option is called the premium, and it consists of two components:
Intrinsic Value
Intrinsic value represents the real, tangible value of the option if it were exercised today.
Call Option Intrinsic Value = Current Stock Price − Strike Price
Put Option Intrinsic Value = Strike Price − Current Stock Price
Time Value
Time value is the extra cost investors are willing to pay for the potential of future gains. It decreases as the option approaches expiration, a process known as time decay.
Factors Affecting Option Prices (The Greeks)
Options are affected by multiple factors called the Greeks:
Delta: Measures how much the option price changes with the underlying asset price.
Gamma: Measures the rate of change of delta.
Theta: Measures the effect of time decay on the option.
Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Measures sensitivity to interest rates.
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesIntroduction to Options
Option trading is a sophisticated financial strategy that allows investors to hedge, speculate, or generate income in financial markets. Unlike buying a stock or a commodity directly, trading options gives you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specific time period.
The concept of options is not new. Options have been used for centuries to hedge risks and manage investments. In modern financial markets, options are widely used by retail investors, institutional investors, and professional traders because they provide flexibility, leverage, and strategic opportunities that are not available in traditional stock trading.
An option derives its value from the underlying asset, which can be a stock, commodity, index, currency, or ETF. Because options have time-limited value, they are classified as derivatives, meaning their price depends on the price movement of the underlying asset.
Key Terminology
Understanding option trading requires familiarity with basic terms:
Underlying Asset: The security or instrument on which the option is based. For example, Apple stock for an Apple options contract.
Strike Price: The predetermined price at which the option can be exercised.
Expiration Date: The date when the option contract expires. After this date, the option is worthless if not exercised.
Premium: The price paid to buy the option. Think of it as the cost of the “insurance” provided by the option.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM when the stock price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM when the stock price is below the strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Opposite of ITM. Call options are OTM when the stock price is below the strike price, and put options are OTM when the stock price is above the strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): When the stock price equals the strike price.
Part ! Ride The Big MovesWhat is an Option?
An option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date).
Underlying Asset: This can be a stock, index, commodity, currency, or ETF.
Strike Price: The price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires.
Premium: The price paid to purchase the option.
There are two main types of options:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Call Options Explained
A call option becomes profitable when the price of the underlying asset rises above the strike price plus the premium paid.
Example:
Stock price: ₹1,000
Strike price: ₹1,050
Premium: ₹20
If the stock rises to ₹1,100:
Profit = (Stock Price – Strike Price – Premium) = 1,100 – 1,050 – 20 = ₹30
If the stock remains below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is the premium paid.
SME IPOs: The Next Frontier for Retail Investors1. Understanding SME IPOs
1.1 What is an SME?
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are companies that are smaller in scale compared to large-cap corporations. They typically have:
Lower turnover compared to large enterprises
Limited market capitalization
Focused operations, often in niche sectors
High growth potential
SMEs are generally agile, innovative, and capable of rapid growth. Unlike large corporations, they are not yet household names but often have a promising trajectory.
1.2 What is an SME IPO?
An SME IPO is the process by which a small or medium enterprise offers its shares to the public to raise capital. Unlike traditional IPOs of large companies, SME IPOs are often listed on dedicated SME platforms of stock exchanges, such as:
BSE SME Platform (Bombay Stock Exchange)
NSE Emerge (National Stock Exchange)
These platforms are specially designed to support smaller businesses with less stringent compliance requirements compared to mainboard listings.
1.3 Why SMEs Go Public
SMEs turn to public markets for several reasons:
Raising Growth Capital – Funding for expansion, R&D, marketing, or new product launches.
Brand Visibility – Being listed improves credibility and public recognition.
Liquidity for Promoters – Founders and early investors can partially exit.
Institutional Interest – Once public, SMEs can attract institutional investors and venture capital.
2. Importance of SME IPOs for Retail Investors
2.1 Early Investment in Growth Companies
One of the most compelling reasons for retail investors to consider SME IPOs is the opportunity to invest in companies at an early growth stage. Unlike large-cap companies where growth is incremental, SMEs have the potential to deliver exponential returns if they scale successfully.
2.2 Portfolio Diversification
Adding SME IPOs to an investment portfolio can provide diversification benefits. SME stocks often operate in niche sectors that are not represented by mainstream indices. For instance, an SME could be innovating in renewable energy, fintech solutions, or specialty manufacturing—areas that might be underrepresented in large-cap investments.
2.3 Higher Potential Returns
While riskier, SME IPOs can sometimes offer higher upside potential than large-cap stocks. Investors who identify high-potential SMEs before they become mainstream can benefit from significant capital appreciation.
2.4 Access to Innovative Sectors
SMEs are often at the forefront of innovation. Investing in SME IPOs allows retail investors to participate in disruptive business models and emerging technologies that might later dominate the market.
3. Regulatory Framework for SME IPOs
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has established specific rules to govern SME IPOs:
3.1 Eligibility Criteria
To list on SME platforms, companies must meet criteria such as:
Minimum net worth requirement
Minimum post-issue capital
Operational history (typically at least 3 years)
3.2 Disclosure Requirements
SME IPOs require simplified disclosure documents called Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) or Offer Documents. While the compliance requirements are less stringent than mainboard IPOs, companies must disclose:
Business model and operations
Financial statements
Risk factors
Future growth plans
3.3 Trading and Liquidity
SME shares are tradable on their respective SME platforms. However, liquidity may be limited compared to mainstream stocks, as the number of buyers and sellers can be smaller. Investors must understand this aspect before investing.
4. Advantages of Investing in SME IPOs
4.1 Early Growth Advantage
Investors gain the first-mover advantage by entering the company at an early stage, potentially benefiting from rapid expansion.
4.2 Diversification into Untapped Markets
SMEs often operate in untapped or niche markets, providing unique exposure not available in large-cap stocks.
4.3 Support for National Economy
Investing in SMEs supports domestic entrepreneurship and job creation, contributing to economic growth.
4.4 Tax Benefits (in some cases)
Certain SME investments may qualify for capital gains tax exemptions under specific government schemes, depending on jurisdiction.
5. Risks of Investing in SME IPOs
While SME IPOs are attractive, they carry higher risks:
5.1 Limited Track Record
SMEs may have limited operational history, making it harder to assess long-term sustainability.
5.2 Market Liquidity Risk
SME shares often have lower liquidity. Selling large quantities may be difficult without affecting the price.
5.3 Volatility
Due to smaller market capitalization and limited investor base, SME shares can be highly volatile.
5.4 Business Risk
SMEs may face challenges like financial constraints, market competition, or dependency on a few clients, which can affect performance.
6. How Retail Investors Can Approach SME IPOs
6.1 Research and Due Diligence
Investors must carefully analyze:
Company financials (revenue, profit margins, debt levels)
Industry trends and growth potential
Management experience and track record
Competitive advantages
6.2 Understanding the Valuation
Unlike large-cap IPOs, SME IPOs may not have extensive analyst coverage. Investors must evaluate whether the offered price reflects the company’s growth potential.
6.3 Assessing Liquidity and Exit Strategy
Before investing, investors should plan:
How long they intend to hold
Possible exit routes if the stock is illiquid
6.4 Diversification
Given the risk profile, SME IPOs should be part of a diversified portfolio, not the entire portfolio. Allocating a small portion to SME investments balances potential high returns with risk management.
Conclusion
SME IPOs represent a new frontier for retail investors seeking higher returns, portfolio diversification, and participation in emerging business stories. While the risks are higher compared to large-cap investments, careful research, due diligence, and strategic planning can mitigate these risks.
Retail investors willing to embrace these opportunities can:
Access high-growth companies at an early stage
Diversify into innovative and niche sectors
Support entrepreneurship and national economic growth
By balancing risk and reward, SME IPOs can become a powerful addition to a retail investor’s portfolio, offering the chance to participate in the growth stories of tomorrow.
10 Most Powerful Candlestick Patterns Every Trader Must Know1. Doji – The Candle of Indecision
A Doji looks like a cross (+). This happens when the open and close price are almost the same.
What it means: Neither buyers nor sellers are in full control. Market is confused.
When it matters:
After a strong uptrend → could mean trend reversal (bears may take control).
After a strong downtrend → could mean bulls are coming back.
Types of Doji:
Standard Doji – neutral, just indecision.
Dragonfly Doji – long bottom shadow → buyers may soon dominate.
Gravestone Doji – long upper shadow → sellers may soon dominate.
Example: Imagine a stock rises for 7 days. On the 8th day, a Doji appears. This tells traders: “The rally may be slowing. Watch carefully.”
Tip: Doji alone is not enough. Always confirm with the next candle.
2. Hammer – A Bullish Reversal Signal
A Hammer looks like a hammer: a small body at the top with a long bottom shadow (at least 2x body size).
What it means: Sellers pushed the price down, but buyers fought back strongly and closed near the top. Bulls are gaining strength.
When it matters: Appears at the bottom of a downtrend, hinting at reversal.
Example: A stock keeps falling for 5 days. On the 6th day, a hammer forms near a support level. Next day, price rises. This confirms reversal.
Tip: Best when confirmed with high trading volume.
3. Inverted Hammer – A Hidden Bullish Clue
The Inverted Hammer looks like an upside-down hammer (small body at bottom, long top shadow).
What it means: Buyers tried to push higher, sellers resisted, but buyers showed strength. Could mean downtrend is weakening.
When it matters: Appears at the end of a downtrend, often followed by bullish candles.
Example: After a long fall, an inverted hammer forms. Next day, a strong green candle appears. This often signals a reversal.
Tip: Always wait for the next candle confirmation.
4. Shooting Star – The Bearish Reversal
The Shooting Star is the opposite of the Inverted Hammer, but it appears after an uptrend.
What it means: Buyers tried to push higher, but sellers pushed the price back down. Bears are taking over.
When it matters: Appears at the top of an uptrend, often signaling reversal.
Example: A stock keeps rising. Then a shooting star forms. Next day, a red candle follows → bearish reversal confirmed.
Tip: Stronger if it forms near resistance levels.
5. Bullish Engulfing – Buyers Take Control
The Bullish Engulfing is a two-candle pattern. A small red candle is followed by a larger green candle that engulfs it completely.
What it means: Buyers are now stronger than sellers.
When it matters: Appears after a downtrend, signaling reversal to the upside.
Example: A stock keeps falling. Then a small red candle is followed by a big green one. Price often rises further.
Tip: The bigger the green candle, the stronger the signal.
6. Bearish Engulfing – Sellers Dominate
The Bearish Engulfing is the opposite of Bullish Engulfing. A small green candle is followed by a big red candle that engulfs it.
What it means: Sellers have taken control.
When it matters: Appears after an uptrend, signaling possible reversal.
Example: A stock rises for 10 days. Then a small green candle is swallowed by a big red candle. Often, this is the start of a decline.
Tip: Stronger near resistance zones.
7. Morning Star – A Strong Bullish Reversal
The Morning Star is a three-candle pattern:
Large red candle.
Small candle (red or green, showing indecision).
Large green candle closing above the midpoint of the first red candle.
What it means: Sellers are losing control, buyers are coming back strong.
When it matters: Appears at the bottom of a downtrend.
Example: A stock keeps falling. Then a red candle, a doji, and a strong green candle appear. Trend reverses upward.
Tip: Works best with high volume on the third candle.
8. Evening Star – The Bearish Counterpart
The Evening Star is the opposite of Morning Star:
Large green candle.
Small candle (indecision).
Large red candle closing below the midpoint of the first green candle.
What it means: Buyers are exhausted, sellers are taking control.
When it matters: Appears at the top of an uptrend.
Example: Stock rises for days, then a green candle, a doji, and a big red candle form. Often, this signals a bearish trend.
Tip: Stronger when seen near resistance.
9. Harami – The Subtle Warning
A Harami is when a small candle forms inside the body of the previous candle.
Bullish Harami: Small green inside large red → sellers weakening.
Bearish Harami: Small red inside large green → buyers weakening.
What it means: Trend may be slowing down. Could signal reversal or pause.
When it matters: Works best when combined with support/resistance zones.
Example: After a long rally, a large green candle appears. Next day, a small red candle forms inside it → bearish harami. Price may fall next.
Tip: Always wait for the next candle for confirmation.
10. Three White Soldiers & Three Black Crows
These are powerful multi-candle patterns.
Three White Soldiers: 3 strong green candles in a row, each closing higher.
Meaning: Strong bullish momentum.
Context: After a downtrend → reversal upward.
Three Black Crows: 3 strong red candles in a row, each closing lower.
Meaning: Strong bearish momentum.
Context: After an uptrend → reversal downward.
Example: After a fall, three green candles appear → bulls taking over.
Tip: Be cautious of overbought/oversold levels.
How to Use These Patterns in Real Trading
Candlestick patterns are powerful, but they are not magic. Here’s how to use them properly:
Combine with Support & Resistance – Patterns near key zones are stronger.
Check Volume – Higher volume makes signals more reliable.
Look at Bigger Timeframes – A pattern on daily charts is more powerful than on 5-minute charts.
Use Indicators Together – Combine with RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages.
Risk Management – Always use stop-loss. Patterns can fail.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Trading only based on one pattern.
Ignoring overall market trend.
Not waiting for confirmation.
Forgetting volume analysis.
Overtrading every signal.
Conclusion
Candlestick patterns are the language of the market. If you learn to read them, you can understand what buyers and sellers are planning.
The 10 most powerful patterns — Doji, Hammer, Inverted Hammer, Shooting Star, Bullish Engulfing, Bearish Engulfing, Morning Star, Evening Star, Harami, and Three Soldiers/Three Crows — are essential for any trader.
They don’t guarantee profits, but when combined with support/resistance, volume, and indicators, they become a strong weapon in trading.
Remember: trading is about probabilities, not certainties. Candlesticks help tilt the odds in your favor.
Algorithmic Trading: Speed, Strategy, and Smarter Decisions1. What is Algorithmic Trading?
Algorithmic trading is the process of using computer programs to execute trades automatically, based on a defined set of rules regarding timing, price, quantity, and other market conditions.
For example:
A trader may write an algorithm that automatically buys 500 shares of a stock if its 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average (a common technical signal).
Another algorithm might sell if prices drop 2% within a few seconds, limiting losses.
At its core, algorithmic trading eliminates emotional decision-making and replaces it with data-driven, rule-based execution.
2. Evolution of Algorithmic Trading
Early 1970s – Birth of electronic trading with NASDAQ and the introduction of order-routing systems.
1980s – Program trading emerged, where large institutions executed block trades using computers.
1990s – Internet and electronic communication networks (ECNs) allowed direct market access (DMA).
2000s – Rise of high-frequency trading (HFT), leveraging millisecond and microsecond execution.
2010s onwards – Machine learning, AI-driven predictive analytics, and global adoption of algo trading.
Today, in major markets like the US, nearly 70–80% of equity trades are executed by algorithms, making them the backbone of financial ecosystems.
3. Speed: The Core of Algorithmic Trading
Speed is not just a feature of algo trading—it is its soul.
3.1 Why Speed Matters
Financial markets move in fractions of a second. Opportunities to exploit inefficiencies or arbitrage may disappear in microseconds. Humans simply cannot react fast enough.
For instance:
In high-frequency trading (HFT), firms compete to execute trades faster than rivals.
A one-millisecond advantage in order execution can mean millions of dollars in profit.
3.2 Infrastructure for Speed
Colocation Services: Traders rent space inside exchange data centers so their servers sit physically close to the market, reducing latency.
Fiber-optic & Microwave Networks: Firms invest heavily in faster communication channels to shave microseconds off transmission times.
Low-Latency Software: Specialized coding in C++ or FPGA chips ensures minimal delay in algorithm execution.
3.3 Benefits of Speed
Rapid reaction to news or price movements.
Ability to capture tiny spreads across multiple markets.
Efficient order execution with minimal slippage.
3.4 Risks of Speed
However, speed can backfire. Events like the 2010 Flash Crash, where the Dow Jones plunged nearly 1000 points within minutes due to automated sell orders, show how excessive speed can destabilize markets.
4. Strategy: The Brain of Algorithmic Trading
While speed provides the muscle, strategy provides the brain. A trading algorithm is only as effective as the strategy it executes.
4.1 Types of Algorithmic Trading Strategies
Trend-Following Strategies
Use moving averages, momentum indicators, and breakouts.
Example: Buy when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average.
Arbitrage Strategies
Exploit price differences of the same asset across markets.
Example: Buying a stock on NYSE and simultaneously selling it on NASDAQ at a higher price.
Market-Making Strategies
Place simultaneous buy and sell orders to capture the bid-ask spread.
Commonly used by broker-dealers and liquidity providers.
Statistical Arbitrage (StatArb)
Relies on mathematical models to identify mispricings among correlated securities.
Example: Pair trading, where one buys one stock and shorts another correlated stock.
Event-Driven Strategies
Capitalize on events such as earnings announcements, mergers, or geopolitical news.
Algorithms scan news feeds and social media to react instantly.
Execution-Based Strategies
Focus on minimizing costs when executing large orders.
Examples: VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and TWAP (Time Weighted Average Price).
4.2 Backtesting and Optimization
Before deployment, algorithms are rigorously backtested on historical data to measure profitability, risk, and robustness. Optimization helps refine parameters to adapt to different market conditions.
4.3 Customization
Traders can customize strategies depending on their goals:
Institutional investors use execution algorithms to minimize costs.
Hedge funds deploy arbitrage and statistical models.
Retail traders may automate swing or momentum strategies.
5. Smarter Decisions: The Intelligence of Algorithmic Trading
The next frontier in algo trading is not just speed and predefined strategies, but smart, adaptive decision-making.
5.1 Data-Driven Trading
Algorithms now ingest massive datasets beyond traditional market prices:
Social media sentiment (Twitter, Reddit).
Macroeconomic indicators.
Alternative data like satellite images, shipping data, and credit card transactions.
5.2 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
Machine Learning Models: Identify hidden patterns in market behavior.
Natural Language Processing (NLP): Read and interpret financial news in real time.
Reinforcement Learning: Algorithms learn from trial-and-error in simulated markets to optimize strategies.
5.3 Risk Management Automation
Algorithms automatically place stop-loss orders, hedge exposures, and rebalance portfolios, ensuring smarter risk-adjusted decisions.
5.4 Human + Machine Collaboration
The best results often come when human intuition meets machine precision. Traders set the vision and risk appetite, while algorithms handle execution and monitoring.
6. Advantages of Algorithmic Trading
Efficiency – Faster execution with minimal errors.
Consistency – Eliminates emotional biases like fear and greed.
Liquidity – Enhances market depth through continuous order flow.
Cost Reduction – Reduces transaction costs for large trades.
Scalability – Algorithms can monitor thousands of securities simultaneously.
7. Challenges and Risks
Market Volatility – Algorithms can amplify panic during sudden downturns.
Overfitting in Backtests – Strategies may work on past data but fail in live markets.
Regulatory Scrutiny – Concerns over fairness, manipulation, and systemic risk.
Technology Dependence – Outages or glitches can lead to massive losses.
Crowded Trades – When too many algorithms follow the same logic, opportunities vanish.
Conclusion
Algorithmic trading represents the natural evolution of finance in the digital age. Its three pillars—speed, strategy, and smarter decisions—have made markets more efficient, competitive, and data-driven.
Yet, like any powerful tool, it requires caution, oversight, and responsibility. The goal is not just to trade faster or smarter, but to ensure markets remain fair, stable, and accessible.
As technology continues to evolve, algorithmic trading will become even more intelligent, integrating AI, alternative data, and quantum computing. In this future, the winners will not be those who merely chase speed, but those who design strategies rooted in smart, adaptive decision-making—where humans and machines collaborate to unlock the true potential of financial markets.
Anant Raj Date 16.09.2025
Anant Raj
Timeframe : Day Chart
News Flash :
Government of India planning tax exemption for Data Centers companies/projects for the next 20 years
Remarks :
(1) Average traded volume/s in the last one year is 21,57,683 (21.57 lacs)
(2) On 15th September volume traded was 3,46,25,724 (3.46 cr)
(3) Forming Cup & Handle with breakout of 200 ema + ichimoku cloud
(4) Seems like under impulsive wave 3, any gap up opening will confirm that
Key Point
The company proposes to scale up its data center capacity to 307 MW within 5 to 6 years. As of Q3 FY25, it is developing 15 MW in Manesar and 7 MW in Panchkula, bringing the total IT load capacity under development to 22 MW.
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
NIFTY: BIGGER PICTURE ANALYSIS 16-SEP-2025LTP 25165
Supports: 25055/24721/24334
Resistances: 25700/26278
As long as Nifty stays above the supports, we will see big bull rn towards 26K.
Upside next targets:
Immediate target 25189
25361-25420-25555
25782-26000
26303
26534-651-834
27334-477-850
29355
Levels to watch: 25420-25555
Decisive break of this can take Nifty to 25700+++
Hindustan Copper – Breakout or Double Top?After completing an impulse up to 287.65 (Wave 1) and correcting down to 226.70 (Wave 2), Hindustan Copper is now powering higher in what looks like Wave (iii) of 3.
Wave count : Wave 2 bottomed at 226.70, setting the stage for Wave 3.
Current move : Sub-waves (i) and (ii) are done, and price is pressing into resistance at 287.
Breakout zone : A decisive move above 287 could confirm the Wave 3 extension. Failure here risks a pause or even a double top.
Retracement supports : 272.75 (0.236) and 263.95 (0.382) are likely pullback zones if Wave (iv) comes into play.
Momentum check : Volume has spiked aggressively, adding weight to the bullish case, while RSI is overbought — suggesting short-term cooling is natural.
Summary : 287 is the key make-or-break zone. Break it cleanly, and Wave 3 marches forward. Fail, and we may see a corrective detour first.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.