Wave Analysis
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context
Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory
4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion.
Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
SL: 4130
TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+
Rationale:
• Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf
• Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep
🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247
SL: 4255
TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning.
• Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers).
• Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed.
Summary
Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility.
Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins.
🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
Part 6 Learn Institutional TradingWhy Trade Options?
Options offer several strategic advantages:
a. Hedging
Investors use options to protect their portfolio. For example, buying a put option can insure against a fall in stock prices, similar to buying insurance.
b. Speculation
Traders can bet on price movements—up, down, or even sideways—using options.
c. Income Generation
Many traders sell options (covered calls, cash-secured puts) to earn regular premiums.
d. Leverage
Options allow control of large positions with a relatively small amount of capital.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading What Are Options?
An option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price—known as the strike price—before or on a specific date called the expiry.
There are two types of options:
Call Option – Gives the right to buy an asset.
Put Option – Gives the right to sell an asset.
The buyer of an option pays a fee called the premium, which is the price of the contract.
In India, stock options follow an American-style exercise, allowing early exercise, while index options are European-style, meaning they can only be exercised on expiry day.
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
CADJPY could keep rising furtherOANDA:CADJPY The market has been on a clear upward trajectory for some time, with each swing reaching higher peaks and forming higher lows. The rising trendline has been the driving force behind this momentum.
Following the recent surge, the price has pulled back slightly, forming a textbook bullish flag pattern.
This is the kind of price action you want to see in a strong uptrend—a controlled retracement with a minor dip, without any aggressive selling pressure.
The bears have failed to break the low, and the bullish momentum remains intact. As a result, the overall trend continues to hold steady.
Right now, the price is breaking out of the flag pattern, and it looks like this trend is poised to continue.
As long as the price stays above the trendline and doesn’t breach the flag's low, my outlook remains bullish.
My target is set at 113.150.
“GOLD MEGA RALLY: Road to $6,500 — Super-Cycle in Full Power
Gold has broken above $4,200/oz, confirming that a super-cycle has officially started. The breakout is not just technical — it is backed by global liquidity, record central-bank demand, and collapsing real yields.
My view: Gold is preparing for a parabolic rally toward $6,500 next year, where a major cycle top is likely to form.
🔥 Why Gold Can Hit $6,500
* Liquidity Cycle Turning Up
Fed QT slowdown + rising expectations of QE → strongest setup for commodities in a decade.
* Historic Central Bank Buying
China, India, Middle East are accumulating gold aggressively → long-term supply squeeze.
* Inflation Pressure Still Alive
Sticky inflation + slowing growth = real yields trending lower → ultra-bullish for gold.
* Geopolitical Premium
Safe-haven flows accelerating with every global conflict headline
Gold continuesly buying recommended from 121600 ,buy on dipParameters Data
Asset Name Gold Futures (Dec 2025): ₹1,25,999.00
Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , .
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,27,500, T2: ₹1,28,200, T3: ₹1,29,000 / SL: ₹1,25,250
Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.5 (Buy entry near ₹1,26,000 with SL ₹1,25,250 and T1 ₹1,27,500 offers favorable upside potential.) / Threshold: Breakout above - ₹1,26,200 & Breakdown below -₹1,25,350
Confidence 🟩 22/30 (Dominant signals Strongly Bullish hain, indicating high conviction for an upside move.)
Probability 🟩 72%
Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,25,000 (Option chain data ke mutabik, yeh level Put writers ke liye crucial hai aur support zone ka kaam karega.)
DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price sabhi key MAs ke upward sloping zone mein hai, suggesting a stable uptrend.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,25,500 (Intraday/Technical Support), S2: ₹1,25,350 (Strong Buy-on-Dips zone), S3: ₹1,24,600.
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,26,200 (Immediate Hurdle), R2: ₹1,27,500 (Critical Resistance Band), R3: ₹1,28,200 (R1 is key for continuation).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14): 60.10 (Bullish Momentum High.) ADX (14): 22.50 (Trend strength firm ho rahi hai.)
Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Order Book mein Buy orders ka dominance, supporting current price.)
Volatility 🟨 ATR (14): Moderate (Volatility normal hai, but breakout ke saath jump expected hai.)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, NSE, Investing.com, Dhan, TradingView via Data Accuracy Protocol.)
OI 🟩 OI increase with price rise (Long Build-up), confirming sustained interest in the long side.
PCR 🟩 1.15 (Above 1.0, indicating Put writing dominance, which is bullish for the immediate direction.)
VWAP 🟩 Price is above VWAP (VWAP approx. ₹1,25,750), confirming intraday bullish strength.
Turnover 🟩 High (Increased trading volume validating the move.)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure momentum rally.)
IV/RV 🟨 IV is stable (Volatility expectation normal.)
Options Skew 🟩 Positive Skew (Call premiums Put premiums se zyada expensive hain, indicating bullish sentiment.)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive (Supporting the upside momentum.)
Block Trades 🟨 No Major Signal (No significant block trades noted.)
COT Positioning 🟩 Managed Money Net Longs (Global speculative positioning heavily bullish.)
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Negative Correlation with DXY (DXY weakness is a major driver).
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Global Gold ETFs mein buying chal rahi hai.)
Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed (Sentiment is highly positive, sustaining the rally.)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Order Flow Imbalance suggests strong buying pressure.)
Delta 🟩 Positive Skewed (Higher Call Delta buildup.)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Price at Upper Band (Trading at the top of the short-term range.)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Strong Inflow (Capital is flowing into Bullion.)
Silver mcx continuesly buying recommended from 151600,buy dip Parameters Data
Asset Name Silver MCX (Dec 2025): ₹1,67,650.00
Price Movement Buy side: , , . If break then downside possible towards , , .
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active / T1: ₹1,69,800, T2: ₹1,71,800, T3: ₹1,73,500 / SL: ₹1,65,000
Risk Reward 🟩 1:1.6 (Current trade is high momentum. SL ₹1,65,000 and T1 ₹1,69,800 offers favorable upside potential.) / Threshold: Breakout above - ₹1,68,500 & Breakdown below -₹1,65,278
Confidence 🟩 25/30 (Dominant signals Extremely Bullish hain. High conviction on continuation.)
Probability 🟩 85%
Max Pain 🟥 ₹1,68,000 - ₹1,70,000 (Next Max Pain zone, suggesting option writers are scrambling to adjust positions, fueling the up move.)
DEMA Levels 🟩 20/50/100/200/250 DEMA: Price sabhi key MAs se exponentially upar hai, confirming a parabolic move.
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,66,500 (Psychological/Minor Support), S2: ₹1,65,278 (Previous High), S3: ₹1,64,250 (Strong Base).
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,68,500 (Immediate Target), R2: ₹1,70,500, R3: ₹1,72,000 (New All-Time High territory).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI (14): 81.25 (Extremely Overbought) ADX (14): 45.10 (Trend strength is very high/parabolic.)
Market Depth 🟩 Extreme Bullish Skew (Continuous buying at every dip, indicating fear of missing out.)
Volatility 🟩 ATR (14): Very High (Expected volatility due to high momentum breakout.)
Source Ledger 🟩 Verified (MCX, COMEX, Bloomberg, Refinitiv via Data Accuracy Protocol.)
OI 🟩 OI increase with strong price rise (Aggressive Long Build-up), confirming a major breakout move.
PCR 🟩 1.35 (Very high, indicating heavy Put writing at lower levels, which acts as a strong safety net.)
VWAP 🟩 Price is significantly above VWAP (VWAP approx. ₹1,64,000), showing huge intraday buying power.
Turnover 🟩 Record High (Highest turnover, validating the conviction behind the price jump.)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None Dominant (Pure momentum rally.)
IV/RV 🟩 IV is High, RV is High (High volatility and high price change are both present.)
Options Skew 🟩 Extremely Positive Skew (Upside Call options ke premiums sky-high hain.)
Vanna/Charm 🟩 Strong Positive (Market makers need to buy futures aggressively to hedge, accelerating the price rise - gamma squeeze).
Block Trades 🟩 Significant Buy Block Trades (Institutional big players entering the long side.)
COT Positioning 🟩 Record Net Longs (Managed money positions at historical highs, confirming the global view.)
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Negative Correlation with DXY - Extreme (DXY crash is directly fueling Silver).
ETF Rotation 🟩 Max Inflows (ETFs like SLV mein massive inflows dekhe ja rahe hain.)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Extreme Greed (Caution!) (Risk is high, but trend is king.)
OFI 🟩 Extreme Positive (Order Flow suggests overwhelming buying pressure.)
Delta 🟩 Max Positive (Option positions strongly skewed for upside.)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Trading outside Upper Band (Parabolic move and extreme strength.)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Overwhelming Inflow (Top performing asset in commodity space.)
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Option Trading in India (NSE)
Popular tradable contracts:
NIFTY 50 (weekly & monthly expiry)
BANK NIFTY (weekly expiry)
FINNIFTY (weekly expiry)
MIDCAP NIFTY
Stock Options
Lot sizes:
Nifty: 25
Bank Nifty: 15
Finnifty: 40 (subject to change by NSE)
Stock options have higher margins and different lot sizes.
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion.
What Smart Money desks are targeting today:
• Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias
• Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs
• Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning
• CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move
The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region).
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase
Liquidity map highlighted zones:
• Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap)
• Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry)
• Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced)
• Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation)
Expected sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222
Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS
Targets:
1. 4200 (first reaction)
2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone)
3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium)
4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143
Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price sweeps into 4163 pool
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation
Targets:
1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone
2. 4200+ institutional expansion target
3. 4212+ premium revisit
⚠️ Risk Management
• Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced
• Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps
• SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation
• Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms
📝 Summary
Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either:
• Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest,
or
• Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+
Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Types of Option Trading Strategies
a. Bullish Strategies
Long Call – Buy CE
Bull Call Spread – Buy CE and Sell higher CE
Cash Secured Put – Sell PE with intention to buy shares
b. Bearish Strategies
Long Put – Buy PE
Bear Put Spread – Buy PE and Sell lower PE
Covered Call – Sell CE while holding shares
c. Neutral Strategies
Straddle – Buy both CE and PE
Strangle – Buy OTM CE and PE
Iron Condor – Sell CE & PE with hedges to capture premium
Butterfly Spread – Low risk, limited profit strategy
Neutral strategies are popular on weekly expiry days when markets stay range-bound.
Crude is ready for CRAZY upsideCurrently Crude is at 58/59
Crude is making Diametric pattern on a weekly timeframe, Where we can see crude has made 2 complex pattern which is (ABCDE-XYZ-ABCDE)
This is the last wave of Diametric pattern, so if Crude gives breakout around 72 which is very liekly
we can see 91/92 levels in coming months to come
Dont miss Crude at current price...
Crude is ready for upside !!
Thank You !!
Part 1 Master Candle Stick Patterns What Are Options?
Options are financial derivatives that give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the strike price) on or before a certain date (called the expiry).
There are two main types:
1. Call Option
A Call Option gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
You buy a call when:
You expect the price to rise.
You want limited risk but unlimited profit potential.
2. Put Option
A Put Option gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
You buy a put when:
You expect the price to fall.
You want to hedge against downside.
In India (NSE), the underlying asset can be:
Index (Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty)
Stocks (Reliance, TCS, HDFC Bank, etc.)
Common Mistakes Traders Make with OI Analysis1. Assuming Rising OI Always Means Trend Continuation
A widespread misconception is that rising OI always confirms the current price trend. This is not always true. OI increases whenever new positions are added, but it does not tell us whether those positions are long or short.
If price rises and OI rises, traders often assume “trend is strong.”
But this could be short sellers entering aggressively, expecting a reversal.
Similarly, a falling market with rising OI could represent fresh long build-up by contrarian traders.
Why this is dangerous:
Misreading this combination can trick traders into continuing with a trend that is near exhaustion.
Correct approach:
Always read OI along with volume, price action, and context rather than in isolation.
2. Ignoring the Impact of Expiry Week
During expiry week, OI behaves very differently. Many traders fail to adjust for this.
Positions are squared off.
New positions are not added in large numbers.
Premiums decay rapidly.
Large players use rollovers that distort OI patterns.
Hence, traditional OI interpretations—long buildup, short covering, etc.—often fail because traders misread expiry-related unwinding as trend reversal.
Correct approach:
During expiry, interpret OI with caution and focus more on price action and volume rather than OI signals alone.
3. Not Understanding Rollovers in Futures OI
Many beginners assume rising OI in the near-month futures means new positions are being built. Instead, what might actually be happening is:
Positions shifting from near-month to next-month contracts.
Hedging activity by institutions.
Calendar spreads that distort near-month OI data.
This mistake leads traders to overestimate trend strength.
Correct approach:
Study OI across all three series (near, next, and far) to understand rollover behavior properly.
4. Misinterpreting OI Changes Without Considering Volume
OI alone cannot confirm the strength of a move. Many traders rely only on OI changes without checking volume.
High OI + low volume = weak or misleading signal.
High volume + high OI = strong confirmation.
Low volume + decreasing OI during price rise often indicates a false breakout.
Volume validates OI. Ignoring it causes traders to enter trades without proper confirmation.
Correct approach:
Always combine OI with volume analysis for accurate interpretation.
5. Treating OI Spikes as Market Direction Indicators
Large spikes in OI sometimes occur because:
Institutions hedge large positions.
Market makers adjust exposure.
Spread trading activity increases.
Options sellers deploy neutral strategies like short straddles and strangles.
These do not indicate directional bias. Retail traders often mistake such spikes for bullish or bearish signals, resulting in incorrect directional trades.
Correct approach:
Identify whether the OI spike is due to directional positions or non-directional strategies (like option selling).
6. Misreading Options OI Without Understanding Option Selling
Options OI is heavily influenced by option writers, not buyers. Newer traders often assume:
Call OI rising → bullish
Put OI rising → bearish
In reality:
Call writers increase call OI when they expect resistance.
Put writers increase put OI when they expect support.
Hence call OI rising often signals resistance, not strength, while put OI rising signals support, not weakness.
Correct approach:
Always analyze OI from the perspective of option sellers, who dominate the market.
7. Forgetting That OI is a Lagging Indicator
OI does not update tick by tick. Many traders treat it like real-time data and make impulsive trades.
Because OI updates slowly:
Sudden intraday reversals may not immediately reflect in OI.
By the time OI suggests a trend is weakening, price may already have reversed.
Correct approach:
Use OI as a confirmation tool, not a primary signal generator.
8. Over-Reliance on OI Without Price Action
Some traders depend entirely on OI data and ignore charts altogether.
This can lead to:
Entering when price is in consolidation.
Missing out on key support/resistance levels.
Falling for traps created by short-term OI fluctuations.
OI cannot tell you the exact entry or exit point—price action provides that.
Correct approach:
Use OI to understand behind-the-scenes market behavior, but rely on price action for execution.
9. Not Accounting for Market Maker Adjustments
Market makers frequently adjust their books, making OI fluctuate without real directional intent.
Retail traders often mistake this for trend-building activity.
These adjustments occur due to:
Delta hedging
Neutral strategies
Risk balancing
Changes in implied volatility
This can create misleading OI buildups or unwinding.
Correct approach:
Interpret OI only after analyzing IV trends, premiums, and market structure.
10. Ignoring the Broader Market Environment
OI signals lose meaning in certain market conditions:
High volatility
Major news events
Budget or RBI announcements
Global market shocks
Overnight gaps
During these periods, traders still try to use OI to predict short-term moves and end up getting trapped.
Correct approach:
In high-event environments, reduce the weight of OI analysis and rely more on price structure and risk management.
11. Believing That OI is a Predictive Tool
Many traders expect OI to tell them in advance:
When a breakout will happen
Which way the market will move
How strong the move will be
But OI is not predictive—it only shows participation, not intention.
This belief causes false confidence and poor decision-making.
Correct approach:
Treat OI as a supporting indicator, not a forecasting tool.
12. Not Adjusting OI Interpretation for Different Instruments
OI behaves differently in:
Index options
Stock options
Futures
Weekly vs monthly expiries
Applying the same OI interpretation across all instruments is a major mistake. For example:
Stock options have lower liquidity → OI signals are weaker.
Index options have high liquidity → OI signals are more reliable.
Correct approach:
Know the nature of the instrument before applying OI analysis.
Conclusion
OI is extremely powerful, but only when interpreted correctly. Most traders misuse it by treating it as a direct prediction tool rather than a secondary confirmation metric. The key to avoiding mistakes is to use OI together with price action, volume, volatility, and overall market context. Understanding that OI represents participation—not direction—helps traders avoid false assumptions and make better-informed decisions.
Top-Performing Companies Across Different PLI CategoriesElectronics and Semiconductor Sector
The electronics and semiconductor sector is one of the most significant beneficiaries of the PLI scheme. India’s ambition to become a global electronics manufacturing hub has seen major players expand operations under the scheme.
Key Performing Companies:
Foxconn India: A global contract manufacturer, Foxconn has leveraged PLI incentives to expand smartphone assembly lines and component production in India, catering to both domestic demand and exports.
Wistron and Pegatron: These Taiwanese companies have aggressively increased manufacturing capacities, focusing on consumer electronics such as smartphones and laptops.
Lava International and Micromax: Indian brands have utilized PLI support to enhance their supply chains, localize manufacturing, and remain competitive against international players.
These companies have shown exceptional growth in production volumes and employment generation, highlighting the success of PLI in promoting electronics manufacturing.
Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices
The pharmaceuticals and medical devices sector is a critical area of focus under the PLI scheme, especially in light of global demand for affordable and high-quality healthcare products.
Top Performers:
Sun Pharma: Leveraging PLI benefits, Sun Pharma has expanded its manufacturing of critical APIs (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients) to meet both domestic and international demand.
Cipla and Lupin: These companies have enhanced production capacities in high-demand therapeutic segments such as cardiovascular, anti-infectives, and diabetes medications.
Trivitron Healthcare: A key player in medical devices, Trivitron has scaled up production of diagnostic and surgical equipment, supported by PLI incentives.
These companies’ performance demonstrates the PLI scheme’s potential in enhancing India’s self-reliance in healthcare and reducing dependence on imports.
Automobile and Auto Components
The PLI scheme has also targeted the automotive sector, particularly electric vehicles (EVs) and advanced automotive components.
Leading Companies:
Tata Motors: With a focus on EV production, Tata Motors has utilized PLI incentives to expand EV manufacturing, batteries, and related components.
Mahindra Electric: Mahindra Electric has capitalized on PLI support to boost EV innovation and production, aiming to increase domestic adoption.
Bosch India: As a leading auto components manufacturer, Bosch has invested in next-generation automotive technologies including EV systems, sensors, and power electronics.
These companies are not only benefiting from financial incentives but are also driving India’s transition to sustainable mobility and smart automotive solutions.
Textiles and Apparel
The textiles and apparel sector has seen a transformative impact under the PLI scheme, especially in enhancing value addition and export competitiveness.
Top Performing Companies:
Arvind Ltd: A leader in textiles, Arvind has leveraged PLI incentives to scale up high-end apparel production and integrate advanced technologies.
Welspun India: Focused on home textiles and high-quality fabrics, Welspun has expanded production capacities and strengthened its export footprint.
Raymond Ltd: With investments in innovative textiles and premium apparel, Raymond has utilized PLI support to modernize operations and maintain market leadership.
These companies illustrate how PLI incentives are fostering quality enhancement, higher employment, and export growth in India’s textile industry.
Food Processing Industry
The PLI scheme aims to boost India’s food processing sector, which has enormous potential due to the country’s agricultural base.
High Performers:
Amul (Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation): Amul has expanded value-added dairy production with PLI support, ensuring higher efficiency and export readiness.
ITC Ltd: ITC has leveraged the PLI scheme to enhance processed food production, particularly ready-to-eat and packaged goods, for both domestic and international markets.
Parle Agro: PLI incentives have helped Parle Agro scale production lines for beverages and packaged foods, enhancing competitiveness and market share.
These companies demonstrate the PLI scheme’s ability to strengthen India’s food processing ecosystem, reduce wastage, and promote global competitiveness.
Advanced Chemistry Cell (ACC) and Battery Manufacturing
The rise of EVs and renewable energy has increased demand for advanced batteries. The ACC and battery manufacturing category under PLI aims to establish India as a hub for battery production.
Leading Companies:
Exide Industries: Exide has expanded lithium-ion and lead-acid battery manufacturing, leveraging PLI incentives to modernize plants and boost capacity.
Amara Raja Batteries: Focused on automotive and stationary energy storage solutions, Amara Raja has invested in R&D and production expansion.
Tata Chemicals: Diversifying into advanced battery materials, Tata Chemicals has used PLI support to strengthen supply chains for lithium and other key materials.
These investments are critical for India’s EV ambitions and energy transition goals.
Impact on Employment and Exports
The companies benefiting from the PLI scheme have not only scaled production but also created significant employment opportunities. Manufacturing facilities often require skilled and semi-skilled labor, providing job creation in tier-2 and tier-3 cities. Moreover, enhanced production capacities have boosted exports, enabling India to compete with global players in sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, textiles, and EV batteries.
Challenges and Future Outlook
Despite strong performance, companies face challenges such as supply chain constraints, competition from global manufacturers, and technology gaps. However, continued PLI support, combined with strategic investments, can help overcome these hurdles.
Looking ahead, sectors like electronics, EVs, advanced batteries, and pharmaceuticals are expected to continue leading under the PLI scheme. Companies that invest in innovation, technology localization, and skill development will likely emerge as the most successful beneficiaries.
Conclusion
The PLI scheme has been a game-changer for India’s manufacturing ecosystem, with top-performing companies across various sectors demonstrating its potential. From electronics and pharmaceuticals to automotive, textiles, and food processing, PLI incentives have enabled companies to scale production, enhance exports, and create employment. Companies like Foxconn, Sun Pharma, Tata Motors, Arvind Ltd, and Amul exemplify the transformative impact of the scheme. As India continues to focus on self-reliance and global competitiveness, the PLI scheme will remain a crucial driver of industrial growth and economic development.
Advanced Trading Methods 1. Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTFA)
One of the most powerful advanced methods is multi-timeframe analysis. Instead of relying on a single chart, traders study the market on higher and lower timeframes simultaneously. Higher timeframes reveal the dominant trend, while lower timeframes help identify precise entries and exits.
For example:
Weekly chart → Determines long-term trend direction.
Daily chart → Confirms momentum and key levels.
Hourly chart → Provides exact entry zones.
Professional traders avoid fighting the higher-timeframe trend. MTFA blends strategic vision with tactical timing, reducing false signals and increasing trade accuracy.
2. Order Flow and Volume Profile Trading
Order flow analysis helps traders “see behind the candles.” It focuses on:
Market orders
Limit orders
Bid-ask imbalances
Liquidity pockets
Stop-run zones
The Volume Profile is a cornerstone of order-flow trading. It shows where the highest and lowest trading activity occurred at specific price levels. Key concepts include:
Value Area High (VAH)
Value Area Low (VAL)
Point of Control (POC)
These levels act as strong magnets for price, often defining areas of trend continuation, breakout, or reversal. Traders use this method to avoid low-probability trades and focus on areas of institutional interest.
3. Algorithmic and Quantitative Trading
Advanced traders increasingly rely on algorithms and quantitative models. These systems remove emotion, reduce human error, and allow rapid execution based on predefined rules.
Key components of algo-trading include:
Statistical modeling
Backtesting and optimization
Automated pattern recognition
High-frequency execution
Machine learning models
Popular strategies in quant trading:
Mean reversion
Statistical arbitrage
Momentum trading
Pairs trading
Volatility-based systems
These methods require programming knowledge, access to data feeds, and robust risk controls, but they provide exceptional consistency when executed properly.
4. Harmonic and Pattern-Based Trading
Advanced traders often use harmonic patterns based on Fibonacci ratios to predict high-probability reversal points. These include:
Gartley
Butterfly
Bat
Crab
Cypher
Each pattern represents a specific geometric structure in price action. Traders use them to forecast potential turning zones, also called PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Combined with support/resistance and volume, harmonic patterns identify precise entries with tight stop-losses.
5. Advanced Options Strategies
Options trading opens the door to several sophisticated strategies that allow traders to profit from directional, neutral, or volatility-based market conditions.
Popular advanced strategies:
Iron Condor (range-bound income generation)
Butterfly Spread (low-cost directional bets)
Calendar Spread (time decay advantage)
Straddle/Strangle (volatility breakouts)
Ratio Spreads (controlled risk with enhanced reward)
Options also allow hedging, portfolio insurance, and income generation techniques unavailable in simple stock trading.
6. Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
SMC is an advanced methodology based on institutional trading behavior. It focuses on liquidity, manipulation, and market structure rather than indicators.
Core elements include:
Break of Structure (BOS)
Change of Character (ChoCH)
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Liquidity Pools
Order Blocks
These concepts teach traders why price moves, not just how. SMC traders aim to enter at institutional footprints and ride moves driven by large capital flows.
7. Advanced Risk and Money Management Models
The best trading method fails without proper risk control. Professional traders apply mathematical risk models such as:
a. Kelly Criterion
Determines optimal position size to maximize long-term growth while controlling drawdowns.
b. Value-at-Risk (VaR)
Estimates the maximum expected loss under normal market conditions.
c. Risk-to-Reward Optimization
Ensures trades have statistically favorable outcomes.
d. Portfolio Correlation Analysis
Prevents over-exposure to highly correlated trades.
Advanced money management prioritizes capital preservation, knowing that survival in the market leads to long-term profitability.
8. Sentiment Analysis and Behavioral Trading
Market sentiment often drives price more than fundamental or technical factors. Advanced traders incorporate sentiment indicators such as:
Commitment of Traders Report (COT)
Fear & Greed Index
Options put-call ratio
Social media analytics (especially in crypto)
Institutional positioning data
They also apply behavioral finance concepts like herd mentality, confirmation bias, loss aversion, and overconfidence to anticipate irrational price moves driven by emotions.
9. News-Based and Event-Driven Trading
Institutional traders rely heavily on event-driven strategies. These include:
Trading earnings reports
Central bank announcements
Budget releases
Geopolitical events
Economic indicators (CPI, GDP, PMI, unemployment)
Volatility during news events creates large opportunities but also increased risk. Advanced traders use:
Straddles/strangles for volatility spikes
Pre-positioning based on expected outcomes
Quick scalps during liquidity surges
To manage risk, they may use hedging or dynamic stop-losses.
10. Arbitrage and Market Inefficiency Exploitation
Arbitrage involves profiting from price discrepancies in different markets. Types include:
Spatial arbitrage (different exchanges)
Cross-asset arbitrage (related securities)
Triangular arbitrage (forex mispricing)
Index arbitrage (index vs futures price gap)
Although often used by high-frequency firms, some opportunities still exist for well-equipped retail traders.
11. Advanced Technical Indicators and Custom Models
Professional traders often build custom indicators to fit their strategies. Examples include:
Multi-layer moving averages
Adaptive RSI
Market regime filters
Volatility-adjusted ATR stops
Custom tools enhance accuracy and reduce signal noise, helping traders align with the market environment.
12. Trading Psychology Mastery
The most advanced trading method is internal: psychological discipline. Elite traders maintain:
Emotional neutrality
Patience
Consistency
Rule-based execution
Non-reactiveness during volatility
Methods like journaling, meditation, and simulation trading help strengthen emotional control, turning mindset into a competitive advantage.
Conclusion
Advanced trading methods combine technology, mathematics, psychology, and market structure to produce a powerful and systematic approach to trading. Whether through algorithmic systems, order flow analysis, SMC, options strategies, arbitrage, or multi-timeframe technicals, the goal remains the same: to trade with precision, discipline, and statistical edge. Mastering these methods elevates a trader from basic decision-making to professional-grade execution, increasing profitability and long-term consistency.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 28/11/2025Hello my friends, let’s update the Elliott Wave analysis on Gold together to see how the wave development may unfold today.
1. Momentum
Momentum D1
D1 momentum is currently contracting. We need to wait for a strong bearish daily close to confirm a momentum reversal. Once confirmed, the market may enter a downward phase lasting 4–5 days.
Momentum H4
H4 momentum is also narrowing, suggesting a potential short-term downside reversal. However, note the following:
• Price highs and momentum highs are forming higher highs and higher lows, which still supports the bullish structure.
• If H4 momentum truly reverses and moves into the oversold zone, price must break below 4142 to confirm a structural break and signal a genuine trend reversal.
Momentum H1
H1 momentum is turning downward and is aligned with H4. I expect the current price area to be the potential wave top.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
Wave Structure D1
The D1 wave structure remains unchanged. With D1 momentum still converging, price action continues to show slow upward movement.
• If price breaks above 4243, the 5-wave structure of the purple Y wave is invalidated.
• In that case, a different wave structure will be triggered (as mentioned in the previous plan), and I will update you when it occurs.
Wave Structure H4
We continue to follow the green ABC corrective structure, with price currently in wave C (green).
• As H4 momentum is in the overbought zone, I expect the current region to be the top of wave C.
• If H4 momentum dips into the oversold zone and price breaks below 4142, this will confirm a structural breakdown.
• However, if momentum enters oversold while price stays above 4142, we must be prepared for a continued bullish move.
Wave Structure H1
Yesterday, the RSI on H1 showed divergence, suggesting a possible completion of wave C. However, with the additional push during the Asian session, wave C likely extended further. Price is now at the target zone calculated earlier.
• With D1, H4, and H1 momentum all preparing to reverse, I expect the current price zone to be the top of wave C.
________________________________________
3. Trading Plan
The current price region remains our preferred SELL zone.
During the next H4 momentum cycle:
• If momentum enters the oversold zone but price fails to break below 4142, we should consider exiting early to protect capital.
Trade Setup
• Sell Zone: 4187 – 4190
• Stop Loss (SL): 4210
• TP1: 4158
• TP2: 4112
• TP3: 4081
ADANIENT - Eying 2700 on this corrective rise?
TF: Daily
CMP: 2462
From the lows at 1964, The swings are overlapping, making it a corrective move/structure overall.
This leg appears to be the Y wave up in the corrective WXY rise and could potentially reach 2700-2750 levels. Just so you know/observe, The zone also happens to be the confluence of the unfilled GAP area.
IN the shorter TF, the price is about to complete it's A wave and one can wait for the B wave to end in order to initiate a trade for the C wave rise.
Shorter TF counts are marked below for better understanding.
Just because the price is expected to reverse, don't try to take a short trade.. B waves are to be avoided at best.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Rising wedge patternA leading diagonal is a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern that occurs at the beginning of a trend, found in wave 1 or A, and signals a continuation of the trend. It differs from an impulse wave by having a 5-3-5-3-5 internal structure and features the overlap of waves 4 and 1. Leading diagonals appear as converging wedge shapes and can be either contracting or expanding.
Best Timeframes for Candle PatternsCommon Mistakes Traders Make
Relying only on candle patterns without context
Trading patterns blindly without trend confirmation
Not waiting for candle close
Ignoring volume
Forcing patterns where there are none
Using too many candlestick rules
Candlestick patterns should be signals, not guarantees.
SRF 1 Day Time Frame ✅ Current context
According to public price data, SRF’s recent high for the day is ~ ₹ 2,933, low ~ ₹ 2,836.80.
As per a technical‑analysis summary: moving averages (short-to-medium term) and oscillators on daily timeframe show a bullish bias (Strong Buy on many signals).
🎯 How to interpret / trade with these levels
As long as price stays above Pivot (~₹ 2,866), bias remains mildly bullish — look for R1 → R2 → R3 as possible targets.
If momentum is strong (volume + positive broader market), a break above R2 (~₹ 2,920) could push toward R3 (~₹ 2,933–2,937+).
On downside, supports at ₹ 2,811.93 → ₹ 2,783.87 → ₹ 2,757.73 are key — loss of S1 may open S2/S3.
For conservative traders: good entry or add-on zones could be near S1 or pivot, with stop‑loss a little below S2/S3 depending on risk tolerance.
⚠️ Important caveats
These are static pivot-based levels, and real market moves may overshoot or not respect them depending on news, volume, macro‑market sentiment.
Given volatility (as seen in day’s high-low range), levels above R2 or below S2 can get tested — intraday discipline (stop-loss, position sizing) is crucial.
Always watch volume, overall index trend (Nifty/Sensex), sector news — technical levels work better when confirmed by context.
MFSL 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Key Price / Recent Performance
Recent close: ~₹1,736.70.
52‑week high ≈ ₹1,751.40; 52‑week low ≈ ₹950.00.
Over the past 1 month, MFSL is up by roughly 8 – 9 %.
According to recent technical‑level analyses:
Level Price (INR)
Support 1 (near‑term) ~₹1,677.8 – ₹1,678.0
Support 2 ~₹1,645 – ₹1,657.6
Support 3 / lower band ~₹1,621.9
Pivot / Recent support‑resistance zone ~₹1,731 – ₹1,735
Resistance 1 (near‑term) ~₹1,742.9 – ₹1,750
Resistance 2 / Upper band ~₹1,772 – ₹1,828 (medium‑term / next resistance zone)
On a daily pivot‑point basis, according to one screener, MFSL is currently trading above the “Camarilla R2,” indicating bullish intraday bias.
From trend perspective: 20‑day, 50‑day, 100‑day, and 200‑day moving averages are all below the current price — a bullish structural sign.






















