12 August 2025 Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval
📊 Key Levels & Trade View
24,690 –
Above 10m close: Short Cover Level (CE bullish momentum)
Below 10m: Hold PE in safe zone.
24,523 –
Above 10m: CE buy (entry level)
Below 10m: PE hold (risky zone).
24,423 –
Above 10m: Positive trade view.
Below 10m: Negative trade view.
24,310 –
Above Opening S1: Hold CE.
Below Opening R1: Hold PE.
24,173 (Fib 0.382 Support) –
Watch for reversal or breakdown.
24,110 –
Above 10m: CE buy level.
Below 10m: PE buy level.
23,990 –
Above 10m: CE safe zone level.
Below 10m: Unwinding zone (bearish).
23,711 (Fib 0.5 Support) –
Strong support; breakdown could extend selling.
💡 Trading Bias for Today
Bullish above 24,423 with targets 24,523 → 24,690.
Bearish below 24,310 with targets 24,173 → 24,110 → 23,990.
Avoid trading in between 24,310–24,423 unless there’s strong momentum
Wave Analysis
From Breakdown to Structure: A Tale of Two Timeframes📊 Left Chart – Weekly Timeframe (WTF)
Price shifted from a series of lower highs/lows to forming a W-bottom entirely below the 200 & 50 EMA. Post-recovery, it moved into a channel consolidation, held by a green ascending support and capped by a green counter-trendline, creating a clean geometric structure.
📈 Right Chart – Monthly Timeframe (MTF)
A broader view reveals multi-fold hindrances, with red & orange trendlines marking a multi-year counter-trend. Each upside push faces historical resistance near the supply zone.
📝 Editorial Note:
Not a forecast — simply a snapshot of evolving structure from compressed weekly action to obstacle-heavy monthly context.
Gold analysisGold Weekly + Daily Summary
Weekly: Trend bullish. Main buy zone is 3352–3358 (demand + FVG). If reached, high-probability long.
Daily: Price under supply 3408–3415. If rejected, first drop target is 3386.
If 3386 breaks → likely move into weekly buy zone 3352–3358 before rally.
Overall: Watch 3408–3415 for rejection. 3386 is short-term key. Weekly zone is the bigger swing long area.
#Gujgasltd Elliott Wave Count Signals Potential Final Leg LowerBased on the 4-hour Elliott Wave analysis, Gujarat Gas appears to be in the final stages of a corrective Wave iv within a larger downtrend. The current price action suggests completion of an A-B-C structure for Wave iv, with the “c” wave nearing its top. If the count holds, the stock may soon resume its decline into Wave v, targeting lower lows before a potential trend reversal. Traders should watch for signs of weakness near current resistance to confirm the bearish continuation.
$HUMA 1Hr – Deep Technical Outlook NASDAQ:HUMA 1Hr – Deep Technical Outlook
Price is moving in a well-defined Elliott Wave impulsive sequence, with the current price action suggesting it’s in Wave (4) correction, preparing for a potential Wave (5) rally.
Wave Count Analysis
Wave (1): Strong initial impulse with aggressive volume surge, breaking previous short-term resistance.
Wave (2): Retracement found support near prior breakout zone, indicating healthy profit-taking rather than trend reversal.
Wave (3): The strongest leg so far, with sustained green candles and minimal pullbacks, confirming bullish momentum.
Wave (4): Current phase, retracing to 0.03544 (Fibonacci 0.434 level) – a typical corrective depth for impulsive rallies.
🔹Support Zone: 0.0350–0.0354 remains the critical floor for bullish continuation.
🔸Resistance Levels:
Minor resistance at 0.0384 (previous high of Wave 3).
Major targets for Wave (5): 0.03986 (Fib 1.0) and 0.04259 (Fib 1.618).
Candle Structure: Currently forming smaller-bodied candles after a steep drop, indicating seller exhaustion at support.
Probable Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Case (High Probability) – Price bounces from current zone → Breaks 0.0384 → Extends toward 0.0398–0.0425.
2️⃣ Bearish Case (Low Probability) – Failure to hold 0.0350 could drag price toward 0.0330 support before another rally attempt.
NASDAQ:HUMA is in a bullish continuation pattern, provided the 0.0350–0.0354 range holds. #HumaFinance Traders may watch for breakout confirmation above 0.0384 for strong upside momentum.
GBPJPY GJ is continuing its decline and is approaching a key demand zone around 194.800, which previously initiated bullish order flow.
I’ll definitely be monitoring this area closely for potential buy setups, as I’m anticipating a possible retracement. As always, confirmation will come from observing the 15-minute structure—once that aligns, I’ll adapt accordingly.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025
1. Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum lines are still overlapping without a confirmed reversal signal. This suggests that a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, indicating that prices may continue to climb during the Asian session tomorrow.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also rising, further supporting the expectation of continued upside movement in the Asian session.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure Analysis
• Current price action is overlapping, reinforcing the hypothesis that an ending diagonal is forming.
• This structure could either be part of Wave 5 (black) or Wave C (black). In both cases, it represents an ending diagonal 12345, with the market currently in Wave 4 (blue).
• Confirmation signal: A sharp and steep decline will confirm the ending diagonal — as mentioned in previous plans, this has not yet occurred.
• The projected completion targets are at 3412 or 3419. If the price breaks 3439, it will likely confirm the completion of Wave 5 (black).
________________________________________
3. Possible Scenarios
• Scenario 1: If the current move is part of a 5-wave 12345 black structure, once Wave 5 completes, a corrective ABC 3-wave decline could follow, targeting 3333.
• Scenario 2: If the current move is part of a 3-wave ABC black structure, once Wave C completes, a 5-wave bearish sequence could unfold, breaking below 3315.
________________________________________
4. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
Given that:
• D1 is in the overbought zone and could reverse within 1–2 days,
• H4 momentum is rising, and
• Price is likely in Wave 4 (blue),
→ On Monday, we may see one more upward push to complete Wave 5 (blue). This presents a potential SELL opportunity in the 3412–3419 target area.
Since this is a wide zone, it’s best to wait for clear reversal signals before entering.
________________________________________
5. Trade Plan
SELL ZONE 1: 3411 – 3413
• SL: 3416
• TP1: 3400
• TP2: 3381
• TP3: 3342
SELL ZONE 2: 3419 – 3421
• SL: 3429
• TP1: 3400
• TP2: 3381
• TP3: 3342
Nifty 30 min chart wave analysis Nifty 30 min char wave analysis
market trade in corrective phase on weekly chart 6 weeks continue in down wave.
I anticipate market should be reversal but sow me some reason or reversal sings
We will understand the market in as simple a way as possible. We should reverse from here but for that we should also see some reversal sings. Does any reversal sings occur on the lower time frame? Some reversal sings indicate its last piece of down wave in lower time frame. Let us study the last piece. It shows four waves and fifth wave missing. Let us try to find the end point of fifth wave. Where can this wave end? Using Fibonacci inversion, we should reverse from 1.27 to 1.618% area 24268- 24168. In this structure, the waves overlap each other, which we know that there is an ending diagonal in which the starting point of the next wave is which can go up to the starting of the ending diagonal.
Thank you
Disclaimer
I am not SEBI registered financial adviser, it is my personal research and posted for only educational purpose. Before taking any trade or investments please take advice from your financial adviser.
MKT Learner
Chalet Hotels - Exit
Chalet Hotels, part of the Nifty Smallcap 250 and a favourite stock in the hotel/tourism sector, appears to have completed Wave V of a larger degree on 30 Dec 2024.
Wave structure insights:
Wave (i) and Wave (iii) were equal in length (1:1), i.e. equality
Wave (v) extended to 1.618× the length of Wave (iii).
Within Wave (v), sub-waves i and iii were equal; sub-wave v ending near sub-wave iii’s price level.
The stock has been unfolding a flat corrective structure:
Wave (a) ended on 17 Feb 2025
Wave (b) ended on 28 Jul 2025 — both of similar length
If a regular flat corrective structure has to form, then Wave (c) is now in progress and should form a 5-wave downward move.
Minimum downside target: ₹664 (slightly beyond 1× of Wave (a) projected to Wave (c)) assuming regular flat.
Given this setup, price can remain sideways before turning lower.
Action: Exit long positions and wait for the corrective phase to complete before re-entering.
$PI – Wave 3 Peaked, Wave 4 in Sight NASDAQ:PI – Wave 3 Peaked, Wave 4 in Sight! 🚀
Price just smashed into 0.4447 after a massive Wave 3 rally 📈
Now, we’re likely entering a healthy Wave 4 pullback toward 0.3968 before the final blast in Wave 5! 💥
Support Zone: 0.40 – 0.3968 (Fib 0.5)
Breakout Trigger: Above 0.445 → Wave 5 ignition 🔥
This dip could be the golden reload before the next moon shot 🌕
Stay sharp, #PI traders – Wave 5 could surprise big! 🤑
BITGET:PIUSDT
$XRP is currently exhibiting a clean Elliott Wave structureCRYPTOCAP:XRP is currently exhibiting a clean Elliott Wave structure on the 1Hr chart
Waves (1)–(4) are already completed, with Wave (4) forming a healthy consolidation above the 3.25–3.30 zone.
Price has now begun shaping Wave (5), which is typically the final bullish push before a larger corrective phase.
Key Support: 3.30 → A structural pivot point; maintaining this zone keeps the bullish outlook intact.
Immediate Resistance: 3.40–3.45 → First breakout test for bulls.
Momentum Zone: Break & hold above 3.45 could attract fresh buyers, opening a path towards higher Fibonacci targets.
📊 Wave (5) Fibonacci Projections
0.618 Fib Extension: 3.44 → Short-term target, often tested first in Wave 5.
1.000 Fib Extension: 3.58 → Likely if breakout volume is strong.
1.618 Fib Extension: 3.82 → Extended target, usually hit if Wave 5 turns impulsive and market sentiment stays bullish.
🔸Failure to hold 3.30 could see price revisit 3.24–3.26, and breaking below 3.20 may signal Wave 5 truncation, shifting momentum back to sellers.
🔹Wave 5 is in motion. A decisive breakout above 3.45 with strong volume could propel XRP towards 3.58–3.82 in the coming sessions.
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
BTC SHORTTrade Plan:
Price is expected to extend towards the 117,800 resistance zone. Upon reaching this level, monitor for signs of exhaustion. A 15-minute bearish rejection candle will serve as confirmation for a potential reversal entry. Maintain patience and allow the candle to close before initiating any short positions.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 117,800
Confirmation: 15-minute rejection candle close
Bias: Short after confirmation
Note: Avoid premature entries; confirmation is critical to minimize false signals.
Retail Trading1. Introduction to Retail Trading
Retail trading refers to the buying and selling of financial instruments — such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and derivatives — by individual investors using their own money, typically through brokerage platforms or mobile trading apps.
These traders are not institutional players (like mutual funds, hedge funds, or banks); instead, they are everyday market participants — from a college student making their first stock purchase, to a part-time trader running a home-based portfolio.
Over the last decade, retail trading participation has exploded due to:
The rise of zero-commission brokers.
Easy access to online trading platforms.
The spread of financial knowledge via social media.
Increased interest in side income and wealth building.
Example: In India, the number of demat accounts jumped from ~4 crore in 2020 to over 15 crore in 2025, driven by new-age brokers like Zerodha, Upstox, and Groww.
2. Key Characteristics of Retail Trading
While retail trading shares many similarities with institutional trading, it has some distinct features:
Capital Size
Retail traders generally operate with smaller accounts — often ranging from a few thousand to a few lakh rupees (or dollars).
This limits their ability to take large positions, but also allows flexibility in decision-making.
Technology Dependence
Retail traders heavily rely on trading apps, desktop platforms, and charting tools for market analysis.
Information Sources
Unlike institutional traders with in-house research teams, retail traders depend on public news, broker reports, financial websites, and social media influencers.
Trading Goals
Some focus on short-term profits (day trading, scalping).
Others invest for long-term growth (buy-and-hold, SIP investing).
Risk Profile
Many retail traders take higher risks due to limited capital and the pursuit of quick returns, often leading to high volatility in performance.
3. Types of Retail Trading Approaches
Retail traders can adopt different strategies depending on risk appetite, time commitment, and market knowledge.
3.1. Intraday Trading
Holding Period: Seconds to hours.
Traders buy and sell within the same trading day.
Focused on capturing small price movements using technical analysis.
Requires high focus, fast execution, and strong risk control.
Example: Buying Reliance Industries in the morning at ₹2,500 and selling it by afternoon at ₹2,520 for quick profit.
3.2. Swing Trading
Holding Period: Days to weeks.
Aims to capture short-to-medium term market moves.
Uses both technical and fundamental analysis.
Lower stress than intraday but still requires active monitoring.
3.3. Position Trading
Holding Period: Weeks to months.
Based on broader trends and macroeconomic analysis.
Ideal for those who can’t watch markets daily.
3.4. Long-Term Investing
Holding Period: Years.
Based on fundamental strength of companies.
Example: Buying HDFC Bank and holding for 10 years.
3.5. Options & Futures Trading
Derivatives-based approach for hedging or speculation.
Offers leverage but increases risk of rapid losses.
Popular among advanced retail traders.
3.6. Algorithmic & Copy Trading
Using automated systems to execute trades.
Allows participation in markets without constant manual intervention.
4. Evolution of Retail Trading
Retail trading has changed dramatically over the decades:
Pre-2000s – Stock market participation required calling brokers, high commissions, and limited market data access.
2000–2010 – Internet-based trading platforms emerged, reducing costs.
2010–2020 – Mobile trading apps, discount brokers, and zero-commission models gained dominance.
2020–2025 – Explosion of social trading, fractional shares, and AI-driven analytics.
In India, discount brokers like Zerodha revolutionized retail trading by introducing:
Zero delivery charges
Flat brokerage
Advanced charting tools
5. Advantages of Retail Trading
Retail trading offers several benefits to individuals:
Accessibility
Anyone with a smartphone and internet connection can participate.
Low Entry Barrier
You can start with as little as ₹100 in mutual funds or ₹500–₹1,000 in direct stocks.
Flexibility
No fixed work hours — you can trade part-time.
Control
You make your own decisions without relying on fund managers.
Wealth Building
Long-term investing in quality stocks can generate significant returns.
6. Disadvantages & Challenges
While the potential rewards are high, retail trading also has pitfalls:
Emotional Trading
Many retail traders fall prey to fear and greed, exiting too early or chasing losses.
Limited Capital
Small accounts mean higher risk per trade if position sizing is not disciplined.
Lack of Research
Institutions have large research teams; retail traders must rely on self-study.
Overtrading
Constant buying and selling erodes capital through transaction costs.
Market Manipulation Exposure
Retail traders can be victims of pump-and-dump schemes.
7. Common Mistakes by Retail Traders
Chasing Hot Tips – Acting on rumors without verification.
Ignoring Risk Management – Trading without stop-loss orders.
Overusing Leverage – Borrowing too much can lead to rapid losses.
Poor Diversification – Putting all money into one stock or sector.
No Trading Plan – Entering trades without clear entry/exit rules.
8. Tools and Platforms for Retail Trading
8.1. Brokerage Platforms
Zerodha Kite
Upstox Pro
Groww
Angel One
ICICI Direct
8.2. Charting & Analysis Tools
TradingView
MetaTrader 4/5
Investing.com charts
8.3. News & Data Sources
Moneycontrol
Bloomberg
Economic Times Market Live
8.4. Risk Management Tools
Stop-loss orders
Position sizing calculators
Portfolio trackers
9. Risk Management in Retail Trading
Retail traders must protect their capital at all costs:
The 2% Rule – Never risk more than 2% of account size on a single trade.
Stop-Loss Orders – Pre-set levels to exit losing trades automatically.
Diversification – Spread investments across sectors.
Avoiding Leverage Abuse – Use leverage cautiously.
10. Psychology of Retail Trading
Trading success depends heavily on mental discipline:
Patience – Waiting for the right setup.
Discipline – Following your trading plan strictly.
Emotional Control – Avoid revenge trading after losses.
Adaptability – Adjusting to changing market conditions.
Conclusion
Retail trading is no longer a niche — it’s a massive, growing force in global markets.
While it offers incredible opportunities for wealth creation, it also demands discipline, risk management, and continuous learning.
The modern retail trader has more tools, more access, and more market influence than ever before. However, success still boils down to the age-old principles:
Trade with a plan.
Manage risk religiously.
Keep emotions in check.
Stay updated with market trends.
Part11 Trading MasterclassHow Options Work
Let’s break this down with an example.
Call Option Example:
You buy a call option on Stock A with a strike price of ₹100, paying a premium of ₹5. If the stock price rises to ₹120, you can buy it for ₹100 and sell it for ₹120—earning a ₹20 profit per share, minus the ₹5 premium, netting ₹15.
If the stock stays below ₹100, you simply let the option expire. Your loss is limited to the ₹5 premium.
Put Option Example:
You buy a put option on Stock A with a strike price of ₹100, paying a ₹5 premium. If the stock falls to ₹80, you can sell it for ₹100—earning ₹20, minus ₹5 premium = ₹15 profit.
If the stock stays above ₹100, the option expires worthless. Again, your loss is limited to ₹5.
Why Trade Options?
A. Leverage
Options require a smaller initial investment compared to buying stocks, but they can offer significant returns.
B. Risk Management (Hedging)
Options can hedge against downside risk. For example, if you own shares, buying a put option can protect you against losses if the price falls.
C. Income Generation
Writing (selling) options like covered calls can generate consistent income.
D. Strategic Flexibility
You can profit in bullish, bearish, or neutral markets using different strategies.
IHG monthly trendline breakoutThis is a monthly trend line breakout coming out of Intercontinental hotels group.
Good part supporting from fundamental respect it’s one of the company based in UK and due to lower valuation in UK economy. This global level company has been valued very low so far so you can expect some boomer out here.
When we have look at monthly candles you can see probably some results in like 2 to 3 years, it will not be anyway immediate
Torrent Pharma to touch 3100 again ?Torrent Pharma is in corrective phase for a while. This correction is not going to end anytime soon, however we still have opportunity to make some money here.
Currently on the Daily chart its in complex correction in which we have already completed Wave W, what's left is Wave X and Wave Y. Once we are good with the completion of wave X then expect it to unfold in a-b-c which will be part of wave Y.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered member, this is only for educational purpose only.
Sell the rally HUDCO CMP 208
I have posted the weakness in this counter many a times. Here is the road map.
Elliott - this is the C wave downfall. The minimum tgt for this is at 163. In my view it will fall more. The current fall should halt at 202 from where a three wave rally should take it to 218. This is an example of how the fourth waves tend to cluster together. I will want to sell this rally to 218 as the correction will take it down to 183. This will be a good 16% and will come in quick time.
Conclusion - see how the box on the right and the first fib zone on the left both end at 183. Diff zones and methods have been used, but the result is the same.
INTU next target around 850 once correction is overINTU has been correcting after finishing an Impulse sub wave.
It will end the correction in the Price band of 745-715.
Why such a big Price band to end the correction ?
Because it has to correct till 4th wave of earlier sub wave
and or resolve technical divergence with the price and RSI so the large band.
How can we trade then for a target of 850 ?
Wait for the price to enter the correction band of 745-715, the price may for the pattern as indicated by Yellow 1-2-3-4-5 wave pointing downwards.,
Wait for good candle stick formation in this band, like morning star pattern, pin bar+bullish candle or piercing candle pattern, now combine this with minimum back to back two positive divergences in RSI with price, entry should be with all condition met so that you are in high probability party., or any of the entry principles one has already developed and practicing.,
How to know if the current rise is impulsive or part of bigger B after entry is made with conditions met?
Once entered, if you can inspect in lower time frame to see if its impulsive(Elliott Wave impulsive pattern), then it is confirmed that price is impulsive towards the target, else one can exit with some profits., and again wait for the price to enter the band and enter with above said conditions.,
How much time it will take for correction to get over and target to reach ?
Time calculation is not part of this view , so the whole thing may take few weeks to couple of months to play out!
PS: This view is fundamental agnostic and it is price action view with Elliott Wave theory applied.,
I will make best efforts to call out if the rise is impulsive or not.,
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – August 10, 2025In the August 10th idea I’m sharing today, I would like to focus on the bearish perspective.
As a swing trader, I am not particularly tied to the major trend, but I believe that this decline is meaningful enough within the short time frame, and I would like to share this perspective with you.
The main bases used in this idea are as follows:
-Harmonic 1.902 Crab Pattern
-Traditional ratio relationships in Elliott Wave Theory (1.618)
-Full Fibonacci 0.618 retracement
Based on this, I have set the average target price at approximately 114,500 USDT.
As time goes by, I plan to add more specific drawings to support this idea so that you can understand it more easily, and if the target price is reached, I will also share the entry price and take-profit price for your reference.
Thank you very much for reading,
and I sincerely wish you an overwhelming amount of strong luck.
Thank you.
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – August 10, 2025In this idea, I would like to present a bearish perspective on Ethereum.
This perspective was derived based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
Until this pattern is confirmed, I have been continuously tracking the Elliott Waves and adding reasons for the bearish scenario one by one.
As a result, I have concluded that the next major move is likely to be downward, and while searching for a specific entry point, I detected the recent trendline break.
If this wave is clearly confirmed, I believe there is a high possibility of a decline to around the average take-profit level of 3763 USDT without much difficulty, and therefore, I am considering entering a short position.
All the details have been drawn on the chart, so please refer to it.
Thank you very much for reading, and as time goes by and the chart becomes clearer, I will continue to update this idea accordingly.
Thank you.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 8, 2025📊
🔍 Momentum
• D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently turning down, limiting the potential for a long-term rally in the current bullish wave. This also suggests that the top may already have formed around the 3,409 level.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and needs about one more H4 candle to reverse upward. For now, the downward move is likely to continue, so caution is advised.
• H1 Timeframe: Showing early signs of a short-term bearish reversal. This decline is important and will be analyzed further after the wave structure review.
🌀 Wave Structure
The current price action suggests a potential Ending Diagonal formation. Once completed, this pattern is typically followed by a sharp and sudden drop.
So far, no sharp decline has occurred, meaning the ending diagonal may not be finished yet. The ideal completion zones for Wave 5 are around 3412 or 3419.
Ending diagonals tend to develop in a complex manner, so a safer approach is to enter trades after price breaks below the lower boundary of the diagonal.
👉 Additional Scenario: If H1 momentum reverses downward and price breaks below 3381, it is likely to drop toward 3371. This area could be considered for a Buy setup.
Conversely, if price does not break below 3381 and instead rises toward 3412, it may indicate that Wave 5 is completing at that level.
📈 Trading Plan
• SELL Zone 1: 3412 – 3414
o SL: 3417
o TP1: 3393
o TP2: 3372
• SELL Zone 2: 3419 – 3421
o SL: 3429
o TP1: 3395
o TP2: 3372