Bitcoin Long-Term Channel Analysis | BTCUSD to $163K Target |Bitcoin is currently respecting a multi-year ascending channel on the weekly chart. The price recently touched the lower trendline support, suggesting that the long-term structure is still intact.
This setup highlights a classic “higher highs and higher lows” pattern within the parallel channel, showing that BTC continues to follow its historical rhythm of expansion and correction phases.
Observations :
• Channel support: around $90,000 – $95,000 zone
• Channel resistance: projected near $160,000 – $165,000
• 200 EMA on the weekly chart near $66,000 providing long-term trend support
• RSI showing signs of recovery from the mid-zone
Technical Outlook:
If Bitcoin maintains the current channel support and forms a bullish reversal candle on the weekly close, the next leg of the rally could target $160K+ within the same channel structure.
Invalidation occurs on a confirmed weekly close below $90K, which would signal a potential trend shift.
Market Sentiment : Bullish (Long-Term)
Timeframe: Weekly
Style: Positional / Long-Term Analysis
Disclaimer: This is a personal technical view for educational purposes, not financial advice.
Wave Analysis
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone.
🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment.
🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30).
🌐 Macro Context
The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin.
The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View)
Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones.
Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone.
🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point.
If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
INDHOTEL - Time to end correction & make a new ATH?CMP: 720.8
TF: 75 Minutes
As you can see and observe, the price has been in corrective mode from the highs at 894.9 since Dec 2024 and the correction has lasted for almost a year now
The correction looks complex (and I am marking it as WXY for now)
The price is now at the final stages of the Y leg (and the counts are marked in the chart for better understanding)
The has completed A and B legs of the Y wave and the final C is playing out.
In the final C leg down, price has completed 1,2,3 waves and 4th corrective rise is playing out.
We could most likely make one more low and/or equal/truncated low at around 660-680 levels in the coming days
ALT View:
The invalidation level for this 4th wave is 740 (if we break above, then we can assume that the correction is complete and the price is heading higher.
Here is the weekly chart with counts in larger degree.
In the monthly chart below, the price is closer to the demand zone marked herein. This demand zone holds as a strong support as long as the 650 zone is protected
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Sensex 1 Week Time Frame 🔍 Current Positioning
The index is currently trading in the ~ ₹84,500 zone.
Its 52-week high is around ₹85,290 and 52-week low is around ₹71,425.
On a weekly basis it has shown modest upward movement (~1–2 %) in the last week.
📏 Key Levels to Watch (Weekly)
Here are approximate levels to monitor for structure, support/resistance and trading bias:
Resistance zone: ~ ₹85,500–₹86,000 — near the recent highs and potential supply area.
Pivot / mid-zone: ~ ₹84,000–₹84,500 — where the index is currently hovering; acts as short-term equilibrium.
Initial support zone: ~ ₹83,000–₹83,500 — if weekly closes dip below this, risk of deeper correction increases.
Deeper support zone: ~ ₹80,000–₹81,000 — a major support on weekly view, if structure breaks lower.
📊 Weekly Structure & Bias
Because the index is near the highs, the weekly structure suggests caution: upside potential exists, but risk of consolidation or pull-back is higher given the proximity to resistance.
If we see a weekly close above ~₹85,500 with strong momentum, the bullish bias gains strength.
Conversely, a weekly break and close below ~₹83,000 would tilt structure towards a corrective phase and shift bias more neutral to bearish.
At present, the bias is moderately bullish but conditioned on support holding (i.e., above ~₹83K zone).
UNOMINDA 1 Day Time Frame 🔍 Current Price & Range
Last close: ~ ₹1,307.20.
Day range: ~ ₹1,290.05 (Low) → ₹1,311.05 (High).
VWAP: ~ ₹1,302.08.
✅ How to use these levels
If price holds above ₹1,290 and moves upward past ₹1,311 with volume, then a move toward ₹1,330-₹1,340 becomes plausible.
If price breaks below ₹1,290 on strong volume, watch for decline toward ~ ₹1,280 or worse.
Use stop-losses and manage risk, especially since the stock is trading near its 52-week high (~ ₹1,382) which may create stronger resistance.
AI Trading Secrets and the Indian Psychology Trading Era1. The Rise of AI Trading: Invisible Machines Behind Every Move
AI trading refers to the use of machine learning models, predictive algorithms, neural networks, and automation to make trading decisions. These systems process data far beyond human capability — from price movements and volatility to sentiment and macro signals. The real secret of AI trading is that it doesn’t just “see data”; it learns from historical patterns and adapts to real-time conditions.
AI Trading Secret #1: Feature Engineering Is More Important Than Models
Most people think AI magic lies in fancy models. But in reality, the quality of input data (“features”) determines how good the prediction is. Smart AI traders know how to extract features like:
Volume clusters
Volatility squeeze signals
Order book buildup
High-frequency momentum micro-patterns
These allow AI systems to predict not the “future market”, but the probability of short-term moves.
AI Trading Secret #2: AI Does Not Predict — It Works on Probability Mapping
AI systems calculate probability zones. For example:
68% probability: NIFTY may stay within a certain band
55% probability: a breakout may occur
72% probability: volume expansion confirms momentum
This probabilistic thinking makes AI far more disciplined and emotion-free compared to human traders.
AI Trading Secret #3: Alternative Data Is the True Edge
Modern AI traders are not limited to charts. They read “unseen data,” including:
Social media sentiment
Google Trends
WhatsApp retail buzz
FII/DII trading micro-behaviour
Global ETF flow patterns
Options chain clustering
This alternative data gives AI a big advantage — early detection of shifts that humans take hours or days to notice.
AI Trading Secret #4: Automation Protects You From Human Weakness
AI never:
Overtrades
Gets greedy
Averages blindly
Seeks revenge trades
Breaks rules
This discipline alone gives AI traders a massive edge.
AI Trading Secret #5: AI’s Final Power — Backtesting + Optimization
AI systems test thousands of scenarios:
Different stop losses
Different entries/exits
Different indicators
Different position sizing rules
This creates strategies that are mathematically optimized rather than emotionally guessed.
2. Indian Psychology Trading Era: A New Mindset Born After 2020
India has seen a trading revolution after COVID. Nearly 10+ crore retail traders entered the market. But what makes Indian trading psychology unique?
2A. India’s Retail Trader Behaviour: Emotional Yet Evolving
Indian traders historically operated on:
Tips
WhatsApp calls
Penny stocks
Rumours
Overconfidence
But after 2020, a shift began — more awareness, YouTube learning, Algo tools, and community learning transformed the mindset.
Psychology Trend #1: Hope-Based Trading to Data-Based Trading
Earlier:
People traded based on “feeling Nifty will go up.”
Now:
People analyse:
OI data
PCR
Volume profile
Institutional flow
This marks the birth of the Indian Data-Driven Retail Era.
Psychology Trend #2: From Heroic Trading to Systematic Trading
Earlier:
“Bhai, full margin laga do, kal upper circuit jayega!”
Now:
Traders prefer:
Swing + risk-reward
Stop-loss
Algo automation
Hedged option strategies
The ego of “catching tops and bottoms” is slowly dying.
Psychology Trend #3: Options Mania Changed Behaviour
Indians love leverage. Options gave them:
Low capital
High ROI possibility
Fast trading cycles
This created both growth and chaos. But now traders are learning:
Sell-side edges
Premium decay
IV crush
Weekly expiry psychology
This learning curve is transforming the Indian retail community into a more sophisticated force.
3. Blending AI With Indian Psychology: The New Era of Smart Retail
This is where the magic happens. When AI meets Indian trading psychology, three powerful shifts occur:
Shift #1: AI Reduces Emotional Mistakes of Indian Traders
Indian traders struggle with:
Fear of missing out (FOMO)
Holding losers
Exiting winners early
Overtrading for “thrill”
AI solves these with:
Rule-based systems
Automatic execution
Pre-fixed risk management
Objective signals
Disciplined execution removes 80% emotional damage.
Shift #2: Indian Traders Bring Intuition AI Cannot See
AI understands data, but not “political sentiment,” budget buzz, or Indian-style retail behaviour. Indian traders understand:
Election season moves
Dubbed “operator activity”
Midcap burst cycles
Sectoral rotations
Market mood swings
This intuition plus AI’s objectivity creates the perfect trading duo.
Shift #3: The Rise of Hybrid Systems in India
This is the future:
A blend of human analysis + AI execution.
Example workflow:
Trader analyses volume profile + market structure
AI system generates probability zones
Human selects scenario
AI trades automatically
This hybrid edge will dominate the Indian markets in coming years.
4. Biggest Psychological Barriers Indian Traders Must Break
To fully enter the AI + psychology era, Indian traders must overcome:
Barrier 1: Overconfidence Bias
Thinking “I know the market” instead of “market can do anything.”
Barrier 2: Tip Addiction
Relying on outside voices instead of system-based confidence.
Barrier 3: Quick-Rich Fantasy
Expecting to make 50,000/day with 10,000 capital.
Barrier 4: Revenge Trading
Trying to “win back” lost money emotionally.
Barrier 5: Impulse Trading
Taking a trade because the candle “looked good.”
AI erases most of these — if traders let the system work.
5. What the Future Looks Like
India is entering a very powerful trading era:
AI will handle execution
Humans will handle market structure
Psychology will be increasingly coded into systems
More retail traders will use algos
Market will become more competitive
Only disciplined + data-driven traders will survive
The ones who stay in the game the longest will be those who embrace AI discipline + Indian intuition.
Pattern Unfolding I Prefer this pattern as unfolding Pattern of Wave Theory
where Wave 1 & Wave 3 Sequence have completed before confirming single advance of Mono Wave on daily TF
Now One has to wait for Reversal on 1 Hour before entering the trade so that You get to ride
Next reasonable price forecast
This is education content
Good luck
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280.
The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement.
If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not.
If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely.
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
Nifty Analysis for Nov 14, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty has formed a impulsive pattern and internal wave 5 of internal wave b has been treated as completed once nifty breaks 25746.
What I’m Watching for Nov 14, 2025 🔍
I’ll be watching for the market to break 38.2% level i.e. 25746; thereafter short nifty below 25685 for a target of 25580-25150 SL 25870 (SL on 15 min. candle close).
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Nifty we can sse new ATH next week buy on dip next week 17 nov🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Nifty is holding above the ₹25,900 mark, showing resilience.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹25,850 / ₹25,700 / ₹25,500.
- Resistances: ₹25,950 / ₹26,100 / ₹26,250.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹25,850; corrective pullback risk below ₹25,700.
Naturalgas 395 to 405 range trade after breaking 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Natural Gas trading at ₹400, holding above ₹395 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹395 / ₹388 / ₹382.
- Resistances: ₹405 / ₹412 / ₹420.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹395; corrective pullback risk below ₹388.
Copper buy on dip will continue hold buy for near week 1020,1030🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Copper trading at ₹1,009, holding firm above ₹1,005.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹1,005 / ₹998 / ₹992.
- Resistances: ₹1,015 / ₹1,021 / ₹1,025.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹1,005; corrective pullback risk below ₹998.
Crude buy 250-280 points range buy on low sell on high 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Crude trading at ₹5,343, holding above ₹5,300 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹5,300 / ₹5,250 / ₹5,200.
- Resistances: ₹5,380 / ₹5,420 / ₹5,480.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹5,300; corrective pullback risk below ₹5,250.
Silver hold buy trade for Monday upmove will continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Silver trading at ₹156,850, holding firm above ₹156,500.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹156,500 / ₹155,800 / ₹155,200.
- Resistances: ₹157,200 / ₹157,800 / ₹158,500.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹156,500; corrective pullback risk below ₹155,800.
Gold mcx hold buy trade for Monday upmove will continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6
Gold upmove will continue for next week hold buy trade monday 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6
🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
classic example of Ending Diognal Triangle in MRF Dear Trader this is classic case of ending diagonal triangle
this is daily chart of MRF starting from 5th march to 26th may 2025 is five wave which is the third wave and after than up to 4th June 2025 is 4th wave and after that it move up in to three wave which is indicating that this is diagonals triangle
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure
Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction.
________________________________________
H4 Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles.
We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum:
• If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high.
• If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline.
(This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.)
________________________________________
H1 Wave Structure
The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios:
3 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory.
________________________________________
Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle
If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming.
• Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought.
• After that, price may decline again but not deeply:
o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low).
o Triangle: a shallower drop.
• After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing.
________________________________________
Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline
If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence:
• The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248.
• When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3.
• Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic.
________________________________________
4. Overall Bias
While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring,
our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days.
________________________________________
🎯 5. Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213
SL: 4231
TP1: 4145
TP2: 4096
TP3: 4046
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook.
• Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone.
• Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones.
Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase.
• Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation.
• Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,300 – 4,298
• Stop-Loss: 4,310
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,178 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,144 (discount retest)
→ 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket)
📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,144 – 4,142
• Stop-Loss: 4,135
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,185 (minor structure high)
→ 4,210 (liquidity void fill)
→ 4,300 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction.
• Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area).
• Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%.
Summary
Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes.
• Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone)
• Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone)
Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147.
Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum.
• A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones.
• A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels.
🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1)
• Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070).
• Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB.
• Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+).
• Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab.
• Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top.
Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes.
Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based)
🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138
Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block).
Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250
🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252
Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction.
Targets: 4180 → 4150
📌 Summary
Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum.
Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.






















