BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 08-Sep-2025b]BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 08-Sep-2025
📌 Key Levels to Watch :
Profit Booking Zone: 54,638 – 54,751
Opening & Last Intraday Resistance: 54,267
Opening Support Zone: 53,969 – 53,992
Last Intraday Support: 53,813
Buyer’s Support (Strong Zone): 53,421 – 53,488
The market has entered a sensitive phase where traders need to closely monitor reactions around support and resistance levels.
🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 54,267)
If Bank Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 54,267, it directly challenges the resistance zone.
📌 Plan of Action :
Sustaining above 54,267 will invite momentum buying, pushing towards the profit booking zone 54,638 – 54,751.
Traders should be cautious here, as this zone is ideal for partial profit booking or scaling out of longs.
A breakout and sustained move above 54,751 can open room for further upside, but momentum may slow down.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance often face selling pressure. Wait for confirmation candles before chasing a long trade.
➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 54,000 – 54,150)
A flat opening indicates a balanced market start, offering opportunities both ways.
📌 Plan of Action :
Sustaining above 54,099 – 54,150 will keep the momentum bullish, targeting 54,267.
If price breaks above 54,267, the move can extend towards the profit booking zone.
On the downside, failure to sustain above 54,000 may drag prices to test the opening support zone 53,969 – 53,992.
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings provide the best chance to evaluate market sentiment in the first 30 minutes. Avoid rushing into trades and let price action guide your entries.
🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 53,900)
A weak opening below 53,900 will bring sellers into control.
📌 Plan of Action :
Initial support lies at 53,813 (last intraday support). A breakdown below this level can drag Bank Nifty towards the buyer’s support zone 53,421 – 53,488.
Expect strong buying attempts from this buyer’s zone. If the rebound holds, it can trigger a sharp pullback rally.
Sustaining below 53,421 will turn the market sentiment bearish, opening deeper downside targets.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often cause emotional selling. Smart traders wait for a retest of supports before entering trades.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Always maintain a stop-loss on hourly closing basis to avoid being trapped in intraday volatility.
Avoid aggressive lot sizes on volatile gap-up/gap-down days. Keep risk per trade at 1–2% of capital .
Use option spreads (like bull call spreads or bear put spreads) near resistance/support to manage premium decay.
Never hold out-of-the-money options overnight unless backed by strong conviction.
Book partial profits at key zones like support/resistance and let the rest ride with a trailing stop.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🟢 Above 54,267 → Bullish bias with targets at 54,638 – 54,751 (profit booking zone) .
🟧 Flat Opening → Watch 54,000 – 54,150 range; above bullish, below weak .
🔴 Below 53,900 → Weakness towards 53,813 & further to 53,421 – 53,488 (buyer’s support zone) .
⚠️ Critical Zone: 54,638 – 54,751 (Profit Booking Zone). Booking profits here is wise before chasing further upside.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Wave Analysis
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 08-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 08-Sep-2025
📌 Key Levels to Watch :
Resistance for sideways: 25,010
Major Resistance: 25,165
Last Intraday Resistance: 24,867
Opening Resistance / Support: 24,778
Opening Support: 24,659
Buyer’s Support (Must Try Zone): 24,452 – 24,517
The market is trading near an inflection zone. The price reaction at these levels will guide the intraday trend.
🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,867)
If Nifty opens strongly above 24,867, bulls will attempt to extend gains towards higher resistances.
📌 Plan of Action :
Sustaining above 24,867 will shift momentum towards 25,010.
A sideways consolidation can occur near 25,010, as it’s a critical resistance.
If Nifty manages to sustain above 25,010, the next big target is 25,165.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near major resistances require confirmation. Always wait for a retest or sustained move before entering long positions.
➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 24,720 – 24,780)
A flat start near 24,743 – 24,778 indicates indecision, with equal chances for bulls and bears.
📌 Plan of Action :
If Nifty sustains above 24,778, it can push towards 24,867.
A breakout above 24,867 strengthens the bullish momentum towards 25,010.
Failure to hold above 24,743 can drag Nifty back to 24,659 (opening support).
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings provide clarity after the first 30 minutes. Observe how price reacts around the opening resistance/support zone before taking trades.
🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 24,640)
If Nifty opens with weakness below 24,640, sellers will try to dominate.
📌 Plan of Action :
Immediate test will be at 24,659; if broken, price may fall towards the buyer’s support zone 24,452 – 24,517.
A strong rebound is likely from this buyer’s support zone, as it is marked as a “must-try” level for bulls.
Sustaining below 24,452 will open deeper downside possibilities, turning the sentiment weak.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic selling. Instead of chasing the fall, wait for a retest of supports to catch a safer entry.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Always define a stop-loss based on hourly close to avoid getting trapped in volatility.
Keep position sizing small (1–2% of capital) in uncertain zones.
For gap-up/gap-down days, prefer directional option buying only after confirmation.
Use hedged strategies (like spreads) if trading near major support/resistance zones.
Book partial profits at intermediate levels to lock in gains.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🟢 Above 24,867 → Bullish bias towards 25,010 & 25,165 .
🟧 Flat Opening → Watch 24,778 for breakout; above bullish, below weak .
🔴 Below 24,640 → Weakness towards 24,517 & 24,452 buyer’s support zone .
⚠️ Critical Zone: 24,452 – 24,517 (Buyer’s Support). A rebound here is highly probable, but if broken, weakness can accelerate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Perfect Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern💡 Chart Pattern Education
Symmetrical triangles are powerful continuation patterns that form when buyers and sellers reach equilibrium. The converging trendlines create a coiling effect, building pressure for the next major directional move. Studies show 68-75% success rate when traded with proper volume confirmation.
⚡ Matching the Chart shown and the above definition
✅ Higher lows trend intact on support trendline
✅ Lower highs forming clean resistance line
✅ Consolidation phase showing market indecision
✅ Volume declining as expected in triangle patterns
✅ Multiple timeframe confirmation visible
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Traders should conduct their own due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before making any trading decisions
VIPIND UPMOVE Classic Elliott wave VIPIND UPMOVE Classic Elliott wave
Idealised Elliott wave in progression Wave 4 completed, 5th wave projected target between 540 to 630 price.
This analysis holds valid till price does not fall below price 400, else the move will be considered as corrective rise ABC with 5-3-5 wave formation, further correction will come prices will fall.
Let's wait and watch.
Trade with due deligence.
Titan Company Limited – Fundamentals Meet Elliott WavesTitan Company, a jewel in the Tata Group crown, is best known for its dominant jewellery business , contributing nearly 90% of its revenue through brands like Tanishq, Mia, Caratlane, and Zoya. Watches and eyewear remain smaller segments, though they strengthen Titan’s brand presence. The company remains India-centric, with ~96% of revenues generated domestically.
On the numbers side, Titan continues to deliver steady revenue growth — ₹637B (TTM) with net income at ₹37B and EPS near ₹42. Margins, however, are modest: net margin hovers around 6–7% , while returns on equity stay robust at ~30%. Despite these positives, Titan trades at premium valuations — P/E ~88×, P/S ~5×, and EV/EBITDA above 50×, levels that price in a lot of growth. Dividends are token (~0.3% yield, ₹11/share), as the company reinvests heavily to fuel expansion.
The Elliott Wave Picture
On the weekly chart, Titan appears to have completed a W–X–Y corrective Wave 4 near ₹2,925. From there, Wave 5 has started unfolding:
Subwave 1: ₹2,925 → ₹3,665
Subwave 2: pullback to ₹3,307
Price is now pressing against resistance around ₹3,665–₹3,886.
A clear breakout above this zone would likely confirm the onset of a powerful Wave 3 of 5 rally , projecting targets between ₹4,047 (1.0× extension) and ₹4,504 (1.618× extension) .
Stop-loss / Invalidation: Below ₹3,307.
Momentum indicators back the case: RSI shows a rising trendline, hinting at strengthening bullish energy.
Putting It Together
Fundamentals: Strong brand, steady growth, high ROE — but expensive and reliant on Indian jewellery demand.
Technicals: Structure supports the case for a Wave 3 rally, provided price breaks out convincingly.
Balance: Titan remains a growth stock priced at perfection . If the breakout sustains, technicals could offer near-term upside, but stretched valuations mean risks shouldn’t be ignored.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Sun Pharma – Double Bottom and Trendline Test AheadChart Summary
Sun Pharma’s weekly chart shows a completed W–X–Y corrective structure. Wave W bottomed near ₹1,553.05, followed by a corrective X at ₹1,851.20, and Wave Y terminating at ₹1,556.20. This final Y-leg has unfolded as an abc zigzag, respecting the larger corrective framework.
Price Action Highlights
A potential structural double bottom has formed around the ₹1,553–₹1,556 zone, hinting at possible exhaustion of the correction.
The latest candle is a hammer-like bar, suggesting demand stepped in around support levels.
Overhead, a major downtrend resistance line connecting the highs (₹1,960.35) to the swing X (₹1,851.20) remains the decisive breakout level.
A clear stop-loss line sits near ₹1,520.40, aligned with the 100% extension of Wave A inside Y. A break below this level invalidates the bullish case.
Volume Perspective
Recent selling has come with a volume spike, often seen during exhausation selling phases. If volume eases on follow-up candles while price holds above the support zone, it strengthens the case for a reversal.
Outlook
If price can sustain above the ₹1,553–₹1,556 support cluster and eventually break the trendline resistance, it may confirm the end of the corrective phase and open the door for a new impulsive sequence higher. Failure to hold the stop-loss zone, however, would negate this view and suggest further downside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Not Moving Despite GST Cut | Sensex, BN & Market AnalysisThe government's decision to reduce taxes is a positive factor for market sentiment, yet the market has not become fully bullish or reached new highs. This raises the question as to why market is struggling to go up.
Well, the answer lies in the weightage of the Nifty index.
Nifty's Sector Weightage
Approximately 60% of the Nifty's weight is carried by just three sectors:
* Financial Services : Makes up 36.82% of the Nifty's weight.
* Oil, Gas and Fuels (Majorly Reliance) : Accounts for 9.90% of the weight.
* IT Sector : Holds around 10.51% of the weight.
The remaining 40% of the Nifty is composed of many other sectors, including metals, pharma, and FMCG etc
Impact of GST Reforms
The recent Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms were primarily aimed at the consumption sector to provide relief to the middle class. While the tax benefits are a positive for the consumption sector, its overall weight in the Nifty is only around 7%.
In contrast, the banking sector, which has around 37% weight, did not receive any direct benefits from the GST rate cuts except Insurance Companies. This is a key reason why the banking sector and by extension the market, has not turned fully positive.
Similarly, the IT sector is already largely exempt from GST, so the recent rate cuts had no direct impact on it, preventing it from driving the market up.
The oil and gas sector, dominated by Reliance, also presents a mixed picture. While some areas like Reliance's FMCG and solar projects are positively impacted by the new rules, the government has actually increased taxes on oil and gas, which makes up a significant portion of Reliance's revenue and profit. Furthermore, international tensions continue to affect the revenue and profits of the oil and gas sector.
The Role of International Factors
These three major sectors—banking, IT, and oil and gas—are all directly related to international factors like global situations and the political tensions between India and the US. The market is in a "wait and watch" mode as it awaits the outcome of potential future US actions, such as imposing tariffs. If the US government eases its stance on tariffs, the market is likely to celebrate and move upward. However, if any new tariffs are imposed or a negative outlook emerges, the market could decline significantly.
Therefore, despite the positive tax changes, the market's direction ultimately depends on international developments and the major sectors responsible to them.
Regards
Yogesh Verma 🙂
Nifty50 Weekly Analysis - 8th Sep. 2025Weekly Analysis: #Nifty50
Date: 8th Sep. 2025
Recap: Last week we analyzed that Nifty could have a pull-back on the upside and there was high probability that it would be sold into.. Even with the great news of early GST reforms the market was sold into. We also discussed "what if" Trump directs FIIs to sell aggressively, well that is an indirect action now, as he is threatening the IT outsourcing sector in India.
Whats Ahead: 25,200 has been a strong resistance ever since we have been discussing, even before this rally of the recent few months. 24,400 is still a good support. The way DIIs have been supporting the market since last many months if that continues we could see the market stay side ways for a while.. But, if this support breaks along with a confirmation candle we will witness a sharp sell-off. As and when that happens I will not start buying immediately as I see more pain ahead in months to follow. This CY is going to be brutal.. Nothing new. We've had a good run for almost 5 years now (since 2020 Pandemic) so this is BAU (Business As Usual) where Big Players need an opportunity to buy cheap. Also since Wave 3 is usually the longest, Wave 4 is usually brutal.
Now I believe that people may start seeing the real threat of this Tariff-Tantrum. We need to understand that IT/ITES/BPO sector provides lively hood to millions of youth in India. If their lively hood is hampered the entire cycle of money gets disrupted. As the young professionals spend more on wants/desires than mid-age group. I was once part of the same group (and the same industry) for 12 years. So, i think I have some say in this matter.
Chart (Updated): There is a Descending Triangle being formed, for which the target on the lower side is 23,080. Similar to what we mentioned last week (22,900). So a 1,600-1,700 points drop has high probability within this month itself.
Mid/Long term view: Same.. More pain expected in next few moths.
#USDINR #DX: Ab toh kya hi kahey.. Rupee is at it's lowest.
#Gold - What a pleasant surprise. Broke out of symmetrical triangle and is now headed for 3,750-3,850 levels. I should have not sold my Gold ETF holding a few months back.. but what the hell.. we can't catch all the moves.
#CrudeOil No - No View for this week.
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⚡️Disclaimer: Any of my posts should not be considered as a Buy/Sell/Hold recommendation. This analysis is for educational and learning purpose only. I'm only sharing what I am doing or would do and using this platform only to publish my findings in a public domain for future reference of my past work and using this platform as a "Publicly available Personal Journal". I may or may not be invested in the above mentioned Asset/Equity/Indices etc... If I am then it would be mentioned above. You should consult a Licensed Financial Advisor before taking any decision (s). I am not SEBI Registered⚡️
SBI Life Insurance – Rising Channel Breakdown with RSI WeaknessThe stock completed a clear 5-wave impulse from ₹1,382.65 to ₹1,833.90 .
Since then, the structure has turned corrective, unfolding as a possible W–X–Y pattern.
Price action:
Price broke below the rising channel , signaling fading momentum.
Immediate support lies at ₹1,783 , followed by ₹1,720 , and a deeper level near ₹1,640 .
RSI observation:
RSI has been sliding inside a falling channel since May, confirming weakening strength.
Current reading is ~43.7, suggesting momentum is fading further.
Trade bias:
As long as price remains below ₹1,890 (stop-loss / invalidation), the structure favors further downside.
Breakdown continuation could lead toward the ₹1,640 zone, which aligns with the projected end of Wave Y.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI
Hello Traders,
Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset.
Fundamental Outlook
In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September.
Technical Perspective
Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687.
Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out.
For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile.
Trading Strategies
Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers.
Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level.
Conclusion
For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again.
• H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black.
o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage.
o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end.
• H4 timeframe:
o Price may be completing wave v (purple).
o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming.
o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward.
o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target.
o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678.
o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black).
Scenario 2:
o A Flat structure is forming.
o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple).
o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal).
o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350
o SL: 3340
o TP1: 3596
2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530
o SL: 3522
o TP1: 3552
Exide Industries Stock Breakout Sideways ZoneExide Industries Trade above 50 EMA
Stock Price has completed Elliott wave ABC correction.
A momentum is visible on the chart so we can make an entry here.
So we can make an entry here at 412 and our stop loss here will be 370 and the first target will be 472 and the second target will be 535.
Do your analysis before entering into the trade.
Nifty 50 Index trading levels Key Levels
25,130 → Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level
Below 10m Hold PE by Safe Zone
24,970 → Above 10m Hold CE by Entry Level
Below 10m Hold PE by Risky Zone
24,821 → Above 10m Hold Positive Trade View
Below 10m Hold Negative Trade View
24,678 → Above Opening S1 10m Hold CE by Level
Below Opening R1 10m Hold PE by Level
24,570 → Above 10m Hold CE by By Level
Below 10m Hold PE by Level
24,380 → Above 10m Hold CE by Safe Zone Level
Below 10m Hold UNWINDING Level
How to Talk to Charts & Paint Price Action | TradingView IndiaStop treating charts like raw data. In this TradingView India tutorial, learn how to talk to charts by drawing levels, zones, and patterns on a blank canvas—transforming price into actionable art. Perfect for beginners and pros looking to visualize market structure and make smarter trades