MEDANTA Price ActionMedanta (Global Health Ltd) is currently trading in the ₹1,300–₹1,335 range, having shown a notable run-up over the past six months, but with increased volatility in recent weeks. The stock reached a recent high near ₹1,393 and a low around ₹935 during the past year.
Fundamentally, Medanta continues to deliver robust revenue growth: annual revenues for FY25 rose to ₹3,692 crore, up approximately 13% from the previous year. Operating profitability remains strong, with margins in the 23% range and net profits exceeding ₹480 crore for the latest fiscal year. However, the most recent quarter saw a profitability dip due to a non-recurring expense, reflecting some variability in the bottom line.
On valuation, Medanta trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 73 and a price-to-book (P/B) above 11, both of which are elevated compared to sector averages. This premium reflects market optimism about its growth prospects but also limits the scope for immediate, significant upside. The company has a modest dividend yield and consistently generates healthy cash flows, contributing to financial strength.
The outlook from analysts remains moderately positive: one-year price targets are clustered around ₹1,300–₹1,500, with the company expected to benefit from long-term sector growth and its strong operating metrics. Near-term, the share price may consolidate after recent gains, with moves likely guided by the next round of earnings and overall market sentiment. Medanta’s key strengths are scale, profitability, and discipline, but its premium valuation requires steady execution and increasing returns to justify further appreciation.
Wave Analysis
GOLD H1 – THE WOLF WAVE SCENARIO IS FORMINGHello trader 👋
Gold has surged back strongly after a nearly 70-point drop yesterday. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the newly established ATH, with the potential to extend short-term targets towards 3,960 – 4,000 if the upward trend continues to hold.
On the H1 chart, the price structure indicates the possibility of forming a Wolfe Wave pattern. This will be the main reference frame for trading throughout the day, capitalising on the oscillation range within the pattern.
⚖️ Short-term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority in line with the main trend):
Entry: 3,852 – 3,854
SL: 3,847
TP: 3,865 → 3,878 → 3,890
👉 Trend-following trade, suitable for holding positions and maximising profits.
🔴 Sell Scenario (scalping at the upper boundary):
Entry: 3,877 – 3,879
SL: 3,884
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,838
👉 Short-term sell order, only for wave-trading within the pattern boundary.
📊 General Outlook
Gold continues to be supported by the major upward trend, but the H1 range suggests there might be some tug-of-war within the Wolfe Wave.
Buying positions remain a priority for the day, as they align with the trend and allow for more effective order management.
Traders need to closely monitor price action at the upper and lower boundaries to make flexible decisions.
💡 News Factors to Note
In the next hour, the market will focus on political news from the US, especially the potential US Government shutdown. This could be a catalyst causing more significant gold volatility during the session.
📌 Conclusion: Day trading prioritises Buying at support zones – Selling scalps at the upper boundary within the H1 Wolfe Wave pattern. Tight capital management and clear SL to mitigate risks. I will continue to update new scenarios for you – stay tuned to not miss out 🚀.
Gold 1H – Correction or Continuation After Supply Test?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,861 after consolidating below a premium supply zone at 3876–3874. Structure shows a recent BOS to the upside, but current rejection signals potential engineered liquidity sweeps into the nearby FVG and discount demand zones. The first support rests at 3796–3798, aligning with discount territory and previous accumulation, offering scope for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines point to persistent U.S. dollar strength as traders await fresh Federal Reserve guidance on inflation and rate path. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical concerns in energy markets are maintaining safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold’s intraday swings.
This dual backdrop sets up a tactical approach: fading rejections at supply while being prepared to enter on discounted dips at demand.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3876–3874 (SL 3883): Premium supply zone, downside targets at 3850 → 3835 → 3815.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3796–3798 (SL 3790): Discount demand zone aligned with BOS, upside targets at 3820 → 3845 → 3860+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3876–3874)
• Entry: 3876–3874
• Stop Loss: 3883
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3835
TP3: 3815
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3796–3798)
• Entry: 3796–3798
• Stop Loss: 3790
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3820
TP2: 3845
TP3: 3860+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains in a corrective phase after testing supply. Expect liquidity sweeps into discount levels before continuation. With the dollar strengthening and Fed commentary in focus, intraday traders should:
• Fade supply rejections at 3876–3874.
• Scale into buys around 3796–3798 if liquidity is cleared.
HCLTECH 1D Time frameOpening Price: ₹1,387.40
Closing Price: ₹1,387.40
Day Range: ₹1,383.10 – ₹1,395.00
Previous Close: ₹1,387.40
📉 Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: Bearish — The stock is trading below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend.
Medium-Term Trend: Neutral — The stock is in a consolidation phase, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Long-Term Trend: Neutral — No significant trend identified; the stock is trading within a range.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1:
Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing.
• H4:
Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways.
• H1:
Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Wave:
Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top.
Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed.
Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early.
• H4 Wave:
A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs.
With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher.
→ Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool.
• H1 Wave:
A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying.
As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness.
Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone.
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Plan
• Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887
• Stop Loss: 3895
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3830
📌 Notes:
• This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable.
• If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline.
• Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
XAUUSD / GOLD / GC Analysis 01-OCT-2025LTP 3863
Supports: 3355/3110/2721/1921
As long as Gold supported by the above levels, we can see 3991-4385 next.
Bigger picture targets: 3748(done)-3991-4385 (Min target)
Further targets:
4934
5420-5655-6036 (Normal target)
7082-7334-8116 (ultimate target)
Extension 11225.
NOTE: I expect big correction between 3748-3991-4385 levels to 3355-3110-2721 before next bull run towards 5K+.
BUY ON DIPS VIEW
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915
The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak.
Today's perspective:
Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend.
The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders.
Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point.
Trading scenario
Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915
Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open
In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.
Why should u buy the dips??Nifty CMP 24611
Gann Square - from the 2008 lows the time cycle has pointed at imp pivots on the chart. The 8th cycle is the next bar, which is Nov-25. Hence the breakout will mostly happen in Nov-25.
Elliott - this is the last wave of this swing, which is the 5th wave. The tgt for the same is at 27100. From the current levels thats 10% move on the Index.
Conclusion - Hence buying the dip continues to be a good strategy.
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones 1st Oct 2025”
“Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!”
24890 → Above 10m closing → Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone)
24790 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
24718 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View
Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View
24570 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level)
Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level)
24470 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level)
24333 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
Part 4 Institutional TradingThe Structure of an Option Contract
Every option contract has certain key components:
Underlying asset – The stock, index, or commodity the option is based on.
Strike price – The agreed-upon price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
Expiration date – The last date when the option can be exercised.
Premium – The cost paid by the buyer to the seller.
Lot size – The standardized quantity of the underlying represented by one option contract.
Example:
If you buy a Nifty 20,000 Call Option at ₹200 premium, one lot size is 50.
Total cost = ₹200 × 50 = ₹10,000.
You gain if Nifty moves above 20,200 (strike + premium).
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesIntroduction
Financial markets have evolved significantly over the last century, offering a wide variety of instruments to investors and traders. One such instrument is options, which provide flexibility, leverage, and hedging opportunities. Unlike straightforward investments such as stocks or bonds, option trading involves contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset—making them part of the broader derivatives market.
For professional traders, options are indispensable for hedging risk, generating income, and leveraging market moves. For retail participants, they represent both a fascinating opportunity and a high-risk tool that requires discipline and knowledge.
This guide explains option trading in detail, starting from the basics and moving into advanced strategies, risks, and practical applications.
USD/JPY H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan1. Market Structure
Overall trend: bullish, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
Currently in a corrective pullback, retesting demand zones.
Strong liquidity resting below around 146.000 (Buy Zone Liquidity).
2. Key Zones
Sell Zone (Supply/CP):
148.500 – 148.800
Supply zone aligning with stoploss hunt above.
Demand Zones (Buy Side):
147.200 – 147.500 → short-term reaction zone.
146.000 – 146.300 → strong liquidity pool + CP Order Buy zone.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price pulls back into 148.500 – 148.800, expect bearish reaction.
SL: above 149.000
TP: demand zone at 147.200 or deeper at 146.000.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price sweeps into 146.000 – 146.300, this zone is key liquidity + CP Order Buy.
Expect strong bullish reaction → Buy setup.
SL: below 145.800
TP: 149.000 – 149.500
4. Market Psychology
Sellers: may capitalize on pullback into supply to load shorts.
Buyers: likely waiting for liquidity sweep around 146.000 to accumulate long positions and push higher.
Flip Zone: once a supply/demand zone breaks, it often flips into a new reaction area.
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 148.5 – 148.8 → TP 147.2 / 146.0
Buy Zone: 146.0 – 146.3 → TP 149.0 – 149.5
EUR/USD is entering a decisive SMC zone – Big move loading...📊 EUR/USD H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan
1. Market Structure
Main trend: bearish (after clear CHoCH and BOS).
Price has formed Equal Highs (EQH) → strong liquidity above.
Untested liquidity zone below (OBB) → expectation for price to sweep down.
2. Key Zones
Supply Zone (OBS + FVG):
1.18100 – 1.18200
This supply aligns with the Fair Value Gap.
Expecting price to retest this zone and reject downward.
Demand Zone (OBB):
1.16500 – 1.16650
Strong demand zone combined with liquidity resting below previous lows.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price reaches the OBS + FVG (1.1810 – 1.1820) area,
Expect bearish reaction → Sell setup.
SL: above 1.1830.
TP: demand zone at 1.1650.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price taps into OBB (1.1650 – 1.1665) and holds,
Expect bullish reaction → Buy setup targeting 1.1750 – 1.1780.
SL: below 1.1630.
4. Market Psychology
Buy side: attempting to push higher but likely just a pullback to fill FVG and sweep liquidity above EQH.
Sell side: in control after BOS to the downside, targeting demand below.
Flip Zone: once supply is broken, it may flip into a new reaction zone (support).
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 1.1810 – 1.1820 → TP 1.1650
Buy Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1665 → TP 1.1750
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves1. Introduction to Options
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price, called the strike price, before or on a specified expiration date. Unlike stocks, options do not represent ownership in a company; instead, they are derivatives whose value is derived from the underlying asset (stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies).
There are two primary types of options:
Call Option: Grants the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Grants the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Options can be American style (exercisable any time before expiration) or European style (exercisable only on the expiration date).
2. Key Terminology in Options Trading
To trade options effectively, you must understand the key terms:
Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (call) or sold (put).
Premium: The cost of buying an option. Determined by factors like intrinsic value, time to expiration, volatility, and interest rates.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract becomes invalid.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM if the stock price > strike price; a put is ITM if stock price < strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call option is OTM if the stock price < strike price; a put is OTM if stock price > strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): The stock price is approximately equal to the strike price.
3. How Options Work
Options allow investors to control a larger number of shares with relatively small capital. Let’s look at an example:
Example:
Stock price of XYZ Ltd.: ₹1,000
Call option strike price: ₹1,050
Premium: ₹50
Expiration: 1 month
If the stock rises to ₹1,200, the call option holder can exercise the option, buy at ₹1,050, and sell at ₹1,200, making a profit of ₹150 per share (minus the premium of ₹50, net profit = ₹100).
If the stock stays below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is limited to the premium paid.
This limited-loss feature makes options attractive for hedging.
4. Participants in Options Market
Options trading involves different market participants with varying objectives:
Hedgers: Use options to protect their existing investments from adverse price movements. For example, a stock investor buys a put option to safeguard against a potential fall in stock price.
Speculators: Seek profit from price movements without owning the underlying asset. They take higher risk for potentially higher rewards.
Arbitrageurs: Exploit price discrepancies between options and the underlying assets to earn risk-free profits.
5. Option Pricing Models
Option pricing is critical for traders. The two most commonly used models are:
Black-Scholes Model (for European options):
It calculates the theoretical value of options using factors such as stock price, strike price, time to expiration, volatility, and risk-free interest rate.
Binomial Model:
Uses a step-by-step approach to evaluate options, useful for American options due to their early-exercise feature.
Factors Affecting Option Premiums:
Intrinsic Value: Difference between the underlying price and strike price.
Time Value: Additional value due to remaining time until expiration.
Volatility: Higher volatility increases premiums.
Interest Rates and Dividends: Can influence option pricing.
Gold shatters 3800 — momentum is alive🚀 XAUUSD – Daily Plan
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 Market Context
Gold has once again surged to a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, with bullish momentum still intact.
Concerns over a potential US government shutdown and renewed tariff discussions have weighed on the dollar.
Market expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts continue to underpin gold.
Fed speeches and incoming US data remain short-term catalysts for volatility, but the broader bias stays bullish.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Primary Trend: Strongly bullish – confirmed by Break of Structure (BOS) + Market Structure Shift (MSS).
OBB Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement, offering strong demand support.
Sell Liquidity: Clustered around 3840–3843 (FE 1.618), where short-term profit-taking or liquidity traps are likely.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone: 3840 – 3843
Support / Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784 (OBB)
📈 Trading Scenarios
✅ BUY SETUP
Buy Zone: 3787 – 3784 (OBB)
SL: 3779
TP: 3795 → 3800 → 3810 → 3820 → 3830
✔️ SELL SETUP (Liquidity Trap / Short-term Countertrend)
Sell Zone: 3840 – 3843 (FE 1.618)
SL: 3848
TP: 3830 → 3820 → 3810 → 3800
📌 Notes
Focus remains on buying dips in line with the dominant uptrend.
Short-term sells are only tactical plays within the liquidity zone (3840+).
Risk management is essential, as extended FOMO flows may drive price beyond targets.
Part 12 Trading Master Class With ExpertsI. Introduction to Options
What is an Option?
An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specified time period. Options derive their value from the underlying asset, which can be stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, or ETFs.
Types of Options
There are two primary types:
Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at a strike price before expiration.
Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at a strike price before expiration.
Buyers vs. Sellers
Option Buyer (Holder): Pays a premium for the right to exercise the option. Limited risk (premium paid), unlimited or capped potential reward depending on call or put.
Option Seller (Writer): Receives the premium. Obligated to fulfill the contract if exercised. Higher risk, especially in uncovered options.
Option Premium Explained
The premium is the price paid for the option. It comprises two components:
Intrinsic Value: The real, immediate profit if exercised now (for in-the-money options).
Time Value: Additional value based on time left until expiration and market volatility.
Option Expiration and Exercise
Options have a fixed expiration date. Exercise can happen in two ways:
American Style: Can be exercised any time before expiration.
European Style: Can only be exercised at expiration.
II. Understanding Option Pricing
Factors Affecting Option Pricing
The price of an option (premium) is influenced by:
Underlying asset price
Strike price
Time to expiration
Volatility
Interest rates
Dividends
Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic Value
Intrinsic Value: Difference between underlying asset price and strike price (only if in-the-money).
Extrinsic Value: Time value and volatility premium. Represents potential for future gains.
Moneyness of Options
Options are classified based on their intrinsic value:
In-the-Money (ITM): Profitable if exercised now.
At-the-Money (ATM): Strike price equals the underlying asset price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Not profitable if exercised now.
The Greeks – Risk and Sensitivity Measures
Options are influenced by “Greeks” which measure sensitivity to different factors:
Delta: Sensitivity of option price to underlying asset price change.
Gamma: Rate of change of delta.
Theta: Time decay of option value.
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates.
Black-Scholes & Binomial Models
Option pricing models estimate theoretical values:
Black-Scholes Model: For European options; factors in price, strike, volatility, time, and risk-free rate.
Binomial Model: Uses a stepwise approach; suitable for American options.
Market just swept stoploss – time for the next 1000 pips BUY📊 Trading Plan for Today
Main Trend: Gold has broken structure (BOS) and built strong bullish momentum. The recent sharp drop was a stoploss sweep – a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Buy Zone:
CP Order Buy Zone: 3786 – 3784
Stop Loss: 3779
Targets (TP):
Short-term: 3820 – 3840 (Fib 1.0 – 1.272)
Long-term: 3870 – 3880 (Fib 1.618)
💡 Market Psychology
The sell-off flushed weak hands (stop hunts).
Liquidity is collected → 3786–3784 becomes a strategic buy zone.
Holding above this zone may trigger a 1000 pips bullish wave.






















