Volume Profile and Market Analysis1. Understanding Volume Profile
The Volume Profile is a histogram plotted on the price axis of a chart, showing the amount of traded volume at each price level during a specified period. Rather than displaying how much volume was traded per time unit (like a standard volume bar at the bottom of a chart), it shows where the majority of trading occurred within a price range.
This data allows traders to see which prices attracted the most attention from buyers and sellers, and which levels were quickly rejected. In essence, Volume Profile reveals the “market’s memory”—where the majority of market participants placed their bets.
2. Key Components of Volume Profile
To fully understand how to interpret Volume Profile, traders must become familiar with its key elements:
Point of Control (POC):
The price level with the highest traded volume during the selected period. It represents the fairest price—where buyers and sellers reached the greatest consensus.
Value Area (VA):
Typically, this covers about 70% of total traded volume and represents the range of prices considered “fair value” for the market. Prices outside this range are often seen as overbought or oversold.
Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL):
These boundaries mark the upper and lower limits of the Value Area. They act as important support and resistance levels.
High Volume Nodes (HVN):
Price zones where a large amount of trading occurred, indicating acceptance and stability. These levels often act as magnets for price.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN):
Price zones with very little trading activity, indicating rejection or imbalance. These often serve as breakout or reversal points.
3. Interpreting Volume Profile in Market Context
The market moves through cycles of accumulation, distribution, expansion, and contraction, and the Volume Profile helps visualize these phases:
Balanced Profile (D-shaped):
Indicates a period of consolidation where supply and demand are balanced. Price oscillates within a range around the POC, suggesting indecision. Breakouts from such zones often lead to strong directional moves.
Trending Profile (P-shaped or b-shaped):
A P-shaped profile shows a short-covering rally, where price moved upward and volume concentrated near the top of the profile. Conversely, a b-shaped profile indicates long liquidation—strong selling followed by stabilization at lower prices.
Double Distribution Profile:
This occurs when the market transitions between two value areas, indicating a shift in sentiment or a major fundamental change.
By reading these structures, traders can identify whether the market is in a state of balance (range-bound) or imbalance (trending), and adjust their strategies accordingly.
4. Volume Profile vs. Market Profile
Although they sound similar, Volume Profile and Market Profile are distinct:
Market Profile (developed by Peter Steidlmayer) organizes price and time data to show where the market spent the most time.
Volume Profile focuses purely on volume traded at each price level.
While Market Profile emphasizes time-based value areas, Volume Profile provides a clearer view of actual market participation, making it more precise for detecting liquidity zones and institutional activity.
5. Volume Profile in Different Market Types
a) In Forex Markets
Volume in spot forex is decentralized and not directly measurable like in stocks or futures. Traders often rely on tick volume as a proxy, using Volume Profile tools provided by brokers that aggregate order flow data. Volume analysis helps identify key price levels where large participants—such as banks or hedge funds—are active.
b) In Stock Markets
Volume Profile is particularly effective since exchanges record every share traded. Traders use it to find areas of institutional accumulation or distribution, often near earnings announcements, mergers, or economic reports.
c) In Futures and Commodities
Volume Profile is integral to futures trading because these markets are centralized. Traders often overlay Volume Profile with open interest and Cumulative Delta (buy vs. sell volume) to interpret real market intent.
6. Combining Volume Profile with Market Analysis
Volume Profile on its own is powerful, but when integrated into broader market analysis, it produces deeper insights.
a) Technical Analysis Integration
Support and Resistance:
VAH and VAL naturally act as strong support and resistance zones.
Breakouts:
Price breaking above VAH or below VAL with high volume often signals a continuation of the trend.
Trend Confirmation:
Aligning the slope of the profile with moving averages or trendlines helps confirm momentum.
b) Fundamental Analysis Connection
Fundamental events such as interest rate decisions, earnings reports, or geopolitical news can trigger high-volume shifts. By analyzing how the Volume Profile responds, traders can identify whether institutions are building or exiting positions in reaction to the news.
c) Sentiment and Order Flow
Volume Profile aligns naturally with order flow analysis—tracking buying and selling pressure at key price levels. Combining it with sentiment indicators (like COT reports or social sentiment data) helps validate whether retail traders or institutions dominate a move.
7. Institutional Trading and Volume Profile
Institutional players often execute trades at specific volume levels to mask their intentions. The Volume Profile reveals these footprints:
Accumulation Zones:
Large volumes at stable prices after a decline often indicate institutional buying.
Distribution Zones:
Heavy volume after an uptrend suggests institutions are offloading positions.
Liquidity Traps:
Price spikes into low-volume zones followed by rejections often represent false breakouts designed to trap retail traders.
By reading these patterns, retail traders can align with institutional behavior instead of being trapped by it.
8. Advantages of Volume Profile Analysis
Precision: Identifies key price levels where volume is concentrated.
Market Context: Reveals balance vs. imbalance zones.
Institutional Insight: Shows where large traders are active.
Support/Resistance Accuracy: More reliable than indicators based on time.
Adaptability: Works across all asset classes and timeframes.
9. Limitations of Volume Profile
Lagging Nature: It shows historical participation, not future intent.
Data Dependency: Requires accurate tick or trade data; less reliable in decentralized markets like spot forex.
Complex Interpretation: Needs context—volume alone can mislead without price action or trend confirmation.
Short-Term Noise: Small timeframes may show excessive detail that obscures meaningful levels.
10. Practical Application in Trading
A practical Volume Profile-based strategy might look like this:
Identify Balance Area: Observe where the majority of volume has occurred over recent sessions.
Mark VAH, VAL, and POC: These become your reference levels.
Wait for Imbalance: Watch for price breaking out of the value area with high volume.
Confirm with Price Action: Look for retests of VAH/VAL or the POC for potential entries.
Manage Risk: Use low-volume nodes or opposite side of the value area as stop-loss levels.
This method aligns trading decisions with institutional activity and real market structure rather than arbitrary indicators.
11. The Future of Volume and Market Analysis
As financial markets become increasingly algorithm-driven, volume-based analytics are evolving through machine learning, order book heatmaps, and real-time flow data visualization. These tools allow traders to not only see where the market has traded, but where orders are currently resting—providing predictive insight into potential price reactions.
Volume Profile remains the backbone of this new generation of trading tools, bridging the gap between traditional chart reading and data-driven market intelligence.
Conclusion
Volume Profile is more than a charting tool—it’s a framework for understanding the psychology of the market. By showing how volume is distributed across price levels, it uncovers the footprints of professional traders and institutions. When combined with technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, it allows traders to operate with greater precision, confidence, and understanding of market structure.
In a world of fast-moving markets and complex algorithms, mastering Volume Profile and integrating it into comprehensive market analysis is an essential skill for any serious trader seeking an edge in today’s global financial landscape.
Wave Analysis
Stock: ADVENZYMESHarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (Dated: 13-11-2025)
Stock: ADVENZYMES
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹351.50
Action: Buy at current levels. In case of any decline, accumulate additional quantity around lower levels.
Recommended Quantity: 142 shares (Approximate investment: ₹50,000)
Holding Period: 3 months
Resistance Level: ₹407
Target Price: ₹463
Stop Loss: ₹305
Disclaimer:
The information shared above is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risks, including the potential loss of your entire capital. Always perform your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
For more details and regular market updates, visit our YouTube channel:
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HarunStocks Short-Term Investment 13-11-2025) Stock VINDHYATELHarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (Dated: 13-11-2025)
Stock: VINDHYATEL
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹1,496
Action: Buy on CMP. In case of any decline, accumulate more around ₹1,415.
Recommended Quantity: 35 shares
Holding Period: 3 months
Resistance Level: ₹1,610
Target Price: ₹2,339
Stop Loss: ₹1,324
Disclaimer:
The information provided above is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risks, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
For more insights and detailed market analysis, visit our YouTube channel:
👉 SHARE TRADING GURU
Ideal Wave Pattern Turn Around This is an ideal Pattern I usually Look for Turn around in Equity
This basically suits on visual Ground
This basically meets all the rules & Guidelines
This basically suggest the Slowing of Momentum at given price
So My Friends an Hypothesis of R N Elliott have to meet all above Mentioned sentence in order
to take high confidence trades
Most Try to Imagine the patterns , or Draw an Imaginary Lines to suggest their view
The method i followed gave me single & Clear Opinion about the Market sentiment and its
Momentum
This is educational Post
Good luck
Price correction before the Rally This is an wave Pattern which I follow to take executive decisions in Trading
Now i am viewing this stock could Get a very sharp Correction and then reversal with
V Pattern in it ,
One can View on real time & understand the significant of this kind of pattern
This is education content
Good luck
BANKNIFTY - Trading levels and Plan for 13-Nov-2025📊 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 13 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Bank Nifty closed near 58,211 , maintaining a balanced posture after strong intraday volatility. The index is hovering around the Opening Support / Resistance Zone (58,136 – 58,250) , indicating consolidation before the next directional move. Above this range lies Opening Resistance at 58,381 and Last Intraday Resistance at 58,611 , which will be key upside checkpoints for bullish continuation.
On the downside, 57,927 serves as the Last Intraday Support , and a breach below this could invite fresh short-term weakness. Traders should monitor how the market reacts around 58,136–58,250 in the initial phase to plan directional entries.
Key Levels to Watch:
🟩 Supports: 58,136 / 57,927
🟥 Resistances: 58,381 / 58,611 / 58,718
⚖️ Neutral Zone: 58,136 – 58,250 (No clear bias zone)
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 58,400 – 58,450 , it will enter the Opening Resistance zone right from the start. Bulls will need strong volume confirmation to sustain this breakout.
If price sustains above 58,381 for 15–20 minutes with strong bullish candles, expect a move toward 58,611 – 58,718 .
However, if price rejects near 58,611 , profit booking may push it back toward 58,381 – 58,250 .
For aggressive traders — wait for a retest of 58,381 post-breakout before entering long positions for better confirmation.
For positional bias, a daily close above 58,611 would strengthen bullish continuation for the next sessions.
💡 Educational Note:
A gap-up near resistance often traps impulsive buyers. Always wait for confirmation — a retest and hold above resistance signals genuine breakout strength, while a quick rejection hints at a bull trap. The key is patience, not prediction.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 58,136 – 58,250 Zone)
If Bank Nifty opens flat within this tight range, the initial candles may show sideways movement or low volatility before a breakout defines direction.
Avoid trading inside this zone initially — the first 15 minutes are crucial to identify market intent.
If the index breaks and sustains above 58,250 , bulls can target 58,381 – 58,611 .
If it breaks below 58,136 , weakness may extend toward 57,927 .
Always track volume — low-volume breakouts are unreliable and prone to reversals.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are tests of patience. Traders who rush into early trades often get caught in false breakouts. The key to success in range-bound zones is to wait for confirmation with volume and momentum alignment. Remember — no trade is better than a bad trade.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens around 57,950 – 57,900 , it will test the Last Intraday Support (57,927) . Bulls will need to defend this zone to prevent a deeper correction.
If price forms bullish reversal candles (hammer, bullish engulfing) near 57,927 , a short-covering rally toward 58,136 – 58,250 can occur.
If the index fails to hold 57,927 , expect further downside toward 57,700 – 57,550 .
Avoid panic shorting after a big gap-down — instead, wait for pullbacks to 58,000 – 58,136 for higher probability entries.
Falling volume on red candles at support suggests exhaustion, hinting at a potential reversal setup.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs tend to trigger emotional decisions. Smart traders use the panic phase to identify exhaustion points. Watch for long wicks or failed breakdowns near major supports — these are often signs of institutional buying or short-covering.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading options during the first 15 minutes — initial IV spikes can distort premium values.
Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade.
Use ATM or ITM options for cleaner movement and lower theta decay. Avoid deep OTM options unless a breakout is confirmed.
Trail stop-losses aggressively once your trade moves 30–40 points in your favor.
Always book partial profits near key support/resistance zones.
Avoid averaging into losing positions — cut losses quickly and preserve capital for the next opportunity.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Neutral Zone: 58,136 – 58,250
🟥 Resistance Zones: 58,381 / 58,611 / 58,718
🟩 Support Zones: 58,136 / 57,927
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 58,250 | Bearish below 58,136
📚 CONCLUSION:
Bank Nifty’s movement for 13 Nov will depend on how it reacts around the 58,136 – 58,250 consolidation zone. A breakout above 58,250 can trigger bullish continuation toward 58,611 – 58,718 , while a breakdown below 58,136 could drag it back to 57,927 .
Traders should focus on confirmation over anticipation. Avoid overtrading during indecisive price action, and let volume and momentum guide entries.
📊 Remember: Trading is not about catching every move — it’s about catching the right move with controlled risk.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Nov-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 13 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Nifty closed near 25,874 , positioned within a tight No-Trade Zone (25,863 – 25,935) , reflecting indecision and a short-term pause after a strong rally. The index is facing an immediate Opening Resistance Zone near 26,004 , while its Opening Support Zone lies at 25,745 – 25,765 .
The price structure suggests that momentum players are waiting for confirmation — either a breakout above 25,935 to push toward 26,193, or a breakdown below 25,745 to retest lower supports. Volatility could remain high due to positional adjustments ahead of the weekend.
Key Levels to Watch:
🟩 Supports: 25,765 / 25,745 / 25,664
🟥 Resistances: 25,935 / 26,004 / 26,193
⚖️ Bias Zone: Between 25,863 – 25,935 (No-Trade Zone)
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 25,950 – 26,000 , it will directly enter the Opening Resistance Zone . Bulls must sustain the gap for continuation toward higher levels.
If price sustains above 26,004 with strong bullish candles and increasing volume, a move toward 26,120 – 26,193 is likely.
However, if the index opens higher but fails to hold above 26,004 , a pullback toward 25,935 – 25,874 may occur.
Ideal plan: Wait for the first 15–30 minutes to confirm whether buyers can sustain above 26,004 . Enter long positions only after a successful retest with proper confirmation.
If rejection appears near 26,120 – 26,193 , partial profit booking or trailing stops is advised.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups near resistance often trap early buyers. Strong conviction comes not from the open itself but from whether the price holds above breakout levels after initial volatility. Let price show you control — strength confirmed through retest and volume is far more reliable than the first impulse.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 25,863 – 25,935 Zone)
A flat opening inside the No-Trade Zone suggests early choppiness. Traders should avoid getting caught in this indecision range until a clear breakout occurs.
Avoid taking trades inside 25,863 – 25,935 as whipsaws are common.
If the index breaks and sustains above 25,935 , upside targets open toward 26,004 – 26,193 .
If price breaks below 25,863 , it could trigger weakness toward 25,765 – 25,745 .
Focus on the breakout candle — confirmation with strong body and volume gives confidence in the move’s sustainability.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings require traders to be patient and disciplined. Most false signals occur when traders predict rather than react. Waiting for the range to break provides a statistical edge — successful trades come from confirmation, not anticipation.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens below 25,770 – 25,740 , it will test the Opening Support Zone . This area will decide whether bulls defend the recent uptrend or allow bears to take over.
If a reversal pattern forms near 25,745 – 25,765 (hammer or bullish engulfing), expect a short-covering rally back toward 25,874 – 25,935 .
If price breaks and sustains below 25,745 , weakness may extend toward 25,664 and possibly 25,502 .
Avoid shorting immediately after a deep gap-down — wait for a retracement toward 25,745 – 25,800 for better risk-reward.
Volume near support zones will indicate whether selling is continuing or exhausting. Falling volume often hints at reversal setups.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs tend to amplify emotional trading. Many participants panic-sell into support zones, providing opportunities for disciplined traders who wait for reversals. The key is to let the first few candles reveal intent — a steady base near support usually signals potential bounce setups.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading options in the first 15–20 minutes — high Implied Volatility (IV) inflates premiums and causes quick time decay as the market stabilizes.
Define your risk before entry — limit exposure to 1–2% of total capital per trade.
Prefer ITM or ATM options for directional plays; avoid far OTM options unless volatility breakout is confirmed.
Use stop-loss orders and trail them as positions move in your favor by 30–40 points to protect profits.
Avoid overtrading after multiple stop-outs — conserving capital is more important than chasing missed moves.
Always book partial profits at major resistance/support levels to lock in gains.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 No-Trade Zone: 25,863 – 25,935
🟥 Resistance Zones: 26,004 / 26,193
🟩 Support Zones: 25,765 / 25,745 / 25,664
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 25,935 | Weakness below 25,863
📚 CONCLUSION:
Nifty sits at a key decision point — 25,863 – 25,935 defines the immediate battleground. A breakout above 25,935 could fuel a bullish continuation toward 26,193 , while a drop below 25,863 may invite selling pressure toward 25,745 – 25,664 .
Patience is essential — avoid early entries within the no-trade zone and trade only when confirmation aligns with volume strength. Trade the trend, not the noise.
📊 Remember: Markets reward clarity and discipline — every avoided bad trade is a hidden profit.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis and levels are shared purely for educational purposes . Please conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
SENSEX : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Nov-2025📊 SENSEX TRADING PLAN — 13 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Sensex closed near 84,432 , forming a small consolidation candle just below the Opening Resistance (84,724) . The index remains within a defined No-Trade Zone (84,308 – 84,523) , indicating indecision before the next directional move. The short-term trend remains constructive, but bulls need a sustained breakout above 84,724 to regain momentum, while bears will attempt to push the index below 84,308 for downside continuation.
Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Support Levels: 84,308 / 83,966
🟥 Resistance Levels: 84,724 / 84,874 / 85,266
⚖️ Bias Zone: 84,308 – 84,523 (No-Trade Zone)
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens above 84,700 – 84,800 , it will start near or above the Opening Resistance . Bulls must hold this level to confirm a continuation of upward momentum.
If price sustains above 84,874 with strong bullish candles and volume expansion, upside targets open toward 85,100 – 85,266 .
However, if Sensex opens higher but fails to sustain above 84,724 – 84,874 , it may lead to profit booking and a pullback toward 84,523 – 84,308 .
Traders should wait for confirmation — avoid chasing a gap-up. Look for a breakout retest around 84,724 for safer entries.
If rejection candles appear near 85,100 – 85,266 , consider partial profit booking or trailing stops.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups around resistance zones often attract excitement from retail traders but smart money waits for confirmation. Always look for candle structure and volume support. Strong breakouts hold above key levels, while fakeouts quickly revert into range-bound movement.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 84,308 – 84,523 Zone)
A flat opening within this zone indicates indecision. The market could spend some time consolidating before deciding on direction.
Avoid trading within the No-Trade Zone (84,308 – 84,523) as volatility and fake moves are common here.
If the index breaks and sustains above 84,523 , expect bullish momentum toward 84,724 – 84,874 .
If price breaks below 84,308 , weakness could extend toward 83,966 .
Always wait for volume confirmation — sideways breakouts without participation are unreliable.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings test a trader’s discipline. The first 30 minutes usually decide the session’s direction. Instead of predicting, react to what the market shows. Staying patient during early whipsaws helps capture clean trends later in the session.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (300+ Points)
If Sensex opens below 84,150 – 84,000 , bearish sentiment will dominate early trade. Watch the Last Intraday Support (83,966) closely — this zone is vital for bulls to defend.
If reversal patterns like hammer or bullish engulfing appear near 83,966 , short-covering rallies toward 84,308 – 84,523 are likely.
If price fails to hold above 83,966 , weakness may extend toward 83,700 – 83,500 .
Avoid shorting immediately at the open during a deep gap-down; wait for a pullback toward resistance for better entries.
Volume near supports will reveal strength — falling volume suggests exhaustion and potential reversal setups.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs often bring panic-driven reactions. Smart traders wait for price to stabilize before acting. Watch the candle structure — strong rejection wicks at support zones often signal short-term reversals and high-probability entries.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid trading in the first 15–20 minutes after open — IV (Implied Volatility) spikes during this time and can distort option prices.
Risk a maximum of 1–2% of total capital on any single trade.
Prefer ITM or ATM options for directional confidence; avoid far OTM options in range-bound conditions.
Trail stop-loss after every 30–40 points in your favor to lock profits.
Avoid holding naked positions near resistance or support zones before confirmation.
Always maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 — quality over quantity wins in the long run.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 No-Trade Zone: 84,308 – 84,523
🟥 Resistance Zones: 84,724 / 84,874 / 85,266
🟩 Support Zones: 84,308 / 83,966
⚖️ Bias: Bullish above 84,523 | Weakness below 84,308
📚 CONCLUSION:
Sensex is trading near a decisive zone — the 84,308 – 84,523 range will dictate tomorrow’s trend. A breakout above 84,523 can trigger a move toward 84,874 – 85,266 , while a drop below 84,308 may invite selling pressure toward 83,966 .
Patience and confirmation are key — avoid trading inside the no-trade zone and wait for directional clarity. React to price, not emotion.
📊 In trading, patience and preparation are your strongest edges — execution follows clarity, not anticipation.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis shared above is purely for educational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility.
• A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone.
• A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200.
Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range.
• Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys.
• Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,201 – 4,199
• Stop-Loss: 4,210
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,140 (first liquidity pocket)
→ 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,083 (discount zone confluence)
📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,102
→ 4,140
→ 4,199
📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup.
• Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise.
• Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops.
• Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly.
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area)
The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts.
FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time SMC updates ⚡
NIFTY : TRADING LEVELS AND PLAN FOR 12-NOV-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 12 NOV 2025
(Timeframe Reference: 15-Min Chart)
Chart Summary:
Nifty closed near 25,705 , just above its key Opening Support / Resistance Zone (25,666 – 25,705) . The index recently bounced strongly from lower supports, but now faces an overhead supply zone near 25,800 – 25,935 , which coincides with the Last Resistance Zone .
The structure suggests short-term bullish momentum, though a profit-booking phase is possible near resistance levels. The immediate bias remains mildly positive as long as Nifty sustains above 25,617 .
Key Levels to Watch:
🟩 Support Zones: 25,705 / 25,617 / 25,502
🟥 Resistance Zones: 25,800 / 25,863 – 25,935
⚖️ Bias Zone: Between 25,666 – 25,705
🟢 Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens above 25,800 , it will enter the upper resistance zone, making it crucial to observe whether bulls can sustain the breakout or not.
If price sustains above 25,800 with strong bullish candles and rising volume, it may target 25,863 – 25,935 . Sustained strength beyond 25,935 could trigger momentum buying and further continuation.
However, if the index opens higher but fails to sustain above 25,800 , expect a quick pullback toward 25,705 – 25,666 .
Avoid chasing the gap-up opening blindly; instead, wait for a retest of 25,800 as support to confirm breakout validity.
If rejection candles appear near 25,863 – 25,935 , short-term profit booking may emerge. Conservative traders can book partial profits there.
💡 Educational Note:
Gap-ups are often emotional moves driven by overnight sentiment. The key is to differentiate between strength and exhaustion. A gap-up followed by strong volume confirmation indicates genuine buying, while thin volume and upper wicks suggest weakness. Let the first few candles reveal intent before acting.
🟧 Scenario 2: FLAT Opening (Within 25,666 – 25,705 Zone)
A flat opening near this zone indicates early consolidation. Both buyers and sellers may attempt to establish control, creating short-lived volatility.
Avoid entering trades immediately within 25,666 – 25,705 as it’s a “neutral zone.”
If price breaks and sustains above 25,705 , momentum may build toward 25,800 and later 25,863 .
If price slips below 25,666 , weakness could extend toward 25,617 – 25,502 .
Traders should watch for volume surges and candle confirmations before breakout entries — low-volume moves tend to reverse quickly.
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings are ideal for breakout traders who wait patiently. Most false moves occur when traders anticipate direction without waiting for confirmation. Patience during the first 30 minutes helps avoid traps and enables trades aligned with actual market momentum.
🔴 Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens near or below 25,600 , it will test the strength of the Last Intraday Support (25,502 – 25,617) . This area is crucial for bulls to defend.
If a reversal pattern forms near 25,502 – 25,550 (hammer, bullish engulfing, or double bottom), it could trigger a rebound toward 25,666 – 25,705 .
However, if price breaks and sustains below 25,502 with high volume, the next support lies around 25,400 – 25,360 .
Avoid shorting aggressively after a deep gap-down — wait for a pullback toward resistance for better entries and risk-reward ratios.
Watch volume near supports; declining volume during a fall suggests seller exhaustion, often leading to intraday reversals.
📘 Educational Insight:
Gap-downs are emotionally charged opens that often test trader psychology. Smart traders avoid reacting impulsively and instead focus on structure. If sellers fail to maintain control below strong support zones, a short-covering rally can provide sharp intraday opportunities.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
Avoid buying options during the first 15 minutes — inflated IV (Implied Volatility) can decay quickly as the market stabilizes.
Always set a predefined stop-loss; never risk more than 1–2% of your total capital on any trade.
Prefer ITM options for directional conviction and avoid far OTM strikes on range-bound days.
Trail stop-losses after gaining 30–40 points in favor to lock profits and manage emotions.
On volatile sessions, consider partial exits to secure gains — remember, consistency matters more than perfection.
Avoid averaging down losing trades — protect capital first; opportunities will always reappear.
📈 SUMMARY:
🟧 Key Zone: 25,666 – 25,705
🟥 Resistance Levels: 25,800 / 25,863 – 25,935
🟩 Support Levels: 25,617 / 25,502
⚖️ Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 25,705 | Weakness below 25,666
📚 CONCLUSION:
Nifty is at a pivotal turning zone — the 25,666 – 25,705 range will dictate tomorrow’s intraday tone. A breakout above 25,705 could fuel momentum toward 25,800 – 25,935 , while a fall below 25,666 could invite a retest of 25,617 – 25,502 .
The best approach is to let the first few candles reveal intent before taking directional trades. Stay alert, respect levels, and trade based on structure rather than emotion.
📊 In trading, patience is your strongest edge — clarity follows discipline, not prediction.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The analysis and views shared here are purely for educational purposes . Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum
• D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone.
• H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline.
• H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels.
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave.
• H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X.
• H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed.
🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone.
If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups.
However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline.
📈 Trading Plan
• Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201
• Stop Loss: 4215
• Take Profit 1: 4145
• Take Profit 2: 4046
• Take Profit 3: 3932
Unlocking Chart Vision: Why One Breakout Isn’t EnoughRetail traders often gravitate towards the familiar—you’ll notice on the right chart, a classic breakout above the counter trendline (CT) is the “go-to” setup most focus on. This approach is common, but it can signal limited experience or a lack of exposure to complex, multi-pattern scenarios.
As a full-time trader, my scanning process involves viewing charts through a multi-pattern lens, not just relying on a single breakout narrative. On the left chart, you’ll spot another prominent CT in red—this additional hurdle isn’t always visible to less experienced eyes. Notably, a hidden parallel channel (orange) adds further nuance, underscoring the importance of assessing every structure before deciding on bias or trade management.
This post is purely observational—there’s no forecasting or trade advice here. The goal is to highlight why expanding your pattern recognition toolkit and investing more screen time can reveal deeper price action dynamics often missed in simplistic approaches. If you want to bring your technical analysis to a professional level, start looking for what’s not immediately obvious!
Bullish — Silver bounce expected toward ₹1,59,000 and ₹1,72,000 Silver Futures (SILVERZ2025 – 4H Chart) Technical Outlook
Elliott Wave Structure & Current Setup
Silver is currently trading in Wave 4, and the corrective phase appears to be complete.
Silver has completed its Wave 4 correction and has started a new impulsive leg (Wave 5).
A breakout above ₹1,50,000 has confirmed bullish momentum, supported by RSI and MACD signals.
📈 Upside Targets:
₹1,59,000 – first resistance / 6% upside
₹1,72,000 – extended target / 13.5% upside
⚙️ Supports:
₹1,49,000 – near breakout retest zone
₹1,44,000 – wave 4 base, invalidation below this level
HarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (12-Nov-2025)GANESHBEHarunStocks Short-Term Investment Call (12-Nov-2025)
Stock: GANESGBE
Current Market Price (CMP): ₹85.75
Quantity: 600 Shares (Approx. Investment: ₹50,000)
Recommendation: Buy and Hold for 3 Months
Resistance Level: ₹113
Target Price: ₹133
Stop Loss: ₹81.20
Observation:
GANESGBE is displaying positive price action with potential for short-term upward momentum. The stock is trading near a support zone, offering an attractive risk–reward setup. A sustained move above ₹113 could accelerate the next leg of the rally toward ₹133. Investors may consider initiating a buy position at current levels and holding for approximately three months with a stop loss placed at ₹81.20.
Disclaimer:
The information provided herein is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and seek guidance from a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
📺 For more details, visit our YouTube channel: @SHARETRADINGGURU
Crude oil AI tool showing unmove will continue until 5300 break 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Crude is holding firm above ₹5,350, showing renewed bullish momentum.
- Trend: Long Build‑Up (Price↑ + OI↑), indicating fresh long positions.
- Supports: ₹5,350 / ₹5,300 / ₹5,250.
- Resistances: ₹5,420 / ₹5,480 / ₹5,550.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if ₹5,350 holds; corrective pullback risk below ₹5,300.
Divergence Explained with ClarityOption Trading in India: Settlement and Expiry
In India, options are European-style, meaning they can only be exercised on the expiry date (unlike American options, which can be exercised anytime).
Most traders don’t hold options till expiry — they square off (buy or sell back) before expiry to realize profits or cut losses.
Expiry cycles:
Index Options (like NIFTY/BANK NIFTY): Weekly and Monthly expiries.
Stock Options: Monthly expiries only.
The settlement happens in cash; there’s no physical delivery for index options, while stock options can have physical settlement at expiry.
AITool showing Natural gas 395 until not break upmove continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Natural Gas is holding steady above ₹402, showing mild bullish momentum.
- Trend: Long Build‑Up (Price↑ + OI↑), suggesting fresh long positions.
- Supports: ₹399 / ₹395 / ₹389.
- Resistances: ₹406 / ₹412 / ₹420.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if ₹399 holds; corrective pullback risk below ₹395.
Part 2 How to Draw Accurate Support and Resistance LevelsParticipants in Option Trading
There are four primary participants in the options market:
Buyer of Call Option (Long Call) – Expects the price to rise.
Seller of Call Option (Short Call) – Expects the price to fall or remain flat.
Buyer of Put Option (Long Put) – Expects the price to fall.
Seller of Put Option (Short Put) – Expects the price to rise or remain flat.
Each participant has a specific risk-reward profile. Option buyers have limited risk (the premium paid) and unlimited profit potential. Option sellers, on the other hand, have limited profit (premium received) but potentially unlimited risk.
Silver mcx upmove will continue AI tool showing 154700 SL 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Silver is holding firm above ₹156,500, showing strong bullish momentum.
- Trend: Long Build‑Up (Price↑ + OI↑), indicating accumulation by traders.
- Supports: ₹155,700 / ₹154,800 / ₹154,000.
- Resistances: ₹157,500 / ₹158,200 / ₹159,000.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if ₹155,700 holds; corrective pullback risk below ₹154,800.
Silver 51.50 target hit AI tool showing unmove will continue 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Silver is holding firm above $51.5, showing strong bullish momentum.
- Trend: Long Build‑Up (Price↑ + OI↑), indicating accumulation by traders.
- Supports: $51.2 / $50.8 / $50.3.
- Resistances: $52.0 / $52.6 / $53.2.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if $51.2 holds; corrective pullback risk below $50.8.
Gold H1 – 5-Wave Complete Amid Fed Rate Hopes & Dollar Rebound🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 12/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Elliott Wave Context
Gold appears to have completed a clear 5-wave impulsive advance on the H1 chart, with wave 5 reaching into the premium zone around 4,149–4,151. Concurrently, macro news is supporting bullion: weaker US labour data and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have bolstered safe-haven flows.
Now price is retracing from the highs, suggesting that a classic corrective ABC sequence may be forming.
🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure)
• Wave 1: Initiation rally from ~3,965
• Wave 2: Shallow pull-back to near ~4,000
• Wave 3: Strong impulse past ~4,080 → extended
• Wave 4: Controlled correction holding trend-line support
• Wave 5: Final push topping near ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
With the 5-wave impulse complete, the market is likely shifting into:
Wave A → bear leg
Wave B → corrective rebound
Wave C → deeper decline
📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC)
Wave A projection:
• Likely break below the 2-4 trend-line
• First reaction zone: ~4,081 (Fibonacci 0.382)
• Main downside target: ~4,059 (BUY ZONE)
Wave B projection:
• Corrective rebound toward either ~4,108 or ~4,149 (upper premium)
Wave C projection:
• Key downside targets:
o ~4,037 (Fibo 0.618)
o ~4,025–4,010 (trend-line support)
Wave C often equals Wave A in length → aligns with ~4,059 zone for potential cycle end.
Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-based)
Scenario 1 – SELL the corrective wave (A–B–C)
Preferred strategy given completed impulse.
Entry: After H1 candle breaks below 2-4 trend-line, or on Wave B retest into ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE)
Stop Loss: Above wave-5 high: ~4,155
Take Profit zones:
• TP1: ~4,081
• TP2: ~4,059
• TP3: ~4,037
Scenario 2 – BUY only if correction invalidates
If gold refuses to break the 2-4 trend-line and pushes above ~4,155 → wave 5 may extend.
Entry: Above ~4,155
SL: ~4,149
TP: ~4,175–4,200
📌 Summary
For 12/11, gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now ripe for a corrective ABC pattern. With macro forces (Fed rate-cut expectations, weaker dollar) providing backdrop, the highest-probability trade is to sell the Wave B retest and ride Wave C toward deeper support near ~4,059. Stay patient, let the structure confirm the impulse → correction transition before committing.






















