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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 26/08/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Price is currently in the overbought zone. The ongoing bullish cycle has already produced 5 daily candles. Combined with the overbought condition, this suggests that upside momentum is weakening. If no strong breakout occurs within the next 1–2 days, it is likely that the market is still in a larger corrective phase on the daily chart. • H4 timeframe: Momentum has turned bearish, with strong selling pressure emerging right after wave 2 was considered complete. This is an unusual sign and raises caution for the bullish scenario. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to turn bearish, which implies an incoming corrective pullback. This is not an encouraging signal at a stage where wave 3 is expected to develop. 2. Wave Structure • D1: The main scenario still follows the larger corrective triangle. Price is unfolding waves 1–2 (green), and the current bullish leg is expected to be wave 3 (green). However, the strength so far has not been convincing. Having already completed 5 D1 candles without a decisive breakout suggests weakness in the rally. • H4: The Asian session opened with a strong rally, but this momentum quickly faded and was followed by aggressive selling. Momentum reversed sharply, highlighting abnormal behavior for the expected uptrend. • H1: At the 3387 level, strong selling pressure appeared, whereas this should have been the breakout zone for wave 3 (black) after surpassing wave 1 (black). Ideally, price should have pushed straight toward 3403 to confirm the impulsive strength of wave 3. This unusual behavior suggests that wave 1 (black) actually completed at 3387, and the market is now in wave 2 (black). On the lower timeframe (M15), the current decline is forming an ABC structure, with the measured target for wave C at 3364 – a potential buy zone. If price falls back to 3350 and breaks below, the 1–2–3–4–5 (yellow) count will be invalidated. In that case, the market may be unfolding a larger corrective structure, and the wave count plan will need to be updated. 3. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3365 – 3363 • Stop Loss: 3349 • Take Profit 1: 3387 • Take Profit 2: 3403 ⚠️ Note: The stop-loss range is relatively wide, and momentum does not fully support the bullish wave scenario yet. Traders should consider carefully before entering directly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold SMC Playbook 25/08 – Liquidity Hunt at 3400 & 3325Market Context (SMC Perspective) Price is consolidating near 3367 after a strong impulsive move upward and is currently reacting around a minor resistance area. Clear ChoCH and BOS patterns indicate bullish intent on the H1 timeframe; however, liquidity pools still lie below 3343 and 3325 (buy-side liquidity). Imbalance zones spotted: 3343–3341 and a deeper order block zone around 3325–3323. Key Levels Resistance (Supply): 3372 – 3382 – 3389 Support (Demand): 3350 – 3342 – 3325 SMC Bias: Mixed – Opportunities to Play Both Long & Short Around Liquidity 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Liquidity Grab) Entry: 3400 – 3403 (above local liquidity sweep) Stop Loss: 3408 Targets: TP1: 3390 (partial) TP2: 3380 TP3: 3370 TP4: 3360 (opens 3350 liquidity zone) Rationale: Expecting a sweep above 3400 into supply, followed by mitigation and a sell-off. 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bullish Continuation from Demand OB) Entry 1 (Scalp Buy): 3343 – 3341 (reactive zone), SL 3337 Entry 2 (Main OB): 3325 – 3323 (strong OB), SL 3319 Targets: TP1: 3330 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3350 TP4: 3370 (opens 3390 liquidity) Rationale: Price may retrace below 3340 to fill imbalance and mitigate the 3325 OB before the next bullish leg. Execution Plan (SMC Flow): Wait for a liquidity sweep at highs or lows (above 3400 or below 3325) with proper confirmation. Look for ChoCH and BOS signals on LTF (M5–M15) around OB zones for entry confirmation. Trail stop loss after TP1 is hit; take partial profits and hold the remaining position toward the final liquidity target.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 24/8/2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising → High probability that price will continue its bullish move on Monday. • H4 timeframe: Momentum remains bullish → Price is expected to keep rising early in the week to complete wave (3) in yellow. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → The short-term correction is nearing its end, we look for buy opportunities. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Friday’s strong bullish candle reinforces the scenario that wave (1) and (2) in blue are complete, and wave (3) in blue may already be forming. We need price to break above the top of wave (1) in blue to confirm the development of wave (3). • H4 timeframe: Price rallied sharply and broke above the top of wave (1) in yellow → This confirms price is currently in wave (3) in yellow. With momentum on H4 still rising, wave (3) likely has more room to continue. • H1 timeframe: The corrective ABC structure has completed, followed by a sharp and steep rally (as projected in Friday’s plan). Price broke above 3350 – the top of wave (1) in yellow → Confirming the scenario that price is in wave (3) in yellow. o Minimum target for wave (3) in yellow: 3387. o Principle: Do not counter-trade wave (3); instead, wait for wave (4) correction to look for buy entries in wave (5). Trading Strategy With H1 approaching the oversold zone and showing a mild correction, we have two options for entries: 1. Breakout: Wait for price to break above the small descending trendline as shown on the chart → Enter breakout buy. 2. Pullback entry: Wait for price to retrace to the 3362 area → Buy from there. Trade Plan: • Buy Zone: 3364 – 3361 • Stop Loss: 3354 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3378 o TP2: 3387 o TP3: 3403
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Bitcoin / USD – 15m Short Sell In this setup, I’m tracking BTC price action using the Fear Index (21) and Trend Shift Histogram (14) as confluence indicators for potential entries. 🔻 Key Observations: The Fear Index showed a strong spike before the sharp sell-off, indicating growing selling pressure. The Trend Shift Histogram gave multiple bearish signals (highlighted with arrows), aligning with the price rejection and downward continuation. After the heavy drop, BTC attempted a recovery but faced resistance within the marked zone, forming a bearish retest. 📌 Trade Setup: Short entry taken on confirmation of bearish trend shift. Stop loss placed above the rejection zone. Target aligned with the momentum continuation shown by the histogram and fear index. ⚡️ Conclusion: This setup highlights how combining sentiment-based indicators (Fear Index) with momentum confirmation (Trend Shift Histogram) can help anticipate strong market moves. Always manage risk carefully, as volatility in lower timeframes can be sharp.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Clarity_Charts
The Anatomy of Market Structure : JK PAPER1) Supply-Demand Conversion Zone Observation The highlighted grey rectangular zone on the chart represents a critical supply-demand conversion area. This zone, spanning approximately the ₹280-₹320 range, has historically acted as a significant inflection point where institutional money flow patterns have shifted. 2) The Inverted Head and Shoulders Formation Above this conversion zone sits a textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern, meticulously marked with dotted lines. This formation showcases three distinct troughs: -Left Shoulder: Formed during the initial decline phase -Head: The deepest trough representing maximum bearish sentiment -Right Shoulder: A higher low indicating weakening selling pressure 3) The pattern's neckline resistance (depicted by the red counter-trend line) : Its true nature is to provide resistance as a downward sloping trend continues up until trend shifts, also know as Market structure shift . Disclaimer: This analysis is purely educational and structural in nature. It does not constitute investment advice, trading recommendations, or buy/sell signals. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NSE:JKPAPERLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 26-Aug-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 26-Aug-2025 On 25-Aug-2025, Nifty closed at 24,978, positioned between critical levels. The key support and resistance zones for tomorrow are: Opening Support: 24,892 Opening Resistance: 25,005 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,091 Profit Booking Zone: 25,190 – 25,234 Last Intraday Support: 24,697 – 24,725 Now let’s go through possible scenarios. 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 25,091) If Nifty opens above 25,091, it directly enters the bullish zone. 📌 Plan of Action: Watch for sustainability above 25,091 in the first 15–30 minutes. If sustained, the index can march towards the Profit Booking Zone 25,190 – 25,234. In this zone, expect some consolidation or profit booking. Fresh long positions should be cautious here. If 25,234 is taken out convincingly, it may lead to another strong rally, but chasing at higher levels 🚫 is risky. Failure to sustain above 25,091 may result in a pullback toward the 25,005 – 24,892 zone. 👉 Tip: On gap-ups, avoid aggressive buying at open. Wait for retracements near support to enter for better risk–reward. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 24,892 – 25,005) A flat start around the opening support–resistance zone will be a deciding factor for intraday trend. 📌 Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 25,005, it will likely attempt a breakout towards 25,091 → 25,190–25,234 zone. Failure to hold 24,892 will open downside towards 24,725 – 24,697 (Last Intraday Support). In flat openings, the first 30 minutes are crucial. Let the index pick direction before entering. 👉 Tip: For options traders, flat openings are best for straddle/strangle adjustments. Capture volatility once direction confirms. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 24,892) If Nifty opens below 24,892, it will show bearish pressure right from the start. 📌 Plan of Action: Below 24,892, the index can test the Last Intraday Support Zone: 24,725 – 24,697. Buyers may attempt to defend this support, so expect a bounce opportunity here (good for scalpers). If 24,697 is broken with volume, further downside continuation may occur. Avoid panic shorts at the open — wait for a retest of resistance before entering for safer trades. 👉 Tip: After a gap-down, use put spreads instead of naked puts to manage risk in case of sharp reversals. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade. Always trade with a defined stop-loss . Do not average losing positions. Avoid over-leveraging, especially in weekly expiry sessions ⚡. Prefer spreads (Bull Call, Bear Put, Iron Condors) to reduce premium decay impact. Track India VIX 📉 before entering — high VIX means bigger moves, low VIX means range-bound. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 25,091 → 25,190–25,234 (Profit Booking Zone) . 🟧 Flat around 24,892–25,005 = Wait for breakout/breakdown confirmation . 🔴 Below 24,892 → 24,725–24,697 (Buyer’s defense zone) . Key Pivot: 24,892 – 25,005 zone for intraday trend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading/investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 26-Aug-2025📊 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 26-Aug-2025 The price action on 25-Aug-2025 has defined critical levels for the next trading session. The Opening Support/Resistance Zone is 55,093 – 55,193, with key upside resistances at 55,322 and 55,528–55,603, while the strong downside support remains in the 54,563 – 54,745 Buyer’s Zone. Let’s analyze the trading plan for all opening scenarios. 🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points Above 55,322) If Bank Nifty opens above 55,322, it enters the bullish territory, testing the “Opening Resistance” directly. 📌 Plan of Action: Watch if the price sustains above 55,322 for 15–30 minutes. Sustaining here will attract buying momentum. Next target would be the Last Intraday Resistance zone 55,528–55,603. If momentum continues and buyers hold above 55,603, extension towards 55,920 is possible. If the index fails to hold above 55,322, then profit booking may pull it back toward 55,193 – 55,093 zone for retesting. Risk note: Do not chase calls aggressively after a big gap-up 🚫. Always prefer entering on dips toward support for safer risk–reward. ➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 55,093–55,193) A flat opening around the Opening Support/Resistance Zone will be a balanced case where the market decides the next trend based on initial strength. 📌 Plan of Action: If price sustains above 55,193, it can gradually move higher towards 55,322 → 55,528–55,603. Failure to hold above 55,093 will invite selling pressure and drag the index towards the Buyer’s Zone (54,745–54,563). First 30 minutes are crucial — let the market structure develop before entering trades to avoid false breakouts. Risk note: Use hedged option strategies like Bull Call Spreads or Iron Condors if volatility is high. This helps reduce premium decay risk. 🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points Below 54,950) A sharp gap-down below 55,000 would put pressure on bulls and may activate the Buyer’s Zone. 📌 Plan of Action: If Bank Nifty opens below 55,000 and fails to reclaim 55,093, then the downside target becomes 54,745 – 54,563. A bounce from the Buyer’s Zone can give scalping opportunities on the long side, but only with strict stop-loss. If even 54,563 breaks, expect further downside expansion. Option writers may benefit from selling Calls. Risk note: After a gap-down, avoid panic entries 🚦. Wait for retests of broken levels before confirming trend direction. 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders Never risk more than 1–2% of capital on a single trade. Avoid trading immediately in the first 5 minutes after open; let volatility cool down. Always maintain stop-losses in both futures and options. Prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) over naked positions to control risk. Remember: Protecting capital is more important than chasing every move. 💡 📌 Summary & Conclusion 🟢 Above 55,322 → 55,528–55,603 → 55,920 possible. 🟧 Flat near 55,093–55,193 = decision zone, wait for breakout/breakdown. 🔴 Below 55,093 → 54,745–54,563 Buyer’s Zone will be tested. Key pivot: 55,093–55,193 zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading/investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
United Breweries – Confluence of Supports Testing Bulls’ NerveThe stock has completed a clear 5-wave impulse into the 2182.45 high. Since then, price action has unfolded into a complex W–X–Y corrective structure. Now, price is testing a confluence of supports — the strong demand area, channel bottom, and the rising 200-week MA. This cluster raises the probability of a bounce, which may mark the beginning of Wave X2/1. The 200-week MA serves as dynamic support and a trailing stop, while the hard invalidation remains at 1810 . A decisive close below this level would negate the bullish scenario and signal deeper weakness. Summary: Completed 5-wave advance into 2182.45 Current correction unfolding as W–X–Y Multiple supports aligning (MA200 + channel + demand area) Bounce potential into Wave X2/1 Dynamic stop: MA200 | Hard invalidation: 1810 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please DYOR before making trading decisions.
NSE:UBLLong
by WaveXplorer
XAUUSD (Gold) – Price Structure & Next Moves Gold has been respecting channel formations and reacting strongly to key levels. Recently, price broke out of a falling channel and is now consolidating inside a new structure. 🔹 Observations: Price bounced strongly from the lower trendline support zone around 3320–3340. Resistance formed near 3380–3400, aligning with previous supply. Multiple channel structures show how gold is respecting trendlines both on the upside and downside. Buyers stepped in after a corrective phase, keeping the bullish structure intact. 🔹 Scenarios Ahead: Bullish Path (Red Arrow): If price holds above 3320–3340 support, we could see continuation higher. Break above 3400–3420 could target 3480–3500 zone. Pullback Path: If price fails to sustain above 3380, expect a retest of 3340–3320 before another attempt upward. Deeper support sits around 3280–3260 if sellers regain control. 📈 Bias: Currently leaning bullish as long as price respects the channel and support zones. Short-term pullbacks remain buying opportunities. ⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with stop-loss below key supports and use trailing stops as price progresses.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
1
Bitcoin – Trading Plan Update Bitcoin – Trading Plan Update Hello traders, The BTC scenario has played out well, with price reacting strongly at 110.4k and bouncing higher. This level has cleared much of the short-side liquidity, while the H4 candle could not close below the 111.8k support. As a result, long entries around 110k can still be expected to target higher levels, at least towards 115.5k. The primary focus remains on the long side as long as price does not confirm a sustained bearish move. Long positions will remain valid until price breaks decisively below 110k. For traders who already closed longs or missed the earlier entry, wait for a retest of the FVG zone near 111.5k. If price reacts higher, fresh longs around 113k can be considered. Short-term selling opportunities may also appear near 115.5k and 117.2k, where price could face resistance. My BTC strategies are still aligning well with current price action. That said, this is my personal outlook based on my trading method. Please trade responsibly, stick to your own plan, and manage risk carefully. What’s your view on BTC right now? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold – Weekly Opening Update Gold – Weekly Opening Update Hello traders, Gold is holding firm after last week’s strong rally. As mentioned in my earlier analysis, gold has completed an ABC Elliott Wave structure beautifully, with wave C pushing higher and meeting the original target perfectly. As the new week begins, the market has opened quietly, with price consolidating around 3368. At this stage, gold is in an accumulation phase, and traders are waiting for a clear confirmation before taking fresh positions. Gold has formed a minor resistance at 3359. If price breaks below this level, it could act as a short-term sell confirmation, with possible entries around 3366. On the other hand, if gold holds steady or breaks above last week’s resistance high, the bias will shift to long-term buying opportunities. Even if a sell plays out after breaking 3359, the next strong buy zone sits around 3345, aligned with the ascending trendline. Since price is still within the flag pattern, trading is expected to remain focused on the market’s major liquidity zones. On the D1 chart, the structure continues to favour the upside bias. Any selling setups should be kept to short scalping plays for better risk control and higher accuracy. This is my personal outlook for Monday’s session. Trade carefully and manage your account with discipline. What’s your view on gold to start the week? Share your thoughts in the comments so we can learn together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Buy the dip CholaFin CMP 1509 Elliott - the next tgt for the counter is at 1950. Since all the swings will get exhausted a bigger three wave correction will unfold once the stock meets the tgt. Candlestick - the huge wicks on the top on several candles is an indication of selling pressure on the previous highs. Hence this correction is not over yet. Fibs - The trendline support and the fib support around 1320 will be an ideal zone to buy this counter. Conclusion - keep a tab on this one as the tgt from 1300 will be a good 45% .
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by singh17vivek
INFOSYS: A stock to consider adding to your portfolioHello, Infosys Limited (NSE: INFY, NYSE: INFY) has long been one of the crown jewels of India’s IT sector. Founded in 1981, the company has grown into a global leader in consulting, technology, and outsourcing services. Today, Infosys is not only a key player in India’s digital transformation but also a significant competitor on the global stage against names like Accenture, IBM, and Capgemini. Infosys offers a broad suite of services—ranging from application development, engineering, and cloud solutions to its flagship banking platform, Finacle. Its operations are diversified across industries: • Financial Services & Insurance • Manufacturing & Hi-Tech • Energy, Utilities & Communication • Retail, Consumer & Logistics • Life Sciences & Healthcare The competition is intense. Infosys battles with domestic rivals like TCS, Wipro, HCL Tech, LTIMindtree, and globally with Accenture, Cognizant, IBM, and Capgemini. Still, Infosys has carved out a strong position thanks to its cost efficiency, high-quality talent pool, and scalable digital solutions. One thing investors love about Infosys is consistency. Over the last 10 years, revenue has climbed from ₹501.33B in 2013 to ₹1.63T in 2024. That’s more than 3x growth in just a decade. Even in the last financial year, despite global tech spending slowdown, revenues still grew +6% YoY. Net Income tells a similar story. In 2013, the company earned ₹106.56B, but by 2024 that figure swelled to ₹267.13B. Net margins have stayed healthy, averaging ~16% over the last three years. Return metrics are impressive too: • ROA: 18.57% • ROE: 30.63% Infosys runs a very clean balance sheet. Assets stood at ₹1.38T in 2024 against a very manageable ₹83.59B in debt. That low leverage gives the company flexibility to weather downturns and invest in growth. Cash is king, and Infosys has plenty of it. Free cash flow has grown from ₹94.56B in 2013 to ₹354.97B in 2024. This allows the company to fund innovation, buy back shares, and keep rewarding investors through dividends. Infosys is set to release its next earnings report on October 16th, 2025, with analysts expecting an EPS of ₹17.47. This could be a key event to watch for short-term volatility. From a technical perspective the stock has been on a sideways move since 2022 and is currently trading at the bottom of the flat channel. We see this as a perfect time for investors to join into the upward move as the current valuations present a perfect entry opportunity. We see INR 1960 as a short term achieve.
NSE:INFYLong
by thesharkke
1
Part 3 Trading Master Class With ExpertsOption Trading Psychology Patience: Many options expire worthless, don’t chase every trade. Discipline: Stick to stop-loss and position sizing. Avoid Greed: Sellers earn small consistent income but risk blow-up if careless. Stay Informed: News, earnings, and events impact volatility. Tips for Beginners in Options Trading Start with buying calls/puts before selling. Trade liquid instruments like Nifty/Bank Nifty. Learn Greeks slowly, don’t jump into complex strategies. Avoid naked option selling without hedging. Paper trade before risking real capital. Role of Volatility in Options Volatility is the lifeblood of options. High Volatility = Expensive Premiums. Low Volatility = Cheap Premiums. Traders often use Implied Volatility (IV) to decide whether to buy (when IV is low) or sell (when IV is high).
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Part 2 Trading Master Class With ExpertsOptions in Indian Markets In India, options are traded on NSE and BSE, primarily on: Index Options: Nifty, Bank Nifty (most liquid). Stock Options: Reliance, TCS, Infosys, etc. Weekly Expiry: Every Thursday (Nifty/Bank Nifty). Lot Sizes: Fixed by exchanges (e.g., Nifty = 50 units). Practical Example – Nifty Options Trade Scenario: Nifty at 20,000. You expect big movement after RBI policy. Strategy: Buy straddle (20,000 call + 20,000 put). Cost = ₹200 (call) + ₹180 (put) = ₹380 × 50 = ₹19,000. If Nifty moves to 20,800 → Call worth ₹800, Put worthless. Profit = ₹21,000. If Nifty stays at 20,000 → Both expire worthless. Loss = ₹19,000.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
PCR Trading StrategyKey Terms in Options Trading Before diving into strategies, let’s master some core concepts: Underlying Asset: The stock/index/commodity on which the option is based. Strike Price: The price at which the option can be exercised. Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract ends. Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller (writer) for the contract. In-the-Money (ITM): Option has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised). At-the-Money (ATM): Underlying price = Strike price. Out-of-the-Money (OTM): Option has no intrinsic value yet (not profitable to exercise). Lot Size: Options are traded in lots (e.g., Nifty option has a fixed lot of 50 units). Leverage: Options allow control of large positions with smaller capital. How Options Work Options are like insurance. Imagine you own a house worth ₹50 lakh and buy insurance. You pay a small premium so that if the house burns down, you can recover your value. Similarly: A call option is like paying for the right to buy a stock cheaper later. A put option is like insurance against stock prices falling.
AQUISUK:TATAEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
STOVEKRAFT LONGElliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed wave i in black circle. Currently, the stock is undergoing correction wave ii shown in black circle. wave (ii) will move in (a), (b), and (c) in a daily time frame in blue color. Wave (a) in blue colour is completed and the stock is currently in wave (b). Wave (b) will unfold in three sub-waves (a-b-c) shown in red colour on the chart. Wave a and b (red colour) of wave (b) is completed and the stock is in wave c of wave (b). Price is moving in a channel. Wave level is shown on the chart. Level of Invalidation The starting point of Wave a has been identified as the invalidation level at 524.7. If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems. I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests. Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses. Regards Dr Vineet
NSE:STOVEKRAFT
by drvineet
Bullish Trade Setup for XRP/USD - Pattern CompletionThis is a bullish setup based on a harmonic pattern completing, with the price approaching a key resistance zone. Our entry, stop-loss (SL), and take-profit (TP) levels are clearly marked on the chart. Entry: 3.0628 The entry point is marked when the price reaches the ideal level for the pattern completion. Take Profit (TP): 3.1832 This is the target area where the price is expected to move towards, as per the harmonic pattern and previous price action. Stop Loss (SL): 2.9627 The stop-loss is placed below the low of the last structure to protect from unexpected price movement. Technical Analysis: Pattern Identification: A clear bullish harmonic pattern is visible, with points X, A, B, C, and D forming a potential Bat or Gartley pattern. This type of setup has historically shown a high probability of reversal or continuation at point D. Price Action Confirmation: The price has already shown some signs of reversal at point C, with increasing buying volume at the current levels. The market sentiment is strong, and we are entering at a point where the pattern completion aligns with the overall bullish market structure. Volume: There is a noticeable increase in volume as the price approaches the resistance zone (point X), supporting the idea of a bullish breakout. Risk-to-Reward (RRR): The setup offers a 1:2.56 RRR, which is well within an acceptable range, ensuring that the potential reward outweighs the risk taken on the trade. Why This Trade Makes Sense: Pattern Confirmation: The harmonic pattern is completing, and price action aligns with the expectations of a move higher. Key Resistance Break: If the price breaks above the marked resistance, this could signify a strong continuation of the bullish trend. Solid Risk Management: With a well-placed stop loss, the trade is risk-managed while giving the price room to move. This setup provides a good risk-to-reward ratio and a high probability of success, based on the technical confluence of the harmonic pattern and price action.
DELTAIN:XRPUSD.PLong
by Crystal_0404
Futures Trading ExplainedIntroduction Futures trading is one of the most powerful financial instruments in the world of investing and trading. Unlike traditional stock buying where you own a piece of a company, futures are derivative contracts that allow you to speculate on the price movement of commodities, currencies, indices, and financial assets without owning them directly. The futures market plays a crucial role in global finance by providing price discovery, risk management (hedging), and speculative opportunities. From farmers locking in prices for crops to institutional traders speculating on crude oil, futures are everywhere in the financial ecosystem. In this guide, we’ll explore futures trading in detail, covering everything from the basics to advanced strategies, with real-world examples. 1. What are Futures? A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price at a specific time in the future. Key points: Underlying asset: The thing being traded (wheat, crude oil, gold, stock index, currency, etc.). Standardized contract: The size, quality, and delivery date are pre-defined by the exchange. Leverage: Traders can control large positions with small capital (margin). Cash-settled or physical delivery: Some futures end with cash settlement, others with delivery of the actual asset. For example: A wheat farmer agrees to sell 1000 bushels of wheat at $7 per bushel for delivery in 3 months. The buyer agrees to purchase it. Regardless of where the price goes, both are bound to the contract terms. 2. History and Evolution of Futures Futures are not new – they date back centuries. Japan (1700s): The Dojima Rice Exchange in Osaka is considered the birthplace of futures. Rice merchants used contracts to stabilize income. Chicago Board of Trade (1848): Modern futures trading started in the U.S. with grain contracts. 20th Century: Expansion into metals, livestock, and energy. Late 20th to 21st Century: Financial futures (currencies, indices, interest rates) became dominant. Today, futures are traded worldwide on major exchanges like CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), ICE (Intercontinental Exchange), and NSE (National Stock Exchange of India). 3. Futures vs. Other Instruments To understand futures better, let’s compare them with other markets: Futures vs. Stocks Stocks = Ownership of a company. Futures = Contract to trade an asset, no ownership. Stocks are unleveraged by default; futures use leverage. Futures vs. Options Options = Right but not obligation. Futures = Obligation for both buyer and seller. Options limit risk (premium paid); futures have unlimited risk. Futures vs. Forwards Forwards = Customized, private contracts (OTC). Futures = Standardized, exchange-traded, regulated. 4. How Futures Trading Works Let’s break down the mechanics: a) Contract Specifications Every futures contract specifies: Underlying asset (Gold, Nifty index, Crude oil, etc.) Contract size (e.g., 100 barrels of oil) Expiration date (e.g., March 2025 contract) Tick size (minimum price movement) Settlement type (cash/physical) b) Margin and Leverage Traders don’t pay full value; they post margin (a percentage, usually 5–15%). Example: 1 crude oil futures contract = 100 barrels. If price = $80, contract value = $8,000. Margin required may be $800. You control $8,000 with just $800. c) Mark-to-Market (MTM) Futures are settled daily. Profits and losses are adjusted every day. If your trade is in profit, money is credited; if in loss, debited. d) Long and Short Positions Long = Buy (expecting price rise). Short = Sell (expecting price fall). Unlike stocks, short selling in futures is easy because contracts don’t require ownership of the asset. 5. Participants in Futures Market The market brings together different players: Hedgers – Reduce risk. Example: A farmer sells wheat futures to lock in price; an airline buys crude oil futures to hedge fuel cost. Speculators – Profit from price movements. Traders, investors, hedge funds. They provide liquidity but assume higher risk. Arbitrageurs – Exploit price differences. Example: Buy in spot market and sell futures if mispricing exists. 6. Types of Futures Contracts Futures are available across asset classes: a) Commodity Futures Agricultural: Wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee. Energy: Crude oil, natural gas. Metals: Gold, silver, copper. b) Financial Futures Index futures (Nifty, S&P 500). Currency futures (USD/INR, EUR/USD). Interest rate futures (10-year bond yields). c) Other Emerging Futures Volatility index futures (VIX). Crypto futures (Bitcoin, Ethereum). 7. Futures Trading Strategies Futures are flexible and allow many trading approaches: a) Directional Trading Going long if expecting price rise. Going short if expecting price fall. b) Hedging Farmers hedge crop prices. Exporters/importers hedge currency fluctuations. Investors hedge stock portfolios with index futures. c) Spread Trading Buy one contract, sell another. Example: Buy December crude oil futures, sell March crude oil futures (calendar spread). d) Arbitrage Exploiting mispricing between spot and futures. Example: If Gold futures are overpriced compared to spot, arbitrageurs sell futures and buy spot. e) Advanced Strategies Pairs trading: Trade correlated futures. Hedged positions: Combining futures with options. 8. Advantages of Futures Trading High Leverage: Amplifies potential returns. Liquidity: Major futures markets have deep liquidity. Transparency: Regulated by exchanges. Flexibility: Can trade both rising and falling markets. Hedging tool: Reduces risk exposure. 9. Risks in Futures Trading While powerful, futures are risky: Leverage risk: Losses are amplified just like profits. Volatility risk: Futures can swing widely. Margin calls: If losses exceed margin, traders must add funds. Liquidity risk: Some contracts may have low volume. Unlimited losses: Unlike options, risk is not capped. Example: If you short crude oil at $80 and it rises to $120, your losses are massive. 10. Practical Example of Futures Trade Imagine you believe gold prices will rise. Gold futures contract size: 100 grams. Current price: ₹60,000 per 10 grams → Contract value = ₹600,000. Margin requirement: 10% = ₹60,000. You buy one contract at ₹60,000. If gold rises to ₹61,000 → Profit = ₹1,000 × 10 = ₹10,000. If gold falls to ₹59,000 → Loss = ₹10,000. A small move in price leads to large gains or losses due to leverage. Conclusion Futures trading is a double-edged sword – a tool of immense power for hedging and speculation, but equally capable of wiping out capital if misused. Traders must understand contract mechanics, manage leverage wisely, and apply strict risk management. For professionals and disciplined traders, futures offer unparalleled opportunities. For careless traders, they can be disastrous. The bottom line: Learn the basics thoroughly. Start small with proper risk controls. Treat futures trading as a skill to master, not a gamble. If used smartly, futures trading can become a gateway to financial growth and protection against market uncertainty.
NSE:TATAMOTORSEducation
by TechnicalExpress
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