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Wave Analysis

Nifty will fall to its 200 WMA at 20,308Nifty's Impulse Wave started in June 2022 at 15,123 and completed Wave 5 in September 2024 at 26,269 (Orange lines and levels on chart). The chart is perfect with Wave 3 hitting 1.618 fib and Wave 5 hitting 2.618 fib. Note that Wave 4 was exceptionally quick. It then started an ABC correction wave (Blue on chart). Wave A completed in April at 21,712 (038 fib) and Wave B in June 2025 at 24,854. What's next? Wave C, of course! Wave Cs typically trace back to 0.5 fib to 0.68 fib and the 200 WMA is conveniently sitting right between them at 20,308 (red line) - and that's a solid support for the ABC correction to end.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by sohumm
$WCT 4Hr Analysis – Elliott Wave Breakdown In Progress BINANCE:WCTUSDT #WCT presents a clear Elliott Wave structure, with a completed 5-wave impulse followed by an ongoing A-B-C corrective phase. Wave (1) to (5) impulse topped at $0.4140 Current correction forming: Wave (a): Landed near $0.3152 Wave (b): Potential bounce expected toward the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone around $0.3646 Wave (c): Yet to unfold, likely to follow after a corrective rise 📊 Technical Insights: The recent drop is a textbook retracement after a strong bullish impulse Volume declining during correction – healthy sign for trend continuation Key Fibonacci retracement at 0.5 ($0.3646) could act as a supply zone wave (c) Support Zone: $0.3150 → $0.2920 Resistance Levels: $0.3500 and $0.3646 (Fibo 0.5) Confirmation for Bullish Continuation: Break and hold above $0.3646 on rising volume Short-term traders may watch for a bounce toward $0.36-$0.37, but caution is advised as wave (c) may follow. For mid-term setups, the correction could provide a solid reaccumulation opportunity before the next major impulse.
Long
by CryptoSatRed
SUBROS may have started 5th waveThe stock is in clear uptrend on higher time frames (Weekly & Monthly). It has given a break out on weekly time frame and now has come to retest the same level. In daily TF we can see the bullish candle on support and a corrective wave (A-B-C). It has also taken support on 50 EMA. So the confluence of the 2 context gives some conviction on this chart. If NIFTY goes up then the chances of this stock going up increase dramatically. NOTE: Pls do not take this as an advice, Just sharing my study.
NSE:SUBROSLong
by AniketNadhe
1
STARHEALTH LONGThe Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has finished corrective wave a-b-c since IPO came. Wave (i) is finished and wave (ii) is about to end, which are shown by blue numbers on the daily chart. It is a buying opportunity on the downturn (dip). Wave (iii) will begin following the completion of wave (ii). Wave (iii) is expected to have around five subdivisions, which are highlighted in red. Wave levels are depicted on the chart. Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern is also forming and shown on chart below. Level of Invalidation The invalidation level of 454.80 has been identified as the starting point for wave (i). If the price falls below this level, it means that the projected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it appears. I'm not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is done solely for academic purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I bear no responsibility for your profits or losses. Regards, VJ.
NSE:STARHEALTHLong
by drvineet
LONG BULIDUP??? RHIM???RHI Magnestia India ltd earlier known as Orient Refractories Limited (ORL) is in the business of manufacturing and marketing special refractory products, systems and services to the steel industry in India and Globally. It is a market leader for special refractories in India and has many global customers for its international quality products. Company has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. volume expansion visible around support area, looks like some big players have entered if i enter in this then i will hold for atleast 3 years, not for short term
NSE:RHIMLong
by mightymunna
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 30, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has started to reverse upward, but we need to wait for today’s daily candle to close for confirmation. Until then, there is still a risk of another short-term decline. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum lines are clustering in the overbought zone, signaling a possible weakening of the current upward move. However, this signal alone is not enough to confirm that the uptrend has ended. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure • Price has reached the projected target for wave e, but there has been no strong bullish reaction. The recent candles are short-bodied and overlapping – typical of corrective structures. Also, this wave has lasted longer than previous corrective upswings, suggesting that the decline may not be over yet and the wave count needs to be reviewed. Currently, we are facing two equally probable scenarios (50/50), but they suggest opposite outcomes: ➤ Scenario 1: Zigzag (5-3-5) Structure • The current structure may represent only wave A of a larger zigzag. • We are now in wave B, which tends to be complex and unpredictable, making it not ideal for wave-based trading. • The red zones marked on the chart indicate potential target areas for wave B. ➤ Scenario 2: Completed 5-Wave Correction • The downtrend may have completed at wave (e). • The current upward movement could be wave 1 forming as a triangle – a potential start of a new bullish cycle. • However, to confirm this scenario, price must hold above 3309. If it fails to do so and H4 momentum reverses downward, a new low is very likely. ________________________________________ 📝 Trading Plan Given the current market conditions, I only recommend short-term scalp trading based on the predefined support and resistance zones. Avoid wave-based trading until the structure becomes clearer. Once clarity returns, I will provide an updated trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Cosmos (ATOM) - Ecosystem Growth Amid Market ChallengesOn July 30, 2025, Cosmos (ATOM) experiences a 10% drop in price, reflecting the overall altcoin market's struggles. Despite this, the platform showcases significant growth with over 100 live chains and the recent launch of ShadeX, an encrypted money market. This report delves into the technical developments, market dynamics, and regulatory advancements influencing ATOM's trajectory and long-term potential. "Cosmos (ATOM) has dropped 10% this week amid altcoin weakness, currently testing key support at $4.50. Despite the price decline, fundamentals remain strong with 100+ live chains and growing institutional adoption via Revolut staking. This analysis covers: Critical support/resistance levels Volume analysis showing distribution pressure IBC protocol developments impact Regulatory tailwinds from U.S. Clarity Act #Cosmos #ATOM #Altcoin #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Blockchain #Staking #Interoperability" ATOM, Cosmos, Cryptocurrency, Technical Analysis, Altcoin, Blockchain, Trading, Crypto Markets, Staking, Interoperability
Long
by CryptoTechAnalyzer
Buy Apollo TubesAPL Apollo Tubes has completed one full motive wave and related corrective wave in the form of a zigzag. All the wave markings are given in the chart. One may consider going long on the stock with an initial target of 0.786 fibo retracement of the corrective wave. Stop loss is considered below 1.618 fibo retracement of Wave 2-3 to 4 of wave C of the corrective structure providing a risk-reward ratio of over 2.5x. Will update the further targets as the stock waves unfold. Happy Trading !!
NSE:APLAPOLLOLong
by ChartTheWave
1
Sell Laurus Labs Futures, wave iii of new impulse completed Laurus Labs one of the favourite stocks in pharma and for futures traders. The stock has completed its wave iii of the new impulse with a sub-wave 5 extension at about 1.618 times of sub-wave 0-3 to 4 of wave iii. The upside from here will be very limited. Sell Laurus Labs. Since stock is of high value, trade with a stop loss of 840. Will update target depending on type of correction as the wave progresses. Happy Trading!!
NSE:LAURUSLABS1!Short
by ChartTheWave
5
Retail Speculation & Margin Debt SurgeIntroduction Retail speculation and the surge in margin debt are two intertwined phenomena that reflect the sentiment, behavior, and sometimes irrational exuberance of retail investors in financial markets. While speculation is not inherently negative, excessive speculative activity—especially when fueled by borrowed money—can amplify market volatility and contribute to asset bubbles and subsequent crashes. This essay delves into the mechanisms, historical context, driving forces, and implications of retail speculation and rising margin debt, using data and examples from key financial events, including the dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the post-COVID bull market. Understanding Retail Speculation Retail speculation refers to the activity of non-professional investors—often individuals trading for personal gain—who make investment decisions primarily based on price momentum, sentiment, hype, or news, rather than fundamental analysis. Speculators typically seek short-term gains, and in bullish markets, they are drawn to high-risk, high-reward assets such as penny stocks, cryptocurrencies, meme stocks, or options. Characteristics of Retail Speculation Short-term focus: Most retail speculators are not long-term investors. Their trades are usually driven by the hope of quick profits. High-risk instruments: Options trading, leveraged ETFs, and volatile small-cap stocks are often preferred. Influence of social media and forums: Platforms like Reddit (e.g., WallStreetBets), YouTube, and Twitter have become powerful tools for spreading speculation-driven narratives. Emotional trading: Greed and fear dominate speculative behavior, often leading to herd mentality. What Is Margin Debt? Margin debt refers to money borrowed by investors from brokers to purchase securities. Buying on margin amplifies both gains and losses, making it a double-edged sword. When margin debt increases substantially during bull markets, it suggests rising confidence and risk appetite. However, it also raises the fragility of the financial system, as sharp downturns can trigger forced liquidations and margin calls. How Margin Works Investors must open a margin account and maintain a minimum margin requirement. They borrow funds against their existing holdings as collateral. If the value of their holdings drops below a certain threshold, they face a margin call—they must either deposit more funds or sell assets to cover losses. Historical Context: Booms, Bubbles, and Crashes Retail speculation and margin debt surges are not new. Throughout financial history, periods of easy money and technological disruption have often led to waves of speculative fervor, followed by painful corrections. 1. The 1929 Crash and the Great Depression In the late 1920s, a surge in retail investing, fueled by margin loans, led to unprecedented levels of speculation. By 1929, over 10% of U.S. households owned stock, many with borrowed money. Margin requirements were often as low as 10%. The market crash in October 1929 wiped out millions of investors, and the excessive margin played a significant role in deepening the crash. 2. The Dot-Com Bubble (Late 1990s – 2000) During the dot-com era, retail investors were drawn to internet startups with little or no earnings. Margin debt surged along with valuations. Many speculators bought tech stocks on margin, hoping to capitalize on exponential growth. When the bubble burst in March 2000, the NASDAQ lost nearly 80% of its value over the next two years, and investors faced massive margin calls. 3. The 2008 Financial Crisis Although retail speculation played a smaller role than institutional excesses, margin debt was again at high levels before the collapse. Hedge funds and some retail investors used leverage to increase exposure to mortgage-backed securities and stocks. When Lehman Brothers collapsed, widespread deleveraging followed. Implications and Risks 1. Amplification of Market Volatility When large numbers of investors trade on margin, small price declines can lead to forced selling. This selling pressure pushes prices down further, triggering more margin calls—a vicious cycle that can exacerbate crashes. 2. Asset Bubbles Speculative fervor often inflates asset prices beyond fundamental value. The tech bubble, meme stocks, and cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin (which had little intrinsic value but saw massive price spikes) are examples. When sentiment shifts, these assets often collapse in value. 3. Retail Investor Losses While some retail traders made fortunes during speculative booms, the vast majority lost money, especially those who entered near the peak. Trading on margin magnifies losses, sometimes wiping out entire accounts. 4. Systemic Risk Though retail investors are not as systemically significant as large institutions, high levels of leverage across many accounts can create systemic risks, especially when linked with broader market structures like derivatives and ETFs. Risk Management and Investor Behavior Retail investors often underestimate the risks of margin trading, especially during euphoric markets. Best Practices Understand margin mechanics: Know how margin calls work and the impact of volatility. Limit exposure: Avoid using maximum leverage. Diversify holdings: Spread investments across asset classes to reduce risk. Set stop-losses: Automatically limit downside. Stay informed: Monitor market trends, economic indicators, and company fundamentals. Conclusion Retail speculation and surges in margin debt are recurring features of financial markets. They reflect the optimism—and sometimes irrational exuberance—of individual investors who seek to ride market waves for profit. While such behavior can inject liquidity and vibrancy into markets, it also brings significant risks. When speculation is fueled by leverage, the consequences of a downturn can be severe, both for individuals and the broader financial system.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1
BHEL likely to complete wave V of first degree shortly BHEL completed wave (iii) and (iv) of first-degree impulse after major correction and is likely to complete (v) shortly. Wave Analysis :- Wave (i) was a 5-wave structure; (which reduces the chance of Wave (v) having its own extension. Wave (iii) was an extended-wave, i.e. it had its own 5-sub divisions, out of which one of the sub-waves will have its own extension. Wave (iii) had sub-wave 1 as an extension, i.e. it had its own 5 sub-divisions, sub-wave 3 formed at little over 1x distance of sub-wave 1 and sub-wave 5 formed at 0.382 extension of wave (0-3 to 4). Wave (iii) formed at 1.168 x of wave (i) which is of sufficient length. Considering above, there is little chance that Wave V will be an extended wave and has a higher probability to end shortly. Possible scenarios Stock is likely to face resistance at the confluence of two fibo extensions as given in the chart. Crucial levels to watch are 267.80, 275.05 or higher levels as indicated in the chart. Happy Trading !!
NSE:BHELShort
by ChartTheWave
20
Momentum, Swing & Day Trading StrategiesTrading in financial markets offers a variety of strategies suited to different timeframes, risk appetites, and goals. Among the most popular trading methodologies are Momentum Trading, Swing Trading, and Day Trading. These strategies, while overlapping in some aspects, are distinct in their approach to capitalizing on market opportunities. Each appeals to a particular type of trader and requires different skills, tools, and psychological traits. This guide provides a deep dive into these three trading styles, helping aspiring traders understand how they work, what tools are needed, and how to determine which might be the best fit for their goals. 1. Momentum Trading Definition Momentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the strength of existing market trends. Momentum traders aim to buy securities that are moving up and sell them when they show signs of reversing—or go short on securities that are moving down. The underlying belief is that stocks which are already trending strongly will continue to do so in the short term, as more traders jump on the bandwagon. Core Principles Trend Continuation: Assets that exhibit high momentum will likely continue in their direction for a while. Volume Confirmation: High volume typically confirms the strength of momentum. Short-term holding: Positions are held for a few minutes to several days. Relative Strength: Comparing the performance of securities to identify leaders and laggards. Example Strategy Identify stocks with high relative volume (5x or more average volume). Look for breakouts above recent resistance with strong volume. Enter the trade once confirmation occurs (price closes above resistance). Use a trailing stop-loss to ride the trend while locking in gains. 2. Swing Trading Definition Swing trading involves taking trades that last from a few days to a few weeks in order to capture short- to medium-term gains in a stock (or any financial instrument). Swing traders primarily use technical analysis due to the short-term nature of the trades but may also use fundamental analysis. This strategy bridges the gap between day trading and long-term investing. Core Principles Trend Identification: Traders look for mini-trends within larger trends. Support & Resistance: Entry and exit points are often based on technical levels. Risk-to-Reward Ratios: Focus on setups with favorable risk/reward profiles (typically 1:2 or better). Market Timing: Entry and exit are more strategic and less frequent than day trading. Example Strategy Scan for stocks in a clear uptrend or downtrend. Wait for a pullback to a key moving average or support zone. Enter on a bullish/bearish reversal candlestick pattern. Set stop-loss just below support or recent swing low. Set target profit at next resistance level or use a trailing stop. 3. Day Trading Definition Day trading is a strategy that involves buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day. Traders aim to exploit intraday price movements and typically close all positions before the market closes to avoid overnight risks. This strategy demands intense focus, fast decision-making, and a strong grasp of technical analysis. Core Principles Speed: Executing trades rapidly and precisely. Volume & Liquidity: Only liquid assets are traded to ensure quick execution. Leverage: Often used to increase potential profits (and losses). Volatility: The more a stock moves, the better for day trading. Example Setup Identify a high-volume stock with a news catalyst. Wait for an opening range breakout. Enter long/short based on breakout with tight stop-loss. Set profit targets based on support/resistance or risk-reward ratio. Tools Commonly Used Across All Strategies Regardless of the strategy, traders typically use the following tools: Charting Platforms: TradingView, ThinkorSwim, MetaTrader, NinjaTrader. Screeners: Finviz, Trade Ideas, MarketSmith. News Feed Services: Benzinga Pro, Bloomberg, CNBC, Twitter/X. Brokerage Platforms: Interactive Brokers, TD Ameritrade, E*TRADE, Fidelity. Risk Management Software: Used to calculate position sizing, stop losses. Risk Management: The Cornerstone of All Strategies No matter the strategy, risk management is essential. Key practices include: Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade. Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exits a losing trade at a predefined level. Risk-Reward Ratio: Most successful traders seek at least a 1:2 ratio. Diversification: Avoid overexposing to one sector or asset. Conclusion: Which Strategy is Right for You? Choosing the right trading strategy depends on your: Time availability: Can you watch the markets all day? Capital: Can you meet margin and liquidity requirements? Personality: Are you calm under pressure, or do you prefer slower decision-making? Experience level: Some strategies are more forgiving and suitable for beginners.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Market Drivers: Trade Policy, Inflation, SpeculationFinancial markets are influenced by a wide array of forces—ranging from fundamental economic indicators to investor psychology. Among the most impactful and multifaceted market drivers are trade policy, inflation, and speculation. These elements can significantly sway the direction of asset prices, influence macroeconomic stability, and affect the broader global economic system. I. Trade Policy as a Market Driver A. Definition and Components Trade policy refers to a country’s laws and strategies that govern international trade. It encompasses: Tariffs: Taxes imposed on imported goods. Quotas: Limits on the amount of a particular product that can be imported or exported. Trade agreements: Bilateral or multilateral treaties that establish trade rules. Subsidies and protections: Government support for domestic industries. These measures are designed to either protect domestic industries or promote international trade, often balancing between nationalist and globalist economic perspectives. B. Mechanisms of Influence Trade policy impacts markets in several ways: Cost Structures: Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, which can impact company profits and consumer prices. Supply Chains: Restrictions or incentives can alter how and where companies source their goods. Investment Flows: Favorable trade policies can attract foreign direct investment (FDI), while protectionist policies might repel it. Currency Valuation: Trade deficits or surpluses influenced by policy can strengthen or weaken a nation's currency. II. Inflation as a Market Driver A. Understanding Inflation Inflation refers to the general increase in prices over time, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by indices such as: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Producer Price Index (PPI) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Inflation arises from various sources, commonly categorized as: Demand-pull inflation: Too much money chasing too few goods. Cost-push inflation: Rising costs of production inputs. Built-in inflation: Wage-price spirals based on inflation expectations. B. How Inflation Influences Markets 1. Interest Rates Inflation directly impacts interest rate policy. Central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve in the U.S., adjust rates to control inflation. When inflation rises, central banks typically raise interest rates to cool demand and vice versa. Market Reaction: Bonds: Prices fall when interest rates rise because older bonds yield less than new ones. Stocks: Generally suffer when inflation rises due to higher costs and tighter monetary policy. Real Estate: Can benefit initially (due to higher asset values), but higher mortgage rates can dampen long-term demand. 2. Currency Value A country experiencing high inflation will often see its currency depreciate. Investors demand higher yields to hold assets denominated in that currency, and purchasing power diminishes. 3. Commodities and Precious Metals Gold, silver, and other commodities often rise in value during inflationary periods, serving as hedges against currency debasement. III. Speculation as a Market Driver A. What is Speculation? Speculation involves trading financial instruments with the aim of profiting from short-term fluctuations rather than long-term value. While investing relies on fundamentals, speculation often relies on technical indicators, market psychology, and trends. Speculators are prevalent in all markets: equities, forex, commodities, derivatives, and crypto-assets. B. Types of Speculators Retail Speculators: Individual traders using platforms like Robinhood or eToro. Institutional Traders: Hedge funds, proprietary trading desks. Algorithmic/Quant Traders: Firms using mathematical models and AI. IV. Interplay Between Trade Policy, Inflation, and Speculation While each driver can operate independently, they often interact in complex and reinforcing ways: A. Trade Policy → Inflation Protectionist policies (e.g., tariffs on steel or semiconductors) can raise input costs, contributing to inflationary pressure. Conversely, liberalized trade can reduce costs and enhance price stability through global competition. B. Inflation → Speculation Periods of low interest rates and high inflation can drive speculation as real returns on traditional savings erode. Investors seek higher yields in riskier assets like tech stocks or cryptocurrencies. Example: The post-2020 environment of ultra-low interest rates and rising inflation led to massive speculative flows into growth stocks and digital assets. V. Conclusion Trade policy, inflation, and speculation are cornerstone forces shaping the modern financial landscape. Their impacts permeate across asset classes, economic sectors, and even political realms. Trade policy can shift competitive advantages, trigger geopolitical tensions, and reshape supply chains. Inflation, while a natural economic phenomenon, can destabilize markets if poorly managed. Speculation, though vital for liquidity and efficiency, carries risks of distortion and systemic crises. In an interconnected world, no market driver operates in isolation. Understanding their mechanisms, implications, and relationships is essential for investors, policymakers, and analysts alike. As markets evolve, particularly with the rise of digital finance, global trade realignment, and new inflationary paradigms, these drivers will remain at the forefront of both opportunity and risk.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by TechnicalExpress
BTC - TP 127200 confirmed coming !!! 29th july viewEveryone are in same page with respect to wave 5 is in progress and we will be seeing new high. Inner waves of 5th wave is clear now with support formed and ABC corrective move of 2nd wave seems to be completed price moving up. when price respect fib levels and align with wave theory then we can predict the targets. 3rd, 4th and 5th are plotted based on the first 2 move and this will happen for minimum possibilities. so with this data points I am predicting TP of 127200 for BTC very soon in short term.
by venkatfx
4
PRINCEPIPE LONGThe Elliott Wave Theory's description of the structure and pattern of price movements in financial markets is known as the Elliott Wave Structure. The Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has completed waves (i) and (ii), which are shown as blue numbers on the daily chart. Journey of Wave (iii) is started. It is anticipated that wave (iii) will have about five subdivisions shown in red color. wave i (in red color) of wave (iii) will unfold in five sub waves shown in black circle. Wave levels of wave i in red color is shown on chart. I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests. Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses. Regards Dr Vineet
NSE:PRINCEPIPELong
by drvineet
50
SPANDANA LONGElliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv) and (v) downside. Currently, the stock is undergoing correction wave (a), (b), and (c) in a daily time frame. Wave (a) and (b) in blue colour are finished and the stock is currently in wave (c). Wave (a) unfolded in five sub waves in red colour and Wave (b) is folded in three sub waves (a-b-c) in red colour. Wave (c) will unfold in five sub-waves shown in red colour on the chart. Wave levels are shown on the chart. Level of Invalidation The starting point of Wave (a) has been identified as the invalidation level at 286.65. Because as per wave rules Wave (b) cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave (a). If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems. I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests. Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses. Regards Dr Vineet
NSE:SPANDANALong
by drvineet
3
JBMA LONGThe Elliott Wave Theory's description of the structure and pattern of price movements in financial markets is known as the Elliott Wave Structure. The Elliott Wave analysis indicates that the stock has completed waves (i),(ii),(iii) and (iv), which are shown as blue numbers on the daily chart. Wave (v) appears to be underway at this time. Wave (v), also known as the impulse wave, unfolding into five waves, which are illustrated in red. wave i and ii is finished and wave iii ( in red colour) will unfold in sub waves shown in black circle. Black circle wave 1 and 2 is about to finish and wave 3 (in black circle) will start. Wave levels are depicted on the chart. Level of Invalidation The invalidation level of 1388 has been identified as the start point of wave i of wave (v). If the price falls below this level, it means that the projected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it appears. I'm not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is done solely for academic purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I bear no responsibility for your profits or losses. Regards, Dr Vineet
NSE:JBMALong
by drvineet
5