Nifty50 Day End Analysis 2023.02.06NSE:NIFTY looks to extend the current corrective phase till 18450-18420 or in worst case till 18360 (rare chance but still a probability) level.
● Wave a (sky blue color) with subwaves i-v (purple color) completed on 2023.06.01.
● Currently into wave b (sky blue color) which is an abcde (purple color) contracting triangle pattern.
● Wave c (sky blue color) should take it to 18450-18420 or in worst case till 18360 level.
Wavetheory
Nifty50 day end analysis 2023.05.31NSE:NIFTY is currently into subwave 4 (orange color) of larger wave 5 (blue color) of larger wave 3 (gray color). The subwave 4 (orange color) is most probably complete and we should witness subwave 5 (orange color) from hereon.
Level around 18843 (red color horizontal line) should mark the end of larger wave 5 (blue color) and also larger wave 3 (gray color).
BankNifty - Unveiling the Magic of Wave Analysis Near ATH-44151Introduction
In the world of financial markets, technical analysis plays a crucial role in understanding market trends and making informed investment decisions. One powerful tool in this domain is wave analysis, which has proven its accuracy time and again. In a recent BankNifty analysis, wave analysis beautifully predicted the index's movements, providing traders with valuable insights. This article will delve into the fascinating details of this analysis, its striking coincidence with the actual market movements, and the subsequent implications for the BankNifty index.
The Coincidence: Wave 5 and the All-Time High on short term
Wave analysis involves identifying patterns and cycles within price movements. In the case of BankNifty, the wave analysis successfully anticipated the index's behavior, specifically focusing on the relationship between Wave 5 and the all-time high (ATH).
Wave 5 is the final impulse wave in Elliott Wave Theory, representing the last leg of the uptrend. As per our last update **BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to Rethink**
Astonishingly, the analysis predicted that Wave 5 would measure 62% of the distance covered by Wave 1-3, precisely at the level of 44085. The BankNifty index then surged slightly above the projected level, reaching 44151.70—a mere 0.10 points shy of the ATH at 44151.80. This near-perfect alignment with the projected level served as a testament to the accuracy of wave analysis.
The Dark Cloud Cover Pattern: A Warning Signal
Building upon the foundation of the initial analysis, the subsequent market movements confirmed the reliability of wave analysis. After hovering just below the ATH, a bearish candlestick pattern emerged, known as the Dark Cloud Cover on daily chart this week. This pattern consists of an opening above the previous day's high or close, followed by a price decline, closing below the midpoint of the prior candle.
The Dark Cloud Cover, observed in the BankNifty index, provided a firm footing to the analysis, indicating that the index was likely to halt temporarily below the ATH of 44151.80. It acted as a warning signal for traders, highlighting the possibility of a reversal or consolidation in the index's upward trajectory.
The Downside Move: A Potential Shift in Sentiment
The subsequent session on May 17th witnessed a follow-up downside move, confirming the analysis's predictions. The BankNifty index slipped from 43950 to 43446, experiencing a significant fall of approximately 500 points. This downward movement hinted at a potential shift in sentiment, as market participants reevaluated their positions and adjusted to the prevailing conditions.
However, it's important to note that the index bounced back from its lows and closed at 43748, indicating that the downside move might not be fully established yet. Traders and investors need to closely monitor future market developments to assess whether this downward momentum will continue or if a reversal could occur.
The Road Ahead
In conclusion, the recent BankNifty analysis using wave analysis techniques has showcased its effectiveness in predicting market movements. The coincidental alignment between Wave 5 and the ATH, followed by the emergence of the Dark Cloud Cover pattern and subsequent downside move, confirms the importance of technical analysis in navigating the financial markets.
As the BankNifty index navigates these critical junctures, traders and investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly. The interplay between technical analysis, market sentiment, and fundamental factors will determine the index's future trajectory.
Thanks for reading.
SILVER possible Elliott wave sountsHello Friends,
Here we have shared possible Elliot wave counts of SILVER 4 hourly chart in which we can say possibly we are heading towards north direction as a fresh impulse wave, which can lead towards Bullish bias as now onwards.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
DELHIVERY : OPPORTUNITY TO ENTER INTO 3rd WAVE OF TREND REVERSALDelhivery Ltd , India's Popular Supply Chain and logistic company , with a Market Capitalization of More than 24,000 Cr seems to be ready for a reversal trend. Since , Jan 2023 , it is making support for the second time now. Going with the Elliott Wave theory , as shown in the chart , the stock is entering into the 3rd Wave of the uptrend , which is supposed to be the longest of any wave . The stock seems to be moving in channel also as shown in the chart. As the stock has shown some improvement from its lowest ever price, and RSI is crossing 50 from below , therefore the probability of trend reversal is high. For swing traders, it is the best time to enter the trade and making the latest support as base. We can see stock moving to at least three targets as shown in figure of 355.90 , 375.20 and 390.50. The second swing that is 321.30 would be our STOP LOSS , CMP is 337.10. Hence we have a risk reward ratio of 1: 3.5 .
Please remember , this research is only for educational purpose and one must do their own research too before making any trade. Trade at your own risk.
Best of Luck !!!
HGS final impulse or correction If it is an impulse it is a perfect place to accumulate and sit tight to see the impulse get over.
With strict stop of 845 we can go for buy @ current level. For impulse wave.
If it is a correction then we need to wait for the wave formation .
I’m not a sebi advisor
Before taking trade refer ur financial advisor.
This is for education purposes only.
Elliott wave counts of USOIL and Fibonacci levels (up, down, up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliott wave counts of USOIL CRUDEOIL chart on hourly time frame, which is suggesting we are currently in impulse wave of some degree, in which we had completed (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv) and now possibly we are unfolding wave (v) of bigger degree wave 1, in this scenario we had seen that wave (iii) has been extended and clearly showing subdivisions inside it and also shown gap up as its nature, so we can assume that wave (v) can go up to equality of wave (i) which is showing price level of near $ 86.75, post completion of it, we can start retracement as a wave 2 in a-b-c pattern, that correction could get support at that same gap which we got gap up in wave (iii) so it can provide good support and as per Fibonacci measurements 50% retracement of entire rally also meets that same level of gap support which is pegged at $ 75.50, which can make that support more stronger. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Overall crude oil is looking bullish right now then little down to unfold wave 2 and then again up to unfold wave 3.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty wave analysisNIFTY SPOT HAS MADE A LOW NEAR 16828 ON 20TH MARCH 2023.. will give wave count from this low as follow
WAVE 1 : 16828 TO 17207 (379 POINTS)
WAVE 2: 17207 TO 16914 (293 POINTS i.e. nearly 77% corrected)
NOW WAVE 3 IS ON : 16914 TO 17290 (HIGH TILL NOW) (376 points till now)
1.61 fib level comes near 17527
now wave 3 is on so it will sub divided into mini 5 waves as follows
wave 3 started from 16914
wave 3(1) : 16914 to 17049 (135 points)
wave 3(2) : 17049 to 16940 (109 points i.e. 80-81% corrected)
wave 3(3) : 16940 to 17290 (high till now) (350 points) here 3rd wave has achieved its minimum target of 1.61%.. and got extended to 2.61% near 17290
market buy on dip mode as per wave count...
immediate resistance on upside: 17300 & `17500
whereas support on downside : 17050 -17150
views are for educational purpose.
NaturalGas Possible Elliot wave counts (up than down & again up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of NaturalGas on weekly time frame to daily, 4hourly and hourly time frames which seems aligned with each other, so the conviction increases.
Well, on weekly time frame it seems that post impulse move, currently we are unfolding correction which is already at werge of completion, after A,B we are now in wave C, in which we had already done wave 1-2-3-4 of one lower degree, and now possibly we are unfolding wave 5th of C, and in wave 5th we had done wave i of lower degree and possibly we are unfolding wave ii of 5th of C, still wave iii, iv, and v are pending to complete wave 5th of wave C, which should not go below $ 1.529, because its an initial level of bigger degree wave ((1)) and as per wave principals, wave ((2)) should not retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)), so post completion of wave C we can assume that correction to be finish and hopefully fresh impulse up move should start towards north direction for long term.
Overall very soon we should start fresh impulse for long term along with invalidation level of $ 1.529
One can wait for dips to complete wave 5th of C of bigger wave ((2)) to grab an opportunities to find best entry to go long, so we should have to ride only in right direction because right direction is always more important and better then speed. I am not sebi registered analyst, My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Possible wave counts on weekly chart
Possible wave counts on daily chart
Possible wave counts on 4 hourly chart
Possible wave counts on hourly chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Corrective Phase about to completeThe structure indicating that the scrip in last leg of corrective phase - wave 2
Crossing Swing highs would make a valid Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern - as the move in head was a clean 5 wave structure. A probable Trend reversal on long term chart.
We would be looking to have a starting position on green closing (daily TF) and add as and when the swing high breaks.
Invalidation point for our trade would be 393
FORCE MOTORS possible Elliot wave countsHere we had shared today possible Elliot wave counts of Force Motors ltd, on daily time frame, as per Elliot wave structure its clearly showing that we are in correction phase after impulse started from bottom of pandemic period of march 2020 and completed wave 1 till swing high of November 2021, well, if this phase was a fresh impulse as a wave 1, then currently we are in correction phase which had been unfolded as a zigzag pattern 5-3-5 subdivisions like (A)-(B) and now possibly we are in wave C, where we can say that of bigger degree wave 2 will be completed along with wave (C), now wave (C) should unfold in 5 subdivisions, in which we had completed wave 1 and now possibly we can retrace wave 2 as a contra trend. currently it may go bit upside as wave (a) - (b) and (c) inside of wave 2, which should not cross high of 1585 levels, and may turn down again to complete wave 3 - 4 and 5 of wave (C) of bigger degree wave 2.
On completion of wave 2 one can go long in this with invalidation level of 591 for targets above 1700 - 1800 and more.
In both upside and down side invalidation levels are mentioned on chart, if they breaches then we can assume that our study is missing something.
Thanks.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Bank Nifty - Roller Coaster Ride- Are We Expecting A Big Fall!!!Expiry Week Outlook- A Short Video. Thanks
Impulsive sequence unfolding from the tops of 44151 on 14th Dec 2022. From Budget day - 1st Feb 2023, Index has been doing a roller coaster moves so we need to be careful as next downside trend may start soon once key & critical levels are breached on downside.
Thanks
TESLA Short, Head & Shoulder TOP!$TSLA aka Elon Musk's Tesla
CMP= $204.99
Attached: Weekly Price Chart as of 14th October, 2022
- Price has triggered a Head & Shoulder TOP Pattern Breakdown
- Tesla still has a PE of 74 which is Overvalued and Expensive compared to Peers and Unsustainable in a FED Tightening Environment
Elliot Wave Counts say that a Larger Degree 5 Wave Impulse in Wave 1 has completed from its 2019 Low and Now Price is in Larger Wave 2 down. The normal target for Wave 2 is considered as the 4th wave of lower degree. And in this case it comes to around $130 to $110 as the Target requirement
So Price can Half from here literally.
SUPER BEARISH, Perfect Short🐻🩸
Downside Targets🎯 are open to in order:
T1= 180
T2= 135
T3= 110
Ultimately Tesla may find Support at the $100 round figure mark but will it be the final bottom or just another bear market rally from there will be seen that time
MFSL: Equally Poised in either directional movememtThe NSE:MFSL is showing the previous High High (point #3 in chart) or Higher Low (point #4 in the chart) as the range bounded movement.
Potentially the move can happen in any direction.
But quite likely it will be in upside only as the volume buildup is positive and increasing.
Trade : Both sides ( green color price tags for Long, red color price tags for short )
BUY above 712, SL: 705, T: 715/718
SELL below 697, SL: 702, T: 692/689
Nifty's Short-term Analysis as per EWPAs I said earlier post that could go up max 18300(200% of 1st wave) and could be retraced. Likewise, Nifty had gone up and retraced after breaking the lower channel and 20 SMA. And, Nifty looked like has contained 23.6% of 3rd wave. For details, please visit my previous chart analysis.
Now, after correcting 23.6% of the minor 3rd wave, Nifty is moving up. Perhaps correction is over(in the case of extending 3rd wave, its normal to correct 23.6% of the move) If Nifty manages to go higher beyond 18060(reflex point) we expect the Nifty to go up and break the lifetime high of 18600
But, if Nifty comes down and slips 17970, then we may see it coming down to the 17790 level (38.2% of 3rd wave) What do you think about it? Please give your valuable opinion.
Vedanta for a fall.Vedanta for a fall.
In the first long term wave, we are in the second correction of the wave two and if you see the wave, it is in a third wave fall of the 3 sub waves which could be as deep as .618 fib levels as per me.
Also, it is now at a triangle resistance at the top of the trend line if you see the dark white line and the volumes have weakened significantly with no buying momentum. The fundamentals are bad with a 61 percent los QoQ. Plus, commodities and interest rates have an inverse relationship because higher interests lead to increased cost of holding and weakens demand. Now with the potential rate hikes on cards, my view of Vedanta is a fall with a target of 253.
If we open below the 274 support line, it is a further confirmation. For safety, it can be taken when the triangle breaks down.
The metal index also seems to be in the second corrective wave and with rate hikes, a correction seems on the way.