Wedgebreakout
Swing SetupEXPLANATION : This is a 4 hour time frame chart of LARSEN & TOUBRO , It has formed Rising wedge pattern breakout also formed head and shoulder pattern . Ideal entry is breakout and retest of Rising wedge pattern & Right shoulder of head and shoulder pattern . Enter as per your setup .
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What are Falling and Rising Wedge Patterns?What Is the Wedge Pattern and Its Common Characteristics?
1. Wedge patterns have converging trend lines that come to an apex with a distinguishable upside or downside slant.
a. Wedge with an upside slant is called a rising wedge
b. Wedge with downside slant is called falling wedge
2. It has declining volumes as the pattern progresses
3. It breaks out from one of the trend lines
Why We Should Pay Attention to Wedge Patterns?
Some studies suggest that a wedge pattern will breakout towards a reversal rather than a continuation more often than two-thirds of the time. Therefore as the rule of thumb, people generally treat a falling wedge as a bullish pattern and a rising wedge as a bearish pattern , especially a falling wedge would be a more reliable reversal indicator than a rising wedge
Since we know a wedge pattern has a higher probability to reverse and due to the fact that the price of wedge pattern converges to a smaller area, we can trade the reversal set up with a relatively close stop loss to its entry price, which provides us with a good trading opportunity with a decent Risk:Reward ratio.
Examples of a Bullish Rising Wedge and Bearish Falling Wedge
Sadly, there is nothing that works 100% in trading. Not every rising or falling wedge will reverse as one might expect. Every trader must properly manage their risk by setting stop losses and not just trading based on price patterns. Below are two examples.
Bullish Rising Wedge ( ETHUSDT during 15/NOV/20 - 28/DEC/20)
In the early stages of the epic 20-21 bull market, if traders blindly treat the rising wedge as a bearish signal and trade accordingly, they would pay a heavy price.
Bearish Falling Wedge ( LTCUSD during 14/AUG/18 - 14/NOV/18)
On the contrary, in the late stage of the 2018 bear market, any trader who blindly trades the falling wedge to bet on a reversal would also learn a hard lesson.
Comment down your thoughts on Wedge Patterns in the comment section.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post. Never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
AFFLE - WedgeWedge forming on 3H Chart of AFFLE INDIA. BUY CMP, Support 4070, 3950, 3880, 3750. Strong Resistance in the 4300-4400 range. A Daily Close above 4400 will push the price upwards towards the 5000 mark. I'm learning chart patterns as of now. You can plan your trades accordingly if you know how to trade these patterns.
PETRONET - Falling Wedge BreakoutThe stock was in a downtrend with contraction between the upper and bottom resistance lines, forming a wedge pattern.
It has broken out of the pattern with substantial volumes.
Position can be taken near current price, keeping the stop loss near 216 levels, for a short term target of 232.5.
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Multi-year breakout in BHARTIAIRTEL.Multi-Year Breakout and also Ascending triangular pattern breakout with huge volume can be seen in monthly timeframe chart which makes the trade's success probability very high, would suggest to go long with the buy on dip till 600 level for the Ultimate Target of level 820 (FIBONACCI IS CONSIDERED WHILE DECIDING THE TARGET), go long with strict stop-loss of 520 (only on closing below basis). the timeframe for this trade/target would be 12-14 weeks.
THIS VIEW OF MINE IS PURELY BASED ON THE TECHNICAL CHART, BEWARE OF NEWS AND OTHER FACTORS WHICH CAN AFFECT THE MARKET SENTIMENT.
WEDGE-BREAKOUT-UPTREND-PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-:
1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED.
2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any.
Volume Profile-:
In volume profile we can compare the levels of volume at different price levels historically and current price levels to try to find the strength of current move and strength of the resistance it might face.
If the up-move (currently) and its previous accumulation's volume is very high compared to the volume of its historical resistance level it means we have more strength in up-move and weak resistances can be crossed.
IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS-:
1. Stock was declining for a while.
2. Gave a nice falling wedge or triangular pattern breakout and started rising.
3. Recently accumulated over a range and then gave a breakout.
4. Has retraced a little with low volume and thus has given us an opportunity to enter with confirmation.
5. The volume of the accumulation level is too high compared to the volume at its all time high, which shows its a weak resistance level and there is a high chance it will be broken.
TARGET WITH LOGIC:
Since all-time-high has a weak resistance we might make a target farther than the all time high.
Since the up-move is strong and accumulation has nice volume. So a Fib Extension target of 168% makes sense since , since the rally started the recent accumulation has more volume than ever before so the current expected up-move should be more than the previous rally. So 168%
MY APOLOGIES-:
Of course the best entry would have been after breakout of the wedge pattern with confirmation but I had not come across the stock at that time due to my negligence.
(See my other recent posts, some of them have recently given wedge breakout with good opportunities)
ENTRY and STOP-LOSS
Entry at CMP above 90 level with a conservative stop-loss at the support of accumulation which is at 65 would be better than an aggressive stop-loss.
Enter only if next time the entry price gives a reasonable RR ratio as per your strategy.
Keep trailing stop-loss. One of the ways is to use Moving Average with Average True Range(14) (ATR) as buffer.
EXIT
IF there is bearishness near the all time high, a trailed stop-loss should be at place and obeyed.
Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals.
1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low)
2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal.
3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit
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Time to get 10% from TATACHEM - Strategy in Description ✺----------------Drop a follow here: @Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis ✺
✺✺ Target: 1000 Followers ✺✺
✺Strategy 1: beauty closing on 30min chart and waiting for 1hr close too if gives a good close here it's going to the moon with a banging 10% also never get too excited and hold your emotions, on that note lets take the risk of 3% from here :) the chart is self-explained as it is taking multiple support from the trendline - big players making the positions, also break of trendline = bulls have won the tug of war, we also see the higher highs on lower TF, also don't take small profits go for big ones like 5% and 10% but capital should be according to the risk of 3%. If on D it closes here carry on the position for some more days as it might give a flag breakout on D too
✺IMPORTANT POINT: Firstly do your analysis then only think of this trade and set the risk first, only that amount that you are willing to lose and will not get affected even if you lose it and also that amount if you lose it you won't curse me if the analysis flops hahaha just kidding, jokes apart, be patient to capture the movement and be impatient to get out if its a losing one and SL is triggered, don't put tight SL rather use less capital
✺--------------------------- Motivational and psychological area ✺
✣Trade only if you are in the right mindset, if you have been emotionally weak for some time, take your time and don't trade, trade with a happy and + mindset only.
✣If you want to make money, firstly be prepared to lose it, only that much which you can afford and that much by which you can make a mistake again, learn from them and grow
✣Don't lose hope and keep grinding
✣I have seen my friends on youtube streaming games with watching 10, constantly they streamed for a year or two and now they are buzzing with 1k to 2k watching daily.
✣Focus on the process, you are here to make money not stupid decisions, and lose it all
✣No one will help you climb the mountain, few will tell the path, so follow good people, make good mentors and make good decisions and choices in the stock market.
✣Believe in yourself :)
✺------------------------------------ Some info-------------------------- ✺
➼My name is Apoorv and I am a 2nd year Engineering student, I want to pursue trading as my career, and thus whatsoever setups or trades I potentially see on my charting platform, I post it here and share them with you all.
➼I hope you will love my simple analysis style.
➼Feel free to suggest your view on this as learning is earning here :)
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➼I don't take all the trades I post
➼These charts are my and only my work, my thought process, just from an educational point of view and no calls.
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