Banknifty - Weekly Analysis (18 Dec - 24 Dec)Since, this is a holiday season, the volumes are going to dry up and we should not expect any wild moves and there is a high probability that the market might be sideways the following week.
However, nobody, I mean nobody, even if you are Warren Buffet, nobody knows what is going to happen tomorrow.
My strong buying level is above 30950, but it should break after spending some time in the channel which is forming a wedge pattern in 1H time frame and it is not a bullish sign.
My strong selling level is below 30350 and I will be more aggressive towards selling side because the market is already overstretched.
If there is pattern breakout/breakdown, my short intraday targets would be 30920 level towards upside and 30400 level towards downside.
A note for my dear followers -
1. Please keep your charts clean.
2. Don't underestimate yourself after seeing complex analysis by the people around you. Believe me, even they don't know what they are doing.
3. Use 1 or 2 indicators at max and stick to them.
4. Journal your trades.
5. Trust your own analysis
6. Preserve your Capital
I want my followers to trust themselves before trusting others.
Cheers.
Wedgepatterns
Rising Wedge - "Learn More Earn More" with usWhat makes the chart interesting today is that:
. BTCUSD challenging the Wedge's UpTrend.
. A break bellow Wedge's UpTrend could push the pair to its $10,400 ~ $10,500 previous support areas.
. A rejection at the Wedge's UpTrend, however, could lead to another retest of the Wedge's top.
Will the BTC see an downside breakout against the USD?
No one knows it! We have to wait and see!
Learn More,
Earn More,
With ForecastCity!
GBPINR rising wedge breakdown confirmed, selling to followThe pair was moving in a steep rising wedge pattern from the past 1.5 months. GBPINR, in the previous session, gave a daily close below the lower trend line of the wedge pattern, confirming a breakdown. In doing so, the pair also breached crucial support of 21 days EMA (88.1609). Now, it is susceptible to heavy selling that can take the price to 86.5692. The stop loss for the trade will be slightly above yesterday’s high at 88.9253.
RISING WEDGE PATTERN ( REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION )Reversal or Continuation Pattern
Rising Wedge
Prices are moving upward, forming higher highs and higher lows, but the price is confined within two lines which get closer together to create a pattern. This indicates a slowing of momentum and it usually precedes a reversal to the downside. This means that you can look for potential selling opportunities.
IDENTIFICATION GUIDELINES
1. The Shape of The Rising wedge – Two price trendlines both sloping upwards, the upper one following higher highs and the lower one following higher lows. Both trendlines must slope upwards and eventually intersect.
2. Formation of The Rising Wedge – Prices should rise to hit the upper trendline at least three highs(1-3-5), then fall away. Prices should fall to the lower trendline at least twice(2-4), then rise again before a final breakout. When you see less than 3 swing highs and 2 swing lows between the upsloping trendlines, be cautious about it.
3. Duration of The Rising wedge- The Rising Wedge has a minimum duration of 3 weeks and it rarely exceeds 3 or 4 months long. Anything less than 3 weeks of duration likely to be a pennant formation, not a rising wedge.
4. Volume inside The Rising Wedge – Volumes tends to be decreasing through the formation.
5. Pre-mature or False Breakout – Because volume is usually low in The Rising Wedge formation, it takes very little activity to bring about an erratic and false movement in price, talking the price outside of trendlines.
6. Breakout – Price closing below the lower rising trendline confirms the breakout.
HOW TO TRADE A RISING WEDGE
Trading Rules.
1. Entry – Sell short the stock day after Prices closing below the lower rising trendline. If you miss it, wait for the pullback then short when price resumes the breakout direction after the throwback completes. When you missed and, If you Don’t Get A pullback to the lower rising trendline then Don’t Chase The Stock Price for selling short.
2. Price Target – The technical target is the price which was a starting point of the lower rising trendline.
3. Taking Profit – For short-term traders, cover short when the price reaches near to the price which was a starting point for the lowe rising trendline. For intermediate and long-term traders, hold the stock as per your risk & capital management applied before entering into a trade.
4. Stoploss – usually, price closing above swing high or top is a stop-loss. But very often, The gap between swing high and breakout price is very high. So it won’t be suitable for a good risk-reward ratio. Without a Good Risk to Reward ratio in trading or investing can never create a wealth. Always Pay close attention to Risk-Reward Ratio. We must have RR above 1: 2.







