Weeklyanalysis
PONDYOXIDE | Ascending triangle | Trendline + EMA confluenceCMP- 281.8
SL - 260 (immediate SL, if close below 260), 230 on closing basis (w.r.t. pattern)
Target - 400, 450
1/6/2021
- Breakout of ascending triangle observed with good volume spurt
- HL into resistance
- Can see support of 20,50,100,200 EMA, trying to give positive crossover
-The script has been respecting the trendline after the covid fall
- Short term view is negated if close below 260 on daily basis (REAL SL would be of the long term respecting trendline is broken
EURGBP weekly analysis (350+ pips)📈1. Based on historical price movement the new price action is forming just same pattern it made few weeks ago. So same following pattern can be seen this time!
2. Also double bottom was spotted on weekly chart.
3. Supply Demand / Flag formation / Wedge formation.
4. Stay tuned for sniper entry.
Follow for more 📊
ALL THE BEST!
DIIs spoil the party, Drag NIFTY from around 17800NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -17-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17709.65 / 17792.95 / 17537.65 / 17585.15
H-L = 255 points
VIX 15.23 / +5.69%
FII DII: +130 Crores
Likely open: Flat to negative. This is based on the SGX NIFTY and as the US markets close was in negative. A bounce-back is more likely as FIIs have bought in good numbers.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS - 15 Minutes Chart
A good gap up with a retest of the opening lows was then bought in to and NIFTY almost touched 17800 but there was immediate and sharp sell-off from 1030 that led to NIFTY falling 225+ points from the day high.
After the first sell-off, it turned rangebound, but then as the market close was nearing, there was another sell-off which meant NIFTY ended below 17600.
It was indeed surprising that the level was given away so quickly.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
KOTAK BANK 17
HDFC BANK 17
HDFC 04
BAJAJ FINSERV 03
BHARTI AIRTEL 02
TOTAL 43
The Draggers
RELIANCE 22
TCS 13
ICICI BANK 08
TATA STEEL 08
INFOSYS 07
TOTAL 58
Lifter - Draggers = -15
POSITIVES
NIFTY went very close to 17800 but failed to clear the line.
BANK NIFTY made a high above 38100.
KOTAK BANK & HDFC BANK outperformed all the other leaders.
HDFC appears to have found some support around 2800.
FIIs have bought in large numbers.
NEGATIVES
INFOSYS is suffering from 1700+ Syndrome as it is unable to hold on to the level for more than a day at a time.
RELIANCE was doing good but late afternoon sell-off brought it below 2400 yet again.
VIX has gone up to 15+ after quite a few weeks.
DIIs have sold heavily.
TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 20-09-21
17300-17350 is the new support base. For now, 17800 may well prove to be a major resistance as the fall from just below that level was sharp and severe.
BANK NIFTY support lines are 37200-400 and resistances at 38000-38200.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
NIFTY was clearly hijacked by RELIANCE, TCS & INFOSYS. There was extreme volatility and fast movement in NIFTY making it a hard day for the traders.
HDFC BANK retested 1560 levels and then shot up more than 1% to close above 1580 and this along with KOTAK BANK closing above 2000 saved the day for BANK NIFTY as it ended in the green and in the process, helped NIFTY from sinking further.
Clearly, BANK NIFTY is now looking stronger than NIFTY and may well hold the key to NIFTY holding higher levels.
RELIANCE ended the day 65 points lower than the day high which is more than 2% and that is what spooked NIFTY.
SGX NIFTY is showing a gap down of almost 100 points but this is not entirely reliable as we have seen in the past. Since FIIs have bought in large numbers, a gap-down is more likely to be bought into unless there is something else that happens between 19-9 evening and the market open.
Social Media is very quick to signal that the top was made on Friday and now NIFTY is heading down. When August was in good green, it was said that September would be a washout and now when NIFTY kept scaling ATH after ATH in Sep, a fall of 44 points is being called out as end of the road.
The fact is no one really knows and there is no point doing guesswork as in a matter of 23 hours, the day would have ended and clarity would have emerged.
The best approach would be to keep all news and views aside and react to the price action by sticking to the right process that has given you success in the past.
That is what matters in the end.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
19-09-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
GBPJPY Head & Shoulder Formation (Weekly)Head and Shoulder pattern has been formed on GBPJPY on weekly time frame.
The price is most likely to move down from the neckline.
Things to consider:
1. Weekly Head & Shoulder formation
2. Monthly Resistance
3. Latest COT report - GBP "Neutral" & JPY "Short"
How to enter:
1. Follow the analysis that i have made
2. Locate all the important price areas
3. Entery should be taken in 4 hr timeframe
ALL THE BEST!
USD/JPY looks ready on daily timeframe!USD/JPY is seen to respect channel on daily and weekly timeframe!
This could be a potential down move, things to consider:
1. Weekly and daily channel formation
2. Weekly downward movement started
3. Strong Downtrend
How to enter:
1. Switch to 4hr timeframe
2. Find the daily/weekly resistance zone
3. Wait for the downward momentum on 4h
4. Use channel, bolliger bands and Fibonacci for TP AND SL
ALL THE BEST!
Weekly analysis of Nifty, Banknifty, top stocks with imp levelsWhere do you think the stock market is heading?
Important Nifty levels and Banknifty levels for tomorrow:
Levels for Nifty: 15,596, 15,660,15,733, 15,750, 15,835 15,986 (don't want to pick tops)
Levels for Banknifty: 34,130, 34,420, 34,640, 34,800, 35,011, 35,250, 35,340, 35,400, 35,529,
BANKNIFTY WEEKLY ANALYSIS (17/7/21)- Price is converging between lower trendline and upper trendline, will need to give breakout (follow the major trend)
- Price must trade above 35800 and sustain to make upper move to ATH which is 5.38% away)
- Outperformed nifty this week, follow up price action is needed (upside) as price closed exactly at upper trendline shadow
- Anticipating breakout in 1-3 weeks time period (although market is supreme)
- HDFC bank results on Monday, can help decide the direction of BNF.
Nifty, Banknifty, Top Stocks Weekly Analysis#Nifty50 and #Banknifty saw a day with some bearish bias. Their down-moves were 2x their upmoves.
Where do you think the #stockmarket is heading?
Important Nifty levels and Banknifty levels for tomorrow:
Levels for Nifty: 15,596, 15,660,15,733, 15,750, 15,835 15,986 (don't want to pick tops)
Levels for Banknifty: 34,130, 34,420, 34,640, 34,800, 35,011, 35,250, 35,340, 35,400, 35,529, 36,455
Alkem lab Ltd - Weekly BreakoutAlkem Lab has given a very good bullish signal and a breakout from the parallel channel pattern trap (August 2020 - June 2021) for past 11 months
Its a good stock for a short term trading
The Stop Loss for any conservative trader is 3028
The Target is 3678
After reaching our target, trail your stop loss to get maximum profit from the stock in a single trade
🔴DISCLAIMER
***** Its just for an educational purpose and so you must also follow your own technical analysis too ******