MARAL Execution Example — WIFUSDT.P 1H (Short 0.01234 → 0.01196)MARAL Execution Example—Discretionary SHORT (Entry 0.01234 → Exit 0.01196) in Binance
This post is not about prediction. It’s about execution quality — how MARAL guides a trader before entry, during the hold phase, and into the exit decision using context + risk controls.
Trade Snapshot
Position: SHORT (manual)
Entry: 0.01234
Exit: 0.01196
Move captured: ~0.00038 (≈ 3.1%)
1) Pre-Entry: Why MARAL allowed the trade
Entry Checklist (Permission Layer)
MARAL’s checklist was green across core pillars:
HTF Alignment: OK
Structure: OK (Bear Structure)
Momentum: OK
Volatility (ATR + ADX): OK
Liquidity Confidence: WARN
Score: 93 / 65 → ENTER SHORT
Important: “Liquidity = WARN” is not a “no-trade.”
It means nearby liquidity pools exist, so the trade may include wick risk / stop-sweep behavior, and execution must be disciplined (no FOMO entries, no oversized risk).
2) Signal vs Framework: What the Master Engine confirmed
MARAL didn’t just show “short.” It confirmed the internal quality of the short context:
Last Signal: SHORT
Direction: Bearish
H1 / H4 / Daily Bias: Bearish alignment
Structure: Bear Structure
Short Score: 93 (A++)
Trend Probability: 93%
Reversal Probability: 7%
This is the key difference:
MARAL doesn’t “tell” you to trade — it grades the environment so your entry is not emotional.
3) Execution Board: What happened AFTER entry (the real value)
Post-entry, the Execution Board shifted into execution guidance:
Execution State (Holding Logic)
Trade Status: VALID
Market Phase: CONTINUATION
TP Probability: HIGH
Obstacle Ahead: NO
Exit Pressure: LOW
Momentum Health: STRONG
Score Trend: Stable / Improving
Active Window: ON
Action: HOLD
Trade Age: FRESH
This is execution intelligence:
VALID + CONTINUATION = trend conditions still supportive
Obstacle Ahead: NO = fewer immediate barriers in path
Exit Pressure: LOW = no urgent reason to panic-exit
Action: HOLD = stay in trade as long as structure remains intact
4) Risk State: Why “OVEREXTENDED” matters even in a VALID trade
MARAL showed:
Risk State: OVEREXTENDED
This does not mean reversal.
It means:
“The move is mature / extended relative to volatility. Continuation can happen, but holding requires risk-managed behavior.”
Execution behavior under OVEREXTENDED:
Don’t add to position (no stacking late)
Protect profits (tighten or trail logically)
Expect wicks/pullbacks even if trend remains bearish
Prefer partials / controlled exits near objectives
5) My exit decision (0.01196): Execution > greed
Even though MARAL was still VALID / HOLD, I chose to exit at 0.01196 to:
Lock a clean capture (~3.1%)
Respect OVEREXTENDED risk
Avoid giving back profit during possible liquidity reaction / mean-reversion
This is exactly what MARAL is designed for:
Stay in when the environment is valid — but exit like a risk manager, not like a gambler.
6) What would invalidate the HOLD (how MARAL helps you stay objective)
For me, a HOLD becomes questionable if MARAL starts flipping these:
Trade Status: VALID → RISKY/WEAK
Exit Pressure: LOW → RISING
Obstacle Ahead: NO → YES
Momentum Health: STRONG → WEAK
Score Trend: IMPROVING → DETERIORATING
Active Window: ON → OFF
That’s the execution framework in action: no emotions, only conditions.
Due to TradingView attachment limitations, the full chart is shared via the link below.
