PARACABLES: Triangle BO neededPARACABLES is hovering at the support and it can consolidate for a few days and it can jump from the support. Targets are marked on the trendlines. If someone requires a SL in Cash stocks then you may follow DCB (daily closing basis) below the triangle.
NOTE: I'm not a SEBI REG. Study before investing.
Wires
Polycab - Wires & Cables demand in multiple sectorsConcall
Polycab...3K Cr Capex over 3Y. A bit towards backward integration(improves efficiency) & FMEG segment
Seen 30-40% volume growth in Q4 & last year. Industry at 22% growth
No material impact in pricing pressure despite rise in commodities(copper & Aluminium) pricing. Mgmt seems to have witnessed this
G8 demand in Infrastructure, Power, Renewable energy, EV, Railways sectors...and so capacity expansion.
Seems to be an article published mentioning power deficit in India in June
12-13% consistent margins achievable over long time
Distributors playing key role in sales.. Cuz only 10% customers directly buying from company. 89-90% sales is thro' distributors...
RDSS govt project open orders close to Rs. 50 Bn
FY 23 closed with 18K Cr revenue. Previously set target was 20K Cr top line by FY 26. But this will be revised(increased) by this FY
Polycab - Valuations at its peakPolycab stellar performer among wires & cables. Polycab's guidance value is to achieve 20K Cr revenue(top-line) sales by 2026. And it appears they'll achieve ahead of timeline. Company expects volume growth to continue in the second half as well. As of 2023, 14K Cr sales.
Jefferies adjusted its price target for Polycab India from INR4,835 to INR6,220 and maintained its "buy" rating
Been riding this since 2021.
Earnings are growing good every quarter.
Revenue(8 to 16K Cr),
Net profit(766 to 1622),
EPS(50 to 100)
All these roughly doubled in 3Y since 2020.
Whereas Price grown 7 times. 740 to around 5K
Further in terms of valuations
PE (Price to Earnings ratio) Last 5Y avg is 31.426 Current 46.40
PB (Price to Book ratio) Last 5Y avg is 6.332 Current 11.45
PS (Price to Sales ratio) Last 5Y avg is 2.8. Current 4.7
I'll patiently wait for price near 50% Fib level which is 3350. 2600 is fair value.
Pivot R2 is at 3533.
Historical fall is 35% from ATH. So 35% from ATH is 3570.
Previous resistance breakout is at 3618 which could act as support.
So +/- 5 to 8% above 50% fib level.
I'll start watching from 3620 and accumulate gradually over fall & reversal.
Disclaimer: Entered and averaged up Since Mid 2021 till Mar 2023. Holding.