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BTC Compression Phase: Where Smart Money Builds Positions!Hey guy's, When I look at this chart, I’m not seeing fear or trend failure. I’m seeing something far more important, controlled compression above demand . Bitcoin has pulled back, swept liquidity, and is now holding above a clearly defined demand area while volatility keeps contracting. This kind of behaviour rarely appears during panic. It usually appears when the market is absorbing supply quietly . What I’m seeing on the chart: Price is still respecting the ascending demand structure , which tells me higher-timeframe buyers are active and defending key levels. The recent move cleaned out weak hands below demand , but price did not accept lower, a classic liquidity sweep, not a breakdown. Supply is visible above , which explains why price is compressing instead of expanding immediately. Sellers are present, but they are not overpowering buyers. The range between ascending demand and overhead supply is tightening . This is where impatience builds, and where strong positioning usually happens. The psychology part (this matters): This phase feels uncomfortable. Price isn’t doing much. Both sides are frustrated. And that’s usually a clue. If Bitcoin wanted to break structure, it had a clean opportunity below demand. It didn’t take it. That tells me sellers are getting weaker, not stronger. So my thinking stays simple: I don’t want to chase upside after expansion. I don’t want to panic into a sell-off that already swept liquidity. I want to watch how price reacts around demand, because this is where real decisions are made. As long as structure holds: Pullbacks into the 88k–87k demand zone remain high-probability reaction areas. Compression above demand keeps the door open for a mean-reversion move toward higher levels. Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below ~84k would invalidate this structure. Until then, I’m not trying to predict the next candle. I’m trying to read behaviour . Markets don’t move when everyone is excited. They move when most people get bored, confused, or impatient. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade according to your own plan.
BYBIT:BTCUSDH2026Long
by TraderRahulPal
1
Option TradingRetail and Institutional Option Trading Retail traders usually focus on buying options, hoping for fast price movement. Institutions, on the other hand, mostly sell options because time decay (Theta) works in their favor. Key differences: Retail traders chase momentum and news Institutions focus on probability, statistics, and data Retail uses indicators Institutions use Option Chain, OI, volume, and volatility Retail looks for big wins Institutions look for consistent returns Institutions understand that 90% of options expire worthless, which is why option writing dominates institutional strategies.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Toward Premium Zone🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown Market Structure: Clear bullish structure with higher highs & higher lows intact ✔️ Trendline: Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, confirming strong upside momentum 📈 Breakouts: Multiple confirmed bullish breakouts from consolidation and range zones 🔓 Volume: Strong bullish volume expansion during impulsive moves, validating institutional participation 💥 POI (Point of Interest): Repeated reactions from POI zones, acting as reliable demand areas 🎯 Pivot Point: The green pivot zone is holding as dynamic support after the pullback 🟩 Pullback: Current retracement is corrective and healthy, indicating accumulation before continuation 🔄 🎯 Targets & Trade Projection Primary Target (TP1): 🟢 4,850 – 4,860 Extended Target (TP2): 🟢 4,890 – 4,920 (premium supply / liquidity zone) Bullish Continuation Zone: Grey consolidation box → expected higher-low formation then expansion ⬆️ 🛑 Invalidation / Risk Level Bias invalidated below: ❌ 4,740 – 4,720 (High Pivot / trendline break) ✨ Trade Bias: Bullish Continuation 📍 Strategy: Buy pullbacks above pivot | Hold longs while trendline holds 📌 Key Message: As long as GOLD holds above the pivot point + rising trendline, the path of least resistance remains upward toward the marked targets 🚀💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
XAUUSD (Gold) – Short-Term Bullish Rebound Within Broader ConsolPrice Action Gold has rebounded from the recent swing low near 4775–4780, forming higher lows. Price is moving along an ascending trendline (blue dashed line), indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the broader structure still looks like a range / consolidation after a prior impulsive move. RSI (14) RSI is around 54, back above the mid-line (50). Earlier bearish RSI divergence played out, but momentum is now recovering, suggesting buyers are regaining control. No overbought condition yet → room for further upside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) AO remains below zero, but red bars are shrinking. This signals waning bearish momentum and a potential shift toward bullish pressure. MACD (12,26,9) MACD is still slightly below the signal line, but histogram is contracting upward. Early signs of a bullish crossover forming if momentum continues. Key Levels Immediate Support: 4800 / 4775 Trend Support: Rising trendline from recent low Resistance: 4850 → 4875 Upside Extension: 4900+ if bullish continuation confirms
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 21-22✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Analysis: Gold has maintained a strong upward structure since launching from the 4537 area, with both highs and lows continuing to rise, confirming that the overall bullish trend remains intact. After reaching the 4888 area, upside momentum has started to slow, and price has entered a phase of high-level consolidation and technical correction. Although the moving average system (MA5 / MA10 / MA20) remains in a bullish alignment, the market clearly needs to digest the previous rapid advance. As a result, this is no longer an ideal stage to chase longs; a more reasonable approach is to wait for pullbacks before reassessing new trend-following opportunities. ✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Analysis: On the short-term timeframe, price formed a temporary top near 4888 and has since entered a corrective phase, gradually pulling back toward short-term moving averages and the rising trendline. This movement is considered a normal correction within a broader bullish trend. As long as price holds above the 4800–4790 zone, the overall structure remains strong and the pullback can be viewed as a consolidation phase. However, a decisive break below this support area would increase the risk of a deeper correction and require tighter risk management. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4850–4865 / 4888–4906 🟢 Support Levels: 4820–4800 / 4790–4775 / 4695–4700 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Trend-Following Approach (Primary Strategy) 📍 Wait for price to pull back into the 4820–4800 / 4790 zones 📍 After stabilization signals appear, attempt light, staggered long positions Condition: The H1 structure remains intact 🔰 Defensive Approach (Risk Control) 📍 If price breaks below 4790 and fails to recover quickly 📍 Decisively reduce exposure or exit positions and wait for new structural confirmation ✅ Trend Summary: 👉 Medium-term trend (H4): Bullish trend remains intact, but price has entered a high-level consolidation phase 👉 Short-term condition (H1): Corrective pullback + cooling momentum 👉 Core strategy: Do not chase highs; focus only on pullback structures 👉 Key defense zone: 4800–4790 — a clear break below requires heightened caution
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_StrategyMaster
1
XAUUSD – H2 Technical AnalysisLiquidity Pullback Within a Strong Bullish Structure | Lana ✨ Gold continues to trade within a well-defined bullish structure on the H2 timeframe. The recent surge was impulsive, followed by a healthy retracement that appears to be rebalancing liquidity rather than signaling a trend reversal. Price action remains constructive as long as the market respects key structural levels and the ascending trendline. 📈 Market Structure & Trend Context The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows still intact. Price continues to respect the ascending trendline, which has acted as reliable dynamic support throughout the uptrend. The recent pullback occurred after an aggressive upside expansion, fitting the classic sequence: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation No clear distribution pattern is visible at this stage. As long as structural support holds, the bias remains BUY on pullbacks, not selling strength. 🔍 Key Technical Zones & Value Areas Primary Buy POC Zone: 4764 – 4770 This area represents a high-volume node (POC) and aligns closely with the rising trendline. It is a natural zone where price may rebalance before resuming the bullish trend. Secondary Value Area (VAL–VAH): 4714 – 4718 A deeper liquidity zone that could act as support if sell pressure temporarily increases. Near-term resistance: 4843 Acceptance above this level strengthens the continuation scenario. Psychological reaction zone: 4900 Likely to generate short-term hesitation or profit-taking. Higher-timeframe expansion targets: 5000 (psychological level) 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where major liquidity may be resting. 🎯 Trading Plan – H2 Structure-Based ✅ Primary Scenario: BUY the Pullback Buy Entry: 👉 4766 – 4770 Lana prefers to engage only if price pulls back into the POC zone and shows bullish confirmation on H1–H2 (trendline hold, strong rejection of lower prices, or bullish follow-through). Stop Loss: 👉 4756 – 4758 (Placed ~8–10 points below entry, beneath the POC zone and the ascending trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets (Scaled Exits) TP1: 4843 First resistance zone — partial profit-taking recommended. TP2: 4900 Psychological level with potential short-term reactions. TP3: 5000 Major psychological milestone and upside expansion target. TP4 (extension): 5050 – 5080 Area aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and higher-timeframe liquidity. The preferred approach is to scale out gradually and protect the position, adjusting risk as price confirms continuation. 🌍 Macro Context (Brief) According to Goldman Sachs, central banks in emerging markets are expected to continue diversifying reserves away from traditional assets and into gold. Average annual central bank gold purchases are projected to reach around 60 tons by 2026, reinforcing structural demand for gold. This ongoing accumulation supports the idea that pullbacks are more likely driven by positioning and profit-taking, rather than a shift in long-term fundamentals. 🧠 Lana’s View This remains a pullback within a bullish trend, not a bearish reversal. The focus stays on buying value at key liquidity zones, not chasing price at highs. Patience, structure, and disciplined execution remain the edge. ✨ Respect the trend, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 22nd January 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – TRADE SETUP 💰 📈 BUY SETUP 🟢 Buy above the HIGH of one candle 🔒 Condition: Candle close below 4870 🎯 Targets: 💵 4880 💵 4890 💵 4905 📉 SELL SETUP 🔴 Sell below the LOW of one 1-Hour candle 🔒 Condition: Candle close below 4796 🎯 Targets: 💵 4780 💵 4765 💵 4750 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 📌 This is not financial advice. 📌 Shared for educational purposes only. 📌 Trading in Gold / Forex involves high risk 💥 📌 Please trade with proper risk management & stop-loss. 📌 I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Eternal (Zomato) – 5-Wave Rally Meets a Reality CheckEternal (Zomato) appears to have completed a clean 5-wave impulse from ₹194 → ₹368.45 and is now shifting into a corrective phase. Technical Setup: Wave A is unfolding with price slipping below the 100DMA. A temporary Wave B rebound toward ₹320–₹325 could precede another decline toward ₹281–₹261 — aligning with 0.5–0.618 retracement levels. The corrective bias holds unless ₹368.45 is decisively reclaimed. Fundamental Snapshot: The FY25 data shows revenue growth of 67% YoY , reaching ₹202.4B — impressive, but free cash flow plunged 82% , and long-term debt has been fully paid off. Despite a market cap near ₹2.94T, the P/E ratio remains sky-high (~1474) , hinting at over-optimism. That combo — stretched valuation + slowing FCF momentum — supports the case for a technical pullback before the next sustained trend resumes. Trade View: Short-term corrective tone stays intact. Watch ₹320–₹325 for a possible lower high; deeper retracement likely toward ₹280–₹260 zone. Invalidation: ₹368.45 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:ETERNALShort
by WaveXplorer
4
Hindustan Copper Limited – A Case in Point📊 Understanding the Rounding Bottom Pattern in Long-Term Charts Hindustan Copper Limited, currently trading near ₹538, has displayed a rounding bottom formation since its listing in 2010. After years of decline and consolidation, the stock is now approaching its listing highs, reflecting a long-term structural recovery. This setup highlights how patience in long-term charts can reward investors, while disciplined risk management ensures traders don’t get caught in false moves. Understanding the Rounding Bottom Pattern in Long-Term Charts 📈 What is a Rounding Bottom Pattern? A rounding bottom pattern (also called a saucer bottom) is a long-term technical chart formation that signals a gradual shift from a bearish phase to a bullish one. It typically develops over months or years, showing a slow decline in price, stabilization at the bottom, and then a gradual recovery. The shape resembles a "U" or a bowl, reflecting investor sentiment moving from pessimism to optimism. Key characteristics: Extended duration: Often spans several years. Gradual transition: No sharp reversals; instead, a slow and steady change in trend. Volume behavior: Declines during the downtrend, stabilizes at the bottom, and rises as the breakout nears. 🌍 Importance on Long-Term Charts Signals structural reversal: Especially powerful when seen on monthly or weekly charts, as it suggests a fundamental change in market perception. Applicable to newly listed stocks: For companies that fell after listing, a rounding bottom can mark the end of long-term underperformance. Investor confidence: Breakouts from such patterns often attract institutional interest, as they indicate sustained demand. ⚖️ Risk Management in Such Criteria Even though rounding bottoms are strong reversal signals, risk management is crucial: False breakouts: Prices may test resistance multiple times before a clean breakout. Stop-loss placement: Traders should place stops below the midpoint of the pattern or recent support. Position sizing: Avoid overexposure; long-term setups require patience and capital discipline. Macro factors: Always consider industry cycles, commodity prices, and broader market sentiment. 💡 Traders’ & Investors’ Takeaways For traders: The breakout above the neckline (previous highs) is the key entry point. Momentum traders often ride the rally post-breakout. For investors: The pattern reflects a fundamental turnaround. Long-term investors may accumulate during the consolidation phase, anticipating sustained growth. Psychological shift: The pattern embodies a transition from despair to renewed optimism, making it a powerful sentiment indicator.
NSE:HINDCOPPEREducation
by NANARKAR
2
Bajaj Electricals💡 Liked the idea? Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it! Comments are Most Welcome Volume Spike Followed by Product Addition news >> hints to something better Trade Setup CMP 440 add on dips till 400 SL CLB 360/340 Expected Target Between 550 & 750 For more insights & trade ideas, 📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow Warm regards, Naresh G SEBI Registered Research Analyst 💬 Comment below if you want me to analyse any stock for you 🔍
NSE:BAJAJELECLong
by NareshG_SEBI_REGISTERED_RA
2
Market Holidays & Trading Calendar PlanningMarket Holidays & Trading Calendar Planning Market holidays and trading calendar planning are often underestimated elements of successful trading and investing. While most market participants focus on price action, fundamentals, or technical indicators, the structure of the trading calendar itself strongly influences liquidity, volatility, risk, and returns. Understanding when markets are open, partially open, or closed—and planning strategies around these periods—is a critical skill for traders, investors, fund managers, and even long-term portfolio allocators. 1. What Are Market Holidays? Market holidays are official days when exchanges are fully or partially closed, meaning no trading activity takes place. These holidays vary by: Country (India, US, Europe, Asia) Asset class (Equities, derivatives, commodities, currency) Exchange (NSE, BSE, NYSE, NASDAQ, CME) For example: In India, NSE and BSE close for national, religious, and festival holidays In the US, markets close for federal holidays like Independence Day or Thanksgiving Global markets often remain open when others are closed, creating asynchronous trading environments A trading calendar includes: Full trading holidays Weekend closures Special trading sessions (half-days) Settlement holidays Expiry dates (weekly, monthly, quarterly) 2. Why Market Holidays Matter for Traders Market holidays have direct and indirect effects on trading behavior: a) Liquidity Impact Liquidity typically drops sharply before and after holidays. Fewer institutional players are active, bid-ask spreads widen, and order book depth decreases. This is especially visible in: Mid-cap and small-cap stocks Options contracts Less liquid futures Low liquidity can result in: Slippage False breakouts Sharp spikes caused by small orders b) Volatility Changes Contrary to common belief, holidays can increase volatility: Thin volumes exaggerate price moves Stop-loss clusters get triggered easily News released during holidays causes gap openings Example: If US markets are closed but Asian or European markets react to global news, Indian markets may open with a large gap, catching traders off-guard. 3. Pre-Holiday & Post-Holiday Market Behavior Markets show distinct behavioral patterns around holidays: a) Pre-Holiday Effects Traders reduce positions to avoid overnight or long-weekend risk Options writers close positions due to theta uncertainty Volatility often compresses Profit booking increases This is why markets often show range-bound or mildly bearish behavior before major holidays. b) Post-Holiday Effects Pent-up demand or fear leads to gap-up or gap-down openings Global cues accumulated during holidays get priced in High volatility during the first 1–2 hours of trading Experienced traders often avoid the first 30–60 minutes post-holiday unless they specialize in gap trading. 4. Trading Calendar Planning for Different Market Participants a) Intraday Traders For intraday traders, calendar awareness is crucial: Avoid aggressive trading on low-volume days Reduce position size before holidays Expect erratic price action near closing hours Be cautious with breakout strategies On expiry weeks with holidays, time decay accelerates, making intraday option strategies riskier. b) Swing Traders Swing traders must plan entries and exits around holidays: Carrying positions over long weekends increases gap risk Stop-loss orders may not protect against gap openings Global events during holidays can invalidate technical setups Many swing traders prefer to exit partial positions before long holidays and re-enter after confirmation. c) Options Traders Options traders are most sensitive to the trading calendar: Theta behaves differently near holidays Weekly expiries shift when holidays fall on expiry day Implied volatility can spike unexpectedly For example: If Thursday expiry is a holiday in India, weekly options expire on Wednesday, changing decay dynamics and hedging costs. 5. Settlement, Expiry & Holiday Adjustments Trading calendars also include: Settlement holidays (trades executed but not settled) Shifted expiries in derivatives Adjusted margin requirements Key implications: Funds may remain blocked longer Delivery trades may face delayed settlement Carry-forward costs can increase Professional traders always track: Weekly and monthly F&O expiry dates Holidays affecting those expiries RBI holidays impacting currency settlement 6. Global Market Holiday Mismatch In today’s interconnected markets, one market’s holiday is another market’s trading opportunity. Examples: US markets closed → Asian markets react to US futures China holidays → Commodity markets become volatile European holidays → Lower liquidity in forex pairs This mismatch leads to: Artificial price stability followed by sudden breakouts Delayed reactions to macro news Increased overnight risk Indian traders must track: US market holidays Asian market calendars (China, Japan) Global economic event calendars 7. Long-Term Investors & Portfolio Planning Even long-term investors benefit from calendar planning: SIP execution dates can fall on holidays Rebalancing during illiquid sessions increases cost Tax-loss harvesting must consider settlement dates Dividend record dates near holidays affect pricing Institutional investors often avoid bulk trades near holidays due to price impact and execution risk. 8. Psychological Aspect of Holiday Trading Holidays influence trader psychology: Reduced attention and discipline Overconfidence due to low participation Emotional decisions before long breaks Retail traders often make mistakes like: Overtrading thin markets Holding leveraged positions into holidays Ignoring global risk events Disciplined traders treat holidays as risk management checkpoints, not trading opportunities. 9. Best Practices for Trading Calendar Planning Some practical rules followed by professionals: Always keep an updated annual trading calendar Mark major domestic and global holidays Reduce leverage before long weekends Avoid new positions on extremely low-volume days Track shifted expiries and settlement dates Combine holiday awareness with technical levels Plan exits before holidays, entries after confirmation Calendar awareness should be part of every trading plan, just like stop-loss or risk-reward ratios. 10. Conclusion Market holidays and trading calendar planning are silent forces shaping price behavior. They affect liquidity, volatility, psychology, and risk more than most traders realize. Successful market participants do not treat holidays as passive events—they actively plan around them. Whether you are an intraday trader, swing trader, options strategist, or long-term investor, understanding the trading calendar helps you: Avoid unnecessary risk Improve execution quality Protect capital during uncertain periods Align strategies with real market conditions In modern markets, when you trade is often as important as what you trade. Mastering market holidays and calendar planning transforms trading from reactive speculation into structured decision-making.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/01/2026A gap-up opening is expected in Nifty, indicating a short-term relief bounce after the recent sharp decline and high volatility seen over the last few sessions. This gap-up suggests that buying interest has emerged near the lower demand zones, but the broader trend still remains weak and corrective, so traders should stay cautious and avoid assuming a full trend reversal too early. The market structure clearly shows lower highs and lower lows on the higher timeframe, which means the current upside move should be treated as a pullback within a downtrend unless key resistance levels are reclaimed with strong follow-through. From a price-action perspective, the 25250–25300 zone is acting as an important reversal and decision-making area. If Nifty manages to sustain above 25250, it may attract short-covering and fresh buying, leading to a gradual upside move towards 25350, followed by 25400 and 25450+. This move will largely depend on whether the gap-up is defended in the first 30–45 minutes of trade. A strong bullish candle with volume confirmation above this zone would support a reversal long setup, but traders should trail profits aggressively as overhead supply is still heavy. On the downside, the 25200–25250 range remains a critical resistance-turned-supply zone. Any rejection from this area, especially if accompanied by weak candles or long upper wicks, can invite selling pressure. In such a scenario, short positions near 25250–25200 may push the index back towards 25100, then 25050, and potentially 25000. If selling intensifies and Nifty breaks decisively below 24950, the downside could extend further towards 24850, 24800, and even 24750, confirming bearish continuation. Overall, while the gap-up opening brings short-term positivity, the broader bias remains cautious to bearish unless Nifty sustains above higher resistance levels. Traders should focus on level-based trading, avoid chasing the gap, and wait for confirmation near key zones before taking positions. Intraday volatility is expected to remain high, making risk management and disciplined execution far more important than aggressive directional bets.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
XAUUSD – Short-Term Trendline Broken, Focus on Buying Liquidity Market Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD (H4) – Liam PlanMacro tailwinds remain, but price is extended | Trade reactions, not emotions Quick summary Gold remains supported by a strong macro backdrop: 📌 Fed hold probability in January: 95% → USD/yields capped. 📌 Geopolitical tension (Kremlin praising Trump over Greenland, NATO cracks) adds safe-haven demand. Technically, price has pushed aggressively into upper expansion territory. At this stage, the edge is reaction trading at key levels, not chasing strength. Macro context (why volatility stays elevated) With the Fed very likely holding rates in January, markets are highly sensitive to USD and yield shifts. Rising geopolitical noise keeps gold bid, but also increases the risk of headline-driven spikes and liquidity sweeps. ➡️ Conclusion: directional bias is secondary to execution quality. Trade levels + confirmation only. Technical view (H4 – based on the chart) Gold is trading inside a rising channel, currently extended toward the upper Fibonacci expansion. Key levels to focus on: ✅ Major sell Fibonacci / wave top: 4950 – 4960 ✅ Sell wave B / reaction zone: 4825 – 4835 ✅ Buy entry / structure support: 4730 – 4740 ✅ Sell-side liquidity: 4520 – 4550 (below structure) Price is stretched above the mid-channel — conditions where pullbacks and rotations are statistically more likely than clean continuation. Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level) 1️⃣ SELL scenarios (priority – reaction trading) A. SELL at Fibonacci extension (primary idea) ✅ Sell zone: 4950 – 4960 SL: above the high / fib extension TP1: 4830 TP2: 4740 TP3: 4550 (if momentum accelerates) Logic: This is an exhaustion area aligned with wave completion and fib extension — ideal for profit-taking and mean rotation, not trend chasing. B. SELL wave B reaction ✅ Sell: 4825 – 4835 Condition: clear rejection / bearish structure on M15–H1 TP: 4740 → 4550 Logic: Classic corrective wave zone. Good for tactical shorts within a broader volatile structure. 2️⃣ BUY scenario (secondary – only on reaction) BUY at structural support ✅ Buy zone: 4730 – 4740 Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on lower TF) TP: 4825 → 4950 (scale out) Logic: This is a key flip zone inside the rising channel. BUY only if price proves acceptance — no blind dip buying. Key notes (risk control) Market is extended → expect fake breaks and sharp pullbacks. Avoid mid-range entries between levels. Reduce size during geopolitical headlines. Confirmation > prediction. What’s your play: selling the 4950 fib extension, or waiting for a clean reaction at 4730–4740 before reassessing? — Liam
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
2
TATA Steel | Short Opportunity – CHART Study onlyKey Short Signals from Chart Upper Channel Rejection Multiple rejections near the top blue trendline. Indicates sellers defending higher levels. RSI Bearish Divergence Price made higher high RSI made lower high Classic momentum weakness → bearish sign. MACD Weakening Histogram losing strength after bullish run. MACD lines flattening → momentum slowdown. Risk–Reward Zone (Marked) Red zone (SL area): Above ~190–192 Green zone (Target area): ~165–168 (channel support) Disclaimer: This chart analysis is for educational and study purposes only. It is not a trading or investment recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:TATASTEELShort
by apstockanalysis
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 22.01.2026 Timeframe: 3 Minutes Unable to post on time due to a technical glitch. Sorry for the delayed post. If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend. When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance. If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways please like and share my idea if you find it helpful 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NSE:NIFTY
by AATHIE
Why Every Trend Needs an Anchor Markets Are Test Matches, Not T20s — Why Every Trend Needs an Anchor Understanding AVWAP: Learning to Read Where the Market Remembers One of the biggest challenges for traders is knowing which levels actually matter. Markets print hundreds of candles, but only a few prices carry memory. Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) is a tool that helps us identify those prices — where meaningful participation occurred. Yesterday’s price action in Nifty Futures offers a very good learning example. During a sharp, emotional sell-off, price declined and stopped precisely at the AVWAP anchored from the 7th April 2025 low — a day that also marked the highest traded volume of the last year (~20 million contracts). This outcome wasn’t accidental. It was structural. What AVWAP Really Represents AVWAP is not just another indicator. It shows: The average price paid by participants since a chosen point Weighted by volume, not time Reflecting real positioning, not theoretical averages In simple terms: AVWAP tells us where the market’s money is positioned from a specific event. Because large participants manage risk around their average price, AVWAP often becomes a decision zone, not just a line. Why the Anchor Is More Important Than the Indicator AVWAP is only as effective as the event you anchor it to. The market does not respect arbitrary dates. It respects events that forced commitment. High-quality anchor points include: Days with exceptionally high volume All-time highs or major breakouts Crash lows (2008, COVID) Major structural bottoms (such as 2023) Panic or capitulation candles These are the moments when positioning changes hands and long-term inventory is created. April 2025: A Lesson in Confluence Let’s break this down step by step. 1. The 2023 Bottom This was not just another swing low. It was a cycle-defining bottom for Nifty. Anchoring an AVWAP from this point gives us a long-term cost reference for market participants who entered near that structural low. 2. April 7, 2025 On this day: Nifty Futures formed a swing low Volumes expanded to the highest level of the past year (~20M) Price was trading very close to the AVWAP from the 2023 bottom This alignment is important. When a new high-volume low forms near an older structural AVWAP, it tells us larger players are engaging at a familiar cost zone. 3. What Happened After Following April 2025: Price trended higher Pullbacks repeatedly found support near this AVWAP Buyers defended the level consistently This behavior shows acceptance above the anchor — a sign of healthy structure. 4. The Recent Panic Sell-Off During yesterday’s sell-off: Emotion dominated price action Weak hands exited positions Price declined directly into the April 7 AVWAP Selling pressure slowed and price stabilized This is exactly how strong reference levels behave — they don’t prevent volatility, but they absorb it. Why AVWAP Works During Volatile Markets AVWAP becomes especially useful when volatility expands. That’s because: Institutions track their average cost Risk is adjusted near those levels Decisions are made where positioning is concentrated As a general framework: Above AVWAP → structure remains constructive Below AVWAP → supply increases, caution required Reclaim of AVWAP → trend strength resumes AVWAP doesn’t predict direction. It highlights where decisions are likely to happen. Practical Guidance for Using AVWAP 1. Be Selective With Anchors Before anchoring, ask: “Was this a moment when the market was forced to commit?” If not, skip it. 2. Always Look at Volume The best AVWAPs come from: Highest volume days Breakdowns or breakouts with expansion Panic or capitulation events Volume validates relevance. 3. Look for Confluence, Not Precision AVWAP works best when it aligns with: Prior swing lows or highs Trend structure Higher timeframe context April 2025 was powerful because it aligned with the AVWAP from the 2023 bottom. 4. Let Volatility Confirm the Level Quiet markets don’t test conviction. Volatile markets do. If a level holds during panic, it deserves respect. My Perspective AVWAP is not about drawing more lines. It’s about learning which prices the market remembers. When price reacts during fear — not comfort — you are seeing real structure, not coincidence. Study those reactions. Over time, you’ll begin to see that the market leaves clear footprints — and AVWAP is one of the best tools to track them. My Take on markets vsTest Matches In Test cricket, great innings aren’t built on constant aggression. They are built around an anchor — the batsman who: Absorbs pressure Respects good deliveries Holds one end while others play around him This is exactly how great players likes of Sachin Tendulkar, Rahul Dravid Virat Kohli et all have built his best Test knocks — not by chasing every ball, but by playing around a stable base. Markets behave the same way. Price can swing, panic can spread, momentum players can come and go — but long-term structure holds around anchored reference points. AVWAP acts like that anchor batsman. It doesn’t score flashy runs every session. It doesn’t predict the next ball. But as long as price respects it, the innings stays intact. When panic arrives, the anchor absorbs it. When momentum returns, the innings continues. As traders and investors, our job is not to play every delivery. Our job is to recognize where the market is anchoring, and then build positions with patience — just like a Test match, not a highlight reel. Because in both cricket and markets: Those who stay anchored, stay in the game the longest.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by aktradelearning
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/01/2026)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating indecision after the recent sell-off and rejection from higher levels. The index is currently trading below its immediate resistance zone, reflecting weak momentum and cautious sentiment among market participants. Early trade is likely to remain volatile but range-bound, as both buyers and sellers wait for confirmation near the marked support and resistance levels before committing to fresh positions. On the upside, the key resistance zone is placed near 59,550–59,600. If Bank Nifty manages to sustain above 59,550, it can trigger a buy-on-breakout setup with upside targets of 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A move above this zone would indicate short-covering and fresh buying interest, potentially leading to a recovery rally towards the upper resistance band near 59,950. Long trades should be considered only after clear acceptance above resistance with stable price action. On the downside, the immediate support is seen around 59,450–59,400. Failure to hold this level can invite fresh selling pressure, making buy PE options favorable for downside moves. In such a case, targets are placed at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050, where partial profit booking is advisable. A stronger breakdown below 58,950–58,900 would further weaken the structure and open deeper downside targets near 58,750, 58,650, and 58,550, which are major demand zones and potential bounce areas. Overall, the broader structure suggests a sell-on-rise and range-trading strategy unless a decisive breakout above resistance occurs. Traders should avoid aggressive positions during the initial flat phase and instead focus on level-based trades with strict stop-loss management. Scalpers and intraday traders can capitalize on moves near support and resistance, while positional traders should wait for a confirmed directional breakout before taking larger exposure.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/01/2026A flat opening is expected in Nifty, indicating continued consolidation after the recent sharp decline and volatile price action near lower demand zones. The index has shown strong selling pressure from higher levels and is now hovering close to a critical support area, suggesting that the market is at an important decision point. Early trade is likely to remain range-bound with heightened volatility, as both buyers and sellers assess whether the recent support will hold or break further. On the support side, the immediate demand zone is placed around 25,250–25,200. This area has already witnessed a sharp reaction, indicating short-term buying interest and the possibility of a technical bounce. If Nifty manages to hold above 25,250, a reversal long setup may come into play with upside targets of 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+. Any pullback followed by strong bullish candles or higher low formation near this zone can be used as a confirmation for intraday or short-term long trades, keeping strict stop-losses below the support. On the upside, the immediate resistance lies near 25,450–25,400, which is a previous breakdown zone. Sustaining above this level is crucial for bulls to regain control. Failure to cross this resistance may again attract selling pressure, keeping the index trapped in a sideways-to-bearish structure. Hence, profit booking is advised near resistance levels for long positions, and fresh longs should be considered only on a decisive breakout with volume confirmation. On the downside, a clear break below 25,200 would weaken the structure further and open the door for fresh short trades. In such a scenario, downside targets are placed at 25,100, 25,050, and 25,000, which are the next major psychological and technical support levels. Below 25,000, the selling momentum can accelerate, so traders should be cautious and trail profits aggressively in short positions. Overall, the broader trend remains bearish with short-term consolidation, and today’s flat opening suggests a wait-and-watch approach during the initial phase of the session. Traders should focus on level-based trading, avoid chasing moves, and strictly follow risk management. Directional clarity is expected only after a confirmed breakout above resistance or a breakdown below the key support zone.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo