WELSPUNLIV | Trend Reversal with Strong VolumeWelspun Living Ltd. (NSE: WELSPUNLIV) is showing signs of a significant trend reversal as it breaks out of a downward channel, supported by a surge in volume. After multiple attempts to move higher, the price action has finally broken above the crucial resistance at ₹132.90, signaling the potential for an uptrend. Here’s the breakdown:
Breakout Point: The price has broken out of a downward trend channel (highlighted in blue), which could signal the start of a bullish phase.
Key Support: The breakout level around ₹132.90 will act as a key support, and any pullbacks towards this level can be considered as potential buying opportunities.
Level 1 - ₹150.99: The first resistance is at ₹150.99. A successful breakout above this level will confirm the uptrend.
Level 2 - ₹166.99: The next major resistance is ₹166.99, which will likely act as a significant hurdle.
Level 3 - ₹181.09: If momentum continues, the price could reach ₹181.09, where another resistance zone exists.
Ultimate Level - ₹212.57: If the bullish trend continues, the price could eventually reach ₹212.57, the next major resistance zone.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout is accompanied by a notable increase in volume, which enhances the reliability of this move.
Note: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. It is based on technical indicators and historical price action. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use proper risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, when trading. The market is unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
X-indicator
BANKNIFTY at a Make-or-Break ZoneNIFTYBANK is currently trading at a critical confluence zone where a downward-sloping resistance trendline is meeting a well-defined rising support area on the 1-hour timeframe. This price compression indicates indecision and typically precedes a sharp directional move. The index has repeatedly respected both these levels, confirming their importance in the current structure.
On the upside, the falling resistance zone near 59,300–59,500 remains the key hurdle. A sustained breakout and close above this trendline would signal a shift in short-term momentum, opening the door for a recovery move toward 59,800 initially, followed by a potential extension toward the 60,400–60,600 zone. Such a breakout would also indicate that buyers are regaining control after the recent corrective phase.
On the downside, the green support zone around 58,700–58,850 is the immediate demand area to watch. This zone has acted as a base multiple times, and as long as Bank Nifty holds above it, pullbacks may continue to attract buyers. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish bounce scenario and could accelerate selling pressure toward 58,300 first, with a deeper downside extension possible toward the 57,200 region.
Overall, BANKNIFTY is trading inside a tightening range, signaling an imminent volatility expansion. Directional clarity will emerge only after a confirmed breakout or breakdown. Traders should remain cautious at current levels and wait for confirmation, as this is a classic decision zone where false moves are also common.
XAU/USD Outlook TodayThe latest data paints a pretty clear picture of where XAU/USD stands today, and the market tone is cautious but still bullish overall.
## 🟡 XAU/USD Outlook Today
### 1. **Price Action & Market Mood**
Gold is trading around the **$4,300** zone, with traders showing hesitation ahead of key U.S. economic data releases. This pause is driven mainly by expectations around inflation and jobs numbers, which could shift Federal Reserve rate‑cut expectations.
- Gold recently eased slightly as traders took profits and reduced exposure ahead of U.S. jobs data.
- The metal is still holding above the **50‑day moving average at $4,127**, keeping the broader uptrend intact.
### 2. **Key Levels to Watch**
- **Resistance:**
- **$4,353–$4,381** remains a strong ceiling where recent rallies have stalled.
- **Support:**
- **$4,127** (50‑day MA) is the key line that keeps the “buy‑the‑dip” bias alive.
### 3. **Macro Drivers Today**
Markets are waiting for:
- **U.S. CPI data**, expected around **3.1% headline** and **3.0% core**. This is the biggest catalyst for gold today.
- A softer CPI print could weaken the dollar and push gold higher; a hotter print could pressure gold.
### 4. **Short‑Term Forecast**
Based on current sentiment and technicals:
- **Bias:** Mildly bullish
- **Expected range:** **$4,260 – $4,350**
- **Breakout potential:** A close above **$4,353** could open the door to retesting the **$4,381** record area.
If you want, I can also give you:
- A **1‑hour intraday technical setup**
- A **swing‑trade plan**
- Or **automated chart levels** based on your trading style
HEROMOTOCO - Rejection From Strong Resistance, Momentum Cooling💹 Hero MotoCorp Ltd (NSE: HEROMOTOCO)
Sector: Automobiles | CMP: 5817
View: Bearish — Rejection From Strong Resistance, Momentum Cooling
HEROMOTOCO has recently faced a sharp rejection from its upper resistance zone near the 6100–6200 region after a strong prior rally, indicating supply emergence at higher levels rather than healthy consolidation. The subsequent decline has been decisive, with price slipping back below key short-term levels, suggesting that the recent upswing may have been a momentum-driven leg rather than the start of a sustained trend. Current price behaviour reflects a cooling phase following distribution near the highs.
From a structural perspective, the stock remains within a broader developing framework, but near-term momentum has weakened. RSI around 42.6 sits in a neutral-to-healthy zone, indicating that the stock is neither oversold nor displaying reversal exhaustion. Stochastic has cooled from elevated levels, while MACD signals point to loss of bullish momentum rather than aggressive bearish acceleration. ADX suggests the trend is still developing, though recent behaviour highlights a transition from expansion to consolidation or pullback.
Volume participation remains moderate (Vol-X ~0.83), confirming that the recent decline is orderly and controlled, not panic-driven. This reduces the probability of sharp capitulation but keeps downside risk open as long as price fails to reclaim overhead supply. The current structure favours patience, with markets reassessing value after a strong prior move.
Key price references show strong overhead resistance clustered near 5931–6045 and further up around 6120, while immediate structural supports are placed near 5742, followed by 5668 and 5553, defining the current risk-reward envelope. Sustained acceptance above the resistance band would be required to restore bullish confidence, while continued trade below this zone keeps the bias tilted to the downside or range-bound with elevated volatility.
On the derivatives side, near-ATM CALLs and PUTs are referenced strictly for analytical insight into positioning behaviour. CALL-side data shows rising open interest with moderate volume expansion, indicating short build-up rather than directional strength, while PUT-side activity reflects short-covering-led participation, suggesting defensive repositioning rather than fresh aggressive bearish bets. Implied volatility remains in a relatively low-to-moderate band, pointing to measured risk pricing rather than fear-driven expansion. Overall, derivatives behaviour aligns with a cooling, non-trending phase, where conviction remains mixed and momentum-dependent.
Structure quality metrics reflect this balance. The STWP Edge Score in the moderate range highlights tradability but not high-conviction trend alignment. Liquidity remains concentrated near ATM strikes, supporting participation, but directional option structures remain sensitive to time decay and price stalling, reinforcing the importance of confirmation through price acceptance or rejection at key levels.
Overall, HEROMOTOCO is currently in a post-rally digestion phase, with bearish pressure emerging near resistance and momentum moderating. While deeper downside is possible if supports fail, the absence of capitulation volume suggests that the stock may oscillate within a defined range unless fresh directional conviction develops.
Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot):
Momentum: Neutral| Trend: Developing / Cooling | Risk: Low | Volume: Normal
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
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NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
HDFCAMC - Demand Reclaim, Institutional Participation Visible💹 HDFC Asset Management Co. Ltd (NSE: HDFCAMC)
Sector: Financial Services – Asset Management | CMP: 2723
View: Bullish — Demand Reclaim, Institutional Participation Visible
HDFCAMC has staged a sharp recovery from its lower demand zone, supported by a strong bullish candle and clear volume expansion, signalling renewed buying interest rather than a dead-cat bounce. The recent move has helped the stock reclaim short-term positional levels after a corrective phase, indicating that supply pressure seen earlier has started to ease. Price behaviour now reflects acceptance above demand, which is a constructive sign for follow-through.
From a structural standpoint, the broader trend remains up, with the recent decline appearing corrective within a larger framework rather than trend-damaging. RSI near 57.5 sits in a healthy zone — comfortably above neutral but well below overbought territory — allowing room for continuation if momentum sustains. Stochastic has reset from elevated levels, while MACD behaviour points toward renewed bullish momentum instead of exhaustion. ADX suggests trend strength is improving, hinting at a possible transition from consolidation back into expansion.
Volume dynamics are a key positive. With Vol-X above 3, participation during the recent up-move reflects institutional involvement rather than retail-led volatility. The absence of panic selling during the prior decline and the presence of strong demand absorption increase the probability that the stock is resuming its primary trend rather than entering a prolonged range.
Key price references indicate immediate overhead resistance clustered around the 2765–2810 zone, with a higher supply band near 2890–3000 acting as a broader ceiling. On the downside, structural supports are placed near 2640, followed by 2558 and 2515, defining the current risk envelope. Sustained acceptance above the near-term resistance band would strengthen bullish confidence, while failure to hold above reclaimed levels could lead to range-bound consolidation.
Demand Reclaim, Institutional Participation Visible
On the derivatives side, near-ATM option activity is referenced strictly for analytical insight into positioning behaviour. CALL-side data shows long build-up with strong volume and open-interest expansion, reflecting directional participation aligned with price. PUT-side activity is largely defensive, with short-covering dominating rather than fresh aggressive bearish positioning. Implied volatility remains in a low-to-moderate band, favouring controlled directional structures over fear-driven trades. Overall, derivatives behaviour aligns with a continuation-biased environment, conditional on price follow-through.
Structure quality metrics reinforce this view. The STWP Edge Score remains high, indicating strong alignment between price action, volume, and options positioning. Liquidity is concentrated near the ATM zone, supporting efficient participation, though directional options remain sensitive to time decay if momentum stalls — reinforcing the need for disciplined risk management.
Overall, HDFCAMC appears to be resuming its primary uptrend after a corrective phase, with improving momentum and visible institutional participation. While overhead resistance may induce short-term pauses, the broader structure remains constructive as long as price holds above key demand levels.
Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot):
Momentum: Moderate| Trend: Developing | Risk: High | Volume: Very High
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
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GIFTY 500 Points Rally possible in next 10 trading sessions.GIFTY 500 Points Rally possible in next 10 trading sessions.
GIFTY is seen making bottom around 25780 & can now breaking down trending channel.
500 Points Rally possible in next 10 trading sessions.
LTP - 26000
Targets - 26500+
Timeframe - 8-10 days.
Banking & IT sector looking strong for next 2-3 weeks.
Happy Investing.
NIFTY Short-Term Compression – Breakout Direction ImminentOn the 1H timeframe, NIFTY is trading inside a tight contracting structure, where rising trend support is converging with a falling short-term resistance. This price compression clearly signals that the index is entering a decision-making zone.
Price has again taken support near the lower trendline, which aligns with previous demand and short-term base formation. The repeated defense of this zone shows that buyers are still active and not letting the structure break easily.
The upper trendline has capped multiple attempts in recent sessions, leading to sideways-to-corrective movement. However, this consolidation is happening within a broader rising channel, which keeps the higher timeframe bias positive.
RSI is hovering near the mid-zone, indicating no momentum exhaustion on either side. Such neutral RSI during compression often precedes a sharp expansion move once price breaks out of the structure.
A sustained move above the descending resistance can trigger a fast intraday rally towards the upper channel zone. On the other hand, a clean breakdown below rising support can lead to quick intraday volatility towards the lower demand area. The structure clearly suggests that volatility expansion is close.
Btc swing trading layout Price was respecting an ascending trendline (higher lows).
That trendline has now broken → structure shift from bullish to bearish.
After the break, price is trying to move back up = pullback / retest phase.
Retest / Supply zone: 87,800 – 88,800
This is the broken trendline + previous support turned resistance.
Current price: ~86,700 (below the trendline → bearish bias intact)
Major support: 84,800 – 84,000
Liquidity / HTF support: 80,600 – 80,500 (your marked low)
Mastering Complex Techniques for Consistent Market ProfitsAdvanced Option Strategies
Options trading goes far beyond simple call buying or put selling. While basic strategies help beginners understand direction-based trades, advanced option strategies are designed for experienced traders who want to profit from volatility, time decay, range-bound markets, and risk asymmetry. These strategies focus not just on predicting price direction, but on managing probability, risk, and reward with precision.
This guide explores advanced option strategies in a structured way, helping you understand when to use them, how they work, and why professionals rely on them.
1. The Philosophy Behind Advanced Option Strategies
Advanced option strategies are built on three core option variables, often called the Option Greeks:
Delta – sensitivity to price movement
Theta – impact of time decay
Vega – sensitivity to volatility
Professional traders don’t trade opinions; they trade probabilities. Advanced strategies aim to:
Control downside risk
Benefit from time decay
Capture volatility changes
Maintain flexibility under different market conditions
These strategies are especially effective in sideways, low-volatility, or event-driven markets, where simple directional trades fail.
2. Multi-Leg Option Structures
Advanced strategies typically involve multiple option legs (combination of calls and puts). These structures allow traders to:
Reduce capital required
Hedge risk efficiently
Improve probability of success
Generate steady income
Unlike naked options, multi-leg strategies define risk upfront, making them suitable for disciplined traders.
3. Iron Condor Strategy
The Iron Condor is one of the most popular advanced strategies for range-bound markets.
Structure:
Sell one out-of-the-money call
Buy one higher strike call
Sell one out-of-the-money put
Buy one lower strike put
Market View: Neutral
Profit Source: Time decay (Theta)
Risk: Limited on both sides
This strategy works best when:
Volatility is high and expected to fall
The underlying asset stays within a defined range
No major news or events are expected
Iron Condors are widely used by institutional traders to generate consistent income.
4. Butterfly Spread Strategy
A Butterfly Spread is designed for situations where the trader expects very low volatility and price consolidation.
Structure (Call Butterfly):
Buy one lower strike call
Sell two at-the-money calls
Buy one higher strike call
Market View: Neutral
Profit Zone: Near the middle strike
Risk: Very low, predefined
Butterflies offer:
High reward-to-risk ratio
Low capital requirement
Precision-based trading
However, timing is critical—this strategy performs best close to expiry.
5. Calendar Spread (Time Spread)
Calendar spreads exploit differences in time decay between near-term and far-term options.
Structure:
Sell a near-expiry option
Buy a far-expiry option at the same strike
Market View: Mild directional or neutral
Profit Source: Faster decay of short-term option
Best Environment: Low volatility, stable price
This strategy is commonly used before:
Earnings announcements
Economic events
Policy decisions
Traders benefit when the underlying price stays close to the strike while time passes.
6. Ratio Spread Strategy
A Ratio Spread involves unequal numbers of bought and sold options.
Example:
Buy one call
Sell two higher strike calls
Market View: Moderately bullish or bearish
Risk: Can be unlimited if unhedged
Ratio spreads are used when traders expect:
Controlled price movement
Volatility contraction
Strong resistance or support levels
This strategy demands active monitoring and deep understanding of risk.
7. Backspread Strategy
The Backspread is a volatility-focused strategy, often used ahead of major market moves.
Structure (Call Backspread):
Sell one at-the-money call
Buy two out-of-the-money calls
Market View: Strong directional move expected
Profit Source: Volatility expansion
Risk: Limited
Backspreads are ideal when:
Volatility is low but expected to rise sharply
Big news or events are approaching
Traders want asymmetric payoff
This strategy can deliver explosive profits if the market moves aggressively.
8. Diagonal Spread Strategy
Diagonal spreads combine different strikes and different expiries, offering more flexibility than calendar spreads.
Benefits:
Directional bias with time decay advantage
Adjustable risk profile
Better control over delta and theta
Traders use diagonal spreads for slow trending markets, where price moves steadily over time.
9. Advanced Volatility-Based Strategies
Professional traders focus heavily on volatility rather than direction.
Key volatility strategies include:
Long straddle/strangle (volatility expansion)
Short straddle/strangle (volatility contraction with strict risk control)
Vega-neutral portfolios
Understanding Implied Volatility (IV) is crucial:
Buy options when IV is low
Sell options when IV is high
This single principle separates amateurs from professionals.
10. Risk Management in Advanced Option Trading
No advanced strategy works without disciplined risk management.
Key rules:
Always define maximum loss before entry
Avoid over-leveraging
Adjust positions proactively
Exit when probabilities shift
Advanced traders treat option strategies like business setups, not gambling tools.
11. Common Mistakes Traders Make
Ignoring volatility environment
Holding short options into major events
Overtrading complex structures
Focusing only on profit, not probability
Simplicity with discipline often outperforms unnecessary complexity.
12. Final Thoughts: Becoming a Professional Option Trader
Advanced option strategies are not about predicting markets perfectly. They are about positioning intelligently based on probability, volatility, and time.
By mastering these strategies, traders can:
Generate income in sideways markets
Protect capital during uncertainty
Achieve consistent long-term performance
The real edge lies not in the strategy itself, but in execution, patience, and risk control. When used correctly, advanced option strategies transform options trading from speculation into a structured, professional trading approach.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 18th December 2025## 📊 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (15-MIN TIMEFRAME)
## 📈 TREND TRADING SETUPS
### 🟢 BUY SETUP (BULLISH BREAKOUT)
* 🔹 **Condition:** Buy **above the HIGH** of the **15-minute candle** that **closes above 25910**
* 🔹 **Logic:** A strong close above resistance indicates bullish continuation
🎯 **Upside Targets:**
* 🎯 **Target 1:** 25950
* 🎯 **Target 2:** 25999
* 🎯 **Target 3:** 26035
🛑 **Stop-Loss:**
* Below the low of the breakout 15-minute candle or as per your risk management
### 🔴 SELL SETUP (BEARISH BREAKDOWN)
* 🔹 **Condition:** Sell **below the LOW** of the **15-minute candle** that **closes below 25749**
* 🔹 **Logic:** A decisive close below support confirms bearish momentum
🎯 **Downside Targets:**
* 🎯 **Target 1:** 25710
* 🎯 **Target 2:** 25675
* 🎯 **Target 3:** 25645
🛑 **Stop-Loss:**
* Above the high of the breakdown 15-minute candle or as per your risk management
## ⚡ SCALPING SETUPS (QUICK REVERSAL TRADES)
### 🔻 SELL SCALP – REJECTION ZONE
* 📍 **Zone:** 25860
* 📌 **Condition:** If price shows **clear rejection** near the 25860 zone (wick rejection / bearish candle)
* 📉 **Action:** SELL
🛑 **Stop-Loss:**
* Above the high of the rejection candle or as per your risk
🎯 **Target:**
* Small quick move as per market structure or trail the stop-loss
### 🔺 BUY SCALP – REJECTION ZONE
* 📍 **Zone:** 25773
* 📌 **Condition:** If price shows **strong rejection** near the 25773 zone (wick rejection / bullish candle)
* 📈 **Action:** BUY
🛑 **Stop-Loss:**
* Below the low of the rejection candle or as per your risk
🎯 **Target:**
* Small quick move as per market structure or trail the stop-loss
## 📌 TRADING GUIDELINES
* ⏰ Always wait for **15-minute candle close confirmation**
* 📊 Follow strict **risk management**
* 🔄 Trail stop-loss once the trade moves in your favor
* ❌ Avoid overtrading during low volatility
## ⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This content is for **educational purposes only**.
🚨 Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🚨 Trading involves substantial risk and may result in financial loss.
🚨 **I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor.**
🚨 Please consult your **SEBI-registered financial advisor** before taking any trades.
🚨 The author is not responsible for any profits or losses incurred.
---
✨ *Discipline and risk control matter more than targets.*
mcx natural gas brekaout updatemcx natural gas drag down 350 near@ after made high 490@ now some possibilities here on chart--
natural gas breakout point as per chart expert 365@ if sustain abv or close above than expect 385--400--430 after break out will see rock hard buy
if break structure 350@ than again dwn side 330--320 expect here
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th December 2025## 🟡 GOLD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (15‑MIN CHART)
## 📈 TREND TRADING SETUP (15‑MIN CONFIRMATION)
### 🟢 BUY SETUP (Upside Breakout)
* 🔹 **Condition:** Buy **above the HIGH** of the **15‑minute candle** that **closes above 4358**
* 🔹 **Entry Logic:** Strong bullish close above resistance confirms upside momentum
🎯 **Targets:**
* 🎯 **Target 1:** 4370
* 🎯 **Target 2:** 4382
* 🎯 **Target 3:** 4399
🛑 **Stop‑Loss:**
* Below the low of the breakout 15‑minute candle or as per your risk management
---
### 🔴 SELL SETUP (Downside Breakdown)
* 🔹 **Condition:** Sell **below the LOW** of the **15‑minute candle** that **closes below 4310**
* 🔹 **Entry Logic:** Bearish close below support confirms downside continuation
🎯 **Targets:**
* 🎯 **Target 1:** 4298
* 🎯 **Target 2:** 4287
* 🎯 **Target 3:** 4275
🛑 **Stop‑Loss:**
* Above the high of the breakdown 15‑minute candle or as per your risk management
---
## ⚡ SCALPING SETUP (Quick Trades)
### 🔻 SELL SCALP – REJECTION ZONE
* 📍 **Zone:** 4351
* 📌 **Condition:** If price **rejects from 4351 zone** (wick rejection / bearish candle)
* 📉 **Action:** SELL
🎯 **Target:**
* ✅ **5 to 10 points**
* 🔁 Or **trail stop‑loss** with price movement
🛑 **Stop‑Loss:**
* Just above the rejection high
---
### 🔺 BUY SCALP – REJECTION ZONE
* 📍 **Zone:** 4318
* 📌 **Condition:** If price **rejects from 4318 zone** (wick rejection / bullish candle)
* 📈 **Action:** BUY
🎯 **Target:**
* ✅ **5 to 10 points**
* 🔁 Or **trail stop‑loss** with price movement
🛑 **Stop‑Loss:**
* Just below the rejection low
---
## 📌 IMPORTANT TRADING NOTES
* ⏰ Trade only after **15‑minute candle close confirmation**
* 📊 Follow **proper risk management** on every trade
* ❌ Avoid over‑trading
* 🔄 Trail stop‑loss once trade moves in your favor
---
## ⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 **This analysis is for educational purposes only.**
🚨 **Not a buy or sell recommendation.**
🚨 Trading in commodities involves **high risk** and may not be suitable for all investors.
🚨 Please consult your **financial advisor** before taking any trades.
🚨 The author is **not responsible** for any profit or loss arising from the use of this information.
---
✨ *Trade with discipline. Protect capital first, profits will follow.*
Adani Enterprises LtdDate 18.12.2025
Adani Enterprises
Timeframe : Day Chart
Technical Representaion :
(1) Stock has formed bearish inverted cup & handle pattern
(2) Neckline is 2100-2050 is a make or break area/zone
(3) Below neckline is breakdown & target is open
(4) Stock is already trading below 200 exponential moving average with the pattern
Few Red Flags In Balancesheet :
(1) Stock PE is very high at 111
(2) Low ROCE at : 9.45%
(3) Low ROE at : 9.8%
(4) High Debt of : 1,09,464 Cr
(5) Sales Growth : -9.18% (Negative)
(6) Profit Grwoth : -60% (Negative)
(7) Earnings include an other income of Rs.9,884 Cr
(8) Stock CAGR 1 Yr : -6% (Negative)
(9) Stock CAGR 3 Yr : -17% (Negative)
(10) FII have drastically reduced holding from 19.34% to 11.72%, a drop of 39% in last 2 yrs
(11) Major drawback for any company is fall in cashflow from operating activity :-
March 2023 = 17,626 Cr
March 2024 = 10,312 Cr (41% Drop YOY)
Mrach 2025 = 04,513 Cr ( 56% Drop YOY)
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Gold Trading Strategy for 19th December 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Intraday Trading Plan
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Candle
🔹 Entry Condition:
Buy above the HIGH of the 30-minute candle
Candle must close above 4351
🔹 Buy Entry Zone:
➡️ Above 4351 (Confirmed Close)
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4368
Target 2: 4378
Target 3: 4388
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Below the 30-minute candle low or as per your risk management
📌 Bias: Strong bullish momentum expected if price sustains above 4351
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
🕒 Timeframe: 1-Hour Candle
🔹 Entry Condition:
Sell below the LOW of the 1-hour candle
Candle must close below 4308
🔹 Sell Entry Zone:
➡️ Below 4308 (Confirmed Close)
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4303
Target 2: 4290
Target 3: 4275
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Above the 1-hour candle high or as per your risk management
📌 Bias: Bearish continuation likely if price sustains below 4308
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
✅ Wait for candle close confirmation
✅ Avoid over-trading
✅ Follow proper risk management
✅ Trade only one side (BUY or SELL) after confirmation
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only.
📢 I am not a SEBI-registered financial advisor.
📢 Commodity markets involve high risk.
📢 Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
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Silver comex be ready for downmove heavy fall AI tool data Parameter Data
Asset Name 🟦 Silver Futures (COMEX / SI)
Price Movement 🟥 Minor Pullback (-1.91% Today / +130% YTD)
Current Trade 🟨 WAIT / BUY ON DIPS (Targeting $70.00+)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow (High-level consolidation)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Bullish Trap: Above $67.50 / 🟩 Demand Zone: $63.70 - $64.80
Probability 🟩 72% Upside Continuation
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strong Industrial & Macro Backing)
Max Pain 🟨 $60.00 (Concentrated Put Support)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish (Price well above 50 & 200 DEMA)
Supports 🟩 S1: 65.00 / S2: 63.72 / S3: 62.00
Resistances 🟥 R1: 67.18 / R2: 67.50 / R3: 70.00
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 ADX 32 (Strong Trend) / RSI 68 (Cooling from Overbought)
Market Depth 🟨 Moderate (Buy orders stacking near $64.50)
Volatility 🟥 Extreme (IV 45%+) / High Speculative Activity
Source Ledger COMEX, MCX, LBMA, LSEG Data
OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Rising (New long positions building on dips)
PCR (Options) 🟩 1.63 (Strong Bullish Bias / Put Writing)
VWAP 🟩 $66.08 (Price currently testing VWAP from above)
Turnover 🟩 Record High (Confirming institutional participation)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Impulse wave in progress)
IV / RV 🟥 IV > RV (Markets pricing in sharp moves)
Options Skew 🟩 Positive (Call premiums significantly higher)
Vanna / Charm 🟨 Neutral (Approaching month-end expiry)
Block Trades 🟩 Significant Institutional Inflows in Dec contracts
COT Positioning 🟩 Commercials Short / Managed Money Aggressive Long
Cross-Asset Corr. 🟩 Strong Inverse with DXY (98.30)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflows (Global holdings at 3-year highs)
Sentiment Index 🟥 Greed/Euphoria (82/100)
OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Strong Buy-side pressure on every $1 dip
Delta 🟩 Cumulative Delta: Strongly Positive
VWAP Bands 🟨 Upper Band Touch (Suggests short-term exhaustion)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Outperforming Gold (Ratio at 69.7x)
Market Phase 🟩 Markup Phase (Parabolic Trend)
WIPRO Near Trendline Break – Trend Reversal BrewingWipro has been trading in a broad corrective structure after a prolonged downtrend, but the recent price action signals a clear shift in character. The stock is now approaching a major falling trendline, which has capped price multiple times in the past.
After forming a strong base near the horizontal demand zone, Wipro started making higher lows, indicating gradual accumulation. The current rally towards the descending resistance is happening with improving structure, not in a weak pullback manner.
This zone is extremely important because a sustained close above the falling trendline can mark the end of the corrective phase and open the path for a trend reversal. The overhead supply near this level is being tested again, and repeated testing usually weakens sellers.
RSI is holding above 65, showing strong bullish momentum and confirming that buyers are in control. Momentum is expanding without any major divergence, which supports the probability of continuation rather than rejection.
Overall, Wipro is standing at a make-or-break level. Acceptance above the trendline can trigger a fresh upside leg, while rejection may lead to short-term consolidation. Structurally, the setup favours bullish continuation as long as price sustains above the recent higher low.
HINDALCO at Lifetime High Zone – Breakout Continuation SetupHindalco is trading in a strong rising trend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. Price is currently hovering near the previous all-time high zone, which has now turned into a major demand area after a clean retest.
The stock is respecting a well-defined rising trendline, and the recent pullbacks have been shallow, showing strong buying interest on dips. This kind of price behaviour near resistance usually indicates absorption of supply, not distribution.
A decisive daily close above the highlighted resistance zone can trigger a fresh breakout, opening the path for a sharp upside move towards the next expansion zone. The grey box on the chart clearly marks the upside projection area based on structure and momentum.
RSI is holding above 60, which confirms bullish momentum and strength, without entering extreme overbought territory. This suggests there is still room for continuation.
Overall, Hindalco is positioned in a classic trend-following setup, where strength is visible both in structure and momentum. As long as the price holds above the rising trendline and breakout base, the bias remains firmly bullish.
NIFTY -Short Term Resistance and Major Support LevelsNIFTY :
Trading below its short term Moving averages 10DEMA &20DEMA lying at around 25920-25950
Its 50 DEMA at around 25750 is acting as a major support.
TREND LINE RES LEVELS
R1:25950 R2:26050 R3 :26150
TRADING STRATEGY-BUY
Level 1 : Any rebound from 25750 levels based on atleast 15 Min candle confirmation shall bounce to 25800/25850/25900
25900-25950 No Trade zone
If the Breakout at 25950 where its 10 DEMA &20 DEMA lies there is a possibility for a breakout Trade towards 26050.
If 26050 sustains on a closing basis shall expect a move towards 21150-200 band
TRADING STRATEG -SELL
If 25900 -950 does not hold likely to fall back to 25800-850 band
Decisive fall below 25700 likely to trigger a steep fall even towards 25500
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/12/2025A flat opening is expected in Nifty 50, with the index continuing to trade within a well-established consolidation range seen over the last several sessions. Price is currently hovering around the 25,800–25,850 zone, which is acting as a short-term balance area. This reflects ongoing indecision in the market, where buyers are showing interest near lower supports while sellers remain active near overhead resistance, keeping the index range-bound.
On the upside, a reversal long opportunity can be considered near the 25,750–25,800 support zone, provided the index shows stability and holds above this area. A successful bounce from this zone can lead to an upside move toward 25,850, 25,900, and 25,950+. A stronger bullish signal will emerge only if the index sustains above 25,950, which could invite fresh buying and shift momentum in favor of bulls.
On the downside, if the index faces rejection near 25,950–25,900, selling pressure may resume. In such a scenario, short positions can be considered with downside targets at 25,850, 25,800, and 25,750-. A decisive breakdown below 25,700 will strengthen the bearish bias and may open further downside toward 25,650, 25,550, and 25,500-. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders are advised to focus on range-based trades, maintain strict risk management, and avoid aggressive directional positions.
MANAPPURAM Breaking Falling Resistance – Trend Expansion SetupManappuram Finance is trading inside a rising structure, and price has now reached the upper descending trendline, which acted as a supply zone for the past few months. The recent candles show acceptance near this resistance, hinting that sellers are losing control.
The stock has consistently formed higher lows, supported by a rising base trendline. This compression between rising support and falling resistance indicates a triangle breakout setup, where momentum usually expands sharply once price sustains above resistance.
RSI is holding around 59–60, showing improving momentum without overbought conditions. This RSI behaviour, combined with tight price action, supports the probability of a directional breakout rather than rejection.
From a sector perspective, NBFC stocks have remained relatively stable, and gold finance companies continue to benefit from steady demand and margin protection due to higher gold prices, which supports the broader structure.
As long as Manappuram holds above the rising trend support, the structure remains positive. A clean daily close above the falling resistance can open room for fast upside expansion, while failure to sustain above it may lead to short-term consolidation near the breakout base.






















