selling Eurusddaily time frame market is bullish
4hr = bearish
1hr = bearish
entry at 50% area of 1hr timeframe
X-indicator
Divergence Secrets1. Basic Option Trading Strategies
These are simple, beginner-friendly strategies where risks are limited and easy to understand.
1.1 Covered Call
How it Works: You own 100 shares of a stock and sell a call option against it.
Goal: Earn income (premium) while holding stock.
Best When: You expect the stock to stay flat or slightly rise.
Risk: If stock rises too much, you must sell at the strike price.
Example: You own Infosys at ₹1,500. You sell a call at strike ₹1,600 for premium ₹20. If Infosys stays below ₹1,600, you keep the premium.
1.2 Protective Put
How it Works: You buy a put option to protect a stock you own.
Goal: Hedge downside risk.
Best When: You fear a market drop but don’t want to sell.
Example: You own TCS at ₹3,500. You buy a put with strike ₹3,400. If TCS falls to ₹3,200, your stock loses ₹300, but the put gains.
1.3 Cash-Secured Put
How it Works: You sell a put option while holding enough cash to buy the stock if assigned.
Goal: Earn premium and possibly buy stock at a discount.
Best When: You’re okay owning the stock at a lower price.
2. Intermediate Strategies
Now we step into strategies combining multiple options.
2.1 Vertical Spreads
These involve buying one option and selling another of the same type (call/put) with different strikes but same expiry.
(a) Bull Call Spread
Buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call.
Limited risk, limited profit.
Best when moderately bullish.
(b) Bear Put Spread
Buy higher strike put, sell lower strike put.
Best when moderately bearish.
2.2 Calendar Spread
Buy a long-term option and sell a short-term option at the same strike.
Profits if stock stays near strike as short-term option loses value faster.
2.3 Diagonal Spread
Like a calendar, but strikes are different.
Offers flexibility in adjusting for trend + time.
3. Advanced Option Trading Strategies
These are for experienced traders who understand volatility and time decay deeply.
3.1 Straddle
Buy one call and one put at same strike, same expiry.
Profits if the stock makes a big move in either direction.
Best before major events (earnings, policy announcements).
Risk: If stock stays flat, you lose premium.
3.2 Strangle
Similar to straddle, but strike prices are different.
Cheaper, but requires larger move.
3.3 Iron Condor
Sell an out-of-the-money call spread and put spread.
Profits if stock stays within a range.
Great for low-volatility environments.
3.4 Butterfly Spread
Combination of calls (or puts) where profit peaks at a middle strike.
Limited risk, limited reward.
Best when expecting very little movement.
3.5 Ratio Spreads
Sell more options than you buy (like 2 short calls, 1 long call).
Higher potential reward, but can be risky if stock trends too far.
Event-Driven Trading: Strategies Around Quarterly Earnings1. Understanding Event-Driven Trading
Event-driven trading refers to strategies that seek to exploit short-term price movements caused by corporate or macroeconomic events. These events can include mergers and acquisitions (M&A), regulatory announcements, dividend announcements, product launches, and, most notably, quarterly earnings reports. Event-driven traders operate on the principle that markets do not always price in the full implications of upcoming news, creating opportunities for alpha generation.
Earnings announcements are particularly potent because they provide concrete, quantifiable data on a company’s financial health, guiding investor expectations for revenue, profit margins, cash flow, and future outlook. Given the structured release schedule of quarterly earnings, traders can plan their strategies in advance, combining statistical, fundamental, and technical analyses.
2. Anatomy of Quarterly Earnings Reports
Quarterly earnings reports typically contain several key components:
Revenue and Earnings Per Share (EPS): Core indicators of company performance. Earnings surprises—positive or negative—often trigger substantial stock price moves.
Guidance: Management projections for future performance can influence market sentiment.
Margins: Gross, operating, and net margins indicate operational efficiency.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Metrics: Provide insight into liquidity, debt levels, and overall financial health.
Management Commentary: Offers qualitative insights into business strategy, risks, and opportunities.
Understanding these elements is critical for traders seeking to anticipate market reactions. Historically, stocks tend to exhibit heightened volatility during earnings releases, creating both opportunities and risks for traders.
3. Market Reaction to Earnings
The stock market often reacts swiftly to earnings announcements, with price movements reflecting the degree to which actual results differ from expectations. The reaction is influenced by several factors:
Earnings Surprise: The difference between actual earnings and analyst consensus. Positive surprises often lead to price spikes, while negative surprises can trigger sharp declines.
Guidance Changes: Upward or downward revisions to guidance significantly impact investor sentiment.
Sector Trends: A company’s performance relative to industry peers can amplify market reactions.
Market Conditions: Broader economic indicators and market sentiment affect the magnitude of earnings-driven price movements.
Traders must understand that markets may overreact or underreact initially, presenting opportunities for both short-term and medium-term trades.
4. Event-Driven Trading Strategies Around Earnings
4.1 Pre-Earnings Strategies
Objective: Position the portfolio ahead of anticipated earnings to profit from expected price movements.
Straddle/Strangle Options Strategy
Buy both call and put options with the same expiration (straddle) or different strike prices (strangle).
Profitable when stock exhibits significant volatility regardless of direction.
Works well when implied volatility is lower than expected post-earnings movement.
Directional Bets
Traders with conviction about earnings outcomes may take long or short positions in anticipation of the report.
Requires robust fundamental analysis and sector insights.
Pairs Trading
Involves taking offsetting positions in correlated stocks within the same sector.
Reduces market risk while exploiting relative performance during earnings season.
4.2 Post-Earnings Strategies
Objective: React to market inefficiencies created by unexpected earnings results.
Earnings Drift Strategy
Stocks that beat earnings expectations often continue to trend upward in the days following the announcement, known as the “post-earnings announcement drift.”
Conversely, negative surprises may lead to sustained declines.
Traders can exploit these trends using momentum-based techniques.
Volatility Arbitrage
Earnings reports increase implied volatility in options pricing.
Traders can exploit discrepancies between expected and actual volatility post-announcement.
Fade the Initial Reaction
Sometimes markets overreact to earnings news.
Traders take contrarian positions against extreme initial moves, anticipating a correction.
5. Analytical Tools and Techniques
Successful event-driven trading relies heavily on data, models, and analytical frameworks.
5.1 Fundamental Analysis
Study revenue, EPS, margins, guidance, and sector performance.
Compare against historical data and analyst consensus.
Evaluate macroeconomic factors affecting the company.
5.2 Technical Analysis
Identify key support and resistance levels.
Use indicators like Bollinger Bands, RSI, and moving averages to gauge price momentum pre- and post-earnings.
5.3 Sentiment Analysis
Monitor social media, news releases, and analyst reports for market sentiment.
Positive sentiment can amplify price moves, while negative sentiment can exacerbate declines.
5.4 Quantitative Models
Statistical models can predict probability of earnings surprises and subsequent price movements.
Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to forecast earnings-driven volatility and trade outcomes.
6. Risk Management in Earnings Trading
Event-driven trading carries elevated risk due to volatility and uncertainty. Effective risk management strategies include:
Position Sizing
Limit exposure per trade to manage potential losses from unexpected moves.
Stop-Loss Orders
Predefined exit points prevent catastrophic losses.
Diversification
Spread trades across sectors or asset classes to reduce idiosyncratic risk.
Hedging
Use options or futures contracts to offset directional risk.
Liquidity Assessment
Ensure sufficient market liquidity to enter and exit positions without excessive slippage.
Conclusion
Event-driven trading around quarterly earnings offers substantial opportunities for informed traders. By combining fundamental analysis, technical tools, options strategies, and disciplined risk management, traders can capitalize on the predictable yet volatile nature of earnings season. While challenges exist, a structured and strategic approach allows market participants to profit from both anticipated and unexpected outcomes.
The key to success lies in preparation, flexibility, and understanding market psychology. Traders who master earnings-driven strategies can achieve consistent performance, turning periodic corporate disclosures into actionable investment opportunities.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/09/2025For Nifty, the index is expected to open flat near the 25,420–25,450 zone. On the upside, sustaining above 25,250 and crossing 25,500 decisively will be crucial. A move above 25,500 can trigger strong bullish momentum, with targets placed at 25,650, 25,700, and 25,750+.
On the downside, the immediate support is seen around 25,250. A break below this may invite selling pressure, pulling the index lower toward 25,100, 25,000, and 24,950-. Additionally, if a reversal occurs from the 25,450–25,500 zone, then a short trade opportunity may open with targets at 24,350, 24,300, and 24,250-.
Overall, Nifty is likely to remain in a range-bound setup with a flat opening. A decisive breakout above 25,500 or a breakdown below 25,250 will dictate the next directional move. Traders should stay cautious near resistance zones and trail positions with strict stop-losses.
Bitcoin Testing Resistance with Potential Pullback AheadKey observations:
Range Breakout: Earlier, Bitcoin broke out of a consolidation zone (marked box), which triggered the recent upward move.
Resistance Zone: Price is hovering near the 5.15%–5.42% gain zone, where selling pressure has historically emerged.
Pullback Signal: The drawn arrow suggests a possible rejection at this resistance, pointing to a corrective move down toward the 3% zone.
Momentum Check: If BTC fails to hold above this resistance, a retracement is likely. However, a strong breakout could open the door toward 6% gains.
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a decision point. Rejection at resistance could bring a pullback toward 2.8%–3.0%, while a breakout above 5.4% would continue the bullish momentum.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 18-19🎉 Congratulations to our members who followed our trading strategy - today's trades yielded a profit of over 300++ pips!
✅ Based on the 4-hour chart, gold formed a phase top at 3707 and has since pulled back in a consolidation.
The moving averages MA5 and MA10 have crossed downward, while MA20 near 3670 is acting as resistance.
The short- to medium-term trend shows weakening bullish momentum with bears gradually taking control. The Bollinger Bands’ midline is around 3670, and the price has broken below it, now moving near the lower band, indicating weakness. If it cannot quickly reclaim the midline, the trend is likely to remain bearish.
Currently, gold is trading in the 3640–3650 range. If this zone breaks, the price may further test the 3625–3630 support. A break below 3625–3630 would open more downside potential, with the next target around 3600.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3660–3670
🟢 Support levels: 3640–3630
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price rebounds to 3660–3670 and faces resistance, consider light short positions with targets at 3630–3625.
🔰 If the price drops to around 3625 and stabilizes, short-term long positions can be considered, targeting 3655–3660.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(19/09/2025)For Bank Nifty, the index is expected to open flat near the 55,700 levels. On the upside, sustaining above the 55,550–55,600 zone can trigger fresh buying momentum, pushing prices toward 55,750, 55,850, and 55,950+. A further breakout above 56,050 will strengthen the bullish trend and open the path toward 56,250–56,450+.
On the downside, immediate support lies at 55,450–55,400. A breakdown below this zone may invite selling pressure, dragging the index lower toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050-. This area will act as a key support to watch during intraday moves.
Overall, with a flat opening, Bank Nifty is likely to trade within a range in the initial sessions. A clear directional move is expected only on a breakout above 55,600 or a breakdown below 55,400. Traders are advised to stay light in positions initially and follow strict stop-losses while trailing profits as levels are achieved.
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders!
Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities.
Key Observations
Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720.
The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions.
A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum.
Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel.
Trading Plan
Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support.
A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again.
If support breaks, deeper correction may follow.
Rahul’s Tip
Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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GOLDIAM : Breakout Stock#GOLDIAM #breakoutstock #trendingstock #lowRiskHighRewardTrade
GOLDIAM : Swing Trade / Short term
>> Breakout Trading
>> Breakout with Volume
>> Trending stock
>> Strength building up
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can look for 1:2 RR Trade, While Short term Traders can hold patiently for higher Targets
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
Bitcoin Bullish side Entry Setup Intraday – Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin is consolidating near its upper resistance zone after a recent bounce. Price action suggests that a pullback into the 116900–116700 range can offer a high-probability entry for buyers. Maintaining a stop loss around 116050 helps to protect against deeper downside risk. As long as this zone holds, the bias remains bullish, with potential upside toward 117800–118000 . Intraday traders should closely watch how price reacts around the entry zone before positioning.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
ASIANPAINT 1D Time frameCurrent View
The stock is trading around ₹2,490-₹2,500, roughly in that band.
Recent price action suggests sideways to slightly negative bias in the short term.
The stock is below many of its medium-to-long term moving averages, but above some short term ones — mixed signals.
⚙️ Indicators & Momentum
RSI is in neutral to slightly weak territory (not deeply oversold, not overbought).
MACD shows bearish pressure in recent periods.
Some oscillators & momentum tools showing mild divergence, meaning upward momentum is not strong.
Short-term moving averages are giving mixed signals: some support, some resistance.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: ~ ₹2,520-₹2,550 is a resistance range.
Support Zones: ~ ₹2,450-₹2,470 nearer support. More substantial support around ₹2,400-₹2,430.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.09.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.09.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Complex Cup & Handle Pattern in Adani green ,Near Breakout ZoneAdani Green formed Complex Cup & Handle Pattern on Daily & Weekly Chart . Currently Stock trading above 20,50 & 100 EMA & Try to close above 200 EMA (which is near about 1065 Level), Near about the same level (1076) is the Neckline area ,Where stock face resistance multiple times .RSI also indicating positive momentum in stock .If Breakout happened possible Target will be arround 1370 Rs with a stoploss of 930 Rs.
It"s not a buy or sell call ...For education only
BTC/USDT Analysis📊 BTC/USDT Analysis
Since yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) has not shown any significant movement and continues to consolidate within its bullish ascending channel. The market structure remains intact, and our previous analysis is still valid.
The key trigger level to watch is 117,583.51. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would provide a strong long entry signal, opening the path for continuation towards higher resistances and potentially activating broader bullish momentum.
Until this breakout occurs, BTC is expected to remain within the channel, with downside supported by the channel’s lower trendline.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance/Trigger: 117,583.51
Support: Channel lower trendline & 107,820.57
🔥 Trading Bias:
Remain patient inside the channel. Bullish confirmation comes with a breakout above 117,583.51, aligning with the broader uptrend.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in AJMERA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
IDBI Bank cmp 92.50 by Monthly Chart view since it got listedIDBI Bank cmp 92.50 by Monthly Chart view since it got listed
- Support Zone 66 to 82 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 105 to 120 Price Band
- Bullish Cup and Handle done indicative of good upside probability
- Resistance Zone acting strongly hence Price move getting rejected since October 2011
- Breakout above Resistance Zone needs heavy traded Volumes increase and needs to sustain above it for few days to foresee and anticipate fresh upside 🤞🏽🤞🏽🤞🏽🤞🏽
Gold Intraday Analysis: Range Play Until BreakoutGold is currently trading in a range-bound structure after pulling back from the 3700 level. The weekly pivot around 3632 is acting as strong support, while the 3700 zone serves as resistance, forming the upper boundary of the range. Price is showing signs of consolidation between these levels, suggesting a sideways market. For any breakout confirmation, we need to see a clear H1 or H4 candle close above 3700 or below 3632, along with volume or strong price rejection/follow-through. Until then, the price action favors range trading within these key levels.
Agri Infra Ltd (AGIIL) : Breakout soon Stock#AGIIL #breakoutstock #swingtrade #trendingstock #momentumstock
AGIIL : Swing trade
>> Breakout candidate
>> Trending setup stock
>> Good Volumes & strength in stock
>> Low Risk high Reward setup
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
PEPE Getting Ready for a Big Move – Breakout Loading!PEPE is trading within a well-structured range, bounded by a rising support trendline and a falling resistance trendline . This setup indicates that the price is getting squeezed, and a decisive breakout move may be coming soon.
Currently, the price is holding above key moving averages, which adds strength to the bullish bias. As long as the rising support trendline remains intact, buyers will continue to defend dips. A breakout above the falling resistance could trigger a sharp move higher, targeting the next resistance levels near 0.00001319 .
On the downside, if price fails to hold above the rising support, we may see a deeper pullback toward 0.00001074–0.00001026 levels. Traders should closely watch how PEPE reacts near the falling resistance line in the coming sessions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
“ANANTRAJ Breakout: Pocket Pivot and 235-Day Resistance Test”ANANTRAJ surges 9.38% to ₹640.40, confirming a major pocket pivot and breaking out above a 235-day long-term resistance. Chart highlights recent pivots, support from rising EMAs, and strong volume as the stock tests a multi-month high. Perfect for traders tracking momentum breakouts and episodic pivot set-ups.
JAYNECO - Bullish setupThe scrip has formed a Inverter head and shoulder or Cup and Handle on weekly chart post listing
1) 50 DMA > 200 DMA
2) Breakout
3) Bol increased
4) ADX > 25
Fibonacci targets and Cup and handle targets are marked. Good bet for a long term investors
Idea for academic interest and not a recommendation to buy.
Breakout - Looks Good On Chart - GRAPHITE📊 Script: GRAPHITE
📊 Industry: Industrial Products (Electrodes & Refractories)
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Crossover in Double Moving Averages.
📈 Right now RSI is around 63.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
📈 In Monthly Chart It Script is forming Symmetrical triangle and about to give breakout, we can see good rally in future.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 555
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 578 / 597
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 539
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
